Masyn Winn — OGILVIE

Masyn WinnSS St. Louis Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB Svc 2.262S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION357 act + 255 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 106101vR 88

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .308 / .351

PA255

HR4

SB8

K%19

BB%7

BABIP291

ISO108

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.8%

xwOBA

370.293

POWER40

Barrel%

174.0

Avg EV

3187.7

Bat Spd

3770.0

EYE50

Chase%

8924.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1265 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

378

887

—

wRC+

111

◀◀L

wOBA

331

305

◀L

ISO

177

111

◀◀L

BABIP

295

309

▶R

19.0%

17.8%

▶R

BB%

7.1%

6.3%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.262 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Arb-2	$6M	+2.8	$21M	+$16M
2028	Arb-3	$10M	+2.9	$20M	+$12M
2029	Arb-4	$16M	+2.9	$18M	+$7M
Totals		$32M		$62M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	438	402	77	15	4	4	29	130	3	32	5	192	251	279	530	87	268	30	7	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	438	385	93	19	5	5	46	100	3	32	5	242	327	356	683	114	310	23	11	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	3 teams	—	631	571	140	39	9	11	47	161	2	52	6	245	305	403	708	158	317	26	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA	3 teams	—	631	542	154	37	8	13	76	130	2	52	6	284	374	454	828	170	346	21	12	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA	2 teams	—	635	581	129	15	5	19	40	128	7	19	3	222	280	363	643	141	251	20	6	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA	2 teams	—	635	567	149	17	7	20	54	109	7	19	3	263	334	423	758	160	291	17	9	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	157	32	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	267	316	416	732	148	303	17	6	317	101	+1	+0	+6	+7	+18	3.3
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	157	32	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	267	316	416	732	148	303	17	6	321	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+18	3.5
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	124	27	0	9	34	102	8	9	5	253	311	363	674	110	301	19	6	300	88	-7	-0	+18	+6	+15	3.2
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	124	27	0	9	34	102	8	9	5	253	311	363	674	110	301	19	6	303	90	-6	-0	+18	+6	+15	3.4
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	STL	—	357	317	77	12	2	4	29	70	6	7	2	243	318	331	649	88	294	20	8	291	81	-8	+1	+3	+4	+10	1.0
YTD	24	MLB	STL	—	357	317	77	12	2	4	29	70	6	7	2	243	318	331	649	88	294	20	8	294	83	-7	+1	+3	+4	+10	1.1
ROS	24	MLB	STL	100%	255	231	56	11	1	4	19	49	3	8	2	242	308	351	659	108	292	19	7	300	88	-4	+1	+3	+3	+7	1.0
ROS	24	MLB	STL	100%	255	231	56	11	1	4	19	49	3	8	2	242	308	351	659	108	292	19	7	290	80	-6	+1	+3	+3	+7	0.8
FULL	24	MLB	STL	—	612	548	133	23	3	8	48	119	9	15	4	243	314	339	653	97	293	19	8	290	80	-14	+1	+6	+7	+17	1.8
TOT	24	MLB	STL	—	612	548	133	23	3	8	48	119	9	15	4	243	314	339	653	97	293	19	8	295	84	-11	+1	+6	+7	+17	2.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	STL	100%	624	564	138	27	2	11	47	118	8	20	5	245	312	358	670	113	292	19	8	304	91	-7	+2	+6	+7	+18	2.6
2028	26	MLB	STL	100%	617	557	137	27	2	11	47	117	8	19	4	246	314	361	675	115	292	19	8	305	91	-6	+2	+6	+7	+17	2.7
2029	27	MLB	STL	100%	612	552	136	27	2	11	47	116	8	19	4	246	315	362	677	116	292	19	8	305	92	-6	+2	+6	+7	+17	2.7
2030	28	MLB	STL	100%	604	544	133	26	2	10	47	115	8	18	4	244	314	355	669	110	291	19	8	304	91	-6	+2	+5	+6	+17	2.5
2031	29	MLB	STL	100%	592	532	130	26	2	10	47	114	8	16	4	244	315	357	672	113	291	19	8	302	90	-7	+2	+4	+6	+17	2.3
2032	30	MLB	STL	100%	580	521	126	25	2	9	46	113	8	14	3	242	313	349	662	107	290	19	8	300	87	-8	+2	+4	+6	+16	2.0
2033	31	MLB	STL	100%	565	509	122	24	2	9	44	112	7	12	3	240	309	348	657	108	287	20	8	295	84	-10	+1	+3	+6	+16	1.6
2034	32	MLB	STL	100%	546	491	115	22	2	8	43	111	7	10	2	234	305	336	641	102	284	20	8	290	80	-12	+1	+2	+6	+15	1.2
