Enrique Trujillo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 131 | .330/.400/.464 | 2 | 6 | 113 | — | .365/.419/.458 |
| 2016 | 29 | AAADelfines de C… | 261 | .218/.282/.239 | 0 | 7 | 30 | — | .203/.247/.220 |
| 2017 | 30 | AAAGenerales de … | 147 | .254/.326/.315 | 0 | 8 | 50 | — | .222/.271/.267 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | AAA | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 65 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 250 | 230 | 480 | 16 | 271 | 22 | 5 | 219 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 40 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 400 | 475 | 571 | 1.046 | 171 | 467 | 12 | 12 | 458 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 137 | 123 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 268 | 302 | 358 | 660 | 89 | 324 | 17 | 4 | 278 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 147 | 132 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 265 | 322 | 318 | 640 | 53 | 337 | 20 | 6 | 286 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 225 | 194 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 237 | 327 | 304 | 631 | 67 | 307 | 20 | 10 | 288 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 177 | 161 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 155 | 205 | 217 | 422 | 62 | 172 | 15 | 5 | 190 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA | Toros de Tijuana | — | 111 | 92 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 380 | 457 | 522 | 979 | 141 | 434 | 13 | 11 | 412 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 20 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 100 | 100 | 200 | 300 | 100 | 154 | 35 | 0 | 126 | -29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 261 | 234 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 218 | 282 | 239 | 522 | 21 | 267 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA | Generales de Durango | — | 147 | 130 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 254 | 326 | 315 | 642 | 62 | 306 | 16 | 8 | 290 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 65 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 234 | 226 | 460 | 16 | 270 | 26 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 40 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 389 | 450 | 556 | 1.006 | 167 | 448 | 15 | 10 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 137 | 125 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 295 | 360 | 655 | 88 | 321 | 20 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 147 | 136 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 287 | 294 | 581 | 44 | 338 | 27 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 225 | 200 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 225 | 295 | 285 | 580 | 60 | 300 | 25 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 177 | 164 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 187 | 213 | 401 | 61 | 165 | 18 | 3 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | Toros de Tijuana | — | 111 | 96 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 365 | 419 | 458 | 877 | 94 | 410 | 15 | 7 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 261 | 241 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 203 | 247 | 220 | 467 | 17 | 252 | 20 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 147 | 135 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 222 | 271 | 267 | 537 | 44 | 270 | 20 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 65 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 210 | 234 | 226 | 460 | 16 | 283 | 26 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA RAW | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 65 | 61 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 250 | 230 | 480 | 16 | 271 | 22 | 5 | 219 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 40 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 389 | 450 | 556 | 1.006 | 167 | 467 | 15 | 10 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 40 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 400 | 475 | 571 | 1.046 | 171 | 467 | 12 | 12 | 458 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 137 | 125 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 295 | 360 | 655 | 88 | 343 | 20 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 137 | 123 | 33 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 268 | 302 | 358 | 660 | 89 | 324 | 17 | 4 | 278 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 147 | 136 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 287 | 294 | 581 | 44 | 343 | 27 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 147 | 132 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 265 | 322 | 318 | 640 | 53 | 337 | 20 | 6 | 286 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 225 | 200 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 225 | 295 | 285 | 580 | 60 | 312 | 25 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 225 | 194 | 46 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 237 | 327 | 304 | 631 | 67 | 307 | 20 | 10 | 288 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 177 | 164 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 152 | 187 | 213 | 401 | 61 | 176 | 18 | 3 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 177 | 161 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 155 | 205 | 217 | 422 | 62 | 172 | 15 | 5 | 190 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 114 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 368 | 424 | 465 | 889 | 96 | 441 | 15 | 8 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 131 | 112 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 330 | 400 | 464 | 864 | 134 | 393 | 16 | 9 | 369 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 261 | 241 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 203 | 247 | 220 | 467 | 17 | 257 | 20 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA RAW | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 261 | 234 | 51 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 218 | 282 | 239 | 522 | 21 | 267 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 147 | 135 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 222 | 271 | 267 | 537 | 44 | 278 | 20 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA RAW | Generales de Durango | — | 147 | 130 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 254 | 326 | 315 | 642 | 62 | 306 | 16 | 8 | 290 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 21 | AAA MLE | Petroleros de Minatitlan | — | 65 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 234 | 222 | 457 | 16 | 270 | 26 | 3 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 22 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 40 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 389 | 450 | 556 | 1.006 | 167 | 448 | 15 | 10 | 412 | 165 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 23 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 137 | 132 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 258 | 295 | 341 | 635 | 83 | 321 | 20 | 3 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 24 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 147 | 139 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 39 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 245 | 287 | 288 | 574 | 43 | 338 | 27 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 25 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 225 | 203 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 222 | 295 | 281 | 576 | 59 | 300 | 25 | 7 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 26 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 177 | 168 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 149 | 187 | 208 | 395 | 60 | 165 | 18 | 3 | 168 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 131 | 119 | 42 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 353 | 424 | 445 | 869 | 92 | 410 | 15 | 8 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 29 | AAA MLE | Delfines de Ciudad del Carmen | — | 261 | 245 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 51 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 200 | 247 | 216 | 463 | 16 | 252 | 20 | 4 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 30 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 147 | 137 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 219 | 271 | 263 | 534 | 44 | 270 | 20 | 5 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1330 | 1213 | 286 | 40 | 9 | 3 | 64 | 278 | 14 | 38 | 18 | 236 | 282 | 291 | 573 | 55 | 301 | 21 | 5 | 250 | 55 | -71 | +0 | +0 | -14 | +29 | -5.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 139 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 136 | 7 | 19 | 9 | 234 | 281 | 287 | 567 | 52 | 300 | 21 | 5 | 250 | 55 | -35 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 AAAGenerales de Durango · 147 PAwOBA .287 → .242 (−45)K% 16.3% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.33% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.16% | ÷1.073 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.42% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×0.972 | 23.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.89% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×0.972 | 1.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.83% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×0.972 | 2.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .287 → .242; ISO .062 → .051; BABIP .306 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAADelfines de Ciudad del Carmen · 261 PAwOBA .234 → .212 (−22)K% 16.9% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.86% | ÷1.030 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.51% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.080 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 2.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 100, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 106, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .234 → .212; ISO .021 → .017; BABIP .267 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAToros de Tijuana · 111 PAwOBA .402 → .372 (−30)K% 12.6% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.61% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.81% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 32.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.97% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.046 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.56% | ÷1.208 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 1.47% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 109, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .402 → .372; ISO .141 → .110; BABIP .434 → .410. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAAcereros del Norte · 177 PAwOBA .186 → .168 (−18)K% 14.7% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.69% | ÷0.971 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.52% | ÷1.066 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 2.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.13% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.07% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 13.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.96% | ÷0.942 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 2.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.48% | ÷0.901 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.17% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .186 → .168; ISO .062 → .054; BABIP .172 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAAcereros del Norte · 225 PAwOBA .281 → .254 (−27)K% 19.6% → 24.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.56% | ÷0.946 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.78% | ÷0.982 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 23.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 5.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.33% | ÷1.100 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 1.21% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.173 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 120, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .281 → .254; ISO .067 → .058; BABIP .307 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 AAAAcereros del Norte · 147 PAwOBA .280 → .264 (−16)K% 20.4% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.41% | ÷0.928 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.44% | ÷1.083 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.43% | ÷0.996 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 29.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.90% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 4.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.126 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 86, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .280 → .264; ISO .053 → .047; BABIP .337 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAAAcereros del Norte · 137 PAwOBA .275 → .274 (−1)K% 16.8% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.79% | ÷0.981 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.38% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.020 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 24.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.25% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.170 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 96, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .275 → .274; ISO .089 → .092; BABIP .324 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAAcereros del Norte · 40 PAwOBA .447 → .412 (−35)K% 12.5% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 32.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 6.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .447 → .412; ISO .171 → .162; BABIP .467 → .448. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .