Masyn Winn — OGILVIE

Masyn WinnSS St. Louis Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR -7%K -4% Svc 2.262S2 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 3.5 · 2026

wRC+†vL 11698vR 97

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .306 / .371

PA619

HR13

SB15

K%18

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

40→40

SPD

60→60

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.6peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.262 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$0.8M	+3.5	$28M	+$27M
2027	Arb-2	$7M	+3.4	$28M	+$21M
2028	Arb-3	$12M	+3.5	$30M	+$17M
2029	Arb-4	$19M	+3.5	$31M	+$12M
Totals		$39M		$116M	+$77M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	2 teams	438	403	77	15	3	5	28	130	3	32	5	.191	.249	.280	.529	.089	.265	30	6	.236	38	-30	+4	+0	+5	+12	-0.9
2022	20	AA	3 teams	631	569	136	35	9	12	49	165	2	52	6	.239	.302	.395	.697	.156	.310	26	8	.301	88	-8	+8	+0	+7	+18	2.5
2023	21	AAA	2 teams	635	581	131	15	6	18	40	127	7	19	3	.225	.283	.365	.648	.139	.256	20	6	.279	72	-20	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.6
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	637	587	155	31	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	.264	.313	.411	.724	.147	.299	17	6	.313	98	-2	+0	+6	+7	+18	3.0
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	537	491	125	26	0	10	34	102	8	9	5	.255	.313	.369	.682	.114	.302	19	6	.301	89	-7	-0	+18	+6	+15	3.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	82	70	18	5	1	1	9	17	2	3	0	.257	.358	.400	.758	.143	.321	21	11	.336	115	+1	+1	+3	+1	+2	0.9
ROS	24	MLB	STL	537	486	122	24	3	10	40	101	6	12	2	.251	.316	.374	.690	.123	.295	19	7	.310	95	-3	+2	+6	+6	+15	2.6
TOT	24	MLB	STL	619	556	140	29	4	11	49	118	8	15	2	.252	.321	.378	.699	.126	.299	19	8	.313	98	-1	+2	+10	+7	+18	3.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB	STL	624	564	142	28	3	13	48	95	7	14	2	.252	.318	.381	.699	.129	.281	15	8	.313	98	-1	+2	+7	+7	+18	3.3
2028	26	MLB	STL	624	563	142	28	3	13	49	94	7	14	2	.252	.320	.382	.702	.130	.282	15	8	.315	99	-1	+2	+7	+7	+18	3.4
2029	27	MLB	STL	619	558	141	28	3	13	49	94	7	14	2	.253	.321	.384	.704	.131	.282	15	8	.315	99	-1	+2	+7	+7	+18	3.3
2030	28	MLB	STL	611	550	138	27	3	12	49	94	7	13	1	.251	.320	.376	.696	.125	.281	15	8	.314	98	-1	+2	+6	+7	+17	3.2
2031	29	MLB	STL	599	539	135	27	3	12	48	94	7	11	1	.250	.320	.378	.698	.128	.281	16	8	.312	97	-2	+2	+5	+6	+17	2.9
2032	30	MLB	STL	587	529	131	26	3	11	47	94	6	10	0	.248	.316	.371	.687	.123	.279	16	8	.309	94	-4	+2	+5	+6	+17	2.6
2033	31	MLB	STL	572	515	127	25	3	11	46	94	6	7	0	.247	.316	.371	.687	.124	.278	16	8	.305	92	-5	+1	+4	+6	+16	2.2
2034	32	MLB	STL	553	498	120	23	3	10	44	94	6	4	0	.241	.310	.359	.670	.118	.277	17	8	.300	88	-8	+1	+3	+6	+16	1.8
2035	33	MLB	STL	523	471	112	22	2	9	42	92	5	2	0	.238	.307	.350	.657	.113	.275	18	8	.295	84	-10	+0	+2	+6	+15	1.3
2036	34	MLB	STL	475	429	99	19	2	7	38	88	5	1	0	.231	.301	.333	.634	.103	.273	19	8	.288	79	-11	+0	+1	+5	+13	0.8
2037	35	MLB	STL	420	380	86	16	2	6	33	82	4	0	0	.226	.295	.326	.621	.100	.271	20	8	.281	73	-13	+0	-1	+4	+12	0.3
2038	36	MLB	STL	359	325	71	13	2	4	28	74	3	0	0	.218	.287	.308	.594	.089	.269	21	8	.272	66	-14	+0	-2	+4	+10	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9981	9038	2190	428	58	191	753	1823	97	225	34	.242	.307	.366	.673	.124	.282	18	8	.300	88	-140	+31	+73	+107	+283	36.1
/ 162G	—			650	589	143	28	4	12	49	119	6	15	2	.243	.307	.365	.672	.122	.284	18	8	.300	88	-9	+2	+5	+7	+18	2.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	154	148	31	4	2	2	6	40	0	16	3	.209	.240	.304	.544	.095	.274	26	4	.244	45	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2021	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	284	237	62	15	3	3	40	60	3	16	2	.262	.375	.388	.763	.127	.331	21	14	.344	121	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2022	20	AA	Springfield Cardinals	403	345	89	25	1	11	50	86	1	28	5	.258	.354	.432	.785	.174	.308	21	12	.346	123	+10	+4	—	—	+11	2.6
2022	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	147	129	45	11	7	1	13	29	1	15	0	.349	.413	.566	.978	.217	.431	20	9	.414	175	+12	+3	—	—	+4	2.0
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	81	68	20	1	0	1	13	15	0	9	1	.294	.407	.353	.760	.059	.365	19	16	.355	130	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	21	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	137	122	21	2	0	2	10	26	0	2	1	.172	.235	.238	.473	.066	.196	19	7	.212	21	-12	+0	-1	+7	+4	-0.3
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	498	445	128	15	7	18	44	83	7	17	2	.288	.361	.474	.835	.187	.318	17	9	.368	140	+23	+3	—	—	+14	4.0
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	637	587	157	32	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	.267	.316	.416	.732	.148	.303	17	6	.321	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+18	3.5
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	537	491	124	27	0	9	34	102	8	9	5	.253	.311	.363	.674	.110	.301	19	6	.303	90	-6	-0	+18	+6	+15	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1311	1200	302	61	5	26	85	237	9	22	11	.252	.306	.376	.682	.124	.291	18	6	.302	90	-15	+0	+23	+19	+37	6.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Masyn Winn (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	60	50	.249/.313/.374	.125	.281	12	14	15%	7%	95	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2021 · MLB	24	51→54	47→50	52→50	47	.249/.309/.397	.148	.302	13	11	22%	7%	98	+1.6	.253/.311/.390	.137	.313	13	15	22%	7%	98	+1.6	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2
●Angel Berroa 2002 · MLB	25	51→56	44→50	53→50	49	.251/.309/.371	.120	.297	12	14	20%	7%	92	+1.2	.259/.315/.394	.135	.295	12	17	16%	6%	101	+1.8	.267/.312/.394	.127	.304	12	14	16%	4%	96	+1.5
●Maicer Izturis 2005 · MLB	24	46→56	45	56→55	52	.227/.301/.356	.129	.262	11	15	18%	8%	85	+0.7	.261/.329/.376	.115	.289	7	19	12%	9%	102	+1.8	.282/.346/.393	.111	.303	9	16	10%	8%	109	+1.6
✕Luis Rivas 2005 · MLB	25	51→55	46→50	57→55	47	.251/.294/.394	.143	.275	12	19	14%	5%	92	+1.2	.234/.275/.348	.114	.263	10	14	15%	5%	71	-0.3	.223/.278/.325	.102	.251	9	11	15%	6%	64	-0.4
●Scott Sizemore 2010 · AAA	25	51→55	45→50	53→50	50	.246/.312/.377	.130	.294	11	15	20%	8%	95	+1.4	.250/.324/.394	.144	.320	14	10	24%	9%	105	+2.1	.243/.318/.383	.141	.327	13	5	28%	9%	95	+1.1
✕Josh Barfield 2007 · MLB	24	53→57	46→45	53→55	46	.261/.304/.388	.127	.303	13	19	19%	6%	94	+1.3	.239/.272/.340	.101	.289	9	16	20%	4%	67	-0.5	.233/.262/.322	.089	.268	6	15	15%	4%	56	-0.8
✕Brent Abernathy 2002 · MLB	24	53	44→40	49→50	55	.256/.317/.379	.123	.275	11	13	12%	8%	97	+1.5	.236/.287/.324	.088	.256	6	12	10%	6%	70	-0.3	.251/.299/.323	.072	.278	6	15	12%	6%	72	-0.2
●Matt Duffy 2015 · MLB	24	56→65	41→45	53→50	46	.269/.318/.375	.106	.323	8	17	19%	6%	96	+1.5	.274/.320/.390	.116	.320	10	13	17%	6%	101	+1.8	.280/.335/.384	.104	.326	9	12	16%	7%	102	+1.6
✕Tommy Edman 2020 · MLB	25	52→55	45→50	58→55	44	.257/.300/.385	.129	.302	12	20	19%	5%	92	+1.2	.261/.311/.397	.136	.303	13	21	18%	6%	99	+1.7	.255/.310/.392	.137	.288	12	29	16%	6%	95	+1.5
✕Jesus Fabela 2019 · AAA	24	49→59	43→40	51→50	47	.239/.303/.347	.108	.279	10	13	18%	6%	83	+0.6	.265/.324/.366	.101	.323	9	10	20%	5%	97	+1.5	.284/.343/.369	.085	.351	8	9	20%	5%	104	+1.8
✕Brad Emaus 2011 · AAA	25	49→54	45	50	53	.239/.306/.366	.127	.269	12	10	16%	8%	89	+1.0	.225/.290/.349	.124	.258	13	9	18%	8%	79	+0.3	.208/.272/.324	.115	.233	14	6	17%	7%	61	-0.4
✕Otto Lopez 2023 · AAA	24	55→59	40→45	55	45	.262/.315/.363	.101	.327	6	18	21%	6%	92	+1.2	.255/.303/.357	.102	.307	8	19	19%	6%	85	+0.7	.266/.318/.393	.127	.299	13	20	16%	7%	97	+1.0
✕Josh Rutledge 2014 · MLB	25	52→59	47→50	54→50	42	.257/.302/.402	.145	.310	14	15	22%	5%	98	+1.6	.242/.294/.356	.114	.313	9	9	25%	6%	82	+0.5	.232/.287/.324	.092	.315	6	4	27%	6%	67	-0.3
✕Manuel Margot 2019 · MLB	24	50→53	44→50	53→60	47	.246/.293/.374	.128	.285	10	18	18%	6%	85	+0.7	.247/.306/.384	.137	.288	13	21	18%	8%	94	+1.3	.248/.312/.377	.129	.285	13	26	17%	8%	91	+0.7
✕Orlando Arcia 2018 · MLB	23	51→57	44→50	51→55	44	.249/.291/.370	.120	.295	12	17	20%	6%	84	+0.6	.243/.291/.356	.113	.294	12	12	21%	6%	80	+0.4	.240/.301/.397	.156	.268	20	3	19%	8%	92	+0.8
✕Antonio Perez 2005 · MLB	25	50	46→45	51→55	54	.244/.328/.378	.135	.303	13	13	23%	11%	102	+1.9	.237/.305/.350	.113	.320	10	15	27%	8%	85	+0.7	.221/.292/.321	.100	.306	7	14	28%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Chin-Lung Hu 2008 · MLB	24	55→61	44→45	49→50	45	.267/.301/.388	.121	.294	10	12	13%	4%	92	+1.2	.252/.285/.351	.099	.285	7	12	14%	4%	76	+0.0	.251/.280/.325	.075	.284	5	13	13%	3%	62	-0.6
✕Joey Ortiz 2023 · AAA	25	48→56	48→50	52→50	44	.240/.292/.386	.146	.289	14	8	22%	6%	89	+0.9	.247/.304/.382	.135	.300	12	12	21%	7%	92	+1.2	.244/.306/.366	.121	.291	10	14	19%	7%	85	+0.6
✕Ronny Cedeno 2006 · MLB	23	57	45	51→50	46	.279/.321/.402	.123	.311	13	16	15%	5%	105	+2.1	.260/.296/.371	.111	.307	11	11	18%	5%	85	+0.7	.249/.298/.373	.124	.292	14	9	19%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Dustin Ackley 2012 · MLB	24	52→57	44→50	53→50	55	.250/.327/.381	.131	.295	9	10	18%	10%	102	+1.9	.249/.316/.372	.123	.293	11	9	18%	9%	95	+1.4	.248/.306/.381	.133	.283	12	6	17%	7%	91	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)