Bryan LaHair
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 29 | MLBCHC | 380 | .259/.335/.450 | 16 | 4 | 119 | -0.0 | ||
| 2014 | 31 | AAA/AACLE | 453 | .223/.311/.318 | 5 | 1 | 36 | — | .181/.242/.256 | |
| 2016 | 33 | INTLTomateros de … | 74 | .239/.311/.313 | 1 | 0 | 82 | — | ||
| 2017 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2018 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2019 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 40 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 41 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 42 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 43 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 22 | A+ | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 569 | 509 | 158 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 125 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 310 | 377 | 503 | 880 | 193 | 370 | 22 | 9 | 384 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 230 | 202 | 66 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 327 | 398 | 525 | 923 | 198 | 384 | 21 | 10 | 400 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 252 | 222 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 293 | 372 | 428 | 800 | 135 | 358 | 21 | 10 | 358 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 606 | 552 | 152 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 334 | 431 | 766 | 156 | 335 | 21 | 8 | 338 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 150 | 136 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 315 | 346 | 661 | 96 | 333 | 27 | 9 | 299 | 85 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -9 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 362 | 316 | 84 | 26 | 1 | 12 | 45 | 87 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 266 | 359 | 468 | 827 | 203 | 332 | 24 | 12 | 367 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 510 | 458 | 131 | 28 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 116 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 286 | 352 | 524 | 876 | 238 | 330 | 23 | 9 | 380 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 478 | 422 | 130 | 30 | 0 | 25 | 51 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 308 | 387 | 557 | 943 | 249 | 344 | 20 | 11 | 410 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | INTL | Estrellas de Oriente | — | 39 | 34 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 368 | 353 | 721 | 59 | 400 | 23 | 10 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 69 | 59 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 382 | 508 | 891 | 220 | 375 | 26 | 13 | 386 | 145 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 523 | 456 | 151 | 38 | 0 | 38 | 60 | 111 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 331 | 410 | 664 | 1.075 | 333 | 361 | 21 | 11 | 456 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 208 | 169 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 15 | 37 | 52 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 272 | 406 | 592 | 998 | 320 | 301 | 25 | 18 | 429 | 176 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 380 | 340 | 88 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 335 | 450 | 785 | 191 | 358 | 33 | 10 | 348 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -10 | -7 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 36 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 114 | 139 | 171 | 310 | 57 | 160 | 28 | 3 | 141 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AA | Akron RubberDucks | — | 417 | 364 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 50 | 91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 234 | 326 | 332 | 659 | 99 | 295 | 22 | 12 | 301 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 74 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 313 | 624 | 75 | 294 | 20 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 599 | 535 | 139 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 61 | 182 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 336 | 430 | 765 | 170 | 353 | 30 | 10 | 340 | 116 | +12 | -0 | -13 | -24 | +13 | -1.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 22 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 569 | 526 | 140 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 34 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 314 | 426 | 740 | 160 | 342 | 29 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 230 | 208 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 350 | 452 | 801 | 159 | 368 | 27 | 7 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 252 | 231 | 60 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 316 | 368 | 684 | 108 | 331 | 25 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 606 | 566 | 130 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 275 | 350 | 624 | 120 | 299 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 150 | 137 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 248 | 309 | 343 | 652 | 95 | 333 | 27 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -9 | +3 | -1.0 |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 362 | 331 | 70 | 21 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 112 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 279 | 363 | 642 | 151 | 289 | 31 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 510 | 473 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 149 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 230 | 279 | 406 | 685 | 175 | 288 | 29 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 478 | 446 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 22 | 27 | 119 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 256 | 303 | 460 | 762 | 204 | 298 | 25 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 69 | 59 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 288 | 382 | 508 | 891 | 220 | 375 | 26 | 13 | 382 | 145 | +4 | +0 | -2 | -9 | +1 | -0.6 |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 523 | 482 | 125 | 29 | 0 | 31 | 34 | 149 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 259 | 309 | 512 | 822 | 253 | 297 | 28 | 7 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 380 | 343 | 89 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 36 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 330 | 458 | 788 | 198 | 358 | 33 | 9 | 344 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -10 | -7 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2014 | 31 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 36 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 111 | 114 | 225 | 29 | 129 | 33 | 3 | 101 | -45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AA MLE | Akron RubberDucks | — | 417 | 381 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 115 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 189 | 254 | 268 | 521 | 79 | 251 | 28 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 569 | 526 | 140 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 34 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 314 | 426 | 740 | 160 | 350 | 29 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 569 | 509 | 158 | 28 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 125 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 310 | 377 | 503 | 880 | 193 | 370 | 22 | 9 | 384 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 439 | 121 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 276 | 332 | 408 | 740 | 132 | 356 | 26 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 482 | 424 | 131 | 22 | 0 | 16 | 47 | 101 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 309 | 384 | 474 | 859 | 165 | 370 | 21 | 10 | 378 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 606 | 566 | 130 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 275 | 350 | 624 | 120 | 303 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 606 | 552 | 152 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 49 | 126 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 334 | 431 | 766 | 156 | 335 | 21 | 8 | 338 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 468 | 104 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 152 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 222 | 288 | 357 | 645 | 135 | 303 | 30 | 8 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 512 | 452 | 118 | 30 | 1 | 15 | 58 | 127 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 346 | 431 | 778 | 170 | 332 | 25 | 11 | 347 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 510 | 473 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 149 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 230 | 279 | 406 | 685 | 175 | 291 | 29 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 510 | 458 | 131 | 28 | 3 | 25 | 44 | 116 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 286 | 352 | 524 | 876 | 238 | 330 | 23 | 9 | 380 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 482 | 124 | 27 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 129 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 257 | 304 | 463 | 766 | 205 | 302 | 25 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 517 | 456 | 140 | 32 | 0 | 25 | 55 | 103 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 307 | 385 | 542 | 927 | 235 | 348 | 20 | 11 | 404 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 800 | 732 | 190 | 45 | 1 | 44 | 58 | 225 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 260 | 316 | 504 | 820 | 245 | 310 | 28 | 7 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 800 | 684 | 214 | 52 | 1 | 55 | 106 | 181 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 313 | 407 | 633 | 1.040 | 320 | 349 | 23 | 13 | 443 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 380 | 343 | 89 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 36 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 330 | 458 | 788 | 198 | 355 | 33 | 9 | 344 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -10 | -7 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB RAW | Chicago Cubs | — | 380 | 340 | 88 | 17 | 0 | 16 | 39 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 259 | 335 | 450 | 785 | 191 | 358 | 33 | 10 | 348 | 119 | +8 | +0 | -10 | -7 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2014 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 417 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 127 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 238 | 252 | 490 | 74 | 242 | 28 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 453 | 399 | 89 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 101 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 311 | 318 | 629 | 95 | 284 | 22 | 11 | 288 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 74 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 313 | 624 | 75 | 294 | 20 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 33 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 74 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 311 | 313 | 624 | 75 | 294 | 20 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 22 | A+ MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 569 | 527 | 140 | 23 | 2 | 19 | 34 | 167 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 314 | 425 | 739 | 159 | 342 | 29 | 6 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 482 | 442 | 121 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 127 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 274 | 332 | 405 | 737 | 131 | 349 | 26 | 7 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 606 | 566 | 130 | 37 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 162 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 230 | 275 | 350 | 624 | 120 | 299 | 27 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 464 | 104 | 25 | 1 | 12 | 42 | 152 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 224 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 136 | 302 | 30 | 8 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 510 | 473 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 149 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 230 | 279 | 406 | 685 | 175 | 288 | 29 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 517 | 480 | 124 | 27 | 0 | 24 | 29 | 129 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 304 | 465 | 768 | 206 | 298 | 25 | 6 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 28 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 800 | 734 | 190 | 45 | 1 | 44 | 58 | 225 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 259 | 316 | 503 | 818 | 244 | 306 | 28 | 7 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 380 | 341 | 89 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 36 | 124 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 261 | 330 | 460 | 790 | 199 | 358 | 33 | 9 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 31 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 417 | 74 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 33 | 127 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 238 | 252 | 490 | 74 | 241 | 28 | 7 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 599 | 535 | 139 | 26 | 1 | 21 | 61 | 182 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 336 | 430 | 765 | 170 | 353 | 30 | 10 | 340 | 91 | +12 | -0 | -13 | -24 | +13 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 581 | 151 | 28 | 1 | 23 | 66 | 197 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 260 | 335 | 430 | 766 | 170 | 353 | 30 | 10 | 340 | 91 | +13 | -0 | -14 | -27 | +14 | -1.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4903 | 4513 | 1097 | 232 | 10 | 162 | 333 | 1377 | 19 | 16 | 14 | 243 | 298 | 407 | 704 | 164 | 311 | 28 | 7 | 303 | 91 | +12 | -0 | -13 | -24 | +13 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 145 | 31 | 1 | 21 | 44 | 183 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 242 | 298 | 403 | 701 | 161 | 312 | 28 | 7 | 303 | 91 | +13 | -0 | -14 | -27 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2014 AAAkron RubberDucks · 417 PAwOBA .296 → .232 (−63)K% 21.8% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.82% | ÷0.965 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.99% | ÷1.008 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷1.064 | ×0.970 | ×1.001 | ×0.940 | 19.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.23% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×1.001 | ×0.940 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.001 | ×0.940 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.83% | ÷0.881 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 93, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 24.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .296 → .232; ISO .099 → .082; BABIP .295 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAColumbus Clippers · 36 PAwOBA .137 → .101 (−36)K% 27.8% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.016 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.78% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 1.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.952 | 6.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.952 | 6.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.007 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 103, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .137 → .101; ISO .057 → .041; BABIP .160 → .129. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 523 PAwOBA .444 → .351 (−93)K% 21.2% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.22% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 28.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.75% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 6.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.19% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×0.975 | ×0.982 | 19.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.01% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×0.975 | ×0.982 | 8.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×0.975 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.01% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 9.03% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .444 → .351; ISO .333 → .264; BABIP .361 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAIowa Cubs · 478 PAwOBA .395 → .332 (−63)K% 19.7% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷1.017 | ×1.290 | — | — | 24.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.086 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 5.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.63% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.87% | ÷1.019 | ×0.900 | ×1.023 | ×0.992 | 20.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.15% | ÷1.001 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×0.992 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.979 | ×0.810 | ×1.023 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.62% | ÷0.881 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 6.69% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 96, K 103, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .395 → .332; ISO .249 → .215; BABIP .344 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAATacoma Rainiers · 510 PAwOBA .370 → .296 (−74)K% 22.7% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.59% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.011 | ×1.003 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 5.72% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .370 → .296; ISO .238 → .181; BABIP .330 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAATacoma Rainiers · 362 PAwOBA .354 → .282 (−72)K% 24.0% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.03% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 31.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.28% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.001 | ×1.018 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.018 | 9.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.001 | ×1.018 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.16% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .354 → .282; ISO .203 → .157; BABIP .332 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAATacoma Rainiers · 606 PAwOBA .330 → .272 (−58)K% 20.8% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.79% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 5.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.000 | ×1.033 | 20.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.000 | ×1.033 | 9.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.000 | ×1.033 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 2.27% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .330 → .272; ISO .156 → .123; BABIP .335 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AASan Antonio Missions · 252 PAwOBA .346 → .302 (−44)K% 20.6% → 25.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.63% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 26.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 6.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.020 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.86% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .346 → .302; ISO .135 → .113; BABIP .358 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .