Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF Chicago Cubs
Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 184 lbs MLB Svc 1.988 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION418 act + 278 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 70117vR 136
AVG/OBP/SLG.259 / .340 / .491
PA278
HR13
SB17
K%25
BB%9
BABIP310
ISO231
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +36.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+37BATRUN: +7.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+8RUNFLD: +10.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+11FLDPOS: +2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +19.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+20REPTotal WAR: +7.60+7.6WAR
0.03.06.03.05.75.85.85.55.2+$139M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
4611.4%
xwOBA
630.323
POWER55
Barrel%
6710.8
Avg EV
5689.5
Bat Spd
7173.6
EYE25
Chase%
4832.1%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.5
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1164 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
326
838
wRC+
59
111
▶▶R
wOBA
262
330
▶▶R
ISO
141
208
▶▶R
BABIP
277
291
R
K%
28.8%
22.6%
▶▶R
BB%
2.5%
5.3%
▶▶R
Contract CONFIRMED · hand-curated extension
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2023
Service   1.988 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$4M+3.0$24M+$20M
2027Ext$14M+5.7$42M+$30M
2028Ext$18M+5.8$40M+$25M
2029Ext$22M+5.8$37M+$21M
2030Ext$25M+5.5$32M+$16M
2031Ext$26M+5.2$28M+$13M
Totals $109M $204M +$125M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202119 ASt. Lucie Mets 3227 9200 491 23 333438407845 74500 2812 374 144
202119 ASt. Lucie Mets 3224 10200 761 23 4175625001.062 83556 1922 482 227
202220 A+2 teams 471437 11015615 221429 3211 252301416718 165336 305 308 94
202220 A+2 teams 471423 132201016 361029 3211 312378520898 208377 228 392 158
202321 AA3 teams 519469 10620716 3216612 3912 226292401693 175310 326 296 84
202321 AA3 teams 519452 12426720 4913612 3912 274361496856 221348 269 373 144
202422 MLB2 teams 527484 11020813 251377 373 227275382657 155288 265 280 72 -17 +6 +12 +2 +15 1.9
202422 MLB2 teams 527482 11622815 271307 373 241291413704 172297 255 305 91 -5 +6 +12 +2 +15 3.1
202523 MLBChicago Cubs 647591 14436430 291559 358 244289470760 227273 244 319 102 +2 +4 +17 +2 +18 4.4
202523 MLBChicago Cubs 647591 14637431 291559 358 247293481773 234276 244 328 109 +7 +4 +17 +2 +18 4.9
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 MLBCHC 418358 10415421 4710810 246 291388531919 240359 2611 393 159 +28 +2 +6 +1 +12 5.0
YTD24 MLBCHC 418358 10415421 4710810 246 291388531919 240359 2611 401 165 +31 +2 +6 +1 +12 5.3
ROS24 MLBCHC 100% 278246 6412313 24706 173 259340491830 231301 259 354 129 +9 +2 +5 +1 +8 2.6
ROS24 MLBCHC 100% 279247 6412313 24706 173 259339490829 231303 259 341 119 +6 +2 +5 +1 +8 2.3
FULL24 MLBCHC 697605 16827734 7117816 419 278368514883 236338 2610 372 143 +34 +5 +11 +2 +20 7.3
TOT24 MLBCHC 696604 16827734 7117816 419 278369514883 236339 2610 377 147 +37 +5 +11 +2 +20 7.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBCHC 100% 660585 14126630 5716513 408 241322460782 219279 259 342 120 +15 +5 +12 +2 +19 5.5
202826 MLBCHC 100% 660584 14126631 5816513 408 241324466789 224279 259 344 121 +16 +5 +12 +2 +19 5.5
202927 MLBCHC 100% 656580 13926530 5816513 408 240323457779 217279 259 344 121 +16 +5 +12 +2 +19 5.5
203028 MLBCHC 100% 643568 13625530 5716213 378 239323460782 220279 259 343 121 +15 +4 +11 +2 +18 5.2
203129 MLBCHC 100% 630555 13224529 5716013 347 238323456779 218278 259 341 119 +14 +4 +10 +2 +18 4.9
203230 MLBCHC 100% 617545 12924528 5515812 306 237320453773 217277 269 339 117 +12 +4 +10 +2 +17 4.6
203331 MLBCHC 100% 605534 12523527 5415712 255 234318448766 213274 269 334 114 +10 +3 +9 +2 +17 4.1
203432 MLBCHC 100% 593523 11921426 5315712 214 228313432745 205271 269 329 110 +6 +3 +8 +2 +17 3.6
