Dominic Canzone — OGILVIE

Dominic CanzoneRF Seattle Mariners

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs MLB K +7%HR -5% Svc 2.081 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION474 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 106124vR 130

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO202

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$13M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

897.0%

xAVG

650.263

POWER60

Barrel%

8012.7

Avg EV

8191.3

Bat Spd

7674.1

EYE35

Chase%

9019.7%

SPEED45

Sprint

2726.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼25% over 117 PA (30d) · proj 23%

BB%8%·8% over 173 PA (45d) · proj 8%

ISO.190▼.180 over 200 AB (60d) · proj .203xISO .214 vs .235 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB5.4%▼4.7% over 150 BBE (60d) · proj 6.4%barrel% 12.3% vs 13.0% prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

BABIP.297·.301 over 143 BIP (60d) · proj .297xBABIP .317 vs .333 prior

SLASH.249/.313/.439▼proj .258/.320/.460

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 503 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

435

—

wRC+

106

123

▶R

wOBA

325

350

▶R

ISO

069

218

▶▶R

BABIP

349

304

◀L

22.1%

23.2%

◀L

BB%

11.8%

6.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.6M
2027	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$10M	+$7M
2028	Arb-2	$5M	+1.1	$8M	+$4M
2029	Arb-3	$6M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$20M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	146	130	46	8	1	7	15	28	1	1	1	354	425	592	1.017	238	411	19	10	444	187	+15	-0	—	—	+3	1.8
2021	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	193	171	45	8	3	7	17	43	3	18	3	263	340	468	808	205	309	22	9	353	125	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.3
2021	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	78	69	22	4	0	3	8	17	1	1	0	319	397	507	905	188	388	22	10	401	157	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	364	331	94	18	1	16	28	74	5	14	2	284	349	489	838	205	324	20	8	370	136	+16	+2	—	—	+8	2.6
2022	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	63	55	22	7	0	6	8	6	0	1	0	400	476	855	1.331	455	372	10	13	559	264	+12	+0	—	—	+1	1.4
2023	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	182	173	38	13	0	6	8	32	1	1	0	220	258	399	657	179	237	18	4	290	82	-4	+0	-2	-5	+4	-0.7
2023	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	304	257	91	18	3	16	39	40	1	2	3	354	441	634	1.075	280	361	13	13	454	193	+34	-1	—	—	+7	4.0
2024	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	188	168	33	7	0	8	18	53	0	1	0	196	274	381	655	185	229	28	10	290	82	-4	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.5
2024	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	130	115	33	5	0	7	12	24	1	2	0	287	359	513	872	226	302	18	9	378	142	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	269	243	73	11	0	11	20	59	3	3	1	300	360	481	841	181	354	22	7	369	136	+12	+0	-4	-5	+6	0.9
2025	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	197	179	53	9	0	13	18	42	0	3	2	296	360	564	925	268	323	21	9	402	158	+14	-0	—	—	+4	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	639	584	144	31	0	25	46	144	4	5	1	247	306	428	734	182	284	23	7	323	105	+4	+1	-7	-14	+14	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	146	135	39	7	1	4	10	36	1	1	1	289	342	444	787	156	367	25	7	340	116	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2021	23	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	193	176	35	5	2	6	12	60	3	18	3	199	262	352	614	153	252	31	6	261	63	-9	+2	—	—	+4	-0.2
2022	24	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	364	339	79	15	1	12	20	95	5	14	2	233	286	389	675	156	287	26	5	291	83	-7	+2	—	—	+8	0.3
2022	24	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	63	58	18	6	0	4	5	7	0	1	0	310	365	621	986	310	314	11	8	440	184	+6	+0	—	—	+1	0.8
2023	25	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	182	173	38	13	0	6	8	32	1	1	0	220	258	399	657	179	237	18	4	290	83	-4	+0	-2	-5	+4	-0.7
2023	25	AAA MLE	Reno Aces	—	304	271	80	15	2	13	25	54	1	2	3	295	357	509	866	214	305	18	8	367	135	+12	-1	—	—	+7	1.9
2024	26	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	188	168	33	7	0	8	18	53	0	1	0	196	274	381	655	185	229	28	10	283	78	-5	+0	-1	-3	+4	-0.6
2024	26	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	130	119	28	4	0	5	8	31	1	2	0	235	289	395	684	160	259	24	6	291	83	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2025	27	MLB MLE	Seattle Mariners	—	269	244	73	11	0	11	20	59	3	3	1	299	360	480	839	180	354	22	7	369	136	+12	+0	-4	-5	+6	0.9
2025	27	AAA MLE	Tacoma Rainiers	—	197	186	43	7	0	8	11	52	0	3	2	231	274	398	672	167	280	26	6	296	86	-3	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	417	383	91	14	4	12	27	118	5	20	4	238	296	389	685	151	310	28	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	417	370	113	20	4	17	40	88	5	20	4	305	381	519	900	214	360	21	10	394	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	427	398	99	21	1	17	24	102	5	15	2	249	300	435	734	186	294	24	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	427	386	116	25	1	22	36	80	5	15	2	301	368	541	909	241	331	19	8	398	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	444	118	28	2	19	33	86	2	3	3	266	319	466	786	200	286	18	7	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	486	430	129	31	3	22	47	72	2	3	3	300	372	540	911	240	312	15	10	392	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	318	287	61	11	0	13	26	84	1	3	0	213	280	387	667	174	247	26	8	286	80	-8	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.5
2024	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	318	283	66	12	0	15	30	77	1	3	0	233	309	435	744	201	262	24	9	326	80	-8	+1	-1	-3	+7	-0.5
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	466	430	117	19	0	19	31	111	3	6	3	272	325	449	774	177	325	24	7	338	115	+8	+0	-4	-5	+10	1.0
2025	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	466	422	126	20	0	24	38	101	3	6	3	299	360	517	877	218	341	22	8	383	115	+8	+0	-4	-5	+10	1.0
2021	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	417	382	91	14	4	12	27	118	5	20	4	238	296	390	686	152	302	28	6	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	427	395	99	21	1	17	24	102	5	15	2	251	300	438	738	187	291	24	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	448	118	28	2	19	33	86	2	3	3	263	319	462	781	199	280	18	7	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	318	288	61	11	0	13	26	84	1	3	0	212	280	385	666	174	241	26	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	466	429	117	19	0	19	31	111	3	6	3	273	325	450	775	177	323	24	7	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	486	448	118	28	2	19	33	86	2	3	3	263	319	462	781	199	280	18	7	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	318	288	61	11	0	13	26	84	1	3	0	212	280	385	666	174	241	26	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	466	429	117	19	0	19	31	111	3	6	3	273	325	450	775	177	323	24	7	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	SEA	—	474	427	111	24	3	23	40	103	5	2	1	260	331	492	822	232	290	22	8	352	125	+14	+0	-0	-5	+10	1.9
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	SEA	—	474	427	110	24	3	22	40	103	5	2	1	258	328	482	811	225	289	22	8	355	125	+14	+0	-0	-5	+10	1.9
YTD	28	MLB RAW	SEA	—	474	427	110	24	3	22	40	103	5	2	1	258	328	482	811	225	289	22	8	355	126	+15	+0	-0	-5	+10	2.0
ROS	28	MLB MLE	SEA	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		293	22	11	351	124	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	SEA	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	22	11	340	124	+0	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	SEA	—	483	435	111	24	3	22	41	105	5	2	1	255	326	476	802	221	287	22	8	355	125	+14	+0	-0	-5	+10	2.0
TOT	28	MLB MLE	SEA	—	483	435	112	24	3	23	41	105	5	2	1	257	328	485	814	228	288	22	8	352	125	+14	+0	-0	-5	+10	2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	428	386	99	21	2	19	35	96	4	3	1	256	325	469	794	212	293	22	8	348	122	+11	+0	-3	-5	+9	1.4
2028	30	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	419	378	97	20	2	19	34	95	4	2	1	257	325	471	795	214	291	23	8	345	120	+10	+0	-3	-4	+9	1.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	404	364	92	19	2	18	33	93	4	2	1	253	322	464	786	212	287	23	8	340	116	+8	+0	-4	-4	+9	0.9
2030	32	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	385	348	84	17	1	16	31	90	3	2	1	241	309	434	743	193	282	23	8	333	112	+5	+0	-5	-4	+8	0.5
2031	33	MLB MLE	SEA	98%	355	320	76	15	1	15	29	85	3	1	0	237	307	431	738	194	276	24	8	325	106	+2	+0	-5	-4	+8	0.1
2032	34	MLB MLE	SEA	94%	311	281	64	12	1	12	25	77	2	1	0	228	295	406	701	178	268	25	8	314	98	-1	+0	-6	-3	+7	-0.3
2027	29	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	419	378	96	20	2	18	34	94	4	3	1	254	322	460	782	206	289	22	8	338	122	+11	+0	-3	-4	+9	1.3
2028	30	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	411	370	94	19	2	18	34	94	4	2	1	254	324	462	786	208	288	23	8	334	120	+10	+0	-3	-4	+9	1.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	396	357	89	18	2	17	33	91	3	2	1	249	318	454	772	204	284	23	8	330	116	+8	+0	-4	-4	+9	0.8
2030	32	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	377	340	83	17	1	16	31	89	3	1	1	244	313	441	754	197	280	24	8	323	112	+5	-0	-4	-4	+8	0.5
2031	33	MLB CTX	SEA	98%	348	314	73	14	1	14	28	84	3	1	0	232	301	417	719	185	273	24	8	315	106	+2	+0	-5	-4	+8	0.1
2032	34	MLB CTX	SEA	94%	291	264	59	11	1	11	23	72	2	1	0	223	291	398	688	174	265	25	8	304	98	-1	+0	-5	-3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2890	2615	639	130	9	119	230	670	23	15	5	244	311	437	748	193	282	23	8	325	107	+39	+1	-32	-38	+63	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	144	29	2	27	52	151	5	3	1	245	311	439	750	194	283	23	8	325	107	+9	+0	-7	-8	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4425	4027	999	197	16	179	329	1039	36	58	16	248	311	438	749	190	289	23	7	327	107	+40	+1	-33	-38	+64	3.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	146	29	2	26	48	153	5	9	2	247	309	434	743	187	288	24	7	327	107	+9	+0	-7	-8	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	6.5	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
/162	664	21	9	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	5.9	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.9	12.8
/162	664	25	3	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	5.8	3,863	166	21	251	314	454	-41	-31	12.5	12.1
/162	664	29	4	-7.1	-5.3	2.1	pk7: 12
#3Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	6.5	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.8
/162	664	24	17	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#4Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	4.7	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Jay Gibbonslast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,177 PA	4.8	3,177	127	2	260	315	453	-30	-30	7.7	8.1
/162	664	27	0	-6.3	-6.3	1.6	pk7: 9
#6Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	3.1	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
/162	664	35	2	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Canzone (OGILVIE)	28	55	60	45	35	257/324/473	216	293	23	3	22%	8%	124	+2.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eddie Rosario 2020 · MLB	28	53→56	59→60	45→50	45	279/311/486	208	291	28	6	16%	5%	122	+2.9	252/297/438	186	269	24	9	17%	6%	105	+1.7	239/289/406	166	276	20	8	21%	6%	92	+0.5
●Corey Dickerson 2017 · MLB	28	49→59	58→65	39→50	44	259/305/475	215	302	25	3	24%	6%	116	+2.5	278/319/481	203	325	22	5	21%	5%	122	+3.0	287/326/489	202	332	22	5	20%	5%	121	+2.3
✕Jake Fox 2010 · MLB	28	49→54	59→60	47→45	44	260/319/476	216	292	27	6	22%	6%	122	+2.9	232/289/403	171	268	20	3	21%	5%	94	+0.9	223/280/385	162	250	20	0	20%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Matt Adams 2018 · MLB	29	48→57	61→65	43→40	46	260/313/484	224	297	29	3	24%	7%	122	+2.9	245/302/480	235	285	34	3	27%	7%	117	+2.6	215/267/410	195	261	30	0	31%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Bryan LaHair 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	60→65	43→40	43	256/306/474	219	308	29	3	27%	7%	117	+2.6	243/305/421	178	320	22	6	30%	8%	103	+1.6	218/287/349	131	296	15	3	30%	9%	76	-0.3
●Colby Rasmus 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	58→65	47→50	44	240/302/444	204	304	26	5	30%	8%	108	+1.9	232/302/438	206	300	28	5	31%	9%	107	+1.8	225/299/434	209	285	29	4	31%	9%	102	+0.9
●Adam Lind 2011 · MLB	28	51→60	57→60	45→40	48	266/320/470	204	299	24	2	20%	7%	120	+2.8	262/318/450	188	295	25	2	20%	7%	115	+2.4	288/362/471	183	329	20	0	18%	10%	127	+2.6
✕Mike Jacobs 2009 · MLB	28	47→53	61→65	45→40	47	255/310/484	228	283	29	3	22%	7%	120	+2.8	231/290/412	181	276	23	3	25%	8%	96	+1.0	220/281/379	160	269	21	1	26%	8%	84	+0.1
●Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	52→61	57→60	40→45	45	273/318/472	199	307	25	5	20%	6%	120	+2.8	273/322/436	163	310	18	5	18%	6%	113	+2.3	272/322/431	159	308	18	5	18%	6%	109	+1.8
●Jared Walsh 2021 · MLB	28	44→54	61→60	46→30	44	239/307/466	227	300	30	3	31%	8%	115	+2.4	240/304/434	194	309	25	3	29%	8%	106	+1.8	223/293/402	179	295	23	2	31%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Austin Meadows 2022 · MLB	27	45→55	60→65	45→55	53	243/324/468	225	272	27	7	22%	10%	121	+2.9	235/312/386	151	267	16	6	18%	9%	98	+1.2	225/316/299	74	262	2	0	14%	10%	78	-0.1
●Jay Bruce 2014 · MLB	27	48→54	58→65	46→50	50	252/324/466	214	301	26	7	25%	10%	121	+2.9	233/299/427	194	277	23	9	25%	9%	103	+1.5	241/309/475	234	265	30	5	22%	9%	112	+2.3
●Jason Kubel 2010 · MLB	28	55→57	58→60	45→40	54	283/350/495	212	310	25	3	18%	9%	137	+4.0	263/332/457	194	305	23	2	21%	9%	122	+2.9	252/325/447	195	295	24	1	23%	9%	111	+1.9
●Geoff Jenkins 2003 · MLB	29	51→58	59→65	46→45	47	264/334/483	219	313	27	7	24%	8%	128	+3.4	276/349/494	218	324	26	3	22%	9%	137	+4.0	280/357/501	221	329	26	1	22%	9%	132	+3.8
✕Chris Duncan 2008 · MLB	27	48→50	59→60	41→40	51	254/332/462	208	312	27	3	27%	10%	123	+3.0	227/311/368	141	284	16	4	24%	11%	94	+0.9	201/285/302	101	253	10	3	24%	10%	66	-0.6
●Justin Bour 2016 · MLB	28	50→56	55→65	44→40	47	261/313/444	183	293	24	3	20%	7%	112	+2.2	265/343/472	207	299	28	3	21%	11%	129	+3.4	257/352/466	209	290	29	1	22%	12%	121	+2.0
✕Micah Hoffpauir 2009 · MLB	29	50→47	59→60	47→40	44	264/305/480	216	289	26	5	20%	5%	118	+2.6	238/291/426	188	264	22	5	19%	7%	100	+1.3	219/280/397	178	239	22	2	19%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Daryle Ward 2002 · MLB	27	48→56	61→60	47→30	47	259/312/481	223	283	30	3	21%	7%	120	+2.8	255/306/412	157	285	18	3	17%	7%	101	+1.4	259/324/444	185	273	22	0	14%	8%	107	+0.9
✕Stephen Piscotty 2019 · MLB	28	51→54	57→60	41→45	51	263/337/468	205	295	24	5	20%	9%	126	+3.2	250/310/426	176	297	22	6	23%	7%	107	+1.8	240/297/395	155	291	20	5	24%	7%	93	+0.3
●Cody Ross 2008 · MLB	27	48→56	59→65	45	49	256/326/474	217	298	27	5	24%	8%	124	+3.1	267/324/473	206	310	24	7	22%	7%	123	+3.0	267/322/458	191	312	22	7	21%	6%	115	+2.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps