Pete Crow-Armstrong

CF Chicago Cubs
Age 25 L/L 6'0" / 184 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 2.988S2 · Ctrl thru 2032
Overview
MLB40-MANExtFA 2033
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AAACHC117.255/.299/.50951070—.205/.239/.384
202422MLBCHC410.237/.288/.3841027791.7
202523MLBCHC647.247/.293/.48131351084.4
202624MLBCHC726.280/.374/.57045411578.1
2027PROJ25MLBCHC614.259/.335/.49931391325.8
2028PROJ26MLBCHC614.259/.335/.49831381325.8
2029PROJ27MLBCHC614.258/.334/.49631381315.7
Last 3 seasons WAR 14.2  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 17.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractCONFIRMED
Control thru2032Service2.988First FA2033Options1Super-2
2027Ext$14M2028Ext$18M2029Ext$22M2030Ext$25M2031Ext$26M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed90
Barrel%74
xwOBA73
Bat Spd71
Avg EV60
Form.277/.353/.576 ▲▲ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .258/.332/.499
CompsJazz Chisholm Jr. (age 26) · Corbin Carroll (age 23) · Bobby Witt Jr. (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 106132vR 141
AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .335 / .499
PA614
HR31
SB39
K%25
BB%9
BABIP303
ISO240
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +23.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+23BATRUN: +8.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+8RUNFLD: +13.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+13FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +13.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +4.20+4.2WAR
0.03.06.04.25.85.75.55.24.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr━ post-control+$115M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
440.246
POWER55
Barrel%
7411.8
Avg EV
6089.8
Bat Spd
7173.6
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.5
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▲23% over 124 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%9%▲10% over 124 PA (60d) · proj 9%
ISO.299▲▲.382 over 110 AB (60d) · proj .242
HR/BB10.8%▲▲14.5% over 83 BBE (60d) · proj 8.1%
BABIP.297·.282 over 71 BIP (60d) · proj .299
SLASH.277/.353/.576▲▲proj .258/.332/.499
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1164 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
326
838
—
wRC+
63
110
▶▶R
wOBA
262
330
▶▶R
ISO
141
208
▶▶R
BABIP
277
291
▶R
K%
28.8%
22.6%
▶▶R
BB%
2.5%
5.3%
▶▶R
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.988 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2032
First FA Year   2033
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext$14M+4.2$48M+$34M
2028Ext$18M+5.8$65M+$48M
2029Ext$22M+5.7$59M+$41M
2030Ext$25M+5.5$53M+$34M
2031Ext$26M+5.2$46M+$29M
Totals $105M $270M +$187M
Options · projected decision
2032CLUB OPT$29.9M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 ASt. Lucie Mets — 3224 10200 761 23 4175625001.062 83556 1922 482 154 — — — — — —
202220 A+South Bend Cubs — 288265 761579 14696 197 287337498835 211353 245 362 82 — — — — — —
202220 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 183158 56537 22333 134 3544435571.000 203415 1812 440 132 — — — — — —
202321 MLBChicago Cubs — 1914 0000 370 22 176176 3716 110 -39 -3 -0 +1 +2 +0 -0.0
202321 AAAIowa Cubs — 158140 38726 15472 102 271350479829 207368 309 364 82 — — — — — —
202321 AATennessee Smokies — 342298 8619514 318210 278 289375527901 238351 249 392 104 — — — — — —
202422 MLBChicago Cubs — 410372 8813610 21986 273 237288384673 148292 245 292 79 -10 +4 +12 +2 +9 1.7
202422 AAAIowa Cubs — 117110 28925 6321 100 255299509808 255315 275 350 70 — — — — — —
202523 MLBChicago Cubs — 647591 14637431 291559 358 247293481773 234276 244 328 108 +6 +4 +17 +2 +14 4.4
202624 MLBChicago Cubs — 726626 17531845 8318712 417 280374570945 291327 2611 407 157 +50 +5 +6 +3 +16 8.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 18021603 409811886 13644727 10520 255324489813 234297 258 349 123 +48 +13 +35 +9 +39 14.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 3226 9200 591 23 346469423892 77519 2816 396 154 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs — 288269 631158 10876 197 234277401679 167308 303 290 82 — — — — — —
202220 A MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 183165 50426 15463 134 303372461832 158391 258 364 132 — — — — — —
202321 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 1914 0000 370 22 176176 3716 110 -39 -3 -0 +1 +2 +0 -0.0
202321 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 158144 32524 11552 102 222287368655 146328 357 290 82 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLETennessee Smokies — 342308 7717411 219910 278 250319438757 188320 296 322 104 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 410374 8713510 19986 273 233281374655 142292 245 286 79 -10 +4 +12 +2 +9 1.7
202422 AAA MLEIowa Cubs — 117112 23723 4381 100 205239384623 179287 323 272 70 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 647592 14536332 281559 358 245289478767 233276 244 327 108 +6 +4 +17 +2 +14 4.4
202624 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 726633 17530747 7618712 417 276365569933 292327 2610 401 157 +50 +5 +6 +3 +16 8.1
202119 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 3226 9200 591 23 346469423892 77529 2816 396 154 — — — — — —
202119 A RAWSt. Lucie Mets — 3224 10200 761 23 4175625001.062 83556 1922 482 154 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLE2 teams — 471435 11416813 241339 3211 262314425739 163346 285 319 102 — — — — — —
202220 A+ RAW2 teams — 471423 132201016 361029 3211 312378520898 208377 228 392 102 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLE3 teams — 519466 10922715 3516112 3912 234304408712 174321 317 305 92 — — — — — —
202321 AA RAW3 teams — 519452 12426720 4913612 3912 274361496856 221348 269 373 92 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLE2 teams — 527486 11120714 231367 373 228273385658 156286 264 283 77 -14 +6 +12 +2 +11 1.8
202422 MLB RAW2 teams — 527482 11622815 271307 373 241291413704 172297 255 305 77 -14 +6 +12 +2 +11 1.8
202523 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 647592 14536332 281559 358 245289478767 233271 244 327 108 +6 +4 +17 +2 +14 4.4
202523 MLB RAWChicago Cubs — 647591 14637431 291559 358 247293481773 234276 244 328 108 +6 +4 +17 +2 +14 4.4
202624 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 726633 17530747 7618712 417 276365569933 292318 2610 401 157 +50 +5 +6 +3 +16 8.1
202624 MLB RAWChicago Cubs — 726626 17531845 8318712 417 280374570945 291327 2611 407 157 +50 +5 +6 +3 +16 8.1
202119 A MLESt. Lucie Mets — 3226 9200 591 23 346469423892 77519 2816 396 154 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLE2 teams — 471435 11416813 241339 3211 262314425739 163340 285 319 102 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLE3 teams — 519467 10922715 3516112 3912 233304407711 173311 317 305 92 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLE2 teams — 527492 11120714 231367 373 226273380653 154291 264 283 77 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 647605 14536332 281559 358 240289468757 228276 244 327 108 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 726632 17530747 7618712 417 277365570934 293327 2610 401 157 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 MLB MLE2 teams — 527492 11120714 231367 373 226273380653 154291 264 283 77 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 647605 14536332 281559 358 240289468757 228276 244 327 108 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEChicago Cubs — 726632 17530747 7618712 417 277365570934 293327 2610 401 157 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLECHC 100% 646575 14927634 5616310 417 258334500834 242299 259 363 132 +24 +5 +14 +2 +14 4.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXCHC 100% 614546 14126631 5315510 396 259335499834 239303 259 363 132 +23 +5 +13 +2 +13 5.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLECHC 100% 614547 14025532 531559 386 258334499834 241299 259 363 132 +23 +5 +13 +2 +13 5.8
202927 MLB MLECHC 100% 614547 14025532 531569 386 257333497830 240298 259 361 131 +22 +5 +13 +2 +13 5.7
203028 MLB MLECHC 100% 614547 13925531 531579 356 255332492824 237297 269 359 129 +21 +5 +12 +2 +13 5.5
203129 MLB MLECHC 100% 614547 13825531 531599 315 253329486815 233296 269 355 127 +19 +4 +12 +2 +13 5.2
203230 MLB MLECHC 100% 614547 13725530 531619 264 250325478804 229294 269 351 123 +17 +4 +11 +2 +13 4.8
203331 MLB MLECHC 100% 606542 13324529 511618 194 245320468789 223291 278 345 119 +14 +2 +10 +2 +13 4.2
203432 MLB MLECHC 100% 583521 12522427 491578 123 240314455768 215286 278 337 114 +10 +1 +9 +2 +13 3.5
203533 MLB MLECHC 100% 476428 9917321 391316 52 232306437743 205280 288 326 107 +4 +0 +6 +2 +10 2.2
203634 MLB MLECHC 100% 419377 8514318 341195 11 223295416712 193272 288 314 98 -1 -0 +4 +1 +9 1.4
203735 MLB MLECHC 100% 351317 6710214 271024 11 213284393677 180263 298 299 89 -5 -0 +2 +1 +8 0.6
202826 MLB CTXCHC 100% 614547 14126631 531559 386 259335498834 239302 259 363 132 +23 +5 +13 +2 +13 5.8
202927 MLB CTXCHC 100% 614547 14126631 531569 386 258334496830 238302 259 361 131 +22 +5 +13 +2 +13 5.7
203028 MLB CTXCHC 100% 614547 14026630 531579 356 256332491824 235301 269 359 129 +21 +5 +12 +2 +13 5.5
203129 MLB CTXCHC 100% 614547 14026630 531599 315 254330485815 231300 269 355 127 +19 +4 +12 +2 +13 5.2
203230 MLB CTXCHC 100% 614547 13725629 531619 264 251326477804 227298 269 351 123 +17 +4 +11 +2 +13 4.8
203331 MLB CTXCHC 100% 606542 13224528 511618 194 246321467789 221295 278 345 119 +14 +2 +10 +2 +13 4.2
203432 MLB CTXCHC 100% 583521 12623526 491578 123 241315454768 213290 278 337 114 +10 +1 +9 +2 +13 3.5
203533 MLB CTXCHC 100% 476428 10017421 391316 52 233306436743 203283 288 326 107 +4 +0 +6 +2 +10 2.2
203634 MLB CTXCHC 100% 419377 8414317 341195 11 224296416712 192275 288 314 98 -1 -0 +4 +1 +9 1.4
203735 MLB CTXCHC 100% 351317 6811313 271024 11 214284392677 179266 298 300 89 -5 -0 +2 +1 +8 0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 73076523 161829968342 6011905103 31158 248321472793 224295 268 346 117 +174 +39 +127 +28 +158 53.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650580 14427630 531699 285 248320471791 222296 268 346 117 +15 +3 +11 +3 +14 4.8
Career— MLE — 90418104 200636379418 7092394136 43188 248319467785 219297 268 342 117 +197 +44 +140 +30 +172 59.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 14426630 5117210 316 247319467785 220296 268 342 117 +16 +4 +11 +3 +14 4.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAAIowa Cubs · 117 PAwOBA .337 → .272 (−65)K% 27.4% → 32.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.35%÷0.998×1.200——32.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.27%÷0.949×0.690—×1.0503.26%
HBP% /PA0.85%—×0.940—×1.0500.84%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷0.994×0.930×0.973×1.05014.71%
Doubles /BIP11.54%÷0.962×0.830×0.973×1.05010.17%
Triples /BIP2.56%÷1.000×0.970×0.973×1.0502.54%
Home runs /BIP6.41%÷1.079×0.700—×1.0504.37%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 99, 2B 92, 3B 100, K 100, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .337 → .272; ISO .255 → .190; BABIP .315 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AATennessee Smokies · 342 PAwOBA .385 → .322 (−63)K% 24.0% → 29.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.98%÷1.008×1.220——29.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.06%÷1.059×0.680—×1.0506.11%
HBP% /PA2.92%—×0.840—×1.0502.58%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷0.975×0.920×0.950×1.05020.91%
Doubles /BIP8.80%÷1.023×0.910×0.950×1.0507.81%
Triples /BIP2.31%÷0.966×0.880×0.950×1.0502.10%
Home runs /BIP6.48%÷1.082×0.800—×1.0505.03%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 95, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 102, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .385 → .322; ISO .238 → .194; BABIP .351 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAIowa Cubs · 158 PAwOBA .354 → .290 (−64)K% 29.7% → 35.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA29.75%÷1.019×1.200——35.03%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.49%÷1.014×0.690—×1.0506.78%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.940—×1.0501.25%
Singles /BIP24.73%÷1.025×0.930×0.968×1.05022.81%
Doubles /BIP7.53%÷1.049×0.830×0.968×1.0506.05%
Triples /BIP2.15%÷0.916×0.970×0.968×1.0502.32%
Home runs /BIP6.45%÷0.965×0.700—×1.0504.91%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 83, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .354 → .290; ISO .207 → .163; BABIP .368 → .328. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+South Bend Cubs · 288 PAwOBA .354 → .290 (−64)K% 24.0% → 30.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.96%÷1.003×1.270——30.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.51%÷0.986×0.710—×1.0423.39%
HBP% /PA2.08%—×0.790—×1.0421.71%
Singles /BIP22.96%÷1.010×0.920×0.968×1.04221.10%
Doubles /BIP7.65%÷1.020×0.810×0.968×1.0426.13%
Triples /BIP3.57%÷1.097×0.850×0.968×1.0422.79%
Home runs /BIP4.59%÷0.938×0.800—×1.0424.08%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 119, K 101, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.

Result: wOBA .354 → .290; ISO .211 → .168; BABIP .353 → .308. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans · 183 PAwOBA .427 → .364 (−63)K% 18.0% → 25.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.03%÷0.978×1.360——25.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.48%÷1.017×0.690—×1.0308.02%
HBP% /PA1.64%—×0.780—×1.0301.32%
Singles /BIP32.80%÷0.975×0.920×0.989×1.03031.55%
Doubles /BIP4.00%÷0.947×0.830×0.989×1.0303.57%
Triples /BIP2.40%÷1.068×0.910×0.989×1.0302.08%
Home runs /BIP5.60%÷0.942×0.800—×1.0304.90%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 114, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .427 → .364; ISO .203 → .170; BABIP .415 → .391. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ASt. Lucie Mets · 32 PAwOBA .471 → .396 (−75)K% 18.8% → 27.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.75%÷0.945×1.360——26.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.88%÷1.041×0.690—×1.04515.15%
HBP% /PA3.12%—×0.780—×1.0452.55%
Singles /BIP44.44%÷1.028×0.920—×1.04541.55%
Doubles /BIP11.11%÷0.935×0.830—×1.04510.31%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.137×0.910—×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.988×0.800—×1.0450.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 87, 3B 127, K 89, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .471 → .396; ISO .083 → .076; BABIP .556 → .519. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).