Carlos Valencia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 35 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 669 | .244/.287/.403 | 26 | 3 | 49 | — | .197/.229/.309 |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 619 | .228/.278/.346 | 13 | 5 | 47 | — | .203/.228/.269 |
| 2017 | 37 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 281 | .258/.318/.381 | 8 | 0 | 65 | — | .199/.250/.273 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA | Potros de Tijuana | — | 530 | 489 | 141 | 18 | 4 | 32 | 25 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 288 | 327 | 538 | 865 | 249 | 252 | 7 | 5 | 367 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 405 | 375 | 122 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 325 | 353 | 501 | 854 | 176 | 329 | 9 | 3 | 363 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 437 | 132 | 32 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 302 | 344 | 467 | 811 | 165 | 320 | 12 | 5 | 353 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 390 | 356 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 21 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 289 | 332 | 567 | 900 | 278 | 271 | 12 | 5 | 379 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 414 | 381 | 121 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 318 | 363 | 525 | 888 | 207 | 332 | 13 | 7 | 384 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 136 | 122 | 33 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 270 | 321 | 475 | 796 | 205 | 275 | 13 | 6 | 337 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | INTL | Mexico | — | 44 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 195 | 250 | 220 | 470 | 24 | 216 | 9 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 392 | 356 | 108 | 36 | 1 | 21 | 29 | 68 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 303 | 361 | 587 | 948 | 284 | 321 | 17 | 7 | 406 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | INTL | Mexico | — | 287 | 271 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 244 | 278 | 443 | 721 | 199 | 248 | 17 | 3 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 427 | 404 | 115 | 36 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 71 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 285 | 322 | 495 | 817 | 210 | 313 | 17 | 4 | 357 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | INTL | Mexico | — | 274 | 254 | 57 | 10 | 0 | 17 | 14 | 55 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 224 | 270 | 465 | 735 | 240 | 217 | 20 | 5 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 417 | 386 | 125 | 27 | 2 | 20 | 20 | 63 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 324 | 363 | 560 | 923 | 236 | 341 | 15 | 5 | 396 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 276 | 255 | 54 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 12 | 59 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 212 | 253 | 361 | 614 | 149 | 230 | 21 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 323 | 293 | 64 | 16 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 218 | 278 | 375 | 653 | 157 | 222 | 14 | 6 | 287 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 267 | 233 | 58 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 28 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 249 | 335 | 468 | 802 | 219 | 266 | 20 | 10 | 349 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 411 | 376 | 98 | 13 | 0 | 21 | 24 | 80 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 261 | 307 | 463 | 769 | 202 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 330 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 258 | 240 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 257 | 308 | 565 | 92 | 250 | 20 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 351 | 324 | 79 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 62 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 244 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 102 | 279 | 18 | 6 | 284 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 268 | 242 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 207 | 259 | 347 | 606 | 140 | 217 | 15 | 5 | 262 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 37 | AAA | Bravos de Leon | — | 177 | 157 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 255 | 320 | 376 | 696 | 121 | 282 | 18 | 7 | 306 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 37 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 104 | 95 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 314 | 389 | 703 | 126 | 289 | 15 | 5 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 530 | 497 | 125 | 15 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 252 | 280 | 437 | 717 | 185 | 224 | 8 | 3 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 405 | 381 | 113 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 315 | 436 | 750 | 139 | 297 | 11 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 447 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 262 | 290 | 385 | 675 | 123 | 281 | 14 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 390 | 365 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 238 | 266 | 441 | 708 | 203 | 227 | 15 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 414 | 391 | 103 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 263 | 294 | 414 | 708 | 151 | 280 | 15 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 136 | 126 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 244 | 349 | 593 | 135 | 224 | 17 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 392 | 368 | 79 | 23 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 82 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 255 | 389 | 644 | 174 | 235 | 21 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 427 | 412 | 88 | 27 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 214 | 239 | 350 | 589 | 136 | 250 | 20 | 2 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 417 | 397 | 96 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 82 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 242 | 266 | 368 | 634 | 126 | 273 | 20 | 2 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 323 | 300 | 53 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 56 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 177 | 221 | 290 | 511 | 113 | 185 | 17 | 3 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 411 | 385 | 76 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 98 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 229 | 309 | 539 | 112 | 220 | 24 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 351 | 335 | 68 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 70 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 203 | 228 | 269 | 497 | 66 | 237 | 20 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 37 | AAA MLE | Bravos de Leon | — | 177 | 161 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 250 | 273 | 523 | 75 | 230 | 23 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 530 | 497 | 125 | 15 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 252 | 280 | 437 | 717 | 185 | 231 | 8 | 3 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA RAW | Potros de Tijuana | — | 530 | 489 | 141 | 18 | 4 | 32 | 25 | 35 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 288 | 327 | 538 | 865 | 249 | 252 | 7 | 5 | 367 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 405 | 381 | 113 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 315 | 436 | 750 | 139 | 311 | 11 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 405 | 375 | 122 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 325 | 353 | 501 | 854 | 176 | 329 | 9 | 3 | 363 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 447 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 262 | 290 | 385 | 675 | 123 | 288 | 14 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 437 | 132 | 32 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 302 | 344 | 467 | 811 | 165 | 320 | 12 | 5 | 353 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 390 | 365 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 238 | 266 | 441 | 708 | 203 | 235 | 15 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 390 | 356 | 103 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 21 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 289 | 332 | 567 | 900 | 278 | 271 | 12 | 5 | 379 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 414 | 391 | 103 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 263 | 294 | 414 | 708 | 151 | 287 | 15 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA RAW | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 414 | 381 | 121 | 24 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 318 | 363 | 525 | 888 | 207 | 332 | 13 | 7 | 384 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 180 | 168 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 246 | 351 | 597 | 137 | 234 | 17 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 180 | 163 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 303 | 411 | 714 | 160 | 259 | 12 | 6 | 309 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 679 | 637 | 137 | 41 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 143 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 256 | 386 | 642 | 171 | 240 | 21 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 679 | 627 | 174 | 46 | 2 | 35 | 39 | 118 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 278 | 326 | 525 | 851 | 247 | 289 | 17 | 6 | 367 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 701 | 673 | 147 | 45 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 139 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 218 | 244 | 358 | 602 | 140 | 253 | 20 | 2 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 701 | 658 | 172 | 46 | 2 | 32 | 32 | 126 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 261 | 302 | 483 | 785 | 222 | 278 | 18 | 5 | 341 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 693 | 658 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 137 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 245 | 268 | 375 | 643 | 131 | 280 | 20 | 2 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 693 | 641 | 179 | 35 | 2 | 30 | 32 | 122 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 279 | 320 | 480 | 800 | 201 | 299 | 18 | 5 | 344 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 551 | 97 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 101 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 176 | 217 | 289 | 506 | 113 | 189 | 17 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 590 | 526 | 122 | 24 | 2 | 23 | 46 | 98 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 232 | 303 | 416 | 720 | 184 | 240 | 17 | 8 | 315 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 669 | 629 | 124 | 16 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 160 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 197 | 228 | 313 | 541 | 116 | 227 | 24 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 669 | 616 | 150 | 20 | 0 | 26 | 37 | 132 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 244 | 287 | 403 | 690 | 159 | 264 | 20 | 6 | 300 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 582 | 120 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 124 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 206 | 236 | 275 | 511 | 69 | 245 | 20 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 619 | 566 | 129 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 36 | 102 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 228 | 278 | 346 | 624 | 118 | 252 | 16 | 6 | 274 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 281 | 256 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 199 | 252 | 277 | 529 | 78 | 242 | 23 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 37 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 281 | 252 | 65 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 258 | 318 | 381 | 698 | 123 | 285 | 17 | 6 | 308 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 25 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 530 | 505 | 125 | 15 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 248 | 280 | 430 | 710 | 182 | 224 | 8 | 3 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 26 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 405 | 392 | 113 | 27 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 288 | 315 | 423 | 738 | 135 | 297 | 11 | 2 | 320 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 27 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 473 | 452 | 117 | 27 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 259 | 290 | 381 | 671 | 122 | 281 | 14 | 3 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 28 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 390 | 373 | 87 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 57 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 233 | 266 | 432 | 698 | 198 | 227 | 15 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 29 | AAA MLE | Diablos Rojos del Mexico | — | 414 | 394 | 103 | 19 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 63 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 261 | 294 | 411 | 705 | 150 | 280 | 15 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 180 | 171 | 36 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 246 | 345 | 591 | 135 | 224 | 17 | 3 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 679 | 639 | 137 | 41 | 1 | 22 | 29 | 143 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 214 | 256 | 385 | 641 | 171 | 235 | 21 | 4 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 701 | 672 | 147 | 45 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 139 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 219 | 244 | 359 | 603 | 140 | 250 | 20 | 2 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 693 | 667 | 161 | 31 | 2 | 17 | 15 | 137 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 241 | 268 | 370 | 638 | 129 | 273 | 20 | 2 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 34 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 590 | 556 | 97 | 23 | 0 | 13 | 21 | 101 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 174 | 217 | 286 | 503 | 112 | 185 | 17 | 4 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 35 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 669 | 639 | 124 | 16 | 0 | 19 | 24 | 160 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 194 | 228 | 308 | 536 | 114 | 220 | 24 | 4 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 36 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 619 | 591 | 120 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 124 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 203 | 236 | 271 | 507 | 68 | 237 | 20 | 3 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 37 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 281 | 261 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 65 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 195 | 252 | 272 | 524 | 77 | 230 | 23 | 5 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6624 | 6235 | 1418 | 292 | 19 | 170 | 213 | 1172 | 47 | 31 | 39 | 227 | 258 | 362 | 621 | 135 | 251 | 18 | 3 | 267 | 67 | -261 | -9 | +0 | +24 | +144 | -10.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 612 | 140 | 29 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 115 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 229 | 261 | 366 | 627 | 137 | 252 | 18 | 3 | 267 | 67 | -26 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAABravos de Leon · 177 PAwOBA .305 → .237 (−68)K% 18.1% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.08% | ÷0.942 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷0.968 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.80% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×0.940 | 20.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.20% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.940 | 2.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.68% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 107, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 88, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 38 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (10.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .305 → .237; ISO .121 → .085; BABIP .282 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAToros de Tijuana · 351 PAwOBA .274 → .218 (−56)K% 17.7% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.66% | ÷1.062 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.13% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×0.940 | 20.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.82% | ÷0.926 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.940 | 3.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.941 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×0.940 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.67% | ÷1.278 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.38% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 93, 2B 85, 3B 88, K 112, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .274 → .218; ISO .102 → .066; BABIP .279 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 411 PAwOBA .326 → .233 (−92)K% 19.5% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.46% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.60% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.62% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.961 | ×0.940 | 18.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.39% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | ×0.940 | 3.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.09% | ÷1.208 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.87% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 36 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .326 → .233; ISO .202 → .117; BABIP .273 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAALeones de Yucatan · 323 PAwOBA .281 → .224 (−57)K% 13.9% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.93% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.95% | ÷0.921 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 3.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.32% | ÷0.969 | ×0.930 | ×0.964 | ×0.940 | 13.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.970 | ×0.830 | ×0.964 | ×0.940 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.03% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 2.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 94, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .281 → .224; ISO .157 → .115; BABIP .222 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 417 PAwOBA .386 → .279 (−107)K% 15.1% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.11% | ÷0.920 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.60% | ÷1.068 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 2.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.96% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 0.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 20.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.36% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 5.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×0.940 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.277 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 3.19% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 96, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 84, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .386 → .279; ISO .236 → .135; BABIP .341 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 427 PAwOBA .346 → .257 (−88)K% 16.6% → 19.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.63% | ÷1.007 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.75% | ÷1.035 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 2.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.62% | ÷1.048 | ×0.930 | ×1.006 | ×0.942 | 15.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.81% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×0.942 | 8.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.942 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.50% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 2.73% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 102, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .346 → .257; ISO .210 → .142; BABIP .313 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 392 PAwOBA .396 → .277 (−120)K% 17.3% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.35% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.63% | ÷1.003 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.36% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | ×0.966 | ×0.952 | 14.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.50% | ÷1.180 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.952 | 8.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.952 | 0.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.29% | ÷1.104 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 4.40% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 105, 2B 136, 3B 130, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .396 → .277; ISO .284 → .177; BABIP .321 → .235. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAADiablos Rojos del Mexico · 136 PAwOBA .332 → .260 (−72)K% 13.2% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.24% | ÷0.938 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.15% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 3.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.31% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×1.011 | ×0.962 | 14.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.029 | ×0.830 | ×1.011 | ×0.962 | 7.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.011 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.81% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 3.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 111, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.
Result: wOBA .332 → .260; ISO .205 → .146; BABIP .275 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .