Dominic Canzone — OGILVIE

Dominic CanzoneRF Seattle Mariners

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs MLB HR +3% Svc 2.081 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.3 · 2026

wRC+†vL 110123vR 125

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .319 / .455

PA389

HR17

SB5

K%23

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

47↘35

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2027	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$9M	+$7M
2028	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.6M
2029	Arb-3	$3M	+0.6	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$9M		$26M	+$17M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	3 teams	417	382	88	13	4	13	28	122	5	20	4	.230	.292	.387	.679	.157	.301	29	7	.292	81	-9	+2	+0	-4	+12	0.1
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	427	398	98	20	1	18	24	103	5	15	2	.246	.297	.437	.735	.191	.289	24	6	.316	100	-0	+2	+0	-5	+12	1.0
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	486	444	119	28	2	19	33	86	2	3	3	.268	.322	.468	.790	.200	.289	18	7	.339	117	+10	-1	-2	-5	+14	1.6
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	318	287	61	11	0	13	26	84	1	3	0	.213	.280	.387	.667	.174	.247	26	8	.284	76	-9	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	466	430	117	18	0	19	31	111	3	6	3	.272	.325	.447	.772	.174	.325	24	7	.336	115	+8	+0	-4	-5	+13	1.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	MLB	Seattle Mariners	60	54	14	6	0	3	4	12	1	1	1	.259	.322	.537	.859	.278	.275	20	7	.363	136	+2	-0	-0	-1	+2	0.3
ROS	28	MLB	SEA	329	300	78	17	0	15	24	76	2	4	2	.260	.319	.467	.786	.207	.298	23	7	.343	121	+8	+0	-4	-4	+9	1.0
TOT	28	MLB	SEA	389	354	92	23	0	18	28	88	3	5	3	.260	.319	.477	.797	.218	.295	23	7	.346	123	+10	-0	-4	-4	+11	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB	SEA	430	392	102	22	1	19	32	89	3	4	2	.260	.321	.467	.788	.207	.286	21	7	.341	119	+9	+0	-6	-5	+12	1.1
2028	30	MLB	SEA	421	384	97	21	0	18	31	89	3	3	1	.253	.313	.448	.761	.195	.285	21	7	.338	117	+8	+0	-7	-5	+12	0.9
2029	31	MLB	SEA	406	370	93	20	0	17	30	87	3	1	1	.251	.313	.443	.756	.192	.283	21	7	.334	114	+6	-0	-7	-4	+12	0.6
2030	32	MLB	SEA	387	353	88	19	0	16	29	85	2	0	0	.249	.310	.439	.749	.190	.282	22	7	.329	110	+4	+0	-8	-4	+11	0.4
2031	33	MLB	SEA	357	326	79	17	0	14	26	81	2	0	0	.242	.302	.423	.726	.181	.280	23	7	.323	106	+2	+0	-8	-4	+10	0.1
2032	34	MLB	SEA	313	285	68	14	0	12	23	74	2	0	0	.239	.300	.414	.714	.175	.278	24	7	.316	100	+0	+0	-8	-3	+9	-0.3
2033	35	MLB	SEA	260	238	56	12	0	10	19	64	1	0	0	.235	.295	.412	.706	.176	.275	25	7	.308	94	-2	+0	-8	-3	+7	-0.6
2034	36	MLB	SEA	203	186	42	9	0	7	14	52	1	0	0	.226	.284	.387	.671	.161	.272	26	7	.298	86	-3	+0	-9	-2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5220	4775	1186	241	8	210	370	1203	35	59	18	.248	.307	.434	.741	.186	.288	23	7	.323	106	+33	+5	-72	-56	+148	5.9
/ 162G	—			650	595	148	30	1	26	46	150	4	7	2	.249	.307	.434	.741	.185	.288	23	7	.323	106	+4	+1	-9	-7	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	146	130	46	8	1	7	15	28	1	1	1	.354	.425	.592	1.017	.238	.411	19	10	.444	198	+16	-0	—	—	+4	2.0
2021	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	193	171	45	8	3	7	17	43	3	18	3	.263	.340	.468	.808	.205	.309	22	9	.353	129	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2021	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	78	69	22	4	0	3	8	17	1	1	0	.319	.397	.507	.905	.188	.388	22	10	.401	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Reno Aces	364	331	94	18	1	16	28	74	5	14	2	.284	.349	.489	.838	.205	.324	20	8	.370	141	+17	+2	—	—	+10	3.0
2022	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	63	55	22	7	0	6	8	6	0	1	0	.400	.476	.855	1.331	.455	.372	10	13	.559	286	+13	+0	—	—	+2	1.6
2023	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	182	173	38	13	0	6	8	32	1	1	0	.220	.258	.399	.657	.179	.237	18	4	.290	80	-4	+0	-2	-5	+5	-0.6
2023	25	AAA	Reno Aces	304	257	91	18	3	16	39	40	1	2	3	.354	.441	.634	1.075	.280	.361	13	13	.454	206	+36	-1	—	—	+9	4.5
2024	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	188	168	33	7	0	8	18	53	0	1	0	.196	.274	.381	.655	.185	.229	28	10	.290	80	-4	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.4
2024	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	130	115	33	5	0	7	12	24	1	2	0	.287	.359	.513	.872	.226	.302	18	9	.378	147	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	269	243	73	11	0	11	20	59	3	3	1	.300	.360	.481	.841	.181	.354	22	7	.369	141	+12	+0	-4	-5	+8	1.2
2025	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	197	179	53	9	0	13	18	42	0	3	2	.296	.360	.564	.925	.268	.323	21	9	.402	166	+15	-0	—	—	+6	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			639	584	144	31	0	25	46	144	4	5	1	.247	.306	.428	.734	.182	.284	23	7	.323	105	+4	+1	-7	-14	+18	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Canzone (OGILVIE)	28	55	60	45	35	.258/.318/.461	.203	.287	17	5	20%	7%	121	+2.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Corey Dickerson 2017 · MLB	28	52→60	58→65	40→50	44	.269/.315/.483	.215	.315	25	4	23%	6%	124	+3.4	.277/.318/.477	.200	.326	22	5	22%	5%	124	+3.4	.284/.323/.479	.195	.329	21	5	20%	5%	120	+2.5
✕Mike Jacobs 2009 · MLB	28	48→54	60→65	45→40	48	.256/.312/.480	.224	.286	28	3	22%	7%	123	+3.3	.232/.291/.416	.184	.277	24	2	25%	8%	97	+1.5	.218/.279/.376	.158	.268	20	1	26%	8%	80	+0.3
●Jake Fox 2010 · MLB	28	48→54	60→65	47→45	43	.259/.314/.481	.223	.292	28	6	23%	5%	124	+3.4	.237/.294/.421	.184	.272	22	4	22%	5%	100	+1.7	.230/.287/.412	.182	.254	23	0	20%	5%	93	+0.8
✕Matt Adams 2018 · MLB	29	48→57	60→65	44→40	46	.258/.311/.479	.220	.296	29	3	24%	7%	122	+3.3	.244/.302/.473	.229	.284	33	3	27%	7%	117	+2.9	.214/.267/.407	.193	.260	29	0	31%	6%	81	+0.3
●Jason Kubel 2010 · MLB	28	54→57	57→60	46→40	54	.280/.347/.488	.208	.308	24	3	18%	9%	138	+4.4	.264/.334/.464	.200	.303	25	2	21%	9%	127	+3.6	.252/.325/.448	.197	.294	25	1	23%	9%	110	+2.1
✕Eddie Rosario 2020 · MLB	28	52→55	58→60	44→50	45	.277/.311/.477	.200	.292	27	7	17%	5%	121	+3.2	.253/.297/.441	.188	.268	25	9	17%	6%	106	+2.2	.233/.283/.395	.161	.268	20	8	21%	6%	84	+0.5
✕Jared Walsh 2022 · MLB	29	49→52	61→60	45→30	46	.257/.324/.483	.226	.313	29	3	27%	8%	128	+3.7	.214/.282/.380	.166	.290	21	4	32%	8%	84	+0.6	.175/.250/.311	.136	.252	18	2	37%	8%	49	-1.0
●Justin Bour 2017 · MLB	29	51→55	56→60	46→40	51	.266/.327/.453	.187	.293	25	3	19%	8%	121	+3.2	.255/.341/.463	.208	.294	28	3	23%	11%	130	+3.8	.240/.337/.448	.208	.280	29	2	25%	12%	115	+2.0
✕Rowdy Tellez 2022 · MLB	27	47→50	58→60	42→45	48	.252/.318/.459	.208	.287	27	3	23%	8%	120	+3.1	.225/.300/.415	.190	.248	26	3	21%	9%	101	+1.8	.222/.284/.391	.169	.257	24	1	24%	8%	84	+0.4
●Craig Monroe 2005 · MLB	28	50→57	57→60	41→45	47	.264/.311/.461	.196	.285	25	6	18%	6%	117	+2.9	.262/.310/.448	.186	.292	22	5	19%	6%	113	+2.6	.250/.300/.432	.182	.282	22	4	20%	6%	101	+1.6
✕Micah Hoffpauir 2009 · MLB	29	49→46	58→60	46→40	44	.259/.301/.470	.211	.284	26	5	20%	5%	115	+2.8	.240/.291/.433	.193	.264	23	5	19%	6%	102	+1.8	.220/.280/.402	.182	.239	22	2	19%	7%	87	+0.6
●Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	52→62	57→60	40→45	45	.272/.318/.471	.199	.308	25	5	21%	6%	123	+3.3	.276/.324/.435	.159	.316	17	5	18%	6%	115	+2.8	.273/.322/.426	.154	.310	17	5	18%	6%	109	+2.1
✕Scott Schebler 2019 · MLB	28	46→52	55→60	44→50	47	.244/.314/.431	.187	.282	23	6	23%	7%	111	+2.5	.204/.274/.342	.138	.264	17	5	29%	7%	71	-0.3	.164/.226/.272	.108	.237	13	4	36%	5%	30	-1.5
●Nick Castellanos 2020 · MLB	28	55→60	57→65	42→45	46	.280/.332/.496	.216	.326	23	3	22%	7%	134	+4.1	.267/.322/.480	.213	.313	26	4	23%	7%	127	+3.6	.268/.316/.454	.186	.323	23	7	24%	6%	114	+2.7
●Jay Bruce 2015 · MLB	28	46→55	55→65	48→50	49	.241/.310/.434	.193	.294	23	10	26%	9%	109	+2.4	.240/.305/.452	.212	.277	26	7	23%	8%	112	+2.6	.243/.311/.484	.240	.266	31	5	22%	9%	115	+2.8
✕Austin Meadows 2022 · MLB	27	47→56	61→65	45→55	52	.251/.329/.480	.229	.281	28	8	22%	10%	129	+3.7	.233/.312/.389	.156	.265	17	6	18%	9%	98	+1.6	.221/.313/.301	.080	.257	3	0	14%	10%	76	+0.0
●Adam Lind 2012 · MLB	29	48→58	56→60	42→40	47	.255/.310/.448	.193	.283	25	2	20%	7%	113	+2.6	.269/.327/.447	.178	.307	22	2	20%	8%	120	+3.1	.286/.360/.473	.187	.323	21	0	18%	10%	129	+3.0
●Ben Broussard 2005 · MLB	28	51→56	55→60	48→45	53	.260/.338/.455	.195	.292	21	6	19%	9%	126	+3.5	.267/.326/.461	.194	.306	22	5	20%	7%	123	+3.3	.270/.321/.455	.185	.309	23	3	20%	6%	113	+1.8
✕John Rodriguez 2006 · MLB	28	48→47	56→55	52→40	45	.249/.317/.443	.194	.301	25	10	26%	7%	115	+2.8	.247/.321/.412	.165	.311	18	6	25%	8%	108	+2.3	.239/.321/.389	.150	.307	15	1	25%	9%	99	+0.7
●Mitch Moreland 2014 · MLB	28	47→57	55→60	42→40	49	.247/.309/.431	.184	.277	23	3	21%	8%	108	+2.3	.246/.307/.426	.180	.287	22	3	22%	7%	106	+2.2	.239/.321/.446	.208	.268	26	1	22%	10%	113	+2.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)