Jeremy Peña — OGILVIE

Jeremy PeñaSS Houston Astros

Age 28 R/R 6'0" / 202 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION216 act + 358 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 130126vR 118

AVG/OBP/SLG.282 / .341 / .433

PA358

HR10

SB19

K%17

BB%6

BABIP318

ISO150

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

5210.7%

xwOBA

650.326

POWER45

Barrel%

356.2

Avg EV

4088.4

Bat Spd

5872.2

EYE35

Chase%

4333.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1228 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

274

954

—

wRC+

123

111

◀L

wOBA

347

330

◀L

ISO

161

142

◀L

BABIP

314

322

—

12.4%

18.3%

◀◀L

BB%

4.7%

4.8%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$4M	+1.6	$12M	+$9M
2027	Arb-3	$12M	+4.4	$33M	+$22M
Totals		$16M		$45M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A	3 teams	—	575	518	121	16	5	7	38	152	13	22	11	234	302	324	627	91	312	26	7	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	3 teams	—	575	502	141	26	8	8	53	125	13	22	11	281	364	412	776	131	355	22	9	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	129	121	37	2	2	3	7	23	1	7	0	306	349	430	779	124	358	18	5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	129	121	37	2	2	3	7	23	1	7	0	306	349	430	779	124	358	18	5	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	3 teams	—	294	273	68	8	4	17	10	93	10	13	3	249	300	495	795	245	311	32	3	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	INTL	3 teams	—	294	262	77	11	4	12	19	73	10	13	3	294	362	504	866	210	365	25	6	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	558	524	129	19	2	21	22	135	6	11	2	246	284	410	695	164	290	24	4	301	88	-7	+1	+8	+6	+16	2.4
2022	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	558	521	132	20	2	22	22	135	6	11	2	253	290	426	716	173	298	24	4	312	97	-2	+1	+8	+6	+16	3.0
2023	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	634	580	149	31	3	9	43	129	9	13	9	257	318	367	685	110	316	20	7	305	92	-6	-1	+5	+7	+18	2.4
2023	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	634	577	152	32	3	10	43	129	9	13	9	263	323	381	704	118	323	20	7	316	100	-0	-1	+5	+7	+18	3.0
2024	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	650	602	157	27	2	14	25	111	14	20	6	261	306	382	688	121	296	17	4	300	88	-9	+2	+1	+7	+18	2.0
2024	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	650	602	160	28	2	15	25	111	14	20	6	266	310	394	704	128	301	17	4	311	96	-3	+2	+1	+7	+18	2.6
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	543	493	147	29	2	16	35	93	12	20	2	298	359	462	822	164	339	17	6	357	131	+19	+3	+9	+6	+15	5.3
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	543	493	150	30	2	17	35	93	12	20	2	304	365	477	841	172	345	17	6	372	143	+26	+3	+9	+6	+15	6.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	HOU	—	216	195	56	9	0	6	15	35	4	8	1	287	350	426	776	138	321	16	7	341	119	+5	+1	-1	+2	+6	1.3
YTD	28	MLB	HOU	—	216	195	56	9	0	6	15	35	4	8	1	287	350	426	776	138	321	16	7	345	122	+5	+1	-1	+2	+6	1.4
ROS	28	MLB	HOU	100%	358	326	92	17	1	10	22	60	7	19	3	282	341	433	773	150	317	17	6	343	120	+8	+3	-0	+4	+10	2.5
ROS	28	MLB	HOU	100%	358	326	92	17	1	10	22	60	7	19	3	282	341	433	773	150	320	17	6	332	112	+5	+3	-0	+4	+10	2.2
FULL	28	MLB	HOU	—	574	521	148	26	1	16	37	95	11	27	4	284	344	430	774	146	319	17	6	335	115	+10	+4	-1	+6	+16	3.5
TOT	28	MLB	HOU	—	574	521	148	26	1	16	37	95	11	27	4	284	344	430	774	146	319	17	6	342	120	+13	+4	-1	+6	+16	3.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	HOU	100%	637	580	163	30	2	17	39	108	13	31	5	281	340	428	768	147	316	17	6	341	119	+13	+4	-2	+7	+18	4.2
2028	30	MLB	HOU	100%	624	568	159	29	2	17	39	107	12	27	4	280	339	428	767	148	315	17	6	338	117	+12	+4	-2	+7	+18	3.8
2029	31	MLB	HOU	100%	612	557	154	28	2	16	38	107	12	23	4	276	336	420	756	144	313	17	6	334	113	+9	+3	-3	+7	+17	3.4
2030	32	MLB	HOU	100%	600	546	148	26	2	15	37	107	12	19	3	271	331	408	740	137	309	18	6	328	109	+6	+3	-4	+6	+17	2.9
2031	33	MLB	HOU	100%	517	470	125	22	1	12	32	95	10	13	2	266	326	394	720	128	305	18	6	320	103	+2	+2	-4	+6	+15	2.0
2032	34	MLB	HOU	100%	439	402	103	17	1	10	26	83	8	8	1	256	314	378	692	122	299	19	6	310	96	-2	+1	-5	+5	+12	1.1
2033	35	MLB	HOU	100%	384	351	87	14	1	8	23	76	7	5	1	248	307	362	669	114	292	20	6	299	87	-6	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.4
2034	36	MLB	HOU	100%	324	296	71	11	1	6	19	67	6	2	0	240	299	345	644	105	285	21	6	287	78	-8	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.1
2035	37	MLB	HOU	100%	260	238	55	8	1	4	15	55	5	1	0	231	291	324	614	92	277	21	6	275	69	-9	+0	-7	+3	+7	-0.6
2027	29	MLB	HOU	100%	637	580	164	30	2	18	39	108	13	31	5	283	342	434	776	152	319	17	6	330	111	+8	+4	-2	+7	+18	3.6
2028	30	MLB	HOU	100%	624	568	160	29	2	17	39	107	12	27	4	282	341	430	770	148	318	17	6	327	109	+6	+4	-2	+7	+18	3.3
2029	31	MLB	HOU	100%	612	557	155	28	2	16	38	107	12	23	4	278	338	422	760	144	316	17	6	323	105	+4	+3	-3	+7	+17	2.8
2030	32	MLB	HOU	100%	600	546	150	27	2	15	37	107	12	19	3	275	334	414	748	139	312	18	6	317	101	+1	+3	-4	+6	+17	2.3
2031	33	MLB	HOU	100%	517	470	126	22	1	13	32	95	10	13	2	268	328	402	730	134	308	18	6	309	95	-3	+2	-4	+6	+15	1.5
2032	34	MLB	HOU	100%	439	402	103	17	1	10	26	83	8	8	1	256	314	378	692	122	301	19	6	300	88	-6	+1	-5	+5	+12	0.7
2033	35	MLB	HOU	100%	384	351	88	14	1	8	23	76	7	5	1	251	310	365	674	114	294	20	6	289	79	-9	+1	-6	+4	+11	0.1
2034	36	MLB	HOU	100%	324	296	72	11	1	6	19	67	6	2	0	243	302	348	650	105	287	21	6	277	70	-11	+0	-6	+3	+9	-0.4
2035	37	MLB	HOU	100%	260	238	56	8	1	5	15	55	5	1	0	235	295	340	635	105	279	21	6	265	61	-12	+0	-7	+3	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7140	6527	1760	313	23	182	415	1333	133	212	42	270	326	408	734	139	312	19	6	317	100	+3	+26	-16	+76	+202	29.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	160	28	2	17	38	121	12	19	4	269	326	409	735	140	312	19	6	317	100	+0	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	8138	7445	1965	334	34	202	470	1601	157	254	56	264	321	399	720	135	310	20	6	312	97	-26	+28	-16	+87	+231	31.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	157	27	3	16	38	128	13	20	4	264	323	400	723	136	310	20	6	312	97	-2	+2	-1	+7	+18	2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	185	167	53	13	3	2	12	33	5	3	4	317	380	467	848	150	383	18	6	375	145	+9	-1	—	—	+5	1.4
2019	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	289	242	71	8	4	5	35	57	6	17	6	293	394	421	816	128	357	20	12	363	136	+12	+1	—	—	+8	2.1
2019	21	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	101	93	17	5	1	1	6	35	2	2	1	183	248	290	538	108	281	35	6	246	46	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2020	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	129	121	37	2	2	3	7	23	1	7	0	306	349	430	779	124	358	18	5	347	124	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	23	AAA	Sugar Land Skeeters	—	133	122	35	4	2	10	6	35	5	5	1	287	346	598	944	311	325	26	5	408	170	+11	+1	—	—	+4	1.5
2021	23	ROK	FCL Astros	—	27	23	8	1	1	0	2	6	2	1	0	348	444	478	923	130	471	22	7	415	175	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2021	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	134	117	34	6	1	2	11	32	3	7	2	291	361	410	771	120	381	24	8	343	121	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2022	24	MLB	Houston Astros	—	558	521	132	20	2	22	22	135	6	11	2	253	290	426	716	173	298	24	4	312	97	-2	+1	+8	+6	+16	3.0
2023	25	MLB	Houston Astros	—	634	577	152	32	3	10	43	129	9	13	9	263	323	381	704	118	323	20	7	316	100	-0	-1	+5	+7	+18	3.0
2024	26	MLB	Houston Astros	—	650	602	160	28	2	15	25	111	14	20	6	266	310	394	704	128	301	17	4	311	96	-3	+2	+1	+7	+18	2.6
2025	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	543	493	150	30	2	17	35	93	12	20	2	304	365	477	841	172	345	17	6	372	143	+26	+3	+9	+6	+15	6.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2385	2193	594	110	9	64	125	468	41	64	19	271	321	417	738	146	316	20	5	326	108	+21	+5	+23	+26	+68	14.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	13	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.5	36.8
	/162	664	18	18	276	320	422	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
#2Orlando Cabreralast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 7,543 PA	12	7,543	112	207	273	318	388	+48	+79	34.1	32.1
	/162	664	10	18	273	318	388	+4.2	+7.0	3.0	pk7: 30
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	7,572	190	237	269	322	406	+71	+93	35.5	30.5
	/162	664	17	21	269	322	406	+6.2	+8.2	3.1	pk7: 26
#3Jean Seguralast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,937 PA	12	5,937	110	211	281	327	401	+48	+53	31.6	30.4
	/162	664	12	24	281	327	401	+5.4	+5.9	3.5	pk7: 29
#4Starlin Castrolast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,579 PA	12	6,579	138	89	280	319	412	+50	+63	33.0	29.4
	/162	664	14	9	280	319	412	+5.1	+6.3	3.3	pk7: 26
#5Alexei Ramirezlast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 5,505 PA	9	5,505	115	143	270	307	392	+55	+70	25.4	25.0
	/162	664	14	17	270	307	392	+6.7	+8.5	3.1	pk7: 25
#6Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeremy Peña (OGILVIE)	28	55	45	60	35	284/344/430	146	319	16	27	17%	6%	120	+3.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Núñez 2017 · MLB	30	56→61	49→50	58→60	46	282/322/431	150	309	16	32	15%	5%	113	+2.6	271/303/404	133	296	14	22	13%	4%	98	+1.6	263/290/383	120	286	12	18	13%	3%	85	+0.4
●Jean Segura 2018 · MLB	28	60→63	47→50	54→60	47	297/342/439	142	332	13	24	15%	6%	124	+3.4	289/335/423	134	319	12	15	13%	6%	116	+2.8	285/333/414	129	313	12	13	13%	6%	109	+1.9
✕Cedric Mullins 2023 · MLB	28	52→54	51→55	56→60	50	260/324/425	165	297	18	27	19%	8%	112	+2.6	231/302/393	162	268	18	27	21%	9%	95	+1.4	217/294/381	164	251	19	30	22%	9%	87	+0.7
●Whit Merrifield 2018 · MLB	29	55→64	47→55	57→60	45	271/309/418	148	306	14	26	17%	5%	104	+2.0	299/350/458	159	343	14	26	16%	7%	131	+3.9	305/360/462	156	350	14	27	16%	7%	132	+3.8
●Shane Victorino 2009 · MLB	28	58→60	47→55	60	52	283/343/431	147	303	13	30	12%	7%	121	+3.2	276/342/441	165	296	13	25	11%	8%	124	+3.4	273/343/446	173	290	14	24	11%	9%	121	+3.5
●Josh Harrison 2015 · MLB	28	59→64	48→55	55	44	289/326/452	163	325	13	20	16%	4%	120	+3.1	281/322/410	129	323	10	17	16%	4%	107	+2.2	276/323/397	121	317	9	16	16%	4%	102	+1.6
✕Tommy Edman 2023 · MLB	28	54→57	45→50	58→55	49	262/316/395	133	298	12	25	16%	7%	101	+1.8	248/306/397	149	279	16	22	17%	7%	98	+1.6	238/297/390	153	262	18	20	17%	7%	90	+0.7
●Brandon Phillips 2009 · MLB	28	53→59	54→55	55	48	271/320/451	180	289	22	23	16%	6%	118	+3.0	272/326/435	163	290	18	18	13%	7%	116	+2.8	275/332/429	154	293	16	16	12%	7%	113	+2.9
✕Jon Berti 2020 · MLB	30	54→63	46→45	60	48	261/330/398	137	325	13	32	23%	8%	108	+2.3	247/336/366	119	318	11	30	23%	11%	102	+1.9	270/339/373	102	338	9	39	21%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Elvis Andrus 2018 · MLB	29	58→61	47→50	53→60	50	284/333/432	148	311	13	22	14%	7%	118	+3.0	263/310/391	128	296	12	19	15%	6%	98	+1.6	247/300/359	112	282	10	17	16%	6%	82	+0.4
✕Jonathan Villar 2020 · MLB	29	52→60	49→50	59→65	47	259/322/410	151	329	17	32	26%	8%	108	+2.3	247/312/390	143	317	16	26	26%	8%	98	+1.6	236/299/369	133	306	15	25	26%	8%	84	+0.4
●Rafael Furcal 2006 · MLB	28	57→63	46→50	62→60	56	279/343/422	143	299	12	30	11%	9%	118	+3.0	285/351/416	131	314	11	27	12%	9%	121	+3.2	290/360/416	126	320	10	27	12%	10%	120	+2.7
✕Hernán Pérez 2018 · MLB	27	52→55	49→55	56→55	42	260/292/410	149	299	17	24	20%	4%	95	+1.4	247/287/401	154	295	19	18	23%	5%	91	+1.1	245/285/391	146	299	18	18	24%	5%	84	+0.3
●Ryan Freel 2004 · MLB	28	52→59	49→45	52→65	52	261/325/408	148	270	16	23	11%	7%	109	+2.4	268/358/375	107	314	7	36	15%	11%	114	+2.7	269/365/372	104	320	6	42	16%	11%	114	+2.3
●José Reyes 2011 · MLB	28	57→67	47→55	62→65	52	280/330/431	150	299	12	31	11%	7%	115	+2.8	301/353/449	148	319	10	31	9%	8%	129	+3.7	307/363/453	146	324	10	33	8%	8%	126	+3.4
●Alejandro De Aza 2012 · MLB	28	57→61	44→50	56→55	47	274/326/404	131	328	9	25	19%	7%	108	+2.3	265/325/398	133	323	11	22	20%	7%	105	+2.1	258/323/389	131	317	11	21	21%	8%	98	+1.6
●Ian Desmond 2014 · MLB	28	55→61	52→60	52→55	45	276/324/450	174	327	19	20	22%	6%	119	+3.1	259/313/426	167	329	20	18	26%	7%	108	+2.3	255/311/415	160	326	20	18	27%	7%	102	+2.1
✕Greg Allen 2022 · MLB	29	54→57	43→45	62→65	46	256/344/377	121	325	9	34	23%	7%	109	+2.4	231/322/352	121	305	10	37	26%	7%	94	+1.3	218/308/337	119	293	9	40	27%	7%	82	+0.2
✕Sam Haggerty 2023 · MLB	29	50→44	48→50	62→65	46	245/314/399	154	314	14	32	26%	8%	102	+1.8	250/325/382	132	316	11	35	22%	9%	102	+1.8	241/319/357	115	310	7	40	23%	9%	90	+0.4
●Starling Marte 2017 · MLB	28	61→66	48→60	59→60	43	298/350/452	154	357	14	37	20%	5%	131	+3.9	287/339/447	160	332	17	33	18%	5%	124	+3.4	301/361/478	177	343	19	36	17%	6%	139	+3.3