Luisangel Acuña
CF Chicago White Sox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 706 | .270/.321/.377 | 10 | 58 | 80 | — | .245/.281/.330 |
| 2024 | 22 | MLBNYM | 40 | .308/.325/.641 | 3 | 0 | 172 | 1.5 | |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 296 | .291/.384/.474 | 8 | 20 | 135 | — | .295/.331/.366 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLBNYM | 193 | .234/.295/.274 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 0.2 | |
| 2026 | 24 | MLBCWS | 224 | .229/.264/.276 | 2 | 18 | 50 | -0.9 | |
| 2027PROJ | 25 | MLBCWS | 223 | .254/.303/.365 | 5 | 16 | 87 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 26 | MLBCWS | 232 | .253/.303/.365 | 5 | 17 | 87 | 0.3 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 27 | MLBCWS | 244 | .252/.302/.362 | 5 | 17 | 86 | 0.3 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 240 | 202 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 26 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 342 | 441 | 455 | 897 | 114 | 381 | 11 | 14 | 401 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 473 | 413 | 110 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 110 | 4 | 44 | 11 | 266 | 350 | 404 | 754 | 138 | 329 | 23 | 10 | 335 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 169 | 152 | 34 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 36 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 224 | 302 | 349 | 650 | 125 | 274 | 21 | 10 | 295 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Hickory Crawdads | — | 240 | 205 | 65 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 60 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 317 | 417 | 483 | 900 | 166 | 416 | 25 | 14 | 402 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 90 | 80 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 237 | 322 | 362 | 685 | 125 | 293 | 22 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 569 | 510 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 52 | 106 | 2 | 57 | 10 | 294 | 362 | 410 | 772 | 116 | 353 | 19 | 9 | 345 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 40 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 325 | 641 | 966 | 333 | 300 | 15 | 2 | 414 | 172 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +8 | +1 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 587 | 547 | 141 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 96 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 258 | 301 | 355 | 656 | 97 | 299 | 16 | 5 | 292 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 119 | 101 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 337 | 422 | 495 | 917 | 158 | 383 | 15 | 9 | 399 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB | New York Mets | — | 193 | 175 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 234 | 295 | 274 | 569 | 40 | 295 | 19 | 7 | 261 | 67 | -8 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 122 | 109 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 303 | 356 | 385 | 741 | 83 | 355 | 16 | 7 | 324 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Cardenales de Lara | — | 174 | 142 | 40 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 33 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 282 | 404 | 542 | 946 | 261 | 308 | 19 | 15 | 407 | 161 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 224 | 210 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 229 | 264 | 276 | 540 | 48 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 243 | 50 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 457 | 424 | 101 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 87 | 3 | 34 | 8 | 238 | 282 | 309 | 591 | 71 | 287 | 19 | 5 | 265 | 66 | -19 | +4 | +1 | +11 | +10 | 0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 240 | 212 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 217 | 303 | 283 | 586 | 66 | 244 | 13 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 473 | 428 | 97 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 147 | 4 | 44 | 11 | 227 | 290 | 339 | 628 | 112 | 305 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 169 | 157 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 210 | 266 | 325 | 591 | 115 | 272 | 25 | 7 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 240 | 217 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 78 | 1 | 28 | 6 | 258 | 329 | 382 | 712 | 124 | 374 | 32 | 9 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 569 | 524 | 150 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 129 | 2 | 57 | 10 | 286 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 101 | 356 | 23 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 40 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 325 | 641 | 966 | 333 | 300 | 15 | 2 | 423 | 172 | +3 | -0 | +2 | +8 | +1 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 587 | 554 | 136 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 119 | 2 | 40 | 14 | 245 | 281 | 330 | 611 | 85 | 298 | 20 | 4 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Mets | — | 193 | 175 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 37 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 240 | 300 | 280 | 580 | 40 | 295 | 19 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -8 | +3 | +1 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 122 | 112 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 295 | 331 | 366 | 697 | 71 | 356 | 19 | 5 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 224 | 210 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 229 | 264 | 276 | 540 | 48 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 242 | 50 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 240 | 212 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 217 | 303 | 283 | 586 | 66 | 249 | 13 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 240 | 202 | 69 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 26 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 342 | 441 | 455 | 897 | 114 | 381 | 11 | 14 | 401 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 473 | 428 | 97 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 147 | 4 | 44 | 11 | 227 | 290 | 339 | 628 | 112 | 313 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 473 | 413 | 110 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 49 | 110 | 4 | 44 | 11 | 266 | 350 | 404 | 754 | 138 | 329 | 23 | 10 | 335 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 499 | 455 | 109 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 148 | 3 | 48 | 11 | 240 | 307 | 363 | 669 | 123 | 331 | 30 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 499 | 437 | 118 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 59 | 116 | 3 | 48 | 11 | 270 | 361 | 414 | 775 | 144 | 341 | 23 | 12 | 349 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 569 | 524 | 150 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 129 | 2 | 57 | 10 | 286 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 101 | 363 | 23 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 569 | 510 | 150 | 28 | 2 | 9 | 52 | 106 | 2 | 57 | 10 | 294 | 362 | 410 | 772 | 116 | 353 | 19 | 9 | 345 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 746 | 700 | 176 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 149 | 6 | 58 | 16 | 251 | 289 | 350 | 639 | 99 | 305 | 20 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 746 | 687 | 187 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 120 | 6 | 58 | 16 | 272 | 322 | 392 | 713 | 119 | 311 | 16 | 6 | 316 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 444 | 118 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 94 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 266 | 319 | 322 | 641 | 56 | 331 | 19 | 6 | 286 | 79 | -12 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 489 | 426 | 114 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 89 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 268 | 349 | 392 | 741 | 124 | 315 | 18 | 10 | 328 | 79 | -12 | +4 | +1 | +2 | +11 | 0.5 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 224 | 210 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 229 | 264 | 276 | 540 | 48 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 242 | 50 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB RAW | Chicago White Sox | — | 224 | 210 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 229 | 264 | 276 | 540 | 48 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 243 | 50 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.9 |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 240 | 212 | 46 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 32 | 2 | 17 | 6 | 217 | 303 | 283 | 586 | 66 | 244 | 13 | 10 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 473 | 432 | 97 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 147 | 4 | 44 | 11 | 225 | 290 | 336 | 625 | 111 | 305 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 499 | 452 | 109 | 17 | 3 | 11 | 41 | 148 | 3 | 48 | 11 | 241 | 307 | 365 | 672 | 124 | 332 | 30 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 569 | 524 | 150 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 129 | 2 | 57 | 10 | 286 | 337 | 387 | 724 | 101 | 356 | 23 | 7 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 746 | 703 | 176 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 149 | 6 | 58 | 16 | 250 | 289 | 349 | 638 | 98 | 298 | 20 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 451 | 118 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 94 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 262 | 319 | 317 | 636 | 55 | 319 | 19 | 6 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 224 | 212 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 226 | 264 | 274 | 537 | 47 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 746 | 703 | 176 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 149 | 6 | 58 | 16 | 250 | 289 | 349 | 638 | 98 | 298 | 20 | 4 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 489 | 451 | 118 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 94 | 5 | 36 | 7 | 262 | 319 | 317 | 636 | 55 | 319 | 19 | 6 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 224 | 212 | 48 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 226 | 264 | 274 | 537 | 47 | 277 | 20 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | CWS | 100% | 334 | 309 | 78 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 66 | 2 | 24 | 4 | 253 | 302 | 363 | 665 | 110 | 298 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -5 | +3 | -2 | +1 | +7 | 0.6 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | CWS | 100% | 223 | 206 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 254 | 303 | 365 | 668 | 111 | 298 | 20 | 6 | 299 | 87 | -3 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 283 | 262 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 56 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 253 | 302 | 362 | 665 | 110 | 297 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 87 | -4 | +3 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 297 | 275 | 69 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 59 | 2 | 21 | 3 | 252 | 301 | 360 | 661 | 108 | 297 | 20 | 6 | 296 | 86 | -5 | +3 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 305 | 282 | 70 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 61 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 250 | 299 | 355 | 654 | 105 | 296 | 20 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -6 | +3 | -3 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 298 | 277 | 69 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 60 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 247 | 296 | 349 | 645 | 102 | 295 | 20 | 6 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 82% | 294 | 273 | 67 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 61 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 244 | 293 | 341 | 634 | 97 | 293 | 21 | 6 | 284 | 79 | -7 | +2 | -4 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 232 | 214 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 46 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 253 | 303 | 365 | 668 | 111 | 298 | 20 | 6 | 298 | 87 | -4 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 244 | 226 | 57 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 48 | 2 | 17 | 3 | 252 | 302 | 362 | 664 | 110 | 297 | 20 | 6 | 297 | 86 | -4 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 250 | 231 | 58 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 2 | 16 | 3 | 250 | 300 | 357 | 657 | 107 | 296 | 20 | 6 | 294 | 84 | -5 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 244 | 227 | 56 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 248 | 297 | 351 | 648 | 103 | 295 | 20 | 6 | 290 | 82 | -5 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 82% | 241 | 224 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 50 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 245 | 293 | 343 | 636 | 98 | 293 | 21 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -6 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1668 | 1546 | 380 | 50 | 6 | 29 | 94 | 331 | 11 | 110 | 21 | 246 | 294 | 342 | 636 | 96 | 294 | 20 | 6 | 285 | 80 | -42 | +14 | -11 | +15 | +36 | 1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 147 | 19 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 129 | 4 | 43 | 8 | 244 | 292 | 337 | 630 | 93 | 292 | 20 | 6 | 285 | 80 | -16 | +5 | -4 | +6 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4940 | 4548 | 1138 | 162 | 27 | 75 | 307 | 1084 | 35 | 386 | 84 | 250 | 303 | 347 | 650 | 97 | 311 | 22 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -51 | +18 | -15 | +17 | +47 | 1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 150 | 21 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 143 | 5 | 51 | 11 | 251 | 303 | 349 | 652 | 99 | 312 | 22 | 6 | 286 | 80 | -15 | +6 | -5 | +5 | +14 | 0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAASyracuse Mets · 122 PAwOBA .323 → .314 (−9)K% 15.6% → 19.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.57% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.38% | ÷1.005 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷0.975 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 28.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷1.022 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 6.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷0.959 | ×0.970 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.167 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 95, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 96, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .323 → .314; ISO .083 → .079; BABIP .355 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASyracuse Mets · 587 PAwOBA .286 → .265 (−21)K% 16.4% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.35% | ÷0.968 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.95% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×1.034 | ×1.050 | 24.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.43% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×1.034 | ×1.050 | 4.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.034 | ×1.050 | 1.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.55% | ÷1.059 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 1.08% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 94, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .286 → .265; ISO .097 → .084; BABIP .299 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 569 PAwOBA .338 → .314 (−24)K% 18.6% → 22.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.63% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.14% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 6.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.050 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.48% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 28.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 6.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.23% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 1.97% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .338 → .314; ISO .116 → .102; BABIP .353 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hickory Crawdads · 240 PAwOBA .392 → .313 (−79)K% 25.0% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷1.007 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.17% | ÷0.985 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.042 | 8.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.042 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.41% | ÷1.039 | ×0.870 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 29.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.939 | ×0.780 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 6.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.850 | ×1.043 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.52% | ÷1.123 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.042 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 97, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .392 → .313; ISO .166 → .134; BABIP .416 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 169 PAwOBA .288 → .259 (−28)K% 21.3% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.30% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.06% | ÷1.012 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.83% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.17% | ÷1.030 | ×0.840 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.045 | ×1.050 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.59% | ÷0.915 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 2.38% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 106, 3B 80, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .288 → .259; ISO .125 → .117; BABIP .274 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ADown East Wood Ducks · 473 PAwOBA .332 → .275 (−57)K% 23.3% → 31.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.26% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.36% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.40% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 25.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 4.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.99% | ÷1.069 | ×0.910 | ×1.006 | ×1.045 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.96% | ÷0.996 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.33% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 104, 2B 101, 3B 114, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .332 → .275; ISO .138 → .112; BABIP .329 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Rangers 1 · 240 PAwOBA .395 → .264 (−131)K% 10.8% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.83% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 10.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 19.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.022 | 0.99% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.55% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .395 → .264; ISO .114 → .066; BABIP .381 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .