Justin Dean — OGILVIE

Justin DeanCF Iowa Cubs

Age 29 R/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION337 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP283

ISO82

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

904.5%

xAVG

140.222

POWER45

Avg EV

1071.4

Bat Spd

1065.1

EYE55

Chase%

904.8%

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Rome Braves	—	126	113	29	2	5	0	11	27	2	9	3	257	333	363	696	106	337	21	9	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2018	21	ROK	Danville Braves	—	155	130	40	8	4	1	22	32	3	7	6	308	419	454	873	146	402	21	14	392	152	+10	-1	—	—	+3	1.2
2019	22	A	Rome Braves	—	503	429	122	18	9	9	62	115	10	47	10	284	387	431	818	147	368	23	12	367	135	+21	+5	—	—	+11	3.8
2019	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	53	45	9	0	0	0	7	18	0	3	1	200	308	200	508		321	34	13	246	53	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	423	363	86	14	4	8	42	128	18	29	6	237	345	364	709	127	344	30	10	326	107	+3	+3	—	—	+9	1.6
2021	24	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	198	176	54	10	1	6	17	40	4	16	9	307	381	477	858	170	369	20	9	380	143	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	59	54	11	2	0	0	3	15	1	5	1	204	259	241	499	37	275	25	5	230	41	-4	+1	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	322	274	64	12	4	3	40	97	6	19	5	234	344	339	683	106	347	30	12	314	99	-0	+2	—	—	+7	0.8
2022	25	INTL	Mexico	—	320	272	87	12	7	2	39	66	4	19	8	320	413	438	850	118	415	21	12	377	142	+16	+1	—	—	+7	2.4
2023	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	199	159	26	3	1	4	32	67	3	13	3	164	314	270	585	107	237	34	16	274	72	-7	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1
2023	26	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	236	193	44	3	1	5	39	72	3	22	5	228	366	332	698	104	336	31	17	326	107	+2	+2	—	—	+5	1.0
2023	26	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	258	204	44	5	2	3	40	61	4	17	4	216	355	304	659	88	283	24	16	300	89	-3	+2	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	90	74	19	3	1	0	12	30	2	14	1	257	375	324	699	68	413	33	13	321	103	+0	+2	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	27	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	362	315	77	11	2	3	39	92	4	47	7	244	335	321	656	76	330	25	11	301	90	-4	+7	—	—	+8	1.0
2024	27	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	222	190	46	6	1	7	26	47	5	7	3	242	348	395	743	153	287	21	12	336	114	+4	+0	—	—	+5	0.9
2025	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	304	88	13	6	6	39	82	4	27	9	289	378	431	808	141	380	24	11	363	132	+13	+2	—	—	+8	2.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	126	117	24	1	4	0	7	38	2	9	3	205	262	282	544	77	319	30	6	254	58	-6	+1	—	—	+3	-0.3
2018	21	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	155	138	33	6	3	1	14	45	3	7	6	239	323	348	670	109	341	29	9	289	82	-3	-1	—	—	+3	-0.1
2019	22	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	503	449	98	12	7	8	42	154	10	47	10	218	299	330	629	111	308	31	8	278	74	-15	+5	—	—	+11	0.1
2021	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	423	379	77	12	4	7	26	157	18	29	6	203	286	311	597	108	320	37	6	264	65	-18	+3	—	—	+9	-0.5
2022	25	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	59	55	10	2	0	0	2	18	1	5	1	182	224	218	442	36	248	31	3	194	17	-6	+1	—	—	+1	-0.4
2022	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	322	286	56	10	4	2	28	118	6	19	5	196	281	280	561	84	314	37	9	254	58	-16	+2	—	—	+7	-0.7
2023	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	199	169	25	3	1	3	22	80	3	13	3	148	258	231	489	83	222	40	11	225	38	-15	+1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2023	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	236	203	42	3	1	5	29	85	3	22	5	207	315	305	620	99	316	36	12	275	72	-8	+2	—	—	+5	-0.0
2024	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	90	78	17	2	1	0	8	38	2	14	1	218	307	269	576	51	384	42	9	267	67	-4	+2	—	—	+2	0.1
2024	27	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	362	328	74	11	2	3	26	109	4	47	7	226	291	299	589	73	315	30	7	261	63	-16	+7	—	—	+8	-0.2
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	317	79	11	4	5	26	104	4	27	9	249	314	356	671	107	355	30	7	294	85	-6	+2	—	—	+8	0.3
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	281	255	57	7	7	1	21	83	5	16	9	224	295	318	613	94	327	30	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	281	243	69	10	9	1	33	59	5	16	9	284	381	412	792	128	372	21	12	358	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	556	497	109	14	7	9	46	170	10	50	11	219	298	330	628	111	312	31	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	556	474	131	18	9	9	69	133	10	50	11	276	380	409	789	133	364	24	12	356	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	621	559	112	17	6	10	39	230	22	45	15	200	279	306	585	106	320	37	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	621	539	140	24	5	14	59	168	22	45	15	260	356	401	757	141	353	27	10	343	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	701	627	120	21	7	4	55	251	11	43	14	191	268	266	535	75	309	36	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	701	600	162	26	11	5	82	178	11	43	14	270	368	375	743	105	373	25	12	336	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	693	586	104	9	3	12	81	263	10	52	12	177	288	265	553	87	287	38	12	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	693	556	114	11	4	12	111	200	10	52	12	205	347	304	651	99	288	29	16	302	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	674	604	135	20	4	4	52	218	11	68	11	224	297	290	587	66	338	32	8	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	674	579	142	20	4	10	77	169	11	68	11	245	345	345	690	100	325	25	11	315	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	317	79	11	4	5	26	104	4	27	9	249	314	356	671	107	356	30	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	304	88	13	6	6	39	82	4	27	9	289	378	431	808	141	380	24	11	363	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	281	253	57	7	7	1	21	83	5	16	9	225	295	320	616	95	331	30	7	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	556	495	109	14	7	9	46	170	10	50	11	220	298	331	630	111	308	31	8	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	621	555	112	17	6	10	39	230	22	45	15	202	279	308	587	106	320	37	6	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	701	629	120	21	7	4	55	251	11	43	14	191	268	266	534	75	304	36	8	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	693	597	104	9	3	12	81	263	10	52	12	174	288	260	548	85	273	38	12	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	674	606	135	20	4	4	52	218	11	68	11	223	297	289	586	66	329	32	8	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	314	79	11	4	5	26	104	4	27	9	252	314	360	674	108	355	30	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	693	597	104	9	3	12	81	263	10	52	12	174	288	260	548	85	273	38	12	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	674	606	135	20	4	4	52	218	11	68	11	223	297	289	586	66	329	32	8	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	314	79	11	4	5	26	104	4	27	9	252	314	360	674	108	355	30	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	29	AAA MLE	CHC	—	337	297	56	10	2	2	32	102	3	22	2	189	274	256	530	67	276	30	9	241	49	-20	+4	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	AAA RAW	CHC	—	337	283	61	12	2	3	46	85	3	22	2	216	331	304	635	88	293	25	14	294	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	29	AAA MLE	CHC	10%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		280	33	11	252	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	29	MLB CTX	CHC	10%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						283	0	0	246	57	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	29	MLB A+C	CHC	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	246	49	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	29	AAA MLE	CHC	—	346	305	57	10	2	2	33	105	3	23	2	187	273	252	525	66	274	30	10	241	49	-21	+4	+0	+1	+7	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CHC	27%	323	288	56	9	2	3	29	97	3	18	3	194	275	271	546	76	280	30	9	256	60	-16	+2	-2	+1	+7	-0.7
2027	30	MLB CTX	CHC	27%	88	79	16	3	1	1	8	26	1	5	1	203	284	304	588	101	282	30	9	250	60	-4	+1	-1	+0	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	89	80	16	3	1	1	8	26	1	5	1	200	281	300	581	100	283	29	9	250	64	-4	+1	-1	+0	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	116	22	7	7	58	190	7	37	7	199	278	296	575	98	282	29	9	250	64	-31	+4	-4	+2	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	4205	3741	773	108	40	48	350	1419	76	320	84	207	288	295	583	89	315	34	8	263	64	-16	+3	-2	+1	+7	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	119	17	6	7	54	219	12	49	13	206	287	292	580	87	315	34	8	263	64	-31	+5	-4	+2	+14	-1.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Dean (OGILVIE)	29	55	45	60	55	192/273/267	75	280	2	15	31%	9%	57	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Darren Ford 2015 · AAA	29	48→53	37→45	58→65	41	226/273/297	71	306	5	42	27%	6%	61	-1.5	222/275/306	84	288	7	31	24%	6%	65	-1.2	217/272/295	78	277	7	31	23%	6%	58	-1.2
✕Billy Hamilton 2020 · MLB	29	49→59	38→40	62→70	49	231/294/313	83	301	4	37	23%	8%	74	-0.6	208/263/307	99	293	7	34	29%	7%	61	-1.5	162/214/241	78	260	4	47	37%	6%	25	-0.9
✕Tyler Wade 2023 · MLB	28	45→55	40	57→60	50	216/290/307	92	275	8	35	23%	9%	72	-0.7	227/296/306	79	302	6	35	25%	8%	73	-0.6	227/298/287	61	307	4	40	25%	8%	67	-0.5
✕Tyler Graham 2013 · AAA	29	51→54	37→40	62→65	45	239/296/314	76	300	3	42	21%	6%	74	-0.5	230/283/307	77	288	6	31	21%	5%	68	-1.0	236/277/285	48	291	3	38	19%	4%	57	-1.4
✕Todd Donovan 2008 · AAA	29	50→54	39→40	61→65	47	237/294/322	85	287	5	38	19%	6%	76	-0.4	236/308/313	77	304	4	35	21%	9%	79	-0.2	237/317/305	68	308	2	42	21%	10%	78	-0.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2014 · MLB	28	48→58	38→40	61→60	47	227/291/305	78	290	5	34	23%	7%	71	-0.8	221/272/295	74	281	5	24	22%	6%	61	-1.5	220/268/282	63	278	3	24	21%	5%	53	-1.4
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	225/283/336	111	304	8	29	28%	6%	75	-0.5	210/274/318	108	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	149/221/220	71	245	7	18	39%	7%	26	-1.2
✕Zach Davis 2022 · AAA	28	47→52	37→30	58→65	41	218/277/288	70	311	5	34	30%	6%	61	-1.5	219/289/289	70	325	4	41	31%	7%	68	-1.0	225/304/263	38	336	0	78	30%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Quintin Berry 2014 · MLB	29	47→57	37→40	63→65	47	219/292/293	73	297	5	38	26%	8%	69	-0.9	225/294/290	65	305	4	33	25%	8%	69	-0.9	229/297/280	52	311	3	37	25%	8%	65	-0.9
✕Delino DeShields 2023 · MLB	30	45→55	37→45	56→65	53	209/305/276	67	303	4	31	29%	12%	71	-0.8	216/299/291	75	317	5	23	30%	10%	72	-0.7	235/314/289	55	376	0	11	34%	9%	72	-0.1
✕Trent Durrington 2007 · MLB	31	48→45	38→40	59→60	44	228/282/309	81	293	6	35	24%	6%	68	-1.0	221/283/305	84	285	6	26	23%	7%	68	-1.0	210/281/261	52	270	2	33	21%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Roemon Fields 2019 · AAA	28	49→56	35→30	58→60	42	229/277/291	62	300	3	38	24%	6%	61	-1.5	223/278/299	76	284	5	24	22%	6%	64	-1.3	215/271/269	54	266	3	24	19%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Johnny Davis 2019 · AAA	29	50→56	36→30	59→65	39	234/276/300	66	331	3	32	29%	5%	63	-1.3	232/276/311	79	309	5	41	25%	5%	66	-1.1	240/282/304	64	315	4	58	24%	4%	64	-1.0
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	44	42→40	59→60	45	213/291/309	96	302	11	32	31%	8%	73	-0.6	210/278/304	94	297	9	27	30%	7%	66	-1.1	178/249/248	70	249	8	46	30%	7%	41	-1.0
✕Johneshwy Fargas 2022 · MLB	27	44→52	43→45	59→65	39	215/264/326	110	287	10	35	28%	5%	65	-1.2	210/272/326	116	286	13	30	30%	5%	70	-0.9	181/252/274	93	245	12	44	30%	5%	49	-1.2
✕Drew Jackson 2022 · AAA	29	43→45	44→45	57→55	47	208/299/326	119	302	12	28	33%	10%	80	-0.1	215/294/327	112	353	11	21	38%	9%	78	-0.3	184/262/253	69	352	8	20	46%	8%	45	-0.9
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	50→53	44→45	58→60	39	242/290/359	117	333	11	31	30%	5%	83	+0.1	224/284/331	107	326	9	34	32%	7%	74	-0.5	192/261/268	76	298	4	59	34%	8%	48	-0.9
✕Lane Adams 2019 · MLB	29	42→46	44→45	59→60	39	205/265/319	114	308	11	32	36%	7%	65	-1.2	199/265/330	131	318	14	17	39%	7%	68	-1.0	172/243/306	134	275	15	14	41%	7%	51	-1.3
✕John Andreoli 2017 · AAA	27	46→56	42→45	60	48	219/298/325	106	311	9	34	30%	10%	79	-0.2	212/293/332	120	308	11	24	32%	10%	78	-0.3	198/292/308	110	305	9	17	34%	11%	71	-0.5
✕Wynton Bernard 2019 · AAA	28	46→56	40→45	60	41	221/262/311	90	280	7	31	24%	5%	61	-1.5	216/266/321	105	281	8	27	25%	6%	65	-1.2	250/298/375	125	305	12	37	21%	6%	86	+0.3