Tony Kemp — OGILVIE

Tony KempLF Louisville Bats

Age 34 L/R 5'6" / 160 lbs AAA HR +9%K -4% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 1.1 · 2026

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.243 / .321 / .358

PA342

HR6

SB8

K%12

BB%9

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

68→68

PWR

34→34

SPD

42→42

EYE

46↗54

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2016

Service 10.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+1.1	$9M	+$8M
Totals		$1M		$9M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	120	103	24	1	1	1	14	22	2	4	2	.233	.336	.291	.627	.058	.287	18	12	.273	67	-4	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2014	22	A+	2 teams	631	550	159	28	8	7	51	91	15	41	13	.289	.365	.407	.773	.118	.333	14	8	.333	113	+9	+3	+0	+2	+18	3.3
2015	23	AAA	2 teams	541	480	138	17	4	2	40	85	6	35	14	.287	.350	.352	.702	.065	.343	16	7	.306	92	-5	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.4
2016	24	AAA	2 teams	437	385	100	12	5	3	38	71	2	12	9	.260	.329	.340	.670	.081	.309	16	9	.292	81	-9	-1	-1	-5	+12	-0.4
2017	25	AAA	2 teams	593	554	161	22	5	8	25	61	4	25	7	.291	.326	.392	.718	.101	.314	10	4	.309	94	-4	+2	-0	-6	+17	0.9
2018	26	MLB	2 teams	478	424	120	21	4	6	44	64	4	22	5	.283	.356	.394	.750	.111	.320	13	9	.326	108	+4	+2	-3	-5	+14	1.2
2019	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	279	245	49	9	2	9	23	47	6	4	4	.200	.285	.363	.648	.163	.207	17	8	.276	69	-10	-1	+5	+1	+8	0.4
2020	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	114	93	23	5	0	0	15	14	3	3	1	.247	.369	.301	.670	.054	.284	12	13	.307	93	-1	+0	+1	+0	+3	0.4
2021	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	397	330	94	16	3	9	52	51	6	8	2	.285	.392	.433	.825	.148	.309	13	13	.357	131	+14	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.8
2022	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	558	497	120	23	2	8	45	69	8	11	1	.241	.315	.344	.659	.103	.265	12	8	.290	80	-12	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.8
2023	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	419	359	76	11	3	5	44	40	6	15	4	.212	.308	.301	.609	.089	.224	10	11	.275	69	-15	+1	-2	-4	+12	-0.9
2024	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	326	295	67	10	1	7	23	43	5	8	2	.227	.294	.339	.633	.112	.242	13	7	.281	73	-10	+1	+0	+1	+9	0.2
▸ 2026 Season
2026	34	MLB	CIN	342	303	75	13	2	6	31	42	5	8	3	.248	.327	.363	.690	.116	.265	12	9	.309	95	-2	+0	+1	+1	+10	1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	35	MLB 20%	CIN	282	251	61	10	2	5	25	38	4	6	2	.243	.321	.359	.680	.116	.262	13	9	.301	88	-4	+0	-5	+1	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5517	4869	1267	198	42	76	470	738	76	202	69	.260	.335	.365	.700	.105	.291	13	9	.306	92	-48	+13	-3	-8	+156	11.2
/ 162G	—			650	574	149	23	5	9	55	87	9	24	8	.260	.334	.364	.698	.105	.290	13	8	.306	92	-6	+2	-0	-1	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	21	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	120	98	25	1	1	1	19	18	2	4	2	.255	.387	.316	.703	.061	.304	15	16	.330	111	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2014	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	275	233	68	11	4	4	28	32	7	13	6	.292	.384	.425	.809	.133	.322	12	10	.356	131	+10	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2014	22	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	356	295	99	19	4	4	45	35	8	28	7	.336	.437	.468	.905	.132	.367	10	13	.398	163	+25	+3	—	—	+10	3.9
2015	23	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	311	271	74	9	3	3	21	37	5	20	6	.273	.337	.362	.698	.089	.305	12	7	.303	90	-3	+2	—	—	+9	0.7
2015	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	230	193	69	10	1	0	35	28	1	15	8	.358	.459	.420	.878	.062	.416	12	15	.400	165	+17	-0	—	—	+7	2.4
2016	24	MLB	Houston Astros	136	120	26	4	3	1	14	27	0	2	1	.217	.299	.325	.624	.108	.269	20	10	.280	73	-4	+0	-1	-5	+4	-0.6
2016	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	301	255	78	9	4	2	34	34	2	10	8	.306	.392	.396	.788	.090	.344	11	11	.347	124	+8	-1	—	—	+9	1.6
2017	25	MLB	Houston Astros	39	37	8	1	0	0	1	5	1	1	0	.216	.256	.243	.500	.027	.250	13	3	.232	36	-3	+0	-0	-6	+1	-0.8
2017	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	554	504	166	23	9	10	35	43	3	24	7	.329	.375	.470	.845	.141	.344	8	6	.368	140	+25	+2	—	—	+16	4.3
2018	26	MLB	Houston Astros	295	255	67	15	0	6	32	44	3	9	3	.263	.351	.392	.743	.129	.296	15	11	.332	112	+4	+1	-3	-5	+8	0.5
2018	26	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	183	161	54	6	5	0	19	15	1	13	2	.335	.409	.435	.844	.099	.367	8	10	.375	145	+9	+2	—	—	+5	1.7
2019	27	MLB	Chicago Cubs	279	245	52	9	4	8	23	47	6	4	4	.212	.296	.380	.675	.167	.227	17	8	.298	86	-4	-1	+5	+1	+8	0.9
2020	28	MLB	Oakland Athletics	114	93	23	5	0	0	15	14	3	3	1	.247	.369	.301	.670	.054	.284	12	13	.310	96	-1	+0	+1	+0	+3	0.4
2021	29	MLB	Oakland Athletics	397	330	92	16	3	8	52	51	6	8	2	.279	.387	.418	.805	.139	.304	13	13	.357	131	+14	+1	+1	+1	+11	2.8
2022	30	MLB	Oakland Athletics	558	497	117	24	2	7	45	69	8	11	1	.235	.309	.334	.643	.099	.259	12	8	.290	80	-12	+2	+0	+2	+16	0.7
2023	31	MLB	Oakland Athletics	419	359	75	13	3	5	44	40	6	15	4	.209	.306	.304	.609	.095	.221	10	11	.277	70	-14	+1	-2	-4	+12	-0.8
2024	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	326	283	74	12	1	9	35	36	5	8	2	.261	.353	.406	.759	.145	.270	11	11	.340	119	+7	+1	—	—	+9	1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			2237	1936	460	87	15	35	226	297	33	53	16	.238	.327	.352	.680	.115	.262	13	10	.305	92	-21	+4	+1	-16	+63	3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tony Kemp (OGILVIE)	34	68	34	42	54	.243/.321/.358	.115	.265	6	8	12%	9%	95	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Orlando Palmeiro 2004 · MLB	35	56	38→40	44→50	58	.261/.331/.340	.079	.280	5	10	9%	9%	92	+1.2	.256/.326/.364	.108	.279	8	8	11%	9%	97	+1.5	.256/.324/.368	.111	.283	7	6	11%	8%	93	+0.4
●Norichika Aoki 2016 · MLB	34	59→62	39→45	50→55	56	.282/.347/.369	.087	.297	6	18	8%	8%	107	+2.2	.279/.340/.386	.107	.305	8	14	11%	7%	108	+2.3	.284/.345/.392	.108	.314	7	13	11%	7%	109	+1.9
✕Gerardo Parra 2021 · MLB	34	50→60	45→50	49→55	49	.246/.308/.365	.118	.286	13	14	18%	7%	90	+1.0	.231/.306/.361	.130	.293	13	10	24%	9%	89	+0.9	.214/.297/.314	.100	.283	9	6	26%	10%	70	-0.1
✕Yosmany Guerra 2017 · AAA	34	54→60	40→45	43→45	53	.259/.323/.354	.095	.298	7	8	15%	8%	92	+1.2	.266/.321/.377	.111	.309	6	7	15%	7%	98	+1.6	.276/.332/.398	.122	.321	6	5	15%	7%	106	+1.6
✕Joe Thurston 2014 · AAA	34	49→58	44→45	47→50	49	.238/.307/.356	.119	.281	11	12	19%	8%	88	+0.9	.237/.298/.335	.098	.275	9	10	16%	7%	78	+0.2	.241/.300/.316	.076	.273	6	7	14%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Jose Espinoza 2008 · AAA	34	56→57	43→45	43→45	52	.270/.334/.385	.116	.307	9	6	15%	8%	106	+2.2	.264/.323/.366	.102	.313	9	9	18%	7%	96	+1.5	.269/.329/.360	.091	.321	8	8	18%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Pablo Ozuna 2009 · MLB	34	54	41→40	45→55	48	.260/.303/.364	.103	.278	8	13	10%	5%	87	+0.8	.248/.296/.353	.105	.283	7	14	14%	5%	81	+0.4	.269/.309/.358	.088	.317	0	20	14%	3%	83	+0.2
✕Wilfredo Arano 2010 · AAA	34	55	39→45	40→45	51	.259/.308/.335	.077	.270	7	5	8%	6%	82	+0.5	.256/.308/.334	.078	.281	6	6	11%	6%	81	+0.4	.293/.342/.349	.056	.310	3	0	6%	6%	98	+0.4
✕Mark Kotsay 2010 · MLB	34	54→63	42→50	43→50	53	.259/.312/.369	.111	.276	9	7	10%	7%	92	+1.2	.251/.310/.366	.115	.270	10	6	11%	8%	91	+1.1	.247/.310/.353	.106	.264	9	3	10%	8%	78	+0.1
●Denard Span 2018 · MLB	34	54→64	47→50	49→55	54	.267/.328/.406	.140	.284	14	14	12%	8%	108	+2.3	.260/.333/.412	.152	.291	14	12	15%	9%	112	+2.6	.261/.346/.415	.154	.299	12	11	16%	10%	115	+2.3
✕Howie Clark 2008 · MLB	34	52→58	40	46→40	53	.248/.304/.340	.092	.264	8	7	10%	7%	81	+0.4	.255/.297/.361	.106	.273	9	6	10%	5%	83	+0.6	.272/.311/.376	.105	.289	7	3	9%	5%	90	+0.7
✕Tike Redman 2011 · AAA	34	58→60	40→45	49→55	54	.276/.334/.377	.101	.302	7	14	11%	8%	103	+1.9	.258/.325/.349	.091	.294	5	12	13%	9%	92	+1.2	.259/.332/.310	.051	.302	0	8	13%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Skip Schumaker 2014 · MLB	34	56→64	38→45	41→50	52	.264/.326/.347	.084	.306	4	4	15%	8%	92	+1.2	.247/.308/.338	.091	.300	5	6	18%	8%	82	+0.5	.240/.299/.323	.082	.297	3	4	19%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Jésus Feliciano 2013 · MLB	34	55→63	35→40	44→50	46	.259/.295/.320	.060	.286	3	9	11%	4%	72	-0.2	.241/.279/.324	.083	.271	7	11	14%	4%	66	-0.6	.245/.278/.313	.068	.269	8	13	12%	4%	59	-0.3
✕Hector Garanzuay 2015 · AAA	34	57→61	44→45	39→50	47	.279/.319/.398	.119	.312	12	6	15%	5%	103	+1.9	.257/.304/.350	.093	.291	9	6	14%	6%	84	+0.6	.247/.301/.310	.064	.277	6	4	13%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Borges 2014 · AAA	34	59→68	36→40	40→45	47	.276/.310/.345	.068	.301	3	7	10%	4%	84	+0.6	.282/.305/.348	.066	.307	3	6	9%	3%	82	+0.5	.290/.307/.342	.052	.312	2	3	7%	2%	77	+0.1
✕Brady Clark 2007 · MLB	34	58→62	42→45	41→50	56	.278/.358/.383	.105	.300	9	10	11%	9%	116	+2.8	.257/.336/.360	.103	.292	8	7	14%	9%	101	+1.8	.256/.342/.349	.092	.308	2	5	16%	9%	93	+0.4
✕Irving Falu 2017 · MLB	34	55→63	39→40	47→55	49	.261/.301/.348	.086	.285	7	15	11%	5%	81	+0.4	.252/.292/.349	.097	.274	9	12	11%	5%	79	+0.3	.250/.292/.338	.088	.270	8	11	10%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Quinton McCracken 2005 · MLB	34	54→63	40	47→50	51	.258/.315/.366	.108	.300	6	10	16%	8%	92	+1.2	.241/.301/.330	.089	.279	7	11	15%	8%	77	+0.1	.242/.301/.308	.066	.282	4	10	15%	8%	63	-0.3
●Craig Counsell 2004 · MLB	33	55→60	38→45	46→55	60	.258/.337/.340	.082	.286	5	11	12%	10%	95	+1.4	.247/.332/.341	.094	.279	6	18	13%	10%	94	+1.3	.244/.335/.346	.102	.270	7	19	11%	11%	92	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)