Chavez Young — OGILVIE

Chavez YoungCF Nashville Sounds

Age 29 S/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 188 proj PA

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .265 / .294

PA188

HR3

SB6

K%27

BB%7

ISO105

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	75	13	5	1	0	4	37	2	6	1	173	235	267	501	93	342	46	5	212	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	73	20	8	2	0	6	26	2	6	1	274	346	438	784	164	426	32	7	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	257	56	10	5	3	8	82	8	4	5	218	264	331	594	113	301	29	3	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	252	71	14	7	4	13	58	8	4	5	282	337	440	777	159	345	21	5	335	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	492	111	25	6	6	39	139	2	44	13	226	285	337	623	112	299	26	7	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	470	134	33	9	8	58	100	2	44	13	285	364	445	809	160	344	19	11	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	411	71	14	2	3	26	155	6	24	11	173	233	238	471	66	266	35	6	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	401	99	17	4	6	35	102	6	24	11	247	316	354	670	107	314	23	8	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	2	1	222	250	259	509	37	375	39	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	2	1	222	250	259	509	37	375	39	4	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	2 teams	—	457	407	91	17	3	9	37	150	7	26	7	224	299	346	646	123	324	33	8	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	2 teams	—	457	385	98	18	4	8	58	112	7	26	7	255	361	384	746	130	333	25	13	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	320	291	66	6	2	7	24	88	3	22	3	227	292	333	626	107	298	28	8	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	3 teams	—	320	277	68	8	4	6	38	74	3	22	3	245	343	368	711	123	312	23	12	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	3 teams	—	434	383	62	12	2	4	35	118	10	34	14	162	250	235	485	73	220	27	8	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	3 teams	—	434	363	75	15	3	6	55	92	10	34	14	207	327	314	641	107	257	21	13	296	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	234	208	41	8	2	3	13	78	6	9	6	197	264	298	562	101	292	33	6	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	234	201	44	9	3	2	20	59	6	9	6	219	308	323	632	104	294	25	9	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	MIL	—	188	168	32	6	1	3	14	51	4	6	2	190	269	292	560	101	250	27	7	258	56	-9	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	MIL	27%	249	224	43	9	1	4	18	67	5	7	2	192	267	295	562	103	254	27	7	262	59	-12	+1	-2	+1	+7	-0.5
2027	30	MLB	MIL	27%	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	2	1	177	250	258	508	81	252	26	7	245	46	-4	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	2	1	177	250	258	508	81	233	26	7	245	46	-4	+0	-1	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	105	19	0	10	48	172	10	19	10	177	251	260	510	83	231	26	7	245	46	-40	-0	-5	+2	+18	-2.5
Career	—			—	3257	2943	592	113	25	42	219	976	53	184	65	201	269	299	568	98	282	30	7	251	50	-182	+11	-2	+12	+92	-7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	118	23	5	8	44	195	11	37	13	201	269	298	568	97	283	30	7	251	50	-36	+2	-0	+2	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	73	20	8	2	0	6	26	2	6	1	274	346	438	784	164	426	32	7	348	125	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2017	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	252	71	14	7	4	13	58	8	4	5	282	337	440	777	159	345	21	5	335	115	+5	-1	—	—	+8	1.2
2018	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	470	134	33	9	8	58	100	2	44	13	285	364	445	809	160	344	19	11	357	131	+19	+4	—	—	+15	3.8
2019	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	401	99	17	4	6	35	102	6	24	11	247	316	354	670	107	314	23	8	301	88	-6	+0	—	—	+13	0.7
2020	23	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	2	1	222	250	259	509	37	375	39	4	232	36	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	324	279	74	15	2	7	35	81	4	20	3	265	354	409	763	143	342	25	11	338	117	+6	+3	—	—	+9	1.9
2021	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	133	106	24	3	2	1	23	31	3	6	4	226	379	321	700	94	311	23	17	329	110	+1	-0	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	248	214	50	6	2	5	30	58	2	20	1	234	333	350	684	117	294	23	12	311	96	-1	+4	—	—	+7	1.0
2022	25	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	20	18	5	0	0	1	1	5	1	1	0	278	350	444	794	167	333	25	5	357	131	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	52	45	13	2	2	0	7	11	0	1	2	289	385	422	807	133	382	21	13	362	135	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	147	118	23	6	2	3	23	31	3	13	2	195	340	356	696	161	233	21	16	315	99	-0	+2	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	26	AA	Altoona Curve	—	218	184	38	7	0	2	25	46	6	19	7	207	321	277	598	71	263	21	11	281	73	-7	+1	—	—	+6	0.1
2023	26	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	69	61	14	2	1	1	7	15	1	2	5	230	319	344	663	115	289	22	10	303	90	-1	-2	—	—	+2	-0.0
2024	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	171	148	31	7	2	2	14	46	6	7	4	209	304	324	628	115	287	27	8	285	76	-5	-0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2024	27	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	63	53	13	2	1	0	6	13	0	2	2	245	322	321	643	75	310	21	10	276	70	-2	-0	—	—	+2	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chavez Young (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	190/265/294	104	250	3	6	27%	7%	56	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anderson Machado 2010 · AAA	29	38→43	39→40	53→45	50	186/266/273	87	254	6	14	27%	10%	50	-1.8	208/278/299	91	288	5	7	27%	9%	60	-1.0	231/300/326	95	329	2	0	28%	9%	73	-0.1
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2013 · AAA	29	45	39→40	49→50	45	215/281/301	86	278	6	15	24%	7%	63	-0.9	215/289/290	75	270	4	13	20%	8%	63	-0.8	207/289/265	58	258	1	11	18%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	38	40	47→55	43	190/255/276	86	266	8	13	31%	7%	45	-2.1	197/261/293	96	305	9	10	36%	6%	53	-1.5	152/225/219	67	257	5	5	40%	6%	15	-1.2
✕Derek Wathan 2006 · AAA	29	43	43→45	52→50	44	210/255/321	111	246	10	16	20%	5%	56	-1.3	210/242/312	102	252	8	14	20%	4%	47	-1.9	200/227/287	87	241	6	12	19%	3%	30	-1.3
✕Luis Ugueto 2007 · AAA	28	40	44→45	55	42	199/261/321	121	273	12	16	30%	7%	59	-1.1	207/257/297	90	285	7	14	28%	6%	50	-1.7	191/240/254	63	266	3	15	28%	6%	29	-1.7
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	43→45	54→50	41	184/246/294	109	250	11	13	30%	6%	46	-2.0	193/261/313	120	273	13	13	33%	6%	58	-1.2	153/230/258	105	221	12	16	35%	6%	28	-1.2
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→43	43→45	49→55	40	193/262/301	108	283	11	17	34%	7%	55	-1.4	210/295/327	117	333	12	25	37%	9%	76	+0.0	198/294/307	109	322	11	32	38%	10%	68	-0.2
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	39→41	42→45	56→60	40	198/247/301	103	257	10	27	27%	5%	47	-1.9	211/266/332	121	265	13	21	25%	6%	64	-0.8	196/270/340	144	222	16	30	20%	8%	66	-0.1
✕Myles Schroder 2017 · AAA	29	45→46	40→45	49→50	37	220/257/309	90	277	8	12	24%	3%	53	-1.5	217/268/338	121	288	12	9	28%	4%	66	-0.6	207/265/342	135	279	14	6	30%	5%	63	-0.5
✕Pedro Florimón 2016 · MLB	29	42→52	41→45	57→55	41	203/254/307	104	282	8	22	30%	6%	52	-1.6	219/271/333	114	321	10	14	33%	6%	66	-0.6	219/275/335	116	325	10	11	34%	6%	66	-0.3
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	38	43→40	53→60	38	187/271/294	107	277	11	21	34%	6%	59	-1.1	206/289/300	94	299	8	27	32%	7%	67	-0.5	195/287/264	69	287	6	39	31%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→50	48→55	41	179/241/285	105	253	11	13	33%	7%	42	-2.3	189/249/278	89	270	8	15	31%	7%	43	-2.2	160/223/224	65	230	5	19	31%	6%	16	-2.0
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	36→46	44→45	43→40	45	184/268/299	115	267	12	6	34%	9%	58	-1.2	201/279/314	113	329	11	6	39%	9%	66	-0.6	187/275/287	100	323	9	0	41%	9%	53	-0.8
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	221/271/329	108	253	12	13	18%	5%	66	-0.6	215/278/333	118	260	11	17	21%	6%	69	-0.4	205/272/313	108	250	8	28	21%	6%	59	-0.3
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	37→47	41→45	47→50	43	188/251/276	89	245	9	12	27%	7%	43	-2.2	224/284/365	141	271	17	14	23%	7%	80	+0.4	232/294/393	161	267	21	15	22%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→45	44→45	43	195/253/296	100	257	10	4	28%	7%	49	-1.8	210/278/339	129	269	14	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Donnie Sadler 2004 · MLB	29	41	39→45	49→55	50	199/273/288	89	243	6	17	20%	8%	56	-1.3	221/288/335	114	282	9	13	23%	8%	74	-0.1	214/286/319	105	283	4	16	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	34→44	45→40	44→45	42	182/239/296	114	224	14	8	26%	6%	44	-2.1	203/247/342	139	274	18	8	32%	5%	59	-1.1	156/183/282	126	198	20	0	34%	2%	14	-1.0
✕Albenis Machado 2008 · AAA	29	39	40	45→50	46	194/260/284	90	261	8	9	28%	8%	50	-1.8	231/312/326	95	274	7	11	17%	10%	82	+0.5	246/345/318	72	283	3	10	12%	13%	93	+0.4
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	42→50	43→45	41	192/242/290	98	250	9	6	27%	6%	43	-2.2	205/257/330	125	274	14	4	29%	6%	59	-1.1	211/261/316	106	287	8	1	28%	6%	54	-0.4