Javier Báez — OGILVIE

Javier BáezCF Detroit Tigers

Age 33 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 10.517 · Ctrl thru 2027 ILInjured 60-Day (D60)

2026 ROS PROJECTION82 act + 178 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9084vR 69

AVG/OBP/SLG.260 / .290 / .414

PA178

HR5

K%24

BB%3

BABIP317

ISO154

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 61 / POW 58

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT61

Whiff%

2613.7%

xwOBA

190.272

POWER58

Barrel%

346.1

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

6172.5

EYE31

Chase%

1041.0%

SPEED46

Sprint

4327.2

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 785 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

199

586

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

288

269

◀L

ISO

104

139

▶▶R

BABIP

333

266

◀◀L

23.1%

24.2%

◀L

BB%

2.5%

2.9%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2014

Service 10.517 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2027

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$9M	+0.3	$1M	-$8M
2027	Ext	$23M	+0.3	$1M	-$20M
Totals		$33M		$2M	-$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	19	A	3 teams	—	381	356	84	11	5	15	10	108	12	27	5	236	280	421	702	185	292	28	3	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	19	A	3 teams	—	381	350	98	15	6	20	16	83	12	27	5	280	333	529	862	249	312	22	4	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	2 teams	—	577	532	124	27	4	31	25	193	11	20	4	233	282	474	755	241	293	33	4	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	20	A+	2 teams	—	577	517	146	34	4	37	40	147	11	20	4	282	347	578	925	296	319	25	7	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AAA	3 teams	—	712	666	123	23	1	31	32	283	6	23	9	185	229	362	591	177	256	40	4	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	21	AAA	3 teams	—	712	644	147	33	2	34	54	246	6	23	9	228	294	444	738	216	304	35	8	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA	4 teams	—	467	432	121	21	2	15	22	129	10	20	7	280	330	442	772	162	366	28	5	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	AAA	4 teams	—	467	421	131	24	2	16	33	112	10	20	7	311	375	492	867	181	390	24	7	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	MLB	2 teams	—	465	436	118	19	1	15	15	113	11	13	3	271	312	422	734	151	332	24	3	314	98	-1	+1	+12	+2	+13	2.8
2016	23	MLB	2 teams	—	465	436	119	19	1	15	15	112	11	13	3	273	314	424	738	151	334	24	3	326	108	+4	+1	+12	+2	+13	3.3
2017	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	508	469	127	24	2	22	30	144	1	10	3	271	316	471	787	200	344	28	6	316	100	+0	+1	+11	+5	+14	3.2
2017	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	508	469	128	24	2	23	30	144	1	10	3	273	318	480	798	207	345	28	6	345	122	+13	+1	+11	+5	+14	4.5
2018	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	645	606	174	39	9	33	29	167	5	21	9	287	325	545	870	257	344	26	4	362	135	+26	+1	+7	+2	+18	5.5
2018	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	645	606	176	40	9	34	29	167	5	21	9	290	328	554	883	264	347	26	4	379	148	+35	+1	+7	+2	+18	6.5
2019	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	561	531	147	37	4	28	28	156	0	11	7	277	313	520	833	243	341	28	5	354	129	+18	-1	+27	+6	+16	6.8
2019	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	561	531	149	38	4	29	28	156	0	11	7	281	317	531	848	250	345	28	5	367	139	+25	-1	+27	+6	+16	7.5
2020	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	235	222	45	9	1	8	7	75	4	3	0	203	240	360	601	158	262	32	3	258	56	-12	+1	+8	+3	+7	0.6
2020	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	235	222	45	9	1	8	7	75	4	3	0	203	240	360	601	158	262	32	3	264	60	-11	+1	+8	+3	+7	0.7
2021	28	MLB	New York Mets	—	547	503	133	18	2	31	28	184	13	18	5	264	320	493	813	229	351	34	5	349	125	+16	+2	+5	+6	+15	4.4
2021	28	MLB	New York Mets	—	547	502	133	18	2	31	28	184	13	18	5	265	320	494	814	229	352	34	5	355	130	+18	+2	+5	+6	+15	4.7
2022	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	590	555	138	29	4	19	26	147	6	9	2	249	290	418	708	169	304	25	4	304	91	-6	+1	+4	+6	+17	2.3
2022	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	590	555	132	27	4	17	26	147	6	9	2	238	279	393	672	155	292	25	4	297	85	-10	+1	+4	+6	+17	1.9
2023	30	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	547	511	117	19	4	10	24	125	9	12	0	229	276	341	616	112	282	23	4	273	67	-21	+2	+10	+6	+15	1.3
2023	30	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	547	510	113	18	4	9	24	125	9	12	0	222	268	325	594	104	274	23	4	267	62	-23	+2	+10	+6	+15	1.0
2024	31	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	289	272	53	13	0	7	12	69	2	8	1	195	234	320	554	125	231	24	4	236	39	-20	+1	+1	+3	+8	-0.7
2024	31	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	289	272	50	12	0	6	12	69	2	8	1	184	224	294	518	110	220	24	4	231	35	-21	+1	+1	+3	+8	-0.8
2025	32	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	437	418	111	18	3	13	10	109	6	5	1	266	293	416	709	151	328	25	2	308	94	-3	+1	+4	+5	+12	1.9
2025	32	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	437	417	107	17	3	12	10	109	6	5	1	257	283	398	681	141	318	25	2	300	87	-6	+1	+4	+5	+12	1.6
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	MLB	DET	—	82	78	20	5	0	2	2	16	1	1	1	256	284	397	681	141	295	20	2	295	84	-1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
YTD	33	MLB	DET	—	82	78	20	5	0	2	2	16	1	1	1	256	284	397	681	141	295	20	2	299	87	-1	-0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	33	MLB	DET	100%	178	169	44	9	1	5	5	42	2	3	1	260	290	414	704	154	313	24	3	305	92	-2	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.5
ROS	33	MLB	DET	100%	178	169	42	9	1	4	5	42	2	3	1	249	278	385	663	136	308	24	3	290	80	-4	+0	-0	+2	+5	0.3
FULL	33	MLB	DET	—	260	247	62	14	1	6	7	58	3	4	2	251	280	389	669	138	303	22	3	292	81	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
TOT	33	MLB	DET	—	260	247	64	14	1	7	7	58	3	4	2	259	288	409	697	150	310	22	3	302	89	-3	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	DET	100%	342	325	80	16	2	8	10	83	4	4	1	246	277	382	659	135	307	24	3	295	84	-6	+0	-5	+4	+10	0.2
2028	35	MLB	DET	100%	289	276	67	13	2	7	8	72	3	2	1	243	272	380	652	138	299	25	3	284	75	-8	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.3
2029	36	MLB	DET	100%	231	220	50	9	1	5	6	59	3	1	0	227	258	345	603	118	291	26	3	271	66	-9	+0	-7	+2	+7	-0.6
2027	34	MLB	DET	100%	342	325	80	16	2	8	10	83	4	4	1	246	277	382	659	135	302	24	3	281	73	-10	+0	-5	+4	+10	-0.2
2028	35	MLB	DET	100%	289	276	64	12	2	6	8	72	3	2	1	232	261	355	616	123	294	25	3	269	64	-12	+0	-6	+3	+8	-0.6
2029	36	MLB	DET	100%	231	220	50	9	1	5	6	59	3	1	0	227	258	345	603	118	287	26	3	257	55	-12	+0	-7	+2	+7	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6158	5784	1442	280	36	216	257	1659	70	125	37	249	289	422	712	173	311	27	4	311	96	-27	+10	+70	+64	+174	29.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	611	153	30	4	23	27	175	7	13	4	250	289	426	715	175	312	27	4	311	96	-3	+1	+7	+7	+18	3.1
Career	—			—	8001	7499	1856	354	48	303	327	2258	108	210	59	247	289	429	717	181	311	28	4	307	93	-61	+18	+70	+74	+227	33.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	609	152	29	4	25	27	183	9	17	5	250	291	433	725	184	314	28	4	307	93	-5	+1	+6	+6	+18	2.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	19	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	86	80	15	3	1	4	5	21	1	4	2	188	244	400	644	213	200	24	6	283	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2012	19	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	235	213	71	10	5	12	9	48	10	20	3	333	388	596	984	263	378	20	4	423	182	+22	+3	—	—	+7	3.2
2012	19	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	60	57	12	2	0	4	2	14	1	3	0	211	250	456	706	246	205	23	3	308	94	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.2
2013	20	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	240	218	64	15	0	20	19	69	0	8	2	294	350	638	988	344	333	29	8	418	178	+21	+1	—	—	+7	2.9
2013	20	A+	Daytona Cubs	—	337	299	82	19	4	17	21	78	11	12	2	274	344	535	880	261	310	23	6	377	146	+18	+2	—	—	+10	2.9
2014	21	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	229	213	36	6	0	9	15	95	1	5	1	169	227	324	551	155	248	41	7	247	47	-14	+1	-3	+8	+6	-0.2
2014	21	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	434	388	101	24	2	23	34	130	5	16	8	260	328	510	838	250	322	30	8	360	134	+17	+0	—	—	+12	2.9
2014	21	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	49	43	10	3	0	2	5	21	0	2	0	233	312	442	754	209	381	43	10	327	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2015	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	80	76	22	6	0	1	4	24	0	1	2	289	325	408	733	118	412	30	5	327	108	+1	-1	+2	+2	+2	0.6
2015	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	313	281	91	14	2	13	21	76	8	17	3	324	387	527	914	203	402	24	7	399	164	+22	+2	—	—	+9	3.4
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	15	12	5	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	417	533	500	1.033	83	417	0	7	471	219	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2015	22	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	59	52	13	3	0	2	7	12	0	1	2	250	339	423	762	173	289	20	12	341	119	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.2
2016	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	450	421	115	19	1	14	15	108	11	12	3	273	315	423	738	150	336	24	3	327	108	+4	+1	+12	+2	+13	3.3
2016	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	15	15	4	0	0	1	0	4	0	1	0	267	267	467	733	200	300	27	0	320	103	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2017	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	508	469	128	24	2	23	30	144	1	10	3	273	318	480	798	207	345	28	6	345	122	+13	+1	+11	+5	+14	4.5
2018	25	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	645	606	176	40	9	34	29	167	5	21	9	290	328	554	883	264	347	26	4	379	148	+35	+1	+7	+2	+18	6.5
2019	26	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	561	531	149	38	4	29	28	156	0	11	7	281	317	531	848	250	345	28	5	367	139	+25	-1	+27	+6	+16	7.5
2020	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	235	222	45	9	1	8	7	75	4	3	0	203	240	360	601	158	262	32	3	264	60	-11	+1	+8	+3	+7	0.7
2021	28	MLB	New York Mets	—	547	502	133	18	2	31	28	184	13	18	5	265	320	494	814	229	352	34	5	355	130	+18	+2	+5	+6	+15	4.7
2022	29	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	590	555	132	27	4	17	26	147	6	9	2	238	279	393	672	155	292	25	4	297	85	-10	+1	+4	+6	+17	1.9
2023	30	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	547	510	113	18	4	9	24	125	9	12	0	222	268	325	594	104	274	23	4	267	62	-23	+2	+10	+6	+15	1.0
2024	31	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	289	272	50	12	0	6	12	69	2	8	1	184	224	294	518	110	220	24	4	231	35	-21	+1	+1	+3	+8	-0.8
2025	32	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	437	417	107	17	3	12	10	109	6	5	1	257	283	398	681	141	318	25	2	300	87	-6	+1	+4	+5	+12	1.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	5118	4794	1206	234	30	193	228	1403	58	115	34	252	294	434	727	182	314	27	4	318	102	+11	+9	+88	+53	+145	31.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Juan Uribelast yr '16 career totals — 16 seasons, 6,715 PA	16	6,715	199	48	255	301	418	+33	+116	33.1	29.1
	/162	664	20	5	255	301	418	+3.3	+11.4	3.3	pk7: 25
#2Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	13	4,082	137	8	246	295	412	+69	+103	27.4	26.2
#2Yan Gomeslast yr '24 career totals — 13 seasons, 4,082 PA	/162	664	22	1	246	295	412	+11.2	+16.8	4.4	pk7: 25
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 17 projected seasons	17	6,322	222	128	251	288	425	+49	+133	21.7	22.0
	/162	664	23	13	251	288	425	+5.2	+14.0	2.3	pk7: 22
#3Alex Gonzalezlast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,527 PA	13	5,527	140	27	244	289	394	+37	+84	21.1	21.3
	/162	664	17	3	244	289	394	+4.4	+10.1	2.5	pk7: 21
#4Brandon Ingelast yr '13 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,617 PA	13	5,617	152	45	233	301	384	+26	+73	19.8	20.5
	/162	664	18	5	233	301	384	+3.1	+8.6	2.3	pk7: 21
#5Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#6Clint Barmeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,100 PA	11	4,100	89	43	245	294	379	+34	+76	16.8	16.2
	/162	664	14	7	245	294	379	+5.4	+12.4	2.7	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Javier Báez (OGILVIE)	33	45→61	61→58	46	31	259/288/409	150	310	7	4	22%	3%	89	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Romine 2022 · MLB	33	49→53	46→45	46→45	38	244/280/368	125	325	14	5	29%	5%	79	+0.3	214/260/332	118	289	14	6	30%	5%	62	-0.9	174/208/255	81	235	11	0	31%	4%	16	-1.3
✕Miguel Olivo 2012 · MLB	34	44→51	53→60	45→50	39	233/273/405	171	288	22	8	28%	5%	86	+0.8	239/272/408	169	299	22	6	27%	4%	87	+0.8	243/276/391	148	320	17	9	29%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Yuniesky Betancourt 2015 · MLB	33	44→54	51→50	45→50	44	227/263/386	158	242	20	4	17%	4%	77	+0.1	231/275/343	112	259	12	7	16%	5%	70	-0.3	237/256/276	39	257	3	0	9%	2%	43	-0.8
✕Adonis García 2019 · MLB	34	51→56	48→50	49→50	45	256/300/393	137	281	16	9	16%	5%	94	+1.3	213/271/328	115	261	13	14	23%	5%	66	-0.6	180/234/259	79	223	9	16	24%	4%	30	-1.4
✕Charlie Culberson 2023 · MLB	34	48→49	45	47→50	44	238/287/366	127	298	12	13	24%	6%	81	+0.4	226/275/342	116	315	12	12	30%	6%	70	-0.3	182/208/225	43	295	5	14	39%	3%	11	-0.8
●Eliezer Alfonzo 2011 · MLB	32	41→51	50→55	45→40	33	218/250/369	150	280	19	4	30%	3%	67	-0.5	245/277/438	193	286	28	5	25%	3%	98	+1.6	262/290/479	217	290	34	2	23%	2%	113	+1.0
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2015 · AAA	33	46	46→50	46→40	42	231/280/354	123	290	14	6	26%	6%	76	+0.0	216/263/315	99	304	9	5	31%	5%	58	-1.2	200/248/285	84	289	8	1	32%	5%	40	-0.7
✕Tim Beckham 2022 · MLB	32	45→55	54→55	45→50	40	235/281/415	180	297	23	6	29%	6%	92	+1.2	261/311/409	148	342	19	9	28%	6%	103	+1.9	321/370/451	131	434	19	6	28%	6%	132	+1.1
✕Hernando Arredondo 2010 · AAA	33	52→56	47→50	45→50	44	262/294/389	128	284	16	9	15%	4%	90	+1.0	250/280/382	132	277	16	10	16%	4%	82	+0.5	247/279/395	149	278	19	3	19%	3%	82	+0.3
✕Adam Rosales 2016 · MLB	33	46→49	45→55	45	45	230/291/349	120	285	13	11	24%	7%	79	+0.3	226/288/395	169	299	20	8	30%	7%	91	+1.1	212/272/381	169	275	20	4	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Carlos Valencia 2013 · AAA	33	43→53	50→60	42→40	40	224/256/382	159	253	17	4	20%	4%	73	-0.1	225/257/362	137	262	16	4	21%	3%	68	-0.5	218/250/345	127	253	17	2	22%	3%	60	-0.7
✕Matt McBride 2018 · MLB	33	42→50	50→55	44→40	43	218/268/376	158	249	17	4	21%	5%	76	+0.1	217/272/407	190	252	25	5	25%	6%	87	+0.8	197/257/407	210	214	30	0	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Adam Jones 2019 · MLB	33	53→55	50→60	47→50	44	269/307/417	149	295	19	5	17%	5%	104	+2.0	257/308/406	149	294	17	6	18%	6%	101	+1.8	253/308/400	147	291	17	2	19%	6%	96	+1.3
●Benji Gil 2006 · MLB	33	45→55	44→55	42→50	37	225/265/339	114	302	13	11	30%	4%	66	-0.6	272/312/413	141	338	16	13	23%	5%	104	+2.0	290/331/435	145	358	14	14	22%	5%	115	+1.5
✕Santiago Gonzalez 2016 · AAA	33	47→57	46→50	47→55	44	233/275/361	128	250	13	10	14%	4%	76	+0.0	231/270/324	93	265	7	9	16%	4%	63	-0.8	227/264/308	82	261	7	4	16%	2%	53	-0.8
✕Angel Berroa 2010 · MLB	33	47→56	44→55	41→50	46	231/284/346	115	262	11	5	17%	6%	75	-0.0	225/265/343	118	272	11	9	21%	4%	66	-0.6	254/297/421	167	303	20	5	23%	4%	99	+1.0
✕Nick Green 2013 · MLB	34	46→47	48→50	42→45	41	231/277/377	147	277	15	5	23%	4%	81	+0.4	208/255/324	116	270	12	6	27%	5%	57	-1.2	168/216/247	79	226	9	1	29%	4%	18	-2.7
✕Jeff Francoeur 2016 · MLB	32	45→55	48→60	46→50	39	233/265/370	138	279	17	7	24%	4%	73	-0.1	247/292/389	142	315	16	7	26%	6%	89	+1.0	260/305/388	128	344	13	4	27%	6%	89	+0.5
✕Kevin Pillar 2022 · MLB	33	47→57	53→55	47→55	42	247/291/422	175	275	21	10	20%	4%	98	+1.6	239/290/422	183	271	23	11	21%	5%	98	+1.6	233/285/412	180	263	22	15	21%	5%	92	+0.5
✕Juan Martinez 2019 · AAA	32	49→55	46→45	45→40	42	244/279/374	130	285	14	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	244/285/359	115	318	13	5	26%	5%	79	+0.3	252/292/348	96	334	11	0	27%	4%	74	-0.0