Trey Mancini — OGILVIE

Trey Mancini1B Salt Lake Bees

Age 34 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†106

AVG/OBP/SLG.246 / .317 / .409

PA149

HR5

K%27

BB%8

BABIP310

ISO164

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

3612.6%

xwOBA

560.316

POWER60

Barrel%

508.1

Avg EV

5389.3

Bat Spd

6272.6

EYE40

Chase%

4432.9%

SPEED45

Sprint

3226.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.0	$0.1M	-$0.9M
Totals		$0.9M		$0.1M	-$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	22	A+	2 teams	—	586	553	133	28	2	8	18	134	9	1	2	241	276	342	618	101	300	23	3	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+	2 teams	—	586	543	154	32	3	10	28	95	9	1	2	284	329	409	738	125	324	16	5	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA	2 teams	—	571	545	157	37	5	13	19	128	1	6	3	288	313	446	759	158	351	22	3	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	AA	2 teams	—	571	533	182	43	6	21	31	93	1	6	3	341	379	563	942	221	379	16	5	407	170	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA	3 teams	—	626	583	144	21	4	28	35	179	7	2	2	247	298	441	738	194	308	29	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	AAA	3 teams	—	626	560	159	27	5	23	58	144	7	2	2	284	358	473	832	189	345	23	9	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	586	543	153	24	4	22	33	139	6	1	0	282	330	462	792	180	339	24	6	345	122	+15	+0	-8	-6	+17	1.7
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	586	543	159	26	4	24	33	139	6	1	0	293	340	488	828	195	352	24	6	362	135	+23	+0	-8	-6	+17	2.6
2018	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	636	582	136	22	3	22	44	153	5	0	1	234	293	395	688	162	277	24	7	301	89	-8	-0	-9	-7	+18	-0.7
2018	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	636	582	141	23	3	24	44	153	5	0	1	242	301	416	717	174	285	24	7	316	100	+0	-0	-9	-7	+18	0.2
2019	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	679	602	169	36	2	33	63	143	9	1	0	281	358	512	869	231	316	21	9	370	141	+32	+0	-9	-7	+19	3.5
2019	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	679	602	175	38	2	35	63	143	9	1	0	291	366	535	901	244	326	21	9	392	158	+44	+0	-9	-7	+19	4.8
2021	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	616	556	137	31	1	20	51	143	8	0	0	246	319	414	732	167	297	23	8	318	101	+1	+0	-3	-11	+17	0.4
2021	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	616	556	142	33	1	21	51	143	8	0	0	255	327	432	758	176	308	23	8	337	116	+11	+0	-3	-11	+17	1.5
2022	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	587	519	121	22	1	17	53	135	10	0	0	233	316	378	694	145	280	23	9	306	92	-5	+0	-1	-10	+17	-0.0
2022	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	587	519	124	23	1	18	53	135	10	0	0	239	321	391	712	152	286	23	9	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-10	+17	0.7
2023	31	MLB	2 teams	—	282	256	60	14	0	5	21	84	2	0	0	234	297	348	645	113	324	30	7	282	74	-8	+0	-3	-5	+8	-0.8
2023	31	MLB	2 teams	—	282	254	61	14	0	6	21	83	2	0	0	240	301	366	667	126	327	29	7	297	85	-5	+0	-3	-5	+8	-0.5
2025	33	AAA	Reno Aces	—	335	306	78	11	0	15	18	86	8	2	1	255	313	438	751	183	303	26	5	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	AAA	Reno Aces	—	335	299	92	16	0	16	25	70	8	2	1	308	377	522	898	214	352	21	7	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	34	AAA	LAA	—	224	193	44	14	0	5	23	63	2	3	0	228	317	378	695	150	298	28	10	303	90	-3	+1	+0	-4	+6	0.0
YTD	34	AAA	LAA	—	224	183	50	17	0	6	32	49	2	3	0	273	385	464	850	191	328	22	14	369	140	+10	+1	+0	-4	+6	1.3
ROS	34	AAA	LAA	10%	149	134	33	7	0	5	12	40	2	2	0	246	317	409	726	164	311	27	8	323	106	+1	+0	+1	-3	+4	0.4
ROS	34	MLB	LAA	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	310	27	7	311	96	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	34	AAA	LAA	—	239	207	47	15	0	5	24	67	2	3	0	227	313	372	685	145	298	28	10	304	90	-3	+1	+0	-4	+7	0.1
TOT	34	AAA	LAA	—	373	327	77	21	0	10	35	103	4	5	0	235	317	391	708	156	303	28	9	311	96	-2	+1	+1	-7	+11	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	35	MLB	LAA	100%	276	249	59	12	1	8	21	76	4	2	0	237	307	390	696	153	302	28	8	310	96	-1	+0	-4	-5	+8	-0.2
2028	36	MLB	LAA	100%	219	197	44	8	1	6	17	62	3	1	0	223	295	365	660	142	292	28	8	297	85	-4	+0	-5	-4	+6	-0.7
2027	35	MLB	LAA	100%	276	249	59	12	1	8	21	76	4	2	0	237	307	390	696	153	301	28	8	298	86	-4	+0	-4	-5	+8	-0.5
2028	36	MLB	LAA	100%	219	197	44	8	1	6	17	62	3	1	0	223	295	365	660	142	291	28	8	285	76	-6	+0	-5	-4	+6	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3892	3511	907	177	13	143	304	937	48	5	1	258	326	438	764	180	311	24	8	336	115	+68	+1	-44	-67	+110	6.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	152	30	2	24	51	156	8	1	0	259	327	440	767	181	312	24	8	336	115	+11	+0	-7	-11	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	6148	5625	1424	273	24	202	405	1502	74	18	9	253	312	418	730	165	308	24	7	317	101	+7	+0	-43	-96	+174	4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	151	29	3	21	43	159	8	2	1	254	313	418	731	165	310	24	7	317	101	+1	+0	-5	-10	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	22	A+	Frederick Keys	—	295	275	69	19	0	7	14	43	4	0	1	251	297	396	693	145	273	15	5	307	93	-2	-0	—	—	+8	0.6
2014	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	291	268	85	13	3	3	14	52	5	1	1	317	362	422	784	104	378	18	5	347	124	+8	-0	—	—	+8	1.6
2015	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	354	326	117	29	3	13	22	58	1	2	1	359	401	586	987	227	400	16	6	425	183	+33	+0	—	—	+10	4.4
2015	23	A+	Frederick Keys	—	217	207	65	14	3	8	9	35	0	4	2	314	343	527	869	213	345	16	4	378	147	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2016	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	15	14	5	1	0	3	0	4	1	0	0	357	400	1.071	1.471	714	286	27	0	611	326	+4	+0	+0	-11	+0	-0.7
2016	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	536	483	135	22	5	13	48	123	4	2	2	280	350	427	776	147	351	23	9	347	123	+14	-0	—	—	+15	3.0
2016	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	75	63	19	4	0	7	10	17	2	0	0	302	413	698	1.112	397	308	23	13	472	219	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	586	543	159	26	4	24	33	139	6	1	0	293	340	488	828	195	352	24	6	362	135	+23	+0	-8	-6	+17	2.6
2018	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	636	582	141	23	3	24	44	153	5	0	1	242	301	416	717	174	285	24	7	316	100	+0	-0	-9	-7	+18	0.2
2019	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	679	602	175	38	2	35	63	143	9	1	0	291	366	535	901	244	326	21	9	392	158	+44	+0	-9	-7	+19	4.8
2021	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	616	556	142	33	1	21	51	143	8	0	0	255	327	432	758	176	308	23	8	337	116	+11	+0	-3	-11	+17	1.5
2022	30	MLB	Houston Astros	—	587	519	124	23	1	18	53	135	10	0	0	239	321	391	712	152	286	23	9	319	102	+1	+0	-1	-10	+17	0.7
2023	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	263	235	55	12	0	4	21	78	2	0	0	234	300	336	636	102	327	30	8	286	77	-7	+0	-3	-5	+7	-0.7
2023	31	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	19	19	6	2	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	316	316	737	1.053	421	333	26	0	449	202	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	33	AAA	Reno Aces	—	335	299	92	16	0	16	25	70	8	2	1	308	377	522	898	214	352	21	7	392	158	+22	+0	—	—	+9	3.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3382	3051	801	156	11	129	265	795	41	2	1	263	330	448	777	185	313	24	8	343	120	+78	+0	-34	-58	+96	8.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam LaRochelast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,329 PA	12	6,329	255	13	260	336	462	-113	-125	10.7	12.1
	/162	664	27	1	260	336	462	-11.9	-13.1	1.1	pk7: 13
#2Adam Lindlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,029 PA	12	5,029	200	7	272	330	465	-76	-76	11.6	11.8
#2Adam Lindlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,029 PA	/162	664	26	1	272	330	465	-10.0	-10.1	1.5	pk7: 12
#3Lyle Overbaylast yr '14 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,790 PA	12	5,790	151	19	266	348	429	-103	-102	8.8	10.3
	/162	664	17	2	266	348	429	-11.9	-11.7	1.0	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,896	142	5	259	323	439	-71	-64	9.5	9.7
	/162	664	24	1	259	323	439	-12.1	-10.9	1.6	pk7: 10
#4C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	10	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
#4C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	/162	664	31	2	260	320	471	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
#5Shea Hillenbrandlast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,816 PA	7	3,816	108	16	284	321	440	-48	-41	6.7	6.7
	/162	664	19	3	284	321	440	-8.4	-7.2	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Jesús Aguilarlast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,594 PA	7	2,594	114	1	255	324	452	-46	-35	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	29	0	255	324	452	-11.9	-9.0	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trey Mancini (OGILVIE)	34	60	60	45	40	235/317/391	156	303	10	5	28%	9%	96	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Abraham Valencia 2014 · AAA	34	46→53	53→55	43→45	40	242/297/406	163	280	22	4	23%	4%	98	+1.6	243/303/357	114	292	12	7	21%	5%	86	+0.8	259/324/324	65	309	6	3	17%	5%	83	+0.3
✕Yadiel Hernandez 2022 · MLB	34	50→55	55	46→45	46	261/316/438	177	310	24	7	24%	7%	113	+2.6	251/298/392	141	314	17	7	25%	6%	93	+1.3	267/312/407	140	326	16	4	23%	6%	101	+1.0
●Randy Ruiz 2012 · MLB	34	48→56	55→60	48→40	42	250/303/441	192	301	23	7	25%	6%	109	+2.4	258/302/431	173	336	24	7	30%	5%	106	+2.2	264/307/427	163	341	24	4	29%	5%	103	+0.9
✕Matt McBride 2019 · MLB	34	40→50	53→55	42→40	46	215/275/393	179	247	21	4	23%	7%	85	+0.7	222/273/412	190	263	26	7	26%	6%	89	+1.0	191/231/411	221	195	37	0	27%	4%	68	-0.1
✕Kevin Pillar 2023 · MLB	34	46→56	55	48→55	44	243/297/430	187	268	24	9	20%	5%	103	+1.9	234/282/402	168	272	20	15	22%	5%	89	+1.0	227/275/392	165	266	20	18	23%	4%	82	+0.2
✕Garrett Jones 2015 · MLB	34	49→53	54→60	45→50	48	252/310/440	187	292	21	3	22%	8%	111	+2.5	240/298/402	162	288	18	5	23%	7%	96	+1.5	212/253/350	138	253	18	0	24%	5%	62	-0.2
✕Chris Aguila 2012 · AAA	33	44→54	51→55	47→50	42	226/284/391	165	301	19	7	31%	7%	88	+0.9	230/288/367	137	304	15	8	28%	7%	82	+0.5	225/286/329	104	293	11	3	26%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Eric Karros 2002 · MLB	34	46→55	54→55	43→40	52	242/313/420	178	268	23	5	20%	9%	107	+2.2	260/318/408	148	284	17	5	15%	7%	105	+2.1	266/320/403	137	286	15	3	13%	7%	101	+1.1
✕Jake Fox 2016 · AAA	34	44→54	54→65	47→45	42	234/289/412	178	271	23	4	24%	5%	95	+1.4	211/261/353	142	279	16	4	30%	5%	68	-0.5	190/238/324	135	251	16	0	31%	5%	47	-1.5
✕Roberto Lopez 2019 · AAA	33	48→49	51→55	45	44	250/295/400	150	290	20	9	22%	6%	94	+1.3	236/285/361	125	279	16	8	21%	6%	79	+0.3	233/282/335	102	269	16	4	20%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Brett Harper 2015 · AAA	34	47→50	52→60	42→30	42	244/300/404	161	306	21	8	27%	6%	98	+1.6	245/301/415	170	302	25	4	27%	7%	101	+1.8	239/296/402	163	290	26	0	27%	6%	94	+0.7
●John Lindsey 2011 · AAA	34	46→53	50→65	43→30	40	236/293/395	159	289	18	2	25%	5%	93	+1.3	235/302/430	195	296	25	3	29%	6%	106	+2.2	229/309/457	227	279	33	0	30%	7%	114	+2.0
✕Darnell McDonald 2012 · MLB	33	50→56	51→55	49→55	47	251/309/421	169	298	18	12	22%	7%	105	+2.1	212/275/330	118	259	12	10	22%	8%	68	-0.5	191/254/281	91	237	8	9	22%	7%	44	-1.1
●Jose Guillen 2010 · MLB	34	52→57	51→60	46→45	46	262/317/420	158	289	19	4	17%	6%	108	+2.3	259/319/423	164	294	20	4	19%	6%	111	+2.5	265/324/433	168	302	21	1	20%	6%	112	+2.5
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2013 · AAA	34	44→52	51→55	44→40	43	225/291/379	154	300	20	4	31%	8%	88	+0.9	217/299/387	170	306	21	5	34%	9%	93	+1.3	206/299/378	171	289	22	4	34%	10%	91	+0.6
✕Miguel Olivo 2012 · MLB	34	44→51	53→60	45→50	39	233/273/405	171	288	22	8	28%	5%	86	+0.8	239/272/408	169	299	22	6	27%	4%	87	+0.8	243/276/391	148	320	17	9	29%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Chad Huffman 2018 · MLB	33	44→52	50→55	48→45	48	224/305/381	157	268	17	8	23%	8%	95	+1.4	231/302/392	161	291	19	6	26%	7%	95	+1.4	229/303/402	173	286	23	0	27%	7%	95	+0.8
✕Michael Morse 2015 · MLB	33	52→59	54→60	45	43	265/318/451	187	323	22	2	25%	6%	118	+3.0	247/314/395	148	336	17	4	29%	8%	102	+1.8	229/307/332	103	338	12	0	33%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Jeff Liefer 2008 · MLB	33	49→52	54→60	48→30	44	253/300/432	179	295	21	8	22%	6%	105	+2.1	220/276/346	126	302	13	9	30%	7%	72	-0.2	195/253/303	108	270	10	3	30%	7%	51	-0.4
✕Fernando Tatis 2009 · MLB	34	48→54	53→55	47→45	50	248/315/422	174	286	20	7	21%	8%	108	+2.3	252/315/413	161	289	17	7	19%	7%	105	+2.1	276/335/428	152	308	13	6	14%	6%	111	+1.6