Cam Eden
CF Somerset Patriots| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 25 | AAATOR | 460 | .257/.356/.333 | 3 | 53 | 72 | — | .232/.314/.291 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAAScranton/Wilk… | 375 | .202/.299/.329 | 8 | 33 | 43 | — | .176/.245/.265 |
| 2025 | 27 | AA/A/ROKNYY | 136 | .220/.289/.325 | 1 | 10 | 23 | — | .166/.215/.252 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 29 | MLBNYY | 2 | .210/.277/.327 | 0 | 0 | 69 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 30 | MLBNYY | 34 | .209/.276/.324 | 1 | 1 | 68 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 218 | 179 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 50 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 274 | 390 | 402 | 792 | 128 | 349 | 23 | 12 | 354 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 306 | 274 | 59 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 26 | 108 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 215 | 292 | 376 | 668 | 161 | 312 | 35 | 8 | 299 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Vancouver Canadians | — | 42 | 37 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 297 | 366 | 459 | 825 | 162 | 367 | 19 | 5 | 358 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 18 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 400 | 500 | 867 | 1.367 | 467 | 444 | 22 | 6 | 574 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Buffalo Bisons | — | 460 | 393 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 114 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 257 | 356 | 333 | 689 | 76 | 350 | 25 | 10 | 317 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 375 | 322 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 96 | 3 | 33 | 8 | 202 | 299 | 329 | 628 | 127 | 258 | 26 | 11 | 283 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 81 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 176 | 247 | 270 | 517 | 95 | 286 | 38 | 7 | 239 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 18 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 312 | 389 | 438 | 826 | 125 | 357 | 11 | 11 | 368 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 37 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 333 | 394 | 727 | 121 | 300 | 11 | 8 | 318 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 218 | 185 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 227 | 329 | 341 | 669 | 114 | 303 | 31 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | New Hampshire Fisher Cats | — | 306 | 281 | 47 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 130 | 4 | 32 | 3 | 167 | 233 | 278 | 510 | 110 | 275 | 42 | 7 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 42 | 38 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 263 | 317 | 395 | 712 | 132 | 306 | 26 | 2 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A MLE | Dunedin Blue Jays | — | 18 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 400 | 500 | 867 | 1.367 | 467 | 379 | 28 | 6 | 447 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 460 | 406 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 141 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 232 | 314 | 291 | 605 | 59 | 336 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 375 | 336 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 116 | 3 | 33 | 8 | 176 | 245 | 265 | 509 | 89 | 241 | 31 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 81 | 76 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 132 | 185 | 211 | 396 | 79 | 268 | 48 | 5 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 353 | 631 | 118 | 291 | 17 | 6 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 37 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 206 | 250 | 294 | 544 | 88 | 208 | 16 | 5 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 218 | 185 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 227 | 329 | 341 | 669 | 114 | 325 | 31 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | Vancouver Canadians | — | 218 | 179 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 50 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 274 | 390 | 402 | 792 | 128 | 349 | 23 | 12 | 354 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 334 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 146 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 250 | 308 | 558 | 126 | 287 | 40 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 366 | 326 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 29 | 120 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 233 | 310 | 408 | 718 | 175 | 327 | 33 | 8 | 319 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 460 | 406 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 141 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 232 | 314 | 291 | 605 | 59 | 345 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | Buffalo Bisons | — | 460 | 393 | 101 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 45 | 114 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 257 | 356 | 333 | 689 | 76 | 350 | 25 | 10 | 317 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 375 | 337 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 116 | 3 | 33 | 8 | 175 | 245 | 264 | 509 | 89 | 247 | 31 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 375 | 322 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 96 | 3 | 33 | 8 | 202 | 299 | 329 | 628 | 127 | 258 | 26 | 11 | 283 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 136 | 127 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 165 | 215 | 252 | 467 | 87 | 250 | 35 | 5 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 136 | 123 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 220 | 289 | 325 | 614 | 106 | 302 | 27 | 8 | 277 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Vancouver Canadians | — | 218 | 188 | 42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 68 | 8 | 30 | 2 | 223 | 329 | 335 | 664 | 112 | 303 | 31 | 9 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 366 | 333 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 146 | 8 | 36 | 5 | 183 | 250 | 309 | 559 | 126 | 284 | 40 | 6 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Buffalo Bisons | — | 460 | 408 | 94 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 141 | 16 | 53 | 4 | 230 | 314 | 289 | 604 | 59 | 336 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 375 | 341 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 116 | 3 | 33 | 8 | 173 | 245 | 261 | 506 | 88 | 241 | 31 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 136 | 127 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 165 | 215 | 252 | 467 | 87 | 255 | 35 | 5 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 375 | 341 | 59 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 116 | 3 | 33 | 8 | 173 | 245 | 261 | 506 | 88 | 241 | 31 | 7 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 136 | 127 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 47 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 165 | 215 | 252 | 467 | 87 | 255 | 35 | 5 | 203 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | NYY | 2% | 200 | 181 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 57 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 210 | 276 | 322 | 598 | 113 | 280 | 28 | 8 | 270 | 69 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | NYY | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 277 | 327 | 604 | 117 | 280 | 50 | 0 | 272 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | NYY | 23% | 151 | 138 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 275 | 320 | 594 | 111 | 279 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | NYY | 23% | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 209 | 276 | 324 | 600 | 115 | 279 | 29 | 9 | 270 | 68 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 323 | 587 | 129 | 250 | 29 | 9 | 270 | 59 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 114 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 57 | 191 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 192 | 263 | 320 | 583 | 128 | 248 | 29 | 9 | 270 | 59 | -25 | +4 | -9 | +2 | +14 | -1.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1811 | 1622 | 327 | 58 | 10 | 26 | 129 | 591 | 38 | 170 | 24 | 202 | 276 | 298 | 574 | 96 | 295 | 33 | 7 | 255 | 59 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 582 | 118 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 212 | 14 | 61 | 9 | 203 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 96 | 297 | 33 | 7 | 255 | 59 | -25 | +2 | -5 | +2 | +14 | -1.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 81 PAwOBA .233 → .178 (−55)K% 38.3% → 48.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.27% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 48.11% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×0.978 | 20.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.65% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | ×0.987 | ×0.978 | 4.05% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | ×0.987 | ×0.978 | 2.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.33% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 1.72% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .233 → .178; ISO .095 → .066; BABIP .286 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Yankees · 37 PAwOBA .318 → .216 (−103)K% 10.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.001 | ×1.440 | — | — | 15.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 4.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷1.056 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 12.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.79% | ÷1.043 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 8.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.008 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷2.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 312, 1B 111, 2B 109, 3B 102, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .216; ISO .121 → .080; BABIP .300 → .208. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ATampa Tarpons · 18 PAwOBA .359 → .286 (−74)K% 11.1% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷0.971 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.950 | 7.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.57% | ÷1.119 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.950 | 22.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.913 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.950 | 6.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.842 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.950 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 124, 2B 109, 3B 83, K 100, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.0 → −5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .359 → .286; ISO .125 → .118; BABIP .357 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 375 PAwOBA .277 → .232 (−45)K% 25.6% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.60% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.93% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.80% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.03% | ÷0.976 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 18.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.87% | ÷1.072 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.018 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.54% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 80, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .277 → .232; ISO .127 → .099; BABIP .258 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAABuffalo Bisons · 460 PAwOBA .312 → .275 (−38)K% 24.8% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.78% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 30.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.78% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.48% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.96% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | ×1.044 | ×1.033 | 27.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.81% | ÷1.033 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.033 | 5.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.044 | ×1.033 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.08% | ÷0.916 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 104, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .312 → .275; ISO .076 → .063; BABIP .350 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AANew Hampshire Fisher Cats · 306 PAwOBA .292 → .228 (−64)K% 35.3% → 42.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.29% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.50% | ÷0.911 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.31% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.08% | ÷0.991 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 19.85% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.43% | ÷1.067 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 6.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.02% | ÷1.027 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 4.63% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 102, BB 82 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .292 → .228; ISO .161 → .113; BABIP .312 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Vancouver Canadians · 42 PAwOBA .349 → .282 (−67)K% 19.0% → 25.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 25.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.38% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 1.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 3.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.69% | ÷0.950 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.988 | 19.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.79% | ÷1.254 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.988 | 3.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 90, 2B 151, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .349 → .282; ISO .162 → .119; BABIP .367 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ADunedin Blue Jays · 18 PAwOBA .557 → .447 (−110)K% 22.2% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.017 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.56% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 3.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 8.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 24.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.983 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 7.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.916 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 15.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 103, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .557 → .447; ISO .467 → .379; BABIP .444 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).