Jared Oliva — OGILVIE

Jared OlivaRF Durham Bulls

Age 30 R/R 6'2" / 202 lbs AAA HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.291 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 2 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%24

BB%6

BABIP306

ISO126

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2020-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

1015.8%

xAVG

100.183

POWER50

Avg EV

1076.0

Bat Spd

4670.9

EYE45

Chase%

1239.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

8728.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2020

Service 0.291 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-0.4M	-$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	454	396	109	24	4	9	40	91	11	33	8	275	358	424	782	149	332	20	9	346	120	+11	+3	—	—	+10	2.5
2019	23	AA	Altoona Curve	—	507	447	124	24	6	6	42	104	11	36	10	277	354	398	752	121	347	21	8	335	113	+8	+3	—	—	+11	2.3
2019	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	109	93	29	11	2	0	14	19	2	11	1	312	413	473	886	161	392	17	13	395	154	+7	+2	—	—	+2	1.1
2020	24	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	188	188	188	375		300	38	0	170	1	-2	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
2021	25	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	43	40	7	2	0	0	3	10	0	2	0	175	233	225	458	50	233	23	7	214	31	-4	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.7
2021	25	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	249	225	56	12	4	2	19	67	5	10	3	249	321	364	686	116	346	27	8	311	96	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.5
2021	25	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	123	115	27	3	2	3	4	31	2	1	3	235	273	374	647	139	293	25	3	283	78	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	26	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	349	319	85	22	3	8	24	77	4	21	4	266	326	429	755	163	326	22	7	334	112	+5	+3	—	—	+8	1.5
2022	26	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	191	167	45	10	2	1	16	35	4	14	5	269	348	371	719	102	333	18	8	320	103	+1	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	27	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	325	284	74	12	5	8	31	68	7	16	6	261	347	423	769	162	317	21	10	342	118	+7	+1	—	—	+7	1.5
2024	28	AA	Arkansas Travelers	—	248	214	63	7	4	7	24	45	6	37	3	294	381	463	844	168	341	18	10	371	137	+11	+6	—	—	+5	2.3
2025	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	398	349	88	15	4	11	35	82	9	57	6	252	333	413	746	160	300	21	9	332	111	+5	+9	—	—	+9	2.3
2025	29	INTL	Toros del Este	—	60	53	13	3	1	1	4	6	2	7	1	245	322	396	718	151	255	10	7	317	101	+0	+1	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	59	56	10	2	0	0	3	16	0	3	0	179	220	214	435	36	250	27	5	202	23	-5	+1	-1	-5	+1	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	454	406	90	20	3	7	30	131	11	33	8	222	293	337	631	116	297	29	7	279	75	-14	+3	—	—	+10	-0.0
2019	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	507	459	105	19	4	6	30	132	11	36	10	229	292	327	619	98	299	26	6	271	70	-18	+3	—	—	+11	-0.4
2020	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	188	188	188	375		300	38	0	169	0	-2	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
2021	25	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	43	40	7	2	0	0	3	10	0	2	0	175	233	225	458	50	233	23	7	196	19	-4	+0	-1	-4	+1	-0.8
2021	25	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	249	233	49	10	4	1	11	84	5	10	3	210	261	300	561	90	324	34	4	250	55	-13	+1	—	—	+5	-0.7
2022	26	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	349	327	69	18	3	5	16	94	4	21	4	211	256	330	587	119	276	27	5	257	60	-17	+3	—	—	+8	-0.7
2023	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	325	294	60	10	4	6	22	87	7	16	6	204	276	327	602	122	265	27	7	265	65	-13	+1	—	—	+7	-0.6
2024	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	248	220	59	6	3	7	18	53	6	37	3	268	340	418	758	150	312	21	7	326	107	+2	+6	—	—	+5	1.4
2025	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	398	363	79	13	4	7	24	98	9	57	6	218	283	333	616	116	274	25	6	270	69	-15	+9	—	—	+9	0.3
2018	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	454	406	90	20	3	7	30	131	11	33	8	222	293	337	631	116	304	29	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	454	396	109	24	4	9	40	91	11	33	8	275	358	424	782	149	332	20	9	346	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	616	559	127	23	5	7	37	161	13	47	11	227	291	324	614	97	305	26	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	616	540	153	35	8	6	56	123	13	47	11	283	365	411	776	128	355	20	9	346	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	188	188	188	375		300	38	0	169	0	-2	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
2020	24	MLB RAW	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	188	188	188	375		300	38	0	170	0	-2	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.1
2021	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	415	386	81	17	6	2	20	133	7	13	6	210	262	301	562	91	313	32	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	415	380	90	17	6	5	26	108	7	13	6	237	298	353	650	116	317	26	6	292	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	540	502	106	28	4	8	24	146	8	35	9	211	258	331	589	120	279	27	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	540	486	130	32	5	9	40	112	8	35	9	267	333	409	743	142	329	21	7	329	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	325	294	60	10	4	6	22	87	7	16	6	204	276	327	602	122	269	27	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	325	284	74	12	5	8	31	68	7	16	6	261	347	423	769	162	317	21	10	342	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	248	220	59	6	3	7	18	53	6	37	3	268	340	418	758	150	321	21	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA RAW	Arkansas Travelers	—	248	214	63	7	4	7	24	45	6	37	3	294	381	463	844	168	341	18	10	371	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	458	416	91	15	5	8	28	112	11	64	7	219	286	337	622	118	279	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	458	402	101	18	5	12	39	88	11	64	7	251	332	410	742	159	293	19	9	330	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	454	410	90	20	3	7	30	131	11	33	8	220	293	334	627	115	297	29	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	616	561	127	23	5	7	37	161	13	47	11	226	291	323	613	96	299	26	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	6	0	1	0	188	188	188	375		300	38	0	169	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	415	385	81	17	6	2	20	133	7	13	6	210	262	301	563	91	311	32	5	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	540	503	106	28	4	8	24	146	8	35	9	211	258	330	588	119	276	27	4	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	325	293	60	10	4	6	22	87	7	16	6	205	276	328	603	123	265	27	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	248	222	59	6	3	7	18	53	6	37	3	266	340	414	755	149	312	21	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	458	416	91	15	5	8	28	112	11	64	7	219	286	337	622	118	274	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	325	293	60	10	4	6	22	87	7	16	6	205	276	328	603	123	265	27	7	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	—	248	222	59	6	3	7	18	53	6	37	3	266	340	414	755	149	312	21	7	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	458	416	91	15	5	8	28	112	11	64	7	219	286	337	622	118	274	24	6	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	AAA MLE	TB	—	79	73	18	4	0	0	4	22	0	10	3	247	286	301	587	55	346	28	5	248	54	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	30	AAA RAW	TB	—	79	71	18	4	0	0	6	18	0	10	3	254	312	310	622	56	333	23	8	278	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	30	AAA MLE	TB	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						297	0	0	289	82	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	30	AAA MLE	TB	—	81	75	18	4	0	0	4	22	0	10	3	240	278	293	572	53	333	27	5	249	55	-4	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	TB	33%	364	331	77	13	3	7	24	89	6	29	5	233	296	353	650	121	292	24	7	287	80	-9	+4	-3	-4	+8	-0.4
2027	31	MLB CTX	TB	33%	119	108	25	4	1	2	8	29	2	10	2	231	297	343	639	111	300	24	7	282	80	-3	+1	-1	-1	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	178	164	35	6	1	2	11	45	2	13	2	213	271	299	570	85	280	25	6	256	69	-8	+2	-1	-6	+4	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	128	22	4	7	40	164	7	47	7	214	271	299	570	85	280	25	6	256	69	-30	+7	-5	-22	+14	-3.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3438	3132	694	132	33	52	203	918	69	275	55	222	284	335	618	113	294	27	6	271	69	-14	+4	-3	-9	+9	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	131	25	6	10	38	174	13	52	10	221	283	334	617	113	294	27	6	271	69	-21	+7	-5	-13	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jared Oliva (OGILVIE)	30	50	50	60	45	231/292/346	114	297	4	24	24%	6%	82	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dairon Blanco 2023 · AAA	30	49→51	46→45	62→70	41	241/295/369	129	313	14	42	27%	6%	88	+0.4	253/315/381	128	326	13	71	25%	6%	97	+1.1	252/319/375	122	321	12	95	24%	7%	95	+0.4
✕Jason Bourgeois 2012 · MLB	30	57→58	38→45	63→65	48	271/310/354	83	301	5	44	12%	5%	88	+0.4	247/290/323	76	276	5	27	12%	5%	74	-0.6	251/286/327	76	287	5	14	14%	4%	70	-0.5
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	46→53	41→45	57→65	44	222/275/314	92	285	9	39	25%	6%	67	-1.1	223/276/304	81	290	6	24	24%	6%	65	-1.2	220/270/268	48	290	1	23	23%	6%	51	-1.6
✕Eric Young Jr. 2015 · MLB	30	52→60	39→45	65	50	245/308/339	94	295	4	43	18%	8%	85	+0.2	229/292/314	85	282	6	36	20%	7%	74	-0.6	243/300/354	111	304	9	24	22%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Jarrod Dyson 2015 · MLB	30	53→58	38→45	71→70	50	250/310/330	80	304	4	58	18%	8%	83	+0.1	253/316/356	103	296	6	50	16%	7%	92	+0.7	256/324/360	104	294	5	53	14%	7%	92	+0.4
✕Rajai Davis 2010 · MLB	29	58→64	41→50	67→70	49	276/331/391	115	322	6	52	16%	6%	105	+1.7	267/311/377	110	316	7	50	17%	5%	94	+0.9	264/313/409	145	311	13	43	19%	6%	101	+1.0
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	51→54	37→40	62→65	45	239/296/314	76	300	3	42	21%	6%	74	-0.5	230/283/307	77	288	6	31	21%	5%	68	-1.0	236/277/285	48	291	3	38	19%	4%	57	-1.4
●Scott Podsednik 2006 · MLB	30	57→65	40→45	64→65	54	272/336/369	97	310	6	52	14%	8%	102	+1.5	257/322/353	96	304	5	38	16%	8%	93	+0.8	289/342/382	92	330	6	34	13%	7%	105	+1.3
✕Todd Donovan 2008 · AAA	29	50→54	39→40	61→65	47	237/294/322	85	287	5	38	19%	6%	76	-0.4	236/308/313	77	304	4	35	21%	9%	79	-0.2	237/317/305	68	308	2	42	21%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Billy Hamilton 2019 · MLB	28	51→61	39→40	67→70	48	240/299/331	91	306	5	44	22%	8%	79	-0.2	221/281/315	94	297	6	34	26%	8%	69	-0.9	162/214/241	78	260	4	47	37%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Trent Durrington 2006 · MLB	30	52→45	41→40	58→60	47	248/309/350	103	311	8	36	22%	7%	88	+0.4	222/280/299	77	288	5	32	23%	6%	65	-1.2	210/266/266	57	274	3	36	23%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Gilberto Mejia 2013 · AAA	30	50→60	39→45	64→65	50	237/297/327	90	287	5	42	19%	8%	78	-0.3	265/322/363	98	325	5	40	19%	7%	95	+1.0	277/334/377	99	339	4	44	18%	6%	100	+1.1
✕Corey Patterson 2008 · MLB	28	51→55	47→55	61→60	44	255/294/391	136	287	14	39	17%	5%	92	+0.7	235/272/365	130	277	13	28	20%	4%	78	-0.3	237/274/358	120	298	11	28	23%	4%	73	-0.4
●Donzell McDonald II 2006 · AAA	31	49→59	47→50	66→65	49	243/318/390	147	294	14	43	22%	8%	101	+1.4	253/324/393	140	316	10	35	22%	9%	103	+1.5	279/345/422	143	345	9	22	20%	8%	116	+1.9
✕Craig Gentry 2015 · MLB	31	55→57	37→40	62→60	50	259/330/336	77	312	4	36	17%	8%	93	+0.8	224/285/299	75	282	6	25	21%	7%	68	-1.0	221/287/294	73	284	4	29	22%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Dylan Moore 2023 · MLB	30	44→48	51→50	57→65	52	219/330/388	169	289	18	35	29%	11%	106	+1.8	214/317/385	171	289	18	32	30%	11%	101	+1.4	199/301/370	171	267	19	37	31%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Nyjer Morgan 2010 · MLB	30	60→64	37→45	63→65	48	284/339/365	81	334	4	45	16%	6%	102	+1.5	266/325/351	85	317	4	29	16%	6%	94	+0.9	261/319/352	91	317	6	20	18%	6%	90	+0.3
✕Freddy Guzman 2011 · AAA	30	47→57	38→45	68→70	47	223/267/310	86	258	5	48	16%	6%	62	-1.4	251/303/361	110	298	8	54	18%	7%	87	+0.4	279/331/390	112	331	8	77	17%	7%	102	+0.8
●Brett Gardner 2013 · MLB	29	55→59	41→55	63→65	58	260/349/368	108	307	7	41	17%	11%	107	+1.8	257/331/397	140	315	11	22	21%	9%	107	+1.8	245/329/415	170	276	19	16	18%	10%	109	+2.0
✕Roman Quinn 2021 · MLB	28	49→55	46→45	65	43	237/295/369	132	322	13	36	29%	7%	87	+0.4	214/302/339	125	329	11	27	35%	9%	84	+0.1	172/280/277	105	314	8	34	42%	11%	61	-0.4