Trey Mancini — OGILVIE

Trey Mancini1B Salt Lake Bees

Age 34 R/R 6'3" / 230 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .298 / .390

PA313

HR10

K%27

BB%7

xwOBA.274

Barrel%3.8%

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

60→60

SPD

45→45

EYE

42↘40

Barrel%

163.8

xwOBA

210.274

Avg EV

4788.9

Whiff%

210.142

Chase%

390.338

Speed

1025.4

Bat Spd

6272.6

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$1M		$-0.8M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	22	A+	2 teams	586	554	132	27	2	8	17	131	9	1	2	.238	.272	.338	.610	.099	.295	22	3	.264	60	-26	-1	+0	-10	+17	-2.1
2015	23	AA	2 teams	571	544	163	37	5	15	20	125	1	6	3	.300	.326	.469	.794	.169	.361	22	4	.341	119	+12	+0	+0	-10	+16	1.8
2016	24	AAA	3 teams	626	580	143	22	4	23	38	177	7	2	2	.247	.301	.417	.718	.171	.315	28	6	.308	94	-4	-0	+0	-11	+18	0.2
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	586	543	159	27	5	22	33	139	6	1	0	.293	.340	.483	.823	.190	.355	24	6	.353	128	+19	+0	-8	-6	+17	2.1
2018	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	636	582	140	22	3	23	44	153	5	0	1	.241	.300	.407	.707	.167	.285	24	7	.307	93	-5	-0	-9	-7	+18	-0.3
2019	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	679	602	176	37	2	33	63	143	9	1	0	.292	.368	.525	.893	.233	.332	21	9	.381	150	+38	+0	-9	-7	+19	4.2
2021	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	616	556	140	32	1	18	51	143	8	0	0	.252	.324	.410	.734	.158	.308	23	8	.318	101	+1	+0	-3	-11	+17	0.4
2022	30	MLB	Houston Astros	587	519	121	23	1	18	53	135	10	0	0	.233	.316	.385	.702	.152	.278	23	9	.306	92	-5	+0	-1	-10	+17	-0.0
2023	31	MLB	2 teams	282	256	60	13	0	6	21	84	2	0	0	.234	.297	.355	.653	.121	.320	30	7	.284	76	-8	+0	-3	-5	+8	-0.8
2025	33	AAA	Reno Aces	335	307	77	12	0	13	17	89	8	2	1	.251	.307	.417	.724	.166	.308	27	5	.313	98	-1	+0	+0	-6	+9	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	34	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	69	62	13	4	0	1	7	24	0	1	0	.210	.290	.323	.612	.113	.324	35	10	.284	76	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
ROS	34	MLB	LAA	244	221	51	10	0	8	18	69	3	2	1	.231	.298	.385	.682	.154	.301	28	7	.305	91	-2	+0	-1	-4	+7	-0.1
TOT	34	MLB	LAA	313	283	64	14	0	9	25	93	3	3	1	.226	.296	.371	.667	.145	.302	30	8	.300	88	-4	+0	-1	-6	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5748	5264	1362	262	23	187	375	1388	68	15	10	.259	.316	.424	.740	.165	.315	24	7	.320	103	+18	-1	-35	-89	+163	5.7
/ 162G	—			650	595	155	30	3	21	42	157	8	2	1	.261	.318	.427	.745	.166	.318	24	6	.320	103	+2	+0	-4	-10	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	22	A+	Frederick Keys	295	275	69	19	0	7	14	43	4	0	1	.251	.297	.396	.693	.145	.273	15	5	.307	93	-2	-0	—	—	+8	0.6
2014	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	291	268	85	13	3	3	14	52	5	1	1	.317	.362	.422	.784	.104	.378	18	5	.347	124	+8	-0	—	—	+8	1.6
2015	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	354	326	117	29	3	13	22	58	1	2	1	.359	.401	.586	.987	.227	.400	16	6	.425	183	+33	+0	—	—	+10	4.4
2015	23	A+	Frederick Keys	217	207	65	14	3	8	9	35	0	4	2	.314	.343	.527	.869	.213	.345	16	4	.378	147	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2016	24	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	15	14	5	1	0	3	0	4	1	0	0	.357	.400	1.071	1.471	.714	.286	27	0	.611	326	+4	+0	+0	-11	+0	-0.7
2016	24	AAA	Norfolk Tides	536	483	135	22	5	13	48	123	4	2	2	.280	.350	.427	.776	.147	.351	23	9	.347	123	+14	-0	—	—	+15	3.0
2016	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	75	63	19	4	0	7	10	17	2	0	0	.302	.413	.698	1.112	.397	.308	23	13	.472	219	+10	+0	—	—	+2	1.2
2017	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	586	543	159	26	4	24	33	139	6	1	0	.293	.340	.488	.828	.195	.352	24	6	.362	135	+23	+0	-8	-6	+17	2.6
2018	26	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	636	582	141	23	3	24	44	153	5	0	1	.242	.301	.416	.717	.174	.285	24	7	.316	100	+0	-0	-9	-7	+18	0.2
2019	27	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	679	602	175	38	2	35	63	143	9	1	0	.291	.366	.535	.901	.244	.326	21	9	.392	158	+44	+0	-9	-7	+19	4.8
2021	29	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	616	556	142	33	1	21	51	143	8	0	0	.255	.327	.432	.758	.176	.308	23	8	.337	116	+11	+0	-3	-11	+17	1.5
2022	30	MLB	Houston Astros	587	519	124	23	1	18	53	135	10	0	0	.239	.321	.391	.712	.152	.286	23	9	.319	102	+1	+0	-1	-10	+17	0.7
2023	31	MLB	Chicago Cubs	263	235	55	12	0	4	21	78	2	0	0	.234	.300	.336	.636	.102	.327	30	8	.286	77	-7	+0	-3	-5	+7	-0.7
2023	31	AAA	Louisville Bats	19	19	6	2	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	.316	.316	.737	1.053	.421	.333	26	0	.449	202	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2025	33	AAA	Reno Aces	335	299	92	16	0	16	25	70	8	2	1	.308	.377	.522	.898	.214	.352	21	7	.392	158	+22	+0	—	—	+9	3.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3382	3051	801	156	11	129	265	795	41	2	1	.263	.330	.448	.777	.185	.313	24	8	.343	120	+78	+0	-34	-58	+96	8.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trey Mancini (OGILVIE)	34	60	60	45	40	.234/.298/.390	.155	.298	10	2	27%	7%	94	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Colabello 2017 · MLB	33	48→58	50→60	44→40	40	.244/.293/.389	.145	.320	18	3	29%	6%	91	+1.1	.212/.280/.328	.116	.298	13	5	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.195/.272/.293	.099	.276	12	3	32%	9%	53	-1.2
●John Lindsey 2011 · AAA	34	48→53	52→65	43→30	41	.245/.304/.414	.169	.296	19	2	24%	5%	102	+1.9	.245/.310/.439	.194	.305	25	3	28%	6%	111	+2.5	.237/.315/.463	.226	.286	32	0	29%	7%	118	+2.2
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2013 · AAA	34	47→53	52→55	44→40	46	.238/.308/.399	.161	.306	20	4	28%	8%	100	+1.7	.225/.303/.401	.176	.310	22	5	33%	9%	98	+1.6	.214/.303/.393	.179	.294	23	4	33%	10%	97	+0.8
✕Abraham Valencia 2014 · AAA	34	47→53	51→50	43→45	41	.241/.298/.396	.155	.280	20	4	22%	4%	95	+1.4	.242/.303/.356	.114	.291	12	6	21%	5%	86	+0.8	.253/.319/.319	.065	.304	6	3	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Kevin Pillar 2023 · MLB	34	47→57	55	48→55	44	.246/.300/.432	.186	.274	23	9	20%	6%	105	+2.1	.232/.281/.400	.168	.269	21	14	22%	5%	89	+0.9	.223/.271/.382	.159	.261	19	18	23%	4%	78	+0.1
✕Darnell McDonald 2013 · MLB	34	45→55	49→55	45→55	49	.227/.295/.376	.149	.271	16	10	23%	8%	88	+0.9	.215/.274/.325	.110	.264	10	10	22%	7%	66	-0.6	.209/.261/.294	.086	.257	6	12	21%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Brad Snyder 2016 · MLB	34	47→54	51→60	43→50	39	.232/.283/.388	.157	.334	19	8	35%	7%	86	+0.8	.241/.299/.430	.189	.321	25	7	31%	7%	104	+2.0	.242/.304/.443	.202	.308	27	1	30%	8%	107	+0.7
✕Chris Aguila 2012 · AAA	33	42→52	50→55	47→50	40	.218/.272/.370	.152	.293	17	7	31%	6%	77	+0.1	.221/.278/.350	.129	.295	14	7	29%	6%	74	-0.1	.209/.271/.300	.090	.274	10	3	26%	6%	56	-0.7
●Cory Aldridge 2012 · AAA	33	47→51	52→55	46→45	39	.240/.284/.406	.166	.316	20	5	31%	6%	91	+1.1	.215/.271/.385	.170	.313	24	8	37%	7%	81	+0.4	.218/.283/.396	.178	.295	28	5	35%	8%	87	+0.4
✕Matt McBride 2019 · MLB	34	40→50	50→55	42→40	45	.211/.268/.372	.161	.245	18	4	23%	6%	76	+0.0	.216/.266/.391	.175	.257	23	6	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.184/.222/.370	.186	.199	30	0	27%	4%	53	-0.4
✕Ryan Raburn 2015 · MLB	34	43→53	50→60	45→50	47	.222/.287/.375	.153	.266	18	4	24%	8%	85	+0.7	.242/.321/.417	.175	.308	20	3	26%	10%	109	+2.4	.242/.330/.425	.182	.325	20	1	30%	10%	108	+0.8
✕Garrett Jones 2015 · MLB	34	48→53	54→60	46→50	48	.248/.305/.433	.185	.284	22	3	21%	8%	107	+2.2	.236/.293/.390	.154	.284	18	5	23%	7%	91	+1.1	.213/.254/.347	.134	.257	17	0	24%	5%	62	-0.2
●Randy Ruiz 2012 · MLB	34	49→56	56→60	47→40	42	.254/.308/.451	.197	.305	24	5	25%	6%	114	+2.7	.257/.303/.433	.176	.333	24	7	29%	5%	106	+2.2	.264/.308/.429	.164	.341	24	4	29%	5%	104	+0.9
✕Roberto Lopez 2019 · AAA	33	48	50	45	44	.246/.292/.392	.145	.287	19	9	22%	6%	91	+1.1	.234/.282/.355	.121	.276	16	8	21%	6%	77	+0.1	.227/.277/.326	.099	.263	15	4	20%	5%	64	-0.4
✕Chad Huffman 2018 · MLB	33	45→50	49→50	48→45	48	.227/.308/.382	.155	.275	15	8	23%	8%	96	+1.5	.229/.301/.381	.152	.291	17	6	26%	7%	92	+1.2	.225/.298/.382	.157	.288	19	0	28%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Corey Hart 2015 · MLB	33	46→56	52→60	52→55	46	.236/.300/.406	.170	.280	20	6	24%	7%	98	+1.6	.220/.274/.367	.147	.283	18	7	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.182/.203/.311	.129	.250	22	0	37%	2%	24	-0.6
●Chris Richard 2008 · AAA	34	46→53	51→60	47→50	46	.236/.306/.399	.163	.288	18	10	24%	7%	99	+1.7	.235/.301/.418	.183	.288	22	6	26%	7%	102	+1.9	.228/.296/.414	.185	.276	23	2	26%	7%	97	+1.2
✕Nick Martini 2023 · MLB	33	48→58	47→55	46→45	48	.237/.318/.372	.135	.301	15	7	25%	8%	97	+1.5	.231/.312/.396	.165	.282	19	3	24%	9%	101	+1.8	.218/.306/.374	.155	.263	17	0	23%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Dave McCarty 2004 · MLB	34	48	49→60	47→40	50	.244/.315/.393	.149	.291	17	5	22%	9%	101	+1.8	.251/.319/.401	.150	.314	16	8	24%	8%	104	+2.0	.257/.327/.401	.145	.324	14	4	24%	8%	106	+0.6
✕Valentino Pascucci 2012 · AAA	33	42→45	52→55	44→45	47	.218/.295/.386	.167	.296	20	3	32%	9%	91	+1.1	.212/.300/.378	.166	.309	21	3	36%	11%	92	+1.2	.191/.294/.354	.163	.276	23	0	37%	12%	81	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)