Dominic Canzone — OGILVIE

Dominic CanzoneRF Seattle Mariners

Age 28 L/R 6'0" / 190 lbs MLB HR -5% Svc 2.081 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION254 act + 169 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 115127vR 131

AVG/OBP/SLG.256 / .323 / .466

PA169

HR8

K%22

BB%8

BABIP289

ISO210

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

689.1%

xwOBA

900.357

POWER60

Barrel%

8813.8

Avg EV

9091.8

Bat Spd

7674.1

EYE35

Chase%

8025.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

2326.2

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 503 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

435

—

wRC+

107

126

▶▶R

wOBA

325

350

▶R

ISO

069

218

▶▶R

BABIP

349

304

◀L

22.1%

23.2%

◀L

BB%

11.8%

6.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.081 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2027	Arb-1	$4M	+1.8	$13M	+$10M
2028	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$10M	+$6M
2029	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$8M	+$3M
Totals		$16M		$35M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	3 teams	—	417	383	84	12	3	12	27	126	5	20	4	219	280	360	640	141	291	30	6	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	3 teams	—	417	370	113	20	4	17	40	88	5	20	4	305	381	519	900	214	360	21	10	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	427	398	98	21	1	18	24	102	5	15	2	246	297	440	737	193	288	24	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	427	386	116	25	1	22	36	80	5	15	2	301	368	541	909	241	331	19	8	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	486	447	116	27	2	19	30	89	2	3	3	260	309	456	765	197	280	18	6	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	486	430	129	31	3	22	47	72	2	3	3	300	372	540	911	240	312	15	10	392	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	318	287	61	11	0	13	26	84	1	3	0	213	280	387	667	174	247	26	8	284	76	-9	+1	-1	-3	+9	-0.4
2024	26	MLB	2 teams	—	318	283	66	12	0	15	30	77	1	3	0	233	309	435	744	201	262	24	9	326	107	+3	+1	-1	-3	+9	0.8
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	466	430	117	19	0	19	31	110	3	6	3	272	325	449	774	177	323	24	7	336	115	+8	+0	-4	-5	+13	1.3
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	466	422	126	20	0	24	38	101	3	6	3	299	360	517	877	218	341	22	8	383	151	+27	+0	-4	-5	+13	3.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	MLB	SEA	—	254	227	60	13	1	15	22	53	3	1	1	264	337	529	866	264	280	21	9	370	142	+12	-0	-0	-3	+7	1.6
YTD	28	MLB	SEA	—	254	227	60	13	1	15	22	53	3	1	1	264	337	529	866	264	280	21	9	375	145	+13	-0	-0	-3	+7	1.7
ROS	28	MLB	SEA	100%	169	152	39	8	0	8	14	38	1	1	1	256	323	466	789	210	290	22	8	352	127	+5	-0	-0	-2	+5	0.8
ROS	28	MLB	SEA	100%	169	152	39	8	0	8	14	38	1	1	1	257	323	467	790	211	287	22	8	341	119	+4	-0	-0	-2	+5	0.6
FULL	28	MLB	SEA	—	423	379	99	21	1	23	36	91	4	2	2	261	332	504	836	243	284	22	9	359	133	+16	-0	-1	-5	+12	2.2
TOT	28	MLB	SEA	—	423	379	99	21	1	23	36	91	4	2	2	261	331	504	835	243	283	21	9	363	136	+17	-0	-1	-5	+12	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SEA	92%	428	386	100	20	1	21	35	96	4	3	1	259	327	479	806	220	289	22	8	349	125	+12	+0	-3	-5	+12	1.8
2028	30	MLB	SEA	92%	419	378	96	19	1	20	34	95	4	3	1	254	322	468	790	214	287	23	8	346	123	+11	+0	-3	-4	+12	1.5
2029	31	MLB	SEA	92%	404	365	92	18	1	19	33	93	3	2	1	252	319	463	782	211	283	23	8	341	119	+9	+0	-4	-4	+11	1.2
2030	32	MLB	SEA	92%	385	348	87	17	1	18	31	90	3	2	1	250	317	460	777	210	278	23	8	334	114	+6	+0	-5	-4	+11	0.8
2031	33	MLB	SEA	92%	355	321	76	14	0	16	28	85	3	1	1	237	304	430	734	193	272	24	8	325	107	+3	-0	-5	-4	+10	0.4
2027	29	MLB	SEA	92%	394	356	91	18	1	19	32	89	3	3	1	256	322	472	794	216	285	23	8	338	117	+8	+0	-2	-4	+11	1.3
2028	30	MLB	SEA	92%	385	348	87	17	1	18	31	88	3	3	1	250	317	460	777	210	284	23	8	335	115	+6	+0	-3	-4	+11	1.1
2029	31	MLB	SEA	92%	372	336	83	16	1	17	30	86	3	2	1	247	314	452	767	205	280	23	8	330	111	+5	+0	-4	-4	+11	0.8
2030	32	MLB	SEA	92%	354	320	78	15	1	16	28	83	3	2	1	244	311	447	757	203	276	23	8	324	106	+2	+0	-4	-4	+10	0.5
2031	33	MLB	SEA	92%	327	295	69	13	0	14	26	78	3	1	1	234	302	420	723	186	269	24	8	315	100	-0	-0	-5	-4	+9	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2640	2391	591	118	4	117	207	606	20	17	7	247	312	447	759	199	282	23	8	328	110	+28	+1	-26	-35	+75	4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	146	29	1	29	51	149	5	4	2	248	313	448	761	200	282	23	8	328	110	+7	+0	-6	-9	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	4274	3895	966	186	10	183	313	1008	34	59	18	248	309	442	751	194	287	24	7	326	108	+37	+5	-27	-46	+121	9.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	147	28	2	28	48	153	5	9	3	248	310	444	754	196	287	24	7	326	108	+6	+1	-4	-7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	146	130	46	8	1	7	15	28	1	1	1	354	425	592	1.017	238	411	19	10	444	198	+16	-0	—	—	+4	2.0
2021	23	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	193	171	45	8	3	7	17	43	3	18	3	263	340	468	808	205	309	22	9	353	129	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2021	23	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	78	69	22	4	0	3	8	17	1	1	0	319	397	507	905	188	388	22	10	401	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Reno Aces	—	364	331	94	18	1	16	28	74	5	14	2	284	349	489	838	205	324	20	8	370	141	+17	+2	—	—	+10	3.0
2022	24	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	63	55	22	7	0	6	8	6	0	1	0	400	476	855	1.331	455	372	10	13	559	286	+13	+0	—	—	+2	1.6
2023	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	182	173	38	13	0	6	8	32	1	1	0	220	258	399	657	179	237	18	4	290	80	-4	+0	-2	-5	+5	-0.6
2023	25	AAA	Reno Aces	—	304	257	91	18	3	16	39	40	1	2	3	354	441	634	1.075	280	361	13	13	454	206	+36	-1	—	—	+9	4.5
2024	26	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	188	168	33	7	0	8	18	53	0	1	0	196	274	381	655	185	229	28	10	290	80	-4	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.4
2024	26	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	130	115	33	5	0	7	12	24	1	2	0	287	359	513	872	226	302	18	9	378	147	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	27	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	269	243	73	11	0	11	20	59	3	3	1	300	360	481	841	181	354	22	7	369	141	+12	+0	-4	-5	+8	1.1
2025	27	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	197	179	53	9	0	13	18	42	0	3	2	296	360	564	925	268	323	21	9	402	166	+15	-0	—	—	+6	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	639	584	144	31	0	25	46	144	4	5	1	247	306	428	734	182	284	23	7	323	105	+4	+1	-7	-14	+18	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Hinskelast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,310 PA	12	4,310	137	61	249	332	430	-34	-33	13.0	12.9
	/162	664	21	9	249	332	430	-5.2	-5.1	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Ryan Ludwicklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,938 PA	11	3,938	150	17	261	330	451	-42	-34	11.8	12.7
	/162	664	25	3	261	330	451	-7.0	-5.8	2.0	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,114	143	21	252	314	459	-33	-28	10.9	10.7
	/162	664	30	4	252	314	459	-7.1	-6.0	2.3	pk7: 10
#3Tony Clarklast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,637 PA	10	2,637	124	0	250	328	467	-35	-28	7.8	8.7
	/162	664	31	0	250	328	467	-8.8	-7.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Mitch Hanigerlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,089 PA	8	3,089	130	19	250	324	448	-31	-36	7.8	8.4
	/162	664	28	4	250	324	448	-6.7	-7.8	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Jay Gibbonslast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,177 PA	9	3,177	127	2	260	315	453	-30	-30	7.7	8.1
	/162	664	27	0	260	315	453	-6.3	-6.3	1.6	pk7: 9
#6Franmil Reyeslast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,078 PA	6	2,078	108	6	249	310	464	-22	-18	5.5	5.5
	/162	664	35	2	249	310	464	-7.1	-5.7	1.8	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dominic Canzone (OGILVIE)	28	55	60	45	35	261/331/504	243	283	23	2	21%	9%	136	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mike Jacobs 2009 · MLB	28	47→53	61→65	45→40	47	255/310/484	228	283	29	3	22%	7%	123	+3.3	228/287/406	178	276	23	3	26%	8%	92	+1.2	214/276/368	154	267	20	1	27%	8%	77	+0.1
●Pedro Álvarez 2015 · MLB	28	44→46	60	47→45	48	239/310/448	209	288	29	6	28%	9%	114	+2.7	240/307/454	214	285	30	4	27%	9%	114	+2.7	234/296/450	216	273	31	2	27%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Jake Fox 2010 · MLB	28	49→54	61→65	47→45	43	262/320/486	225	293	29	6	22%	6%	128	+3.7	231/288/405	174	266	20	3	22%	5%	93	+1.3	222/278/389	167	248	21	0	21%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Eddie Rosario 2020 · MLB	28	52→56	59→60	45→50	45	278/311/485	207	291	28	6	16%	5%	124	+3.4	253/297/438	185	270	25	9	17%	6%	105	+2.1	240/289/407	168	276	20	8	21%	6%	91	+0.8
●Jason Kubel 2010 · MLB	28	55→57	58→60	45→40	54	283/350/495	212	310	25	3	18%	9%	141	+4.6	263/332/457	194	305	23	2	21%	9%	124	+3.4	252/325/446	194	296	24	1	23%	9%	112	+2.3
●Corey Dickerson 2017 · MLB	28	48→58	58→65	39→50	44	251/298/461	210	292	25	3	24%	6%	111	+2.5	277/318/481	204	323	23	5	21%	5%	125	+3.5	286/325/488	202	331	22	5	20%	5%	123	+2.8
●Karim Garcia 2004 · MLB	28	50→51	60	34→50	44	269/308/474	205	290	31	3	20%	5%	120	+3.1	243/289/410	167	270	22	7	19%	6%	95	+1.4	284/331/478	194	322	23	10	19%	6%	127	+2.0
●Rowdy Tellez 2022 · MLB	27	47→50	59→65	43→45	48	253/320/464	211	284	27	3	22%	8%	121	+3.2	234/308/438	204	257	28	3	21%	9%	110	+2.4	227/302/422	195	249	27	1	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Hank Blalock 2010 · MLB	29	47→57	59→65	52→45	46	254/304/472	218	275	27	5	20%	6%	117	+2.9	248/302/412	164	289	20	8	21%	7%	100	+1.7	260/311/360	100	315	11	9	21%	6%	88	+0.3
●Brandon Moss 2013 · MLB	29	45→50	62→65	43→45	44	244/306/470	226	291	30	7	28%	7%	118	+3.0	250/330/484	234	303	31	4	27%	10%	131	+3.9	241/329/462	222	294	29	2	27%	10%	118	+2.7
✕Eric Munson 2006 · MLB	28	42→43	59→60	44→40	47	234/294/438	204	256	28	4	22%	7%	105	+2.1	222/290/384	162	253	20	4	21%	8%	89	+0.9	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Matt Adams 2018 · MLB	29	48→57	60→65	43→40	46	259/312/480	221	297	29	3	24%	7%	123	+3.3	244/301/473	229	286	33	3	27%	7%	117	+2.9	213/266/406	193	259	30	0	31%	6%	80	+0.2
●Justin Bour 2016 · MLB	28	51→56	56→65	44→40	47	265/316/452	187	298	24	3	21%	7%	117	+2.9	267/344/474	207	301	28	3	21%	10%	134	+4.1	258/353/469	210	291	29	1	22%	13%	125	+2.4
●Colby Rasmus 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	58→60	47→50	44	239/301/443	204	304	26	5	30%	8%	108	+2.3	228/299/426	198	297	26	5	31%	9%	103	+1.9	220/294/419	199	281	27	4	31%	9%	97	+0.9
✕Chris Duncan 2008 · MLB	27	48→50	59→60	41→40	51	254/332/462	208	312	27	3	27%	10%	125	+3.5	227/311/369	142	284	16	4	24%	11%	93	+1.3	201/285/305	104	253	11	3	24%	10%	62	-0.5
✕Bryan LaHair 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	62→65	44→40	42	259/307/488	230	310	31	3	28%	6%	123	+3.3	240/301/420	180	319	23	6	30%	8%	102	+1.9	211/280/343	132	291	15	3	31%	9%	69	-0.3
●Jared Walsh 2021 · MLB	28	43→53	62→65	46→30	44	238/305/465	227	296	30	3	30%	8%	116	+2.8	242/305/442	200	310	26	3	29%	8%	110	+2.4	225/295/411	186	296	24	2	31%	8%	92	+0.9
✕Micah Hoffpauir 2009 · MLB	29	50→47	59→65	47→40	44	264/304/481	217	289	27	5	20%	5%	120	+3.1	240/290/436	196	263	24	5	19%	6%	102	+1.9	223/281/412	190	239	24	2	19%	7%	90	+0.8
★Khris Davis 2016 · MLB	28	44→51	62→70	47→45	47	244/311/475	231	279	30	8	25%	8%	121	+3.2	252/324/530	278	287	40	4	27%	9%	141	+4.6	251/329/547	297	280	44	2	28%	9%	144	+5.1
●LaMonte Wade Jr. 2022 · MLB	28	47→57	56→55	48→45	52	244/326/437	193	280	23	9	22%	10%	117	+2.9	250/348/425	175	290	21	5	20%	12%	123	+3.3	251/365/407	155	295	18	2	20%	14%	121	+2.2