Jordy Mercer

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1986-08-27

Age (2027)40

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

MLBLAST SEASON 2021

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	32	AAA/A+DET	66	.175/.288/.228	0	0	20	—	.135/.212/.168
2019	32	MLBDET	271	.270/.310/.438	9	0	113	1.4
2020	33	MLBNYY	22	.200/.273/.200	0	0	40	-0.1
2021	34	MLBWSH	127	.254/.307/.364	2	0	90	0.1
2022	35	No MLB games played
2023	36	No MLB games played
2024	37	No MLB games played
2025	38	No MLB games played
2026	39	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 1.5

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2019-2021

xwOBA45

Speed30

Barrel%27

Avg EV16

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	21	A	Hickory Crawdads	—	208	192	48	7	0	4	12	44	2	4	3	250	301	349	650	99	303	21	6	292	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	580	513	131	36	4	10	41	93	9	10	6	255	321	400	721	144	285	16	7	314	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	538	485	137	31	2	3	31	69	7	7	1	282	335	373	708	91	318	13	6	311	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	86	75	20	4	0	1	6	14	3	1	1	267	345	360	705	93	306	16	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	250	226	54	13	1	6	13	43	8	3	3	239	304	385	689	146	271	17	5	306	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA	Altoona Curve	—	301	265	71	17	1	13	23	35	4	6	3	268	336	487	822	219	260	12	8	351	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	68	62	13	5	1	1	4	14	1	0	1	210	269	371	640	161	250	21	6	280	75	-2	-0	+2	+3	+1	0.4
2012	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	236	209	60	14	1	4	20	45	4	3	5	287	361	421	782	134	346	19	8	347	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	365	333	95	22	2	8	22	62	4	3	2	285	337	435	772	150	330	17	6	338	108	+4	-0	-4	+5	+8	1.3
2013	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	109	96	32	6	1	1	12	17	0	3	1	333	407	448	855	115	392	16	11	381	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	555	506	129	27	2	12	35	89	4	4	1	255	308	387	696	132	285	16	6	306	84	-10	+0	+7	+6	+12	1.5
2015	28	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	430	394	96	21	0	3	27	73	2	3	2	244	296	320	615	76	290	17	6	276	65	-18	-0	+7	+5	+9	0.3
2015	28	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	26	25	6	0	0	1	1	5	0	0	0	240	269	360	629	120	263	19	4	281	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	584	519	133	22	3	11	51	83	5	1	1	256	329	374	702	118	286	14	9	313	93	-5	-0	+11	+6	+13	2.5
2017	30	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	558	502	128	24	5	14	51	88	3	0	4	255	327	406	734	151	284	16	9	327	99	-1	-2	+7	+6	+12	2.3
2018	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	436	394	99	29	2	6	32	87	6	2	0	251	317	381	698	129	306	20	7	311	87	-7	+0	+10	+5	+9	1.8
2019	32	MLB	Detroit Tigers	—	271	256	69	16	0	9	13	57	2	0	0	270	310	438	747	168	316	21	5	331	113	+4	+0	+1	+4	+6	1.4
2019	32	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	50	43	10	3	0	0	5	6	2	0	0	233	340	302	642	70	270	12	10	303	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	A+	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	16	14	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0		125		125			19	12	87	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB	New York Yankees	—	22	20	4	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		222	9	9	228	40	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
2021	34	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	127	118	30	7	0	2	9	34	0	0	0	254	307	364	671	110	341	27	7	303	90	-1	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	3416	3104	796	173	15	66	246	589	27	13	11	256	317	386	702	129	296	17	7	312	97	-11	-2	+41	+40	+74	14.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	208	196	40	5	0	3	8	59	2	4	3	204	243	276	518	71	272	28	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	580	528	114	29	3	9	26	132	9	10	6	216	265	333	598	117	250	23	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	538	494	134	27	2	3	22	85	7	7	1	271	312	352	664	81	303	16	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	250	230	51	12	1	5	10	52	8	3	3	222	279	348	627	126	264	21	4	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	301	270	66	15	1	11	18	44	4	6	3	244	301	430	731	185	237	15	6	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	68	62	13	5	1	1	4	14	1	0	1	210	269	371	640	161	250	21	6	279	75	-2	-0	+2	+3	+1	0.4
2012	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	236	217	53	12	1	3	12	53	4	3	5	244	296	350	646	106	303	22	5	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	365	339	95	21	2	9	16	62	4	3	2	280	320	434	754	153	330	17	4	328	108	+4	-0	-4	+5	+8	1.3
2013	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	109	100	29	5	1	1	8	22	0	3	1	290	343	390	733	100	360	20	7	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	555	518	129	26	2	13	23	89	4	4	1	249	286	382	668	133	285	16	4	293	84	-10	+0	+7	+6	+12	1.5
2015	28	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	430	401	95	20	0	3	20	73	2	3	2	237	277	309	586	72	290	17	5	264	65	-18	-0	+7	+5	+9	0.3
2015	28	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	26	25	5	0	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	200	231	320	551	120	230	23	4	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	584	527	133	21	3	12	43	83	5	1	1	252	315	372	687	120	286	14	7	306	93	-5	-0	+11	+6	+13	2.5
2017	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	558	515	128	23	5	15	38	88	3	0	4	249	304	400	704	151	284	16	7	314	99	-1	-2	+7	+6	+12	2.3
2018	31	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	436	403	98	28	2	6	23	87	6	2	0	243	294	367	661	124	306	20	5	296	87	-7	+0	+10	+5	+9	1.8
2019	32	MLB MLE	Detroit Tigers	—	271	257	70	16	0	9	12	57	2	0	0	272	310	440	750	167	316	21	4	335	113	+4	+0	+1	+4	+6	1.4
2019	32	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	50	45	8	2	0	0	3	7	2	0	0	178	260	222	482	44	227	14	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	A+ MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	16	15	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0		62		62			25	6	63	-71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	22	20	4	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		222	9	9	228	40	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
2021	34	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	127	118	30	7	0	2	9	34	0	0	0	254	307	364	671	110	341	27	7	301	90	-1	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2008	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	208	196	40	5	0	3	8	59	2	4	3	204	243	276	518	71	274	28	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	21	A RAW	Hickory Crawdads	—	208	192	48	7	0	4	12	44	2	4	3	250	301	349	650	99	303	21	6	292	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	580	528	114	29	3	9	26	132	9	10	6	216	265	333	598	117	262	23	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	580	513	131	36	4	10	41	93	9	10	6	255	321	400	721	144	285	16	7	314	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	624	571	155	31	2	3	26	99	10	8	2	271	315	349	663	77	317	16	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	624	560	157	35	2	4	37	83	10	8	2	280	336	371	708	91	316	13	6	312	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	499	118	27	2	17	28	95	12	9	6	236	293	401	694	164	257	17	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	551	491	125	30	2	19	36	78	12	9	6	255	321	440	761	185	265	14	7	331	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	304	279	66	17	2	4	16	67	5	3	6	237	290	355	645	118	294	22	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	304	271	73	19	2	5	24	59	5	3	6	269	340	410	750	140	324	19	8	332	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	474	439	125	26	3	10	24	84	4	6	3	285	328	426	754	141	331	18	5	327	107	+4	+0	-4	+5	+10	1.6
2013	26	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	474	429	127	28	3	9	34	79	4	6	3	296	353	438	792	142	344	17	7	348	107	+4	+0	-4	+5	+10	1.6
2014	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	555	518	129	26	2	13	23	89	4	4	1	249	286	382	668	133	276	16	4	293	84	-10	+0	+7	+6	+12	1.5
2014	27	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	555	506	129	27	2	12	35	89	4	4	1	255	308	387	696	132	285	16	6	306	84	-10	+0	+7	+6	+12	1.5
2015	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	456	426	101	20	0	4	21	79	2	3	2	237	276	312	588	75	280	17	5	262	63	-20	-0	+7	+5	+10	0.1
2015	28	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	456	419	102	21	0	4	28	78	2	3	2	243	294	322	616	79	288	17	6	276	63	-20	-0	+7	+5	+10	0.1
2016	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	584	527	133	21	3	12	43	83	5	1	1	252	315	372	687	120	279	14	7	306	93	-5	-0	+11	+6	+13	2.5
2016	29	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	584	519	133	22	3	11	51	83	5	1	1	256	329	374	702	118	286	14	9	313	93	-5	-0	+11	+6	+13	2.5
2017	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	558	515	128	23	5	15	38	88	3	0	4	249	304	400	704	151	273	16	7	314	99	-1	-2	+7	+6	+12	2.3
2017	30	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	558	502	128	24	5	14	51	88	3	0	4	255	327	406	734	151	284	16	9	327	99	-1	-2	+7	+6	+12	2.3
2018	31	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	436	403	98	28	2	6	23	87	6	2	0	243	294	367	661	124	294	20	5	296	87	-7	+0	+10	+5	+9	1.8
2018	31	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	436	394	99	29	2	6	32	87	6	2	0	251	317	381	698	129	306	20	7	311	87	-7	+0	+10	+5	+9	1.8
2019	32	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	337	316	79	19	0	9	17	68	4	0	0	250	297	396	692	146	293	20	5	308	95	-2	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.9
2019	32	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	337	313	79	19	0	9	20	66	4	0	0	252	306	399	705	147	294	20	6	315	95	-2	+0	+1	+4	+7	0.9
2020	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	22	20	4	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		222	9	9	228	40	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
2020	33	MLB RAW	New York Yankees	—	22	20	4	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		222	9	9	228	40	-2	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.1
2021	34	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	127	118	30	7	0	2	9	34	0	0	0	254	307	364	671	110	341	27	7	301	90	-1	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2021	34	MLB RAW	Washington Nationals	—	127	118	30	7	0	2	9	34	0	0	0	254	307	364	671	110	341	27	7	303	90	-1	+0	-0	+0	+3	0.1
2008	21	A MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	208	196	40	5	0	3	8	59	2	4	3	204	243	276	518	71	272	28	4	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	22	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	580	540	114	29	3	9	26	132	9	10	6	211	265	326	591	115	250	23	4	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	624	583	155	31	2	3	26	99	10	8	2	266	315	341	656	75	303	16	4	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	551	506	118	27	2	17	28	95	12	9	6	233	293	395	688	162	249	17	5	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	304	280	66	17	2	4	16	67	5	3	6	236	290	354	644	118	291	22	5	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	26	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	474	443	125	26	3	10	24	84	4	6	3	282	328	422	750	140	337	18	5	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	27	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	555	523	129	26	2	13	23	89	4	4	1	247	286	379	665	132	285	16	4	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	28	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	456	430	101	20	0	4	21	79	2	3	2	235	276	309	585	74	286	17	5	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	584	531	133	21	3	12	43	83	5	1	1	250	315	369	684	119	286	14	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	30	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	558	512	128	23	5	15	38	88	3	0	4	250	304	402	706	152	284	16	7	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	31	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	436	404	98	28	2	6	23	87	6	2	0	243	294	366	660	124	306	20	5	296	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	32	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	337	313	79	19	0	9	17	68	4	0	0	252	297	399	696	147	288	20	5	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	33	MLB MLE	New York Yankees	—	22	20	4	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	200	273	200	473		222	9	9	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	34	MLB MLE	Washington Nationals	—	127	117	30	7	0	2	9	34	0	0	0	256	307	368	675	111	341	27	7	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3416	3104	796	173	15	66	246	589	27	13	11	256	317	386	702	129	296	17	7	312	83	-11	-2	+41	+40	+74	14.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	591	152	33	3	13	47	112	5	2	2	257	317	389	706	132	296	17	7	312	83	-2	-0	+8	+8	+14	2.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5816	5355	1320	279	24	107	304	1066	66	50	34	246	295	368	663	121	286	18	5	291	83	-11	-2	+41	+40	+74	14.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	148	31	3	12	34	119	7	6	4	247	295	370	665	122	288	18	5	291	83	-2	-0	+8	+8	+14	2.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 50 PAwOBA .296 → .241 (−55)K% 12.0% → 13.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.00%	÷1.056	×1.200	—	—	13.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.004	×0.690	—	×0.942	6.47%
HBP% /PA	4.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.942	3.54%
Singles /BIP	18.92%	÷1.013	×0.930	—	×0.942	16.36%
Doubles /BIP	8.11%	÷0.995	×0.830	—	×0.942	6.37%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.096	×0.970	—	×0.942	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.888	×0.840	—	×0.942	0.00%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .296 → .241; ISO .070 → .057; BABIP .270 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Lakeland Flying Tigers · 16 PAwOBA .086 → .063 (−23)K% 18.8% → 26.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.75%	÷1.005	×1.420	—	—	26.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.50%	÷0.958	×0.750	—	×0.940	9.20%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.930	—	×0.940	0.00%
Singles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.026	×0.920	—	×0.940	0.00%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.037	×0.960	—	×0.940	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.004	×0.810	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.963	×0.880	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 107, 3B 101, K 101, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 22.8 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .086 → .063; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 26 PAwOBA .273 → .231 (−42)K% 19.2% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.23%	÷0.977	×1.200	—	—	23.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.85%	÷1.077	×0.690	—	×0.982	2.42%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.044	×0.930	—	×0.982	21.87%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.050	×0.830	—	×0.982	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.041	×0.970	—	×0.982	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	5.00%	÷0.847	×0.840	—	×0.982	4.87%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 109, 2B 110, 3B 108, K 95, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .273 → .231; ISO .120 → .112; BABIP .263 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 109 PAwOBA .374 → .322 (−52)K% 15.6% → 20.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.60%	÷0.909	×1.200	—	—	20.59%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.01%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.003	7.53%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.38%	÷0.978	×0.930	×0.981	×1.003	28.41%
Doubles /BIP	7.59%	÷0.954	×0.830	×0.981	×1.003	6.50%
Triples /BIP	1.27%	÷1.080	×0.970	×0.981	×1.003	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	1.27%	÷0.901	×0.840	—	×1.003	1.18%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 82, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .374 → .322; ISO .115 → .100; BABIP .392 → .360. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 236 PAwOBA .338 → .288 (−50)K% 19.1% → 22.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.07%	÷1.014	×1.200	—	—	22.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.63%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×1.018	5.13%
HBP% /PA	1.69%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.62%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.038	×0.930	×0.972	×1.018	22.16%
Doubles /BIP	8.54%	÷0.945	×0.830	×0.972	×1.018	7.42%
Triples /BIP	0.61%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.972	×1.018	0.51%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.095	×0.840	—	×1.018	1.90%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 108, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 103, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.

Result: wOBA .338 → .288; ISO .134 → .113; BABIP .346 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAltoona Curve · 301 PAwOBA .348 → .310 (−38)K% 11.6% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.63%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	14.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.64%	÷0.897	×0.700	—	×0.998	5.95%
HBP% /PA	1.33%	—	×0.850	—	×0.998	1.13%
Singles /BIP	17.39%	÷0.986	×0.970	×0.960	×0.998	16.39%
Doubles /BIP	7.39%	÷0.949	×0.860	×0.960	×0.998	6.42%
Triples /BIP	0.43%	÷0.949	×0.950	×0.960	×0.998	0.42%
Home runs /BIP	5.65%	÷0.931	×0.780	—	×0.998	4.73%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 97, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 95, BB 79 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .348 → .310; ISO .219 → .191; BABIP .260 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 250 PAwOBA .298 → .276 (−22)K% 17.2% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.20%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	20.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.20%	÷0.978	×0.690	—	×1.033	3.79%
HBP% /PA	3.20%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	3.11%
Singles /BIP	18.58%	÷1.008	×0.930	×1.032	×1.033	18.28%
Doubles /BIP	7.10%	÷0.927	×0.830	×1.032	×1.033	6.79%
Triples /BIP	0.55%	÷0.984	×0.970	×1.032	×1.033	0.57%
Home runs /BIP	3.28%	÷0.955	×0.840	—	×1.033	2.98%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 97, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .298 → .276; ISO .146 → .135; BABIP .271 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAltoona Curve · 538 PAwOBA .308 → .287 (−21)K% 12.8% → 15.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.83%	÷0.993	×1.220	—	—	15.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.58%	÷0.961	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.11%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.850	—	×1.012	1.12%
Singles /BIP	24.28%	÷0.970	×0.970	×0.981	×1.012	24.09%
Doubles /BIP	7.45%	÷1.017	×0.860	×0.981	×1.012	6.26%
Triples /BIP	0.48%	÷1.150	×0.950	×0.981	×1.012	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	0.72%	÷0.825	×0.780	—	×1.012	0.69%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 99, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .308 → .287; ISO .091 → .080; BABIP .318 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).