Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF Chicago Cubs

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 184 lbs MLB Svc 1.988 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION418 act + 278 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 70117vR 136

AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .340 / .491

PA278

HR13

SB17

K%25

BB%9

BABIP310

ISO231

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4611.4%

xwOBA

630.323

POWER55

Barrel%

6710.8

Avg EV

5689.5

Bat Spd

7173.6

EYE25

Chase%

4832.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.5

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1164 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

326

838

—

wRC+

111

▶▶R

wOBA

262

330

▶▶R

ISO

141

208

▶▶R

BABIP

277

291

▶R

28.8%

22.6%

▶▶R

BB%

2.5%

5.3%

▶▶R

Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.988 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$4M	+3.0	$24M	+$20M
2027	Ext	$14M	+5.7	$42M	+$30M
2028	Ext	$18M	+5.8	$40M	+$25M
2029	Ext	$22M	+5.8	$37M	+$21M
2030	Ext	$25M	+5.5	$32M	+$16M
2031	Ext	$26M	+5.2	$28M	+$13M
Totals		$109M		$204M	+$125M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	32	27	9	2	0	0	4	9	1	2	3	333	438	407	845	74	500	28	12	374	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	32	24	10	2	0	0	7	6	1	2	3	417	562	500	1.062	83	556	19	22	482	227	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	471	437	110	15	6	15	22	142	9	32	11	252	301	416	718	165	336	30	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	471	423	132	20	10	16	36	102	9	32	11	312	378	520	898	208	377	22	8	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	3 teams	—	519	469	106	20	7	16	32	166	12	39	12	226	292	401	693	175	310	32	6	296	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	3 teams	—	519	452	124	26	7	20	49	136	12	39	12	274	361	496	856	221	348	26	9	373	144	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB	2 teams	—	527	484	110	20	8	13	25	137	7	37	3	227	275	382	657	155	288	26	5	280	72	-17	+6	+12	+2	+15	1.9
2024	22	MLB	2 teams	—	527	482	116	22	8	15	27	130	7	37	3	241	291	413	704	172	297	25	5	305	91	-5	+6	+12	+2	+15	3.1
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	647	591	144	36	4	30	29	155	9	35	8	244	289	470	760	227	273	24	4	319	102	+2	+4	+17	+2	+18	4.4
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	647	591	146	37	4	31	29	155	9	35	8	247	293	481	773	234	276	24	4	328	109	+7	+4	+17	+2	+18	4.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	CHC	—	418	358	104	15	4	21	47	108	10	24	6	291	388	531	919	240	359	26	11	393	159	+28	+2	+6	+1	+12	5.0
YTD	24	MLB	CHC	—	418	358	104	15	4	21	47	108	10	24	6	291	388	531	919	240	359	26	11	401	165	+31	+2	+6	+1	+12	5.3
ROS	24	MLB	CHC	100%	278	246	64	12	3	13	24	70	6	17	3	259	340	491	830	231	301	25	9	354	129	+9	+2	+5	+1	+8	2.6
ROS	24	MLB	CHC	100%	279	247	64	12	3	13	24	70	6	17	3	259	339	490	829	231	303	25	9	341	119	+6	+2	+5	+1	+8	2.3
FULL	24	MLB	CHC	—	697	605	168	27	7	34	71	178	16	41	9	278	368	514	883	236	338	26	10	372	143	+34	+5	+11	+2	+20	7.3
TOT	24	MLB	CHC	—	696	604	168	27	7	34	71	178	16	41	9	278	369	514	883	236	339	26	10	377	147	+37	+5	+11	+2	+20	7.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CHC	100%	660	585	141	26	6	30	57	165	13	40	8	241	322	460	782	219	279	25	9	342	120	+15	+5	+12	+2	+19	5.5
2028	26	MLB	CHC	100%	660	584	141	26	6	31	58	165	13	40	8	241	324	466	789	224	279	25	9	344	121	+16	+5	+12	+2	+19	5.5
2029	27	MLB	CHC	100%	656	580	139	26	5	30	58	165	13	40	8	240	323	457	779	217	279	25	9	344	121	+16	+5	+12	+2	+19	5.5
2030	28	MLB	CHC	100%	643	568	136	25	5	30	57	162	13	37	8	239	323	460	782	220	279	25	9	343	121	+15	+4	+11	+2	+18	5.2
2031	29	MLB	CHC	100%	630	555	132	24	5	29	57	160	13	34	7	238	323	456	779	218	278	25	9	341	119	+14	+4	+10	+2	+18	4.9
2032	30	MLB	CHC	100%	617	545	129	24	5	28	55	158	12	30	6	237	320	453	773	217	277	26	9	339	117	+12	+4	+10	+2	+17	4.6
2033	31	MLB	CHC	100%	605	534	125	23	5	27	54	157	12	25	5	234	318	448	766	213	274	26	9	334	114	+10	+3	+9	+2	+17	4.1
2034	32	MLB	CHC	100%	593	523	119	21	4	26	53	157	12	21	4	228	313	432	745	205	271	26	9	329	110	+6	+3	+8	+2	+17	3.6
2035	33	MLB	CHC	100%	520	459	103	18	4	22	46	140	10	14	3	224	309	425	734	200	266	27	9	321	104	+2	+2	+6	+2	+15	2.7
2036	34	MLB	CHC	96%	472	418	90	15	4	19	42	130	9	9	2	215	301	407	707	191	260	28	9	312	97	-2	+1	+4	+2	+13	1.9
2037	35	MLB	CHC	91%	417	370	77	12	3	16	36	118	8	6	1	208	292	386	679	178	256	28	9	304	91	-4	+1	+2	+1	+12	1.2
2027	25	MLB	CHC	100%	660	585	142	26	6	31	57	165	13	40	8	243	324	467	790	224	281	25	9	330	110	+8	+5	+12	+2	+19	4.7
2028	26	MLB	CHC	100%	660	584	142	26	6	31	58	165	13	40	8	243	325	467	793	224	281	25	9	331	111	+8	+5	+12	+2	+19	4.8
2029	27	MLB	CHC	100%	656	580	140	26	5	31	58	165	13	40	8	241	324	464	788	222	281	25	9	331	111	+8	+5	+12	+2	+19	4.8
2030	28	MLB	CHC	100%	643	568	136	25	5	30	57	162	13	37	8	239	323	460	782	220	280	25	9	330	111	+8	+4	+11	+2	+18	4.5
2031	29	MLB	CHC	100%	630	555	133	25	5	29	57	160	13	34	7	240	325	459	784	220	280	25	9	328	110	+7	+4	+10	+2	+18	4.2
2032	30	MLB	CHC	100%	617	545	129	24	5	28	55	158	12	30	6	237	320	453	773	217	278	26	9	326	108	+5	+4	+10	+2	+17	3.9
2033	31	MLB	CHC	100%	605	534	125	23	5	27	54	157	12	25	5	234	318	448	766	213	276	26	9	322	104	+3	+3	+9	+2	+17	3.5
2034	32	MLB	CHC	100%	593	523	120	22	4	26	53	157	12	21	4	229	315	436	751	207	272	26	9	316	100	+0	+3	+8	+2	+17	3.0
2035	33	MLB	CHC	100%	520	459	103	18	4	22	46	140	10	14	3	224	309	425	734	200	267	27	9	309	95	-3	+2	+6	+2	+15	2.1
2036	34	MLB	CHC	96%	451	399	86	15	3	18	40	124	9	9	2	216	301	404	705	188	261	27	9	300	88	-6	+1	+4	+2	+13	1.3
2037	35	MLB	CHC	91%	379	336	71	11	3	15	33	107	7	5	1	211	295	396	691	185	257	28	9	292	81	-8	+1	+2	+1	+11	0.7
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	7769	6892	1625	303	64	342	645	1990	148	376	76	236	315	447	762	211	278	26	8	321	104	+31	+45	+132	+30	+220	46.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	136	25	5	29	54	166	12	31	6	236	314	447	761	211	277	26	8	321	104	+3	+4	+11	+3	+18	3.9
Career	—			—	8947	7975	1875	345	80	375	709	2356	172	458	100	235	311	439	751	204	283	26	8	327	108	+83	+52	+132	+32	+254	56.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	136	25	6	27	52	171	12	33	7	235	311	439	750	204	283	26	8	327	108	+6	+4	+10	+2	+18	4.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	—	32	24	10	2	0	0	7	6	1	2	3	417	562	500	1.062	83	556	19	22	482	227	+5	-1	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	288	265	76	15	7	9	14	69	6	19	7	287	337	498	835	211	353	24	5	362	135	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.1
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	183	158	56	5	3	7	22	33	3	13	4	354	443	557	1.000	203	415	18	12	440	195	+20	+1	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	21	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	19	14	0	0	0	0	3	7	0	2	2		176		176			37	16	110	-57	-3	-0	+1	+2	+1	-0.1
2023	21	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	158	140	38	7	2	6	15	47	2	10	2	271	350	479	829	207	368	30	9	364	136	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	342	298	86	19	5	14	31	82	10	27	8	289	375	527	901	238	351	24	9	392	158	+22	+2	—	—	+10	3.5
2024	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	410	372	88	13	6	10	21	98	6	27	3	237	288	384	673	148	292	24	5	292	82	-9	+4	+12	+2	+12	2.2
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	117	110	28	9	2	5	6	32	1	10	0	255	299	509	808	255	315	27	5	350	126	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	647	591	146	37	4	31	29	155	9	35	8	247	293	481	773	234	276	24	4	328	109	+7	+4	+17	+2	+18	4.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1076	977	234	50	10	41	53	260	15	64	13	240	289	437	726	198	279	24	5	310	96	-5	+8	+30	+6	+30	7.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jimmy Rollinslast yr '16 career totals — 17 seasons, 10,240 PA	17	10,240	231	470	264	324	418	+85	+140	66.8	55.5
	/162	664	15	30	264	324	418	+5.5	+9.1	4.3	pk7: 44
#2Ian Kinslerlast yr '19 career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA	14	8,299	257	243	269	337	440	+30	+66	53.0	44.3
	/162	664	21	19	269	337	440	+2.4	+5.3	4.2	pk7: 36
#3Brandon Phillipslast yr '17 career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA	13	7,896	210	209	276	320	422	+28	+83	41.5	36.8
	/162	664	18	18	276	320	422	+2.4	+7.0	3.5	pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	8,578	374	425	238	312	448	+11	+143	45.0	36.7
	/162	664	29	33	238	312	448	+0.9	+11.1	3.5	pk7: 28
#4Mike Cameronlast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA	12	6,303	234	209	251	339	451	-1	+38	40.1	36.5
	/162	664	25	22	251	339	451	-0.1	+4.0	4.2	pk7: 33
#5Brian Dozierlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,884 PA	8	4,884	192	105	245	326	442	+20	+24	27.7	27.6
	/162	664	26	14	245	326	442	+2.7	+3.2	3.8	pk7: 28
#6Carlos Gómezlast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA	13	5,227	145	268	252	313	411	+11	+80	28.2	26.7
	/162	664	18	34	252	313	411	+1.4	+10.2	3.6	pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pete Crow-Armstrong (OGILVIE)	24	45	55	60	25	278/369/514	236	339	34	41	26%	10%	147	+7.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	49→50	59→60	55→60	45	255/317/472	218	314	27	24	28%	8%	123	+3.3	253/319/455	202	313	27	31	27%	8%	119	+3.1	247/320/444	197	301	28	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Kyle Tucker 2021 · MLB	24	46→54	59→65	58→55	46	245/304/461	216	283	27	23	24%	7%	115	+2.7	264/334/486	222	280	27	20	17%	9%	133	+4.0	267/372/486	219	277	26	25	15%	14%	139	+4.0
●Corbin Carroll 2023 · MLB	22	49→54	58→65	62→60	46	249/327/469	221	326	23	25	30%	9%	125	+3.5	252/333/465	213	296	22	34	22%	9%	127	+3.6	249/336/472	222	286	23	37	21%	10%	126	+3.9
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
●Carlos González 2011 · MLB	25	54→56	55→60	57→55	46	274/325/470	196	320	22	20	22%	7%	124	+3.4	262/328/448	186	306	22	22	21%	9%	121	+3.2	254/329/440	185	298	22	24	22%	9%	109	+2.0
✕Jake Fraley 2020 · MLB	25	50	56→60	52→55	41	256/305/454	199	317	22	18	27%	5%	113	+2.6	245/325/428	183	313	22	18	27%	10%	115	+2.7	241/341/414	173	287	23	23	23%	12%	114	+1.5
●Bo Bichette 2022 · MLB	24	56→62	56→60	55	45	288/333/477	190	330	24	20	21%	6%	131	+3.9	285/326/453	168	336	20	11	21%	6%	121	+3.2	288/331/441	153	329	16	5	17%	6%	116	+2.5
★Bobby Witt Jr. 2023 · MLB	23	48→58	56→65	56→60	42	250/297/447	197	293	24	25	24%	6%	108	+2.3	293/343/519	226	326	26	31	18%	7%	145	+4.9	306/361/543	236	337	26	34	17%	7%	152	+6.2
●Esteury Ruiz 2023 · MLB	24	53→59	52→50	66→70	46	263/340/433	170	325	19	56	24%	7%	122	+3.3	260/327/400	140	322	14	61	23%	6%	108	+2.3	258/342/431	173	329	19	69	25%	9%	118	+1.3
●Steven Souza Jr. 2015 · MLB	26	52→56	55→60	54→55	47	263/329/457	193	325	23	24	26%	8%	123	+3.3	245/323/433	188	329	24	16	31%	10%	115	+2.7	235/325/431	197	314	26	14	32%	11%	113	+2.2
●Luis Robert Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	54→57	56→60	54→60	42	274/326/471	197	341	24	19	26%	6%	126	+3.5	265/312/457	192	323	25	19	25%	5%	117	+2.9	250/299/444	193	309	26	22	28%	5%	103	+1.6
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA	24	46→51	56→55	54→60	46	243/303/433	190	278	25	19	23%	7%	107	+2.2	226/297/362	136	291	14	29	26%	8%	85	+0.7	236/306/357	121	292	13	33	22%	8%	85	+0.6
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	55→58	52→60	58→55	42	272/318/450	179	339	19	24	25%	6%	117	+2.9	272/311/443	171	319	20	19	21%	5%	112	+2.6	267/300/430	164	305	20	18	20%	4%	102	+1.7
●Julio Rodríguez 2023 · MLB	22	57→56	60	55	45	291/349/506	216	356	28	24	26%	7%	144	+4.8	280/336/479	199	339	26	26	24%	7%	132	+4.0	277/333/472	195	330	26	27	24%	6%	124	+3.8
✕Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	49→52	51→45	56→50	48	247/333/412	165	303	18	23	24%	8%	114	+2.7	229/320/355	126	286	12	13	23%	9%	94	+1.3	238/326/362	125	285	12	10	20%	9%	95	+1.1
●Randy Arozarena 2021 · MLB	26	52→57	54→55	51→55	44	262/336/446	184	324	22	23	25%	6%	124	+3.4	263/342/453	190	333	21	22	26%	9%	128	+3.6	259/347/445	186	326	21	23	25%	10%	124	+3.6
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	55→60	51→50	56→55	43	272/338/433	162	329	18	21	22%	6%	121	+3.2	251/311/378	127	291	13	24	18%	5%	95	+1.4	238/299/349	111	274	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Chris Young 2006 · AA	22	44→49	57→60	55	46	231/302/438	206	297	24	23	30%	8%	108	+2.3	232/297/432	200	270	23	20	23%	8%	104	+2.0	239/321/428	189	289	20	17	24%	10%	109	+2.5
●Trent Grisham 2021 · MLB	24	46→50	55→60	54→55	53	239/324/429	190	289	23	14	25%	11%	114	+2.7	226/317/403	177	281	20	13	26%	11%	105	+2.1	221/330/419	198	244	27	6	22%	13%	112	+1.6
★George Springer 2015 · MLB	25	44→54	57→70	55	44	229/310/424	195	320	26	22	35%	9%	108	+2.3	256/346/445	189	317	24	13	25%	11%	128	+3.6	269/357/488	218	293	30	6	19%	11%	140	+4.5