Odúbel Herrera

PosCF

B/TL/R

Born1991-12-29

Age (2027)35

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTL

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	31	INTLVenezuela	124	.299/.385/.411	2	2	127	—
2024	32	INTLTigres de Ara…	161	.349/.396/.500	4	9	151	—
2025	33	INTLNavegantes de…	56	.122/.218/.122	0	0	3	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2022

Speed40

Avg EV39

xwOBA36

Barrel%23

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2009	17	ROK	DSL Rangers 2	—	261	209	60	10	1	0	38	39	6	21	10	287	411	344	756	57	341	15	15	344	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK	AZL Rangers	—	200	178	60	7	4	0	16	27	2	8	5	337	398	421	819	84	392	14	8	362	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	505	464	142	26	3	3	24	78	8	34	11	306	351	394	745	88	361	15	5	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	551	500	141	22	6	4	33	99	7	27	7	282	335	374	709	92	342	18	6	314	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	412	389	100	12	7	2	17	67	1	15	5	257	290	339	629	82	304	16	4	279	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	115	95	28	2	1	1	16	19	1	2	2	295	402	368	770	74	355	17	14	347	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	408	368	118	16	4	2	29	70	3	12	7	321	375	402	777	82	389	17	7	344	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	137	111	33	3	1	0	23	21	0	9	3	297	418	342	760	45	359	15	17	349	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	232	207	77	14	3	6	19	29	3	8	0	372	432	556	988	184	413	12	8	429	177	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	537	495	147	30	3	8	28	129	8	16	8	297	345	418	763	121	387	24	5	338	114	+9	+0	+10	+2	+12	3.3
2015	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	—	50	47	20	2	0	0	2	7	0	4	1	426	449	468	917	43	488	14	4	405	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	656	583	167	21	6	15	63	134	6	25	7	286	362	420	782	134	349	20	10	350	116	+12	+2	+4	+2	+14	3.6
2017	25	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	563	526	148	42	3	14	31	126	4	8	5	281	326	452	779	171	345	22	6	343	114	+9	-0	+8	+2	+12	3.2
2018	26	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	597	550	140	19	3	22	38	122	7	5	2	255	311	420	731	165	290	20	6	324	100	-0	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2019	27	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	139	126	28	10	1	1	11	33	1	2	2	222	290	341	631	119	290	24	8	284	79	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2021	29	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	492	450	117	27	2	13	29	77	6	6	1	260	313	416	728	156	285	16	6	320	101	+1	+1	+2	+2	+11	1.7
2022	30	MLB	Philadelphia Phillies	—	197	185	44	9	1	5	11	42	0	6	0	238	281	378	659	141	281	21	6	292	82	-4	+1	+1	+1	+4	0.4
2022	30	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	20	19	7	2	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	368	400	474	874	105	500	25	0	391	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	148	122	34	11	0	3	18	25	5	3	1	279	393	443	836	164	320	17	12	370	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	INTL	Venezuela	—	124	107	32	4	1	2	13	18	2	2	0	299	385	411	796	112	341	15	10	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL	Tigres de Aragua	—	161	146	51	8	1	4	10	16	2	9	2	349	396	500	896	151	373	10	6	392	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	56	49	6	0	0	0	5	9	1	0	1	122	218	122	341		150	16	9	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3181	2915	791	158	19	78	211	663	32	68	25	271	327	419	746	148	326	21	7	331	110	+37	+4	+24	+12	+69	14.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2009	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	—	261	220	46	7	1	0	27	48	6	21	10	209	312	250	562	41	240	18	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	200	184	50	5	3	0	10	39	2	8	5	272	316	332	648	60	331	20	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	505	472	131	24	3	2	16	108	8	34	11	278	312	354	666	76	345	21	3	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	551	515	132	19	4	3	18	139	7	27	7	256	291	326	617	70	332	25	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	412	395	102	10	7	1	11	83	1	15	5	258	280	327	607	68	320	20	3	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	115	101	27	2	1	1	10	26	1	2	2	267	339	337	676	69	323	23	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	408	378	114	16	4	1	19	87	3	12	7	302	340	373	713	71	379	21	5	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	137	119	33	3	1	0	15	31	0	9	3	277	358	319	678	42	354	23	11	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	537	495	146	31	3	7	28	129	8	16	8	295	343	412	755	117	387	24	5	336	114	+9	+0	+10	+2	+12	3.3
2016	24	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	656	590	166	22	6	14	56	134	6	25	7	281	350	410	760	129	349	20	9	339	116	+12	+2	+4	+2	+14	3.6
2017	25	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	563	530	148	43	3	13	27	126	4	8	5	279	319	445	764	166	345	22	5	336	114	+9	-0	+8	+2	+12	3.2
2018	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	597	553	139	19	3	21	35	122	7	5	2	251	304	410	715	159	290	20	6	316	100	-0	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2019	27	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	139	126	28	10	1	1	11	33	1	2	2	222	290	341	631	119	290	24	8	284	79	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2021	29	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	492	451	117	28	2	12	29	77	6	6	1	259	313	410	723	151	285	16	6	317	101	+1	+1	+2	+2	+11	1.7
2022	30	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	197	185	44	9	1	5	11	42	0	6	0	238	281	378	659	141	281	21	6	289	82	-4	+1	+1	+1	+4	0.4
2022	30	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	20	19	5	1	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	263	300	316	616	53	420	35	0	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	—	261	220	46	7	1	0	27	48	6	21	10	209	312	250	562	41	258	18	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	—	261	209	60	10	1	0	38	39	6	21	10	287	411	344	756	57	341	15	15	344	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	200	184	50	5	3	0	10	39	2	8	5	272	316	332	648	60	340	20	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	—	200	178	60	7	4	0	16	27	2	8	5	337	398	421	819	84	392	14	8	362	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	505	472	131	24	3	2	16	108	8	34	11	278	312	354	666	76	354	21	3	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	505	464	142	26	3	3	24	78	8	34	11	306	351	394	745	88	361	15	5	330	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	551	515	132	19	4	3	18	139	7	27	7	256	291	326	617	70	342	25	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	551	500	141	22	6	4	33	99	7	27	7	282	335	374	709	92	342	18	6	314	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	496	130	12	8	3	21	109	2	17	7	262	295	337	631	75	328	21	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	527	484	128	14	8	3	33	86	2	17	7	264	314	345	659	81	314	16	6	294	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	777	708	211	27	8	2	49	168	6	29	10	298	349	367	716	69	386	22	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	777	686	228	33	8	8	71	120	6	29	10	332	400	439	839	106	391	15	9	370	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	587	541	160	34	3	8	31	141	8	20	9	296	343	414	757	118	386	24	5	336	114	+10	+0	+10	+2	+13	3.6
2015	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	587	542	167	32	3	8	30	136	8	20	9	308	353	423	776	114	398	23	5	343	114	+10	+0	+10	+2	+13	3.6
2016	24	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	656	590	166	22	6	14	56	134	6	25	7	281	350	410	760	129	342	20	9	339	116	+12	+2	+4	+2	+14	3.6
2016	24	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	656	583	167	21	6	15	63	134	6	25	7	286	362	420	782	134	349	20	10	350	116	+12	+2	+4	+2	+14	3.6
2017	25	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	563	530	148	43	3	13	27	126	4	8	5	279	319	445	764	166	344	22	5	336	114	+9	-0	+8	+2	+12	3.2
2017	25	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	563	526	148	42	3	14	31	126	4	8	5	281	326	452	779	171	345	22	6	343	114	+9	-0	+8	+2	+12	3.2
2018	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	597	553	139	19	3	21	35	122	7	5	2	251	304	410	715	159	287	20	6	316	100	-0	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2018	26	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	597	550	140	19	3	22	38	122	7	5	2	255	311	420	731	165	290	20	6	324	100	-0	+0	-2	+2	+13	1.3
2019	27	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	139	126	28	10	1	1	11	33	1	2	2	222	290	341	631	119	290	24	8	284	79	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2019	27	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	139	126	28	10	1	1	11	33	1	2	2	222	290	341	631	119	290	24	8	284	79	-4	-0	+0	+0	+3	-0.0
2021	29	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	492	451	117	28	2	12	29	77	6	6	1	259	313	410	723	151	286	16	6	317	101	+1	+1	+2	+2	+11	1.7
2021	29	MLB RAW	Philadelphia Phillies	—	492	450	117	27	2	13	29	77	6	6	1	260	313	416	728	156	285	16	6	320	101	+1	+1	+2	+2	+11	1.7
2022	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	365	336	83	18	2	8	19	82	6	9	1	247	299	384	683	137	300	22	5	288	81	-8	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.4
2022	30	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	365	326	85	22	1	8	29	72	6	9	1	261	332	408	740	147	308	20	8	329	81	-8	+1	+1	+1	+8	0.4
2023	31	INTL MLE	Venezuela	—	124	107	32	4	1	2	13	18	2	2	0	299	385	411	796	112	341	15	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	31	INTL RAW	Venezuela	—	124	107	32	4	1	2	13	18	2	2	0	299	385	411	796	112	341	15	10	355	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL MLE	Tigres de Aragua	—	161	146	51	8	1	4	10	16	2	9	2	349	396	500	896	151	373	10	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	32	INTL RAW	Tigres de Aragua	—	161	146	51	8	1	4	10	16	2	9	2	349	396	500	896	151	373	10	6	392	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL MLE	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	56	49	6	0	0	0	5	9	1	0	1	122	218	122	341		150	16	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	33	INTL RAW	Navegantes del Magallanes	—	56	49	6	0	0	0	5	9	1	0	1	122	218	122	341		150	16	9	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	—	261	226	46	7	1	0	27	48	6	21	10	204	312	243	556	40	240	18	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	—	200	186	50	5	3	0	10	39	2	8	5	269	316	328	644	59	331	20	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	19	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	505	476	131	24	3	2	16	108	8	34	11	275	312	351	663	76	345	21	3	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	20	A+ MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	551	521	132	19	4	3	18	139	7	27	7	253	291	322	613	69	332	25	3	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	527	499	130	12	8	3	21	109	2	17	7	261	295	335	629	74	321	21	4	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	777	716	211	27	8	2	49	168	6	29	10	295	349	363	712	68	373	22	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	587	543	160	34	3	8	31	141	8	20	9	295	343	413	756	118	387	24	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	24	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	656	589	166	22	6	14	56	134	6	25	7	282	350	411	761	129	349	20	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	25	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	563	527	148	43	3	13	27	126	4	8	5	281	319	448	767	167	345	22	5	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	26	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	597	550	139	19	3	21	35	122	7	5	2	253	304	413	717	160	290	20	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	27	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	139	126	28	10	1	1	11	33	1	2	2	222	290	341	631	119	290	24	8	284	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	29	MLB MLE	Philadelphia Phillies	—	492	454	117	28	2	12	29	77	6	6	1	258	313	407	720	150	285	16	6	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	365	337	83	18	2	8	19	82	6	9	1	246	299	383	682	136	293	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3181	2915	791	158	19	78	211	663	32	68	25	271	327	419	746	148	326	21	7	331	82	+37	+4	+24	+12	+69	14.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	162	32	4	16	43	135	7	14	5	272	329	419	748	148	326	21	7	331	82	+8	+1	+5	+2	+14	3.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6561	6024	1630	280	49	93	377	1369	74	222	80	271	321	380	701	109	334	21	6	289	82	+37	+4	+24	+12	+69	14.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	597	162	28	5	9	37	136	7	22	8	271	321	380	702	109	336	21	6	289	82	+8	+1	+5	+2	+14	3.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AClearwater Threshers · 20 PAwOBA .381 → .282 (−98)K% 25.0% → 34.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	34.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	5.00%	—	×0.780	—	×0.940	3.67%
Singles /BIP	35.71%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×0.940	30.89%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×0.940	11.15%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 22.0 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.0 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .381 → .282; ISO .105 → .073; BABIP .500 → .420. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 408 PAwOBA .336 → .313 (−23)K% 17.2% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.16%	÷0.983	×1.220	—	—	21.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.86%	÷1.055	×0.700	—	×1.027	4.68%
HBP% /PA	0.74%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.66%
Singles /BIP	32.21%	÷1.030	×0.920	×1.050	×1.027	31.03%
Doubles /BIP	5.37%	÷0.890	×0.840	×1.050	×1.027	5.47%
Triples /BIP	1.34%	÷0.921	×0.940	×1.050	×1.027	1.48%
Home runs /BIP	0.67%	÷1.322	×0.800	—	×1.027	0.42%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 106, 2B 78, 3B 84, K 97, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .336 → .313; ISO .082 → .079; BABIP .389 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 137 PAwOBA .346 → .303 (−43)K% 15.3% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.33%	÷0.957	×1.420	—	—	22.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.79%	÷0.954	×0.630	—	×0.998	11.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.860	—	×0.998	0.00%
Singles /BIP	32.22%	÷0.984	×0.940	×1.050	×0.998	32.26%
Doubles /BIP	3.33%	÷1.007	×0.830	×1.050	×0.998	2.88%
Triples /BIP	1.11%	÷0.900	×0.800	×1.050	×0.998	1.03%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.971	×0.900	—	×0.998	0.00%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 97, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 91, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .346 → .303; ISO .045 → .040; BABIP .359 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 412 PAwOBA .273 → .267 (−6)K% 16.3% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.26%	÷0.984	×1.220	—	—	20.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.13%	÷1.162	×0.700	—	×1.042	2.59%
HBP% /PA	0.24%	—	×0.870	—	×1.042	0.22%
Singles /BIP	24.53%	÷0.933	×0.920	×1.050	×1.042	26.48%
Doubles /BIP	3.73%	÷1.035	×0.840	×1.050	×1.042	3.31%
Triples /BIP	2.17%	÷0.986	×0.940	×1.050	×1.042	2.27%
Home runs /BIP	0.62%	÷1.114	×0.800	—	×1.042	0.46%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 87, 2B 107, 3B 97, K 97, BB 132 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .273 → .267; ISO .082 → .075; BABIP .304 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 115 PAwOBA .342 → .291 (−51)K% 16.5% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.52%	÷1.031	×1.420	—	—	22.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.91%	÷1.000	×0.630	—	×1.012	8.87%
HBP% /PA	0.87%	—	×0.860	—	×1.012	0.76%
Singles /BIP	31.58%	÷1.072	×0.940	×1.038	×1.012	29.06%
Doubles /BIP	2.63%	÷1.039	×0.830	×1.038	×1.012	2.21%
Triples /BIP	1.32%	÷1.085	×0.800	×1.038	×1.012	1.02%
Home runs /BIP	1.32%	÷0.847	×0.900	—	×1.012	1.41%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 114, 2B 108, 3B 117, K 106, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .342 → .291; ISO .074 → .069; BABIP .355 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans · 551 PAwOBA .306 → .270 (−36)K% 18.0% → 25.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.97%	÷1.013	×1.420	—	—	25.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.44%	÷1.102	×0.630	—	×1.027	3.20%
HBP% /PA	1.27%	—	×0.860	—	×1.027	1.12%
Singles /BIP	27.18%	÷1.013	×0.940	×1.050	×1.027	27.19%
Doubles /BIP	5.49%	÷0.981	×0.830	×1.050	×1.027	5.00%
Triples /BIP	1.50%	÷1.150	×0.800	×1.050	×1.027	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	1.00%	÷1.163	×0.900	—	×1.027	0.79%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 103, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 103, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .306 → .270; ISO .092 → .075; BABIP .342 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AHickory Crawdads · 505 PAwOBA .323 → .287 (−36)K% 15.4% → 21.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.45%	÷0.974	×1.340	—	—	21.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	4.75%	÷1.037	×0.660	—	×1.030	3.11%
HBP% /PA	1.58%	—	×0.770	—	×1.030	1.26%
Singles /BIP	28.50%	÷1.034	×0.920	×1.042	×1.030	27.20%
Doubles /BIP	6.74%	÷0.921	×0.820	×1.042	×1.030	6.43%
Triples /BIP	0.78%	÷0.946	×0.940	×1.042	×1.030	0.83%
Home runs /BIP	0.78%	÷1.247	×0.820	—	×1.030	0.53%

Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 107, 2B 84, 3B 89, K 95, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.042.

Result: wOBA .323 → .287; ISO .088 → .078; BABIP .361 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 ROKAZL Rangers · 200 PAwOBA .357 → .283 (−73)K% 13.5% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.50%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	19.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.00%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	5.00%
HBP% /PA	1.00%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.73%
Singles /BIP	32.45%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.044	×1.008	27.98%
Doubles /BIP	4.64%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.044	×1.008	3.51%
Triples /BIP	2.65%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.044	×1.008	2.01%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.

Result: wOBA .357 → .283; ISO .084 → .063; BABIP .392 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .