Brian Navarreto — OGILVIE

Brian Navarreto1B Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp

Age 31 R/R 6'1" / 233 lbs AAA HR -6%H -3% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION86 act + 155 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .260 / .368

PA155

HR5

K%26

BB%5

BABIP250

ISO160

MLB%30%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

768.3%

xwOBA

100.207

POWER50

Barrel%

9015.6

Avg EV

1077.9

Bat Spd

6673.0

EYE45

Chase%

9022.9%

SPEED50

Sprint

1225.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	158	143	21	6	0	2	9	50	4	3	1	147	218	231	449	84	207	32	6	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	158	137	31	10	0	3	15	35	4	3	1	226	321	365	685	139	280	22	9	309	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	116	110	14	5	1	2	5	47	0	0	0	127	165	245	411	118	194	41	4	171	-11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	116	108	21	8	1	3	7	33	0	0	0	194	243	370	614	176	247	28	6	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	319	303	51	8	1	1	10	91	2	0	0	168	200	211	411	43	236	29	3	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	319	299	64	11	1	2	14	61	2	0	0	214	254	278	532	64	262	19	4	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	248	231	38	7	0	2	9	75	5	0	0	165	212	221	433	56	231	30	4	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	248	229	45	8	0	2	11	51	5	0	0	197	249	258	507	61	242	21	4	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	354	329	58	9	0	4	13	94	5	1	1	176	219	240	459	64	231	27	4	199	10	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	2 teams	—	354	321	67	13	0	4	20	63	5	1	1	209	265	287	552	78	245	18	6	248	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	477	455	91	21	0	5	10	100	6	0	1	200	227	279	506	79	244	21	2	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	477	449	114	24	0	4	16	67	6	0	1	254	289	334	623	80	289	14	3	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA	2 teams	—	299	276	42	6	0	10	9	73	4	2	0	152	190	283	473	130	163	24	3	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AA	2 teams	—	299	270	46	7	0	7	14	60	4	2	0	170	221	274	496	104	189	20	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	20	17	7	6	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	412	500	941	1.441	529	400	5	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	20	17	7	6	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	412	500	941	1.441	529	400	5	15	594	313	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	3 teams	—	273	253	45	7	1	12	12	80	3	0	1	178	224	356	580	178	200	29	4	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	3 teams	—	273	248	45	8	1	12	17	57	3	0	1	181	243	367	609	185	180	21	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	2 teams	—	360	335	81	2	0	9	18	65	5	1	1	242	291	328	619	87	274	18	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	2 teams	—	360	319	87	10	0	11	34	51	5	1	1	273	352	408	759	135	293	14	9	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	418	378	86	17	3	10	26	112	6	0	0	228	288	368	656	140	291	27	6	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA	2 teams	—	418	363	86	22	2	7	39	79	6	0	0	237	320	366	686	129	280	19	9	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	3 teams	—	273	255	52	8	1	2	11	73	3	0	1	204	245	267	512	63	275	27	4	215	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	3 teams	—	273	246	55	12	1	1	19	54	3	0	1	224	286	293	579	69	280	20	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	3 teams	—	256	231	46	8	1	10	14	70	3	3	0	199	254	372	626	173	228	27	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	3 teams	—	256	222	47	7	1	7	23	52	3	3	0	212	294	347	641	135	235	20	9	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	MIA	—	86	78	14	5	0	1	3	24	4	1	1	179	247	282	529	103	241	28	3	228	33	-7	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.6
YTD	31	AAA	MIA	—	86	76	16	6	0	1	5	20	4	1	1	211	294	329	623	118	268	23	6	283	75	-2	-0	+0	-2	+2	-0.2
ROS	31	AAA	MIA	30%	155	144	30	6	1	5	8	40	2	2	1	208	260	368	628	160	250	26	5	270	65	-6	+0	+0	-3	+4	-0.5
ROS	31	MLB	MIA	30%	46	43	8	2	0	1	2	12	1	1	0	186	239	302	541	116	245	26	4	255	53	-2	+0	+0	-1	+1	-0.2
FULL	31	AAA	MIA	—	132	121	22	7	0	2	5	36	5	2	1	182	244	289	534	107	238	27	4	237	40	-9	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.8
TOT	31	AAA	MIA	—	241	222	44	11	1	6	11	64	6	3	2	198	255	338	593	140	247	27	5	255	54	-13	-0	+0	-4	+7	-1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	MIA	39%	222	205	41	8	1	6	12	58	3	2	1	200	255	337	591	137	248	26	5	268	63	-9	+0	-4	-4	+6	-1.1
2028	33	MLB	MIA	44%	192	176	36	7	1	5	11	51	3	1	0	205	263	341	604	136	247	27	6	265	61	-9	+0	-4	-3	+5	-1.1
2027	32	MLB	MIA	39%	87	81	15	3	0	2	5	23	1	1	0	185	241	296	538	111	244	26	6	253	52	-5	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.5
2028	33	MLB	MIA	44%	85	79	15	3	0	2	5	22	1	1	0	190	247	304	551	114	242	26	6	251	50	-5	+0	-2	-2	+2	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	233	217	42	10	0	6	12	60	3	3	0	194	246	323	568	129	237	26	5	260	57	-11	+1	-3	+1	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	118	28	0	17	33	167	8	8	0	195	246	326	571	131	238	26	5	260	57	-31	+2	-9	+2	+18	-1.9
Career	—			—	4140	3841	739	131	11	86	180	1080	54	15	8	192	239	299	538	107	241	26	4	230	35	-306	-0	-7	-64	+117	-26.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	117	21	2	14	28	170	8	2	1	194	239	305	544	111	242	26	4	230	35	-48	+0	-1	-10	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	158	137	31	10	0	3	15	35	4	3	1	226	321	365	685	139	280	22	9	309	94	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2014	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	116	108	21	8	1	3	7	33	0	0	0	194	243	370	614	176	247	28	6	269	64	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2015	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	319	299	64	11	1	2	14	61	2	0	0	214	254	278	532	64	262	19	4	239	41	-21	+0	—	—	+9	-1.2
2016	21	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	248	229	45	8	0	2	11	51	5	0	0	197	249	258	507	61	242	21	4	232	36	-18	+0	—	—	+7	-1.1
2017	22	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	117	102	21	2	0	2	9	18	2	0	0	206	281	284	565	78	229	15	8	255	54	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2017	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	237	219	46	11	0	2	11	45	3	1	1	210	258	288	545	78	253	19	5	245	46	-15	-0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2018	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	380	357	88	19	0	4	14	57	6	0	1	246	286	333	620	87	283	15	4	278	71	-12	-0	—	—	+11	-0.2
2018	23	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	97	92	26	5	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	283	298	337	635	54	310	10	2	276	70	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2019	24	AA	Trenton Thunder	—	180	160	28	5	0	6	8	31	3	0	0	175	227	319	545	144	176	17	4	234	37	-13	+0	—	—	+5	-0.8
2019	24	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	119	110	18	2	0	1	6	29	1	2	0	164	214	209	423	45	210	24	5	194	7	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2020	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	20	17	7	6	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	412	500	941	1.441	529	400	5	15	594	313	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2021	26	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	113	98	21	3	1	5	12	34	1	0	0	214	306	418	725	204	262	30	11	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	26	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	87	85	15	3	0	4	1	12	1	0	0	176	195	353	548	176	159	14	1	240	42	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2021	26	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	73	65	9	2	0	3	4	11	1	0	1	138	200	308	508	169	113	15	5	219	25	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2022	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	142	130	35	1	0	4	10	20	1	1	0	269	326	369	695	100	290	14	7	313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	27	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	218	189	52	9	0	7	24	31	4	0	1	275	369	434	803	159	296	14	11	360	133	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.4
2023	28	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	301	266	62	14	2	7	27	64	2	0	0	233	306	380	686	147	278	21	9	304	90	-3	+0	—	—	+9	0.5
2023	28	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	117	97	24	8	0	0	12	15	4	0	0	247	354	330	684	82	286	13	10	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	159	147	33	5	1	1	10	32	0	0	0	224	272	293	565	68	278	20	6	255	54	-8	+0	—	—	+5	-0.4
2024	29	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	16	15	3	2	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	200	250	333	583	133	300	31	6	261	58	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	29	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	98	84	19	5	0	0	8	17	3	0	1	226	316	286	602	60	279	17	8	274	68	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2025	30	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	15	14	4	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	286	286	643	929	357	273	20	0	370	142	+1	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6
2025	30	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	176	153	35	5	1	6	16	39	2	3	0	229	310	392	702	163	257	22	9	307	93	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.4
2025	30	INTL	Cangrejeros de Santurce	—	65	55	8	0	0	0	7	10	1	0	0	145	254	145	399		174	15	11	198	10	-7	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	15	14	4	2	0	1	0	3	0	0	0	286	286	643	929	357	273	20	0	370	142	+1	+0	-0	+5	+0	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#3Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	244	7	2	205	256	347	-4	+0	-0.9	-0.4
	/162	664	19	6	205	256	347	-11.9	+0.8	-2.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brian Navarreto (OGILVIE)	31	45	50	50	45	198/255/338	140	247	6	3	27%	5%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Christian Bethancourt 2023 · MLB	31	47→52	51→55	49→50	40	242/279/399	157	293	19	8	25%	4%	87	+0.8	218/252/372	154	271	20	7	27%	4%	69	-0.4	188/222/335	148	224	21	9	28%	3%	43	-0.8
✕Earl Snyder 2007 · AAA	31	42	52→50	46→30	43	222/268/384	162	254	20	3	22%	5%	79	+0.3	206/254/339	133	252	16	4	25%	6%	61	-1.0	175/226/292	116	212	15	0	25%	6%	35	-2.1
✕Brett Carroll 2013 · MLB	30	42→45	48→55	47→50	43	215/278/354	140	275	15	11	28%	7%	76	+0.0	206/271/344	138	287	17	10	33%	7%	70	-0.3	181/260/337	157	237	23	11	34%	8%	60	-0.5
✕Webster Rivas 2022 · MLB	31	44	44→45	47→40	47	219/283/331	112	278	12	4	25%	8%	71	-0.3	223/302/320	97	302	8	6	26%	10%	76	+0.1	215/312/283	68	302	2	2	26%	12%	69	-0.2
✕Jamie Romak 2017 · MLB	31	41→48	51→55	49→45	40	210/268/369	159	293	18	7	34%	7%	75	-0.0	238/290/430	192	314	24	11	31%	6%	100	+1.7	243/288/529	287	290	39	10	31%	5%	120	+0.5
✕Jerad Head 2013 · MLB	30	42→46	50→55	50	39	221/275/377	155	272	19	9	26%	5%	80	+0.4	230/280/374	144	280	16	7	24%	5%	82	+0.5	230/277/373	143	275	16	2	22%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA	30	42	52→50	43→40	40	221/279/389	168	272	21	5	27%	5%	85	+0.7	222/289/359	137	266	14	9	22%	6%	82	+0.5	204/282/322	119	241	11	9	20%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Joe Borchard 2010 · MLB	31	40→46	50→55	45	40	209/259/361	152	272	18	6	30%	6%	69	-0.4	223/274/370	147	304	15	5	30%	6%	77	+0.1	227/280/377	150	311	14	2	30%	6%	80	+0.3
✕Chris Truby 2006 · MLB	32	39→43	51→50	41→45	43	209/255/364	155	246	19	4	25%	6%	68	-0.5	206/253/328	122	267	13	9	27%	5%	57	-1.2	179/230/277	99	235	9	11	28%	5%	32	-1.8
✕Carlos Rivero 2019 · AAA	31	42→52	47→50	44→45	41	215/257/344	129	265	15	5	26%	5%	63	-0.9	249/294/395	146	294	17	5	21%	6%	92	+1.2	258/303/406	147	299	18	0	20%	6%	97	+1.2
✕Deven Marrero 2022 · MLB	31	41→48	46→45	48→50	40	209/266/335	126	297	15	8	34%	7%	65	-0.7	222/280/337	115	303	13	12	29%	7%	71	-0.3	211/274/286	75	282	8	15	27%	8%	51	-0.5
✕Nick Gorneault 2010 · AAA	31	39→48	47→55	45→50	41	203/257/334	132	268	15	11	30%	6%	61	-1.0	209/259/347	138	278	15	10	30%	6%	65	-0.7	196/247/342	146	249	17	7	29%	6%	56	-0.8
✕Brandon Snyder 2018 · MLB	31	44→53	52→55	45	39	226/282/391	164	298	21	7	31%	6%	87	+0.8	204/260/378	174	303	23	5	39%	6%	75	-0.0	179/243/353	174	266	25	2	42%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Brent Clevlen 2015 · AAA	31	42→52	47→50	52→50	42	213/271/348	135	292	15	9	32%	7%	70	-0.3	217/265/354	137	300	16	9	32%	6%	69	-0.4	205/253/340	134	279	18	7	32%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Chris Heisey 2016 · MLB	31	37→47	54→55	49→55	47	206/279/383	177	239	23	9	26%	8%	84	+0.6	214/283/394	180	264	24	6	28%	8%	89	+0.9	214/291/443	229	242	35	0	28%	8%	103	+0.5
✕D.J. Peterson 2022 · AAA	30	42→46	47→55	50→40	38	212/264/344	132	290	15	11	32%	5%	67	-0.5	203/278/360	157	286	19	7	34%	8%	77	+0.1	165/252/321	156	223	21	1	35%	8%	54	-0.9
✕Matt McBride 2016 · MLB	31	47→50	48→55	47→40	43	235/274/379	144	259	16	6	17%	4%	80	+0.4	220/272/379	159	256	17	4	21%	6%	79	+0.3	207/266/383	176	238	20	1	23%	7%	75	+0.0
✕Jason Coats 2019 · MLB	29	43→50	50→55	49→45	40	222/264/383	161	265	18	6	24%	4%	76	+0.1	213/251/362	149	273	18	9	29%	4%	66	-0.6	198/232/337	140	254	20	8	31%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Chris Dominguez 2018 · MLB	31	46→50	49→50	50	33	234/269/379	145	311	17	13	30%	3%	78	+0.2	225/267/357	132	305	14	13	30%	4%	71	-0.3	203/247/322	120	277	11	12	30%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Mark Saccomanno 2010 · AAA	30	44→47	48→55	48→40	41	226/264/366	140	265	17	5	22%	4%	72	-0.2	219/261/351	132	272	14	5	25%	5%	66	-0.6	206/248/336	130	259	14	0	26%	5%	54	-1.2