Jacob Young

CF Washington Nationals
Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 192 lbs MLB Svc 3.215 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202425MLBWSH521.256/.318/.331333832.0
202526MLBWSH364.231/.297/.287215640.4
202627MLBWSH471.252/.319/.3901018991.4
2027PROJ28MLBWSH379.257/.324/.367622971.7
2028PROJ98% MLB29MLBWSH357.255/.321/.361518951.3
2029PROJ98% MLB30MLBWSH344.252/.317/.354515921.0
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.8  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.215First FA2030
2027Arb-1$4M2028Arb-2$6M2029Arb-3$7M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
xwOBA43
Bat Spd37
Avg EV22
Barrel%10
Form.259/.322/.358 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .257/.322/.369
CompsCraig Gentry (age 28) · Tim Locastro (age 28) · Greg Allen (age 29)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 10097vR 89
AVG/OBP/SLG.257 / .324 / .367
PA379
HR6
SB22
K%17
BB%7
BABIP300
ISO111
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -1.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +4.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +5.6 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+6FLDPOS: +1.4 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +8.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +1.90+1.9WAR
0.01.22.41.91.31.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$16M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT55
xAVG
570.257
POWER35
Barrel%
103.1
Avg EV
2286.9
Bat Spd
3770.0
EYE55
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%16%▲15% over 59 PA (60d) · proj 17%
BB%7%·7% over 59 PA (60d) · proj 7%
ISO.098▼.058 over 52 AB (60d) · proj .112
HR/BB1.5%▼0.0% over 44 BBE (60d) · proj 2.1%
BABIP.303·.341 over 44 BIP (60d) · proj .301
SLASH.259/.322/.358·proj .257/.322/.369
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 978 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
293
685
—
wRC+
87
72
◀◀L
wOBA
297
275
◀L
ISO
065
074
▶R
BABIP
318
295
◀L
K%
17.4%
19.1%
◀L
BB%
7.5%
5.7%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.215 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$4M+1.9$15M+$11M
2028Arb-2$6M+1.3$10M+$4M
2029Arb-3$7M+1.0$7M+$0.9M
Totals $17M $32M +$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202122 AFredericksburg Nationals — 114101 21600 10171 130 208286267553 59247 159 254 26 — — — — — —
202223 AFredericksburg Nationals — 542465 1221082 598214 527 262362331694 69312 1511 320 70 — — — — — —
202324 MLBWashington Nationals — 121107 27710 10221 130 252322336658 84318 188 293 86 -2 +3 +3 +2 +3 0.9
202324 AAARochester Red Wings — 1717 5001 020 00 294294471765 176286 120 335 73 — — — — — —
202324 AAHarrisburg Senators — 231204 621133 17377 173 304377431809 127355 167 359 102 — — — — — —
202324 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks — 248212 651022 25313 224 307388401788 94346 1210 347 84 — — — — — —
202425 MLBWashington Nationals — 521468 1202413 3010212 3310 256318331649 75321 206 291 83 -11 +3 +14 +2 +11 2.0
202425 AAARochester Red Wings — 1614 3000 220 10 214312214527 250 1212 257 34 — — — — — —
202526 MLBWashington Nationals — 364324 751012 27653 1511 231297287584 56283 187 263 64 -15 -1 +12 +1 +8 0.4
202627 MLBWashington Nationals — 471421 10622310 33789 184 252319390709 138286 177 314 99 -0 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 14771320 32863615 10026725 7925 248313339653 91300 187 292 84 -29 +6 +30 +7 +32 4.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202122 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 114105 19500 6241 130 181232229461 48223 215 206 26 — — — — — —
202223 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 542483 113981 4111514 527 234312292604 58296 218 271 70 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 121107 27710 10221 130 252322336658 84318 188 295 86 -2 +3 +3 +2 +3 0.9
202324 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 1717 5001 020 00 294294471765 176274 120 276 73 — — — — — —
202324 AA MLEHarrisburg Senators — 231209 601032 12457 173 287346392739 105341 195 319 102 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLEWilmington Blue Rocks — 248222 60922 15423 224 270325356681 86307 176 293 84 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 521468 1202413 3010212 3310 256318331649 75321 206 291 83 -11 +3 +14 +2 +11 2.0
202425 AAA MLERochester Red Wings — 1615 3000 130 10 200250200450 233 196 218 34 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 364324 751012 27653 1511 231297287584 56283 187 263 64 -15 -1 +12 +1 +8 0.4
202627 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 471422 10722410 33789 184 254321396717 142286 177 315 99 -0 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.4
202122 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 114105 19500 6241 130 181232229461 48232 215 206 26 — — — — — —
202122 A RAWFredericksburg Nationals — 114101 21600 10171 130 208286267553 59247 159 254 26 — — — — — —
202223 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 542483 113981 4111514 527 234312292604 58303 218 271 70 — — — — — —
202223 A RAWFredericksburg Nationals — 542465 1221082 598214 527 262362331694 69312 1511 320 70 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLE4 teams — 617556 1522665 3611111 527 273330369699 95330 186 303 91 — — — — — —
202324 A+ RAW4 teams — 617540 1592866 529211 527 294368402770 107342 158 341 91 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 537483 1232413 3110512 3410 255316327643 72318 206 289 82 -12 +3 +14 +2 +12 1.9
202425 MLB RAW2 teams — 537482 1232413 3210412 3410 255317328645 73318 196 290 82 -12 +3 +14 +2 +12 1.9
202526 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 364324 751012 27653 1511 231297287584 56283 187 263 64 -15 -1 +12 +1 +8 0.4
202526 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 364324 751012 27653 1511 231297287584 56283 187 263 64 -15 -1 +12 +1 +8 0.4
202627 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 471422 10722410 33789 184 254321396717 142288 177 315 99 -0 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.4
202627 MLB RAWWashington Nationals — 471421 10622310 33789 184 252319390709 138286 177 314 99 -0 +2 +0 +2 +10 1.4
202122 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 114106 19500 6241 130 179232226459 47223 215 206 26 — — — — — —
202223 A MLEFredericksburg Nationals — 542482 113981 4111514 527 234312293605 58296 218 271 70 — — — — — —
202324 A+ MLE4 teams — 617565 1522665 3611111 527 269330363693 94321 186 303 91 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 537489 1232413 3110512 3410 252316323639 72318 206 289 82 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 364331 751012 27653 1511 227297281578 54283 187 263 64 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 471426 10722410 33789 184 251321392713 141286 177 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 MLB MLE2 teams — 537489 1232413 3110512 3410 252316323639 72318 206 289 82 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 364331 751012 27653 1511 227297281578 54283 187 263 64 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEWashington Nationals — 471426 10722410 33789 184 251321392713 141286 177 315 99 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEWSH 100% 448405 1051937 32788 265 258324369693 112301 177 312 97 -2 +3 +7 +2 +10 1.9
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXWSH 100% 379343 881626 27666 224 257324367691 110300 177 311 97 -1 +3 +6 +1 +8 1.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEWSH 98% 364329 841525 26646 193 256321363685 108300 187 308 95 -2 +3 +4 +1 +8 1.4
202930 MLB MLEWSH 98% 351317 801425 25636 153 253318356674 103298 187 304 92 -3 +2 +3 +1 +8 1.0
203031 MLB MLEWSH 98% 332301 751324 23615 112 248313346659 98295 187 297 87 -5 +1 +2 +1 +7 0.7
203132 MLB MLEWSH 98% 307278 681223 21585 72 242306332638 90291 197 289 82 -7 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.3
202829 MLB CTXWSH 98% 357323 821525 25636 183 255321361682 106299 187 307 95 -2 +2 +4 +1 +8 1.3
202930 MLB CTXWSH 98% 344311 791425 24626 153 252317354671 102298 187 303 92 -3 +2 +3 +1 +7 1.0
203031 MLB CTXWSH 98% 325294 731324 23595 112 248312344656 96295 187 297 87 -5 +1 +2 +1 +7 0.7
203132 MLB CTXWSH 98% 301272 661213 21565 72 242306331636 89291 197 288 82 -6 +1 +1 +1 +7 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 28042520 6281171332 19350747 13035 249314344658 95299 187 295 84 -46 +12 +40 +12 +61 8.0
/ 162G— A+C — 650584 1452737 4511811 308 248314341655 92299 187 295 84 -11 +3 +9 +3 +14 1.9
Career— MLE — 43783941 9841663044 29681078 25853 250315341655 91302 197 293 84 -48 +15 +45 +13 +70 9.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650585 1462547 4412012 388 250316342658 92301 187 293 84 -10 +3 +9 +3 +14 2.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAARochester Red Wings · 16 PAwOBA .251 → .218 (−33)K% 12.5% → 15.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷0.958×1.200——15.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.969×0.690—×1.0339.19%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0330.00%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷1.029×0.930—×1.03323.34%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.962×0.830—×1.0330.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0330.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.986×0.700—×1.0330.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 92, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .251 → .218; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .250 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 248 PAwOBA .342 → .293 (−49)K% 12.5% → 16.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷0.973×1.310——16.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.08%÷1.005×0.600—×0.9885.95%
HBP% /PA1.21%—×0.770—×0.9880.92%
Singles /BIP28.18%÷0.981×0.870×1.013×0.98825.02%
Doubles /BIP5.52%÷0.894×0.780×1.013×0.9884.83%
Triples /BIP1.10%÷0.913×0.850×1.013×0.9881.03%
Home runs /BIP1.10%÷0.913×0.880—×0.9881.05%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 79, 3B 83, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.013.

Result: wOBA .342 → .293; ISO .094 → .090; BABIP .346 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAHarrisburg Senators · 231 PAwOBA .353 → .319 (−34)K% 16.0% → 19.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.02%÷1.005×1.220——19.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.36%÷1.016×0.700—×1.0125.13%
HBP% /PA3.03%—×0.850—×1.0122.61%
Singles /BIP26.95%÷1.013×0.970×1.018×1.01226.59%
Doubles /BIP6.59%÷1.033×0.860×1.018×1.0125.65%
Triples /BIP1.80%÷0.935×0.950×1.018×1.0121.88%
Home runs /BIP1.80%÷1.115×0.780—×1.0121.27%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 103, 2B 107, 3B 87, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .353 → .319; ISO .127 → .109; BABIP .355 → .341. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAARochester Red Wings · 17 PAwOBA .325 → .276 (−49)K% 11.8% → 14.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA11.76%÷0.980×1.200——14.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.956×0.690—×1.0480.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0480.00%
Singles /BIP26.67%÷0.996×0.930—×1.04826.11%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.137×0.830—×1.0480.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP6.67%÷1.058×0.700—×1.0484.62%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 99, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 96, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .325 → .276; ISO .176 → .119; BABIP .286 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AFredericksburg Nationals · 542 PAwOBA .314 → .271 (−43)K% 15.1% → 21.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.13%÷0.966×1.360——21.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.70%÷0.970×0.690—×0.9907.54%
HBP% /PA2.58%—×0.780—×0.9901.99%
Singles /BIP26.63%÷0.986×0.920×1.027×0.99025.26%
Doubles /BIP2.61%÷0.933×0.830×1.027×0.9902.36%
Triples /BIP2.09%÷0.910×0.910×1.027×0.9902.12%
Home runs /BIP0.52%÷1.074×0.800—×0.9900.39%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 97, 2B 87, 3B 82, K 93, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .314 → .271; ISO .069 → .063; BABIP .312 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AFredericksburg Nationals · 114 PAwOBA .250 → .206 (−45)K% 14.9% → 21.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.91%÷0.967×1.360——20.97%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.77%÷1.100×0.690——5.50%
HBP% /PA0.88%—×0.780——0.68%
Singles /BIP17.86%÷1.006×0.920×0.996—16.27%
Doubles /BIP7.14%÷0.942×0.830×0.996—6.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.901×0.910×0.996—0.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.159×0.800——0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 132, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 93, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .250 → .206; ISO .059 → .052; BABIP .247 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).