Hernando Arredondo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 37 | AAAAcereros del … | 270 | .275/.346/.404 | 6 | 0 | 59 | — | .222/.274/.310 |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 188 | .257/.306/.392 | 6 | 1 | 57 | — | .252/.292/.374 |
| 2016 | 39 | AAABroncos de Re… | 104 | .258/.287/.309 | 0 | 1 | 35 | — | .224/.248/.265 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 28 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 387 | 357 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 291 | 325 | 471 | 796 | 179 | 293 | 11 | 4 | 340 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 316 | 290 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 283 | 335 | 431 | 766 | 148 | 322 | 17 | 5 | 339 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 435 | 394 | 119 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 302 | 356 | 439 | 795 | 137 | 324 | 13 | 7 | 349 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 382 | 348 | 102 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 293 | 346 | 457 | 803 | 164 | 301 | 12 | 7 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 413 | 380 | 120 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 47 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 316 | 364 | 466 | 830 | 150 | 335 | 11 | 6 | 366 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 409 | 379 | 117 | 21 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 53 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 309 | 353 | 454 | 807 | 145 | 338 | 13 | 6 | 355 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 151 | 134 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 201 | 277 | 343 | 620 | 142 | 220 | 20 | 9 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 66 | 62 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 277 | 290 | 567 | 48 | 278 | 12 | 5 | 255 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 262 | 243 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 15 | 15 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 350 | 390 | 597 | 987 | 247 | 366 | 14 | 6 | 425 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 63 | 56 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 323 | 321 | 644 | 71 | 389 | 32 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 404 | 120 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 297 | 332 | 493 | 824 | 196 | 319 | 15 | 4 | 356 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 270 | 240 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 346 | 404 | 750 | 129 | 297 | 12 | 8 | 333 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 132 | 120 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 292 | 346 | 475 | 821 | 183 | 349 | 24 | 6 | 358 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 56 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 176 | 208 | 196 | 404 | 20 | 220 | 20 | 4 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 104 | 97 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 287 | 309 | 596 | 52 | 329 | 20 | 4 | 263 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 387 | 362 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 277 | 384 | 661 | 133 | 252 | 13 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 316 | 296 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 268 | 328 | 596 | 101 | 266 | 20 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 435 | 406 | 101 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 249 | 286 | 347 | 633 | 99 | 270 | 15 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 382 | 358 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 246 | 282 | 363 | 645 | 117 | 255 | 14 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 413 | 393 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 260 | 289 | 364 | 652 | 104 | 281 | 14 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 409 | 389 | 94 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 242 | 272 | 344 | 616 | 103 | 264 | 15 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 66 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 231 | 238 | 469 | 32 | 240 | 15 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 262 | 250 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 276 | 301 | 444 | 745 | 168 | 300 | 18 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 412 | 93 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 226 | 249 | 352 | 601 | 126 | 250 | 19 | 2 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 270 | 248 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 274 | 310 | 585 | 89 | 245 | 15 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 132 | 123 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 292 | 374 | 666 | 122 | 309 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 104 | 98 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 248 | 265 | 513 | 41 | 290 | 24 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 387 | 362 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 251 | 277 | 384 | 661 | 133 | 263 | 13 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 387 | 357 | 104 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 291 | 325 | 471 | 796 | 179 | 293 | 11 | 4 | 340 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 316 | 296 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 268 | 328 | 596 | 101 | 272 | 20 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 316 | 290 | 82 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 283 | 335 | 431 | 766 | 148 | 322 | 17 | 5 | 339 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 435 | 406 | 101 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 249 | 286 | 347 | 633 | 99 | 276 | 15 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 435 | 394 | 119 | 22 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 55 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 302 | 356 | 439 | 795 | 137 | 324 | 13 | 7 | 349 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 382 | 358 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 246 | 282 | 363 | 645 | 117 | 263 | 14 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 382 | 348 | 102 | 15 | 0 | 14 | 25 | 46 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 293 | 346 | 457 | 803 | 164 | 301 | 12 | 7 | 351 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 413 | 393 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 260 | 289 | 364 | 652 | 104 | 286 | 14 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 413 | 380 | 120 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 26 | 47 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 316 | 364 | 466 | 830 | 150 | 335 | 11 | 6 | 366 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 560 | 531 | 126 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 85 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 237 | 268 | 333 | 601 | 96 | 267 | 15 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 560 | 513 | 144 | 25 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 83 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 281 | 333 | 425 | 758 | 144 | 309 | 15 | 6 | 334 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 66 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 231 | 238 | 469 | 32 | 245 | 15 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA RAW | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 66 | 62 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 242 | 277 | 290 | 567 | 48 | 278 | 12 | 5 | 255 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 309 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 275 | 302 | 440 | 742 | 165 | 307 | 18 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 325 | 299 | 99 | 19 | 0 | 15 | 20 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 331 | 377 | 545 | 922 | 214 | 370 | 18 | 6 | 400 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 412 | 93 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 226 | 249 | 352 | 601 | 126 | 256 | 19 | 2 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 404 | 120 | 33 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 64 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 297 | 332 | 493 | 824 | 196 | 319 | 15 | 4 | 356 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 270 | 248 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 222 | 274 | 310 | 585 | 89 | 251 | 15 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 270 | 240 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 32 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 275 | 346 | 404 | 750 | 129 | 297 | 12 | 8 | 333 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 188 | 174 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 253 | 290 | 368 | 657 | 115 | 328 | 28 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 188 | 171 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 257 | 306 | 392 | 698 | 135 | 306 | 23 | 5 | 304 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 104 | 98 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 248 | 265 | 513 | 41 | 301 | 24 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA RAW | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 104 | 97 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 287 | 309 | 596 | 52 | 329 | 20 | 4 | 263 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 28 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 387 | 371 | 91 | 18 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 245 | 277 | 375 | 652 | 129 | 252 | 13 | 3 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 29 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 316 | 296 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 64 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 268 | 328 | 596 | 101 | 266 | 20 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 435 | 411 | 101 | 17 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 66 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 246 | 286 | 343 | 629 | 97 | 270 | 15 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 382 | 361 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 15 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 244 | 282 | 360 | 642 | 116 | 255 | 14 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 32 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 413 | 394 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 57 | 3 | 10 | 4 | 259 | 289 | 363 | 651 | 104 | 281 | 14 | 3 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 560 | 533 | 126 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 85 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 236 | 268 | 332 | 600 | 96 | 264 | 15 | 3 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 34 | AAA MLE | Saraperos de Saltillo | — | 66 | 64 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 203 | 231 | 234 | 465 | 31 | 240 | 15 | 3 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 325 | 310 | 85 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 10 | 59 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 274 | 302 | 439 | 741 | 165 | 300 | 18 | 3 | 315 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 36 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros de la Laguna | — | 432 | 416 | 93 | 23 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 224 | 249 | 349 | 598 | 125 | 250 | 19 | 2 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 37 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 270 | 250 | 55 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 41 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 220 | 274 | 308 | 582 | 88 | 245 | 15 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 38 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 188 | 177 | 44 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 249 | 290 | 362 | 651 | 113 | 309 | 28 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 39 | AAA MLE | Broncos de Reynosa | — | 104 | 100 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 248 | 260 | 508 | 40 | 290 | 24 | 3 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3878 | 3650 | 887 | 156 | 5 | 79 | 132 | 645 | 32 | 40 | 33 | 243 | 276 | 353 | 629 | 110 | 273 | 17 | 3 | 272 | 70 | -137 | -5 | +0 | +14 | +84 | -4.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 612 | 148 | 26 | 1 | 13 | 22 | 108 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 242 | 274 | 351 | 625 | 109 | 272 | 17 | 3 | 272 | 70 | -23 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAABroncos de Reynosa · 104 PAwOBA .256 → .220 (−36)K% 20.2% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.19% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.85% | ÷0.970 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.014 | ×0.930 | ×1.048 | ×0.940 | 23.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.030 | ×0.830 | ×1.048 | ×0.940 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.048 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.874 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 40 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (12.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.048.
Result: wOBA .256 → .220; ISO .052 → .041; BABIP .329 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 132 PAwOBA .348 → .283 (−65)K% 24.2% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.24% | ÷1.063 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.30% | ÷0.979 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.41% | ÷0.988 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 26.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.82% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 39 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (11.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .348 → .283; ISO .183 → .122; BABIP .349 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 270 PAwOBA .325 → .255 (−69)K% 11.9% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.85% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.15% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×0.940 | 19.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×0.940 | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.88% | ÷0.952 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.99% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .325 → .255; ISO .129 → .095; BABIP .297 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAVaqueros de la Laguna · 432 PAwOBA .349 → .261 (−88)K% 14.8% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.81% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.70% | ÷0.989 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.88% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×0.940 | 17.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.71% | ÷1.098 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×0.940 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.940 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.12% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.73% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 90, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .349 → .261; ISO .196 → .132; BABIP .319 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 262 PAwOBA .412 → .315 (−97)K% 14.1% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.12% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.34% | ÷1.136 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.38% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.70% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×1.013 | ×0.940 | 22.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.28% | ÷1.003 | ×0.830 | ×1.013 | ×0.940 | 5.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.013 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.28% | ÷0.984 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 4.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 107, 2B 101, 3B 130, K 86, BB 127 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.
Result: wOBA .412 → .315; ISO .247 → .172; BABIP .366 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 66 PAwOBA .248 → .205 (−43)K% 12.1% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.12% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 19.45% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.008 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 4.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .248 → .205; ISO .048 → .039; BABIP .278 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 409 PAwOBA .345 → .263 (−82)K% 13.0% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.96% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.38% | ÷1.057 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.77% | ÷1.073 | ×0.930 | ×1.000 | ×0.940 | 20.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.44% | ÷1.118 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×0.940 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.61% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×0.940 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.07% | ÷0.963 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.10% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 115, 2B 124, 3B 130, K 106, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .345 → .263; ISO .145 → .102; BABIP .338 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAASaraperos de Saltillo · 413 PAwOBA .351 → .285 (−66)K% 11.4% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.38% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.73% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×0.942 | 22.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×0.942 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.30% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×0.942 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 2.38% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .351 → .285; ISO .150 → .108; BABIP .335 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .