Johan Rojas
CF Philadelphia Phillies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 22 | AAPHI | 354 | .306/.364/.484 | 9 | 30 | 108 | — | .288/.335/.439 | |
| 2023 | 22 | MLBPHI | 164 | .302/.342/.430 | 2 | 14 | 110 | 1.4 | ||
| 2024 | 23 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 149 | .318/.393/.419 | 2 | 29 | 125 | — | .371/.389/.486 | |
| 2024 | 23 | MLBPHI | 363 | .243/.279/.322 | 3 | 25 | 65 | 0.6 | ||
| 2025 | 24 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 309 | .290/.357/.377 | 4 | 22 | 96 | — | .265/.306/.338 | |
| 2025 | 24 | MLBPHI | 172 | .224/.285/.289 | 1 | 12 | 57 | 0.3 | ||
| 2026 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBPHI | 170 | .239/.290/.326 | 2 | 12 | 73 | 0.2 | ||
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 288 | .238/.289/.324 | 3 | 20 | 72 | 0.4 | ||
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 28 | MLBPHI | 285 | .236/.287/.319 | 3 | 19 | 70 | 0.2 | ||
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | — | 292 | 259 | 83 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 320 | 382 | 421 | 803 | 100 | 360 | 13 | 6 | 354 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | — | 84 | 74 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 311 | 393 | 527 | 920 | 216 | 371 | 14 | 11 | 401 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 74 | 64 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 344 | 425 | 562 | 987 | 219 | 352 | 11 | 9 | 428 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 351 | 313 | 75 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 69 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 240 | 308 | 374 | 682 | 134 | 283 | 20 | 7 | 301 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 264 | 235 | 61 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 5 | 29 | 4 | 260 | 333 | 387 | 721 | 128 | 305 | 17 | 8 | 321 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 292 | 265 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 55 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 230 | 289 | 325 | 614 | 94 | 278 | 19 | 7 | 274 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 63 | 52 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 250 | 371 | 365 | 736 | 115 | 310 | 17 | 13 | 334 | 112 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 164 | 149 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 302 | 342 | 430 | 771 | 128 | 410 | 26 | 3 | 331 | 110 | +2 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 354 | 320 | 98 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 59 | 5 | 30 | 8 | 306 | 364 | 484 | 848 | 178 | 349 | 17 | 7 | 370 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 363 | 338 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 69 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 243 | 279 | 322 | 601 | 80 | 297 | 19 | 4 | 266 | 65 | -15 | +3 | +8 | +2 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 38 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 382 | 417 | 500 | 917 | 118 | 444 | 16 | 5 | 387 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 111 | 95 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 295 | 385 | 389 | 775 | 95 | 370 | 20 | 11 | 348 | 122 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 172 | 152 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 224 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 66 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 253 | 57 | -9 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 161 | 147 | 41 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 279 | 338 | 361 | 698 | 82 | 351 | 20 | 8 | 315 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 148 | 129 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 302 | 379 | 395 | 775 | 93 | 313 | 8 | 9 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 699 | 639 | 161 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 151 | 8 | 51 | 7 | 252 | 295 | 340 | 635 | 88 | 320 | 22 | 4 | 278 | 74 | -21 | +7 | +16 | +5 | +15 | 2.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | — | 292 | 264 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 223 | 281 | 288 | 569 | 64 | 246 | 15 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 298 | 390 | 687 | 156 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 74 | 66 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 318 | 384 | 515 | 899 | 197 | 337 | 15 | 7 | 379 | 143 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 351 | 320 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 95 | 5 | 25 | 6 | 203 | 259 | 306 | 565 | 103 | 261 | 27 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 264 | 241 | 58 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 5 | 29 | 4 | 241 | 299 | 353 | 652 | 112 | 291 | 20 | 6 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 292 | 274 | 52 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 190 | 226 | 274 | 500 | 84 | 234 | 24 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 164 | 149 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 302 | 342 | 430 | 771 | 128 | 410 | 26 | 3 | 330 | 110 | +2 | +2 | +4 | +2 | +4 | 1.4 |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 354 | 326 | 94 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 72 | 5 | 30 | 8 | 288 | 335 | 439 | 774 | 150 | 338 | 20 | 5 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 363 | 338 | 82 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 69 | 4 | 25 | 4 | 243 | 279 | 322 | 601 | 80 | 297 | 19 | 4 | 265 | 65 | -15 | +3 | +8 | +2 | +8 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 23 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 38 | 35 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 371 | 389 | 486 | 875 | 114 | 432 | 18 | 3 | 364 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | Philadelphia Phillies | — | 172 | 152 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 224 | 285 | 289 | 574 | 66 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 252 | 57 | -9 | +2 | +5 | +2 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 161 | 151 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 265 | 306 | 338 | 644 | 73 | 345 | 24 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | — | 292 | 264 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 223 | 281 | 288 | 569 | 64 | 260 | 15 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies Red | — | 292 | 259 | 83 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 37 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 320 | 382 | 421 | 803 | 100 | 360 | 13 | 6 | 354 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 298 | 390 | 687 | 156 | 300 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Phillies West | — | 84 | 74 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 311 | 393 | 527 | 920 | 216 | 371 | 14 | 11 | 401 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 386 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 106 | 7 | 33 | 9 | 225 | 283 | 345 | 628 | 119 | 286 | 25 | 6 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 425 | 377 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 77 | 7 | 33 | 9 | 257 | 329 | 406 | 734 | 149 | 296 | 18 | 8 | 323 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 619 | 573 | 122 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 138 | 8 | 76 | 5 | 213 | 261 | 311 | 571 | 98 | 267 | 22 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 619 | 552 | 135 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 110 | 8 | 76 | 5 | 245 | 316 | 355 | 671 | 111 | 292 | 18 | 8 | 300 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 475 | 139 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 114 | 9 | 44 | 9 | 293 | 337 | 436 | 773 | 143 | 366 | 22 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 518 | 469 | 143 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 101 | 9 | 44 | 9 | 305 | 357 | 467 | 824 | 162 | 367 | 19 | 6 | 357 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 476 | 122 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 6 | 54 | 4 | 256 | 292 | 340 | 632 | 84 | 312 | 19 | 4 | 274 | 72 | -17 | +9 | +8 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 512 | 467 | 123 | 19 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 97 | 6 | 54 | 4 | 263 | 312 | 349 | 661 | 86 | 322 | 19 | 5 | 293 | 72 | -17 | +9 | +8 | +2 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 436 | 106 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 114 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 243 | 298 | 310 | 608 | 67 | 321 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -20 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 481 | 428 | 114 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 39 | 84 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 266 | 332 | 346 | 678 | 79 | 318 | 17 | 8 | 303 | 65 | -20 | +4 | +5 | +2 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | — | 292 | 269 | 59 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 45 | 8 | 19 | 8 | 219 | 281 | 283 | 563 | 63 | 246 | 15 | 4 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 84 | 77 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 234 | 298 | 390 | 687 | 156 | 289 | 20 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 391 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 106 | 7 | 33 | 9 | 223 | 283 | 340 | 623 | 118 | 274 | 25 | 6 | 271 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 619 | 577 | 122 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 138 | 8 | 76 | 5 | 211 | 261 | 308 | 569 | 97 | 261 | 22 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 518 | 481 | 139 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 114 | 9 | 44 | 9 | 289 | 337 | 430 | 768 | 141 | 361 | 22 | 4 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 483 | 122 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 6 | 54 | 4 | 253 | 292 | 335 | 627 | 83 | 310 | 19 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 444 | 106 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 114 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 239 | 298 | 304 | 602 | 65 | 316 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 512 | 483 | 122 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 97 | 6 | 54 | 4 | 253 | 292 | 335 | 627 | 83 | 310 | 19 | 4 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 481 | 444 | 106 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 31 | 114 | 3 | 34 | 7 | 239 | 298 | 304 | 602 | 65 | 316 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 100% | 399 | 370 | 87 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 87 | 2 | 29 | 4 | 238 | 289 | 324 | 612 | 86 | 297 | 22 | 6 | 276 | 73 | -13 | +4 | +4 | +1 | +9 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 100% | 170 | 157 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 239 | 290 | 326 | 616 | 87 | 297 | 22 | 6 | 277 | 73 | -5 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 82% | 351 | 325 | 77 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 77 | 2 | 25 | 4 | 237 | 288 | 321 | 609 | 84 | 296 | 22 | 6 | 275 | 72 | -12 | +3 | +4 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 82% | 348 | 322 | 76 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 77 | 2 | 23 | 3 | 235 | 286 | 317 | 603 | 81 | 296 | 22 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -12 | +3 | +3 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 82% | 334 | 309 | 72 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 75 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 233 | 283 | 311 | 594 | 78 | 295 | 22 | 6 | 268 | 68 | -13 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 82% | 323 | 300 | 70 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 74 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 230 | 280 | 304 | 583 | 73 | 293 | 23 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -14 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 82% | 288 | 266 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 63 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 238 | 289 | 324 | 613 | 86 | 297 | 22 | 6 | 276 | 72 | -10 | +3 | +3 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 82% | 285 | 265 | 63 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 1 | 19 | 3 | 236 | 287 | 319 | 606 | 83 | 296 | 22 | 6 | 273 | 70 | -10 | +3 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 82% | 274 | 255 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 62 | 1 | 16 | 2 | 234 | 284 | 313 | 597 | 79 | 295 | 23 | 6 | 270 | 68 | -10 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 82% | 265 | 246 | 57 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 60 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 231 | 281 | 306 | 586 | 75 | 294 | 23 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -11 | +2 | +1 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1811 | 1671 | 404 | 58 | 15 | 17 | 98 | 399 | 13 | 119 | 17 | 242 | 289 | 325 | 614 | 83 | 307 | 22 | 5 | 274 | 70 | -63 | +17 | +24 | +9 | +39 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 600 | 145 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 35 | 143 | 5 | 43 | 6 | 242 | 290 | 323 | 613 | 82 | 306 | 22 | 5 | 274 | 70 | -23 | +6 | +9 | +3 | +14 | 1.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4457 | 4100 | 985 | 151 | 43 | 48 | 235 | 971 | 50 | 358 | 58 | 240 | 290 | 333 | 623 | 93 | 301 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -77 | +21 | +27 | +11 | +48 | 3.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 143 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 142 | 7 | 52 | 8 | 239 | 287 | 331 | 619 | 92 | 300 | 22 | 5 | 272 | 70 | -23 | +6 | +8 | +3 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 161 PAwOBA .307 → .278 (−29)K% 19.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.88% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷1.075 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.83% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 27.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 1.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.87% | ÷0.947 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.66% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 99, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .307 → .278; ISO .082 → .072; BABIP .351 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 38 PAwOBA .377 → .364 (−12)K% 15.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.022 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 39.29% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 38.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.960 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 3.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.989 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 97, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 104, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .377 → .364; ISO .118 → .097; BABIP .444 → .432. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 354 PAwOBA .363 → .328 (−34)K% 16.7% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 5.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.52% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 24.51% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.66% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 6.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.005 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×1.027 | 1.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 101, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .363 → .328; ISO .178 → .151; BABIP .349 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 292 PAwOBA .269 → .215 (−54)K% 18.8% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.84% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 24.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.34% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 17.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.43% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.44% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .269 → .215; ISO .094 → .084; BABIP .278 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAReading Fightin Phils · 264 PAwOBA .313 → .281 (−32)K% 16.7% → 20.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.89% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.04% | ÷1.069 | ×0.970 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 21.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.19% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.62% | ÷0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | ×1.042 | 2.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.09% | ÷1.051 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.62% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 114, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 101, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .313 → .281; ISO .128 → .117; BABIP .305 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 351 PAwOBA .296 → .248 (−48)K% 19.7% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.66% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.49% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 18.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×1.015 | 1.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.87% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.35% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .296 → .248; ISO .134 → .111; BABIP .283 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 74 PAwOBA .422 → .379 (−43)K% 10.8% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 14.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.46% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.027 | 2.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.79% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 26.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.182 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 1.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.36% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.027 | 4.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 95, 2B 136, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .422 → .379; ISO .219 → .187; BABIP .352 → .337. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Phillies West · 84 PAwOBA .391 → .282 (−108)K% 14.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 15.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 8.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 5.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .391 → .282; ISO .216 → .153; BABIP .371 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .