Ryan Bliss
2B Tacoma Rainiers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAASEA | 433 | .269/.383/.456 | 12 | 50 | 95 | — | .235/.322/.373 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLBSEA | 71 | .222/.290/.397 | 2 | 5 | 90 | 0.4 | |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBSEA | 39 | .200/.282/.314 | 1 | 2 | 73 | -0.0 | |
| 2026 | 26 | AAASEA | 580 | .253/.328/.382 | 8 | 30 | 65 | — | .223/.280/.328 |
| 2027PROJ45% MLB | 27 | MLBSEA | 70 | .221/.286/.342 | 1 | 4 | 79 | 0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ49% MLB | 28 | MLBSEA | 141 | .220/.285/.341 | 2 | 7 | 78 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ50% MLB | 29 | MLBSEA | 143 | .219/.284/.338 | 2 | 6 | 77 | 0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 47 / POW 57
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 175 | 158 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 259 | 324 | 443 | 767 | 184 | 310 | 23 | 7 | 336 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 484 | 426 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 118 | 10 | 31 | 12 | 214 | 301 | 343 | 643 | 129 | 268 | 24 | 9 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 288 | 247 | 59 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 64 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 239 | 340 | 441 | 782 | 202 | 276 | 22 | 12 | 345 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 324 | 293 | 105 | 25 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 55 | 5 | 30 | 8 | 358 | 416 | 594 | 1.010 | 235 | 408 | 17 | 7 | 438 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 87 | 71 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 239 | 372 | 296 | 668 | 56 | 333 | 24 | 16 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 71 | 63 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 222 | 290 | 397 | 687 | 175 | 308 | 31 | 7 | 297 | 90 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 433 | 360 | 97 | 25 | 3 | 12 | 61 | 97 | 5 | 50 | 13 | 269 | 383 | 456 | 838 | 186 | 331 | 22 | 14 | 369 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Seattle Mariners | — | 39 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 200 | 282 | 314 | 596 | 114 | 261 | 28 | 10 | 274 | 73 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 18 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 385 | 529 | 615 | 1.145 | 231 | 556 | 28 | 22 | 470 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 580 | 510 | 129 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 114 | 10 | 30 | 14 | 253 | 328 | 382 | 710 | 129 | 305 | 20 | 8 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 110 | 98 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 214 | 287 | 367 | 654 | 153 | 290 | 30 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -2 | -1 | +2 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 175 | 162 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 204 | 254 | 346 | 600 | 142 | 262 | 31 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 484 | 438 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 152 | 10 | 31 | 12 | 174 | 244 | 274 | 518 | 100 | 234 | 31 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 288 | 257 | 57 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 75 | 4 | 25 | 7 | 222 | 298 | 377 | 676 | 156 | 274 | 26 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 324 | 299 | 83 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 67 | 5 | 30 | 8 | 278 | 329 | 425 | 754 | 147 | 336 | 21 | 6 | 327 | 107 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 71 | 63 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 222 | 290 | 397 | 687 | 175 | 308 | 31 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -1 | -0 | +2 | +2 | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 433 | 378 | 89 | 22 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 116 | 5 | 50 | 13 | 235 | 322 | 373 | 695 | 138 | 307 | 27 | 10 | 308 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Seattle Mariners | — | 39 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 200 | 282 | 314 | 596 | 114 | 261 | 28 | 10 | 276 | 73 | -1 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 18 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 357 | 471 | 571 | 1.042 | 214 | 501 | 33 | 17 | 448 | 189 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 580 | 525 | 117 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 137 | 10 | 30 | 14 | 223 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 105 | 274 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 175 | 162 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 204 | 254 | 346 | 600 | 142 | 272 | 31 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Visalia Rawhide | — | 175 | 158 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 259 | 324 | 443 | 767 | 184 | 310 | 23 | 7 | 336 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 484 | 438 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 152 | 10 | 31 | 12 | 174 | 244 | 274 | 518 | 100 | 238 | 31 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | Hillsboro Hops | — | 484 | 426 | 91 | 19 | 3 | 10 | 43 | 118 | 10 | 31 | 12 | 214 | 301 | 343 | 643 | 129 | 268 | 24 | 9 | 291 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 699 | 634 | 160 | 33 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 162 | 10 | 65 | 18 | 252 | 316 | 404 | 720 | 151 | 314 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 699 | 611 | 181 | 36 | 9 | 23 | 72 | 140 | 10 | 65 | 18 | 296 | 380 | 498 | 877 | 201 | 349 | 20 | 10 | 384 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 441 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 138 | 6 | 55 | 16 | 238 | 321 | 385 | 707 | 147 | 318 | 27 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 504 | 423 | 111 | 28 | 4 | 14 | 66 | 119 | 6 | 55 | 16 | 262 | 370 | 447 | 817 | 184 | 328 | 24 | 13 | 359 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 57 | 49 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 245 | 339 | 388 | 727 | 143 | 344 | 30 | 12 | 331 | 110 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 57 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 250 | 357 | 396 | 753 | 146 | 344 | 28 | 14 | 336 | 110 | +1 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 580 | 525 | 117 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 137 | 10 | 30 | 14 | 223 | 280 | 328 | 608 | 105 | 284 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 580 | 510 | 129 | 32 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 114 | 10 | 30 | 14 | 253 | 328 | 382 | 710 | 129 | 305 | 20 | 8 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 175 | 162 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 204 | 254 | 346 | 600 | 142 | 262 | 31 | 5 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 484 | 440 | 76 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 152 | 10 | 31 | 12 | 173 | 244 | 273 | 517 | 100 | 234 | 31 | 6 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 699 | 635 | 160 | 33 | 9 | 15 | 49 | 162 | 10 | 65 | 18 | 252 | 316 | 403 | 719 | 151 | 307 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 445 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 138 | 6 | 55 | 16 | 236 | 321 | 382 | 703 | 146 | 307 | 27 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 57 | 50 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 240 | 339 | 380 | 719 | 140 | 337 | 30 | 12 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 580 | 533 | 117 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 137 | 10 | 30 | 14 | 220 | 280 | 323 | 603 | 103 | 274 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 504 | 445 | 105 | 25 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 138 | 6 | 55 | 16 | 236 | 321 | 382 | 703 | 146 | 307 | 27 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 57 | 50 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 240 | 339 | 380 | 719 | 140 | 337 | 30 | 12 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 580 | 533 | 117 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 137 | 10 | 30 | 14 | 220 | 280 | 323 | 603 | 103 | 274 | 24 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | SEA | 45% | 380 | 346 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 92 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 223 | 288 | 347 | 635 | 124 | 282 | 24 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +3 | +1 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | SEA | 45% | 70 | 64 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 221 | 286 | 342 | 628 | 121 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 282 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 49% | 286 | 260 | 58 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 222 | 287 | 345 | 633 | 123 | 281 | 24 | 7 | 284 | 78 | -7 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 50% | 284 | 258 | 57 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 221 | 286 | 342 | 629 | 121 | 281 | 25 | 7 | 282 | 77 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 51% | 281 | 255 | 56 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 70 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 219 | 284 | 338 | 622 | 119 | 279 | 25 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -8 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 49% | 141 | 128 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 34 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 220 | 285 | 341 | 626 | 120 | 279 | 24 | 7 | 281 | 78 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 50% | 143 | 130 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 219 | 284 | 338 | 622 | 119 | 278 | 24 | 7 | 280 | 77 | -4 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 51% | 143 | 130 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 282 | 333 | 616 | 116 | 277 | 24 | 7 | 277 | 76 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 537 | 486 | 105 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 39 | 137 | 7 | 25 | 9 | 216 | 284 | 333 | 617 | 117 | 280 | 26 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -14 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +12 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 588 | 128 | 27 | 5 | 11 | 47 | 166 | 8 | 30 | 11 | 218 | 284 | 337 | 621 | 119 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -17 | +2 | +1 | +4 | +14 | 0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3505 | 3163 | 706 | 152 | 29 | 64 | 247 | 909 | 52 | 240 | 79 | 223 | 290 | 350 | 641 | 127 | 289 | 26 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -29 | +4 | +1 | +6 | +24 | 0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 130 | 28 | 5 | 12 | 46 | 169 | 10 | 45 | 15 | 221 | 290 | 348 | 637 | 126 | 286 | 26 | 7 | 281 | 76 | -17 | +2 | +0 | +3 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAATacoma Rainiers · 580 PAwOBA .310 → .265 (−45)K% 19.7% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 19.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.003 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 1.42% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .310 → .265; ISO .129 → .105; BABIP .305 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 18 PAwOBA .486 → .448 (−38)K% 27.8% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 15.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 23.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 32.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.204 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .486 → .448; ISO .231 → .234; BABIP .556 → .501. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAATacoma Rainiers · 433 PAwOBA .365 → .308 (−57)K% 22.4% → 26.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.40% | ÷1.004 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.09% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 9.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.67% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 20.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.51% | ÷1.014 | ×0.830 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 8.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.018 | ×1.033 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.56% | ÷1.142 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.89% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 101, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .365 → .308; ISO .186 → .145; BABIP .331 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 324 PAwOBA .428 → .327 (−101)K% 17.0% → 20.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.98% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷0.922 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.54% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.89% | ÷1.054 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 23.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.50% | ÷1.008 | ×0.840 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 8.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.68% | ÷1.124 | ×0.940 | ×0.971 | ×1.012 | 1.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.04% | ÷1.637 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 227, 1B 111, 2B 102, 3B 125, K 101, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .428 → .327; ISO .235 → .151; BABIP .408 → .336. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAATacoma Rainiers · 288 PAwOBA .338 → .291 (−47)K% 22.2% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.024 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.81% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.13% | ÷0.989 | ×0.930 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 19.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.92% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.029 | ×1.048 | 2.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.01% | ÷1.157 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.81% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .338 → .291; ISO .202 → .159; BABIP .276 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Hillsboro Hops · 484 PAwOBA .286 → .232 (−53)K% 24.4% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.38% | ÷1.046 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.88% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.16% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.17% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 4.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.006 | ×0.820 | ×0.979 | ×0.998 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.25% | ÷0.848 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 3.17% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 93, 2B 120, 3B 101, K 109, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .286 → .232; ISO .129 → .107; BABIP .268 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AVisalia Rawhide · 175 PAwOBA .329 → .254 (−75)K% 22.9% → 31.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.86% | ÷0.988 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.43% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | — | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.19% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | — | 18.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.056 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | — | 5.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.054 | ×0.910 | ×0.967 | — | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷0.923 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 111, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .329 → .254; ISO .184 → .142; BABIP .310 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .