Justin Dean — OGILVIE

Justin DeanCF Iowa Cubs

INJURED · Reassigned to Minors (RM)

Age 29 R/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AAA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†43

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .282 / .296

PA100

HR1

SB5

K%34

BB%9

MLB%40%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

55→55

PWR

45→45

SPD

60→60

EYE

49↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-7M		$-7M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	ROK	2 teams	281	255	56	7	7	1	21	82	5	16	9	.220	.292	.314	.606	.094	.320	29	7	.267	63	-12	-0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2019	22	A	2 teams	556	501	106	14	6	10	42	166	10	50	11	.212	.286	.323	.609	.112	.293	30	8	.267	63	-24	+6	+0	+2	+16	-0.0
2021	24	AA	2 teams	621	562	111	18	6	13	36	245	22	45	15	.198	.273	.320	.593	.123	.322	39	6	.264	60	-28	+3	+0	+2	+18	-0.5
2022	25	AA	3 teams	701	627	117	21	7	5	55	265	11	43	14	.187	.264	.266	.530	.080	.310	38	8	.239	41	-47	+3	+0	+3	+20	-2.2
2023	26	INTL	3 teams	693	587	104	9	3	15	80	271	10	52	12	.177	.287	.279	.566	.102	.286	39	12	.256	54	-36	+6	+0	+2	+20	-0.8
2024	27	AA	3 teams	674	605	130	20	3	4	51	230	11	68	11	.215	.288	.278	.566	.063	.334	34	8	.255	54	-35	+9	+0	+2	+19	-0.5
2025	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	347	317	79	11	4	5	26	104	4	27	9	.249	.314	.356	.671	.107	.356	30	7	.293	82	-7	+2	+0	+1	+10	0.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	67	59	9	2	1	1	8	29	0	3	0	.153	.254	.271	.525	.119	.276	43	12	.231	35	-5	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
ROS	29	MLB	CHC	33	30	5	1	0	0	3	12	0	2	0	.167	.242	.200	.442	.033	.305	36	9	.263	60	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
TOT	29	MLB	CHC	100	89	14	3	1	1	11	41	0	5	0	.157	.250	.247	.497	.090	.277	41	11	.242	43	-6	+1	+0	+0	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	30	MLB 50%	CHC	323	285	58	9	2	5	32	92	3	20	4	.204	.291	.302	.592	.098	.281	28	10	.273	67	-12	+2	-2	+1	+9	-0.1
2028	31	MLB 58%	CHC	329	291	60	10	2	5	32	94	3	19	3	.206	.291	.306	.597	.100	.281	29	10	.274	68	-12	+3	-2	+1	+9	-0.1
2029	32	MLB 68%	CHC	324	287	58	9	2	5	31	93	3	18	3	.202	.287	.300	.586	.098	.280	29	10	.271	66	-13	+2	-3	+1	+9	-0.3
2030	33	MLB 77%	CHC	303	268	53	8	2	4	29	89	3	15	2	.198	.283	.287	.571	.090	.278	29	10	.267	62	-13	+2	-4	+1	+9	-0.5
2031	34	MLB 84%	CHC	266	237	46	7	2	3	25	80	2	13	2	.194	.277	.278	.555	.084	.276	30	9	.260	57	-13	+2	-4	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5451	4852	983	144	46	75	463	1823	87	388	95	.203	.284	.298	.581	.095	.304	33	8	.262	59	-252	+40	-15	+19	+154	-5.5
/ 162G	—			650	579	117	17	5	9	55	217	10	46	11	.202	.283	.295	.578	.093	.303	33	8	.262	59	-30	+5	-2	+2	+18	-0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	21	A	Rome Braves	126	113	29	2	5	0	11	27	2	9	3	.257	.333	.363	.696	.106	.337	21	9	.315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2018	21	ROK	Danville Braves	155	130	40	8	4	1	22	32	3	7	6	.308	.419	.454	.873	.146	.402	21	14	.392	158	+10	-1	—	—	+4	1.4
2019	22	A	Rome Braves	503	429	122	18	9	9	62	115	10	47	10	.284	.387	.431	.818	.147	.368	23	12	.367	139	+22	+5	—	—	+14	4.3
2019	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	53	45	9	0	0	0	7	18	0	3	1	.200	.308	.200	.508	.000	.321	34	13	.246	46	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2021	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	423	363	86	14	4	8	42	128	18	29	6	.237	.345	.364	.709	.127	.344	30	10	.326	108	+4	+3	—	—	+12	1.9
2021	24	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	198	176	54	10	1	6	17	40	4	16	9	.307	.381	.477	.858	.170	.369	20	9	.380	149	+11	-0	—	—	+6	1.6
2022	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	59	54	11	2	0	0	3	15	1	5	1	.204	.259	.241	.499	.037	.275	25	5	.230	34	-4	+1	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	322	274	64	12	4	3	40	97	6	19	5	.234	.344	.339	.683	.106	.347	30	12	.314	99	-1	+2	—	—	+9	1.1
2022	25	INTL	Mexico	320	272	87	12	7	2	39	66	4	19	8	.320	.413	.438	.850	.118	.415	21	12	.377	147	+17	+1	—	—	+9	2.7
2023	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	199	159	26	3	1	4	32	67	3	13	3	.164	.314	.270	.585	.107	.237	34	16	.274	68	-7	+1	—	—	+6	-0.0
2023	26	AA	Mississippi Braves	236	193	44	3	1	5	39	72	3	22	5	.228	.366	.332	.698	.104	.336	31	17	.326	108	+2	+2	—	—	+7	1.1
2023	26	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	258	204	44	5	2	3	40	61	4	17	4	.216	.355	.304	.659	.088	.283	24	16	.300	88	-3	+2	—	—	+7	0.6
2024	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	90	74	19	3	1	0	12	30	2	14	1	.257	.375	.324	.699	.068	.413	33	13	.321	104	+0	+2	—	—	+3	0.5
2024	27	AA	Mississippi Braves	362	315	77	11	2	3	39	92	4	47	7	.244	.335	.321	.656	.076	.330	25	11	.301	89	-5	+7	—	—	+10	1.2
2024	27	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	222	190	46	6	1	7	26	47	5	7	3	.242	.348	.395	.743	.153	.287	21	12	.336	116	+4	+0	—	—	+6	1.1
2025	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	347	304	88	13	6	6	39	82	4	27	9	.289	.378	.431	.808	.141	.380	24	11	.363	136	+14	+2	—	—	+10	2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Dean (OGILVIE)	29	55	45	60	55	.205/.282/.296	.091	.309	1	7	34%	9%	62	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Lane Adams 2019 · MLB	29	43→45	45→50	60	39	.210/.268/.331	.122	.310	13	33	35%	7%	65	-0.7	.200/.264/.338	.138	.318	15	18	39%	7%	66	-0.6	.178/.247/.326	.148	.282	18	14	41%	7%	51	-1.0
✕Rico Noel 2017 · AAA	28	43→53	36→30	60→65	42	.203/.261/.264	.060	.284	4	38	28%	6%	43	-2.2	.202/.245/.294	.092	.293	8	24	33%	4%	44	-2.1	.186/.221/.271	.085	.270	9	29	34%	3%	25	-0.9
✕Forrest Wall 2023 · AAA	27	46→56	38→45	64→70	39	.213/.271/.295	.082	.319	5	46	33%	6%	56	-1.3	.244/.310/.351	.107	.341	9	47	29%	8%	87	+0.8	.260/.332/.371	.111	.354	9	50	27%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Quintin Berry 2016 · AAA	31	46→56	37→40	58→65	48	.216/.287/.282	.066	.288	5	33	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.219/.281/.287	.068	.305	5	33	28%	7%	58	-1.2	.220/.278/.269	.049	.316	3	44	29%	6%	48	-0.8
✕Josh Prince 2015 · AAA	27	43→46	40	54→60	48	.208/.280/.300	.092	.272	8	30	26%	8%	62	-0.9	.212/.277/.309	.097	.279	9	24	26%	8%	63	-0.9	.215/.286/.309	.094	.300	9	18	29%	9%	63	-0.3
✕Ryan Strausborger 2017 · MLB	29	44→45	42→45	57→55	41	.218/.262/.321	.103	.274	10	27	24%	5%	59	-1.1	.210/.272/.314	.104	.304	10	18	32%	7%	62	-0.9	.174/.266/.247	.073	.297	4	15	38%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Terrance Gore 2019 · AAA	28	42→40	34→30	63→70	41	.200/.252/.249	.049	.275	3	42	27%	6%	36	-2.7	.206/.277/.284	.078	.306	4	43	31%	8%	56	-1.3	.200/.300/.277	.076	.306	0	73	30%	11%	62	-0.2
✕Anthony Alford 2021 · MLB	27	44→53	44→45	55	39	.212/.273/.330	.118	.310	11	25	34%	6%	66	-0.6	.231/.301/.411	.180	.360	23	20	39%	8%	100	+1.7	.231/.309/.414	.183	.381	24	20	42%	8%	99	+1.0
✕Kevin Mattison 2013 · AAA	27	41→47	42→45	57→60	39	.201/.257/.310	.109	.281	9	27	30%	6%	54	-1.4	.183/.241/.294	.111	.302	10	23	40%	6%	43	-2.2	.150/.212/.254	.104	.272	9	25	45%	6%	19	-2.0
✕Mel Stocker 2008 · AA	27	47	38→40	66→65	45	.223/.276/.316	.094	.276	3	32	20%	6%	63	-0.9	.235/.289/.316	.081	.287	3	39	18%	6%	69	-0.4	.240/.295/.313	.073	.289	2	46	16%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Jeff Kobernus 2017 · AAA	29	45→55	37→40	54→65	44	.216/.268/.287	.071	.279	5	22	24%	6%	53	-1.5	.211/.260/.281	.070	.288	5	17	27%	5%	47	-1.9	.194/.238/.218	.023	.271	0	27	27%	4%	18	-1.0
✕Isaac Galloway 2018 · AAA	28	43→42	44→45	54→55	38	.216/.257/.329	.112	.285	12	24	29%	4%	59	-1.1	.212/.259/.348	.136	.286	15	22	31%	5%	66	-0.6	.193/.238/.324	.131	.261	15	23	32%	4%	47	-1.0
✕Anthony Seratelli 2012 · AA	29	46→48	39→45	55	47	.219/.286/.301	.083	.293	7	22	27%	8%	64	-0.8	.230/.299/.345	.115	.297	12	20	25%	8%	82	+0.5	.230/.303/.350	.119	.297	13	20	25%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Darin Mastroianni 2016 · MLB	30	46→56	38→40	54→60	43	.220/.268/.296	.076	.277	5	23	22%	6%	55	-1.4	.221/.269/.298	.077	.280	5	20	22%	5%	56	-1.3	.218/.269/.265	.048	.280	2	21	22%	5%	43	-1.1
✕Ryan Knox 2006 · AAA	29	41	40	51→55	40	.202/.254/.290	.088	.264	9	24	26%	5%	48	-1.9	.189/.241/.286	.097	.260	9	17	30%	5%	41	-2.3	.134/.187/.213	.079	.189	8	11	33%	5%	-2	-1.9
✕Eric Patterson 2013 · MLB	30	43→53	43→50	58→60	47	.209/.274/.323	.114	.270	10	23	25%	8%	65	-0.7	.210/.276/.302	.092	.276	8	15	25%	8%	60	-1.0	.169/.230/.195	.026	.229	0	8	24%	7%	10	-0.8
✕Jack López 2023 · MLB	30	38→44	41→45	54→55	33	.191/.233/.290	.099	.290	9	19	36%	4%	39	-2.5	.207/.250/.324	.117	.300	12	16	34%	5%	55	-1.4	.207/.250/.317	.110	.296	12	15	33%	4%	50	-1.2
✕Michael O'Neill 2019 · AAA	27	42→40	43→45	55	36	.208/.259/.319	.112	.303	11	21	34%	5%	58	-1.2	.217/.265/.310	.093	.325	9	19	34%	5%	58	-1.2	.221/.265/.284	.063	.337	7	18	35%	5%	45	-1.3
✕Rafael Bautista 2021 · AAA	28	46→56	39→30	53→60	42	.220/.269/.306	.086	.285	7	17	25%	6%	58	-1.2	.216/.263/.319	.103	.269	11	9	23%	4%	59	-1.1	.204/.247/.290	.086	.251	10	6	23%	3%	41	-1.0
✕Kristopher Negrón 2014 · AAA	28	39→49	41→45	54→55	37	.197/.245/.294	.097	.267	9	17	29%	4%	45	-2.1	.215/.267/.322	.107	.286	10	17	27%	5%	62	-0.9	.225/.289/.349	.123	.323	14	14	32%	7%	74	-0.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)