Dru BakerCF
Charlotte Knights
Age 26
R/R
5'10" / 205 lbs
AAA
BB +6%HR -6%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
peak 0.1 · 2027
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .272 / .292
PA250
HR3
SB13
K%30
BB%6
MLB%10%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
40→40
SPD
55→55
EYE
39↘35
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2028
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2033
First FA Year 2034
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2028 | |||
| 2028 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.1 | $0.4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.4M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $-0.8M | $-9M | -$8M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 49 | 46 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 0 | .196 | .245 | .261 | .506 | .065 | .273 | 27 | 4 | .234 | 37 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | A | 2 teams | 213 | 193 | 48 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 66 | 2 | 21 | 4 | .249 | .319 | .373 | .692 | .124 | .352 | 31 | 8 | .305 | 92 | -2 | +3 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 504 | 461 | 111 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 155 | 13 | 49 | 5 | .241 | .301 | .367 | .668 | .126 | .337 | 31 | 5 | .289 | 79 | -12 | +8 | +0 | +2 | +14 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 467 | 435 | 112 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 125 | 4 | 42 | 12 | .257 | .301 | .294 | .595 | .037 | .358 | 27 | 5 | .262 | 59 | -22 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +13 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | 2 teams | 357 | 327 | 67 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 121 | 6 | 17 | 8 | .205 | .266 | .275 | .541 | .070 | .310 | 34 | 6 | .238 | 40 | -24 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +10 | -1.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 43 | 40 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | .275 | .326 | .400 | .726 | .125 | .455 | 40 | 2 | .313 | 98 | -0 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | CWS | 207 | 191 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 64 | 3 | 10 | 3 | .220 | .273 | .288 | .561 | .068 | .321 | 31 | 5 | .265 | 61 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| TOT | 26 | MLB | CWS | 250 | 231 | 53 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 81 | 5 | 13 | 3 | .229 | .282 | .307 | .590 | .078 | .338 | 32 | 5 | .273 | 67 | -9 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB 25% | CWS | 336 | 308 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 90 | 5 | 16 | 4 | .234 | .291 | .325 | .616 | .091 | .309 | 27 | 6 | .276 | 69 | -12 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB 37% | CWS | 364 | 332 | 77 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 97 | 6 | 16 | 4 | .232 | .294 | .319 | .613 | .087 | .307 | 27 | 6 | .278 | 71 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +10 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB 47% | CWS | 373 | 340 | 78 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 99 | 6 | 15 | 3 | .229 | .292 | .324 | .615 | .094 | .306 | 27 | 6 | .279 | 71 | -12 | +2 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB 55% | CWS | 378 | 345 | 79 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 102 | 6 | 13 | 3 | .229 | .291 | .322 | .612 | .093 | .304 | 27 | 6 | .277 | 70 | -13 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB 66% | CWS | 369 | 337 | 76 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 101 | 5 | 11 | 2 | .226 | .287 | .312 | .598 | .086 | .303 | 27 | 7 | .273 | 67 | -14 | +1 | -3 | +1 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB 75% | CWS | 354 | 323 | 72 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 99 | 5 | 9 | 2 | .223 | .285 | .310 | .594 | .087 | .302 | 28 | 6 | .268 | 64 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB 83% | CWS | 326 | 297 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 93 | 5 | 7 | 1 | .219 | .282 | .300 | .581 | .081 | .301 | 29 | 6 | .263 | 60 | -15 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +9 | -0.8 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB 89% | CWS | 284 | 260 | 56 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 83 | 4 | 5 | 1 | .215 | .277 | .292 | .569 | .077 | .299 | 29 | 6 | .257 | 55 | -14 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4581 | 4195 | 964 | 118 | 29 | 61 | 279 | 1308 | 71 | 237 | 52 | .230 | .289 | .315 | .604 | .086 | .317 | 29 | 6 | .271 | 66 | -178 | +27 | -20 | +16 | +130 | -2.6 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 595 | 137 | 17 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 186 | 10 | 34 | 7 | .230 | .290 | .318 | .608 | .087 | .318 | 29 | 6 | .271 | 66 | -25 | +4 | -3 | +2 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 49 | 45 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 0 | .289 | .347 | .422 | .769 | .133 | .361 | 18 | 6 | .342 | 120 | +1 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 98 | 85 | 19 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 0 | 4 | 1 | .224 | .327 | .412 | .738 | .188 | .291 | 28 | 13 | .331 | 112 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 0.5 |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 115 | 97 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 2 | 17 | 3 | .361 | .461 | .515 | .976 | .155 | .438 | 18 | 14 | .435 | 191 | +12 | +2 | — | — | +3 | 1.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 127 | 115 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 4 | 11 | 2 | .287 | .349 | .417 | .767 | .130 | .368 | 22 | 6 | .341 | 119 | +3 | +1 | — | — | +4 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 377 | 326 | 100 | 11 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 86 | 9 | 38 | 3 | .307 | .397 | .491 | .888 | .184 | .382 | 23 | 11 | .393 | 159 | +25 | +6 | — | — | +11 | 4.3 |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 467 | 424 | 122 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 96 | 4 | 42 | 12 | .288 | .346 | .328 | .674 | .040 | .369 | 21 | 7 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +4 | — | — | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | 337 | 303 | 77 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 92 | 6 | 17 | 8 | .254 | .323 | .356 | .680 | .102 | .345 | 27 | 7 | .307 | 93 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 25 | ROK | FCL Rays | 20 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .067 | .300 | .067 | .367 | .000 | .125 | 35 | 25 | .220 | 26 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Dru Baker (OGILVIE) | 26 | 45 | 40 | 55 | 35 | .218/.272/.292 | .075 | .309 | 3 | 12 | 30% | 6% | 56 | -0.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB |
26 | 39→48 | 43→50 | 58→60 | 40 | .195/.257/.310 | .114 | .277 | 9 | 26 | 32% | 6% | 54 | -1.4 | .220/.274/.346 | .126 | .300 | 11 | 17 | 29% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .227/.287/.366 | .138 | .305 | 13 | 23 | 28% | 5% | 79 | +0.1 |
|
✕Gary Brown 2015 · AAA |
26 | 43→53 | 41→45 | 50→55 | 40 | .211/.261/.309 | .098 | .272 | 8 | 22 | 25% | 4% | 56 | -1.3 | .207/.252/.308 | .101 | .262 | 9 | 19 | 24% | 4% | 52 | -1.6 | .196/.237/.289 | .093 | .239 | 8 | 16 | 21% | 4% | 37 | -1.9 |
|
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB |
26 | 47→53 | 41→45 | 59→65 | 41 | .227/.281/.331 | .104 | .312 | 8 | 33 | 29% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .225/.272/.308 | .083 | .305 | 6 | 39 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -1.1 | .226/.272/.293 | .067 | .305 | 4 | 48 | 26% | 5% | 51 | -0.9 |
|
✕Ben DeLuzio 2021 · AAA |
26 | 49→50 | 40→45 | 55→60 | 41 | .227/.288/.324 | .097 | .326 | 6 | 26 | 30% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .219/.277/.329 | .110 | .309 | 8 | 25 | 30% | 6% | 68 | -0.5 | .207/.267/.313 | .106 | .295 | 8 | 30 | 31% | 6% | 56 | -0.6 |
|
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA |
26 | 48→50 | 40 | 57→60 | 41 | .227/.278/.324 | .096 | .310 | 6 | 27 | 28% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .219/.281/.304 | .085 | .307 | 6 | 25 | 28% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .199/.267/.293 | .094 | .305 | 8 | 22 | 35% | 7% | 52 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jared Oliva 2022 · MLB |
26 | 46 | 40→50 | 56→65 | 39 | .218/.272/.312 | .095 | .306 | 7 | 23 | 30% | 6% | 61 | -1.0 | .220/.274/.344 | .124 | .294 | 11 | 27 | 28% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .224/.292/.359 | .135 | .282 | 14 | 55 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB |
26 | 49→51 | 38→40 | 56→60 | 37 | .234/.269/.314 | .080 | .315 | 5 | 28 | 27% | 4% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.265/.307 | .080 | .300 | 3 | 29 | 24% | 4% | 55 | -1.4 | .225/.261/.290 | .065 | .293 | 0 | 37 | 22% | 4% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA |
25 | 44 | 38→40 | 57→55 | 38 | .208/.263/.282 | .074 | .311 | 6 | 26 | 34% | 6% | 49 | -1.8 | .232/.275/.320 | .088 | .308 | 5 | 20 | 25% | 5% | 63 | -0.8 | .249/.289/.333 | .084 | .321 | 4 | 20 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Cade Gotta 2018 · AAA |
26 | 48→51 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 43 | .233/.277/.335 | .102 | .291 | 8 | 28 | 22% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .237/.295/.345 | .108 | .305 | 8 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .243/.313/.361 | .118 | .315 | 7 | 33 | 23% | 9% | 89 | +0.3 |
|
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA |
26 | 46→51 | 40 | 55→65 | 44 | .219/.280/.306 | .087 | .311 | 7 | 30 | 30% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .231/.298/.318 | .087 | .311 | 6 | 38 | 25% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .227/.300/.298 | .072 | .298 | 4 | 56 | 23% | 9% | 66 | -0.4 |
|
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA |
26 | 43→47 | 42→45 | 58→65 | 38 | .201/.273/.305 | .104 | .324 | 9 | 26 | 38% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .204/.283/.299 | .095 | .323 | 9 | 38 | 36% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .208/.288/.296 | .088 | .322 | 8 | 47 | 35% | 9% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA |
26 | 40→46 | 39→45 | 55→60 | 40 | .184/.267/.265 | .081 | .302 | 6 | 24 | 38% | 8% | 49 | -1.8 | .202/.278/.309 | .107 | .292 | 10 | 23 | 32% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .195/.280/.308 | .112 | .279 | 12 | 28 | 32% | 8% | 62 | -0.6 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2023 · MLB |
26 | 50→45 | 40→45 | 55→60 | 44 | .237/.293/.329 | .093 | .326 | 7 | 29 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .222/.282/.346 | .124 | .300 | 12 | 33 | 29% | 7% | 75 | -0.0 | .202/.263/.322 | .120 | .272 | 13 | 38 | 29% | 7% | 58 | -0.6 |
|
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA |
26 | 44→42 | 38→50 | 54→55 | 37 | .206/.254/.285 | .078 | .315 | 6 | 26 | 35% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .208/.250/.351 | .143 | .287 | 16 | 20 | 32% | 5% | 63 | -0.9 | .197/.239/.349 | .152 | .266 | 18 | 22 | 33% | 4% | 55 | -0.8 |
|
✕Jorge Mateo 2021 · MLB |
26 | 41→46 | 43→50 | 55→65 | 34 | .201/.239/.316 | .115 | .290 | 9 | 21 | 33% | 4% | 47 | -1.9 | .222/.266/.359 | .137 | .294 | 13 | 30 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.3 | .217/.264/.366 | .149 | .272 | 14 | 44 | 25% | 5% | 70 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA |
26 | 44 | 43→45 | 55 | 41 | .213/.289/.329 | .116 | .307 | 11 | 26 | 32% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .199/.262/.295 | .096 | .300 | 8 | 15 | 34% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .177/.235/.263 | .086 | .267 | 7 | 11 | 34% | 6% | 30 | -1.5 |
|
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA |
25 | 45→51 | 39→40 | 59→65 | 42 | .217/.269/.305 | .088 | .291 | 6 | 33 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .198/.256/.280 | .082 | .303 | 6 | 18 | 34% | 7% | 46 | -2.0 | .164/.230/.230 | .066 | .276 | 3 | 12 | 39% | 7% | 20 | -1.8 |
|
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB |
26 | 46→53 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 42 | .222/.271/.319 | .097 | .291 | 8 | 15 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .211/.274/.310 | .099 | .297 | 7 | 15 | 29% | 8% | 62 | -0.9 | .222/.290/.321 | .098 | .325 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Matt Lipka 2018 · AAA |
26 | 41→51 | 40→45 | 54→60 | 38 | .203/.247/.295 | .092 | .266 | 7 | 18 | 26% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .211/.263/.312 | .101 | .281 | 8 | 22 | 26% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .228/.280/.336 | .108 | .305 | 9 | 31 | 27% | 6% | 68 | -0.3 |
|
✕Jacob May 2018 · MLB |
26 | 48→54 | 37→40 | 55→60 | 38 | .225/.265/.295 | .069 | .308 | 4 | 29 | 27% | 4% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.257/.294 | .077 | .299 | 5 | 22 | 28% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .216/.250/.278 | .062 | .292 | 2 | 22 | 26% | 4% | 38 | -1.5 |