Tony KempLF Louisville Bats
Age 34 L/R 5'6" / 160 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 10.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 365 proj PA
wRC+†88
AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .311 / .346
PA365
HR6
SB8
K%15
BB%9
ISO112
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -5.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +10.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.5-0.72628
Tools · ContractCON 68 / POW 34
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024
CONTACT68
Whiff%
905.7%
xwOBA
280.283
POWER34
Barrel%
101.4
Avg EV
1085.4
Bat Spd
1062.6
EYE54
Chase%
5630.6%
SPEED42
Sprint
2326.2
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2016
Service   10.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $-0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201321 AQuad Cities River Bandits 120104 23111 13232 42 221319279598 58275 1911 264 60
201321 AQuad Cities River Bandits 12098 25111 19182 42 255387316703 61304 1516 330 111
201422 A+2 teams 631550 1613097 519515 4113 293369418787 125340 158 336 116
201422 A+2 teams 631528 1673088 736715 4113 316414449863 133347 1112 380 149
201523 AAA2 teams 541481 1401742 39856 3514 291352356707 64348 167 308 94
201523 AAA2 teams 541464 1431943 56656 3514 308390386776 78351 1210 345 122
201624 AAA2 teams 437385 991162 38712 129 257327332660 75308 169 290 80
201624 AAA2 teams 437375 1041373 48612 129 277362373736 96322 1411 326 108
201725 AAA2 teams 593555 1672469 24624 257 301334414749 114325 104 319 102
201725 AAA2 teams 593541 17424910 36484 257 322367455822 133338 86 359 133
201826 MLB2 teams 478424 1202036 44644 225 283356387743 104320 139 326 108 +4 +2 -3 -5 +14 1.2
201826 MLB2 teams 478416 1212156 51594 225 291373409782 118326 1211 349 125 +13 +2 -3 -5 +14 2.1
201927 MLBChicago Cubs 279245 52948 23476 44 212296380675 167227 178 290 80 -6 -1 +5 +1 +8 0.7
201927 MLBChicago Cubs 279245 52948 23476 44 212296380675 167227 178 298 86 -4 -1 +5 +1 +8 0.9
202028 MLBOakland Athletics 11493 23500 15143 31 247369301670 54284 1213 310 96 -1 +0 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202028 MLBOakland Athletics 11493 23500 15143 31 247369301670 54284 1213 310 96 -1 +0 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202129 MLBOakland Athletics 397330 941738 52516 82 285392427819 142312 1313 358 132 +14 +1 +1 +1 +11 2.9
202129 MLBOakland Athletics 397330 921638 52516 82 279387418805 139304 1313 357 131 +14 +1 +1 +1 +11 2.8
202230 MLBOakland Athletics 558497 1192527 45698 111 239313340653 101264 128 292 81 -12 +2 +0 +2 +16 0.8
202230 MLBOakland Athletics 558497 1172427 45698 111 235309334643 99259 128 290 80 -12 +2 +0 +2 +16 0.7
202331 MLBOakland Athletics 419359 761335 44406 154 212308306614 95224 1011 277 70 -14 +1 -2 -4 +12 -0.8
202331 MLBOakland Athletics 419359 751335 44406 154 209306304609 95221 1011 277 70 -14 +1 -2 -4 +12 -0.8
202432 AAALouisville Bats 326295 671116 23435 82 227294332626 105245 137 279 72
202432 AAALouisville Bats 326283 741219 35365 82 261353406759 145270 1111 340 119
▸ 2026 Season
202634 MLBCIN 365326 781526 31565 83 239315353668 113267 158 300 88 -5 +0 +1 +1 +10 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202735 MLBCIN 100% 304271 621125 26494 52 229306339645 111258 169 287 78 -8 +0 -5 +1 +9 -0.3
202836 MLBCIN 100% 246220 47813 21423 21 214291300591 86249 179 274 68 -9 +0 -6 +1 +7 -0.7
202735 MLBCIN 100% 304271 631125 26494 52 232309343652 111260 169 280 72 -10 +0 -5 +1 +9 -0.5
202836 MLBCIN 100% 246220 47813 21423 21 214291300591 86251 179 266 62 -11 +0 -6 +1 +7 -0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career 27872427 5701061843 27338840 6019 235322347669 112261 1410 299 87 -41 +4 -11 -14 +79 1.9
/ 162G 650566 13325410 64909 144 235322346669 111261 1410 299 87 -10 +1 -2 -3 +18 0.5
Career 58085135 13282174775 48981179 20370 259332363695 104292 148 305 92 -53 +13 -10 -7 +165 11.0
/ 162G 650575 1482458 55919 238 257332358690 101292 148 305 92 -6 +1 -1 -1 +18 1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201321 AQuad Cities River Bandits 12098 25111 19182 42 255387316703 61304 1516 330 111 +1 +0 +3 0.5
201422 AACorpus Christi Hooks 275233 681144 28327 136 292384425809 133322 1210 356 131 +10 +0 +8 1.8
201422 A+Lancaster JetHawks 356295 991944 45358 287 336437468905 132367 1013 398 163 +25 +3 +10 3.9
201523 AAAFresno Grizzlies 311271 74933 21375 206 273337362698 89305 127 303 90 -3 +2 +9 0.7
201523 AACorpus Christi Hooks 230193 691010 35281 158 358459420878 62416 1215 400 165 +17 -0 +7 2.4
201624 MLBHouston Astros 136120 26431 14270 21 217299325624 108269 2010 280 73 -4 +0 -1 -5 +4 -0.6
201624 AAAFresno Grizzlies 301255 78942 34342 108 306392396788 90344 1111 347 124 +8 -1 +9 1.6
201725 MLBHouston Astros 3937 8100 151 10 216256243500 27250 133 232 36 -3 +0 -0 -6 +1 -0.8
201725 AAAFresno Grizzlies 554504 16623910 35433 247 329375470845 141344 86 368 140 +25 +2 +16 4.3
201826 MLBHouston Astros 295255 671506 32443 93 263351392743 129296 1511 332 112 +4 +1 -3 -5 +8 0.5
201826 AAAFresno Grizzlies 183161 54650 19151 132 335409435844 99367 810 375 145 +9 +2 +5 1.7
201927 MLBChicago Cubs 279245 52948 23476 44 212296380675 167227 178 298 86 -4 -1 +5 +1 +8 0.9
202028 MLBOakland Athletics 11493 23500 15143 31 247369301670 54284 1213 310 96 -1 +0 +1 +0 +3 0.4
202129 MLBOakland Athletics 397330 921638 52516 82 279387418805 139304 1313 357 131 +14 +1 +1 +1 +11 2.8
202230 MLBOakland Athletics 558497 1172427 45698 111 235309334643 99259 128 290 80 -12 +2 +0 +2 +16 0.7
202331 MLBOakland Athletics 419359 751335 44406 154 209306304609 95221 1011 277 70 -14 +1 -2 -4 +12 -0.8
202432 AAALouisville Bats 326283 741219 35365 82 261353406759 145270 1111 340 119 +7 +1 +9 1.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 22371936 460871535 22629733 5316 238327352680 115262 1310 305 92 -21 +4 +1 -16 +63 3.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Alex Coralast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,756 PA
123,7563547245312341+8+297.88.1
/16266468+1.4+5.21.4pk7: 9
#2Eric Sogardlast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,484 PA
102,4842646246312337+10+226.06.6
/162664712+2.7+5.91.6pk7: 7
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA
102,74339106241331351-11-25.36.2
/162664926-2.7-0.51.3pk7: 7
#4Jace Petersonlast yr '23
career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA
102,7534277228318337+4+55.36.0
/1626641019+1.0+1.31.3pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons
92,7844360233317345+2-34.65.2
/1626641014+0.5-0.71.1pk7: 6
#5Ehire Adrianzalast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,519 PA
91,5192019240310353+10+134.04.4
/16266498+4.2+5.51.8pk7: 5
#6Abraham O. Nunezlast yr '07
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,389 PA
82,3891724246315322+2+92.52.7
/16266457+0.5+2.50.7pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Tony Kemp (OGILVIE) 34 68 34 42 54 235/311/346 111267 68 15% 9% 88 +0.5
Hernan Iribarren
2018 · MLB
34 55→65 38→40 42→55 44 260/294/336 77306 56 17% 5% 76 +0.0 233/274/320 87293 56 21% 5% 63 -0.8 226/269/293672990023%6%50-0.8
Quinton McCracken
2005 · MLB
34 54→63 40 46→50 51 254/311/358 104294 610 16% 8% 89 +0.9 242/301/332 90280 711 15% 8% 78 +0.2 242/301/3086628241015%8%63-0.3
Howie Clark
2008 · MLB
34 51→58 40 47→40 53 242/297/335 93257 87 10% 7% 77 +0.1 256/297/363 107274 96 10% 5% 84 +0.6 272/310/375104289739%5%90+0.7
Jésus Feliciano
2013 · MLB
34 55→64 35→40 44→50 45 258/293/317 59285 39 11% 4% 69 -0.4 241/280/331 90271 812 14% 4% 69 -0.4 249/282/3237427091312%4%63-0.2
Irving Falu
2017 · MLB
34 56→65 40 47→55 48 270/307/360 90294 715 11% 5% 87 +0.8 250/291/346 96272 812 11% 5% 77 +0.1 246/288/3328626581110%5%69-0.3
Jim Rushford
2007 · AAA
33 52→58 41→40 48→40 49 249/300/345 96268 86 11% 5% 81 +0.4 232/280/311 79253 65 11% 5% 64 -0.8 230/275/28858249218%4%53-1.2
Orlando Palmeiro
2004 · MLB
35 56 38→40 44→50 58 263/332/342 79281 59 9% 9% 93 +1.3 255/325/365 110278 88 11% 8% 97 +1.5 256/324/3681112837611%8%93+0.4
Luis Figueroa
2008 · AAA
34 54→58 40 41→45 47 253/288/344 91271 79 10% 4% 76 +0.0 252/286/332 80272 55 9% 4% 71 -0.3 258/289/33173273427%4%70-0.2
Joe Thurston
2014 · AAA
34 49→58 45 46→50 50 238/309/361 123281 1212 20% 8% 90 +1.0 236/295/334 98274 810 16% 7% 76 +0.1 240/297/310702735714%6%68-0.3
Wilfredo Arano
2010 · AAA
34 56 39→45 40→45 51 264/312/342 78276 75 8% 6% 85 +0.7 250/302/326 76277 66 12% 6% 77 +0.1 280/329/33756296306%6%89+0.3
Jose Espinoza
2008 · AAA
34 56→57 43→45 43→45 52 269/335/384 115304 96 15% 8% 106 +2.2 264/322/364 100314 99 18% 7% 95 +1.4 269/328/361923208818%7%94+0.8
Yosmany Guerra
2017 · AAA
34 55→61 39→45 43→45 54 260/324/350 90300 68 15% 9% 92 +1.2 268/324/382 114311 67 15% 7% 100 +1.7 282/339/4071263277515%7%111+1.9
Gil Velazquez
2014 · MLB
34 55→63 36→45 40→50 51 260/320/322 61313 48 17% 8% 83 +0.6 254/320/331 77304 67 17% 9% 85 +0.7 277/348/342653234414%10%95+1.0
Jesus Rivera
2012 · AAA
34 51→54 40 36→40 51 242/290/334 92258 73 10% 6% 74 -0.1 240/281/325 85277 75 16% 5% 67 -0.5 268/314/326583122414%5%81+0.2
Jesus Alfredo Arredondo
2006 · AAA
34 53→62 36→30 43→40 49 248/302/313 65284 46 14% 6% 73 -0.1 271/335/343 72308 54 13% 7% 95 +1.4 280/352/339593174112%8%100+1.0
Endy Chavez
2014 · MLB
36 53→63 39→45 42→55 46 251/283/336 85275 79 12% 4% 70 -0.3 251/295/338 87285 78 14% 6% 76 +0.1 280/320/356763125412%5%89+0.7
Luis Borges
2014 · AAA
34 58→67 36→40 41→45 47 273/308/343 70298 37 10% 4% 82 +0.5 277/300/341 64301 36 9% 3% 79 +0.3 285/303/33752307238%2%74-0.0
Luis Carlos Martinez
2008 · AAA
34 55 39→40 42→45 44 262/288/345 84287 78 12% 3% 75 -0.0 246/270/312 66281 69 14% 3% 59 -1.1 251/269/292412864813%2%48-0.9
Daniel Nunez
2016 · AAA
34 49→50 37→30 43→50 46 233/293/300 68289 410 20% 6% 67 -0.5 230/286/293 63280 411 18% 6% 62 -0.9 220/279/2654527321019%6%49-0.8
Skip Schumaker
2014 · MLB
34 57→64 38→45 42→50 52 267/330/353 86311 54 15% 8% 95 +1.4 241/302/332 91293 66 18% 8% 79 +0.3 231/291/309792843419%8%64-0.3