Jacob Young — OGILVIE

Jacob YoungCF Washington Nationals

Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 192 lbs MLB Svc 2.215S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION288 act + 192 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9288vR 76

AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .316 / .366

PA192

HR3

SB9

K%19

BB%6

BABIP307

ISO109

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.1%

xwOBA

380.295

POWER35

Barrel%

102.8

Avg EV

2387.1

Bat Spd

3770.0

EYE55

Chase%

9020.7%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 978 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

293

685

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

297

275

◀L

ISO

065

074

▶R

BABIP

318

295

◀L

17.4%

19.1%

◀L

BB%

7.5%

5.7%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.215 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Arb-2	$5M	+2.4	$18M	+$13M
2028	Arb-3	$8M	+2.1	$14M	+$8M
2029	Arb-4	$10M	+1.9	$12M	+$5M
Totals		$23M		$46M	+$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	114	105	19	6	0	0	6	25	1	13	0	181	232	238	470	57	235	22	5	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	114	101	21	6	0	0	10	17	1	13	0	208	286	267	553	59	247	15	9	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	542	485	116	9	8	2	39	125	14	52	7	239	314	303	617	64	316	23	7	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	542	465	122	10	8	2	59	82	14	52	7	262	362	331	694	69	312	15	11	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	4 teams	—	617	554	154	27	7	5	38	116	11	52	7	278	337	379	716	101	340	19	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	A+	4 teams	—	617	540	159	28	6	6	52	92	11	52	7	294	368	402	770	107	342	15	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	537	483	123	24	1	3	31	105	12	34	10	255	316	327	643	72	318	20	6	286	77	-14	+3	+14	+2	+15	2.1
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	537	482	123	24	1	3	32	104	12	34	10	255	317	328	645	73	318	19	6	290	80	-12	+3	+14	+2	+15	2.3
2025	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	364	324	75	10	1	2	27	65	3	15	11	231	297	287	584	56	283	18	7	260	57	-18	-1	+12	+1	+10	0.4
2025	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	364	324	75	10	1	2	27	65	3	15	11	231	297	287	584	56	283	18	7	263	60	-17	-1	+12	+1	+10	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	WSH	—	288	268	60	11	2	8	15	54	4	9	2	224	275	369	645	146	252	19	5	284	76	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.3
YTD	27	MLB	WSH	—	288	268	60	11	2	8	15	54	4	9	2	224	275	369	645	146	252	19	5	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.4
ROS	27	MLB	WSH	100%	192	175	45	8	1	3	12	36	3	9	2	257	316	366	682	109	300	19	6	303	90	-2	+1	+3	+1	+5	0.9
ROS	27	MLB	WSH	100%	192	175	45	8	1	3	12	36	3	9	2	257	316	366	682	109	300	19	6	293	82	-4	+1	+3	+1	+5	0.7
FULL	27	MLB	WSH	—	480	443	105	19	3	11	27	90	7	18	4	237	291	368	659	131	274	19	6	287	78	-12	+2	+4	+2	+14	1.0
TOT	27	MLB	WSH	—	480	443	105	19	3	11	27	90	7	18	4	237	291	368	659	131	274	19	6	291	81	-10	+2	+4	+2	+14	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	WSH	98%	468	430	112	20	2	8	29	88	6	22	4	260	316	372	688	112	306	19	6	306	92	-4	+3	+8	+2	+13	2.2
2028	29	MLB	WSH	98%	456	418	107	19	2	7	29	87	6	20	4	256	313	361	675	105	306	19	6	304	91	-5	+2	+7	+2	+13	2.0
2029	30	MLB	WSH	98%	445	408	103	18	1	7	28	86	6	17	3	252	310	353	663	100	305	19	6	302	89	-6	+2	+6	+2	+13	1.7
2030	31	MLB	WSH	98%	430	394	98	17	1	6	27	84	6	14	3	249	307	343	649	94	303	20	6	297	86	-7	+2	+5	+2	+12	1.4
2031	32	MLB	WSH	98%	411	377	93	16	1	6	26	82	5	11	2	247	304	342	646	95	299	20	6	291	81	-9	+1	+4	+1	+12	1.0
2032	33	MLB	WSH	98%	381	349	84	14	1	5	24	78	5	8	2	241	299	330	628	89	295	20	6	284	75	-11	+1	+3	+1	+11	0.5
2027	28	MLB	WSH	98%	459	421	109	19	2	8	29	86	6	21	4	259	316	371	686	112	306	19	6	296	85	-8	+3	+8	+2	+13	1.7
2028	29	MLB	WSH	98%	447	410	105	19	1	7	28	85	6	19	3	256	313	359	672	102	306	19	6	295	84	-8	+3	+7	+2	+13	1.6
2029	30	MLB	WSH	98%	436	399	102	18	1	7	28	84	6	17	3	256	314	358	672	103	305	19	6	292	82	-9	+2	+6	+2	+12	1.3
2030	31	MLB	WSH	98%	421	385	97	17	1	6	27	82	6	14	3	252	311	348	659	96	303	19	6	288	78	-10	+2	+5	+2	+12	1.0
2031	32	MLB	WSH	98%	403	370	92	16	1	6	25	81	5	11	2	249	305	346	651	97	299	20	6	282	74	-12	+1	+4	+1	+11	0.6
2032	33	MLB	WSH	98%	373	342	83	14	1	5	23	76	5	8	1	243	300	333	633	91	295	20	6	275	68	-13	+1	+3	+1	+11	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3737	3401	855	152	11	47	239	719	53	160	39	251	311	344	655	93	305	19	6	287	78	-95	+16	+64	+15	+106	10.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	148	26	2	8	42	125	9	28	7	250	310	341	651	91	303	19	6	287	78	-16	+3	+11	+3	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	4957	4502	1129	188	26	54	316	977	78	267	55	251	311	340	651	89	307	20	6	291	80	-109	+31	+65	+18	+140	14.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	148	25	3	7	41	128	10	35	7	251	310	339	649	88	308	20	6	291	80	-14	+4	+9	+2	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	114	101	21	6	0	0	10	17	1	13	0	208	286	267	553	59	247	15	9	254	53	-6	+3	—	—	+3	-0.0
2022	23	A	Fredericksburg Nationals	—	542	465	122	10	8	2	59	82	14	52	7	262	362	331	694	69	312	15	11	320	103	+2	+8	—	—	+15	2.6
2023	24	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	121	107	27	7	1	0	10	22	1	13	0	252	322	336	658	84	318	18	8	293	83	-2	+3	+3	+2	+3	0.9
2023	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	17	17	5	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	294	294	471	765	176	286	12	0	335	115	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	24	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	231	204	62	11	3	3	17	37	7	17	3	304	377	431	809	127	355	16	7	359	133	+9	+2	—	—	+7	1.8
2023	24	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	248	212	65	10	2	2	25	31	3	22	4	307	388	401	788	94	346	12	10	347	124	+7	+3	—	—	+7	1.7
2024	25	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	521	468	120	24	1	3	30	102	12	33	10	256	318	331	649	75	321	20	6	291	81	-11	+3	+14	+2	+15	2.3
2024	25	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	—	16	14	3	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	214	312	214	527		250	12	12	257	55	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2025	26	MLB	Washington Nationals	—	364	324	75	10	1	2	27	65	3	15	11	231	297	287	584	56	283	18	7	263	60	-17	-1	+12	+1	+10	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1006	899	222	41	3	5	67	189	16	61	21	247	311	316	626	69	306	19	7	281	73	-30	+4	+29	+5	+29	3.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jarrod Dysonlast yr '21 career totals — 12 seasons, 2,833 PA	12	2,833	21	266	244	314	332	+10	+50	11.8	11.6
	/162	664	5	62	244	314	332	+2.4	+11.7	2.8	pk7: 11
#2Cesar Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,646 PA	12	4,646	17	110	254	293	322	+38	+94	10.9	11.5
	/162	664	2	16	254	293	322	+5.4	+13.5	1.6	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#4Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#5Juan Lagareslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,508 PA	9	2,508	31	45	250	291	360	+8	+49	7.4	7.7
	/162	664	8	12	250	291	360	+2.1	+13.0	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons	11	4,312	57	190	249	304	343	+10	+84	6.8	6.7
	/162	664	9	29	249	304	343	+1.6	+13.0	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	7	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	3	29	239	310	313	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jacob Young (OGILVIE)	27	55	35	60	55	237/291/368	131	274	11	18	19%	6%	81	+1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Craig Gentry 2011 · MLB	27	51→56	40	57→60	45	245/303/334	89	294	7	25	19%	6%	80	+0.4	253/320/341	88	306	5	32	18%	7%	89	+0.9	272/345/345	73	330	2	40	17%	7%	95	+0.7
✕Tyler Saladino 2016 · MLB	27	48→47	41→45	59→55	45	233/284/335	102	283	9	25	21%	6%	72	-0.2	232/287/337	105	290	10	19	23%	6%	73	-0.1	225/286/324	99	288	10	17	24%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Delino DeShields 2020 · MLB	27	49→55	40→45	58→65	52	233/312/327	94	301	7	32	24%	10%	82	+0.5	224/309/310	86	306	6	28	26%	10%	76	+0.1	207/307/267	61	307	3	31	30%	12%	63	-0.5
✕Jason Bourgeois 2009 · AAA	27	54→58	42→45	57→65	45	258/298/365	107	293	8	27	15%	5%	85	+0.7	264/301/348	84	299	6	37	13%	5%	82	+0.5	275/312/347	72	310	4	47	12%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Tim Locastro 2020 · MLB	28	49→53	42→45	60	44	236/324/349	114	285	8	29	19%	5%	95	+1.4	222/308/343	121	268	10	25	21%	6%	86	+0.8	207/296/319	112	263	11	36	24%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Myles Straw 2022 · MLB	27	56→60	38→40	56→60	54	262/334/341	80	325	4	27	20%	10%	94	+1.3	232/299/302	70	288	3	23	19%	9%	69	-0.4	226/280/314	88	283	6	25	21%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Tyler Bortnick 2014 · AAA	27	50→60	39→45	60→55	51	234/314/329	95	293	5	25	20%	9%	83	+0.6	229/295/318	89	296	6	19	23%	8%	72	-0.2	247/304/342	95	308	8	16	21%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Getz 2011 · MLB	27	53→56	39→40	58→60	52	250/311/335	85	281	5	27	13%	7%	83	+0.6	246/300/312	66	275	3	26	11%	7%	72	-0.2	247/293/314	66	276	2	31	10%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Willie Bloomquist 2005 · MLB	27	51→56	40	55→60	47	246/300/341	96	303	7	23	21%	7%	79	+0.3	247/298/327	80	294	5	26	17%	6%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Alcides Escobar 2014 · MLB	27	54→64	39→45	59→55	44	258/290/345	87	292	5	24	14%	4%	76	+0.0	265/299/351	86	301	5	21	13%	4%	81	+0.4	267/301/350	83	303	4	20	13%	4%	79	+0.3
✕Tim Lopes 2021 · MLB	27	51→61	42→45	53→55	45	244/294/357	113	303	8	24	22%	6%	82	+0.5	218/281/346	128	290	13	20	28%	7%	74	-0.1	212/284/328	116	290	13	26	29%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Cliff Pennington 2011 · MLB	27	51→55	40→45	59→55	53	242/311/346	104	286	6	27	17%	9%	85	+0.7	243/303/348	105	292	8	17	18%	8%	83	+0.6	240/301/334	94	290	7	14	19%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Wynton Bernard 2018 · AAA	27	49→57	40→45	58→60	43	235/277/326	91	291	7	26	21%	5%	66	-0.6	218/263/319	101	281	8	28	24%	5%	58	-1.2	241/291/361	120	296	11	37	22%	6%	78	+0.2
✕Jamal Strong 2006 · MLB	27	52→55	39→30	57→55	47	248/308/337	89	308	6	24	21%	7%	82	+0.5	233/304/299	66	290	3	20	19%	8%	71	-0.3	228/306/273	44	285	1	20	18%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Yairo Muñoz 2022 · MLB	27	55	41→50	55	41	268/296/371	103	315	8	22	18%	4%	85	+0.7	250/283/362	112	304	11	17	21%	4%	79	+0.3	258/282/371	113	308	13	21	20%	2%	76	+0.1
●Michael Spidale 2009 · AAA	27	54→64	40	58→55	46	259/302/353	93	290	7	20	13%	5%	83	+0.6	275/312/354	79	317	5	20	14%	4%	88	+0.9	301/338/368	67	347	3	21	14%	4%	98	+1.3
✕Darin Mastroianni 2013 · MLB	27	51→58	38→40	63→60	48	240/299/327	87	300	5	37	21%	8%	76	+0.0	223/278/299	76	287	5	28	23%	6%	60	-1.0	215/267/279	63	275	4	25	22%	6%	46	-1.2
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2017 · MLB	27	58→63	37→40	55→60	48	273/326/346	73	329	4	25	18%	6%	91	+1.1	250/306/308	58	321	2	18	21%	7%	73	-0.1	236/290/277	42	314	1	15	23%	7%	55	-0.8
●Greg Allen 2020 · MLB	27	50→57	42→45	56→65	42	241/302/348	107	302	8	25	22%	5%	83	+0.6	245/326/365	120	313	10	30	24%	6%	98	+1.6	245/347/361	116	328	9	52	25%	8%	105	+0.8
✕Jonathan Davis 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	43→45	54→55	46	228/302/343	115	291	10	20	24%	8%	82	+0.5	216/304/336	120	286	11	19	27%	8%	82	+0.5	224/306/341	117	313	11	22	29%	9%	81	+0.2