Tony Campana
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 30 | AAACWS | 232 | .217/.277/.232 | 0 | 10 | 25 | — | .212/.255/.226 |
| 2018 | 32 | INTLNaranjeros de… | 24 | .348/.375/.522 | 0 | 1 | 150 | — | |
| 2019 | 33 | AAASultanes de M… | 550 | .319/.363/.430 | 2 | 29 | 63 | — | .250/.281/.326 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 93 | 83 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 277 | 341 | 277 | 618 | 329 | 15 | 9 | 284 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Cubs | — | 473 | 430 | 122 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 78 | 0 | 55 | 16 | 284 | 336 | 312 | 648 | 28 | 345 | 16 | 7 | 293 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A | Peoria Chiefs | — | 58 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 283 | 345 | 340 | 684 | 57 | 319 | 10 | 9 | 313 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 550 | 489 | 156 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 44 | 82 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 319 | 381 | 384 | 765 | 65 | 380 | 15 | 8 | 341 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | INTL | Aguilas del Zulia | — | 56 | 50 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 280 | 321 | 340 | 661 | 60 | 311 | 9 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 155 | 143 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 259 | 303 | 301 | 603 | 42 | 321 | 19 | 5 | 272 | 67 | -6 | +4 | +11 | +1 | +3 | 1.3 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 129 | 120 | 41 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 342 | 383 | 442 | 824 | 100 | 423 | 18 | 5 | 366 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 192 | 174 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 264 | 308 | 299 | 607 | 34 | 351 | 22 | 6 | 269 | 67 | -8 | +5 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 165 | 143 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 34 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 280 | 340 | 329 | 668 | 49 | 358 | 21 | 7 | 291 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Caracas | — | 59 | 52 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 231 | 322 | 288 | 610 | 58 | 300 | 20 | 10 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 54 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 261 | 370 | 304 | 675 | 43 | 375 | 26 | 15 | 318 | 97 | -0 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 391 | 351 | 103 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34 | 77 | 0 | 32 | 8 | 293 | 356 | 368 | 723 | 74 | 371 | 20 | 9 | 324 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | — | 76 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 187 | 197 | 227 | 424 | 40 | 237 | 21 | 0 | 191 | 16 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 408 | 365 | 101 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 67 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 277 | 337 | 340 | 676 | 63 | 338 | 16 | 7 | 301 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 232 | 203 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 217 | 277 | 232 | 509 | 15 | 253 | 12 | 6 | 228 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | INTL | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 348 | 375 | 522 | 897 | 174 | 381 | 8 | 4 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 550 | 502 | 160 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 33 | 70 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 319 | 363 | 430 | 793 | 112 | 367 | 13 | 6 | 345 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 477 | 438 | 109 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 103 | 2 | 66 | 9 | 249 | 296 | 288 | 583 | 39 | 323 | 22 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -20 | +10 | +11 | +6 | +10 | 1.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 93 | 86 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 221 | 264 | 221 | 485 | 272 | 22 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Cubs | — | 473 | 438 | 113 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 0 | 55 | 16 | 258 | 300 | 285 | 585 | 27 | 332 | 23 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A MLE | Peoria Chiefs | — | 58 | 55 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 255 | 293 | 309 | 602 | 55 | 303 | 14 | 5 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 550 | 505 | 154 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 104 | 5 | 48 | 20 | 305 | 348 | 362 | 710 | 57 | 368 | 19 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 155 | 144 | 37 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 1 | 24 | 2 | 257 | 296 | 299 | 595 | 42 | 321 | 19 | 5 | 267 | 67 | -6 | +4 | +11 | +1 | +3 | 1.3 |
| 2011 | 25 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 129 | 122 | 38 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 311 | 344 | 402 | 745 | 90 | 406 | 24 | 3 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 192 | 174 | 46 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 43 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 264 | 308 | 299 | 607 | 34 | 351 | 22 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -8 | +5 | +2 | +1 | +4 | 0.5 |
| 2012 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 165 | 146 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 44 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 260 | 308 | 308 | 616 | 48 | 332 | 27 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | MLB MLE | Arizona Diamondbacks | — | 54 | 46 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 261 | 370 | 304 | 675 | 43 | 375 | 26 | 15 | 311 | 97 | -0 | +1 | -0 | +2 | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 391 | 360 | 91 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 99 | 0 | 32 | 8 | 253 | 301 | 308 | 610 | 56 | 338 | 25 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | MLB MLE | Los Angeles Angels | — | 76 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 187 | 197 | 227 | 424 | 40 | 237 | 21 | 0 | 192 | 16 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 408 | 375 | 92 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 88 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 245 | 289 | 296 | 585 | 51 | 309 | 22 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 232 | 208 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 212 | 255 | 226 | 481 | 14 | 232 | 14 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 550 | 515 | 129 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 20 | 91 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 250 | 281 | 326 | 607 | 76 | 294 | 17 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 93 | 86 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 221 | 264 | 221 | 485 | 284 | 22 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 93 | 83 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 277 | 341 | 277 | 618 | 329 | 15 | 9 | 284 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 493 | 128 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 119 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 260 | 301 | 290 | 591 | 30 | 340 | 22 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 531 | 483 | 137 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 39 | 84 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 284 | 337 | 315 | 652 | 31 | 342 | 16 | 7 | 295 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 606 | 555 | 169 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 115 | 5 | 52 | 24 | 305 | 347 | 360 | 707 | 56 | 381 | 19 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 606 | 539 | 170 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 47 | 87 | 5 | 52 | 24 | 315 | 376 | 380 | 756 | 65 | 373 | 14 | 8 | 335 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 266 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 61 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 278 | 314 | 338 | 653 | 60 | 358 | 21 | 4 | 289 | 82 | -6 | +5 | +11 | +1 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 284 | 263 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 53 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 297 | 339 | 365 | 704 | 68 | 368 | 19 | 5 | 315 | 82 | -6 | +5 | +11 | +1 | +6 | 1.7 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 416 | 374 | 97 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 101 | 2 | 56 | 12 | 259 | 307 | 297 | 604 | 37 | 352 | 24 | 6 | 264 | 65 | -17 | +6 | +2 | +1 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 416 | 369 | 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 89 | 2 | 56 | 12 | 266 | 323 | 309 | 631 | 43 | 346 | 21 | 7 | 280 | 65 | -17 | +6 | +2 | +1 | +9 | 0.1 |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 406 | 103 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 113 | 0 | 40 | 10 | 254 | 310 | 308 | 618 | 54 | 347 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 445 | 397 | 115 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 42 | 91 | 0 | 40 | 10 | 290 | 358 | 360 | 718 | 71 | 371 | 20 | 9 | 323 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 450 | 106 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 104 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 236 | 274 | 284 | 559 | 49 | 305 | 21 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 484 | 440 | 115 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 83 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 261 | 314 | 320 | 635 | 59 | 321 | 17 | 6 | 284 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 232 | 208 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 212 | 255 | 226 | 481 | 14 | 251 | 14 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 232 | 203 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 29 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 217 | 277 | 232 | 509 | 15 | 253 | 12 | 6 | 228 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | INTL MLE | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 348 | 375 | 522 | 897 | 174 | 381 | 8 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 32 | INTL RAW | Naranjeros de Hermosillo | — | 24 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 348 | 375 | 522 | 897 | 174 | 381 | 8 | 4 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 550 | 515 | 129 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 20 | 91 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 250 | 281 | 326 | 607 | 76 | 302 | 17 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA RAW | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 550 | 502 | 160 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 33 | 70 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 319 | 363 | 430 | 793 | 112 | 367 | 13 | 6 | 345 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 93 | 88 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 216 | 264 | 216 | 480 | 272 | 22 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 497 | 128 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 119 | 0 | 66 | 18 | 258 | 301 | 288 | 588 | 30 | 329 | 22 | 5 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 606 | 565 | 169 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 115 | 5 | 52 | 24 | 299 | 347 | 354 | 701 | 55 | 368 | 19 | 5 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 268 | 74 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 61 | 3 | 32 | 3 | 276 | 314 | 336 | 650 | 60 | 360 | 21 | 4 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 26 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 416 | 387 | 97 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 101 | 2 | 56 | 12 | 251 | 307 | 287 | 594 | 36 | 342 | 24 | 6 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 409 | 103 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 113 | 0 | 40 | 10 | 252 | 310 | 306 | 615 | 54 | 342 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 484 | 457 | 106 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 104 | 4 | 21 | 13 | 232 | 274 | 280 | 554 | 48 | 298 | 21 | 4 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 30 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 232 | 218 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 202 | 255 | 216 | 470 | 14 | 232 | 14 | 4 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 33 | AAA MLE | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 550 | 523 | 129 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 20 | 91 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 247 | 281 | 321 | 602 | 75 | 294 | 17 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 477 | 438 | 109 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 103 | 2 | 66 | 9 | 249 | 296 | 288 | 583 | 39 | 323 | 22 | 6 | 263 | 65 | -20 | +10 | +11 | +6 | +10 | 1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 597 | 149 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 140 | 3 | 90 | 12 | 250 | 297 | 288 | 585 | 39 | 325 | 22 | 6 | 263 | 65 | -28 | +13 | +15 | +8 | +14 | 2.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3665 | 3376 | 877 | 82 | 36 | 4 | 184 | 759 | 18 | 329 | 104 | 260 | 302 | 309 | 611 | 49 | 333 | 21 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -20 | +10 | +11 | +6 | +10 | 1.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 156 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 33 | 135 | 3 | 58 | 18 | 260 | 302 | 311 | 613 | 50 | 333 | 21 | 5 | 264 | 65 | -28 | +13 | +15 | +8 | +14 | 2.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAASultanes de Monterrey · 550 PAwOBA .337 → .261 (−75)K% 12.7% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.922 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 3.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 0.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.70% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 23.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷1.149 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 2.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.091 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.942 | 2.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.997 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.31% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 100, 2B 130, 3B 118, K 84, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .337 → .261; ISO .112 → .080; BABIP .367 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAACharlotte Knights · 232 PAwOBA .222 → .205 (−18)K% 12.5% → 14.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.053 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.47% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 4.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.56% | ÷1.031 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 21.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.72% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 1.50% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.950 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 111, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .222 → .205; ISO .015 → .014; BABIP .253 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAASalt Lake Bees · 408 PAwOBA .295 → .256 (−39)K% 16.4% → 21.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.42% | ÷0.986 | ×1.290 | — | — | 21.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 4.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.19% | ÷1.013 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 26.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.69% | ÷1.005 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 3.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.01% | ÷0.958 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.139 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 103, 2B 101, 3B 92, K 97, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .295 → .256; ISO .063 → .054; BABIP .338 → .309. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAReno Aces · 391 PAwOBA .316 → .269 (−47)K% 19.7% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.69% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.44% | ÷0.947 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.02% | ÷1.018 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 28.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.01% | ÷0.994 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 3.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.003 | 1.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.121 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.25% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 124, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .316 → .269; ISO .074 → .057; BABIP .371 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAIowa Cubs · 165 PAwOBA .285 → .261 (−24)K% 20.6% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.61% | ÷1.004 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.27% | ÷0.938 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.03% | ÷1.028 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 30.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.83% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 1.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.953 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.84% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 106, 2B 110, 3B 91, K 101, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .285 → .261; ISO .049 → .044; BABIP .358 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAIowa Cubs · 129 PAwOBA .356 → .316 (−41)K% 17.8% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.83% | ÷0.965 | ×1.290 | — | — | 23.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.96% | ÷0.980 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 31.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.25% | ÷1.017 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.086 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.67% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.934 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 96, 2B 103, 3B 117, K 93, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .356 → .316; ISO .100 → .080; BABIP .423 → .406. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AATennessee Smokies · 550 PAwOBA .334 → .308 (−26)K% 14.9% → 18.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.91% | ÷0.960 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.82% | ÷1.048 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.91% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.70% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 31.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷1.126 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.23% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.14% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 125, 3B 101, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .334 → .308; ISO .065 → .059; BABIP .380 → .368. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Daytona Cubs · 473 PAwOBA .287 → .256 (−31)K% 16.5% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.49% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 23.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 30.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.000 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .287 → .256; ISO .028 → .025; BABIP .345 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .