Dru Baker — OGILVIE

Dru BakerCF Charlotte Knights

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 205 lbs AAA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION324 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%5

BABIP322

ISO70

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	49	45	13	2	2	0	3	9	1	6	0	289	347	422	769	133	361	18	6	342	118	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	98	85	19	7	0	3	13	27	0	4	1	224	327	412	738	188	291	28	13	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	115	97	35	2	2	3	16	21	2	17	3	361	461	515	976	155	438	18	14	435	180	+11	+2	—	—	+2	1.6
2023	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	127	115	33	6	3	1	7	28	4	11	2	287	349	417	767	130	368	22	6	341	117	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2023	23	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	377	326	100	11	5	13	40	86	9	38	3	307	397	491	888	184	382	23	11	393	152	+23	+6	—	—	+8	3.9
2024	24	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	424	122	13	2	0	34	96	4	42	12	288	346	328	674	40	369	21	7	307	94	-3	+4	—	—	+10	1.1
2025	25	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	337	303	77	9	2	6	25	92	6	17	8	254	323	356	680	102	345	27	7	307	94	-2	+0	—	—	+7	0.5
2025	25	ROK	FCL Rays	—	20	15	1	0	0	0	5	7	0	0	0	67	300	67	367		125	35	25	220	35	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	49	46	9	1	1	0	2	13	1	6	0	196	245	261	506	65	284	27	4	236	46	-3	+1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	98	90	15	5	0	2	8	36	0	4	1	167	235	289	524	122	255	37	8	241	49	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	115	103	33	2	1	3	10	30	2	17	3	320	391	447	838	126	425	26	9	362	131	+4	+2	—	—	+2	0.9
2023	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	127	118	31	5	2	1	4	33	4	11	2	263	310	364	674	102	351	26	3	294	85	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2023	23	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	377	341	83	8	4	9	25	121	9	38	3	243	312	370	682	126	344	32	7	298	88	-5	+6	—	—	+8	0.9
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	435	116	12	2	0	23	117	4	42	12	267	310	303	613	37	353	25	5	270	69	-17	+4	—	—	+10	-0.4
2025	25	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	337	310	65	7	2	3	18	111	6	17	8	210	266	274	541	65	308	33	5	240	49	-21	+0	—	—	+7	-1.3
2025	25	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	20	17	1	0	0	0	3	10	0	0	0	59	200	59	259		101	50	15	137	-21	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	49	46	9	1	1	0	2	13	1	6	0	196	245	261	506	65	273	27	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	49	45	13	2	2	0	3	9	1	6	0	289	347	422	769	133	361	18	6	342	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	213	193	48	7	1	5	18	66	2	21	4	249	319	373	692	124	352	31	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	213	182	54	9	2	6	29	48	2	21	4	297	399	467	866	170	375	23	14	387	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	504	459	114	13	6	10	29	155	13	49	5	248	311	368	680	120	351	31	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	504	441	133	17	8	14	47	114	13	49	5	302	385	472	857	170	378	23	9	380	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	435	116	12	2	0	23	117	4	42	12	267	310	303	613	37	361	25	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	424	122	13	2	0	34	96	4	42	12	288	346	328	674	40	369	21	7	307	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	357	327	66	7	2	3	21	121	6	17	8	202	263	263	526	61	309	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	357	318	78	9	2	6	30	99	6	17	8	245	322	343	665	97	336	28	8	302	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	49	46	9	1	1	0	2	13	1	6	0	196	245	261	506	65	284	27	4	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	213	191	48	7	1	5	18	66	2	21	4	251	319	377	696	126	347	31	8	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	504	457	114	13	6	10	29	155	13	49	5	249	311	370	681	120	346	31	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	437	116	12	2	0	23	117	4	42	12	265	310	302	612	37	353	25	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	357	327	66	7	2	3	21	121	6	17	8	202	263	263	526	61	296	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	504	457	114	13	6	10	29	155	13	49	5	249	311	370	681	120	346	31	6	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	467	437	116	12	2	0	23	117	4	42	12	265	310	302	612	37	353	25	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	357	327	66	7	2	3	21	121	6	17	8	202	263	263	526	61	296	34	6	234	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	AAA MLE	CWS	—	324	301	70	10	3	5	14	102	6	17	4	233	280	336	616	103	333	31	4	268	68	-13	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	AAA RAW	CWS	—	324	295	79	12	3	8	20	85	6	17	4	268	327	410	737	142	350	26	6	327	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	26	AAA MLE	CWS	10%	10	10	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		321	30	0	266	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CWS	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						322	0	0	255	66	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CWS	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	255	67	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	26	AAA MLE	CWS	—	334	311	72	10	3	5	14	105	6	17	4	232	278	331	609	100	332	31	4	268	67	-13	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CWS	31%	336	310	71	10	2	5	18	99	5	16	4	229	282	323	605	94	316	29	5	271	70	-12	+2	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	42%	364	335	76	11	2	5	21	106	5	16	4	227	283	316	599	90	314	29	6	274	72	-12	+2	-1	+1	+8	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	CWS	46%	373	343	79	12	2	6	22	108	5	15	4	230	286	329	616	99	313	29	6	275	72	-12	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.3
2030	30	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	378	348	79	12	2	6	22	110	5	14	4	227	283	325	607	98	311	29	6	274	71	-13	+1	-2	+1	+8	-0.4
2027	27	MLB CTX	CWS	31%	104	95	22	3	1	1	6	31	2	5	1	232	291	316	607	84	317	30	6	261	70	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	42%	153	141	32	5	1	2	9	44	2	7	2	227	283	319	602	92	315	29	6	265	72	-5	+1	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	CWS	46%	172	158	36	5	1	3	10	50	2	7	2	228	282	329	611	101	313	29	6	266	72	-6	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	183	167	39	6	1	3	11	53	3	7	2	234	293	335	628	102	312	29	6	264	71	-6	+1	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	613	562	129	19	4	9	36	178	9	26	7	230	287	326	612	96	317	29	6	264	72	-21	+2	-2	+2	+13	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	137	20	4	10	38	189	10	28	7	230	287	327	614	97	317	29	6	264	72	-22	+3	-2	+2	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	3051	2806	660	85	20	40	176	898	46	196	45	235	291	323	614	87	329	29	6	274	72	-50	+6	-4	+5	+32	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	598	141	18	4	9	37	191	10	42	10	236	291	324	616	89	329	29	6	274	72	-22	+3	-2	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	637	9	26	229	281	323	+2	+5	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	10	28	+2.4	+5.2	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dru Baker (OGILVIE)	26	45	40	55	35	226/275/309	83	321	3	12	30%	5%	66	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Eric Reed 2007 · MLB	26	50→52	38→40	56→60	37	236/272/317	81	316	5	28	27%	4%	65	-1.2	226/265/305	79	297	3	28	24%	5%	60	-1.6	224/260/289	65	291	0	37	22%	4%	52	-0.9
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	40	194/257/310	116	274	9	24	32%	6%	60	-1.6	221/275/344	123	302	11	17	29%	5%	74	-0.5	223/283/355	132	299	13	23	29%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Darren Ford 2012 · MLB	26	47→53	41→45	59→65	41	224/277/323	99	305	8	34	28%	6%	70	-0.9	225/272/306	81	304	6	39	26%	6%	63	-1.3	227/272/293	66	306	4	48	26%	5%	57	-1.0
✕Kenny Wilson 2016 · AAA	26	49→51	39→40	57→60	42	233/284/326	94	310	6	27	26%	6%	73	-0.6	220/283/303	83	307	5	25	28%	7%	68	-1.0	200/268/290	91	305	7	22	34%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Justin Dean 2023 · AAA	26	44→49	40→45	58→65	40	204/278/299	95	320	7	26	36%	7%	65	-1.2	209/288/298	89	324	8	39	35%	9%	69	-0.9	212/292/295	83	324	7	47	34%	9%	67	-0.7
✕Gary Brown 2015 · AAA	26	42→52	41→45	50→55	39	208/258/306	97	270	8	23	26%	4%	59	-1.7	209/256/312	103	263	9	18	24%	4%	59	-1.6	196/237/290	93	239	8	16	21%	4%	45	-2.0
✕Jared Oliva 2022 · MLB	26	46→48	39→45	56→65	39	217/270/310	94	307	6	22	30%	6%	64	-1.3	220/275/340	120	292	10	28	27%	6%	74	-0.6	223/290/349	126	282	12	55	24%	7%	77	-0.2
✕Ben DeLuzio 2021 · AAA	26	49→50	39→45	54→60	42	230/292/326	96	323	5	23	29%	6%	76	-0.4	220/278/328	108	308	7	25	29%	6%	72	-0.7	209/269/311	102	297	7	30	30%	6%	61	-0.7
✕Anthony Alford 2020 · MLB	26	45→51	41→45	54→55	40	213/277/313	100	312	8	25	33%	6%	68	-1.0	223/292/377	154	342	18	22	37%	7%	88	+0.5	230/308/406	176	380	22	20	42%	8%	98	+0.7
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2009 · AAA	25	44	38→40	58→55	40	207/268/279	72	305	6	26	32%	7%	57	-1.8	234/278/320	86	310	5	20	25%	5%	69	-0.9	247/287/328	80	320	4	20	23%	4%	71	-0.4
✕D.J. Burt 2022 · AA	26	49→51	39→40	55→65	45	232/292/320	88	323	7	30	29%	8%	75	-0.5	234/302/321	87	309	6	37	24%	8%	78	-0.3	232/306/302	69	302	4	56	22%	9%	72	-0.4
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2021 · AA	26	40→49	38→45	55→60	41	188/273/268	80	300	6	24	36%	8%	57	-1.8	206/282/310	104	292	9	23	31%	7%	70	-0.8	198/283/305	107	280	11	28	31%	8%	67	-0.7
✕Greg Golson 2012 · MLB	26	47→50	40→45	54→55	38	226/270/322	96	308	8	18	28%	5%	66	-1.1	226/265/333	107	314	8	22	29%	4%	68	-1.0	258/312/342	84	366	4	31	29%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2021 · MLB	26	41→48	44→50	55→65	35	205/243/327	122	295	10	20	33%	4%	58	-1.7	222/269/360	138	293	13	31	28%	5%	76	-0.4	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Wes Rogers 2019 · AA	25	45→51	39→40	59→65	42	216/266/303	87	289	6	32	27%	6%	61	-1.5	199/257/281	82	305	6	17	34%	7%	53	-2.1	165/231/231	66	276	3	12	38%	7%	30	-1.8
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	45→43	42→45	55	41	214/289/322	108	308	9	26	32%	7%	75	-0.5	201/263/299	98	299	8	14	33%	6%	60	-1.6	177/235/262	85	266	6	11	34%	6%	38	-1.5
✕Luis Aviles Jr. 2021 · AA	26	45→42	38→50	54→55	39	210/259/286	76	313	5	26	33%	6%	54	-2.0	207/249/342	135	281	14	19	31%	5%	64	-1.3	198/240/336	138	265	15	22	31%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Danny Worth 2012 · MLB	26	46→53	41→45	52→50	43	223/275/321	98	292	8	16	26%	6%	68	-1.0	207/271/299	92	297	6	15	30%	8%	62	-1.4	223/291/322	99	325	7	9	31%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Cade Gotta 2018 · AAA	26	49→52	40→45	56→55	44	237/283/334	97	294	7	29	22%	6%	74	-0.6	238/299/344	106	305	7	27	23%	8%	82	+0.0	244/314/357	113	315	6	33	23%	9%	90	+0.2
✕Jacob May 2018 · MLB	26	47→55	36→40	56→60	38	222/264/289	66	308	3	29	28%	4%	56	-1.9	217/260/296	79	299	5	21	28%	5%	56	-1.9	214/249/274	60	291	2	22	26%	4%	44	-1.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps