Pete Crow-Armstrong

Pete Crow-ArmstrongCF Chicago Cubs

Age 24 L/L 6'0" / 184 lbs MLB BB +5%HR -4% Svc 1.988 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 4.1 · 2028

wRC+†vL 4696vR 104

AVG/OBP/SLG.247 / .294 / .444

PA647

HR26

SB38

K%25

BB%5

xwOBA.269

Barrel%6.0%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

38↘25

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.988 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+3.3	$26M	+$26M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+4.0	$33M	+$32M
2028	Arb-1	$9M	+4.1	$35M	+$26M
2029	Arb-2	$15M	+4.0	$35M	+$20M
2030	Arb-3	$22M	+3.8	$34M	+$12M
Totals		$47M		$163M	+$116M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	32	26	9	2	0	0	5	9	1	2	3	.346	.469	.423	.892	.077	.529	28	16	.380	149	+2	-1	+0	+0	+1	0.2
2022	20	A+	2 teams	471	437	111	15	7	14	22	135	9	32	11	.254	.303	.416	.720	.162	.333	29	5	.309	95	-3	+2	+0	+2	+13	1.4
2023	21	AA	3 teams	519	468	105	21	6	17	33	168	12	39	12	.224	.292	.404	.696	.179	.308	32	6	.297	85	-9	+3	+1	+2	+15	1.2
2024	22	MLB	2 teams	527	484	113	21	7	14	25	136	7	37	3	.233	.281	.393	.674	.159	.294	26	5	.286	77	-14	+6	+12	+2	+15	2.2
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	647	591	146	36	3	32	29	155	9	35	8	.247	.293	.481	.773	.234	.274	24	4	.323	106	+4	+4	+17	+2	+18	4.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	Chicago Cubs	103	95	23	3	1	1	5	29	2	5	3	.242	.294	.326	.620	.084	.338	28	5	.270	65	-4	-0	+6	+0	+3	0.5
ROS	24	MLB	CHC	544	504	126	25	4	19	27	138	8	33	8	.250	.299	.429	.727	.179	.303	25	5	.319	102	+1	+3	+6	+2	+15	2.9
TOT	24	MLB	CHC	647	599	149	28	5	20	32	167	10	38	11	.249	.298	.412	.710	.164	.311	26	5	.311	96	-3	+3	+12	+2	+18	3.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	CHC	652	604	151	30	5	23	33	127	10	39	9	.250	.300	.430	.730	.180	.279	19	5	.322	105	+4	+4	+7	+2	+18	3.7
2028	26	MLB	CHC	652	602	151	29	5	24	35	127	10	39	9	.251	.303	.435	.738	.184	.280	19	5	.324	106	+4	+4	+7	+2	+18	3.8
2029	27	MLB	CHC	647	597	150	29	5	24	35	127	10	38	9	.251	.304	.437	.741	.186	.280	20	5	.324	106	+4	+4	+7	+2	+18	3.7
2030	28	MLB	CHC	639	589	147	29	5	23	35	127	10	37	8	.250	.303	.433	.736	.183	.279	20	5	.323	105	+4	+4	+7	+2	+18	3.6
2031	29	MLB	CHC	627	577	143	28	5	22	35	126	10	35	7	.248	.302	.428	.730	.180	.278	20	6	.321	104	+3	+4	+6	+2	+18	3.3
2032	30	MLB	CHC	615	567	140	27	5	22	34	126	9	33	7	.247	.300	.429	.729	.182	.277	20	6	.318	101	+1	+4	+5	+2	+17	3.0
2033	31	MLB	CHC	600	553	134	26	4	21	33	125	9	29	6	.242	.296	.418	.714	.175	.276	21	6	.314	98	-1	+3	+4	+2	+17	2.6
2034	32	MLB	CHC	581	535	128	25	4	19	32	124	9	26	5	.239	.293	.407	.701	.168	.274	21	6	.309	95	-3	+3	+3	+2	+16	2.2
2035	33	MLB	CHC	551	508	120	23	4	18	30	121	8	23	4	.236	.289	.404	.693	.167	.273	22	5	.303	90	-6	+3	+2	+2	+16	1.7
2036	34	MLB	CHC	503	464	107	20	4	15	27	115	7	19	3	.231	.283	.388	.671	.157	.271	23	5	.296	85	-8	+3	+1	+2	+14	1.1
2037	35	MLB	CHC	446	413	92	17	3	13	24	107	6	16	2	.223	.275	.373	.648	.150	.268	24	5	.288	79	-11	+2	-1	+2	+13	0.6
2038	36	MLB	CHC	385	357	77	14	3	10	20	96	5	13	2	.216	.267	.356	.623	.140	.265	25	5	.279	72	-12	+2	-2	+1	+11	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9638	8876	2150	417	79	330	514	2189	149	525	116	.242	.295	.419	.713	.176	.284	23	5	.311	96	-41	+59	+83	+34	+273	41.7
/ 162G	—			650	599	144	28	5	22	35	148	10	35	8	.240	.294	.414	.708	.174	.282	23	5	.311	96	-3	+4	+6	+2	+18	2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	St. Lucie Mets	32	24	10	2	0	0	7	6	1	2	3	.417	.562	.500	1.062	.083	.556	19	22	.482	227	+5	-1	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	288	265	76	15	7	9	14	69	6	19	7	.287	.337	.498	.835	.211	.353	24	5	.362	135	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.1
2022	20	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	183	158	56	5	3	7	22	33	3	13	4	.354	.443	.557	1.000	.203	.415	18	12	.440	195	+20	+1	—	—	+5	2.6
2023	21	MLB	Chicago Cubs	19	14	0	0	0	0	3	7	0	2	2	.000	.176	.000	.176	.000	.000	37	16	.110	-57	-3	-0	+1	+2	+1	-0.1
2023	21	AAA	Iowa Cubs	158	140	38	7	2	6	15	47	2	10	2	.271	.350	.479	.829	.207	.368	30	9	.364	136	+7	+1	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	342	298	86	19	5	14	31	82	10	27	8	.289	.375	.527	.901	.238	.351	24	9	.392	158	+22	+2	—	—	+10	3.5
2024	22	MLB	Chicago Cubs	410	372	88	13	6	10	21	98	6	27	3	.237	.288	.384	.673	.148	.292	24	5	.292	82	-9	+4	+12	+2	+12	2.2
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	117	110	28	9	2	5	6	32	1	10	0	.255	.299	.509	.808	.255	.315	27	5	.350	126	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	647	591	146	37	4	31	29	155	9	35	8	.247	.293	.481	.773	.234	.276	24	4	.328	109	+7	+4	+17	+2	+18	4.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1076	977	234	50	10	41	53	260	15	64	13	.240	.289	.437	.726	.198	.279	24	5	.310	96	-5	+8	+30	+6	+30	7.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pete Crow-Armstrong (OGILVIE)	24	45	55	60	25	.247/.295/.425	.178	.279	23	39	20%	5%	102	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adalberto Mondesi 2019 · MLB	24	46→52	53→60	66→65	36	.238/.270/.414	.176	.307	20	40	30%	4%	87	+0.8	.243/.278/.411	.168	.326	18	47	30%	5%	89	+1.0	.236/.271/.398	.162	.320	17	58	31%	4%	81	+0.2
✕Corey Patterson 2005 · MLB	25	53→55	52→55	57→60	42	.267/.310/.443	.176	.322	19	23	23%	5%	111	+2.5	.251/.293/.406	.155	.297	18	31	22%	5%	95	+1.4	.247/.286/.384	.137	.285	15	39	19%	4%	81	+0.4
✕Andrés Giménez 2023 · MLB	24	54→60	52→50	56→55	43	.269/.335/.437	.168	.325	19	22	23%	6%	121	+3.2	.254/.315/.386	.132	.295	14	24	19%	5%	99	+1.7	.241/.301/.348	.107	.278	11	26	17%	5%	80	+0.3
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	55→60	45	.247/.310/.458	.212	.304	26	24	28%	8%	116	+2.8	.250/.316/.451	.201	.310	27	31	27%	8%	117	+2.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	52→60	55→50	45	.253/.312/.425	.172	.306	19	22	23%	7%	108	+2.3	.261/.317/.468	.207	.304	29	15	24%	7%	121	+3.2	.244/.300/.437	.193	.276	28	12	23%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	46→51	50	57→60	41	.236/.288/.385	.148	.298	19	31	27%	6%	87	+0.8	.219/.282/.353	.134	.274	17	25	26%	6%	77	+0.1	.202/.272/.322	.120	.252	16	24	26%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→60	49→50	62→60	45	.251/.315/.410	.159	.320	16	32	26%	7%	105	+2.1	.258/.320/.384	.126	.310	11	32	20%	7%	100	+1.7	.252/.316/.362	.110	.298	9	32	18%	6%	89	+0.8
●Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA	24	48→49	52→60	55→50	45	.246/.304/.414	.168	.285	20	19	22%	6%	102	+1.9	.238/.303/.424	.186	.278	22	16	23%	8%	105	+2.1	.235/.301/.435	.201	.269	26	15	23%	8%	102	+1.6
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→53	51→50	57→65	41	.232/.295/.387	.154	.318	19	32	32%	7%	91	+1.1	.234/.305/.351	.117	.323	11	40	29%	8%	85	+0.7	.233/.306/.338	.105	.319	9	43	27%	9%	80	+0.3
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	46→49	50	54→55	45	.235/.297/.389	.154	.303	18	23	28%	8%	92	+1.2	.226/.292/.355	.129	.293	13	15	26%	8%	81	+0.4	.219/.286/.334	.114	.279	11	12	24%	8%	71	-0.2
●Oneil Cruz 2023 · MLB	24	45→51	58→60	55	43	.237/.297/.442	.205	.306	26	20	31%	7%	106	+2.2	.235/.305/.421	.186	.312	23	23	30%	9%	104	+2.0	.228/.309/.413	.185	.304	24	33	31%	10%	96	+1.0
●Josh Smith 2022 · AA	24	49→53	51→45	56→50	48	.247/.333/.413	.166	.304	18	23	24%	8%	115	+2.7	.230/.322/.356	.126	.289	12	14	23%	9%	95	+1.4	.239/.327/.362	.123	.288	12	10	20%	9%	94	+1.0
✕Leonys Martin 2014 · MLB	26	52→55	47→50	58→60	45	.258/.309/.402	.144	.302	12	30	19%	6%	100	+1.7	.249/.301/.364	.115	.305	11	29	21%	6%	86	+0.8	.241/.297/.381	.140	.306	16	24	26%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	48→51	48→50	56→55	47	.241/.299/.386	.144	.291	15	23	22%	7%	92	+1.2	.225/.276/.329	.104	.297	10	20	26%	7%	67	-0.5	.216/.264/.311	.095	.291	8	20	27%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Peter Bourjos 2012 · MLB	25	51→55	48→55	62→60	43	.251/.300/.407	.156	.303	13	25	22%	5%	97	+1.5	.239/.297/.372	.133	.303	12	17	24%	6%	88	+0.9	.239/.281/.377	.139	.307	10	8	25%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jordany Valdespin 2013 · MLB	25	50→54	47→50	51→55	40	.252/.285/.390	.138	.297	15	25	21%	4%	87	+0.8	.246/.298/.380	.134	.279	15	20	17%	6%	90	+1.0	.246/.305/.360	.115	.275	11	17	15%	7%	85	+0.4
✕Anthony Volpe 2023 · AAA	22	42→51	54→55	59→55	48	.223/.304/.414	.191	.270	21	29	26%	9%	102	+1.9	.225/.290/.385	.160	.283	16	24	26%	8%	89	+0.9	.225/.287/.379	.154	.282	15	22	25%	7%	82	+0.5
●Michael Harris II 2023 · MLB	22	54→57	50→55	58→55	42	.266/.313/.433	.167	.335	17	24	25%	5%	110	+2.4	.269/.309/.438	.169	.317	19	19	21%	5%	109	+2.4	.264/.298/.428	.164	.301	20	18	19%	4%	100	+1.6
●Esteury Ruiz 2023 · MLB	24	51→57	49→50	66→70	46	.252/.330/.408	.155	.313	16	54	24%	7%	111	+2.5	.255/.323/.386	.131	.317	13	61	23%	6%	102	+1.9	.254/.323/.382	.127	.317	13	71	23%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Bradley Zimmer 2018 · MLB	25	48→51	48→50	58→60	42	.229/.300/.374	.145	.335	15	29	34%	8%	89	+1.0	.229/.298/.366	.137	.339	14	23	34%	8%	87	+0.8	.201/.290/.304	.103	.322	11	23	37%	7%	67	-0.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)