2027	25	MLB	STL	100%	624	564	138	27	2	11	47	118	8	20	5	245	312	358	670	113	291	19	8	293	83	-12	+2	+6	+7	+18	2.1
2028	26	MLB	STL	100%	617	557	137	27	2	11	47	117	8	19	4	246	314	361	675	115	291	19	8	295	84	-11	+2	+6	+7	+17	2.1
2029	27	MLB	STL	100%	612	552	136	27	2	11	47	116	8	19	4	246	315	362	677	116	291	19	8	295	84	-11	+2	+6	+7	+17	2.1
2030	28	MLB	STL	100%	604	544	133	26	2	10	47	115	8	18	4	244	314	355	669	110	291	19	8	294	83	-12	+2	+5	+6	+17	2.0
2031	29	MLB	STL	100%	592	532	129	25	2	10	47	114	8	16	4	242	313	353	667	111	290	19	8	292	82	-12	+2	+4	+6	+17	1.7
2032	30	MLB	STL	100%	580	521	126	25	2	9	46	113	8	14	3	242	313	349	662	107	290	19	8	290	80	-13	+2	+4	+6	+16	1.5
2033	31	MLB	STL	100%	565	509	122	24	2	9	44	112	7	12	3	240	309	348	657	108	287	20	8	286	77	-15	+1	+3	+6	+16	1.1
2034	32	MLB	STL	100%	546	491	115	22	2	8	43	111	7	10	2	234	305	336	641	102	284	20	8	280	72	-17	+1	+2	+6	+15	0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	6306	5701	1394	275	22	109	472	1202	74	158	42	245	311	358	668	113	290	19	7	293	82	-125	+15	+62	+73	+179	20.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	143	28	2	11	49	124	8	16	4	243	311	354	664	111	289	19	8	293	82	-13	+2	+6	+8	+18	2.1
Career	—			—	7873	7133	1720	343	40	141	578	1595	86	259	55	241	306	360	665	119	290	20	7	297	85	-130	+30	+62	+84	+223	27.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	142	28	3	12	48	132	7	21	5	241	306	360	666	119	290	20	7	297	85	-11	+2	+5	+7	+18	2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	154	148	31	4	2	2	6	40	0	16	3	209	240	304	544	95	274	26	4	244	45	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.3
2021	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	284	237	62	15	3	3	40	60	3	16	2	262	375	388	763	127	331	21	14	344	121	+7	+2	—	—	+8	1.8
2022	20	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	403	345	89	25	1	11	50	86	1	28	5	258	354	432	785	174	308	21	12	346	123	+10	+4	—	—	+11	2.6
2022	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	147	129	45	11	7	1	13	29	1	15	0	349	413	566	978	217	431	20	9	414	175	+12	+3	—	—	+4	2.0
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	81	68	20	1	0	1	13	15	0	9	1	294	407	353	760	59	365	19	16	355	130	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2023	21	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	137	122	21	2	0	2	10	26	0	2	1	172	235	238	473	66	196	19	7	212	21	-12	+0	-1	+7	+4	-0.3
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	498	445	128	15	7	18	44	83	7	17	2	288	361	474	835	187	318	17	9	368	140	+23	+3	—	—	+14	4.0
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	157	32	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	267	316	416	732	148	303	17	6	321	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+18	3.5
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	124	27	0	9	34	102	8	9	5	253	311	363	674	110	301	19	6	303	90	-6	-0	+18	+6	+15	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1311	1200	302	61	5	26	85	237	9	22	11	252	306	376	682	124	291	18	6	302	90	-15	+0	+23	+19	+37	6.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Wilsonlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,339 PA	12	5,339	61	43	265	306	366	+39	+97	20.3	21.4
	/162	664	8	5	265	306	366	+4.8	+12.0	2.5	pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	11	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
	/162	664	7	18	271	314	372	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	12	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.3	18.2
	/162	664	5	19	258	295	345	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#4Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 13 projected seasons	13	7,020	120	184	246	309	359	+75	+103	19.4	17.0
	/162	664	11	17	246	309	359	+7.1	+9.7	1.8	pk7: 15
#5Clint Barmeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,100 PA	11	4,100	89	43	245	294	379	+34	+76	16.8	16.2
	/162	664	14	7	245	294	379	+5.4	+12.4	2.7	pk7: 16
#6Cesar Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,646 PA	12	4,646	17	110	254	293	322	+38	+94	10.9	11.5
	/162	664	2	16	254	293	322	+5.4	+13.5	1.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Masyn Winn (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	60	50	243/314/339	97	293	8	15	19%	8%	84	+2.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2011 · AA	24	47→50	42→45	57→60	47	228/297/347	118	282	8	22	21%	7%	81	+0.4	219/270/323	104	279	7	30	23%	6%	63	-0.9	234/297/356	122	296	11	26	24%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Abiatal Avelino 2019 · AAA	24	51→54	43→45	55	41	248/284/362	114	302	11	19	22%	4%	79	+0.3	236/272/349	113	292	10	18	22%	5%	70	-0.3	227/269/336	109	276	10	18	21%	5%	62	-0.6
●Alcides Escobar 2011 · MLB	24	54→64	39→45	57→55	47	256/299/349	93	294	6	22	15%	5%	81	+0.4	259/296/351	92	296	5	24	14%	5%	80	+0.4	271/304/359	87	312	4	28	14%	4%	82	+0.5
✕Josh Barfield 2007 · MLB	24	53→57	46→45	53→55	46	263/306/391	129	303	13	19	18%	6%	95	+1.4	237/269/335	98	287	8	16	20%	4%	65	-0.7	233/261/326	93	267	6	15	15%	4%	58	-0.7
✕Luis Rivas 2003 · MLB	23	53→55	42→50	54→55	48	256/307/372	116	292	8	21	16%	6%	91	+1.1	250/294/380	130	278	11	19	14%	5%	88	+0.9	246/287/373	127	271	11	19	13%	5%	82	+0.3
✕Damian Rolls 2002 · MLB	24	51→52	41→45	53→55	44	248/287/349	100	297	8	22	19%	5%	76	+0.1	246/294/350	104	302	8	16	20%	5%	79	+0.3	228/283/317	89	292	7	15	23%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Adalberto Santos 2013 · AA	25	54→53	40→45	56→55	49	255/316/353	98	311	6	23	19%	7%	89	+1.0	240/300/340	100	315	8	18	24%	7%	80	+0.4	238/300/337	99	314	8	19	25%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	44→47	42→45	54→55	47	215/290/326	112	285	9	19	27%	8%	73	-0.1	223/284/319	96	286	8	23	24%	7%	68	-0.5	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Chris Burke 2006 · MLB	26	49→56	43→45	53→55	48	239/300/361	122	277	10	21	18%	7%	85	+0.7	242/314/368	126	279	11	17	17%	7%	94	+1.3	234/315/353	119	269	11	17	16%	8%	85	+0.4
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	50→60	43→45	54→55	46	241/299/353	113	310	9	20	25%	7%	83	+0.6	238/315/349	111	323	10	17	27%	10%	89	+1.0	234/319/346	112	313	10	17	26%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Dalton Pompey 2017 · MLB	24	52→59	40→45	56→55	46	249/303/343	94	316	7	25	23%	7%	82	+0.5	230/290/326	96	307	8	18	26%	7%	72	-0.2	234/297/344	110	309	11	17	26%	7%	79	+0.1
✕Tyler Goeddel 2017 · MLB	24	46→50	44→45	54→55	45	225/284/343	118	286	11	16	25%	7%	74	-0.1	205/268/296	91	276	6	12	27%	6%	56	-1.3	191/257/268	76	269	4	10	28%	6%	40	-1.3
✕Trevor Crowe 2009 · AAA	25	53→55	42→45	54→55	49	253/311/370	117	307	8	23	20%	7%	92	+1.2	243/296/342	99	294	6	23	18%	7%	78	+0.2	239/294/322	82	289	3	25	17%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Manuel Margot 2019 · MLB	24	51→53	45→50	52→60	47	250/298/386	136	290	11	17	18%	6%	91	+1.1	248/307/389	141	288	14	22	18%	8%	96	+1.5	246/310/381	135	282	14	26	17%	8%	92	+0.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→55	44→50	53→50	47	236/295/364	127	291	10	13	22%	7%	84	+0.6	253/314/393	140	315	12	14	22%	8%	99	+1.7	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Matt Duffy 2015 · MLB	24	57→63	42→45	53→50	46	272/321/382	110	328	9	17	19%	6%	99	+1.7	275/321/395	120	320	10	13	17%	6%	102	+1.9	283/337/389	106	328	9	12	16%	6%	105	+1.8
●Maikel Garcia 2023 · MLB	23	50→59	42→50	57→60	47	243/299/352	109	307	9	27	23%	8%	82	+0.5	255/311/368	113	311	9	26	20%	8%	92	+1.2	263/322/384	122	308	9	27	17%	8%	99	+1.8
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	48→52	38→40	57→60	51	222/323/301	79	285	5	25	22%	9%	82	+0.5	239/325/325	86	295	6	24	19%	9%	88	+0.9	265/358/344	79	323	3	22	17%	11%	104	+1.1
✕Steve Lombardozzi Jr. 2012 · MLB	23	56→59	41→45	55→50	46	266/310/372	106	312	6	17	17%	5%	92	+1.2	259/293/344	85	295	5	12	14%	4%	77	+0.1	258/288/323	66	291	3	8	12%	3%	67	-0.3
✕Amed Rosario 2020 · MLB	24	55→60	45→50	53→55	43	271/308/404	133	324	12	19	20%	5%	99	+1.7	273/310/405	132	326	13	14	20%	5%	101	+1.8	276/314/398	122	328	9	15	18%	5%	99	+1.6