Masyn Winn

SS St. Louis Cardinals
Age 25 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 3.262 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WAR
202422MLBSTL637.267/.316/.41615111043.1
202523MLBSTL537.253/.311/.36399923.1
202624MLBSTL532.232/.312/.317510811.0
2027PROJ25MLBSTL489.242/.310/.345720861.6
2028PROJ26MLBSTL489.241/.310/.345720861.6
2029PROJ27MLBSTL483.240/.309/.342719851.5
Last 3 seasons WAR 7.1  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 4.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.262First FA2030
2027Arb-1$4M2028Arb-2$7M2029Arb-3$10M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed76
xwOBA37
Bat Spd37
Avg EV33
Barrel%17
Form.228/.299/.323 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .241/.307/.346
CompsGarrett Hampson (age 25) · Delino DeShields (age 25) · Austin Martin (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8886vR 79
AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .310 / .345
PA489
HR7
SB20
K%20
BB%8
BABIP292
ISO104
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -7.9 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +3.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +5.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+6FLDPOS: +5.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +10.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+11REPTotal WAR: +2.00+2.0WAR
0.01.22.52.01.61.527282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$19M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
xAVG
440.246
POWER40
Barrel%
173.9
Avg EV
3387.8
Bat Spd
3770.0
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED60
Sprint
7628.5
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%▼▼26% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 20%
BB%8%·10% over 42 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.095▼.053 over 38 AB (60d) · proj .105
BABIP.288·.222 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .290
SLASH.228/.299/.323▼proj .241/.307/.346
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1265 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
378
887
—
wRC+
110
93
◀◀L
wOBA
331
305
◀L
ISO
177
111
◀◀L
BABIP
295
309
▶R
K%
19.0%
17.8%
▶R
BB%
7.1%
6.3%
◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.262 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$4M+2.0$16M+$12M
2028Arb-2$7M+1.6$12M+$5M
2029Arb-3$10M+1.5$10M+$2M
Totals $22M $38M +$19M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202119 A+Peoria Chiefs — 154148 31422 6400 163 209240304544 95274 264 244 21 — — — — — —
202119 APalm Beach Cardinals — 284237 621533 40603 162 262375388763 127331 2114 344 72 — — — — — —
202220 AASpringfield Cardinals — 403345 8925111 50861 285 258354432785 174308 2112 346 86 — — — — — —
202220 A+Peoria Chiefs — 147129 451171 13291 150 349413566978 217431 209 414 132 — — — — — —
202220 INTLSalt River Rafters — 8168 20101 13150 91 294407353760 59365 1916 355 126 — — — — — —
202321 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 137122 21202 10260 21 172235238473 66196 197 212 32 -11 +0 -1 +7 +3 -0.3
202321 AAAMemphis Redbirds — 498445 12815718 44837 172 288361474835 187318 179 368 90 — — — — — —
202422 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 637587 15732515 411091 115 267316416732 148303 176 321 104 +3 +0 +6 +7 +14 3.1
202523 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 537491 1242709 341028 95 253311363674 110301 196 303 92 -5 -0 +18 +6 +12 3.1
202624 MLBSt. Louis Cardinals — 532470 1092125 481167 103 232312317629 85292 229 287 81 -12 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 18431670 41182731 13335316 3214 246308359667 113292 197 298 88 -27 +1 +26 +25 +40 6.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202119 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 154149 26311 5540 163 174201228429 54270 353 199 21 — — — — — —
202119 A MLEPalm Beach Cardinals — 284250 541233 27793 162 216300324624 108287 2810 274 72 — — — — — —
202220 AA MLESpringfield Cardinals — 403360 842419 351021 285 233303381684 147285 259 295 86 — — — — — —
202220 A+ MLEPeoria Chiefs — 147132 41971 10351 150 311364508871 197387 247 363 132 — — — — — —
202321 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 137122 21202 10260 21 172235238473 66196 197 215 32 -11 +0 -1 +7 +3 -0.3
202321 AAA MLEMemphis Redbirds — 498458 11213614 311017 172 245302391693 146283 206 301 90 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 637588 15731516 401091 115 267315418733 151303 176 322 104 +3 +0 +6 +7 +14 3.1
202523 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 537491 12426010 341028 95 253311367678 114301 196 304 92 -5 -0 +18 +6 +12 3.1
202624 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 532470 1082025 481167 103 230310313623 83292 229 288 81 -12 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.0
202119 A MLE2 teams — 438399 811644 321333 325 203267293561 90289 307 248 54 — — — — — —
202119 A RAW2 teams — 438385 931955 461003 325 242327356683 114310 2311 308 54 — — — — — —
202220 AA MLE3 teams — 631567 14338911 511572 526 252316409725 157324 258 313 98 — — — — — —
202220 AA RAW3 teams — 631542 15437813 761302 526 284374454828 170346 2112 363 98 — — — — — —
202321 AAA MLE2 teams — 635580 13315616 411277 193 229288359647 129265 206 282 77 — — — — — —
202321 AAA RAW2 teams — 635567 14917720 541097 193 263334423758 160291 179 335 77 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 637588 15731516 401091 115 267315418733 151301 176 322 104 +3 +0 +6 +7 +14 3.1
202422 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 637587 15732515 411091 115 267316416732 148303 176 321 104 +3 +0 +6 +7 +14 3.1
202523 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 537491 12426010 341028 95 253311367678 114299 196 304 92 -5 -0 +18 +6 +12 3.1
202523 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 537491 1242709 341028 95 253311363674 110301 196 303 92 -5 -0 +18 +6 +12 3.1
202624 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 532470 1082025 481167 103 230310313623 83289 229 288 81 -12 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.0
202624 MLB RAWSt. Louis Cardinals — 532470 1092125 481167 103 232312317629 85292 229 287 81 -12 +1 +3 +6 +12 1.0
202119 A MLE2 teams — 438400 811644 321333 325 203267292560 90281 307 248 54 — — — — — —
202220 AA MLE3 teams — 631573 14338911 511572 526 250316405721 155312 258 313 98 — — — — — —
202321 AAA MLE2 teams — 635582 13315616 411277 193 229288357646 129264 206 282 77 — — — — — —
202422 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 637591 15731516 401091 115 266315416731 151303 176 322 104 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 537490 12426010 341028 95 253311367679 114301 196 304 92 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 532472 1082025 481167 103 229310311622 83292 229 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 637591 15731516 401091 115 266315416731 151303 176 322 104 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 537490 12426010 341028 95 253311367679 114301 196 304 92 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLESt. Louis Cardinals — 532472 1082025 481167 103 229310311622 83292 229 288 81 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLESTL 100% 558504 1212229 431116 235 241309346655 105290 208 296 86 -9 +3 +6 +6 +12 2.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXSTL 100% 489442 1072127 38986 204 242310345655 104292 208 296 86 -8 +2 +6 +5 +11 1.6
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLESTL 100% 489442 1072028 38986 204 241309346655 105290 208 296 86 -8 +2 +6 +5 +11 1.6
202927 MLB MLESTL 100% 483437 1051928 38975 194 240308343652 104289 208 295 85 -8 +2 +5 +5 +10 1.5
203028 MLB MLESTL 100% 474429 1021927 37965 174 238306339645 101289 208 292 84 -9 +2 +5 +5 +10 1.3
203129 MLB MLESTL 100% 460416 981817 36955 143 236304333637 97288 218 288 81 -10 +2 +4 +5 +10 1.0
203230 MLB MLESTL 100% 446404 941716 34935 113 233300325626 93286 218 284 78 -12 +1 +3 +5 +10 0.7
203331 MLB MLESTL 100% 428389 881615 32914 72 228295315611 87283 217 278 74 -13 +1 +2 +5 +9 0.3
202826 MLB CTXSTL 100% 489442 1072127 38986 204 241310345655 103292 208 296 86 -8 +2 +6 +5 +11 1.6
202927 MLB CTXSTL 100% 483437 1052027 38975 194 240309342651 102291 208 295 85 -8 +2 +5 +5 +10 1.5
203028 MLB CTXSTL 100% 474429 1032027 37965 174 239307338645 99291 208 292 84 -9 +2 +5 +5 +10 1.3
203129 MLB CTXSTL 100% 460416 981916 36955 143 237304332637 96290 218 289 81 -10 +2 +4 +5 +10 1.0
203230 MLB CTXSTL 100% 446404 941815 34935 113 234301325626 91288 218 284 78 -12 +1 +3 +5 +10 0.7
203331 MLB CTXSTL 100% 428389 891715 32914 72 229296315611 86285 217 278 74 -13 +1 +2 +5 +9 0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 46234187 10071971668 34892346 12034 241306344650 103291 208 293 84 -87 +10 +51 +55 +100 13.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650589 14228210 491306 175 241306346652 105291 208 293 84 -12 +1 +7 +8 +14 1.9
Career— MLE — 66796054 144727537111 499141264 24151 239304352655 113292 217 293 84 -95 +13 +56 +60 +111 14.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 14227411 491376 235 241306357662 115294 218 293 84 -12 +2 +7 +8 +14 1.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2023 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 498 PAwOBA .360 → .301 (−59)K% 16.7% → 20.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.67%÷0.990×1.200——20.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.84%÷1.010×0.690—×1.0506.34%
HBP% /PA1.41%—×0.940—×1.0501.39%
Singles /BIP24.31%÷1.040×0.930×0.967×1.05022.08%
Doubles /BIP4.14%÷0.969×0.830×0.967×1.0503.61%
Triples /BIP1.93%÷1.150×0.970×0.967×1.0501.66%
Home runs /BIP4.97%÷0.955×0.700—×1.0503.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 108, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 98, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.

Result: wOBA .360 → .301; ISO .187 → .148; BABIP .318 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AASpringfield Cardinals · 403 PAwOBA .341 → .295 (−46)K% 21.3% → 25.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.34%÷1.024×1.220——25.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.41%÷1.044×0.700—×1.0508.74%
HBP% /PA0.25%—×0.870—×1.0500.23%
Singles /BIP20.08%÷1.012×0.920×0.981×1.05018.79%
Doubles /BIP9.65%÷0.935×0.840×0.981×1.0508.93%
Triples /BIP0.39%÷0.900×0.940×0.981×1.0500.42%
Home runs /BIP4.25%÷1.069×0.800—×1.0503.34%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 102, 2B 87, 3B 80, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.

Result: wOBA .341 → .295; ISO .174 → .151; BABIP .308 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Peoria Chiefs · 147 PAwOBA .411 → .363 (−49)K% 19.7% → 23.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.73%÷1.064×1.270——23.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.84%÷0.992×0.710—×1.0426.59%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.790—×1.0420.56%
Singles /BIP26.00%÷1.012×0.920×0.973×1.04223.95%
Doubles /BIP11.00%÷0.989×0.810×0.973×1.0429.13%
Triples /BIP7.00%÷0.929×0.850×0.973×1.0426.49%
Home runs /BIP1.00%÷1.114×0.800—×1.0420.75%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 102, 2B 98, 3B 86, K 113, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .411 → .363; ISO .217 → .192; BABIP .431 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 APalm Beach Cardinals · 284 PAwOBA .340 → .274 (−66)K% 21.1% → 27.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.13%÷1.034×1.360——27.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.08%÷1.071×0.690—×1.0459.48%
HBP% /PA1.06%—×0.780—×1.0450.86%
Singles /BIP23.16%÷1.037×0.920×0.954×1.04520.48%
Doubles /BIP8.47%÷1.014×0.830×0.954×1.0456.91%
Triples /BIP1.69%÷1.000×0.910×0.954×1.0451.54%
Home runs /BIP1.69%÷0.924×0.800—×1.0451.53%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 103, 3B 100, K 107, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .340 → .274; ISO .127 → .108; BABIP .331 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 A+Peoria Chiefs · 154 PAwOBA .237 → .199 (−39)K% 26.0% → 35.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.97%÷1.000×1.350——35.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA3.90%÷0.984×0.710—×1.0502.95%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.810—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP21.30%÷0.988×0.910×1.047×1.05021.56%
Doubles /BIP3.70%÷0.945×0.830×1.047×1.0503.58%
Triples /BIP1.85%÷1.150×0.820×1.047×1.0501.45%
Home runs /BIP1.85%÷1.063×0.830—×1.0501.52%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.

Result: wOBA .237 → .199; ISO .095 → .071; BABIP .274 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .