J.D. Orr
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AA/A+/A2 orgs | 271 | .291/.375/.376 | 0 | 23 | 72 | — | .246/.309/.315 |
| 2022 | 25 | AA/A+MIA | 361 | .244/.372/.315 | 1 | 49 | 66 | — | .220/.313/.281 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAMIA | 171 | .197/.349/.226 | 0 | 13 | 34 | — | .163/.272/.190 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 77 | 72 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 347 | 390 | 444 | 834 | 97 | 446 | 21 | 5 | 373 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ | Beloit Snappers | — | 40 | 34 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 206 | 325 | 265 | 590 | 59 | 226 | 8 | 15 | 282 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 154 | 131 | 37 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 30 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 282 | 382 | 366 | 748 | 84 | 366 | 19 | 14 | 339 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 311 | 253 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 59 | 6 | 39 | 7 | 237 | 367 | 300 | 668 | 63 | 303 | 19 | 15 | 311 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 50 | 42 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 286 | 400 | 405 | 805 | 119 | 353 | 16 | 14 | 367 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 171 | 137 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 41 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 197 | 349 | 226 | 575 | 29 | 278 | 24 | 16 | 283 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 77 | 73 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 301 | 338 | 384 | 721 | 82 | 414 | 26 | 4 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A+ MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 40 | 36 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 167 | 250 | 222 | 472 | 56 | 192 | 10 | 10 | 220 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 154 | 138 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 40 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 239 | 309 | 304 | 614 | 65 | 328 | 26 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 311 | 269 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 75 | 6 | 39 | 7 | 219 | 311 | 275 | 587 | 56 | 287 | 24 | 10 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | A+ MLE | Beloit Sky Carp | — | 50 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 227 | 320 | 318 | 638 | 91 | 303 | 20 | 10 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 171 | 147 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 163 | 272 | 190 | 463 | 27 | 240 | 29 | 11 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 271 | 247 | 62 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 251 | 312 | 320 | 632 | 69 | 339 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 271 | 237 | 69 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 49 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 291 | 375 | 376 | 751 | 84 | 367 | 18 | 11 | 340 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 313 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 85 | 7 | 49 | 9 | 224 | 315 | 288 | 603 | 64 | 301 | 24 | 10 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 361 | 295 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 53 | 67 | 7 | 49 | 9 | 244 | 372 | 315 | 687 | 71 | 310 | 19 | 15 | 319 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 171 | 147 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 163 | 272 | 190 | 463 | 27 | 245 | 29 | 11 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 171 | 137 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 41 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 197 | 349 | 226 | 575 | 29 | 278 | 24 | 16 | 283 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 271 | 247 | 62 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 64 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 251 | 312 | 320 | 632 | 69 | 332 | 24 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 361 | 316 | 70 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 85 | 7 | 49 | 9 | 222 | 315 | 285 | 600 | 63 | 289 | 24 | 10 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 171 | 147 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 13 | 4 | 163 | 272 | 190 | 463 | 27 | 240 | 29 | 11 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 803 | 707 | 156 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 199 | 12 | 85 | 22 | 221 | 305 | 279 | 584 | 58 | 304 | 25 | 9 | 259 | 61 | -37 | +8 | +0 | +3 | +17 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 572 | 127 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 60 | 161 | 10 | 69 | 18 | 222 | 307 | 281 | 588 | 59 | 306 | 25 | 9 | 259 | 61 | -30 | +7 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 171 PAwOBA .279 → .218 (−61)K% 24.0% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.98% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.37% | ÷1.056 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.978 | 10.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.34% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.978 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×1.005 | ×0.978 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.08% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×1.005 | ×0.978 | 1.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.097 | ×0.880 | ×1.005 | ×0.978 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.091 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.
Result: wOBA .279 → .218; ISO .029 → .026; BABIP .278 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 311 PAwOBA .306 → .263 (−43)K% 19.0% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.97% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.79% | ÷1.021 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 9.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.93% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 23.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.67% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 5.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.043 | ×0.988 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.39% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 93, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .306 → .263; ISO .063 → .056; BABIP .303 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Beloit Sky Carp · 50 PAwOBA .358 → .290 (−68)K% 16.0% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.00% | ÷1.011 | ×1.270 | — | — | 20.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 9.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.968 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.968 | 20.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷0.950 | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 7.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.068 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 114, K 102, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .358 → .290; ISO .119 → .096; BABIP .353 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AJupiter Hammerheads · 154 PAwOBA .331 → .270 (−61)K% 19.5% → 25.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.48% | ÷1.021 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷0.993 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.970 | 9.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.72% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.970 | 26.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.226 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.970 | 4.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.98% | ÷0.996 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.970 | 1.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.891 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.970 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 99, 2B 145, 3B 99, K 104, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.0 → −3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .331 → .270; ISO .084 → .065; BABIP .366 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 77 PAwOBA .364 → .312 (−52)K% 20.8% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.78% | ÷0.973 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.19% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.998 | 3.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.93% | ÷1.011 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 32.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.93% | ÷1.026 | ×0.870 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 7.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 102, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 95, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .364 → .312; ISO .097 → .079; BABIP .446 → .414. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Beloit Snappers · 40 PAwOBA .276 → .220 (−56)K% 7.5% → 9.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.50% | ÷1.025 | ×1.350 | — | — | 9.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.054 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 9.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷1.049 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 13.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 5.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 110, 2B 91, 3B 95, K 105, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .276 → .220; ISO .059 → .052; BABIP .226 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).