Jeremy Peña — OGILVIE

Jeremy PeñaSS Houston Astros

INJURED · Injured 10-Day (D10)

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 202 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027 peak 3.9 · 2027

wRC+†vL 115107vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.275 / .331 / .423

PA261

HR7

SB9

K%17

BB%6

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

45→45

SPD

60→60

EYE

39↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.2peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$9M	+1.5	$12M	+$3M
2027	Arb-3	$20M	+3.9	$32M	+$12M
Totals		$29M		$44M	+$15M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	3 teams	575	517	122	17	4	7	39	145	13	22	11	.236	.306	.325	.631	.089	.310	25	7	.282	74	-17	+0	+0	+6	+16	0.6
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	129	121	37	2	2	3	7	23	1	7	0	.306	.349	.430	.779	.124	.358	18	5	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2021	23	INTL	3 teams	294	273	62	7	3	14	10	99	10	13	3	.227	.280	.429	.708	.201	.298	34	3	.309	95	-2	+1	+0	+3	+8	1.1
2022	24	MLB	Houston Astros	558	524	127	20	2	21	22	135	6	11	2	.242	.281	.408	.689	.166	.284	24	4	.300	88	-8	+1	+8	+6	+16	2.4
2023	25	MLB	Houston Astros	634	580	157	32	3	11	43	129	9	13	9	.271	.331	.393	.724	.122	.331	20	7	.318	102	+1	-1	+5	+7	+18	3.1
2024	26	MLB	Houston Astros	650	602	159	27	2	15	25	111	14	20	6	.264	.309	.390	.699	.126	.299	17	4	.303	90	-7	+2	+1	+7	+18	2.1
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	543	493	147	30	2	18	35	93	12	20	2	.298	.359	.477	.836	.178	.336	17	6	.361	135	+21	+3	+9	+6	+15	5.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Houston Astros	46	43	11	4	0	0	3	6	0	1	0	.256	.304	.349	.653	.093	.297	13	7	.292	81	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB	HOU	215	197	54	11	1	5	12	36	4	8	1	.274	.329	.416	.745	.142	.311	17	6	.333	113	+3	+1	+2	+2	+6	1.5
TOT	28	MLB	HOU	261	240	65	15	1	5	15	42	4	9	1	.271	.324	.404	.728	.133	.309	16	6	.326	107	+2	+1	+1	+3	+7	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	HOU	568	520	143	28	2	14	33	89	10	19	3	.275	.330	.417	.748	.142	.305	16	6	.331	111	+7	+3	+4	+6	+16	3.7
2028	30	MLB	HOU	556	508	139	27	2	14	33	89	10	17	2	.274	.330	.417	.748	.144	.303	16	6	.328	109	+6	+3	+3	+6	+16	3.4
2029	31	MLB	HOU	541	495	133	26	1	13	32	89	9	14	1	.269	.325	.404	.729	.135	.302	16	6	.324	106	+4	+2	+2	+6	+15	3.0
2030	32	MLB	HOU	522	478	127	25	1	12	30	89	9	11	0	.266	.321	.397	.719	.132	.301	17	6	.319	103	+1	+2	+1	+6	+15	2.6
2031	33	MLB	HOU	492	453	118	23	1	11	28	87	8	9	0	.260	.315	.389	.703	.128	.300	18	6	.314	98	-1	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.1
2032	34	MLB	HOU	445	410	105	20	1	9	25	83	7	7	0	.256	.310	.376	.686	.120	.298	19	6	.307	93	-3	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.5
2033	35	MLB	HOU	390	359	90	17	1	7	22	76	6	5	0	.251	.305	.362	.667	.111	.296	19	6	.299	87	-6	+1	-2	+4	+11	0.9
2034	36	MLB	HOU	330	304	75	14	1	6	18	68	5	4	0	.247	.300	.359	.658	.112	.294	21	5	.290	80	-7	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.3
2035	37	MLB	HOU	266	246	59	11	1	4	14	57	4	3	0	.240	.292	.341	.633	.102	.290	21	5	.280	73	-8	+1	-4	+3	+8	-0.2
2036	38	MLB	HOU	197	182	41	7	0	3	10	44	3	1	0	.225	.277	.313	.590	.088	.286	22	5	.270	65	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7905	7262	1895	344	30	187	438	1542	140	204	40	.261	.315	.394	.709	.133	.306	20	6	.307	93	-58	+25	+21	+85	+224	30.2
/ 162G	—			650	597	155	28	2	15	36	127	12	17	3	.260	.315	.389	.704	.129	.305	20	6	.307	93	-5	+2	+2	+7	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	185	167	53	13	3	2	12	33	5	3	4	.317	.380	.467	.848	.150	.383	18	6	.375	145	+9	-1	—	—	+5	1.4
2019	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	289	242	71	8	4	5	35	57	6	17	6	.293	.394	.421	.816	.128	.357	20	12	.363	136	+12	+1	—	—	+8	2.1
2019	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	101	93	17	5	1	1	6	35	2	2	1	.183	.248	.290	.538	.108	.281	35	6	.246	46	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	129	121	37	2	2	3	7	23	1	7	0	.306	.349	.430	.779	.124	.358	18	5	.347	124	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	23	AAA	Sugar Land Skeeters	133	122	35	4	2	10	6	35	5	5	1	.287	.346	.598	.944	.311	.325	26	5	.408	170	+11	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2021	23	ROK	FCL Astros	27	23	8	1	1	0	2	6	2	1	0	.348	.444	.478	.923	.130	.471	22	7	.415	175	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	134	117	34	6	1	2	11	32	3	7	2	.291	.361	.410	.771	.120	.381	24	8	.343	121	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	24	MLB	Houston Astros	558	521	132	20	2	22	22	135	6	11	2	.253	.290	.426	.716	.173	.298	24	4	.312	97	-2	+1	+8	+6	+16	3.0
2023	25	MLB	Houston Astros	634	577	152	32	3	10	43	129	9	13	9	.263	.323	.381	.704	.118	.323	20	7	.316	100	-0	-1	+5	+7	+18	3.0
2024	26	MLB	Houston Astros	650	602	160	28	2	15	25	111	14	20	6	.266	.310	.394	.704	.128	.301	17	4	.311	96	-3	+2	+1	+7	+18	2.6
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	543	493	150	30	2	17	35	93	12	20	2	.304	.365	.477	.841	.172	.345	17	6	.372	143	+26	+3	+9	+6	+15	6.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2385	2193	594	110	9	64	125	468	41	64	19	.271	.321	.417	.738	.146	.316	20	5	.326	108	+21	+5	+23	+26	+68	14.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeremy Peña (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	60	35	.273/.328/.416	.143	.305	7	9	15%	6%	113	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Josh Harrison 2015 · MLB	28	57→62	49→55	55	44	.280/.318/.443	.163	.310	14	20	15%	4%	115	+2.7	.277/.318/.408	.131	.317	11	17	16%	4%	105	+2.1	.270/.318/.389	.119	.310	10	16	16%	4%	97	+1.3
✕Hernán Pérez 2019 · MLB	28	51→56	48→50	55	43	.257/.293/.398	.141	.298	16	23	20%	5%	92	+1.2	.241/.284/.388	.147	.295	18	16	24%	6%	86	+0.8	.238/.283/.362	.124	.301	16	24	26%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Angel Berroa 2005 · MLB	28	54→56	46→50	53→50	45	.264/.315/.405	.140	.297	12	17	16%	5%	103	+1.9	.255/.295/.369	.114	.293	11	9	17%	4%	85	+0.7	.259/.304/.420	.161	.303	20	4	21%	4%	101	+1.1
●Corey Hart 2010 · MLB	28	53→56	53→60	53→55	48	.268/.323/.456	.188	.300	19	18	18%	7%	121	+3.2	.267/.329/.465	.198	.312	23	9	21%	8%	125	+3.5	.266/.331/.473	.207	.312	25	6	23%	8%	121	+3.2
✕Amed Rosario 2023 · MLB	27	56→61	45→50	56→55	43	.277/.311/.407	.130	.324	12	14	19%	5%	102	+1.8	.269/.306/.393	.124	.322	9	16	19%	5%	95	+1.4	.269/.305/.388	.119	.323	8	16	19%	4%	92	+0.7
✕Thairo Estrada 2023 · MLB	27	52→61	50	51→55	47	.260/.321/.411	.151	.292	18	17	18%	6%	108	+2.3	.256/.303/.396	.140	.301	16	16	20%	5%	96	+1.5	.250/.289/.380	.130	.297	15	14	21%	4%	84	+0.4
●Brandon Guyer 2013 · MLB	27	53→56	51→55	56→55	44	.267/.317/.437	.171	.307	17	20	19%	5%	113	+2.6	.256/.319/.386	.130	.305	10	18	19%	6%	101	+1.8	.260/.352/.397	.137	.303	11	11	16%	6%	114	+1.6
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	51→59	49→50	58→60	53	.253/.329/.406	.154	.299	15	25	20%	9%	109	+2.4	.243/.316/.384	.141	.292	13	17	20%	9%	98	+1.6	.233/.306/.368	.136	.280	13	15	21%	9%	86	+0.4
●Eduardo Núñez 2016 · MLB	29	52→62	45→50	54→60	46	.254/.296/.385	.130	.286	11	19	16%	5%	89	+1.0	.276/.312/.421	.145	.301	16	28	14%	5%	106	+2.2	.277/.310/.415	.138	.299	16	27	13%	4%	101	+1.6
●Jean Segura 2018 · MLB	28	59→64	45→50	54→60	46	.289/.333/.421	.131	.324	12	24	15%	5%	115	+2.7	.289/.335/.415	.126	.321	11	16	13%	6%	114	+2.7	.285/.333/.404	.119	.315	10	13	13%	6%	105	+1.7
●Eli Marrero 2002 · MLB	28	49	52→55	53→50	50	.248/.307/.418	.170	.268	19	16	16%	7%	104	+2.0	.258/.319/.435	.177	.283	21	14	17%	8%	113	+2.6	.270/.331/.450	.180	.296	21	13	17%	8%	113	+1.2
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	55→57	43→45	49→50	52	.265/.340/.384	.119	.326	10	11	21%	9%	108	+2.3	.247/.333/.361	.114	.305	10	13	21%	10%	100	+1.7	.246/.341/.353	.107	.303	9	12	20%	10%	99	+1.1
✕Gabe Kapler 2003 · MLB	28	55→60	47→55	51→55	54	.273/.334/.419	.145	.297	14	18	14%	8%	115	+2.7	.266/.318/.393	.127	.304	11	14	16%	7%	101	+1.8	.262/.332/.433	.171	.289	17	8	15%	9%	115	+1.0
●Eric Byrnes 2005 · MLB	29	54→57	52→60	57→60	51	.270/.335/.454	.184	.301	18	15	17%	8%	124	+3.4	.261/.322/.440	.179	.286	19	19	16%	7%	115	+2.8	.261/.323/.441	.179	.281	19	28	15%	7%	112	+2.5
✕Lew Ford 2005 · MLB	28	58→60	49→50	56→50	58	.288/.370/.444	.156	.308	15	16	12%	10%	136	+4.2	.261/.337/.384	.123	.297	10	15	15%	8%	108	+2.3	.253/.314/.414	.161	.288	17	13	18%	7%	102	+0.8
●Felipe Lopez 2008 · MLB	28	54→64	45→55	54→55	54	.262/.332/.391	.128	.301	12	24	17%	9%	106	+2.2	.272/.341/.385	.113	.318	9	13	16%	9%	108	+2.3	.277/.349/.387	.110	.324	8	8	16%	10%	107	+2.1
✕Austin Slater 2021 · MLB	28	54→61	48→50	54→55	51	.257/.346/.410	.153	.344	15	16	28%	10%	118	+3.0	.252/.340/.417	.165	.332	19	20	27%	10%	118	+3.0	.257/.345/.411	.154	.344	18	21	28%	10%	113	+1.3
●Randy Arozarena 2023 · MLB	28	54→56	54→55	52→55	47	.269/.341/.461	.192	.339	21	24	26%	8%	130	+3.8	.248/.343/.423	.175	.311	20	21	25%	10%	121	+3.2	.235/.343/.407	.173	.295	20	22	26%	11%	114	+3.0
●Ronnier Mustelier 2013 · AAA	28	56→62	48→45	49→50	45	.278/.322/.424	.146	.316	15	12	17%	5%	111	+2.5	.269/.310/.393	.124	.305	13	12	16%	5%	98	+1.6	.290/.334/.396	.106	.314	9	7	11%	6%	106	+1.3
●Jason Kipnis 2015 · MLB	28	54→60	45→55	56→55	55	.260/.336/.388	.128	.309	11	24	19%	10%	108	+2.3	.263/.333/.410	.147	.314	13	15	19%	9%	112	+2.6	.258/.327/.418	.161	.303	15	11	19%	8%	105	+2.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)