203533 MLBCHC 100% 520459 10318422 4614010 143 224309425734 200266 279 321 104 +2 +2 +6 +2 +15 2.7
203634 MLBCHC 96% 472418 9015419 421309 92 215301407707 191260 289 312 97 -2 +1 +4 +2 +13 1.9
203735 MLBCHC 91% 417370 7712316 361188 61 208292386679 178256 289 304 91 -4 +1 +2 +1 +12 1.2
203836 MLBCHC 82% 356315 6510313 311047 31 206292381673 175252 299 294 83 -7 +0 +0 +1 +10 0.5
203937 MLBCHC 73% 292260 507210 25875 10 192276350626 158248 309 284 76 -8 +0 -1 +1 +8 -0.0
202725 MLBCHC 100% 660585 14226631 5716513 408 243324467790 224281 259 330 110 +8 +5 +12 +2 +19 4.7
202826 MLBCHC 100% 660584 14226631 5816513 408 243325467793 224281 259 331 111 +8 +5 +12 +2 +19 4.8
202927 MLBCHC 100% 656580 14026531 5816513 408 241324464788 222281 259 331 111 +8 +5 +12 +2 +19 4.8
203028 MLBCHC 100% 643568 13625530 5716213 378 239323460782 220280 259 330 111 +8 +4 +11 +2 +18 4.5
203129 MLBCHC 100% 630555 13325529 5716013 347 240325459784 220280 259 328 110 +7 +4 +10 +2 +18 4.2
203230 MLBCHC 100% 617545 12924528 5515812 306 237320453773 217278 269 326 108 +5 +4 +10 +2 +17 3.9
203331 MLBCHC 100% 605534 12523527 5415712 255 234318448766 213276 269 322 104 +3 +3 +9 +2 +17 3.5
203432 MLBCHC 100% 593523 12022426 5315712 214 229315436751 207272 269 316 100 +0 +3 +8 +2 +17 3.0
203533 MLBCHC 100% 520459 10318422 4614010 143 224309425734 200267 279 309 95 -3 +2 +6 +2 +15 2.1
203634 MLBCHC 96% 451399 8615318 401249 92 216301404705 188261 279 300 88 -6 +1 +4 +2 +13 1.3
203735 MLBCHC 91% 379336 7111315 331077 51 211295396691 185257 289 292 81 -8 +1 +2 +1 +11 0.7
203836 MLBCHC 82% 292260 538211 25855 21 204286377663 173253 299 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +1 +8 0.1
203937 MLBCHC 73% 213189 37527 18644 10 196280354634 159249 308 272 66 -8 +0 -1 +1 +6 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 82747341 171531668360 6882139157 37977 234313442755 209277 268 318 102 +14 +45 +131 +32 +234 46.6
/ 162G 650577 13425528 5416812 306 232311438750 206275 268 318 102 +1 +4 +10 +2 +18 3.7
Career 95958550 199036285398 7652547184 462101 233309435744 202281 278 324 106 +68 +52 +131 +34 +272 56.9
/ 162G 650579 13625627 5217312 317 235311439750 204285 278 324 106 +5 +3 +9 +2 +18 3.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202119 ASt. Lucie Mets 3224 10200 761 23 4175625001.062 83556 1922 482 227 +5 -1 +1 0.5
202220 A+South Bend Cubs 288265 761579 14696 197 287337498835 211353 245 362 135 +11 +1 +8 2.1
202220 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 183158 56537 22333 134 3544435571.000 203415 1812 440 195 +20 +1 +5 2.6
202321 MLBChicago Cubs 1914 0000 370 22 176176 3716 110 -57 -3 -0 +1 +2 +1 -0.1
202321 AAAIowa Cubs 158140 38726 15472 102 271350479829 207368 309 364 136 +7 +1 +4 1.2
202321 AATennessee Smokies 342298 8619514 318210 278 289375527901 238351 249 392 158 +22 +2 +10 3.5
202422 MLBChicago Cubs 410372 8813610 21986 273 237288384673 148292 245 292 82 -9 +4 +12 +2 +12 2.2
202422 AAAIowa Cubs 117110 28925 6321 100 255299509808 255315 275 350 126 +3 +2 +3 0.9
202523 MLBChicago Cubs 647591 14637431 291559 358 247293481773 234276 244 328 109 +7 +4 +17 +2 +18 4.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1076977 234501041 5326015 6413 240289437726 198279 245 310 96 -5 +8 +30 +6 +30 7.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jimmy Rollinslast yr '16
career totals — 17 seasons, 10,240 PA
1710,240231470264324418+85+14066.855.5
/1626641530+5.5+9.14.3pk7: 44
#2Ian Kinslerlast yr '19
career totals — 14 seasons, 8,299 PA
148,299257243269337440+30+6653.044.3
/1626642119+2.4+5.34.2pk7: 36
#3Brandon Phillipslast yr '17
career totals — 13 seasons, 7,896 PA
137,896210209276320422+28+8341.536.8
/1626641818+2.4+7.03.5pk7: 32
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 16 projected seasons
169,083392428236311444+6+15345.036.7
/1626642931+0.4+11.23.3pk7: 28
#4Mike Cameronlast yr '11
career totals — 12 seasons, 6,303 PA
126,303234209251339451-1+3840.136.5
/1626642522-0.1+4.04.2pk7: 33
#5Carlos Gómezlast yr '19
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA
135,227145268252313411+11+8028.226.7
/1626641834+1.4+10.23.6pk7: 25
#6B.J. Uptonlast yr '16
career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA
125,858164300243321402+14+1724.524.5
/1626641934+1.6+2.02.8pk7: 25

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Pete Crow-Armstrong (OGILVIE) 24 45 55 60 25 278/369/514 236339 3441 26% 10% 147 +7.6
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
2023 · MLB
25 49→50 59→60 55→60 45 255/317/472 218314 2724 28% 8% 123 +3.3 253/319/455 202313 2731 27% 8% 119 +3.1 247/320/444197301283627%9%113+2.3
Kyle Tucker
2021 · MLB
24 46→54 59→65 58→55 46 245/304/461 216283 2723 24% 7% 115 +2.7 264/334/486 222280 2720 17% 9% 133 +4.0 267/372/486219277262515%14%139+4.0
Corbin Carroll
2023 · MLB
22 49→54 58→65 62→60 46 249/327/469 221326 2325 30% 9% 125 +3.5 252/333/465 213296 2234 22% 9% 127 +3.6 249/336/472222286233721%10%126+3.9
Royce Lewis
2023 · MLB
24 50→49 54→60 55→50 45 256/314/439 183307 2123 24% 7% 112 +2.6 258/314/460 202301 2814 24% 7% 118 +3.0 245/301/434189280271223%7%103+1.2
Carlos González
2011 · MLB
25 54→56 55→60 57→55 46 274/325/470 196320 2220 22% 7% 124 +3.4 262/328/448 186306 2222 21% 9% 121 +3.2 254/329/440185298222422%9%109+2.0
Jake Fraley
2020 · MLB
25 50 56→60 52→55 41 256/305/454 199317 2218 27% 5% 113 +2.6 245/325/428 183313 2218 27% 10% 115 +2.7 241/341/414173287232323%12%114+1.5
Bo Bichette
2022 · MLB
24 56→62 56→60 55 45 288/333/477 190330 2420 21% 6% 131 +3.9 285/326/453 168336 2011 21% 6% 121 +3.2 288/331/44115332916517%6%116+2.5
Bobby Witt Jr.
2023 · MLB
23 48→58 56→65 56→60 42 250/297/447 197293 2425 24% 6% 108 +2.3 293/343/519 226326 2631 18% 7% 145 +4.9 306/361/543236337263417%7%152+6.2
Esteury Ruiz
2023 · MLB
24 53→59 52→50 66→70 46 263/340/433 170325 1956 24% 7% 122 +3.3 260/327/400 140322 1461 23% 6% 108 +2.3 258/342/431173329196925%9%118+1.3
Steven Souza Jr.
2015 · MLB
26 52→56 55→60 54→55 47 263/329/457 193325 2324 26% 8% 123 +3.3 245/323/433 188329 2416 31% 10% 115 +2.7 235/325/431197314261432%11%113+2.2
Luis Robert Jr.
2022 · MLB
24 54→57 56→60 54→60 42 274/326/471 197341 2419 26% 6% 126 +3.5 265/312/457 192323 2519 25% 5% 117 +2.9 250/299/444193309262228%5%103+1.6
Dustin Harris
2023 · AA
24 46→51 56→55 54→60 46 243/303/433 190278 2519 23% 7% 107 +2.2 226/297/362 136291 1429 26% 8% 85 +0.7 236/306/357121292133322%8%85+0.6
Michael Harris II
2023 · MLB
22 55→58 52→60 58→55 42 272/318/450 179339 1924 25% 6% 117 +2.9 272/311/443 171319 2019 21% 5% 112 +2.6 267/300/430164305201820%4%102+1.7
Julio Rodríguez
2023 · MLB
22 57→56 60 55 45 291/349/506 216356 2824 26% 7% 144 +4.8 280/336/479 199339 2626 24% 7% 132 +4.0 277/333/472195330262724%6%124+3.8
Josh Smith
2022 · AA
24 49→52 51→45 56→50 48 247/333/412 165303 1823 24% 8% 114 +2.7 229/320/355 126286 1213 23% 9% 94 +1.3 238/326/362125285121020%9%95+1.1
Randy Arozarena
2021 · MLB
26 52→57 54→55 51→55 44 262/336/446 184324 2223 25% 6% 124 +3.4 263/342/453 190333 2122 26% 9% 128 +3.6 259/347/445186326212325%10%124+3.6
Andrés Giménez
2023 · MLB
24 55→60 51→50 56→55 43 272/338/433 162329 1821 22% 6% 121 +3.2 251/311/378 127291 1324 18% 5% 95 +1.4 238/299/349111274112617%5%80+0.3
Chris Young
2006 · AA
22 44→49 57→60 55 46 231/302/438 206297 2423 30% 8% 108 +2.3 232/297/432 200270 2320 23% 8% 104 +2.0 239/321/428189289201724%10%109+2.5
Trent Grisham
2021 · MLB
24 46→50 55→60 54→55 53 239/324/429 190289 2314 25% 11% 114 +2.7 226/317/403 177281 2013 26% 11% 105 +2.1 221/330/41919824427622%13%112+1.6
George Springer
2015 · MLB
25 44→54 57→70 55 44 229/310/424 195320 2622 35% 9% 108 +2.3 256/346/445 189317 2413 25% 11% 128 +3.6 269/357/48821829330619%11%140+4.5