Ryan Bliss — OGILVIE

Ryan Bliss2B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 26 R/R 5'7" / 165 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 1.355 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION344 act + 229 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 125103vR 45

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .290 / .355

PA229

HR4

SB14

K%29

BB%7

BABIP311

ISO130

MLB%55%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 36 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT36

Whiff%

1315.2%

xwOBA

440.302

POWER57

Barrel%

599.6

Avg EV

4889.0

Bat Spd

1054.5

EYE67

Chase%

9021.7%

SPEED64

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 95 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

140

◀◀L

wOBA

368

258

◀◀L

ISO

300

093

◀◀L

BABIP

312

263

◀◀L

35.3%

24.6%

▶▶R

BB%

11.8%

6.6%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.355 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$7M	+$5M
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$3M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-3	$4M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$20M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	175	162	32	6	1	5	9	56	2	11	4	198	249	340	588	142	265	32	5	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	175	158	41	9	1	6	13	40	2	11	4	259	324	443	767	184	310	23	7	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	484	440	76	11	2	11	29	151	10	31	12	173	240	282	522	109	230	31	6	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	484	426	91	19	3	10	43	118	10	31	12	214	301	343	643	129	268	24	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	699	633	150	33	8	13	50	171	10	65	18	237	303	376	679	139	302	24	7	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	699	611	181	36	9	23	72	140	10	65	18	296	380	498	877	201	349	20	10	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	504	442	95	23	4	9	47	146	6	55	16	215	299	346	645	131	294	29	9	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	504	423	111	28	4	14	66	119	6	55	16	262	370	447	817	184	328	24	13	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	57	49	12	4	0	1	7	17	0	4	5	245	339	388	727	143	344	30	12	324	106	+0	-1	+0	+0	+2	0.1
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	—	57	48	12	4	0	1	8	16	0	4	5	250	357	396	753	146	344	28	14	336	115	+1	-1	+0	+0	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	SEA	—	344	313	69	18	2	3	14	102	8	17	8	220	272	319	591	99	308	30	4	260	57	-17	+0	+0	+1	+10	-0.6
YTD	26	AAA	SEA	—	344	307	83	23	3	4	20	79	8	17	8	270	331	404	735	134	343	23	6	321	104	+2	+0	+0	+1	+10	1.3
ROS	26	AAA	SEA	55%	229	208	47	11	2	4	15	67	4	14	4	226	290	355	646	130	303	29	7	282	74	-7	+1	+1	+1	+6	0.3
ROS	26	MLB	SEA	55%	126	115	25	6	1	2	8	37	2	8	2	217	280	339	619	122	300	29	6	266	62	-5	+1	+0	+0	+4	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	SEA	—	470	428	94	24	3	5	22	139	10	25	10	220	274	325	599	105	306	30	5	262	58	-22	+1	+0	+2	+13	-0.6
TOT	26	AAA	SEA	—	573	521	116	29	4	7	29	169	12	31	12	223	279	334	613	111	309	29	5	269	64	-23	+1	+1	+2	+16	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	SEA	61%	607	550	123	29	4	11	41	173	11	35	10	224	291	351	642	127	302	29	7	287	78	-15	+3	+2	+2	+17	1.0
2028	28	MLB	SEA	64%	595	539	121	28	4	11	41	168	10	32	10	224	292	353	644	128	301	28	7	289	79	-14	+2	+2	+2	+17	0.9
2029	29	MLB	SEA	64%	583	527	118	27	4	11	41	164	10	30	9	224	292	353	645	129	299	28	7	289	79	-14	+2	+1	+2	+17	0.8
2030	30	MLB	SEA	64%	571	516	114	26	3	10	41	161	9	26	8	221	290	341	631	120	298	28	7	287	78	-14	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.6
2031	31	MLB	SEA	64%	560	506	110	25	3	10	40	160	9	22	7	217	286	338	624	121	296	29	7	283	74	-16	+2	-1	+2	+16	0.3
2027	27	MLB	SEA	61%	371	337	74	17	3	6	25	106	6	21	6	220	285	341	627	122	299	29	7	271	66	-14	+2	+1	+1	+11	0.1
2028	28	MLB	SEA	64%	383	347	77	17	3	7	27	108	6	21	6	222	289	349	638	127	298	28	7	274	68	-14	+2	+1	+1	+11	0.1
2029	29	MLB	SEA	64%	375	339	75	17	2	7	27	105	6	19	6	221	290	345	635	124	297	28	7	274	68	-14	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.0
2030	30	MLB	SEA	64%	367	332	73	16	2	7	26	104	6	17	5	220	288	343	632	123	295	28	7	272	66	-14	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.1
2031	31	MLB	SEA	64%	360	325	70	16	2	6	26	103	6	14	4	215	286	332	618	117	293	29	7	268	63	-15	+1	-0	+1	+10	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2092	1893	415	93	14	38	148	596	33	107	34	219	287	343	631	124	297	28	7	272	67	-79	+8	+5	+9	+59	0.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	129	29	4	12	46	185	10	33	11	219	287	344	630	124	297	28	7	272	67	-25	+2	+2	+3	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	5064	4572	998	223	35	96	361	1434	81	325	103	218	287	345	633	127	293	28	7	281	74	-151	+24	+7	+18	+143	4.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	128	29	4	12	46	184	10	42	13	218	286	342	628	124	294	28	7	281	74	-19	+3	+1	+2	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	175	158	41	9	1	6	13	40	2	11	4	259	324	443	767	184	310	23	7	336	115	+3	+1	—	—	+5	0.9
2022	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	484	426	91	19	3	10	43	118	10	31	12	214	301	343	643	129	268	24	9	291	81	-11	+1	—	—	+14	0.5
2023	23	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	288	247	59	9	4	11	34	64	4	25	7	239	340	441	782	202	276	22	12	345	122	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2023	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	324	293	105	25	4	12	24	55	5	30	8	358	416	594	1.010	235	408	17	7	438	193	+34	+3	—	—	+9	4.7
2023	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	87	71	17	2	1	0	14	21	1	10	3	239	372	296	668	56	333	24	16	314	99	-0	+1	—	—	+2	0.3
2024	24	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	71	63	14	3	1	2	5	22	1	5	3	222	290	397	687	175	308	31	7	297	86	-1	-0	+2	+2	+2	0.4
2024	24	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	433	360	97	25	3	12	61	97	5	50	13	269	383	456	838	186	331	22	14	369	140	+20	+5	—	—	+12	3.8
2025	25	MLB	Seattle Mariners	—	39	35	7	1	0	1	4	11	0	2	2	200	282	314	596	114	261	28	10	274	68	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
2025	25	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	—	18	13	5	3	0	0	4	5	0	2	3	385	529	615	1.145	231	556	28	22	470	217	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	110	98	21	4	1	3	9	33	1	7	5	214	287	367	654	153	290	30	8	289	79	-3	-1	+2	+2	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	6	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	4	44	247	316	328	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	6	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	16	25	252	281	387	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#6Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,002	37	103	223	288	351	+7	+6	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	12	34	223	288	351	+2.4	+2.1	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Bliss (OGILVIE)	26	36	57	64	67	223/279/334	111	309	7	31	29%	5%	64	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tanner Kirwer 2022 · AA	26	44	46→40	61→60	48	213/303/335	122	302	14	36	32%	10%	82	+0.5	210/284/310	100	302	11	31	32%	8%	66	-0.6	198/269/277	79	287	10	35	32%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Nate Eaton 2023 · MLB	26	46→49	46→50	60	44	226/292/355	129	295	13	29	27%	7%	82	+0.5	218/266/356	138	283	16	27	28%	5%	70	-0.3	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕José Caballero 2023 · AA	26	46→45	46→45	58→70	60	225/336/357	132	282	14	33	24%	13%	101	+1.8	227/323/345	118	296	11	49	25%	10%	92	+1.2	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	59→60	46	223/313/356	133	303	14	29	29%	9%	92	+1.2	222/312/331	109	296	11	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	215/311/310	95	283	9	20	25%	10%	77	+0.1
✕David Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	42→41	43→50	69→70	44	207/268/322	114	276	11	47	28%	7%	62	-0.9	211/280/347	136	269	16	51	27%	8%	74	-0.1	220/282/351	131	271	15	58	24%	8%	74	-0.0
✕Brewer Hicklen 2022 · AA	26	44→43	51→55	60	40	219/289/375	157	325	20	33	37%	8%	85	+0.7	199/279/367	168	305	21	33	39%	8%	80	+0.4	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2008 · MLB	27	45→48	50→55	61→60	35	230/273/390	160	308	18	34	31%	4%	82	+0.5	220/253/349	129	328	14	28	36%	3%	63	-0.9	219/262/360	141	323	17	25	37%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→51	47→50	59→60	47	242/315/376	134	325	15	33	29%	9%	96	+1.5	229/296/359	130	316	15	27	30%	8%	84	+0.6	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Luke Williams 2023 · MLB	26	50→46	40→45	55→60	44	236/293/328	92	330	6	31	29%	7%	74	-0.1	223/282/348	125	305	13	33	29%	7%	75	-0.0	206/266/327	121	280	13	38	30%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Justin Maxwell 2010 · MLB	26	44	51→60	59→60	44	221/293/377	156	305	19	31	33%	8%	88	+0.9	219/300/386	167	319	20	25	35%	10%	93	+1.3	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Bubba Thompson 2023 · MLB	25	52→56	46→50	66→65	36	251/288/382	131	346	13	44	31%	4%	85	+0.7	225/268/324	99	324	9	38	32%	5%	63	-0.9	209/254/289	80	304	6	41	32%	5%	42	-1.2
✕Lane Adams 2017 · AAA	27	46	45→50	59→60	41	226/278/347	121	303	13	32	29%	6%	73	-0.1	209/269/343	134	317	15	29	36%	7%	69	-0.4	188/255/332	144	293	17	28	40%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Todd Donovan 2006 · AAA	27	52→53	42→40	65	44	247/306/356	109	309	8	42	22%	6%	86	+0.8	238/296/322	84	298	5	39	20%	7%	73	-0.1	233/305/301	67	298	3	43	21%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Cam Eden 2023 · AA	25	41→48	46→40	61→65	39	201/273/325	124	314	14	38	38%	7%	66	-0.6	201/271/292	91	300	8	42	33%	7%	56	-1.3	191/263/268	77	283	6	49	32%	7%	44	-1.2
✕John Andreoli 2017 · AAA	27	47→57	43→45	61→60	48	226/303/342	116	313	10	34	29%	9%	82	+0.5	219/297/348	129	310	12	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	208/292/334	126	298	11	21	31%	10%	73	-0.1
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	45→44	48→50	63→65	43	215/292/362	146	324	15	31	36%	9%	83	+0.6	213/293/343	130	319	12	37	34%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/324	120	306	11	45	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2021 · AA	26	45→52	42→45	58→65	40	218/275/315	97	285	10	40	26%	5%	64	-0.8	211/265/329	118	288	12	34	30%	5%	63	-0.8	197/253/317	120	268	14	44	31%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Keon Broxton 2017 · MLB	27	47→48	51→55	61→60	43	227/296/395	169	337	18	36	36%	9%	93	+1.3	205/279/363	158	337	19	32	41%	9%	78	+0.2	188/264/338	150	315	19	33	43%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2017 · AAA	25	44→48	41→50	61→60	40	211/268/314	102	303	7	33	31%	6%	59	-1.1	206/263/323	117	291	10	20	31%	6%	60	-1.0	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Monte Harrison 2023 · MLB	27	45→44	48→50	60	35	205/269/342	138	362	17	36	45%	7%	69	-0.4	203/259/316	113	388	12	26	47%	6%	57	-1.2	177/230/265	88	379	9	31	52%	5%	28	-1.6