Dru Baker

CF Charlotte Knights
Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
MLB%10%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202424AATB467.288/.346/.32804269—.267/.310/.306
202525AAA/ROK2 orgs357.245/.322/.34361750—.204/.266/.265
202626AAACWS334.266/.324/.40581970—.235/.282/.345
2027PROJ10% MLB27MLBCWS16.225/.274/.3070163-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB28MLBCWS69.224/.275/.3081364-0.1
Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA
Speed93
Max EV64
Z-Con%52
Whiff%50
K%29
Chase%22
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%
CompsEric Reed (age 26) · Adam Engel (age 27) · Joel Booker (age 27)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .274 / .307
PA16
HR0
K%31
BB%6
BABIP312
ISO90
MLB%10%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.9 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +3.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12728
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT45
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED55
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202121 ROKFCL Rays — 4945 13220 391 60 289347422769 133361 186 342 43 — — — — — —
202222 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 9885 19703 13270 41 224327412738 188291 2813 331 48 — — — — — —
202222 ACharleston RiverDogs — 11597 35223 16212 173 361461515976 155438 1814 435 131 — — — — — —
202323 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 127115 33631 7284 112 287349417767 130368 226 341 88 — — — — — —
202323 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods — 377326 10011513 40869 383 307397491888 184382 2311 393 83 — — — — — —
202424 AAMontgomery Biscuits — 467424 1221320 34964 4212 288346328674 40369 217 307 69 — — — — — —
202525 AAACharlotte Knights — 337303 77926 25926 178 254323356680 102345 277 307 54 — — — — — —
202525 ROKFCL Rays — 2015 1000 570 00 6730067367 125 3525 220 -25 — — — — — —
202626 AAACharlotte Knights — 334304 811238 20886 194 266324405729 138348 266 323 70 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202121 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4946 9110 2131 60 196245261506 65280 274 232 43 — — — — — —
202222 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 9890 15502 8350 41 167235289524 122246 368 239 48 — — — — — —
202222 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 115102 32222 11292 173 314391431823 118418 2510 362 131 — — — — — —
202323 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 127117 31521 5334 112 265317368685 103357 264 299 88 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLEBowling Green Hot Rods — 377343 828410 231189 383 239304373677 134325 316 291 83 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 467435 1161320 231174 4212 267310306615 39352 255 270 69 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 337310 66723 181116 178 213269277547 65319 335 248 54 — — — — — —
202525 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 2017 1000 3100 00 5920059259 95 5015 131 -25 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 334310 731036 141066 194 235282345627 110329 324 271 70 — — — — — —
202121 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4946 9110 2131 60 196245261506 65273 274 232 43 — — — — — —
202121 ROK RAWFCL Rays — 4945 13220 391 60 289347422769 133361 186 342 43 — — — — — —
202222 A MLE2 teams — 213192 48725 19642 214 250324385709 135350 309 305 93 — — — — — —
202222 A RAW2 teams — 213182 54926 29482 214 297399467866 170375 2314 387 93 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLE2 teams — 504461 11313611 2715213 495 245305371676 126340 305 293 84 — — — — — —
202323 A+ RAW2 teams — 504441 13317814 4711413 495 302385472857 170378 239 380 84 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 467435 1161320 231174 4212 267310306615 39361 255 270 69 — — — — — —
202424 AA RAWMontgomery Biscuits — 467424 1221320 34964 4212 288346328674 40369 217 307 69 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 357327 67723 211216 178 205266266532 61314 346 241 50 — — — — — —
202525 AAA RAW2 teams — 357318 78926 30996 178 245322343665 97336 288 302 50 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 334310 731036 141066 194 235282345627 110335 324 271 70 — — — — — —
202626 AAA RAWCharlotte Knights — 334304 811238 20886 194 266324405729 138348 266 323 70 — — — — — —
202121 ROK MLEFCL Rays — 4946 9110 2131 60 196245261506 65280 274 232 43 — — — — — —
202222 A MLE2 teams — 213190 48725 19642 214 253324389713 137339 309 305 93 — — — — — —
202323 A+ MLE2 teams — 504459 11313611 2715213 495 246305373678 126333 305 293 84 — — — — — —
202424 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 467437 1161320 231174 4212 265310304614 39352 255 270 69 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 357327 67723 211216 178 205266266532 61306 346 241 50 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 334311 731036 141066 194 235282344626 109329 324 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202424 AA MLEMontgomery Biscuits — 467437 1161320 231174 4212 265310304614 39352 255 270 69 — — — — — —
202525 AAA MLE2 teams — 357327 67723 211216 178 205266266532 61306 346 241 50 — — — — — —
202626 AAA MLECharlotte Knights — 334311 731036 141066 194 235282344626 109329 324 271 70 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202727 MLB MLECWS 10% 380353 781124 191125 175 224274306579 81312 295 262 63 -17 +1 +0 +1 +8 -0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202727 MLB CTXCWS 10% 1615 3000 150 10 225274307581 82312 316 263 63 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202828 MLB MLECWS 31% 222206 47713 11653 93 224274306580 83310 295 262 64 -10 +1 -1 +1 +5 -0.4
202828 MLB CTXCWS 31% 6965 14201 3201 31 224275308582 84310 294 263 64 -3 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 6965 14201 3201 31 215261292553 77295 294 263 70 -3 +0 -0 +0 +1 -0.1
/ 162G— A+C — 650612 1321909 281889 289 216260291551 75296 294 263 70 -28 +2 -2 +2 +14 -1.2
Career— MLE — 23012121 506631830 12568337 17038 239293328620 89336 305 272 70 -16 +1 -1 +1 +8 -0.6
/ 162G— MLE — 650599 1431858 3519310 4811 239291326617 87337 305 272 70 -28 +2 -1 +2 +14 -1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 334 PAwOBA .316 → .271 (−45)K% 26.3% → 31.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA26.35%÷1.000×1.200——31.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.99%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0184.21%
HBP% /PA1.80%—×0.940—×1.0181.72%
Singles /BIP26.85%÷1.000×0.930×1.026×1.01826.08%
Doubles /BIP5.56%÷1.000×0.830×1.026×1.0184.82%
Triples /BIP1.39%÷1.000×0.970×1.026×1.0181.41%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷1.000×0.700—×1.0182.64%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.

Result: wOBA .316 → .271; ISO .138 → .107; BABIP .348 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 337 PAwOBA .300 → .248 (−52)K% 27.3% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.30%÷0.996×1.200——32.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.42%÷0.984×0.690—×1.0335.37%
HBP% /PA1.78%—×0.940—×1.0331.73%
Singles /BIP28.44%÷1.002×0.930×0.988×1.03326.93%
Doubles /BIP4.27%÷0.980×0.830×0.988×1.0333.69%
Triples /BIP0.95%÷0.961×0.970×0.988×1.0330.98%
Home runs /BIP2.84%÷1.320×0.700—×1.0331.56%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .300 → .248; ISO .102 → .069; BABIP .345 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKFCL Rays · 20 PAwOBA .216 → .131 (−86)K% 35.0% → 51.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.00%÷0.985×1.440——51.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA25.00%÷0.991×0.620—×0.94514.79%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷1.018×0.820—×0.9459.51%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.026×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.720—×0.9450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.809×0.780—×0.9450.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 130, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 19.5 → −5.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .216 → .131; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .095. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 467 PAwOBA .301 → .270 (−32)K% 20.6% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.56%÷0.999×1.220——25.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.28%÷1.022×0.680—×1.0124.90%
HBP% /PA0.86%—×0.840—×1.0120.73%
Singles /BIP32.62%÷1.008×0.920×1.034×1.01231.16%
Doubles /BIP3.96%÷0.972×0.910×1.034×1.0123.88%
Triples /BIP0.61%÷1.115×0.880×1.034×1.0120.50%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.958×0.800—×1.0120.00%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 94, 3B 123, K 100, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.

Result: wOBA .301 → .270; ISO .040 → .037; BABIP .369 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 377 PAwOBA .383 → .291 (−92)K% 22.8% → 31.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.81%÷0.950×1.310——31.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.61%÷1.060×0.600—×0.9985.99%
HBP% /PA2.39%—×0.770—×0.9981.83%
Singles /BIP29.58%÷1.008×0.870×1.023×0.99826.08%
Doubles /BIP4.58%÷1.047×0.780×1.023×0.9983.49%
Triples /BIP2.08%÷1.103×0.850×1.023×0.9981.64%
Home runs /BIP5.42%÷1.066×0.880—×0.9984.46%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 102, 2B 109, 3B 121, K 90, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .383 → .291; ISO .184 → .142; BABIP .382 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 127 PAwOBA .334 → .299 (−36)K% 22.0% → 26.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.05%÷1.022×1.220——26.33%
BB% (unintentional) /PA5.51%÷1.072×0.680—×1.0273.59%
HBP% /PA3.15%—×0.840—×1.0272.72%
Singles /BIP26.44%÷0.949×0.920×1.014×1.02726.67%
Doubles /BIP6.90%÷1.030×0.910×1.014×1.0276.34%
Triples /BIP3.45%÷1.150×0.880×1.014×1.0272.75%
Home runs /BIP1.15%÷1.087×0.800—×1.0270.87%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .334 → .299; ISO .130 → .107; BABIP .368 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ACharleston RiverDogs · 115 PAwOBA .424 → .362 (−62)K% 18.3% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.26%÷0.985×1.360——25.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.91%÷0.983×0.690——9.77%
HBP% /PA1.74%—×0.780——1.36%
Singles /BIP36.84%÷0.970×0.920×1.030—35.98%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷1.066×0.830×1.030—2.11%
Triples /BIP2.63%÷1.053×0.910×1.030—2.34%
Home runs /BIP3.95%÷0.943×0.800——3.35%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 94, 2B 113, 3B 111, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .424 → .362; ISO .155 → .127; BABIP .438 → .418. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 98 PAwOBA .323 → .239 (−83)K% 27.6% → 36.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.55%÷1.002×1.310——36.02%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.27%÷1.038×0.600—×1.0127.76%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0120.00%
Singles /BIP15.52%÷1.011×0.870×1.050×1.01214.19%
Doubles /BIP12.07%÷1.079×0.780×1.050×1.0129.27%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.850×1.050×1.0120.00%
Home runs /BIP5.17%÷1.020×0.880—×1.0124.52%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 102, 2B 116, 3B 80, K 100, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .323 → .239; ISO .188 → .148; BABIP .291 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).