DaShawn Keirsey Jr.CF Gwinnett Stripers
Age 29 L/L 6'0" / 195 lbs AAA Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION318 act + 212 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .267 / .330
PA212
HR4
SB17
K%31
BB%6
BABIP302
ISO112
MLB%55%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -24.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-25BATRUN: +9.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+9RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +1.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+15REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$1M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025
CONTACT50
Whiff%
4311.8%
xwOBA
100.195
POWER50
Barrel%
437.3
Avg EV
2487.1
Bat Spd
2869.0
EYE50
Chase%
6628.6%
SPEED55
Sprint
7628.5
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2030
First FA Year   2031
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSPre-Arb$0.3M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M
2028Arb-1$0.2M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-0.3M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201821 ROKElizabethton Twins 116108 25520 7280 41 231278315593 83309 246 270 65
201821 ROKElizabethton Twins 116103 31730 12200 41 301374427801 126369 1710 355 130
201922 ACedar Rapids Kernels 143129 13110 13580 21 101183124307 23181 419 147 -29
201922 ACedar Rapids Kernels 143124 17110 18400 21 137246161408 24200 2813 203 14
202124 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 165147 23346 12693 103 156235354588 197227 427 250 50
202124 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 165141 28447 18503 103 199302433735 234241 3011 319 103
202225 AAWichita Wind Surge 468435 962126 221527 427 221269320589 99320 325 260 57
202225 AAWichita Wind Surge 468425 1152637 321087 427 271332395727 125344 237 324 106
202326 AA2 teams 549506 1321799 341557 395 261316383700 123358 286 307 93
202326 AA2 teams 549490 14418815 501247 395 294367455823 161365 239 365 138
202427 AAASt. Paul Saints 505457 11718611 341405 367 256315394708 138337 287 310 95
202427 AAASt. Paul Saints 505443 13322714 481165 367 300375476851 176370 2310 371 142
202528 AAA2 teams 249230 431034 13773 173 187240309549 122258 315 237 40
202528 AAA2 teams 249224 441135 19693 173 196268339608 143257 288 271 66
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD29 AAAATL 318301 701024 151041 333 233271319590 86340 335 258 56 -16 +5 +0 +1 +9 -0.0
YTD29 AAAATL 318294 771225 22871 333 262315367683 105355 277 307 93 -2 +5 +0 +1 +9 1.3
ROS29 AAAATL 55% 212197 43624 12651 173 218267330597 112303 316 268 63 -9 +2 -0 +1 +6 0.0
ROS29 MLBATL 55% 117109 24412 6361 101 220267330598 110303 315 263 60 -5 +2 -0 +0 +3 -0.0
FULL29 AAAATL 435410 941436 211402 434 229270322592 93331 325 259 57 -21 +7 -0 +2 +12 -0.0
TOT29 AAAATL 530498 1131648 271692 506 227269323593 96325 325 262 59 -25 +8 -0 +2 +15 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730 MLBATL 54% 561520 11417411 321684 386 219270331601 112301 306 270 65 -22 +5 -2 +2 +16 -0.1
202831 MLBATL 53% 550508 11217411 331644 325 220273335608 114298 306 271 65 -22 +4 -3 +2 +16 -0.3
202730 MLBATL 54% 300278 61926 17902 203 219269331600 112301 306 265 61 -13 +3 -1 +1 +8 -0.2
202831 MLBATL 53% 290269 59926 17862 173 219271335605 115298 306 265 61 -13 +2 -2 +1 +8 -0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career 795740 15322516 422456 5710 207255315570 108284 315 252 51 -44 +7 -2 -0 +23 -1.7
/ 162G 650605 12518413 342005 478 207254314568 107284 315 252 51 -36 +6 -2 -0 +18 -1.4
Career 35183237 7181153762 212107634 23741 222277338614 116308 316 272 66 -134 +31 -5 +9 +100 0.1
/ 162G 650598 13221711 391996 448 221275334609 114308 316 272 66 -25 +6 -1 +2 +18 0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201821 ROKElizabethton Twins 116103 31730 12200 41 301374427801 126369 1710 355 130 +4 +0 +3 0.8
201922 ACedar Rapids Kernels 143124 17110 18400 21 137246161408 24200 2813 203 14 -14 +0 +4 -1.0
202124 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels 165141 28447 18503 103 199302433735 234241 3011 319 103 +0 +1 +5 0.6
202225 AAWichita Wind Surge 468425 1152637 321087 427 271332395727 125344 237 324 106 +3 +6 +13 2.3
202326 AAASt. Paul Saints 152129 34132 19314 80 264375364739 101333 2012 341 119 +3 +2 +4 0.9
202326 AAWichita Wind Surge 397361 11017513 31933 315 305365488852 183377 238 374 145 +20 +4 +11 3.6
202427 AAASt. Paul Saints 505443 13322714 481165 367 300375476851 176370 2310 371 142 +24 +4 +14 4.4
202528 MLBMinnesota Twins 8884 9002 2331 103 107138179317 71143 382 143 -32 -13 +1 +1 -3 +2 -1.2
202528 AAASt. Paul Saints 161140 351133 17362 70 250340436775 186311 2211 341 119 +3 +1 +5 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 8884 9002 2331 103 107138179317 71143 382 143 -32 -13 +1 +1 -3 +2 -1.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA
92,4203578239286365+13-03.74.5
/1626641021+3.6-0.11.0pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA
51,9142978242303347-6+62.72.7
/1626641027-2.0+2.21.0pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
37891655206253317+3+1-1.1-1.0
/1626641446+2.4+0.5-0.9pk7: -1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. (OGILVIE) 29 50 50 55 50 227/269/323 96325 850 32% 5% 59 -0.0
Tyler Wade
2023 · MLB
28 44→54 41→40 57→60 49 216/288/311 95273 835 23% 9% 68 -0.5 227/294/306 79301 635 25% 8% 69 -0.4 226/297/2865930644025%8%62-0.4
Jorge Mateo
2023 · MLB
28 44→46 47→50 60→65 40 221/269/365 144285 1332 27% 5% 74 -0.1 218/266/352 134276 1340 25% 6% 69 -0.4 222/263/355133288134927%5%66-0.2
Darren Ford
2016 · AAA
30 46→53 41→45 58→65 44 222/275/316 94285 939 25% 6% 63 -0.8 223/272/305 82291 624 24% 6% 58 -1.2 221/267/2694829612324%5%43-1.6
Ian Miller
2021 · MLB
29 46→56 43→40 58→60 43 225/276/337 112275 1029 22% 6% 69 -0.4 228/277/322 94285 721 21% 6% 66 -0.6 230/279/3037328932520%5%59-0.7
Ben DeLuzio
2023 · MLB
28 45→49 42→45 59→60 40 217/273/330 112295 929 29% 6% 66 -0.6 207/268/318 111304 1120 33% 6% 62 -0.9 148/223/2267924481840%7%18-1.1
Andrew Velazquez
2023 · MLB
29 43→51 46→50 60 39 214/267/340 126306 1331 34% 6% 66 -0.6 207/258/322 115316 1333 37% 6% 58 -1.2 211/254/30594318103035%5%48-1.3
Billy Hamilton
2021 · MLB
30 46→56 39→40 59→70 49 220/286/306 86285 534 24% 8% 65 -0.7 196/250/295 99293 834 33% 7% 47 -1.9 161/212/2397825844737%6%14-0.9
Dairon Blanco
2022 · AAA
29 45→49 46→50 58→70 40 224/279/355 131294 1432 28% 6% 76 +0.0 255/314/393 138332 1563 26% 6% 100 +1.7 267/329/405137352159026%6%106+1.1
Roman Quinn
2022 · MLB
29 46→53 45 61→65 44 223/300/352 129313 1231 31% 8% 84 +0.6 206/300/330 124345 1125 39% 10% 79 +0.3 167/275/27210531293444%11%53-0.4
Corey Patterson
2009 · MLB
29 48→54 46→55 56→60 45 240/277/374 134262 1432 15% 4% 79 +0.3 234/272/361 127286 1226 22% 5% 73 -0.1 236/273/356120296112823%4%68-0.3
Quintin Berry
2014 · MLB
29 47→57 38→40 63→65 46 219/290/294 75298 538 26% 8% 64 -0.8 227/294/295 68305 433 25% 8% 66 -0.6 229/297/2855631233725%8%62-0.7
Reggie Abercrombie
2009 · MLB
28 45→48 49→55 59→60 31 228/262/378 150324 1734 35% 3% 75 -0.0 214/250/329 115325 1123 36% 4% 56 -1.3 219/262/360141323172537%3%68-0.3
Elliot Johnson
2014 · MLB
30 45→53 42→45 59→60 45 219/274/323 104281 1033 25% 7% 65 -0.7 206/265/318 112272 917 26% 7% 59 -1.1 186/247/29410824981227%7%44-1.0
Tommy Murphy
2009 · MLB
29 50→54 40→50 56→60 42 239/285/335 96313 729 25% 6% 72 -0.2 220/276/313 93293 725 26% 7% 63 -0.9 192/254/2596725842626%7%36-1.4
Lane Adams
2018 · MLB
28 47→46 48→50 61→60 40 231/282/370 139319 1634 32% 6% 81 +0.4 198/264/334 136314 1523 39% 7% 64 -0.8 161/237/290129263152042%8%39-1.2
Johneshwy Fargas
2022 · MLB
27 43→52 44→45 59→65 38 214/262/331 116287 1135 29% 5% 62 -0.9 213/273/338 125291 1430 31% 5% 69 -0.4 188/256/296108256154431%5%50-0.9
Eric Patterson
2012 · MLB
29 43→53 45→50 61→60 45 216/270/353 137266 1127 23% 7% 70 -0.3 203/272/296 93272 818 26% 8% 57 -1.2 184/268/2365226032028%10%38-0.8
Magneuris Sierra
2023 · MLB
27 49→57 40 61→60 44 234/282/326 93294 730 22% 6% 68 -0.5 226/277/327 101303 923 27% 6% 66 -0.6 211/262/2816930452630%6%45-0.7
Drew Stubbs
2013 · MLB
28 46→51 47→50 57→60 46 227/297/355 128307 1531 30% 9% 83 +0.6 230/297/362 132323 1424 31% 8% 85 +0.7 227/297/360133323132432%9%81+0.3
Leonys Martin
2016 · MLB
28 50→56 42→50 56→60 46 245/295/348 104295 1029 20% 6% 79 +0.3 245/298/381 136309 1524 25% 7% 90 +1.0 246/302/391145311162425%7%91+0.9