Chavez Young — OGILVIE

Chavez YoungCF Nashville Sounds

Age 29 S/R 5'10" / 200 lbs AAA HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%50

BB%7

BABIP248

ISO71

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	19	ROK	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	73	20	8	2	0	6	26	2	6	1	274	346	438	784	164	426	32	7	348	122	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2017	20	ROK	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	252	71	14	7	4	13	58	8	4	5	282	337	440	777	159	345	21	5	335	113	+4	-1	—	—	+6	0.9
2018	21	A	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	470	134	33	9	8	58	100	2	44	13	285	364	445	809	160	344	19	11	357	127	+18	+4	—	—	+12	3.3
2019	22	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	401	99	17	4	6	35	102	6	24	11	247	316	354	670	107	314	23	8	301	90	-5	+0	—	—	+10	0.5
2020	23	INTL	Canberra Cavalry	—	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	2	1	222	250	259	509	37	375	39	4	232	43	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	24	AA	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	324	279	74	15	2	7	35	81	4	20	3	265	354	409	763	143	342	25	11	338	115	+6	+3	—	—	+7	1.6
2021	24	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	133	106	24	3	2	1	23	31	3	6	4	226	379	321	700	94	311	23	17	329	109	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4
2022	25	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	248	214	50	6	2	5	30	58	2	20	1	234	333	350	684	117	294	23	12	311	97	-1	+4	—	—	+5	0.8
2022	25	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	20	18	5	0	0	1	1	5	1	1	0	278	350	444	794	167	333	25	5	357	128	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	25	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	52	45	13	2	2	0	7	11	0	1	2	289	385	422	807	133	382	21	13	362	131	+2	-1	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	147	118	23	6	2	3	23	31	3	13	2	195	340	356	696	161	233	21	16	315	99	-0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	26	AA	Altoona Curve	—	218	184	38	7	0	2	25	46	6	19	7	207	321	277	598	71	263	21	11	281	76	-6	+1	—	—	+5	-0.0
2023	26	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	69	61	14	2	1	1	7	15	1	2	5	230	319	344	663	115	289	22	10	303	91	-1	-2	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	27	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	171	148	31	7	2	2	14	46	6	7	4	209	304	324	628	115	287	27	8	285	79	-4	-0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2024	27	INTL	Indios de Mayaguez	—	63	53	13	2	1	0	6	13	0	2	2	245	322	321	643	75	310	21	10	276	73	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	19	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	75	13	5	1	0	4	37	2	6	1	173	235	267	501	93	328	46	5	212	30	-7	+1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2017	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	257	56	10	5	3	8	82	8	4	5	218	264	331	594	113	287	29	3	253	57	-14	-1	—	—	+6	-1.0
2018	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	492	115	26	7	6	39	137	2	44	13	234	293	352	644	118	305	26	7	283	78	-14	+4	—	—	+12	0.1
2019	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	411	74	14	2	4	26	150	6	24	11	180	239	253	492	73	267	33	6	223	37	-34	+0	—	—	+10	-2.4
2021	24	AA MLE	New Hampshire Fisher Cats	—	324	290	68	13	2	6	25	100	4	20	3	234	304	355	659	121	317	31	8	287	80	-8	+3	—	—	+7	0.2
2022	25	AAA MLE	Buffalo Bisons	—	248	224	48	5	2	4	20	68	2	20	1	214	285	308	593	94	284	27	8	263	64	-11	+4	—	—	+5	-0.2
2022	25	A MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	20	18	4	0	0	1	1	7	1	1	0	222	300	389	689	167	304	35	5	283	78	-1	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	147	126	21	5	2	2	15	39	3	13	2	167	271	286	557	119	209	27	10	249	55	-8	+2	—	—	+3	-0.3
2023	26	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	218	193	33	5	0	1	16	56	6	19	7	171	256	212	468	41	228	26	7	221	36	-17	+1	—	—	+5	-1.1
2024	27	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	171	152	29	6	2	2	10	56	6	7	4	191	268	296	564	105	268	33	6	237	47	-11	-0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2016	19	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	75	13	5	1	0	4	37	2	6	1	173	235	267	501	93	342	46	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK RAW	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	73	20	8	2	0	6	26	2	6	1	274	346	438	784	164	426	32	7	348	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	257	56	10	5	3	8	82	8	4	5	218	264	331	594	113	301	29	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK RAW	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	252	71	14	7	4	13	58	8	4	5	282	337	440	777	159	345	21	5	335	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	492	115	26	7	6	39	137	2	44	13	234	293	352	644	118	309	26	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	470	134	33	9	8	58	100	2	44	13	285	364	445	809	160	344	19	11	357	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	411	74	14	2	4	26	150	6	24	11	180	239	253	492	73	269	33	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	401	99	17	4	6	35	102	6	24	11	247	316	354	670	107	314	23	8	301	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	INTL MLE	Canberra Cavalry	—	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	2	1	222	250	259	509	37	375	39	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	23	INTL RAW	Canberra Cavalry	—	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	11	0	2	1	222	250	259	509	37	375	39	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	457	409	95	18	3	8	35	141	7	26	7	232	304	350	653	117	328	31	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	457	385	98	18	4	8	58	112	7	26	7	255	361	384	746	130	333	25	13	336	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	320	290	61	6	2	5	25	90	3	22	3	210	280	297	576	86	284	28	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	320	277	68	8	4	6	38	74	3	22	3	245	343	368	711	123	312	23	12	322	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	434	381	65	13	2	4	37	112	10	34	14	171	262	247	508	76	228	26	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA RAW	3 teams	—	434	363	75	15	3	6	55	92	10	34	14	207	327	314	641	107	257	21	13	296	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	234	208	38	8	2	2	13	77	6	9	6	183	251	269	520	87	273	33	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	234	201	44	9	3	2	20	59	6	9	6	219	308	323	632	104	294	25	9	282	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK MLE	GCL Blue Jays	—	81	75	13	5	1	0	4	37	2	6	1	173	235	267	501	93	328	46	5	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	ROK MLE	Bluefield Blue Jays	—	281	263	56	10	5	3	8	82	8	4	5	213	264	323	587	110	287	29	3	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	—	537	491	115	26	7	6	39	137	2	44	13	234	293	352	645	118	305	26	7	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	448	413	74	14	2	4	26	150	6	24	11	179	239	252	491	73	267	33	6	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	457	412	95	18	3	8	35	141	7	26	7	231	304	347	651	117	317	31	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	320	289	61	6	2	5	25	90	3	22	3	211	280	298	577	87	285	28	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	434	384	65	13	2	4	37	112	10	34	14	169	262	245	506	76	220	26	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	234	213	38	8	2	2	13	77	6	9	6	178	251	263	514	85	268	33	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AA MLE	3 teams	—	434	384	65	13	2	4	37	112	10	34	14	169	262	245	506	76	220	26	9	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	234	213	38	8	2	2	13	77	6	9	6	178	251	263	514	85	268	33	6	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	MIL	10%	15	14	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	214	267	286	552	71	250	27	7	259	61	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	29	MLB CTX	MIL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						248	50	0	243	61	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	MIL	27%	249	223	43	9	1	4	19	65	5	7	2	193	271	296	567	103	253	26	8	263	64	-11	+1	-2	+1	+5	-0.6
2027	30	MLB CTX	MIL	27%	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	2	1	177	250	258	508	81	252	26	7	248	64	-3	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	68	62	11	2	0	1	5	18	1	2	1	177	250	258	508	81	233	26	7	248	58	-3	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	105	19	0	10	48	172	10	19	10	177	251	260	510	83	231	26	7	248	58	-28	+0	-5	+2	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3084	2787	569	111	25	36	208	906	49	178	63	204	271	301	572	97	285	29	7	253	58	-11	+1	-2	+1	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	120	23	5	8	44	191	10	38	13	204	271	302	573	97	285	29	7	253	58	-28	+1	-5	+2	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Chavez Young (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	190/268/293	103	250	3	6	26%	7%	61	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anderson Machado 2010 · AAA	29	39→44	39→40	53→45	50	187/268/272	85	254	6	14	27%	10%	55	-1.9	208/279/297	89	286	5	7	27%	9%	65	-1.2	230/300/318	88	324	2	0	27%	9%	74	-0.3
✕Derek Wathan 2006 · AAA	29	43	43→45	52→50	45	211/258/322	111	247	10	16	20%	6%	63	-1.4	210/244/312	102	252	8	14	20%	4%	54	-2.0	200/226/285	85	241	6	12	19%	3%	38	-1.4
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	198/266/286	88	273	8	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/268/296	95	308	8	10	35%	7%	61	-1.5	157/228/221	64	263	4	5	39%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2013 · AAA	29	46	38→40	49→50	47	218/287/299	81	279	5	15	23%	7%	69	-0.9	217/295/292	75	271	3	13	19%	8%	70	-0.8	211/296/269	58	261	1	11	18%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Myles Schroder 2017 · AAA	29	45→46	39→45	50	38	219/258/301	82	275	6	12	23%	3%	57	-1.8	213/265/326	113	282	10	9	27%	4%	66	-1.1	203/260/325	122	273	11	6	29%	5%	62	-0.8
✕Luis Ugueto 2007 · AAA	28	40	44→45	55	43	200/265/322	122	274	12	16	30%	7%	65	-1.2	207/261/299	92	285	7	14	28%	7%	58	-1.7	191/240/254	63	266	3	15	28%	6%	37	-1.7
✕Pedro Florimón 2016 · MLB	29	42→52	40→45	57→55	42	205/258/306	101	286	7	22	30%	7%	59	-1.7	219/274/327	108	322	9	14	32%	6%	70	-0.9	220/277/327	107	327	9	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	39	43→40	54→60	39	192/278/300	107	279	10	21	33%	6%	67	-1.1	209/292/300	91	295	8	27	30%	7%	72	-0.7	198/291/265	66	283	5	39	29%	8%	61	-0.8
✕Bubba Crosby 2006 · MLB	29	45	43→40	51→50	44	220/271/324	104	253	11	13	18%	5%	68	-1.0	214/278/328	114	260	11	17	21%	6%	72	-0.7	203/271/307	103	250	7	28	21%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Eric Stamets 2022 · MLB	30	36→46	42→45	54→50	42	185/250/290	106	250	10	13	30%	7%	53	-2.1	190/262/302	112	274	11	13	33%	7%	61	-1.5	142/221/231	89	212	10	16	36%	6%	28	-1.5
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→44	40→45	47→50	44	190/253/273	83	247	8	12	26%	7%	50	-2.3	219/282/345	126	268	14	14	23%	8%	78	-0.3	223/288/361	137	262	17	15	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Nash Knight 2022 · AAA	29	37→47	43→40	43→40	45	187/271/294	107	269	11	6	33%	9%	63	-1.4	204/284/311	107	330	10	6	37%	9%	71	-0.8	192/281/285	93	328	7	0	39%	9%	60	-0.8
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	40→45	43→45	49→55	41	197/267/307	110	285	11	17	34%	7%	63	-1.3	210/296/321	111	330	11	25	36%	10%	78	-0.3	196/292/297	101	315	10	32	37%	10%	69	-0.4
✕Donnie Sadler 2004 · MLB	29	41	39→45	49→55	50	199/273/288	89	243	6	17	20%	8%	61	-1.5	221/288/335	114	281	9	13	23%	8%	77	-0.3	214/286/319	105	283	4	16	24%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	41→45	56→60	40	199/249/299	99	261	9	27	27%	5%	54	-2.0	213/271/335	122	269	12	21	25%	7%	71	-0.8	196/267/345	148	223	17	30	20%	8%	71	-0.2
✕Chris Basak 2008 · AAA	29	45→46	42→45	54→55	44	220/269/326	106	267	9	19	21%	5%	68	-1.0	218/262/325	107	271	9	16	22%	5%	65	-1.2	209/247/306	96	260	7	16	22%	4%	52	-1.3
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	41→50	43→45	41	191/242/288	96	249	9	6	27%	6%	49	-2.4	204/257/329	125	273	14	4	29%	6%	64	-1.3	210/260/314	105	285	8	1	28%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Clint Sammons 2012 · AAA	29	35→45	43→40	44→45	43	181/241/285	104	224	12	8	26%	6%	49	-2.4	202/250/335	133	276	17	8	32%	5%	63	-1.3	148/174/263	115	189	19	0	35%	2%	16	-1.2
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1