Austin Martin — OGILVIE

Austin MartinCF Minnesota Twins

Age 27 R/R 5'10" / 185 lbs MLB Svc 1.238 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 116109vR 91

AVG/OBP/SLG.258 / .357 / .348

PA181

HR2

SB7

K%18

BB%12

BABIP313

ISO90

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.8%

xwOBA

590.319

POWER35

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

2186.9

Bat Spd

2868.9

EYE60

Chase%

9014.3%

SPEED55

Sprint

5527.7

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 514 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

188

326

—

wRC+

137

◀◀L

wOBA

364

313

◀L

ISO

115

087

◀◀L

BABIP

360

326

◀L

17.0%

18.1%

◀L

BB%

13.8%

10.4%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.238 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.4	$2M	+$1M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$3M	+$1M
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.8	$3M	+$0.4M
2030	Arb-3	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$17M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	418	344	81	14	2	4	46	108	24	14	4	235	365	323	687	87	326	26	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	418	330	89	18	2	5	60	83	24	14	4	270	418	382	800	112	341	20	14	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	503	433	91	14	3	2	41	94	26	44	6	210	316	270	586	60	262	19	8	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	2 teams	—	503	419	112	19	3	3	55	61	26	44	6	267	386	348	734	81	304	12	11	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	272	238	52	6	0	5	23	57	7	17	4	218	306	307	613	88	263	21	8	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	272	224	57	11	0	6	37	45	7	17	4	254	377	384	761	129	290	17	14	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	387	337	86	21	1	2	39	65	6	15	4	255	343	341	684	86	308	17	10	311	96	-2	+1	-7	+1	+11	0.5
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	387	328	88	22	1	2	48	62	6	15	4	268	372	360	731	91	322	16	12	333	113	+6	+1	-7	+1	+11	1.2
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	318	276	82	14	1	2	36	52	3	13	6	297	384	377	761	80	359	16	11	338	117	+6	+0	+0	-3	+9	1.2
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	318	269	80	14	1	2	43	48	3	13	6	297	400	379	779	82	355	15	14	355	130	+11	+0	+0	-3	+9	1.7
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	MIN	—	272	229	57	12	0	2	36	49	5	9	6	249	363	328	690	79	306	18	13	317	101	+0	-1	+0	-3	+8	0.5
YTD	27	MLB	MIN	—	272	229	57	12	0	2	36	49	5	9	6	249	363	328	690	79	306	18	13	321	104	+1	-1	+0	-3	+8	0.6
ROS	27	MLB	MIN	100%	181	155	40	8	0	2	21	33	3	7	3	258	357	348	705	90	312	18	12	321	104	+1	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.5
ROS	27	MLB	MIN	100%	181	155	40	8	0	2	21	33	3	7	3	258	358	348	706	90	312	18	12	310	95	-1	+0	+1	-2	+5	0.4
FULL	27	MLB	MIN	—	453	384	97	20	0	4	57	82	8	16	9	253	361	336	697	83	309	18	13	314	99	-1	-0	+1	-5	+13	0.9
TOT	27	MLB	MIN	—	453	384	97	20	0	4	57	82	8	16	9	252	361	336	696	83	309	18	13	319	102	+1	-0	+1	-5	+13	1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	MIN	92%	382	328	85	17	1	4	45	70	6	13	5	259	359	354	712	95	312	18	12	320	103	+1	+1	+2	-4	+11	1.1
2028	29	MLB	MIN	92%	382	328	83	16	1	3	45	71	6	12	5	253	354	335	689	82	311	19	12	319	102	+1	+0	+1	-4	+11	0.9
2029	30	MLB	MIN	92%	382	328	83	16	1	3	45	72	6	11	4	253	354	335	689	82	310	19	12	316	100	-0	+1	+0	-4	+11	0.8
2030	31	MLB	MIN	92%	367	315	78	15	0	3	43	70	6	9	4	248	349	324	673	76	308	19	12	312	97	-1	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.5
2031	32	MLB	MIN	92%	348	299	72	14	0	2	41	68	5	7	3	241	342	308	650	67	304	20	12	306	92	-3	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.2
2032	33	MLB	MIN	92%	318	273	65	12	0	2	37	64	5	5	2	238	340	304	644	66	299	20	12	298	87	-5	+0	-2	-3	+9	-0.1
2033	34	MLB	MIN	88%	274	236	54	10	0	1	32	57	4	3	1	229	331	284	615	55	293	21	12	289	80	-6	+0	-3	-3	+8	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	MIN	92%	351	302	77	15	1	3	41	64	5	12	5	255	353	341	695	86	312	18	12	309	95	-2	+0	+1	-4	+10	0.6
2028	29	MLB	MIN	92%	351	302	77	15	1	3	41	65	5	11	4	255	353	341	695	86	311	19	12	308	94	-3	+1	+1	-4	+10	0.5
2029	30	MLB	MIN	92%	351	302	77	15	1	3	41	66	5	10	4	255	353	341	695	86	310	19	12	305	92	-3	+0	+0	-4	+10	0.3
2030	31	MLB	MIN	92%	338	290	72	14	0	3	40	65	5	8	3	248	349	328	677	79	308	19	12	301	88	-4	+0	-1	-4	+10	0.1
2031	32	MLB	MIN	92%	320	275	67	13	0	2	37	62	5	7	3	244	344	313	657	69	304	19	12	295	84	-6	+0	-1	-3	+9	-0.1
2032	33	MLB	MIN	92%	293	253	60	11	0	2	34	59	4	5	2	237	337	304	641	67	299	20	12	288	78	-7	+0	-2	-3	+8	-0.4
2033	34	MLB	MIN	88%	240	207	47	8	0	1	28	50	3	3	1	227	328	280	608	53	293	21	12	279	72	-8	+0	-3	-3	+7	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2863	2475	620	125	5	21	325	542	38	81	32	251	346	331	677	80	311	19	11	302	89	-34	+3	-11	-28	+81	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	140	28	1	5	74	123	9	18	7	249	346	329	675	80	309	19	11	302	89	-8	+1	-2	-6	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	4532	3890	952	177	10	35	494	881	107	170	51	245	346	322	668	78	305	19	11	306	92	-40	+14	-11	-43	+128	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	136	25	1	5	71	126	15	24	7	244	345	319	664	75	304	19	11	306	92	-6	+2	-2	-6	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	418	330	89	18	2	5	60	83	24	14	4	270	418	382	800	112	341	20	14	369	140	+19	+1	—	—	+12	3.3
2022	23	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	406	336	81	13	3	2	47	54	21	34	5	241	369	315	684	74	280	13	12	323	105	+2	+5	—	—	+12	1.9
2022	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	97	83	31	6	0	1	8	7	5	10	1	373	458	482	940	108	395	7	8	420	180	+9	+2	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	24	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	252	205	54	11	0	6	36	43	7	16	4	263	391	405	796	141	302	17	14	359	133	+9	+2	—	—	+7	1.8
2023	24	A	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	—	20	19	3	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	158	200	158	358		176	10	5	171	-11	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	257	233	59	18	1	1	20	47	2	7	3	253	318	352	670	99	314	18	8	302	89	-3	+0	-7	+1	+7	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	130	95	29	4	0	1	28	15	4	8	1	305	480	379	859	74	341	12	22	395	161	+9	+1	—	—	+4	1.4
2025	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	—	181	156	44	8	1	1	22	31	1	11	4	282	374	365	740	83	347	17	12	336	115	+3	+1	+0	-3	+5	0.6
2025	26	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	137	113	36	6	0	1	21	17	2	2	2	319	434	398	832	80	365	12	15	381	149	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	438	389	103	26	2	2	42	78	3	18	7	265	341	357	698	93	327	18	10	316	100	-0	+1	-7	-2	+12	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Grégor Blancolast yr '18 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,301 PA	9	3,301	26	120	256	340	350	-9	-5	7.7	8.5
	/162	664	5	24	256	340	350	-1.8	-1.0	1.5	pk7: 9
#2Brock Holtlast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,661 PA	10	2,661	25	41	262	332	362	+5	+3	7.4	7.8
	/162	664	6	10	262	332	362	+1.2	+0.6	1.9	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	3,304	25	96	252	345	333	-11	-30	8.2	7.7
	/162	664	5	19	252	345	333	-2.2	-6.0	1.6	pk7: 7
#3Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	10	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
	/162	664	9	26	241	331	351	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#4Desi Relafordlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,443 PA	6	2,443	34	64	246	329	356	-1	-7	5.1	5.1
	/162	664	9	17	246	329	356	-0.3	-1.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#5Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#6Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Austin Martin (OGILVIE)	27	60	35	55	60	252/361/336	83	309	4	16	18%	13%	102	+1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Elmore 2014 · MLB	27	54→62	39→40	52→55	53	253/323/345	91	298	5	21	16%	8%	91	+1.1	235/306/301	66	282	4	16	17%	9%	72	-0.2	240/302/310	70	291	3	10	18%	7%	71	-0.2
●Ryan Theriot 2007 · MLB	27	59→65	39→40	58→55	51	276/328/371	95	310	4	25	12%	7%	98	+1.6	278/341/357	79	310	4	23	11%	9%	101	+1.8	281/348/351	71	312	3	22	10%	9%	100	+1.8
✕Myles Straw 2022 · MLB	27	56→60	38→40	56→60	54	262/334/341	80	325	4	27	20%	10%	94	+1.3	232/299/302	70	288	3	23	19%	9%	69	-0.4	226/280/314	88	283	6	25	21%	7%	62	-0.5
●David Eckstein 2002 · MLB	27	57→64	38→40	56→55	52	271/339/352	82	293	5	23	10%	7%	100	+1.7	270/339/352	82	288	5	18	8%	7%	100	+1.7	291/353/368	76	306	4	10	6%	6%	107	+2.2
✕Nicky Lopez 2022 · MLB	27	58→64	38→40	54→55	53	272/334/359	88	312	4	16	14%	8%	98	+1.6	244/310/313	69	286	3	15	14%	8%	77	+0.1	250/314/308	57	296	2	10	15%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Jemile Weeks 2014 · MLB	27	53→63	38→45	57→55	52	247/319/339	92	299	4	17	18%	9%	87	+0.8	229/300/324	95	285	4	15	19%	8%	76	+0.0	220/291/315	95	267	2	13	17%	8%	66	-0.3
●Esteban German 2007 · MLB	29	60→61	41→45	58→60	55	282/359/391	108	334	6	23	16%	10%	118	+3.0	264/342/368	104	315	5	20	16%	10%	105	+2.1	265/344/355	91	318	4	25	16%	10%	100	+1.1
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2022 · MLB	27	55→56	40	52→55	46	262/308/355	93	296	8	16	15%	5%	87	+0.8	257/308/346	89	296	8	19	15%	6%	85	+0.7	264/305/353	89	308	7	18	16%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Eric Campbell 2015 · MLB	28	54→57	43→45	49→50	51	258/333/376	117	322	10	11	22%	9%	104	+2.0	240/327/350	110	299	10	13	21%	10%	95	+1.4	243/339/350	107	298	9	12	20%	11%	97	+1.0
✕Kelby Tomlinson 2018 · MLB	28	57→63	36→40	55→60	51	267/329/337	70	322	4	24	17%	8%	91	+1.1	233/284/289	56	312	2	12	24%	6%	59	-1.1	227/271/263	36	313	0	8	26%	5%	43	-1.3
✕Lastings Milledge 2011 · MLB	26	56→59	42→50	48→55	48	268/323/378	109	311	9	15	17%	6%	99	+1.7	252/308/366	114	284	11	19	15%	7%	90	+1.0	251/306/354	102	278	11	27	14%	6%	82	+0.4
●Denard Span 2010 · MLB	26	60→64	42→50	55	56	288/362/397	109	334	8	23	16%	10%	120	+3.1	270/336/369	99	304	5	19	12%	9%	102	+1.8	272/340/419	147	300	13	12	14%	9%	115	+2.6
✕Willie Bloomquist 2005 · MLB	27	51→56	40	55→60	47	246/300/341	96	303	7	23	21%	7%	79	+0.3	247/298/327	80	294	5	26	17%	6%	76	+0.0	284/325/360	76	328	3	18	13%	5%	90	+0.5
✕Greg Garcia 2017 · MLB	27	53→54	39→40	47→50	52	247/329/334	87	313	5	10	21%	10%	91	+1.1	244/341/339	95	309	7	7	21%	11%	98	+1.6	242/351/334	92	309	6	3	21%	13%	98	+0.8
✕Jose Aguilar 2017 · AAA	27	53→61	42→45	53→55	48	254/312/363	109	288	9	19	15%	6%	91	+1.1	252/308/368	116	299	11	20	19%	6%	91	+1.1	267/329/390	122	322	10	23	19%	6%	101	+0.9
✕Jason Donald 2012 · MLB	27	53→55	40→50	51→50	44	251/311/352	101	323	6	15	23%	6%	88	+0.9	225/275/324	99	309	7	11	28%	5%	65	-0.7	207/255/300	92	293	6	8	30%	5%	47	-1.0
✕Damian Jackson 2001 · MLB	27	53→54	43→45	58→55	57	251/336/375	124	308	8	26	20%	11%	104	+2.0	247/317/353	106	311	6	27	21%	9%	91	+1.1	255/323/351	95	294	7	32	15%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Tyler Bortnick 2014 · AAA	27	50→60	39→45	60→55	51	234/314/329	95	293	5	25	20%	9%	83	+0.6	229/295/318	89	296	6	19	23%	8%	72	-0.2	247/304/342	95	308	8	16	21%	7%	78	+0.1
●Elvis Andrus 2017 · MLB	28	56→61	41→50	53→60	53	270/327/380	110	300	7	23	13%	8%	101	+1.8	274/322/411	137	307	12	19	15%	6%	108	+2.3	271/316/404	133	303	12	21	15%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Brock Holt 2015 · MLB	27	56→64	38→45	53→50	47	264/314/349	85	316	5	15	18%	6%	87	+0.8	251/317/351	100	308	6	10	19%	8%	89	+1.0	262/347/372	110	330	8	7	21%	10%	104	+0.9