Tyler Tolbert — OGILVIE

Tyler Tolbert2B Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 0.837 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION146 act + 97 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .288 / .291

PA97

HR1

SB10

K%27

BB%6

BABIP305

ISO67

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 37 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT37

Whiff%

897.0%

xwOBA

530.312

POWER39

Barrel%

133.4

Avg EV

1486.4

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE80

Chase%

9017.6%

SPEED75

Sprint

9029.5

Platoon Splits2025 · 57 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

111

▶▶R

wOBA

295

331

▶R

ISO

161

—

BABIP

240

467

▶▶R

17.1%

22.7%

◀◀L

BB%

2.9%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.837 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$1.0M	+$0.6M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	ROK	AZL Royals	—	174	148	23	1	1	0	14	59	7	26	0	155	260	176	436	20	250	34	8	201	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK	AZL Royals	—	174	140	31	2	1	0	22	41	7	26	0	221	355	250	605	29	304	24	13	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	366	318	50	9	5	3	35	144	8	53	2	157	258	245	503	88	272	39	10	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	2 teams	—	366	299	65	11	7	6	54	101	8	53	2	217	352	361	713	144	304	28	15	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	669	613	114	20	13	4	40	211	5	75	1	186	242	281	522	95	273	32	6	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	2 teams	—	669	575	138	29	11	6	78	157	5	75	1	240	336	360	696	120	317	23	12	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	529	122	17	8	12	29	160	8	50	8	231	281	361	642	130	306	28	5	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	518	143	24	10	10	40	127	8	50	8	276	337	419	756	143	346	22	7	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	3 teams	—	591	525	108	22	3	5	31	179	13	53	7	206	267	288	555	82	300	30	5	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	3 teams	—	591	507	121	27	2	4	49	137	13	53	7	239	322	323	645	85	318	23	8	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	172	150	36	6	0	4	8	47	6	32	6	240	305	360	665	120	311	27	5	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	172	148	40	7	0	4	10	41	6	32	6	270	341	399	740	128	336	24	6	319	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AAA	KC	—	146	131	39	3	0	2	12	36	0	18	3	298	357	366	723	69	394	25	8	315	99	-0	+2	-0	-2	+4	0.5
YTD	28	AAA	KC	—	146	127	39	3	0	2	16	32	0	18	3	307	385	378	763	71	394	22	11	342	120	+3	+2	-0	-2	+4	0.8
ROS	28	AAA	KC	100%	97	89	20	3	0	1	6	26	2	10	2	224	288	291	579	67	305	27	6	277	70	-3	+1	-0	+0	+3	0.1
ROS	28	MLB	KC	100%	97	90	20	3	0	1	6	26	1	10	2	222	278	289	567	67	301	27	6	262	59	-4	+1	-0	+0	+3	-0.0
FULL	28	AAA	KC	—	243	221	59	6	0	3	18	62	1	28	5	267	325	335	660	68	357	26	7	294	83	-5	+4	-0	-1	+7	0.5
TOT	28	AAA	KC	—	243	220	59	6	0	3	18	62	2	28	5	268	329	336	665	68	358	25	7	300	88	-3	+4	-0	-1	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	KC	65%	293	268	62	9	1	5	19	78	4	28	5	231	292	328	620	97	303	27	6	280	72	-9	+4	-2	+1	+8	0.2
2028	30	MLB	KC	65%	325	295	67	10	1	5	22	86	5	28	5	227	292	319	611	92	301	26	7	280	73	-10	+4	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2027	29	MLB	KC	65%	190	172	40	6	1	3	13	50	3	18	3	233	298	331	629	99	300	26	7	266	62	-8	+2	-1	+1	+5	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	KC	65%	211	192	43	6	1	3	14	56	3	18	3	224	287	312	600	89	298	27	7	267	62	-9	+2	-2	+1	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	555	504	117	17	2	8	34	143	10	67	10	232	294	321	615	89	305	26	6	270	65	-22	+9	-3	+2	+16	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	136	20	2	9	40	167	12	78	12	231	293	317	610	86	303	26	6	270	65	-26	+11	-4	+3	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	3261	2935	602	97	32	39	204	990	58	355	36	205	270	300	570	95	292	30	6	251	50	-183	+57	-5	+12	+92	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	119	19	6	8	41	197	12	71	7	203	270	297	567	94	289	30	6	251	50	-36	+11	-1	+2	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	21	ROK	AZL Royals	—	174	140	31	2	1	0	22	41	7	26	0	221	355	250	605	29	304	24	13	287	78	-4	+5	—	—	+5	0.6
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	6	0	4	0	188	316	438	753	250	222	32	16	335	114	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	347	283	62	10	7	5	51	95	8	49	2	219	354	357	711	138	308	27	15	323	106	+2	+9	—	—	+10	2.1
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	517	447	100	20	10	4	55	125	5	60	0	224	316	340	656	116	297	24	11	294	83	-10	+12	—	—	+15	1.7
2022	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	152	128	38	9	1	2	23	32	0	15	1	297	404	430	834	133	383	21	15	374	145	+8	+3	—	—	+4	1.5
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	518	143	24	10	10	40	127	8	50	8	276	337	419	756	143	346	22	7	333	113	+8	+7	—	—	+16	3.2
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	90	78	11	2	0	0	9	25	2	8	1	141	247	167	414	26	208	28	10	205	15	-9	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	462	393	102	21	2	4	38	103	10	40	4	260	340	354	694	94	340	22	8	304	91	-5	+6	—	—	+13	1.5
2024	26	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	39	36	8	4	0	0	2	9	1	5	2	222	282	333	615	111	296	23	5	279	72	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	307	93	-0	+3	-1	+1	+2	0.5
2025	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	115	98	26	5	0	3	9	30	3	11	4	265	345	408	754	143	343	26	8	326	107	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	307	93	-0	+3	-1	+1	+2	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	7	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
	/162	664	6	35	246	327	342	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#2Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.7
	/162	664	4	56	245	312	332	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	631	11	79	243	299	341	+2	-1	1.5	1.5
	/162	664	12	83	243	299	341	+2.4	-1.1	1.5	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Tolbert (OGILVIE)	28	37	39	75	80	268/329/336	68	358	3	28	25%	7%	88	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Todd Donovan 2007 · AAA	28	50→53	40	63→65	45	240/295/331	91	293	7	42	20%	6%	76	+0.0	236/301/315	79	301	5	37	21%	8%	73	-0.1	234/314/303	69	308	3	42	23%	10%	74	-0.1
✕Billy Hamilton 2019 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	67→70	48	239/298/330	91	305	5	44	22%	8%	76	+0.0	221/280/314	93	297	6	34	26%	8%	65	-0.7	161/212/239	78	258	4	47	37%	6%	14	-0.9
✕Darren Ford 2014 · MLB	28	47→53	39→45	58→65	41	223/269/309	86	300	7	41	27%	6%	59	-1.1	224/273/305	81	298	7	37	26%	6%	59	-1.1	223/273/294	71	292	6	37	24%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Mel Stocker 2009 · AAA	28	52	36→40	66→65	45	244/294/319	75	298	2	41	18%	5%	71	-0.3	228/287/317	89	277	5	33	18%	6%	69	-0.4	217/283/305	88	262	3	44	17%	6%	61	-0.6
✕Terrance Gore 2018 · AAA	27	46→43	35→30	65→70	41	216/263/267	50	285	3	44	24%	5%	44	-2.1	201/262/268	67	287	3	40	29%	7%	45	-2.1	173/245/218	45	261	0	60	31%	7%	23	-1.0
✕Nick Heath 2021 · MLB	27	43→35	41→40	63→65	39	199/265/300	100	330	9	43	40%	8%	55	-1.4	202/268/320	118	330	12	27	39%	7%	63	-0.9	178/258/290	112	301	10	36	41%	8%	48	-0.8
✕Justin Christian 2008 · AAA	28	51→57	41→45	65	44	245/287/347	102	289	7	40	18%	5%	76	+0.0	249/289/354	105	288	8	33	16%	5%	79	+0.3	261/315/390	129	290	11	30	14%	6%	96	+1.2
✕Tyler Graham 2012 · AAA	28	57→56	37→40	63→65	42	267/312/340	73	337	4	48	22%	5%	84	+0.6	235/289/314	79	297	5	35	21%	5%	69	-0.4	216/266/277	61	268	4	33	20%	5%	45	-1.0
✕Jarrod Dyson 2014 · MLB	29	53→58	38→45	71→70	50	250/311/335	85	304	4	55	19%	8%	82	+0.5	253/314/350	97	304	5	56	17%	7%	88	+0.9	260/327/367	107	298	5	53	14%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Roman Quinn 2021 · MLB	28	48→53	46→45	65	43	236/295/371	135	320	13	36	30%	7%	85	+0.7	213/300/339	126	330	11	27	35%	9%	81	+0.4	167/275/272	105	312	9	34	44%	11%	53	-0.4
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	47→50	60→65	40	221/269/365	144	285	13	32	27%	5%	74	-0.1	218/266/352	134	276	13	40	25%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Tanner Kirwer 2022 · AA	26	44	46→40	61→60	48	213/303/335	122	302	14	36	32%	10%	82	+0.5	210/284/310	100	302	11	31	32%	8%	66	-0.6	198/269/277	79	287	10	35	32%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Esix Snead 2006 · AAA	30	47	37→30	63→65	50	219/294/292	73	267	4	44	19%	8%	66	-0.6	220/283/304	84	267	7	33	19%	7%	63	-0.8	204/265/243	38	243	4	46	16%	8%	38	-0.7
✕Eric Young Jr. 2013 · MLB	28	53→58	39→45	65	53	250/324/343	94	303	6	40	19%	9%	91	+1.1	236/301/324	88	288	4	42	18%	8%	76	+0.1	240/297/354	114	300	9	24	22%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Tony Campana 2014 · MLB	28	53→63	35→30	65→70	45	245/296/303	58	326	3	50	25%	7%	67	-0.5	227/271/286	59	291	2	26	21%	5%	53	-1.5	233/269/288	54	289	1	24	19%	4%	47	-1.3
✕Dwaine Bacon 2006 · AAA	27	49→50	38→40	63→65	44	223/298/311	87	340	4	39	33%	9%	72	-0.2	211/273/311	100	293	7	32	29%	7%	61	-1.0	191/250/287	96	255	7	40	27%	7%	41	-1.5
✕Richie Martin Jr. 2023 · MLB	28	47→52	40→45	60	44	223/286/325	101	294	5	30	25%	6%	70	-0.3	205/283/296	91	282	5	32	27%	7%	63	-0.9	186/271/270	84	260	6	37	28%	8%	48	-1.1
✕Rich Thompson 2006 · AAA	27	48→58	39→45	67→65	45	230/285/315	85	277	6	43	19%	6%	67	-0.5	246/306/342	96	301	5	28	19%	6%	82	+0.5	265/314/370	105	322	4	44	18%	4%	90	+0.8
●Rajai Davis 2009 · MLB	28	53→63	41→50	67→70	47	255/304/356	101	293	7	54	16%	6%	85	+0.7	274/320/383	109	322	6	51	16%	6%	98	+1.6	266/315/413	147	314	13	43	19%	6%	103	+1.5