Masyn Winn — OGILVIE

Masyn WinnSS St. Louis Cardinals

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 185 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 2.262S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION502 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9189vR 82

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP299

ISO116

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$22M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

905.3%

xAVG

440.247

POWER40

Barrel%

174.0

Avg EV

3387.8

Bat Spd

3770.0

EYE50

Chase%

9022.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

7328.4

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%25%▼▼29% over 93 PA (45d) · proj 19%

BB%9%▲▲10% over 145 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.103▼.087 over 127 AB (60d) · proj .116xISO .087 vs .109 prior — approach backs the move

HR/BB1.9%▼1.1% over 91 BBE (60d) · proj 2.5%barrel% 3.5% vs 4.2% prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

BABIP.294·.300 over 90 BIP (60d) · proj .294xBABIP .286 vs .306 prior

SLASH.224/.299/.327▼▼proj .248/.308/.364

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1265 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

378

887

—

wRC+

110

◀◀L

wOBA

331

305

◀L

ISO

177

111

◀◀L

BABIP

295

309

▶R

19.0%

17.8%

▶R

BB%

7.1%

6.3%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.262 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.3M
2027	Arb-2	$6M	+2.2	$16M	+$11M
2028	Arb-3	$10M	+2.2	$15M	+$7M
2029	Arb-4	$15M	+2.2	$14M	+$3M
Totals		$31M		$46M	+$21M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	154	148	31	4	2	2	6	40	0	16	3	209	240	304	544	95	274	26	4	244	51	-9	+2	—	—	+3	-0.4
2021	19	A	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	284	237	62	15	3	3	40	60	3	16	2	262	375	388	763	127	331	21	14	344	119	+6	+2	—	—	+6	1.5
2022	20	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	403	345	89	25	1	11	50	86	1	28	5	258	354	432	785	174	308	21	12	346	120	+10	+4	—	—	+9	2.2
2022	20	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	147	129	45	11	7	1	13	29	1	15	0	349	413	566	978	217	431	20	9	414	166	+12	+3	—	—	+3	1.8
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	81	68	20	1	0	1	13	15	0	9	1	294	407	353	760	59	365	19	16	355	126	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	21	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	137	122	21	2	0	2	10	26	0	2	1	172	235	238	473	66	196	19	7	212	30	-11	+0	-1	+7	+3	-0.3
2023	21	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	498	445	128	15	7	18	44	83	7	17	2	288	361	474	835	187	318	17	9	368	136	+21	+3	—	—	+11	3.5
2024	22	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	157	32	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	267	316	416	732	148	303	17	6	321	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+14	3.0
2025	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	124	27	0	9	34	102	8	9	5	253	311	363	674	110	301	19	6	303	91	-6	-0	+18	+6	+12	3.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1311	1200	302	61	5	26	85	237	9	22	11	252	306	376	682	124	291	18	6	302	91	-14	+0	+23	+19	+28	5.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	154	150	25	3	1	1	4	54	0	16	3	167	188	220	408	53	257	35	3	189	14	-16	+2	—	—	+3	-1.1
2021	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	—	284	251	53	12	3	3	26	79	3	16	2	211	293	319	612	108	275	28	9	264	65	-12	+2	—	—	+6	-0.3
2022	20	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	403	362	81	23	1	8	33	102	1	28	5	224	290	359	650	135	278	25	8	286	80	-10	+4	—	—	+9	0.3
2022	20	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	147	133	39	9	6	1	9	37	1	15	0	293	343	474	816	180	369	25	6	341	117	+3	+3	—	—	+3	0.9
2023	21	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	137	122	21	2	0	2	10	26	0	2	1	172	235	238	473	66	196	19	7	214	31	-11	+0	-1	+7	+3	-0.3
2023	21	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	498	459	106	12	5	13	30	101	7	17	2	231	288	364	652	133	268	20	6	287	80	-12	+3	—	—	+11	0.2
2024	22	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	158	32	5	16	41	109	1	11	5	269	318	422	740	153	303	17	6	322	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+14	3.0
2025	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	125	27	0	10	34	102	8	9	5	255	313	371	684	116	301	19	6	303	91	-5	-0	+18	+6	+12	3.1
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	438	401	77	15	4	4	30	133	3	32	5	192	253	279	533	87	272	30	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	438	385	93	19	5	5	46	100	3	32	5	242	327	356	683	114	310	23	11	308	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	631	569	137	37	8	10	49	160	2	52	6	241	303	387	690	146	312	25	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA RAW	3 teams	—	631	542	154	37	8	13	76	130	2	52	6	284	374	454	828	170	346	21	12	363	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	635	581	127	14	5	15	40	127	7	19	3	219	277	337	614	119	252	20	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	635	567	149	17	7	20	54	109	7	19	3	263	334	423	758	160	291	17	9	335	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	158	32	5	16	41	109	1	11	5	269	318	422	740	153	304	17	6	322	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+14	3.0
2024	22	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	587	157	32	5	15	41	109	1	11	5	267	316	416	732	148	303	17	6	321	104	+3	+0	+6	+7	+14	3.0
2025	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	125	27	0	10	34	102	8	9	5	255	313	371	684	116	302	19	6	303	91	-5	-0	+18	+6	+12	3.1
2025	23	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	491	124	27	0	9	34	102	8	9	5	253	311	363	674	110	301	19	6	303	91	-5	-0	+18	+6	+12	3.1
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	438	402	77	15	4	4	30	133	3	32	5	192	253	279	532	87	269	30	7	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	AA MLE	3 teams	—	631	575	137	37	8	10	49	160	2	52	6	238	303	383	686	144	302	25	8	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	635	583	127	14	5	15	40	127	7	19	3	218	277	336	613	118	252	20	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	590	158	32	5	16	41	109	1	11	5	268	318	420	738	153	303	17	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	490	125	27	0	10	34	102	8	9	5	255	313	371	685	116	301	19	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	635	583	127	14	5	15	40	127	7	19	3	218	277	336	613	118	252	20	6	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	637	590	158	32	5	16	41	109	1	11	5	268	318	420	738	153	303	17	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	537	490	125	27	0	10	34	102	8	9	5	255	313	371	685	116	301	19	6	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB MLE	STL	—	502	444	105	20	2	5	44	108	7	10	2	236	315	324	639	88	296	22	9	290	83	-10	+1	+3	+5	+11	1.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	STL	—	502	444	105	20	2	5	44	108	7	10	2	236	315	324	639	88	296	22	9	290	83	-10	+1	+3	+5	+11	1.1
YTD	24	MLB RAW	STL	—	502	444	105	20	2	5	44	108	7	10	2	236	315	324	639	88	296	22	9	290	83	-10	+1	+3	+5	+11	1.1
ROS	24	MLB MLE	STL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		300	22	11	300	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	STL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		299	22	11	289	89	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	STL	—	511	452	106	20	2	5	45	110	7	10	2	235	313	321	634	86	294	22	9	290	83	-10	+1	+4	+5	+11	1.1
TOT	24	MLB MLE	STL	—	511	452	106	20	2	5	45	110	7	10	2	235	313	321	634	86	294	22	9	291	83	-10	+1	+4	+5	+11	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	STL	100%	624	560	135	27	2	10	51	127	8	19	4	241	313	350	663	109	292	20	8	300	89	-8	+2	+7	+7	+14	2.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	STL	100%	617	553	133	27	2	10	51	125	8	18	4	241	314	351	665	110	292	20	8	301	90	-7	+2	+7	+7	+13	2.2
2029	27	MLB MLE	STL	100%	612	548	132	27	2	10	51	125	8	18	4	241	315	352	667	111	292	20	8	302	90	-7	+2	+7	+7	+13	2.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	STL	100%	604	540	130	26	2	10	51	124	8	17	3	241	316	352	667	111	291	21	8	301	90	-7	+2	+6	+6	+13	2.1
2031	29	MLB MLE	STL	100%	592	530	126	25	2	9	50	123	7	16	3	238	312	343	655	106	291	21	8	299	88	-8	+2	+5	+6	+13	1.9
2032	30	MLB MLE	STL	100%	580	519	124	25	2	9	49	121	7	14	3	239	313	347	660	108	290	21	8	296	87	-9	+2	+5	+6	+13	1.6
2033	31	MLB MLE	STL	100%	565	505	119	24	2	8	48	120	7	12	2	236	311	339	649	103	287	21	8	292	84	-11	+2	+4	+6	+12	1.3
2034	32	MLB MLE	STL	100%	546	488	111	22	1	7	46	118	7	9	2	227	303	320	623	92	284	22	8	286	80	-13	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.8
2035	33	MLB MLE	STL	100%	516	462	103	20	1	6	43	114	6	7	1	223	297	310	607	87	279	22	8	279	75	-15	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	STL	100%	624	560	134	27	2	9	51	127	8	19	4	239	312	343	655	104	291	20	8	289	89	-8	+2	+7	+7	+14	2.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	STL	100%	617	553	133	27	2	10	51	125	8	18	4	241	314	351	665	110	291	20	8	290	90	-7	+2	+7	+7	+13	2.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	STL	100%	612	548	131	26	2	10	51	125	8	18	4	239	313	349	662	109	291	20	8	290	90	-7	+2	+7	+7	+13	2.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	STL	100%	604	540	129	26	2	9	51	124	8	17	3	239	314	344	658	106	291	21	8	289	90	-7	+2	+6	+6	+13	2.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	STL	100%	592	530	126	25	2	9	50	123	7	16	3	238	312	343	655	106	290	21	8	287	88	-8	+2	+5	+6	+13	1.9
2032	30	MLB CTX	STL	100%	580	519	122	24	2	8	49	121	7	14	3	235	310	335	645	100	289	21	8	285	87	-9	+2	+5	+6	+13	1.6
2033	31	MLB CTX	STL	100%	565	505	118	23	2	8	48	120	7	12	2	234	309	335	644	101	287	21	8	281	84	-11	+2	+4	+6	+12	1.3
2034	32	MLB CTX	STL	100%	546	488	111	22	1	7	46	118	7	9	2	227	303	320	623	92	283	22	8	275	80	-13	+1	+3	+6	+12	0.8
2035	33	MLB CTX	STL	100%	516	462	103	20	1	6	43	114	6	7	1	223	297	310	607	87	279	22	8	268	75	-15	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	6576	5913	1410	281	21	102	526	1336	75	152	37	238	309	345	654	106	290	20	8	288	85	-101	+16	+69	+76	+142	20.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	139	28	2	10	52	132	7	15	4	238	307	344	652	106	289	20	8	288	85	-10	+2	+7	+7	+14	2.0
Career	—	MLE		—	8143	7342	1738	348	38	134	635	1730	87	253	50	237	305	349	654	113	290	21	8	293	85	-101	+16	+69	+76	+142	20.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	139	28	3	11	51	138	7	20	4	237	306	352	657	114	290	21	8	293	85	-10	+2	+7	+7	+14	2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jack Wilsonlast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,339 PA	8.0	5,339	61	43	265	306	366	+39	+97	20.3	21.4
/162	664	8	5	+4.8	+12.0	2.5	pk7: 22
#2Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#3Alcides Escobarlast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,178 PA	9.3	6,178	45	178	258	295	345	+66	+92	19.2	18.2
/162	664	5	19	+7.1	+9.9	2.1	pk7: 17
#4Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 14 projected seasons	11.6	7,681	123	187	241	307	350	+82	+111	19.1	16.5
/162	664	11	16	+7.1	+9.6	1.6	pk7: 14
#5Clint Barmeslast yr '15 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,100 PA	6.2	4,100	89	43	245	294	379	+34	+76	16.8	16.2
/162	664	14	7	+5.4	+12.4	2.7	pk7: 16
#6Cesar Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,646 PA	7.0	4,646	17	110	254	293	322	+38	+94	10.9	11.4
/162	664	2	16	+5.4	+13.5	1.6	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Masyn Winn (OGILVIE)	24	50	40	60	50	243/313/346	103	300	9	18	20%	8%	89	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Maikel Garcia 2023 · MLB	23	51→58	41→50	57→60	48	245/302/348	103	308	7	27	22%	8%	84	+0.2	253/310/363	110	308	8	26	19%	8%	91	+0.6	261/321/393	132	295	10	24	15%	8%	100	+1.2
✕Alcides Escobar 2011 · MLB	24	54→64	39→45	57→55	47	255/299/346	91	293	5	22	15%	5%	82	+0.0	256/294/347	91	293	5	24	14%	5%	80	-0.1	268/301/353	85	308	4	28	14%	4%	82	+0.0
✕Ke'Bryan Hayes 2021 · MLB	24	51→55	47→50	53→50	47	250/310/399	149	304	13	11	22%	7%	100	+1.3	255/313/393	138	316	12	15	22%	8%	99	+1.3	257/314/398	140	314	13	16	21%	7%	99	+1.0
✕Jack Blomgren 2023 · AA	24	52	40	55→60	45	239/320/336	97	346	6	23	30%	8%	90	+0.6	217/297/325	108	316	10	20	32%	8%	79	-0.2	185/266/286	101	252	7	30	28%	8%	57	-0.4
✕Chase d'Arnaud 2011 · AA	24	47→50	41→45	57→60	47	226/294/339	112	278	7	22	21%	7%	80	-0.2	217/268/315	98	277	6	30	23%	5%	64	-1.3	230/293/350	120	293	11	26	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Chris Burke 2006 · MLB	26	49→56	43→45	53→55	48	239/301/361	122	277	10	21	18%	7%	88	+0.4	242/314/368	126	279	11	17	17%	7%	95	+0.9	234/315/353	119	269	11	17	16%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Josh Barfield 2007 · MLB	24	53→57	46→45	53→55	46	263/306/391	129	303	13	19	18%	6%	96	+1.0	236/269/332	96	286	8	16	20%	4%	68	-1.0	231/259/314	84	265	5	15	15%	4%	58	-1.0
✕Peter Bourjos 2011 · MLB	24	49→55	45→50	63→60	41	242/284/376	134	293	11	28	22%	4%	84	+0.2	246/300/384	138	308	12	20	23%	6%	93	+0.8	249/309/385	136	316	11	18	24%	6%	95	+0.5
✕Dalton Pompey 2017 · MLB	24	52→58	40→45	55	47	249/305/342	92	313	7	25	22%	7%	84	+0.2	230/291/324	94	304	8	18	25%	7%	76	-0.4	232/295/341	109	304	11	17	26%	7%	79	-0.1
✕Abiatal Avelino 2019 · AAA	24	50→52	43→45	55	42	243/280/351	108	297	10	19	22%	5%	76	-0.4	234/270/345	111	289	10	18	22%	5%	72	-0.7	226/268/331	106	274	9	18	21%	5%	65	-0.8
✕Luis Rivas 2003 · MLB	23	53→55	42→50	54→55	48	256/307/372	116	292	8	21	16%	6%	92	+0.7	249/293/380	131	276	11	19	14%	5%	88	+0.5	246/287/372	126	270	10	19	13%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Damian Rolls 2002 · MLB	24	51→52	41→45	53→55	44	248/287/349	100	296	8	22	19%	5%	79	-0.2	246/294/350	104	302	8	16	20%	5%	82	-0.0	228/283/316	88	292	7	15	23%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	47→50	43→45	56→50	43	228/289/352	124	303	9	17	27%	7%	81	-0.1	208/269/313	105	313	9	15	34%	7%	65	-1.2	191/255/282	91	299	8	16	37%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Willie Bloomquist 2004 · MLB	26	53→56	40	52→60	53	253/323/350	97	299	7	13	17%	9%	93	+0.8	245/296/332	87	297	5	25	18%	7%	78	-0.3	296/325/369	73	351	1	7	15%	4%	94	+0.3
✕Manuel Margot 2019 · MLB	24	51→52	44→50	53→60	47	248/296/380	131	288	10	17	18%	6%	90	+0.6	245/305/381	136	285	13	22	18%	8%	94	+0.9	258/313/371	112	301	9	15	17%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Wilmer Difo 2018 · MLB	26	51→55	40→45	56→55	45	245/292/338	94	296	7	20	20%	6%	78	-0.3	234/296/338	104	290	9	14	21%	8%	80	-0.2	238/302/342	104	297	8	11	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Austin Martin 2023 · AA	24	49→52	38→40	57→60	51	227/326/306	79	286	5	25	20%	9%	86	+0.3	239/325/324	85	293	6	24	19%	9%	88	+0.5	257/354/339	82	314	4	22	17%	11%	101	+0.8
✕Leo German 2017 · AAA	24	49→56	42→45	61→55	40	239/285/351	112	305	9	28	24%	5%	79	-0.2	264/300/346	82	345	6	22	24%	4%	83	+0.1	279/314/353	75	359	6	19	23%	4%	86	+0.2
✕Orlando Arcia 2019 · MLB	24	51→57	43→50	48→55	44	248/291/354	106	303	10	14	22%	6%	82	-0.0	236/291/365	129	274	15	10	19%	7%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Scott Kingery 2018 · AAA	24	48→51	45→55	56→55	41	236/280/362	126	287	11	20	22%	5%	80	-0.2	233/282/380	147	300	15	15	26%	6%	85	+0.2	217/279/387	170	294	17	14	31%	7%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps