Bubba Thompson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | AAATEX | 375 | .303/.356/.474 | 13 | 49 | 105 | — | .280/.321/.419 | |
| 2022 | 24 | MLBTEX | 181 | .265/.302/.312 | 1 | 18 | 73 | -0.6 | ||
| 2023 | 25 | AAAKC | 302 | .259/.339/.395 | 6 | 27 | 78 | — | .241/.302/.354 | |
| 2023 | 25 | MLBTEX | 60 | .170/.241/.283 | 0 | 4 | 44 | -0.8 | ||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA/AACIN | 248 | .225/.259/.280 | 1 | 15 | 21 | — | .197/.223/.243 | |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBCIN | 18 | .111/.111/.167 | 0 | 5 | -31 | -0.0 | ||
| 2025 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 123 | 113 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 257 | 317 | 434 | 751 | 177 | 317 | 23 | 5 | 333 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Hickory Crawdads | — | 363 | 332 | 96 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 104 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 289 | 346 | 446 | 792 | 157 | 396 | 29 | 6 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 228 | 202 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 72 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 178 | 262 | 312 | 574 | 134 | 246 | 32 | 9 | 259 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 83 | 71 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 254 | 346 | 394 | 740 | 141 | 333 | 30 | 10 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 470 | 429 | 118 | 23 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 121 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 275 | 327 | 483 | 809 | 207 | 347 | 26 | 6 | 349 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 181 | 170 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 265 | 302 | 312 | 613 | 47 | 389 | 31 | 4 | 277 | 73 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Round Rock Express | — | 375 | 346 | 105 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 95 | 6 | 49 | 3 | 303 | 356 | 474 | 830 | 171 | 385 | 25 | 6 | 367 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Texas Rangers | — | 60 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 170 | 241 | 283 | 524 | 113 | 237 | 27 | 7 | 232 | 44 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 302 | 266 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 69 | 5 | 27 | 5 | 259 | 339 | 395 | 734 | 135 | 328 | 23 | 9 | 327 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 167 | 278 | 56 | 286 | 61 | 0 | 122 | -31 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 27 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 200 | 422 | 40 | 235 | 30 | 7 | 200 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 221 | 211 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 63 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 232 | 264 | 289 | 553 | 57 | 327 | 29 | 4 | 250 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 259 | 241 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 83 | 3 | 27 | 5 | 232 | 275 | 295 | 569 | 62 | 348 | 32 | 4 | 256 | 59 | -13 | +3 | -2 | -9 | +6 | -1.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 123 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 183 | 236 | 296 | 531 | 113 | 256 | 33 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 363 | 340 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 146 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 229 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 118 | 370 | 40 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Down East Wood Ducks | — | 228 | 209 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 102 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 124 | 187 | 206 | 392 | 81 | 214 | 45 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 470 | 439 | 109 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 141 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 248 | 286 | 415 | 700 | 166 | 328 | 30 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 181 | 170 | 45 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 56 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 265 | 302 | 312 | 613 | 47 | 389 | 31 | 4 | 276 | 73 | -6 | +2 | -1 | -6 | +4 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Round Rock Express | — | 375 | 353 | 99 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 112 | 6 | 49 | 3 | 280 | 321 | 419 | 740 | 139 | 386 | 30 | 4 | 323 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Texas Rangers | — | 60 | 53 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 170 | 241 | 283 | 524 | 113 | 237 | 27 | 7 | 234 | 44 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Omaha Storm Chasers | — | 302 | 274 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 83 | 5 | 27 | 5 | 241 | 302 | 354 | 656 | 113 | 321 | 27 | 6 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 18 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 111 | 111 | 167 | 278 | 56 | 286 | 61 | 0 | 123 | -31 | -3 | +1 | -0 | +1 | +0 | -0.0 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 27 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 154 | 185 | 192 | 377 | 38 | 220 | 37 | 4 | 161 | -5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 221 | 213 | 43 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 76 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 202 | 227 | 249 | 476 | 47 | 305 | 34 | 3 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 123 | 115 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 183 | 236 | 296 | 531 | 113 | 260 | 33 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 123 | 113 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 257 | 317 | 434 | 751 | 177 | 317 | 23 | 5 | 333 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 363 | 340 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 146 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 229 | 274 | 347 | 621 | 118 | 382 | 40 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Hickory Crawdads | — | 363 | 332 | 96 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 104 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 289 | 346 | 446 | 792 | 157 | 396 | 29 | 6 | 350 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 283 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 139 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 127 | 193 | 223 | 415 | 95 | 218 | 45 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 311 | 273 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 29 | 97 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 198 | 284 | 333 | 618 | 136 | 269 | 31 | 9 | 277 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 470 | 439 | 109 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 141 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 248 | 286 | 415 | 700 | 166 | 339 | 30 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 470 | 429 | 118 | 23 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 121 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 275 | 327 | 483 | 809 | 207 | 347 | 26 | 6 | 349 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 523 | 144 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 168 | 8 | 67 | 6 | 275 | 315 | 384 | 699 | 109 | 386 | 30 | 4 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 556 | 516 | 150 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 151 | 8 | 67 | 6 | 291 | 338 | 421 | 759 | 130 | 386 | 27 | 5 | 337 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 327 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 99 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 229 | 292 | 343 | 635 | 113 | 311 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 319 | 78 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 85 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 245 | 323 | 376 | 699 | 132 | 313 | 23 | 9 | 311 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 266 | 257 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 97 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 191 | 215 | 237 | 452 | 47 | 302 | 36 | 3 | 194 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 266 | 254 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 82 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 217 | 249 | 272 | 521 | 55 | 316 | 31 | 4 | 236 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 123 | 114 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 40 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 184 | 236 | 298 | 534 | 114 | 256 | 33 | 3 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Hickory Crawdads | — | 363 | 339 | 78 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 146 | 6 | 32 | 7 | 230 | 274 | 348 | 622 | 118 | 370 | 40 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 311 | 285 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 139 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 126 | 193 | 221 | 414 | 95 | 214 | 45 | 6 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Frisco RoughRiders | — | 470 | 444 | 109 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 19 | 141 | 4 | 25 | 8 | 245 | 286 | 410 | 696 | 164 | 328 | 30 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 556 | 521 | 144 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 168 | 8 | 67 | 6 | 276 | 315 | 386 | 700 | 109 | 387 | 30 | 4 | 308 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 330 | 75 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 99 | 6 | 31 | 7 | 227 | 292 | 339 | 632 | 112 | 307 | 27 | 6 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 266 | 256 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 97 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 191 | 215 | 238 | 453 | 47 | 295 | 36 | 3 | 194 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 266 | 256 | 49 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 97 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 191 | 215 | 238 | 453 | 47 | 295 | 36 | 3 | 194 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 259 | 241 | 56 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 83 | 3 | 27 | 5 | 232 | 275 | 295 | 569 | 62 | 348 | 32 | 4 | 256 | 63 | -13 | +3 | -2 | -9 | +6 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 605 | 141 | 25 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 208 | 8 | 68 | 13 | 233 | 277 | 299 | 576 | 66 | 348 | 32 | 4 | 256 | 63 | -32 | +9 | -5 | -22 | +14 | -3.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2451 | 2284 | 512 | 89 | 25 | 40 | 109 | 830 | 33 | 197 | 40 | 224 | 270 | 338 | 607 | 113 | 331 | 34 | 4 | 262 | 63 | -13 | +3 | -2 | -9 | +6 | -1.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 137 | 24 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 220 | 9 | 52 | 11 | 226 | 272 | 343 | 615 | 117 | 333 | 34 | 4 | 262 | 63 | -32 | +9 | -5 | -22 | +14 | -3.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 221 PAwOBA .243 → .204 (−39)K% 28.5% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.51% | ÷1.005 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.62% | ÷0.970 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 2.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 26.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.73% | ÷1.236 | ×0.910 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.001 | ×0.880 | ×1.028 | ×0.988 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.089 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.49% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 93, 2B 147, 3B 100, K 101, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.
Result: wOBA .243 → .204; ISO .057 → .041; BABIP .327 → .305. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALouisville Bats · 27 PAwOBA .195 → .161 (−34)K% 29.6% → 35.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.63% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 5.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .195 → .161; ISO .040 → .033; BABIP .235 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 302 PAwOBA .320 → .284 (−36)K% 22.8% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.85% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.94% | ÷1.030 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷0.978 | ×0.930 | ×1.036 | ×1.033 | 24.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.036 | ×1.033 | 6.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.02% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×1.033 | 0.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.05% | ÷0.942 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 2.34% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .320 → .284; ISO .135 → .111; BABIP .328 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARound Rock Express · 375 PAwOBA .356 → .323 (−34)K% 25.3% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.33% | ÷1.015 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.60% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.28% | ÷0.986 | ×0.930 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 30.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.78% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 4.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.031 | ×1.048 | 1.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.18% | ÷0.957 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.97% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 97, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 103, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .356 → .323; ISO .171 → .141; BABIP .385 → .386. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAFrisco RoughRiders · 470 PAwOBA .340 → .295 (−46)K% 25.7% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.74% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.17% | ÷1.098 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 3.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.006 | ×0.940 | ×1.008 | ×1.027 | 22.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.47% | ÷0.957 | ×0.870 | ×1.008 | ×1.027 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.92% | ÷0.995 | ×0.920 | ×1.008 | ×1.027 | 2.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.114 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.74% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 101, 2B 91, 3B 99, K 109, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .340 → .295; ISO .207 → .170; BABIP .347 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Down East Wood Ducks · 228 PAwOBA .253 → .181 (−72)K% 31.6% → 44.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.58% | ÷1.002 | ×1.420 | — | — | 44.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.21% | ÷0.985 | ×0.630 | — | ×1.027 | 6.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.15% | ÷1.038 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 14.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.15% | ÷0.939 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 5.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 1.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷1.152 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.027 | 3.09% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .253 → .181; ISO .134 → .094; BABIP .246 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AHickory Crawdads · 363 PAwOBA .342 → .264 (−78)K% 28.7% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.65% | ÷0.952 | ×1.340 | — | — | 40.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.65% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.51% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.979 | ×1.030 | 26.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.89% | ÷0.881 | ×0.820 | ×0.979 | ×1.030 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.979 | ×1.030 | 2.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.51% | ÷1.204 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.46% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 98, 2B 76, 3B 80, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .342 → .264; ISO .157 → .115; BABIP .396 → .370. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKAZL Rangers · 123 PAwOBA .324 → .229 (−95)K% 22.8% → 32.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 3.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.25% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×1.008 | 17.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.24% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.030 | ×1.008 | 6.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.030 | ×1.008 | 1.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.77% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .324 → .229; ISO .177 → .121; BABIP .317 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .