Dominic Canzone
RF Seattle Mariners| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAASEA | 130 | .287/.359/.513 | 7 | 2 | 85 | — | .235/.289/.370 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBSEA | 188 | .196/.274/.381 | 8 | 1 | 80 | -0.5 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAASEA | 197 | .296/.360/.564 | 13 | 3 | 87 | — | .242/.284/.414 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBSEA | 269 | .300/.360/.481 | 11 | 3 | 139 | 1.0 | |
| 2026 | 28 | MLBSEA | 533 | .264/.338/.484 | 23 | 2 | 131 | 2.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 29 | MLBSEA | 452 | .264/.332/.470 | 19 | 4 | 126 | 1.9 | |
| 2028PROJ98% MLB | 30 | MLBSEA | 429 | .260/.328/.461 | 18 | 2 | 123 | 1.4 | |
| 2029PROJ98% MLB | 31 | MLBSEA | 411 | .255/.322/.449 | 17 | 2 | 118 | 1.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 146 | 130 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 354 | 425 | 592 | 1.017 | 238 | 411 | 19 | 10 | 444 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 193 | 171 | 45 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 43 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 263 | 340 | 468 | 808 | 205 | 309 | 22 | 9 | 353 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 78 | 69 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 397 | 507 | 905 | 188 | 388 | 22 | 10 | 401 | 157 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 364 | 331 | 94 | 18 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 74 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 284 | 349 | 489 | 838 | 205 | 324 | 20 | 8 | 370 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 63 | 55 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 400 | 476 | 855 | 1.331 | 455 | 372 | 10 | 13 | 559 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 182 | 173 | 38 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 258 | 399 | 657 | 179 | 237 | 18 | 4 | 290 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 304 | 257 | 91 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 354 | 441 | 634 | 1.075 | 280 | 361 | 13 | 13 | 454 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 188 | 168 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 18 | 53 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 274 | 381 | 655 | 185 | 229 | 28 | 10 | 290 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 130 | 115 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 287 | 359 | 513 | 872 | 226 | 302 | 18 | 9 | 378 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 269 | 243 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 300 | 360 | 481 | 841 | 181 | 354 | 22 | 7 | 369 | 139 | +12 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 197 | 179 | 53 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 18 | 42 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 296 | 360 | 564 | 925 | 268 | 323 | 21 | 9 | 402 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 533 | 477 | 126 | 28 | 4 | 23 | 48 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 264 | 338 | 484 | 822 | 220 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 360 | 131 | +19 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1172 | 1061 | 270 | 59 | 4 | 48 | 94 | 254 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 254 | 320 | 453 | 774 | 199 | 290 | 22 | 8 | 340 | 116 | +22 | +1 | -8 | -19 | +25 | 2.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 146 | 134 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 291 | 349 | 448 | 797 | 157 | 371 | 25 | 8 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 193 | 176 | 34 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 193 | 257 | 330 | 586 | 136 | 249 | 31 | 6 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 364 | 339 | 85 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 88 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 251 | 302 | 410 | 712 | 159 | 305 | 24 | 5 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 63 | 58 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 328 | 381 | 690 | 1.071 | 362 | 305 | 11 | 8 | 436 | 181 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 182 | 173 | 38 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 258 | 399 | 657 | 179 | 237 | 18 | 4 | 293 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -2 | -5 | +4 | -0.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 304 | 272 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 309 | 367 | 518 | 885 | 210 | 321 | 16 | 8 | 378 | 142 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 188 | 170 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 263 | 376 | 640 | 182 | 229 | 28 | 9 | 286 | 80 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 130 | 119 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 289 | 370 | 659 | 134 | 267 | 22 | 6 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 269 | 244 | 73 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 59 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 299 | 360 | 480 | 839 | 180 | 354 | 22 | 7 | 373 | 139 | +12 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +6 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 197 | 186 | 45 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 49 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 242 | 284 | 414 | 698 | 172 | 285 | 25 | 6 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 533 | 479 | 127 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 336 | 491 | 826 | 225 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 361 | 131 | +19 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 417 | 383 | 91 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 118 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 238 | 296 | 389 | 685 | 151 | 310 | 28 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 417 | 370 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 40 | 88 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 305 | 381 | 519 | 900 | 214 | 360 | 21 | 10 | 394 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 398 | 103 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 96 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 259 | 309 | 440 | 749 | 181 | 304 | 22 | 6 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 427 | 386 | 116 | 25 | 1 | 22 | 36 | 80 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 301 | 368 | 541 | 909 | 241 | 331 | 19 | 8 | 398 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 445 | 123 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 82 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 276 | 328 | 476 | 804 | 200 | 298 | 17 | 7 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 486 | 430 | 129 | 31 | 3 | 22 | 47 | 72 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 300 | 372 | 540 | 911 | 240 | 312 | 15 | 10 | 392 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 289 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 82 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 277 | 388 | 665 | 173 | 247 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 318 | 283 | 66 | 12 | 0 | 15 | 30 | 77 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 233 | 309 | 435 | 744 | 201 | 262 | 24 | 9 | 326 | 82 | -7 | +1 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 430 | 118 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 108 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 274 | 328 | 451 | 779 | 177 | 325 | 23 | 7 | 341 | 117 | +9 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 422 | 126 | 20 | 0 | 24 | 38 | 101 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 299 | 360 | 517 | 877 | 218 | 341 | 22 | 8 | 383 | 117 | +9 | +0 | -4 | -5 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 533 | 479 | 127 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 265 | 336 | 491 | 826 | 225 | 296 | 21 | 9 | 361 | 131 | +19 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB RAW | Seattle Mariners | — | 533 | 477 | 126 | 28 | 4 | 23 | 48 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 264 | 338 | 484 | 822 | 220 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 360 | 131 | +19 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 417 | 382 | 91 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 118 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 238 | 296 | 390 | 686 | 152 | 302 | 28 | 6 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 395 | 103 | 22 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 96 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 261 | 309 | 443 | 752 | 182 | 305 | 22 | 6 | 324 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 486 | 449 | 123 | 29 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 82 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 274 | 328 | 472 | 800 | 198 | 290 | 17 | 7 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 290 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 82 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 214 | 277 | 386 | 663 | 172 | 245 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 429 | 118 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 108 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 275 | 328 | 452 | 780 | 177 | 325 | 23 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 533 | 477 | 127 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 336 | 493 | 829 | 226 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 361 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 290 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 82 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 214 | 277 | 386 | 663 | 172 | 245 | 26 | 8 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 429 | 118 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 31 | 108 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 275 | 328 | 452 | 780 | 177 | 325 | 23 | 7 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 533 | 477 | 127 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 110 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 336 | 493 | 829 | 226 | 297 | 21 | 9 | 361 | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 100% | 469 | 423 | 113 | 23 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 102 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 267 | 335 | 478 | 812 | 211 | 304 | 22 | 8 | 355 | 126 | +15 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 2.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 100% | 452 | 408 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 37 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 264 | 332 | 470 | 802 | 206 | 301 | 22 | 8 | 351 | 126 | +14 | +0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | 1.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 98% | 438 | 395 | 104 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 36 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 263 | 330 | 468 | 799 | 205 | 301 | 22 | 8 | 350 | 123 | +12 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB MLE | SEA | 98% | 419 | 379 | 97 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 34 | 94 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 258 | 324 | 457 | 781 | 199 | 297 | 22 | 8 | 343 | 118 | +9 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB MLE | SEA | 98% | 396 | 358 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 16 | 32 | 91 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 317 | 441 | 758 | 190 | 291 | 23 | 8 | 333 | 112 | +5 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB MLE | SEA | 98% | 359 | 326 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 84 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 307 | 422 | 729 | 180 | 283 | 23 | 8 | 321 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB MLE | SEA | 94% | 301 | 273 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 73 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 295 | 399 | 694 | 167 | 273 | 24 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -6 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 98% | 429 | 387 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 35 | 95 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 260 | 328 | 461 | 788 | 201 | 298 | 22 | 8 | 346 | 123 | +12 | +0 | -3 | -5 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB CTX | SEA | 98% | 411 | 372 | 95 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 92 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 322 | 449 | 771 | 194 | 294 | 22 | 8 | 339 | 118 | +9 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB CTX | SEA | 98% | 388 | 351 | 88 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 31 | 89 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 248 | 314 | 434 | 748 | 186 | 288 | 23 | 8 | 329 | 112 | +5 | +0 | -4 | -4 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB CTX | SEA | 98% | 352 | 319 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 28 | 83 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 239 | 305 | 415 | 720 | 176 | 280 | 24 | 8 | 318 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -5 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB CTX | SEA | 94% | 281 | 256 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 68 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 229 | 293 | 392 | 686 | 164 | 270 | 24 | 7 | 304 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -5 | -3 | +6 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3033 | 2746 | 688 | 139 | 12 | 121 | 242 | 681 | 23 | 14 | 4 | 251 | 316 | 442 | 758 | 192 | 289 | 22 | 8 | 333 | 112 | +48 | +1 | -29 | -39 | +66 | 4.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 148 | 30 | 3 | 26 | 52 | 146 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 317 | 446 | 763 | 194 | 291 | 22 | 8 | 333 | 112 | +10 | +0 | -6 | -8 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5012 | 4563 | 1166 | 228 | 22 | 199 | 374 | 1133 | 39 | 60 | 16 | 256 | 317 | 446 | 763 | 190 | 297 | 23 | 7 | 333 | 112 | +62 | +2 | -31 | -45 | +77 | 6.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 152 | 30 | 3 | 26 | 49 | 147 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 257 | 319 | 449 | 769 | 193 | 298 | 23 | 8 | 333 | 112 | +11 | +0 | -6 | -8 | +14 | 1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 197 PAwOBA .388 → .297 (−91)K% 21.3% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.32% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.12% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.63% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 21.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.57% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 5.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.49% | ÷1.204 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 5.47% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .388 → .297; ISO .268 → .170; BABIP .323 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 130 PAwOBA .373 → .294 (−79)K% 18.5% → 22.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.46% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.23% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 21.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.49% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.006 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.142 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 4.73% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .373 → .294; ISO .226 → .150; BABIP .302 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAReno Aces · 304 PAwOBA .451 → .378 (−74)K% 13.2% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.16% | ÷0.951 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.096 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.33% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.88% | ÷1.026 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 23.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.29% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.018 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.37% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.19% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .451 → .378; ISO .280 → .220; BABIP .361 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAReno Aces · 364 PAwOBA .360 → .305 (−54)K% 20.3% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.33% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.020 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.37% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.96% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.033 | 22.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.033 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.39% | ÷1.100 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.033 | 0.37% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.23% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.67% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 99, 3B 120, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .360 → .305; ISO .205 → .159; BABIP .324 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 63 PAwOBA .540 → .436 (−104)K% 9.5% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.37% | ÷1.048 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 16.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.022 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 11.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.24% | ÷1.094 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 8.94% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 110, 2B 104, 3B 88, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .540 → .436; ISO .455 → .358; BABIP .372 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Hillsboro Hops · 193 PAwOBA .347 → .258 (−89)K% 22.3% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.28% | ÷0.970 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.81% | ÷1.011 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 6.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.09% | ÷1.033 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 18.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.304 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.108 | ×0.820 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 1.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.47% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 4.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 107, 2B 161, 3B 122, K 94, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .347 → .258; ISO .205 → .148; BABIP .309 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 146 PAwOBA .432 → .344 (−88)K% 19.2% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.18% | ÷0.946 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.27% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.012 | 7.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.025 | ×0.940 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 27.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.034 | ×0.870 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.945 | ×0.920 | ×1.017 | ×1.012 | 0.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.86% | ÷1.271 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 154, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 89, K 89, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .432 → .344; ISO .238 → .163; BABIP .411 → .371. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .