Dru Baker — OGILVIE

Dru BakerCF Charlotte Knights

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION229 act + 152 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .277 / .306

PA152

HR2

SB7

K%31

BB%5

BABIP313

ISO85

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	49	46	9	1	1	0	2	13	1	6	0	196	245	261	506	65	273	27	4	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	49	45	13	2	2	0	3	9	1	6	0	289	347	422	769	133	361	18	6	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	213	193	47	6	1	5	18	67	2	21	4	244	315	363	677	119	347	31	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	213	182	54	9	2	6	29	48	2	21	4	297	399	467	866	170	375	23	14	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	504	460	112	13	6	9	28	162	13	49	5	243	305	357	662	113	354	32	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	2 teams	—	504	441	133	17	8	14	47	114	13	49	5	302	385	472	857	170	378	23	9	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	436	112	12	1	0	22	124	4	42	12	257	299	289	588	32	356	27	5	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	424	122	13	2	0	34	96	4	42	12	288	346	328	674	40	369	21	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	357	327	65	7	2	3	21	122	6	17	8	199	260	260	520	61	305	34	6	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	2 teams	—	357	318	78	9	2	6	30	99	6	17	8	245	322	343	665	97	336	28	8	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	CWS	—	229	211	49	7	3	6	10	76	6	10	4	232	286	379	665	147	331	33	4	293	82	-5	+0	+0	+1	+6	0.3
YTD	26	AAA	CWS	—	229	206	56	9	3	8	15	63	6	10	4	272	339	461	800	189	353	28	7	352	127	+7	+0	+0	+1	+6	1.5
ROS	26	AAA	CWS	10%	152	140	31	4	1	2	8	47	3	7	2	220	277	306	583	85	320	31	5	270	65	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
ROS	26	MLB	CWS	10%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	143	200	143	343		320	33	7	258	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	CWS	—	244	225	51	7	3	6	11	81	6	11	4	227	281	364	645	138	324	33	5	291	81	-5	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
TOT	26	AAA	CWS	—	381	351	80	11	4	8	18	123	9	17	6	227	283	350	632	122	323	32	5	284	75	-11	+1	+0	+1	+11	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	CWS	31%	336	309	70	10	2	6	18	102	6	15	5	227	282	330	612	104	317	30	5	277	70	-11	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.0
2028	28	MLB	CWS	42%	364	334	76	11	3	6	21	108	6	15	5	228	285	332	618	105	315	30	6	279	72	-12	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.0
2029	29	MLB	CWS	46%	373	342	79	12	3	7	22	110	6	14	5	231	289	345	634	114	313	29	6	280	72	-12	+1	-1	+1	+11	-0.0
2027	27	MLB	CWS	31%	104	95	22	3	1	2	6	31	2	5	2	232	291	347	639	116	317	30	6	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	CWS	42%	153	140	33	5	1	3	9	46	3	6	2	236	296	350	646	114	315	30	6	268	63	-6	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	CWS	46%	172	157	35	5	1	3	10	51	3	7	2	223	282	325	607	102	314	30	6	269	64	-7	+1	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	444	406	92	13	3	8	26	133	8	19	6	227	286	333	619	106	313	30	6	267	63	-19	+1	-1	+2	+13	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	135	19	4	12	38	195	12	28	9	227	287	333	620	106	315	30	6	267	63	-27	+2	-1	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2815	2587	601	76	20	38	160	855	47	186	46	232	289	321	610	89	330	30	6	273	67	-105	+19	-2	+10	+80	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	140	18	5	9	37	197	11	43	11	235	291	327	618	92	332	30	6	273	67	-24	+4	-0	+2	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	49	45	13	2	2	0	3	9	1	6	0	289	347	422	769	133	361	18	6	342	120	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	98	85	19	7	0	3	13	27	0	4	1	224	327	412	738	188	291	28	13	331	112	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	115	97	35	2	2	3	16	21	2	17	3	361	461	515	976	155	438	18	14	435	191	+12	+2	—	—	+3	1.8
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	127	115	33	6	3	1	7	28	4	11	2	287	349	417	767	130	368	22	6	341	119	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	377	326	100	11	5	13	40	86	9	38	3	307	397	491	888	184	382	23	11	393	159	+25	+6	—	—	+11	4.3
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	424	122	13	2	0	34	96	4	42	12	288	346	328	674	40	369	21	7	307	93	-4	+4	—	—	+13	1.4
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	337	303	77	9	2	6	25	92	6	17	8	254	323	356	680	102	345	27	7	307	93	-3	+0	—	—	+10	0.7
2025	25	ROK	FCL Rays	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	67	300	67	367		125	35	25	220	26	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Hernán Pérezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,811 PA	6	1,811	45	69	252	281	387	-0	+12	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	16	25	252	281	387	-0.0	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	7	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	4	28	248	302	332	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	5	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
#5Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	/162	664	1	37	251	310	309	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	454	8	19	229	283	332	+2	+2	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	11	27	229	283	332	+2.4	+3.7	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dru Baker (OGILVIE)	26	45	40	55	35	227/283/350	122	323	8	17	32%	5%	75	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→51	38→40	56→60	37	234/270/316	81	316	5	28	27%	4%	59	-1.1	225/263/304	79	296	3	28	24%	4%	54	-1.4	223/259/288	65	291	0	37	22%	4%	45	-0.9
✕Gary Brown 2015 · AAA	26	42→52	41→45	51→55	39	207/258/305	98	271	8	23	26%	5%	53	-1.5	207/252/309	102	263	9	18	24%	4%	52	-1.6	192/232/285	93	237	8	16	22%	3%	34	-2.1
✕Ben DeLuzio 2021 · AAA	26	48→49	40→45	54→60	41	226/288/321	95	322	6	23	30%	6%	70	-0.3	214/272/323	109	302	8	25	30%	6%	64	-0.8	200/261/305	105	286	8	30	31%	6%	51	-0.8
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	45→53	42→45	59→65	40	220/272/324	104	302	9	34	29%	6%	64	-0.8	227/272/311	84	309	6	39	27%	6%	59	-1.1	229/273/299	70	312	5	48	27%	5%	54	-0.8
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA	26	48→51	40	58→60	41	230/280/327	97	315	6	27	28%	6%	68	-0.5	219/282/306	87	309	6	25	29%	7%	64	-0.8	195/262/289	94	302	8	22	35%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	43	38→40	58→55	39	206/263/277	72	302	6	26	32%	6%	48	-1.9	234/276/322	88	309	5	20	25%	5%	64	-0.8	248/287/332	84	320	4	20	23%	4%	68	-0.2
✕Cade Gotta 2018 · AAA	26	48→51	40→45	56→55	44	233/278/328	96	292	7	29	22%	6%	67	-0.5	237/296/347	110	305	8	27	23%	8%	80	+0.4	243/312/366	124	313	7	33	23%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	43→49	42→45	58→65	38	201/273/306	105	322	9	26	38%	7%	61	-1.0	213/291/314	101	331	10	39	35%	9%	70	-0.3	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Anthony Alford 2020 · MLB	26	45→47	42→45	54→55	40	213/279/318	104	316	9	25	33%	7%	66	-0.6	223/290/381	158	346	19	22	38%	7%	87	+0.8	227/302/405	178	380	23	20	43%	8%	95	+0.9
✕Jared Oliva 2022 · MLB	26	45	40→50	56→65	38	214/267/314	100	308	7	22	32%	5%	59	-1.1	218/273/349	131	288	12	28	27%	6%	72	-0.2	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→47	39→45	55→60	40	184/270/268	84	306	7	24	39%	8%	50	-1.7	205/282/312	107	298	10	23	32%	7%	67	-0.5	198/285/310	113	286	12	28	32%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	43→48	38→40	58→65	41	207/257/286	79	287	5	32	29%	6%	47	-1.9	194/251/270	76	305	5	17	35%	7%	41	-2.3	158/224/216	58	272	3	12	40%	7%	14	-2.0
✕Michael Mitchell 2012 · AA	26	45→55	37→40	56→55	42	213/270/288	74	288	5	24	27%	6%	53	-1.5	207/246/287	80	284	6	19	28%	4%	43	-2.2	196/224/260	63	269	5	20	28%	2%	23	-3.0
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA	26	48→51	40	55→65	45	227/290/316	89	325	7	30	31%	8%	69	-0.4	233/301/321	88	314	6	37	26%	8%	76	+0.0	230/304/301	71	305	4	56	24%	9%	68	-0.3
✕Matthew Batten 2022 · AAA	27	49→51	38→40	54→55	41	227/280/300	74	334	6	22	32%	7%	60	-1.0	207/279/301	94	289	9	23	29%	9%	62	-0.9	191/268/284	93	259	9	24	28%	9%	51	-1.4
●Greg Golson 2011 · MLB	25	45→51	41→45	54→55	37	221/257/319	98	302	8	19	29%	4%	56	-1.3	229/268/340	111	315	9	20	29%	4%	66	-0.6	267/319/357	90	377	5	31	28%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Matt Lipka 2018 · AAA	26	41→51	41→45	54→60	39	204/250/302	99	266	8	18	26%	4%	49	-1.8	211/262/315	104	282	8	22	27%	6%	57	-1.2	230/283/343	114	308	11	31	28%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jacob May 2018 · MLB	26	47→55	36→40	56→60	37	219/260/287	68	307	4	29	29%	4%	48	-1.9	212/252/289	77	294	5	21	28%	5%	46	-2.0	205/239/261	56	280	2	22	26%	4%	29	-1.8
✕Sergio Garcia 2017 · AAA	26	47	41→45	50→60	35	227/256/325	98	308	8	18	29%	4%	56	-1.3	239/271/374	135	306	15	15	26%	3%	76	+0.1	241/265/410	169	287	21	16	24%	2%	82	+0.2