Tyler Tolbert — OGILVIE

Tyler TolbertCF Kansas City Royals

Age 28 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.837 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION221 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .250 / .263

PA20

HR0

K%25

BB%5

BABIP297

ISO53

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

904.2%

xAVG

440.247

POWER38

Barrel%

102.9

Avg EV

1086.0

Bat Spd

5471.8

EYE80

Chase%

9010.7%

SPEED73

Sprint

9029.3

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%23%▲▲20% over 75 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%8%▲▲11% over 75 PA (60d) · proj 6%

ISO.096·.111 over 63 AB (60d) · proj .090

HR/BB2.1%·2.1% over 48 BBE (60d) · proj 2.1%

BABIP.274·.298 over 47 BIP (60d) · proj .273

SLASH.218/.293/.314▲proj .208/.269/.298

Platoon Splits2025 · 57 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

110

▶▶R

wOBA

295

331

▶R

ISO

161

—

BABIP

240

467

▶▶R

17.1%

22.7%

◀◀L

BB%

2.9%

0.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.837 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.2M	+$0.1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$1.0M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	21	ROK	AZL Royals	—	174	140	31	2	1	0	22	41	7	26	0	221	355	250	605	29	304	24	13	287	81	-4	+5	—	—	+4	0.5
2021	23	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	19	16	3	1	0	1	3	6	0	4	0	188	316	438	753	250	222	32	16	335	113	+0	+1	—	—	+0	0.2
2021	23	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	347	283	62	10	7	5	51	95	8	49	2	219	354	357	711	138	308	27	15	323	105	+2	+9	—	—	+8	1.9
2022	24	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	517	447	100	20	10	4	55	125	5	60	0	224	316	340	656	116	297	24	11	294	85	-9	+12	—	—	+11	1.4
2022	24	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	152	128	38	9	1	2	23	32	0	15	1	297	404	430	834	133	383	21	15	374	140	+7	+3	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	25	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	518	143	24	10	10	40	127	8	50	8	276	337	419	756	143	346	22	7	333	112	+8	+7	—	—	+12	2.8
2024	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	90	78	11	2	0	0	9	25	2	8	1	141	247	167	414	26	208	28	10	205	25	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2024	26	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	462	393	102	21	2	4	38	103	10	40	4	260	340	354	694	94	340	22	8	304	92	-5	+6	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	26	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	39	36	8	4	0	0	2	9	1	5	2	222	282	333	615	111	296	23	5	279	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	307	94	-0	+3	-1	+1	+1	0.4
2025	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	115	98	26	5	0	3	9	30	3	11	4	265	345	408	754	143	343	26	8	326	106	+1	+1	—	—	+2	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	307	94	-0	+3	-1	+1	+1	0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	148	23	1	1	0	14	59	7	26	0	155	260	176	436	20	234	34	8	201	22	-16	+5	—	—	+4	-0.7
2021	23	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	19	17	3	1	0	1	2	8	0	4	0	176	263	412	675	235	185	42	11	239	48	-1	+1	—	—	+0	0.0
2021	23	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	347	300	50	8	6	3	34	133	8	49	2	167	269	263	532	97	269	38	10	237	47	-22	+9	—	—	+8	-0.6
2022	24	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	517	467	87	16	9	3	35	166	5	60	0	186	250	278	529	92	265	32	7	231	42	-35	+12	—	—	+11	-1.2
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	530	128	19	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	242	290	362	652	121	311	27	5	279	75	-17	+7	—	—	+12	0.2
2024	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	90	81	10	2	0	0	6	31	2	8	1	123	202	148	350	25	196	34	7	166	-1	-11	+1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2024	26	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	462	406	96	19	2	4	25	127	10	40	4	236	297	323	620	86	308	27	5	262	63	-20	+6	—	—	+10	-0.4
2025	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	57	50	14	2	0	1	1	11	3	21	2	280	333	380	713	100	325	19	2	309	95	-0	+3	-1	+1	+1	0.4
2025	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	115	100	22	4	0	2	7	36	3	11	4	220	291	320	611	100	295	31	6	271	70	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.1
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	148	23	1	1	0	14	59	7	26	0	155	260	176	436	20	250	34	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	—	174	140	31	2	1	0	22	41	7	26	0	221	355	250	605	29	304	24	13	287	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	317	53	9	6	4	36	141	8	53	2	167	269	271	540	104	282	39	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	366	299	65	11	7	6	54	101	8	53	2	217	352	361	713	144	304	28	15	324	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	669	608	111	20	11	4	45	215	5	75	1	183	245	271	516	89	272	32	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	669	575	138	29	11	6	78	157	5	75	1	240	336	360	696	120	317	23	12	312	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	530	128	19	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	242	290	362	652	121	321	27	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	518	143	24	10	10	40	127	8	50	8	276	337	419	756	143	346	22	7	333	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	591	523	114	23	2	4	33	168	13	53	7	218	281	293	574	75	312	28	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	591	507	121	27	2	4	49	137	13	53	7	239	322	323	645	85	318	23	8	287	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	172	150	36	6	0	3	8	47	6	32	6	240	305	340	645	100	317	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	172	148	40	7	0	4	10	41	6	32	6	270	341	399	740	128	336	24	6	319	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	174	151	23	1	1	0	14	59	7	26	0	152	260	172	433	20	234	34	8	201	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	366	319	53	9	6	4	36	141	8	53	2	166	269	270	538	103	265	39	10	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	669	614	111	20	11	4	45	215	5	75	1	181	245	269	513	88	265	32	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	533	128	19	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	240	290	360	650	120	311	27	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	591	540	114	23	2	4	33	168	13	53	7	211	281	283	565	72	290	28	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	172	156	36	6	0	3	8	47	6	32	6	231	305	327	632	96	305	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	574	533	128	19	9	9	28	153	8	50	8	240	290	360	650	120	311	27	5	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	591	540	114	23	2	4	33	168	13	53	7	211	281	283	565	72	290	28	6	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	172	156	36	6	0	3	8	47	6	32	6	231	305	327	632	96	305	27	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB MLE	KC	—	221	194	54	7	0	3	20	51	1	29	4	278	349	361	710	82	362	23	9	313	98	-1	+4	-0	-2	+5	0.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	28	MLB RAW	KC	—	135	117	35	5	0	3	12	26	1	21	4	299	369	419	788	120	360	19	9	342	98	-0	+3	-0	-2	+3	0.3
YTD	28	AAA RAW	KC	—	86	73	19	2	0	0	12	21	0	8	0	260	365	288	652	27	365	24	14	306	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	MLB RAW	KC	—	135	117	35	5	0	3	12	26	1	21	4	299	369	419	788	120	360	19	9	342	118	+3	+3	-0	-1	+3	0.7
ROS	28	MLB MLE	KC	100%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	0	211	250	263	513	53	300	25	5	279	75	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	28	MLB CTX	KC	100%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	5	0	2	0	211	250	263	513	53	297	25	5	265	75	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	28	MLB A+C	KC	—	155	136	39	6	0	3	13	31	1	23	4	287	353	397	750	110	350	20	8	332	96	-1	+3	-0	-1	+3	0.4
TOT	28	MLB MLE	KC	—	241	213	58	8	0	3	21	56	1	31	4	272	340	352	693	80	355	23	9	310	96	-1	+5	-0	-2	+5	0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	293	266	62	10	1	5	21	73	4	30	5	233	299	335	634	102	299	25	7	283	78	-8	+4	-2	+1	+6	0.2
2028	30	MLB MLE	KC	65%	325	293	68	11	1	5	24	82	5	30	5	232	301	328	629	96	298	25	7	283	78	-9	+4	-2	+1	+7	0.1
2029	31	MLB MLE	KC	65%	310	280	64	10	1	5	23	78	4	25	4	229	296	325	621	96	295	25	7	281	76	-9	+3	-3	+1	+7	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	190	171	40	6	1	3	14	48	3	20	3	234	303	333	637	99	296	25	7	268	78	-5	+3	-1	+1	+4	0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	KC	65%	211	190	44	7	1	3	16	53	3	20	3	232	301	326	628	95	294	25	8	269	78	-6	+3	-2	+1	+5	0.1
2029	31	MLB CTX	KC	65%	202	182	41	6	1	3	15	51	3	16	3	225	295	319	614	93	292	25	7	267	76	-6	+2	-2	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	680	612	143	22	3	10	47	168	12	79	11	234	301	328	629	95	303	25	7	271	60	-17	+11	-5	+3	+15	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	137	21	3	10	45	161	11	76	11	234	301	332	633	97	303	25	7	271	60	-17	+11	-5	+3	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3494	3134	663	110	32	39	233	1021	60	376	38	212	279	304	583	93	297	29	7	257	60	-26	+15	-8	+4	+22	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	123	20	6	7	43	190	11	70	7	211	277	302	579	91	297	29	7	257	60	-17	+10	-5	+3	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Emilio Bonifáciolast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,780 PA	4.2	2,780	13	165	259	315	337	+15	-1	5.5	5.9
/162	664	3	39	+3.5	-0.1	1.3	pk7: 6
#2Delino DeShieldslast yr '21 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,114 PA	3.2	2,114	19	111	246	327	342	+1	+6	5.3	5.3
/162	664	6	35	+0.4	+1.8	1.7	pk7: 5
#3Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.4	949	16	113	238	301	335	+3	-1	2.4	2.4
/162	664	11	79	+2.4	-0.9	1.7	pk7: 2
#6Eric Young Jr.last yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,925 PA	2.9	1,925	13	161	245	312	332	-11	-8	1.2	1.6
/162	664	4	56	-3.9	-2.7	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Tolbert (OGILVIE)	28	40	38	73	80	229/294/315	86	300	2	17	25%	7%	75	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Todd Donovan 2007 · AAA	28	51→54	39→40	63→65	46	241/296/328	87	293	6	42	19%	6%	78	-0.3	238/303/315	77	300	4	37	20%	8%	78	-0.3	237/317/305	68	308	2	42	21%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Tyler Graham 2012 · AAA	28	55→54	37→40	63→65	42	259/306/332	73	327	4	48	22%	5%	82	-0.0	232/289/309	77	293	5	35	21%	6%	71	-0.8	218/269/275	57	269	3	33	19%	5%	52	-1.0
✕Billy Hamilton 2019 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	67→70	48	240/299/331	91	306	5	44	22%	8%	79	-0.2	221/281/315	94	297	6	34	26%	8%	69	-0.9	162/214/241	78	260	4	47	37%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Jarrod Dyson 2014 · MLB	29	52→58	38→45	71→70	50	246/308/330	84	299	4	55	18%	8%	82	+0.0	251/312/344	93	301	5	56	17%	8%	87	+0.4	256/324/360	104	294	5	53	14%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Justin Christian 2008 · AAA	28	52→56	40→45	65	45	246/288/345	99	288	6	40	17%	5%	78	-0.3	247/288/346	99	286	7	33	16%	5%	78	-0.3	260/315/382	122	288	10	30	13%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Freddy Guzman 2009 · AAA	28	52→62	39→45	70	50	243/297/335	92	281	4	49	15%	7%	79	-0.2	228/273/318	90	268	6	44	16%	6%	66	-1.1	279/331/390	112	331	8	77	17%	7%	102	+0.8
✕Rajai Davis 2009 · MLB	28	53→63	40→50	67→70	48	254/304/353	99	293	7	54	16%	6%	86	+0.3	273/320/383	110	321	6	51	16%	6%	99	+1.2	264/313/409	145	311	13	43	19%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Mel Stocker 2009 · AAA	28	53	36→40	66→65	45	246/295/321	76	298	2	41	18%	5%	75	-0.5	229/289/318	89	276	4	33	18%	6%	73	-0.6	219/284/305	86	261	3	44	16%	6%	66	-0.7
✕Darren Ford 2014 · MLB	28	46→53	39→45	58→65	42	222/271/304	82	294	6	41	26%	6%	63	-1.4	223/274/303	80	295	7	37	25%	6%	63	-1.3	222/273/292	70	290	6	37	24%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Tony Campana 2014 · MLB	28	53→63	35→30	66→70	44	248/297/307	59	330	3	50	25%	7%	72	-0.7	230/274/288	58	295	2	26	21%	5%	59	-1.6	239/275/296	57	294	1	24	18%	4%	58	-1.2
✕Terrance Gore 2018 · AAA	27	47→42	34→30	65→70	42	222/272/272	49	292	3	44	24%	6%	55	-1.9	203/268/270	67	290	3	40	29%	7%	55	-2.0	176/252/221	45	266	0	60	31%	8%	35	-0.9
✕Rich Thompson 2006 · AAA	27	49→59	38→40	67→65	45	231/286/314	83	276	5	43	18%	6%	71	-0.8	246/306/340	94	301	4	28	18%	6%	84	+0.2	263/313/360	96	321	4	44	18%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Mallex Smith 2021 · MLB	28	51→61	41→45	65	48	241/308/350	109	306	7	40	22%	8%	87	+0.4	219/293/320	101	303	9	31	29%	9%	76	-0.4	199/284/284	85	297	10	40	33%	10%	61	-0.3
✕Willy Taveras 2010 · MLB	28	53→63	35→45	63→65	47	248/294/304	56	286	3	46	14%	6%	71	-0.8	227/267/315	88	263	8	25	16%	5%	63	-1.3	257/311/367	110	314	9	27	20%	5%	90	+0.4
✕Nick Heath 2021 · MLB	27	45→40	40	63→65	41	208/274/304	96	333	7	43	37%	8%	65	-1.2	205/271/319	114	334	10	27	39%	7%	67	-1.1	184/262/291	107	315	8	36	40%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Eric Young Jr. 2012 · MLB	27	55→60	38→45	66→65	53	255/330/345	90	315	4	44	19%	9%	94	+0.9	255/322/351	96	310	5	41	18%	8%	93	+0.8	251/315/342	90	304	4	49	17%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	46→45	61→60	40	230/282/359	129	316	14	34	31%	6%	80	-0.1	196/260/318	122	311	13	23	38%	7%	63	-1.3	160/232/270	110	264	11	20	41%	7%	40	-1.5
✕Forrest Wall 2023 · AAA	27	46→55	38→45	65→70	39	214/273/296	82	321	5	47	33%	6%	62	-1.4	242/310/344	102	340	8	46	29%	8%	86	+0.3	253/326/354	101	349	8	50	27%	9%	92	+0.5
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	52→59	38→40	63→60	49	243/303/329	86	302	5	37	20%	8%	80	-0.1	223/279/299	76	286	5	28	22%	6%	65	-1.2	215/266/278	63	275	3	25	22%	6%	52	-1.3
✕Quintin Berry 2013 · MLB	28	52→61	38→40	63→65	47	240/310/323	83	327	5	38	26%	8%	82	-0.0	223/295/293	70	302	4	34	25%	8%	70	-0.9	229/297/280	52	311	3	37	25%	8%	65	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps