Dusty Coleman
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 29 | AAA/ROK2 orgs | 236 | .244/.303/.418 | 6 | 8 | 50 | — | .193/.238/.312 | |
| 2017 | 30 | AAASD | 370 | .208/.283/.434 | 15 | 11 | 34 | — | .149/.208/.301 | |
| 2017 | 30 | MLBSD | 71 | .227/.271/.455 | 4 | 1 | 100 | 0.8 | ||
| 2018 | 31 | AAASD | 329 | .202/.267/.397 | 13 | 7 | 0 | — | .110/.161/.210 | |
| 2019 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2020 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 39 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 300 | 333 | 633 | 111 | 312 | 33 | 7 | 291 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 112 | 100 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 220 | 304 | 330 | 634 | 110 | 350 | 35 | 9 | 290 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A | Kane County Cougars | — | 394 | 346 | 88 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 115 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 254 | 345 | 410 | 756 | 156 | 359 | 29 | 10 | 340 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 37 | 36 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 333 | 351 | 417 | 768 | 83 | 545 | 38 | 3 | 343 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 522 | 462 | 111 | 27 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 171 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 240 | 317 | 413 | 731 | 173 | 342 | 33 | 9 | 321 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | INTL | Phoenix Desert Dogs | — | 57 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 211 | 407 | 618 | 241 | 200 | 37 | 4 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 486 | 427 | 86 | 16 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 182 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 201 | 287 | 363 | 650 | 162 | 303 | 37 | 8 | 289 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 22 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 182 | 190 | 372 | 48 | 188 | 23 | 0 | 174 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 484 | 126 | 34 | 10 | 3 | 57 | 155 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 260 | 346 | 390 | 736 | 130 | 375 | 28 | 10 | 328 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 489 | 110 | 27 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 201 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 225 | 305 | 399 | 703 | 174 | 335 | 36 | 8 | 310 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 276 | 251 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 69 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 275 | 323 | 418 | 742 | 143 | 354 | 25 | 5 | 322 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 114 | 91 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 341 | 464 | 505 | 970 | 165 | 433 | 20 | 12 | 427 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 207 | 188 | 45 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 58 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 239 | 296 | 399 | 695 | 160 | 320 | 28 | 6 | 303 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | ROK | AZL Royals | — | 29 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 280 | 357 | 560 | 917 | 280 | 300 | 17 | 10 | 382 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 71 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 271 | 455 | 726 | 227 | 367 | 46 | 3 | 314 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 370 | 327 | 68 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 125 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 208 | 283 | 434 | 717 | 226 | 272 | 34 | 9 | 307 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 329 | 302 | 61 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 146 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 202 | 267 | 397 | 665 | 195 | 336 | 44 | 7 | 295 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 71 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 271 | 455 | 726 | 227 | 367 | 46 | 3 | 314 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 30 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 200 | 250 | 450 | 107 | 249 | 47 | 3 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 112 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 165 | 232 | 243 | 475 | 78 | 312 | 46 | 6 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | Kane County Cougars | — | 394 | 359 | 72 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 156 | 8 | 18 | 8 | 201 | 272 | 315 | 586 | 114 | 334 | 40 | 7 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 37 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 250 | 270 | 306 | 576 | 56 | 514 | 49 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 522 | 478 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 224 | 6 | 21 | 4 | 178 | 235 | 297 | 532 | 119 | 290 | 43 | 6 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 486 | 439 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 232 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 148 | 218 | 269 | 486 | 121 | 258 | 48 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 22 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 182 | 190 | 372 | 48 | 166 | 27 | 0 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 502 | 98 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 201 | 6 | 17 | 10 | 195 | 261 | 291 | 552 | 96 | 307 | 36 | 7 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 506 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 256 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 168 | 228 | 291 | 518 | 123 | 283 | 46 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 276 | 257 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 89 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 222 | 257 | 319 | 576 | 97 | 307 | 32 | 3 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AA MLE | Northwest Arkansas Naturals | — | 114 | 96 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 292 | 393 | 438 | 830 | 146 | 367 | 24 | 8 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 207 | 192 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 72 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 193 | 236 | 297 | 533 | 104 | 286 | 35 | 4 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | ROK MLE | AZL Royals | — | 29 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 192 | 250 | 423 | 673 | 231 | 214 | 24 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 71 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 271 | 455 | 726 | 227 | 367 | 46 | 3 | 315 | 100 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.8 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 370 | 336 | 50 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 161 | 2 | 11 | 3 | 149 | 208 | 301 | 508 | 152 | 219 | 44 | 6 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 329 | 310 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 191 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 110 | 161 | 210 | 371 | 100 | 246 | 58 | 5 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 30 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 200 | 250 | 450 | 107 | 231 | 47 | 3 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Athletics | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 300 | 333 | 633 | 111 | 312 | 33 | 7 | 291 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 462 | 89 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 209 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 193 | 263 | 297 | 559 | 104 | 336 | 41 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 506 | 446 | 110 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 154 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 247 | 336 | 392 | 728 | 146 | 357 | 30 | 10 | 329 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 616 | 567 | 104 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 266 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 183 | 238 | 298 | 537 | 115 | 315 | 43 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 616 | 552 | 132 | 32 | 5 | 18 | 49 | 206 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 239 | 309 | 413 | 722 | 174 | 342 | 33 | 8 | 318 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 486 | 439 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 232 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 148 | 218 | 269 | 486 | 121 | 266 | 48 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 486 | 427 | 86 | 16 | 4 | 15 | 41 | 182 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 201 | 287 | 363 | 650 | 162 | 303 | 37 | 8 | 289 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 523 | 100 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 207 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 191 | 257 | 285 | 541 | 94 | 308 | 36 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 576 | 505 | 129 | 35 | 10 | 3 | 57 | 160 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 255 | 339 | 382 | 721 | 127 | 366 | 28 | 10 | 322 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 506 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 256 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 168 | 228 | 291 | 518 | 123 | 298 | 46 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 489 | 110 | 27 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 201 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 225 | 305 | 399 | 703 | 174 | 335 | 36 | 8 | 310 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 353 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 117 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 238 | 294 | 346 | 640 | 108 | 338 | 30 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 390 | 342 | 100 | 20 | 2 | 9 | 28 | 92 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 292 | 365 | 442 | 806 | 149 | 376 | 24 | 7 | 353 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 218 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 79 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 193 | 238 | 312 | 550 | 119 | 279 | 33 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 236 | 213 | 52 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 63 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 244 | 303 | 418 | 721 | 174 | 317 | 27 | 6 | 313 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 402 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 194 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 159 | 216 | 316 | 532 | 157 | 250 | 44 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 441 | 393 | 83 | 20 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 158 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 211 | 281 | 438 | 718 | 226 | 284 | 36 | 8 | 308 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 329 | 310 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 191 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 110 | 161 | 210 | 371 | 100 | 241 | 58 | 5 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 329 | 302 | 61 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 23 | 146 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 202 | 267 | 397 | 665 | 195 | 336 | 44 | 7 | 295 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 30 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 143 | 200 | 250 | 450 | 107 | 249 | 47 | 3 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 506 | 457 | 89 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 209 | 10 | 20 | 10 | 195 | 263 | 300 | 563 | 105 | 329 | 41 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 616 | 570 | 104 | 26 | 3 | 11 | 34 | 266 | 7 | 21 | 6 | 182 | 238 | 296 | 535 | 114 | 305 | 43 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 486 | 444 | 65 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 29 | 232 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 146 | 218 | 266 | 483 | 119 | 258 | 48 | 6 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 576 | 525 | 100 | 24 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 207 | 7 | 18 | 10 | 190 | 257 | 284 | 540 | 93 | 302 | 36 | 7 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 27 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 554 | 510 | 85 | 19 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 256 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 167 | 228 | 288 | 516 | 122 | 283 | 46 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 390 | 359 | 84 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 117 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 234 | 294 | 340 | 634 | 106 | 325 | 30 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 236 | 221 | 42 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 79 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 190 | 238 | 308 | 546 | 118 | 277 | 33 | 4 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 441 | 409 | 64 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 194 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 156 | 216 | 311 | 526 | 154 | 243 | 44 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 31 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 329 | 307 | 34 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 191 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 111 | 161 | 212 | 373 | 101 | 246 | 58 | 5 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 71 | 66 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 271 | 455 | 726 | 227 | 367 | 46 | 3 | 314 | 43 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 604 | 137 | 27 | 0 | 37 | 18 | 302 | 18 | 9 | 0 | 227 | 270 | 455 | 725 | 228 | 365 | 46 | 3 | 314 | 43 | -1 | +2 | +11 | +43 | +14 | 7.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4164 | 3808 | 671 | 152 | 29 | 76 | 234 | 1765 | 66 | 124 | 56 | 176 | 236 | 291 | 528 | 115 | 298 | 42 | 6 | 232 | 43 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +2 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 594 | 106 | 24 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 276 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 178 | 239 | 296 | 535 | 118 | 303 | 42 | 6 | 232 | 43 | -1 | +2 | +11 | +43 | +14 | 7.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2018 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 329 PAwOBA .286 → .168 (−117)K% 44.4% → 58.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 44.38% | ÷0.983 | ×1.290 | — | — | 58.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷0.986 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.962 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.22% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.962 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.95% | ÷1.032 | ×0.900 | ×0.955 | ×0.962 | 14.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.82% | ÷1.098 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×0.962 | 8.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×0.955 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.045 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.962 | 5.98% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 130, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .286 → .168; ISO .195 → .104; BABIP .336 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 370 PAwOBA .304 → .219 (−85)K% 33.8% → 43.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.78% | ÷1.005 | ×1.290 | — | — | 43.38% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.38% | ÷0.921 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.972 | 6.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.972 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.85% | ÷1.040 | ×0.900 | ×1.010 | ×0.972 | 12.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.42% | ÷0.983 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×0.972 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×1.010 | ×0.972 | 2.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.087 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.972 | 5.18% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 108, 2B 97, 3B 110, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .304 → .219; ISO .226 → .151; BABIP .272 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 207 PAwOBA .295 → .239 (−56)K% 28.0% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.02% | ÷1.040 | ×1.290 | — | — | 34.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 4.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.77% | ÷0.968 | ×0.900 | ×1.016 | ×0.982 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.46% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×0.982 | 7.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.068 | ×0.810 | ×1.016 | ×0.982 | 1.16% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.054 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 2.79% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 94, 2B 86, 3B 114, K 108, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .295 → .239; ISO .160 → .119; BABIP .320 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKAZL Royals · 29 PAwOBA .385 → .267 (−118)K% 17.2% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 11.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 6.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 3.67% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .385 → .267; ISO .280 → .197; BABIP .300 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 276 PAwOBA .312 → .247 (−66)K% 25.0% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.999 | ×1.290 | — | — | 32.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.71% | ÷1.127 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 2.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷1.008 | ×0.900 | ×1.003 | ×0.992 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.04% | ÷0.961 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.992 | 5.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷0.948 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×0.992 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.157 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 2.57% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 102, 2B 92, 3B 90, K 100, BB 125 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .312 → .247; ISO .143 → .102; BABIP .354 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 114 PAwOBA .421 → .352 (−68)K% 20.2% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.18% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.28% | ÷1.072 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 7.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.14% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.968 | 5.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×0.968 | 25.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.24% | ÷1.024 | ×0.840 | ×1.007 | ×0.968 | 10.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.940 | ×1.007 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 105, 2B 105, 3B 110, K 105, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .421 → .352; ISO .165 → .145; BABIP .433 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAMidland RockHounds · 554 PAwOBA .305 → .225 (−80)K% 36.3% → 46.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.28% | ÷0.957 | ×1.220 | — | — | 46.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.48% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 5.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.978 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.88% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.977 | ×0.978 | 19.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.38% | ÷1.049 | ×0.840 | ×0.977 | ×0.978 | 7.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.012 | ×0.940 | ×0.977 | ×0.978 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.961 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 5.09% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 96, 2B 110, 3B 102, K 91, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .305 → .225; ISO .174 → .126; BABIP .335 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAMidland RockHounds · 554 PAwOBA .320 → .242 (−79)K% 28.0% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.98% | ÷0.942 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷0.978 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 7.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.08% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.01% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.988 | 20.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.33% | ÷1.124 | ×0.840 | ×0.993 | ×0.988 | 7.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.04% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.993 | ×0.988 | 2.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.852 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 110, 2B 125, 3B 130, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .320 → .242; ISO .130 → .096; BABIP .375 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).