Bubba ThompsonOF
Chattanooga Lookouts
Age 28
R/R
6'2" / 197 lbs
AA
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
wRC+†57
AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .264 / .307
PA316
HR4
SB21
K%32
BB%5
MLB%2%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
21→21
PWR
36→36
SPD
80→80
EYE
31↗36
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.6peak
2026
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-2
MLB Debut 2022
Service 4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2027
First FA Year 2028
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-2 | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2027 | Arb-3 | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-7M | $-7M | +$0.0M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 123 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 5 | .183 | .236 | .296 | .531 | .113 | .260 | 33 | 3 | .228 | 33 | -9 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 363 | 342 | 73 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 144 | 6 | 32 | 7 | .213 | .255 | .327 | .582 | .114 | .349 | 40 | 4 | .253 | 52 | -20 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +10 | -1.0 |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | 2 teams | 311 | 284 | 35 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 139 | 4 | 17 | 3 | .123 | .186 | .208 | .394 | .085 | .215 | 45 | 6 | .178 | -6 | -37 | +2 | +0 | -3 | +9 | -3.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 470 | 440 | 103 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 149 | 4 | 25 | 8 | .234 | .271 | .398 | .668 | .164 | .324 | 32 | 4 | .284 | 76 | -13 | +2 | +0 | -5 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | 2 teams | 556 | 523 | 138 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 175 | 8 | 67 | 6 | .264 | .304 | .373 | .677 | .109 | .376 | 31 | 4 | .296 | 85 | -9 | +11 | -1 | -6 | +16 | 1.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 362 | 328 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 99 | 6 | 31 | 7 | .226 | .287 | .338 | .625 | .113 | .305 | 27 | 6 | .272 | 66 | -14 | +3 | -1 | -4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 3 teams | 266 | 257 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 102 | 1 | 20 | 4 | .187 | .211 | .233 | .445 | .047 | .305 | 38 | 3 | .191 | 4 | -29 | +2 | -0 | +1 | +8 | -1.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | CIN | 316 | 294 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 101 | 3 | 21 | 3 | .218 | .265 | .310 | .575 | .092 | .311 | 32 | 5 | .259 | 57 | -15 | +3 | -1 | -3 | +9 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | CIN | 338 | 314 | 68 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 109 | 3 | 22 | 3 | .217 | .266 | .306 | .571 | .089 | .310 | 32 | 5 | .257 | 55 | -17 | +3 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | CIN | 351 | 327 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 114 | 3 | 22 | 3 | .211 | .259 | .297 | .555 | .086 | .309 | 32 | 5 | .254 | 53 | -19 | +3 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -1.3 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | CIN | 336 | 312 | 66 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 111 | 3 | 19 | 2 | .212 | .261 | .298 | .559 | .087 | .308 | 33 | 5 | .250 | 50 | -19 | +3 | -4 | -4 | +10 | -1.4 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | CIN | 317 | 294 | 61 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 106 | 3 | 17 | 1 | .207 | .258 | .282 | .540 | .075 | .306 | 33 | 5 | .246 | 46 | -19 | +3 | -5 | -3 | +9 | -1.6 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | CIN | 287 | 267 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 98 | 3 | 14 | 1 | .202 | .253 | .277 | .530 | .075 | .305 | 34 | 5 | .240 | 42 | -19 | +2 | -5 | -3 | +8 | -1.7 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | CIN | 244 | 228 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 85 | 2 | 11 | 1 | .197 | .244 | .268 | .511 | .070 | .303 | 35 | 5 | .234 | 38 | -17 | +2 | -6 | -3 | +7 | -1.7 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4640 | 4325 | 919 | 160 | 35 | 64 | 218 | 1572 | 53 | 323 | 54 | .212 | .259 | .310 | .569 | .098 | .315 | 34 | 5 | .252 | 51 | -257 | +43 | -29 | -46 | +131 | -16.1 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 606 | 128 | 22 | 5 | 9 | 31 | 220 | 7 | 45 | 8 | .211 | .258 | .309 | .566 | .097 | .313 | 34 | 5 | .252 | 51 | -36 | +6 | -4 | -6 | +18 | -2.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 123 | 113 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | .257 | .317 | .434 | .751 | .177 | .317 | 23 | 5 | .333 | 113 | +2 | -1 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 363 | 332 | 96 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 104 | 6 | 32 | 7 | .289 | .346 | .446 | .792 | .157 | .396 | 29 | 6 | .350 | 126 | +11 | +4 | — | — | +10 | 2.5 |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | 228 | 202 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 72 | 2 | 12 | 3 | .178 | .262 | .312 | .574 | .134 | .246 | 32 | 9 | .259 | 56 | -11 | +1 | — | — | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2019 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | 83 | 71 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .254 | .346 | .394 | .740 | .141 | .333 | 30 | 10 | .328 | 109 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | 470 | 429 | 118 | 23 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 121 | 4 | 25 | 8 | .275 | .327 | .483 | .809 | .207 | .347 | 26 | 6 | .349 | 125 | +13 | +2 | — | — | +13 | 2.9 |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 181 | 170 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 2 | 18 | 3 | .265 | .302 | .312 | .613 | .047 | .389 | 31 | 4 | .277 | 70 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 375 | 346 | 105 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 95 | 6 | 49 | 3 | .303 | .356 | .474 | .830 | .171 | .385 | 25 | 6 | .367 | 139 | +16 | +9 | — | — | +11 | 3.6 |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | 60 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | .170 | .241 | .283 | .524 | .113 | .237 | 27 | 7 | .232 | 35 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 302 | 266 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 69 | 5 | 27 | 5 | .259 | .339 | .395 | .734 | .135 | .328 | 23 | 9 | .327 | 108 | +3 | +3 | — | — | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 18 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | .111 | .111 | .167 | .278 | .056 | .286 | 61 | 0 | .122 | -49 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | 27 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .160 | .222 | .200 | .422 | .040 | .235 | 30 | 7 | .200 | 11 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | 221 | 211 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 1 | 13 | 4 | .232 | .264 | .289 | .553 | .057 | .327 | 29 | 4 | .250 | 49 | -13 | +1 | — | — | +6 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 259 | 241 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 83 | 3 | 27 | 5 | .232 | .275 | .295 | .569 | .062 | .348 | 32 | 4 | .256 | 54 | -13 | +3 | -2 | -9 | +7 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Bubba Thompson (OGILVIE) | 28 | 21 | 36 | 80 | 36 | .215/.264/.307 | .092 | .311 | 4 | 21 | 32% | 5% | 57 | -0.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Terrance Gore 2018 · AAA |
27 | 47→40 | 34→30 | 66→70 | 42 | .220/.270/.267 | .047 | .293 | 2 | 46 | 25% | 6% | 47 | -1.9 | .201/.263/.264 | .063 | .287 | 3 | 41 | 29% | 7% | 45 | -2.1 | .174/.251/.219 | .044 | .264 | 0 | 60 | 31% | 8% | 25 | -0.9 |
|
✕Nick Heath 2021 · MLB |
27 | 45→38 | 40 | 63→65 | 40 | .205/.271/.299 | .095 | .337 | 7 | 43 | 39% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .198/.266/.309 | .111 | .336 | 10 | 29 | 41% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .172/.253/.274 | .102 | .308 | 8 | 36 | 43% | 8% | 41 | -1.0 |
|
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA |
27 | 43 | 43→40 | 59→60 | 45 | .210/.290/.313 | .104 | .303 | 12 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .205/.276/.302 | .097 | .296 | 10 | 29 | 32% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .172/.244/.246 | .074 | .244 | 9 | 46 | 32% | 7% | 30 | -1.1 |
|
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2022 · MLB |
27 | 44→49 | 43→45 | 59→65 | 39 | .216/.266/.324 | .108 | .289 | 10 | 36 | 28% | 5% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.271/.334 | .123 | .287 | 14 | 31 | 30% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .184/.255/.288 | .104 | .249 | 14 | 44 | 31% | 5% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Eric Reed 2008 · MLB |
27 | 49→51 | 37→40 | 62→60 | 38 | .233/.268/.315 | .082 | .310 | 3 | 33 | 26% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .222/.265/.304 | .082 | .288 | 5 | 23 | 23% | 5% | 55 | -1.4 | .202/.247/.221 | .019 | .259 | 0 | 19 | 21% | 5% | 22 | -0.9 |
|
✕Todd Donovan 2007 · AAA |
28 | 50→53 | 40 | 63→65 | 45 | .241/.296/.334 | .093 | .295 | 7 | 42 | 20% | 6% | 76 | +0.1 | .235/.300/.316 | .081 | .299 | 5 | 38 | 21% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.315/.302 | .068 | .308 | 3 | 42 | 23% | 10% | 74 | -0.1 |
|
✕Mel Stocker 2008 · AA |
27 | 47 | 38→40 | 66→65 | 45 | .223/.276/.316 | .094 | .276 | 3 | 32 | 20% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .235/.289/.316 | .081 | .287 | 3 | 39 | 18% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .240/.295/.313 | .073 | .289 | 2 | 46 | 16% | 6% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Ryan Strausborger 2015 · AAA |
27 | 44→45 | 41→45 | 61→55 | 40 | .216/.257/.320 | .104 | .275 | 8 | 23 | 24% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .215/.261/.318 | .103 | .278 | 10 | 26 | 25% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .204/.256/.297 | .093 | .271 | 9 | 28 | 27% | 5% | 48 | -0.9 |
|
✕Rico Noel 2016 · AAA |
27 | 47→54 | 35→30 | 61→65 | 43 | .219/.282/.275 | .056 | .305 | 2 | 43 | 28% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .201/.250/.279 | .078 | .288 | 6 | 30 | 31% | 5% | 43 | -2.2 | .181/.217/.249 | .069 | .263 | 5 | 29 | 32% | 3% | 17 | -1.0 |
|
✕Marland Williams 2007 · AAA |
26 | 38 | 43→45 | 61→60 | 38 | .190/.247/.302 | .112 | .295 | 10 | 36 | 38% | 7% | 48 | -1.9 | .185/.243/.303 | .118 | .343 | 13 | 25 | 46% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .152/.210/.269 | .117 | .302 | 15 | 23 | 52% | 6% | 20 | -2.3 |
|
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB |
28 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 59→60 | 41 | .223/.280/.338 | .115 | .304 | 9 | 28 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .210/.270/.321 | .111 | .305 | 10 | 21 | 33% | 6% | 63 | -0.8 | .154/.224/.233 | .079 | .248 | 9 | 18 | 39% | 7% | 20 | -1.1 |
|
✕Monte Harrison 2023 · MLB |
27 | 44→43 | 48→50 | 60 | 36 | .202/.268/.334 | .132 | .356 | 17 | 36 | 45% | 7% | 66 | -0.6 | .199/.256/.308 | .109 | .376 | 12 | 28 | 47% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .173/.226/.256 | .084 | .358 | 8 | 31 | 51% | 5% | 24 | -1.8 |
|
✕Darren Ford 2014 · MLB |
28 | 46→53 | 39→45 | 58→65 | 42 | .222/.271/.307 | .084 | .297 | 7 | 41 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .223/.273/.303 | .080 | .296 | 7 | 37 | 26% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .221/.273/.290 | .069 | .291 | 6 | 37 | 25% | 6% | 52 | -1.1 |
|
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2015 · AAA |
28 | 43→49 | 40→45 | 60 | 41 | .208/.256/.304 | .096 | .267 | 6 | 33 | 24% | 5% | 51 | -1.7 | .224/.272/.312 | .088 | .272 | 6 | 26 | 19% | 5% | 60 | -1.0 | .229/.293/.350 | .121 | .292 | 11 | 26 | 24% | 7% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
✕Nick Dalesandro 2023 · AA |
26 | 47 | 36→30 | 62→65 | 41 | .218/.274/.284 | .065 | .323 | 4 | 39 | 32% | 7% | 54 | -1.4 | .207/.265/.277 | .070 | .308 | 4 | 31 | 32% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .172/.238/.213 | .041 | .267 | 1 | 38 | 33% | 7% | 19 | -1.5 |
|
✕Dwaine Bacon 2006 · AAA |
27 | 49 | 38→40 | 62→65 | 44 | .221/.295/.310 | .089 | .336 | 5 | 37 | 33% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .208/.271/.305 | .097 | .292 | 7 | 34 | 29% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.246/.280 | .094 | .249 | 7 | 40 | 27% | 7% | 38 | -1.7 |
|
✕Billy Hamilton 2018 · MLB |
27 | 51→60 | 38→40 | 70 | 48 | .244/.297/.326 | .082 | .300 | 5 | 58 | 20% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .232/.294/.312 | .080 | .303 | 4 | 40 | 23% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .219/.281/.293 | .074 | .300 | 3 | 37 | 26% | 8% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB |
28 | 46→45 | 47→50 | 60 | 40 | .228/.280/.362 | .134 | .313 | 15 | 33 | 32% | 6% | 78 | +0.2 | .200/.262/.329 | .129 | .313 | 14 | 24 | 38% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .164/.235/.285 | .121 | .268 | 13 | 20 | 41% | 7% | 37 | -1.3 |
|
✕Zach Davis 2022 · AAA |
28 | 47→53 | 37→30 | 58→65 | 40 | .217/.273/.285 | .068 | .315 | 4 | 35 | 31% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .216/.285/.285 | .069 | .324 | 4 | 42 | 32% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .220/.298/.258 | .038 | .332 | 0 | 78 | 30% | 7% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
✕Drew Avans 2023 · AAA |
27 | 49→53 | 42→45 | 64→60 | 45 | .230/.302/.347 | .117 | .332 | 8 | 33 | 31% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .222/.293/.323 | .101 | .317 | 8 | 28 | 30% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .223/.294/.314 | .091 | .311 | 8 | 30 | 29% | 9% | 68 | -0.5 |