Jeremy Peña

SS Houston Astros
Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 202 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-3FA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202426MLBHOU650.266/.310/.3941520942.0
202527MLBHOU543.304/.365/.47717201345.2
202628MLBHOU483.277/.327/.47722121243.0
2027PROJ29MLBHOU432.273/.326/.43615271132.4
2028PROJ30MLBHOU417.270/.323/.42814221101.9
2029PROJ31MLBHOU398.266/.318/.41813161051.4
Last 3 seasons WAR 10.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 5.7Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028
2027Arb-3$13M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
xwOBA63
Bat Spd58
Avg EV42
Barrel%40
Form.256/.295/.441 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .271/.321/.434
CompsEduardo Núñez (age 30) · Jonathan Villar (age 29) · Carlos Gómez (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 114113vR 109
AVG/OBP/SLG.273 / .326 / .436
PA432
HR15
SB27
K%20
BB%5
BABIP315
ISO169
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +6.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+7BATRUN: +5.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +4.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +9.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +2.60+2.6WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
2.61.91.40.90.4-0.127283032
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
690.266
POWER45
Barrel%
406.8
Avg EV
4288.5
Bat Spd
5872.2
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.3
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%27%▼▼30% over 116 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%4%▼▼2% over 116 PA (60d) · proj 5%
ISO.185▲.216 over 111 AB (60d) · proj .163
HR/BB6.0%▲7.8% over 77 BBE (60d) · proj 4.8%
BABIP.312·.324 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .311
SLASH.256/.295/.441▼proj .271/.321/.434
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1228 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
274
954
—
wRC+
121
109
◀L
wOBA
347
330
◀L
ISO
161
142
◀L
BABIP
314
322
—
K%
12.4%
18.3%
◀◀L
BB%
4.7%
4.8%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-3
MLB Debut   2022
Service   5.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-3$13M+2.6$21M+$8M
Totals $13M $21M +$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201921 A+Fayetteville Woodpeckers — 185167 531332 12335 34 317380467848 150383 186 375 76 — — — — — —
201921 AQuad Cities River Bandits — 289242 71845 35576 176 293394421816 128357 2012 363 81 — — — — — —
201921 INTLPeoria Javelinas — 10193 17511 6352 21 183248290538 108281 356 246 52 — — — — — —
202022 INTLEstrellas Orientales — 129121 37223 7231 70 306349430779 124358 185 347 121 — — — — — —
202123 AAASugar Land Skeeters — 133122 354210 6355 51 287346598944 311325 265 408 109 — — — — — —
202123 ROKFCL Astros — 2723 8110 262 10 348444478923 130471 227 415 72 — — — — — —
202123 INTLEstrellas Orientales — 134117 34612 11323 72 291361410771 120381 248 343 118 — — — — — —
202224 MLBHouston Astros — 558521 13220222 221356 112 253290426716 173298 244 312 97 -2 +1 +8 +6 +12 2.6
202325 MLBHouston Astros — 634577 15232310 431299 139 263323381704 118323 207 316 97 -2 -1 +5 +7 +14 2.3
202426 MLBHouston Astros — 650602 16028215 2511114 206 266310394704 128301 174 311 94 -4 +2 +1 +7 +14 2.0
202527 MLBHouston Astros — 543493 15030217 359312 202 304365477841 172345 176 372 134 +22 +3 +9 +6 +12 5.2
202628 MLBHouston Astros — 483447 12419222 241169 122 277327477804 199327 245 352 124 +14 +2 -1 +5 +10 3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 28682640 7181291186 14958450 7621 272322427749 155318 205 331 110 +34 +7 +22 +31 +62 15.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201921 A+ MLEFayetteville Woodpeckers — 185171 42922 8485 34 246299357656 111319 264 280 76 — — — — — —
201921 A MLEQuad Cities River Bandits — 289254 61634 24776 176 240320335655 94306 278 288 81 — — — — — —
202123 AAA MLESugar Land Skeeters — 133124 31427 4425 51 250301484785 234307 323 330 109 — — — — — —
202123 ROK MLEFCL Astros — 2724 6110 192 10 250333375708 125359 334 274 72 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 558524 13219223 221356 112 252290427717 176298 244 311 97 -2 +1 +8 +6 +12 2.6
202325 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 634581 14930310 421299 139 256316370687 114323 207 311 97 -2 -1 +5 +7 +14 2.3
202426 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 650603 15726215 2411114 206 260304385689 124301 174 307 94 -4 +2 +1 +7 +14 2.0
202527 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 543495 14728217 339312 202 297356465820 168345 176 366 134 +22 +3 +9 +6 +12 5.2
202628 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 483447 12418223 241169 122 277327481808 204327 245 351 124 +14 +2 -1 +5 +10 3.0
201921 A MLE3 teams — 575518 1241867 3815213 2211 239308338645 98321 267 285 79 — — — — — —
201921 A RAW3 teams — 575502 1412688 5312513 2211 281364412776 131355 229 346 79 — — — — — —
202022 INTL MLEEstrellas Orientales — 129121 37223 7231 70 306349430779 124358 185 — — — — — — — —
202022 INTL RAWEstrellas Orientales — 129121 37223 7231 70 306349430779 124358 185 347 121 — — — — — —
202123 INTL MLE3 teams — 294273 668414 109310 133 242294454748 212311 323 321 103 — — — — — —
202123 INTL RAW3 teams — 294262 7711412 197310 133 294362504866 210365 256 379 103 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 558524 13219223 221356 112 252290427717 176294 244 311 97 -2 +1 +8 +6 +12 2.6
202224 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 558521 13220222 221356 112 253290426716 173298 244 312 97 -2 +1 +8 +6 +12 2.6
202325 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 634581 14930310 421299 139 256316370687 114314 207 311 97 -2 -1 +5 +7 +14 2.3
202325 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 634577 15232310 431299 139 263323381704 118323 207 316 97 -2 -1 +5 +7 +14 2.3
202426 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 650603 15726215 2411114 206 260304385689 124294 174 307 94 -4 +2 +1 +7 +14 2.0
202426 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 650602 16028215 2511114 206 266310394704 128301 174 311 94 -4 +2 +1 +7 +14 2.0
202527 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 543495 14728217 339312 202 297356465820 168336 176 366 134 +22 +3 +9 +6 +12 5.2
202527 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 543493 15030217 359312 202 304365477841 172345 176 372 134 +22 +3 +9 +6 +12 5.2
202628 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 483447 12418223 241169 122 277327481808 204325 245 351 124 +14 +2 -1 +5 +10 3.0
202628 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 483447 12419222 241169 122 277327477804 199327 245 352 124 +14 +2 -1 +5 +10 3.0
201921 A MLE3 teams — 575519 1241867 3815213 2211 239308337645 98311 267 285 79 — — — — — —
202123 INTL MLE3 teams — 294272 668414 109310 133 243294456749 213316 323 321 103 — — — — — —
202224 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 558525 13219223 221356 112 251290427717 175298 244 311 97 — — — — — —
202325 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 634578 14930310 421299 139 258316372688 114323 207 311 97 — — — — — —
202426 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 650607 15726215 2411114 206 259304382686 124301 174 307 94 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 543493 14728217 339312 202 298356467822 168345 176 366 134 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 483447 12418223 241169 122 277327481808 204327 245 351 124 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202426 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 650607 15726215 2411114 206 259304382686 124301 174 307 94 — — — — — —
202527 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 543493 14728217 339312 202 298356467822 168345 176 366 134 — — — — — —
202628 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 483447 12418223 241169 122 277327481808 204327 245 351 124 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202729 MLB MLEHOU 100% 509467 12820218 2710410 325 271324434758 163311 205 335 113 +8 +4 -1 +5 +11 2.6
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202729 MLB CTXHOU 100% 432397 11018215 23889 274 273326436762 163315 205 337 113 +7 +4 -1 +5 +9 2.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202830 MLB MLEHOU 100% 417384 10416214 22868 224 268321426747 158310 215 330 110 +5 +3 -3 +4 +9 1.9
202931 MLB MLEHOU 100% 398367 9715113 20848 163 264315417732 153307 215 324 105 +3 +2 -4 +4 +9 1.4
203032 MLB MLEHOU 100% 375346 8913112 19817 112 258309403712 145303 225 316 100 -0 +1 -4 +4 +8 0.9
203133 MLB MLEHOU 100% 338313 7911110 16756 62 251301387688 136297 225 306 93 -3 +0 -5 +4 +7 0.4
203234 MLB MLEHOU 100% 280260 64918 13645 21 242290368659 126290 235 294 85 -5 +0 -5 +3 +6 -0.1
202830 MLB CTXHOU 100% 417384 10517214 22868 224 270323428751 158314 215 332 110 +5 +3 -3 +4 +9 1.9
202931 MLB CTXHOU 100% 398367 9816113 20848 163 266318418736 152311 215 326 105 +3 +2 -4 +4 +9 1.4
203032 MLB CTXHOU 100% 375346 9014111 19817 112 260311405716 145306 225 318 100 -0 +1 -4 +4 +8 0.9
203133 MLB CTXHOU 100% 338313 8012110 16756 62 253303389692 136301 225 308 93 -3 +0 -5 +4 +7 0.4
203234 MLB CTXHOU 100% 280260 63917 13645 21 244292370662 125294 235 295 85 -5 +0 -5 +3 +6 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 46764310 115419717141 23997484 13333 268318419738 152314 215 326 98 +33 +13 +1 +50 +101 20.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650599 16027220 3313512 185 267318419737 152312 215 326 98 +5 +2 +0 +7 +14 2.8
Career— MLE — 61065629 147723031184 3131330117 20251 262315412727 150312 225 313 98 +40 +17 -0 +55 +111 22.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 15724320 3314212 225 262313412726 150311 225 313 98 +5 +2 -0 +7 +14 2.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2021 AAASugar Land Skeeters · 133 PAwOBA .396 → .330 (−65)K% 26.3% → 31.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.32%÷1.002×1.200——31.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.51%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0483.35%
HBP% /PA3.76%—×0.940—×1.0483.70%
Singles /BIP21.84%÷1.023×0.930×1.033×1.04821.49%
Doubles /BIP4.60%÷0.923×0.830×1.033×1.0484.47%
Triples /BIP2.30%÷1.150×0.920×1.033×1.0481.99%
Home runs /BIP11.49%÷0.935×0.700—×1.0489.01%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.

Result: wOBA .396 → .330; ISO .311 → .238; BABIP .325 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Astros · 27 PAwOBA .404 → .274 (−130)K% 22.2% → 32.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.22%÷0.994×1.440——32.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.41%÷1.052×0.620—×0.9554.17%
HBP% /PA7.41%—×0.720—×0.9555.09%
Singles /BIP35.29%÷0.978×0.820—×0.95528.27%
Doubles /BIP5.88%÷1.105×0.720—×0.9553.66%
Triples /BIP5.88%÷1.027×0.720—×0.9553.94%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.780—×0.9550.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 96, 2B 121, 3B 105, K 99, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .404 → .274; ISO .130 → .079; BABIP .471 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AQuad Cities River Bandits · 289 PAwOBA .360 → .288 (−72)K% 19.7% → 26.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.72%÷1.006×1.360——26.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.11%÷1.010×0.690——8.27%
HBP% /PA2.08%—×0.780——1.62%
Singles /BIP29.19%÷0.979×0.920×0.950—26.05%
Doubles /BIP4.32%÷1.128×0.830×0.950—3.02%
Triples /BIP2.16%÷1.150×0.910×0.950—1.63%
Home runs /BIP2.70%÷0.964×0.800——2.24%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 96, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .360 → .288; ISO .128 → .099; BABIP .357 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Fayetteville Woodpeckers · 185 PAwOBA .367 → .280 (−87)K% 17.8% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.84%÷0.983×1.420——25.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.49%÷1.000×0.630—×1.0124.14%
HBP% /PA2.70%—×0.860—×1.0122.35%
Singles /BIP26.12%÷1.029×0.940×0.950×1.01222.93%
Doubles /BIP9.70%÷1.068×0.830×0.950×1.0127.25%
Triples /BIP2.24%÷1.150×0.800×0.950×1.0121.50%
Home runs /BIP1.49%÷0.969×0.900—×1.0121.40%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 106, 2B 114, 3B 130, K 97, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .367 → .280; ISO .150 → .108; BABIP .383 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .