Matthew Batten

3B Gwinnett Stripers

Age 32 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs AAA Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAAArb-3FA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	28	AAASD	413	.235/.343/.399	12	27	63	—	.195/.277/.309
2023	28	MLBSD	139	.258/.355/.358	2	2	109	0.5
2024	29	AAASD	546	.251/.330/.376	10	22	49	—	.199/.257/.284
2025	30	AAA/INTL2 orgs	460	.185/.257/.315	12	14	16	—	.150/.197/.243
2026	31	No MLB games played
2027PROJ10% MLB	32	MLBATL	16	.219/.268/.323	0	0	65	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	33	MLBATL	65	.213/.262/.312	1	1	61	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028

2027Arb-3$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

Speed79

Bat Spd22

xwOBA12

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

CompsDavid Matranga (age 32) · Eli Whiteside (age 33) · Jack López (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .268 / .323

PA16

HR0

K%25

BB%6

BABIP290

ISO67

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT35

xAVG

100.202

POWER45

Barrel%

100.9

Avg EV

1083.6

Bat Spd

2268.4

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

7928.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2022

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	22	ROK	AZL Padres	—	110	99	26	6	2	1	11	22	0	1	0	263	336	394	730	131	329	20	10	328	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	215	181	47	6	1	2	29	55	2	11	2	260	368	337	705	77	363	26	13	324	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	47	41	14	2	0	0	6	12	0	1	0	341	426	390	816	49	483	26	13	375	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	393	354	106	20	3	6	28	86	3	7	8	299	356	424	780	124	375	22	7	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	467	417	125	14	3	6	48	119	0	27	5	300	372	391	763	91	405	25	10	345	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	28	23	4	1	0	0	5	7	0	1	1	174	321	217	539	43	250	25	18	267	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	75	63	17	2	0	0	12	14	0	4	1	270	387	302	688	32	347	19	16	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	22	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	105	227	158	385	53	154	27	9	196	22	-2	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.2
2022	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	378	325	94	17	1	12	47	73	3	18	2	289	384	458	842	169	339	19	12	374	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	52	45	9	0	0	0	7	16	0	1	0	200	308	200	508		310	31	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	139	120	31	6	0	2	17	30	1	2	2	258	355	358	713	100	330	22	12	326	109	+2	-0	-1	+2	+3	0.5
2023	28	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	413	353	83	20	1	12	55	99	3	27	4	235	343	399	742	164	291	24	13	334	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	546	479	120	24	3	10	51	111	6	22	1	251	330	376	706	125	301	20	9	314	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	399	360	69	14	1	11	34	104	2	12	3	192	265	328	593	136	236	26	9	267	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Leones de Ponce	—	61	56	8	2	0	1	4	16	0	2	1	143	200	232	432	89	179	26	7	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	161	139	33	7	0	2	19	36	2	2	2	237	338	331	668	94	307	22	12	308	95	-1	-0	+1	+4	+3	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	110	103	19	4	1	1	7	32	0	1	0	184	236	272	508	87	261	29	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	215	190	43	5	1	2	20	67	2	11	2	226	307	295	601	68	329	31	9	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	47	43	11	1	0	0	4	17	0	1	0	256	319	279	598	23	423	36	9	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	393	363	87	15	3	5	19	115	3	7	8	240	283	339	622	99	317	29	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	467	430	107	10	2	4	35	149	0	27	5	249	305	309	615	60	365	32	7	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	28	25	4	1	0	0	3	9	0	1	1	160	250	200	450	40	234	32	11	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	22	19	2	1	0	0	2	6	1	0	0	105	227	158	385	53	154	27	9	201	22	-2	+0	+1	+2	+0	0.2
2022	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	378	339	74	12	1	7	33	91	3	18	2	218	293	322	615	103	274	24	9	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	MLB MLE	San Diego Padres	—	139	120	31	6	0	2	17	30	1	2	2	258	355	358	713	100	330	22	12	330	109	+2	-0	-1	+2	+3	0.5
2023	28	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	413	369	72	16	1	8	39	121	3	27	4	195	277	309	586	114	260	29	9	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	546	497	99	18	3	6	33	139	6	22	1	199	257	284	541	85	249	25	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	399	374	56	9	1	8	20	128	2	12	3	150	197	243	440	94	197	32	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	110	103	19	4	1	1	7	32	0	1	0	184	236	272	508	87	257	29	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK RAW	AZL Padres	—	110	99	26	6	2	1	11	22	0	1	0	263	336	394	730	131	329	20	10	328	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	234	54	6	1	2	23	84	2	12	2	231	305	291	596	60	351	32	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	262	222	61	8	1	2	35	67	2	12	2	275	378	347	725	72	386	26	13	333	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	393	363	87	15	3	5	19	115	3	7	8	240	283	339	622	99	331	29	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	393	354	106	20	3	6	28	86	3	7	8	299	356	424	780	124	375	22	7	342	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	570	524	127	13	3	4	44	182	0	32	7	242	301	302	603	59	362	32	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	570	503	146	17	3	6	65	140	0	32	7	290	371	372	743	82	390	25	11	339	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	406	87	15	1	8	39	110	4	19	2	214	290	315	605	101	272	24	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	452	389	105	18	1	12	56	95	4	19	2	270	367	414	781	144	327	21	12	351	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	552	489	104	23	1	10	56	151	4	29	6	213	299	325	624	112	285	27	10	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	552	473	114	26	1	14	72	129	4	29	6	241	346	389	735	148	301	23	13	332	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	546	497	99	18	3	6	33	139	6	22	1	199	257	284	541	85	258	25	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	546	479	120	24	3	10	51	111	6	22	1	251	330	376	706	125	301	20	9	314	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	431	64	11	1	9	23	147	2	14	4	148	195	241	436	93	199	32	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	460	416	77	16	1	12	38	120	2	14	4	185	257	315	571	130	228	26	8	258	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	ROK MLE	AZL Padres	—	110	102	19	4	1	1	7	32	0	1	0	186	236	275	511	88	261	29	6	225	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	262	235	54	6	1	2	23	84	2	12	2	230	305	289	594	60	346	32	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	393	368	87	15	3	5	19	115	3	7	8	236	283	334	617	98	317	29	5	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	570	521	127	13	3	4	44	182	0	32	7	244	301	303	604	60	358	32	8	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	406	87	15	1	8	39	110	4	19	2	214	290	315	605	101	267	24	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	552	487	104	23	1	10	56	151	4	29	6	214	299	326	625	113	278	27	10	278	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	546	502	99	18	3	6	33	139	6	22	1	197	257	281	538	84	249	25	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	432	64	11	1	9	23	147	2	14	4	148	195	241	436	93	197	32	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	546	502	99	18	3	6	33	139	6	22	1	197	257	281	538	84	249	25	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	432	64	11	1	9	23	147	2	14	4	148	195	241	436	93	197	32	5	192	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	32	MLB MLE	ATL	10%	380	353	78	15	2	6	21	105	3	10	2	219	268	323	591	105	290	28	6	265	65	-16	+1	+1	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	32	MLB CTX	ATL	10%	16	15	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	219	268	323	591	105	290	25	6	265	65	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	ATL	27%	238	221	48	9	1	4	13	67	2	4	1	213	262	312	574	99	285	28	5	258	61	-11	+0	-4	+1	+5	-0.9
2028	33	MLB CTX	ATL	27%	65	61	12	2	0	1	4	18	0	1	0	213	262	312	574	99	285	28	6	258	61	-3	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	226	200	45	9	0	3	23	54	2	3	2	225	311	315	626	90	294	24	10	294	59	-4	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	130	26	0	9	66	155	6	9	6	226	312	318	630	92	294	24	10	294	59	-12	-1	-1	+11	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3738	3412	721	120	16	52	266	1070	24	144	32	211	273	302	575	90	289	29	7	255	59	-18	+0	-3	+5	+12	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	126	21	3	9	46	186	4	25	6	212	273	304	577	91	291	29	7	255	59	-22	+0	-3	+6	+14	-0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 399 PAwOBA .261 → .192 (−69)K% 26.1% → 32.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.07%	÷0.976	×1.200	—	—	32.04%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.52%	÷1.140	×0.690	—	×0.972	5.01%
HBP% /PA	0.50%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.46%
Singles /BIP	16.80%	÷0.968	×0.930	×0.962	×0.972	15.09%
Doubles /BIP	5.47%	÷1.162	×0.830	×0.962	×0.972	3.65%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.962	×0.972	0.39%
Home runs /BIP	4.30%	÷0.961	×0.700	—	×0.972	3.04%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 94, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 95, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .261 → .192; ISO .136 → .094; BABIP .236 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 546 PAwOBA .310 → .241 (−69)K% 20.3% → 25.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.33%	÷0.961	×1.200	—	—	25.39%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.16%	÷1.026	×0.690	—	×0.982	6.04%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.940	—	×0.982	1.01%
Singles /BIP	22.55%	÷1.025	×0.930	×0.965	×0.982	19.40%
Doubles /BIP	6.52%	÷1.053	×0.830	×0.965	×0.982	4.87%
Triples /BIP	0.82%	÷0.996	×0.970	×0.965	×0.982	0.75%
Home runs /BIP	2.72%	÷1.078	×0.700	—	×0.982	1.73%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.

Result: wOBA .310 → .241; ISO .125 → .089; BABIP .301 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 413 PAwOBA .328 → .261 (−67)K% 24.0% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.97%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	29.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.32%	÷0.963	×0.690	—	×0.992	9.46%
HBP% /PA	0.73%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.68%
Singles /BIP	19.69%	÷0.958	×0.930	×0.980	×0.992	18.57%
Doubles /BIP	7.87%	÷0.975	×0.830	×0.980	×0.992	6.52%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.980	×0.992	0.32%
Home runs /BIP	4.72%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.12%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .328 → .261; ISO .164 → .117; BABIP .291 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 378 PAwOBA .366 → .276 (−90)K% 19.3% → 24.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.31%	÷0.959	×1.200	—	—	24.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.43%	÷0.990	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.69%
HBP% /PA	0.79%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.75%
Singles /BIP	25.40%	÷1.047	×0.930	×0.959	×1.003	21.72%
Doubles /BIP	6.75%	÷1.133	×0.830	×0.959	×1.003	4.76%
Triples /BIP	0.40%	÷1.002	×0.970	×0.959	×1.003	0.37%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷1.138	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.94%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.

Result: wOBA .366 → .276; ISO .169 → .111; BABIP .339 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 467 PAwOBA .338 → .272 (−65)K% 25.5% → 31.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.48%	÷0.960	×1.200	—	—	31.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.28%	÷0.980	×0.690	—	×1.018	7.37%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.00%
Singles /BIP	34.23%	÷1.003	×0.930	×0.988	×1.018	31.91%
Doubles /BIP	4.70%	÷1.116	×0.830	×0.988	×1.018	3.51%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷1.099	×0.920	×0.988	×1.018	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	2.01%	÷1.154	×0.700	—	×1.018	1.24%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 101, 2B 123, 3B 120, K 92, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .338 → .272; ISO .091 → .061; BABIP .405 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AASan Antonio Missions · 28 PAwOBA .262 → .209 (−53)K% 25.0% → 32.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.00%	÷0.949	×1.220	—	—	32.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.86%	÷1.028	×0.690	—	×0.988	11.84%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.850	—	×0.988	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.75%	÷0.989	×0.940	—	×0.988	17.61%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷0.925	×0.870	—	×0.988	5.81%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.071	×0.920	—	×0.988	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.868	×0.780	—	×0.988	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 98, 2B 85, 3B 114, K 90, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .262 → .209; ISO .043 → .040; BABIP .250 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 393 PAwOBA .336 → .268 (−68)K% 21.9% → 29.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.88%	÷0.965	×1.290	—	—	29.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.87%	÷1.050	×0.710	—	×1.048	4.87%
HBP% /PA	0.76%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.78%
Singles /BIP	28.73%	÷1.033	×0.900	×0.950	×1.048	24.92%
Doubles /BIP	7.46%	÷1.044	×0.810	×0.950	×1.048	5.76%
Triples /BIP	1.12%	÷0.900	×0.810	×0.950	×1.048	1.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.24%	÷0.950	×0.780	—	×1.048	1.93%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 107, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 93, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .336 → .268; ISO .124 → .098; BABIP .375 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AASan Antonio Missions · 215 PAwOBA .314 → .268 (−46)K% 25.6% → 31.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.58%	÷1.002	×1.220	—	—	31.15%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.02%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.027	9.12%
HBP% /PA	0.93%	—	×0.870	—	×1.027	0.83%
Singles /BIP	30.16%	÷1.072	×0.920	×1.039	×1.027	27.62%
Doubles /BIP	4.76%	÷1.081	×0.840	×1.039	×1.027	3.95%
Triples /BIP	0.79%	÷1.031	×0.940	×1.039	×1.027	0.77%
Home runs /BIP	1.59%	÷0.824	×0.800	—	×1.027	1.58%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 114, 2B 116, 3B 106, K 100, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.

Result: wOBA .314 → .268; ISO .077 → .072; BABIP .363 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ramón Vázquezlast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,190 PA	3.3	2,190	22	20	255	330	352	+10	-15	4.1	4.6
/162	664	7	6	+3.0	-4.6	1.3	pk7: 5
#2Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA	2.3	1,519	20	19	240	310	353	+10	+13	4.0	4.4
/162	664	9	8	+4.2	+5.5	1.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Rene Gonzales'84-'97 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	19	23	236*	311*	337*	+4	+11	1.9	2.8
/162	664	7	9	+1.6	+4.2	0.7	pk7: 4
#5Rob Andrews'75-'79 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,641 PA	2.5	1,641	3	33	245*	313*	320*	+6	+10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	13	+2.5	+4.0	1.1	pk7: 3
#6Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	220	3	3	243	319	343	+1	+0	0.3	0.4
/162	664	10	10	+2.4	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Batten (OGILVIE)	32	35	45	50	40	217/266/320	104	290	3	4	28%	5%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕David Matranga 2009 · AAA	32	41	46→45	49→50	42	209/273/332	123	275	14	10	29%	6%	72	-0.7	219/299/343	124	297	12	9	28%	9%	84	+0.1	200/298/309	110	273	11	5	28%	10%	76	-0.2
✕Eli Whiteside 2013 · MLB	33	40	41→50	43→40	42	198/254/298	100	253	9	5	25%	6%	56	-1.9	173/222/268	95	231	10	5	29%	5%	37	-3.3	136/179/216	80	179	10	1	31%	4%	7	-2.3
✕Jack López 2024 · MLB	31	41→45	44→45	53→55	35	204/245/325	121	287	11	16	33%	4%	58	-1.7	210/251/314	104	298	11	15	32%	4%	57	-1.8	203/242/290	87	289	10	16	32%	4%	47	-1.9
✕Jed Hansen 2006 · AAA	33	39→37	44→45	51→50	39	197/259/317	120	272	11	14	31%	6%	63	-1.4	204/261/317	113	259	11	13	25%	6%	63	-1.4	187/243/285	97	229	11	12	23%	5%	47	-1.7
✕Kristopher Negrón 2018 · MLB	32	44→49	44→45	55	40	216/270/334	117	283	11	17	27%	5%	70	-0.9	221/280/345	124	318	14	14	33%	6%	76	-0.4	215/277/333	118	317	14	14	35%	7%	70	-0.6
✕Jack Reinheimer 2024 · AAA	32	39→49	38→40	55	37	191/241/270	78	281	6	19	33%	5%	44	-2.8	191/238/280	89	267	8	13	30%	5%	45	-2.7	136/171/180	44	185	3	12	28%	4%	-4	-1.4
✕Robinson Cancel 2008 · AAA	32	44	44→45	47→50	42	220/261/338	118	263	12	9	22%	5%	68	-1.0	223/263/321	98	256	8	12	16%	5%	63	-1.3	237/283/323	86	279	7	15	17%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Gookie Dawkins 2011 · AAA	32	40→48	43→45	44→50	38	198/249/310	111	283	11	8	33%	6%	57	-1.8	202/256/331	129	284	14	11	33%	6%	64	-1.3	174/227/292	117	236	15	12	32%	6%	42	-1.8
✕Chris Truby 2005 · MLB	31	47→43	43→50	47→45	42	228/273/340	113	289	9	7	24%	5%	72	-0.7	199/246/332	133	246	16	6	26%	6%	61	-1.5	177/223/301	124	215	15	6	26%	5%	43	-1.9
✕Jeff Mathis 2015 · MLB	32	41→48	44→50	47→45	41	207/260/323	116	283	12	3	31%	6%	63	-1.3	215/266/329	114	290	11	4	28%	6%	67	-1.1	208/255/312	104	282	8	1	28%	5%	60	-0.4
✕Elliot Soto 2022 · AAA	32	46→52	39→40	48→50	44	218/278/304	86	291	6	10	26%	7%	66	-1.1	193/255/272	79	276	5	16	30%	7%	50	-2.3	174/240/240	67	253	4	20	31%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2016 · MLB	32	45→43	41→45	45→40	44	218/260/316	98	254	8	7	18%	5%	61	-1.5	204/261/314	110	251	11	4	23%	6%	62	-1.4	184/245/283	99	232	9	1	24%	6%	47	-1.3
✕Jason Repko 2012 · MLB	31	45→47	45→50	52→55	44	225/283/340	115	281	13	21	25%	6%	76	-0.4	215/275/344	129	278	14	14	27%	7%	75	-0.5	181/242/317	136	231	13	10	27%	6%	54	-0.8
✕Tyler Ladendorf 2021 · AAA	33	43→49	41→40	46→50	45	210/269/306	96	272	8	9	26%	7%	63	-1.4	209/258/335	126	279	14	8	29%	5%	66	-1.1	176/219/292	116	227	14	2	29%	4%	39	-1.1
✕Deven Marrero 2022 · MLB	31	40→50	45	48→50	41	201/260/316	115	284	13	8	33%	7%	62	-1.4	214/276/322	108	290	11	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	194/257/262	68	256	7	15	26%	8%	45	-0.8
✕Yamid Haad 2009 · AAA	31	41	40→45	48→40	41	203/250/291	88	259	9	7	25%	5%	52	-2.2	219/259/317	98	278	9	5	24%	5%	61	-1.5	221/258/313	92	276	8	2	23%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Pete Orr 2011 · MLB	32	45	43→45	56→55	41	220/264/339	119	263	9	21	21%	4%	69	-0.9	221/260/319	98	272	7	20	21%	4%	62	-1.4	228/255/314	86	291	5	16	23%	3%	55	-1.2
✕Carlos Maldonado 2011 · AAA	32	41→50	41→40	45→40	44	206/258/300	94	256	9	7	24%	6%	57	-1.8	197/265/302	105	268	11	6	29%	8%	61	-1.5	173/257/280	106	230	11	0	28%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Donnie Sadler 2007 · MLB	32	47	40	52→55	47	225/284/327	102	292	6	13	24%	8%	73	-0.6	216/286/332	116	282	9	15	25%	8%	75	-0.5	169/258/280	110	220	7	19	24%	10%	52	-0.5
✕Seth Bynum 2012 · AAA	31	40→43	48→50	51→50	38	210/256/349	140	281	17	13	32%	6%	69	-0.9	200/252/318	118	290	13	10	34%	6%	60	-1.6	171/223/270	99	255	10	6	36%	5%	35	-2.3

Matthew Batten

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps