Austin Martin
LF Minnesota Twins| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAAMIN | 130 | .305/.480/.379 | 1 | 8 | 121 | — | .279/.417/.346 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLBMIN | 257 | .253/.318/.352 | 1 | 7 | 90 | -0.3 | |
| 2025 | 26 | AAAMIN | 137 | .319/.434/.398 | 1 | 2 | 114 | — | .308/.390/.383 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLBMIN | 181 | .282/.374/.365 | 1 | 11 | 113 | 0.4 | |
| 2026 | 27 | MLBMIN | 358 | .228/.344/.315 | 3 | 12 | 93 | 0.1 | |
| 2027PROJ | 28 | MLBMIN | 259 | .244/.343/.340 | 3 | 9 | 98 | 0.5 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 29 | MLBMIN | 215 | .241/.340/.334 | 2 | 7 | 96 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 30 | MLBMIN | 218 | .238/.337/.326 | 2 | 6 | 93 | 0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 418 | 330 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 83 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 270 | 418 | 382 | 800 | 112 | 341 | 20 | 14 | 369 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 406 | 336 | 81 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 47 | 54 | 21 | 34 | 5 | 241 | 369 | 315 | 684 | 74 | 280 | 13 | 12 | 323 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 97 | 83 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 373 | 458 | 482 | 940 | 108 | 395 | 7 | 8 | 420 | 171 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 252 | 205 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 43 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 263 | 391 | 405 | 796 | 141 | 302 | 17 | 14 | 359 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 176 | 10 | 5 | 171 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 257 | 233 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 253 | 318 | 352 | 670 | 99 | 314 | 18 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -3 | +0 | -7 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 130 | 95 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 305 | 480 | 379 | 859 | 74 | 341 | 12 | 22 | 395 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 181 | 156 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 282 | 374 | 365 | 740 | 83 | 347 | 17 | 12 | 336 | 113 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 137 | 113 | 36 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 319 | 434 | 398 | 832 | 80 | 365 | 12 | 15 | 381 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 358 | 302 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 344 | 315 | 658 | 86 | 282 | 19 | 13 | 306 | 93 | -3 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 796 | 691 | 172 | 43 | 2 | 5 | 87 | 146 | 11 | 30 | 15 | 249 | 342 | 339 | 681 | 90 | 308 | 18 | 11 | 312 | 97 | -3 | +0 | -7 | -6 | +17 | 0.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 418 | 344 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 102 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 253 | 379 | 346 | 725 | 93 | 332 | 24 | 11 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 406 | 349 | 77 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 69 | 21 | 34 | 5 | 221 | 327 | 289 | 616 | 69 | 262 | 17 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 252 | 217 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 53 | 7 | 16 | 4 | 230 | 327 | 332 | 658 | 101 | 274 | 21 | 10 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 20 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 200 | 158 | 358 | 170 | 15 | 5 | 146 | -15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 257 | 233 | 59 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 47 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 253 | 318 | 352 | 670 | 99 | 314 | 18 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -3 | +0 | -7 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 130 | 104 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 279 | 417 | 346 | 763 | 67 | 307 | 14 | 15 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 181 | 156 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 31 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 282 | 374 | 365 | 740 | 83 | 347 | 17 | 12 | 336 | 113 | +3 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 137 | 120 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 308 | 390 | 383 | 773 | 75 | 354 | 15 | 10 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 358 | 302 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 344 | 315 | 658 | 86 | 282 | 19 | 13 | 306 | 93 | -3 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 418 | 344 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 102 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 253 | 379 | 346 | 725 | 93 | 343 | 24 | 11 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 418 | 330 | 89 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 60 | 83 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 270 | 418 | 382 | 800 | 112 | 341 | 20 | 14 | 369 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 432 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 85 | 26 | 44 | 6 | 218 | 324 | 278 | 602 | 60 | 264 | 17 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 503 | 419 | 112 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 61 | 26 | 44 | 6 | 267 | 386 | 348 | 734 | 81 | 304 | 12 | 11 | 341 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 236 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 56 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 225 | 317 | 318 | 635 | 93 | 270 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 272 | 224 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 37 | 45 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 254 | 377 | 384 | 761 | 129 | 290 | 17 | 14 | 345 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 336 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 65 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 262 | 351 | 351 | 702 | 89 | 316 | 17 | 10 | 317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 387 | 328 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 62 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 268 | 372 | 360 | 731 | 91 | 322 | 16 | 12 | 333 | 101 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 276 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 52 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 293 | 381 | 373 | 754 | 80 | 354 | 16 | 11 | 336 | 114 | +5 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 318 | 269 | 80 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 48 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 297 | 400 | 379 | 779 | 82 | 355 | 15 | 14 | 355 | 114 | +5 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +7 | 0.9 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 358 | 302 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 344 | 315 | 658 | 86 | 282 | 19 | 13 | 306 | 93 | -3 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 358 | 302 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 344 | 315 | 658 | 86 | 282 | 19 | 13 | 306 | 93 | -3 | -1 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.1 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 418 | 345 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 102 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 252 | 379 | 345 | 724 | 93 | 332 | 24 | 11 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 503 | 430 | 94 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 42 | 85 | 26 | 44 | 6 | 219 | 324 | 279 | 603 | 60 | 262 | 17 | 8 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 272 | 238 | 53 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 56 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 223 | 317 | 315 | 632 | 92 | 266 | 21 | 9 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 338 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 65 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 260 | 351 | 349 | 700 | 89 | 311 | 17 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 276 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 52 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 293 | 381 | 373 | 754 | 80 | 350 | 16 | 11 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 358 | 302 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 344 | 315 | 658 | 86 | 282 | 19 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 387 | 338 | 88 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 65 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 260 | 351 | 349 | 700 | 89 | 311 | 17 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 318 | 276 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 52 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 293 | 381 | 373 | 754 | 80 | 350 | 16 | 11 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 358 | 302 | 69 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 45 | 68 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 228 | 344 | 315 | 658 | 86 | 282 | 19 | 13 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 100% | 369 | 318 | 78 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 68 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 244 | 343 | 340 | 683 | 96 | 296 | 18 | 11 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -4 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 100% | 259 | 223 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 48 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 244 | 343 | 340 | 683 | 97 | 296 | 19 | 12 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -3 | +6 | 0.5 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIN | 82% | 262 | 226 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 49 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 241 | 340 | 334 | 674 | 93 | 294 | 19 | 11 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -3 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 82% | 266 | 230 | 55 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 51 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 238 | 337 | 326 | 662 | 88 | 293 | 19 | 11 | 305 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -0 | -3 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIN | 82% | 248 | 214 | 50 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 48 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 332 | 315 | 647 | 82 | 290 | 19 | 11 | 299 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIN | 82% | 215 | 185 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 40 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 241 | 340 | 334 | 674 | 93 | 295 | 19 | 12 | 310 | 96 | -1 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 82% | 218 | 188 | 45 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 42 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 238 | 337 | 326 | 663 | 88 | 293 | 19 | 11 | 305 | 93 | -2 | +1 | -0 | -2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIN | 82% | 203 | 175 | 41 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 234 | 332 | 316 | 647 | 82 | 290 | 20 | 11 | 299 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1432 | 1239 | 303 | 72 | 3 | 11 | 160 | 268 | 20 | 46 | 19 | 245 | 340 | 334 | 675 | 90 | 302 | 19 | 11 | 309 | 94 | -9 | +2 | -8 | -13 | +31 | 0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 562 | 137 | 33 | 1 | 5 | 73 | 122 | 9 | 21 | 9 | 244 | 340 | 333 | 673 | 89 | 301 | 19 | 11 | 309 | 94 | -4 | +1 | -4 | -6 | +14 | 0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3291 | 2819 | 687 | 137 | 10 | 28 | 352 | 624 | 90 | 143 | 39 | 244 | 346 | 329 | 675 | 85 | 301 | 19 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -11 | +3 | -7 | -17 | +40 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 557 | 136 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 70 | 123 | 18 | 28 | 8 | 244 | 348 | 332 | 680 | 88 | 301 | 19 | 11 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +14 | 0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 137 PAwOBA .374 → .337 (−38)K% 12.4% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.41% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.33% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 10.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.21% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×0.988 | ×1.018 | 29.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.988 | ×1.018 | 5.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.988 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.04% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.59% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .374 → .337; ISO .080 → .065; BABIP .365 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASt. Paul Saints · 130 PAwOBA .394 → .347 (−47)K% 11.5% → 13.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.54% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 13.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.77% | ÷0.985 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 15.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.010 | ×0.930 | ×0.958 | ×1.033 | 27.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.996 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×1.033 | 4.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.970 | ×0.958 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.25% | ÷1.039 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 109, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .394 → .347; ISO .074 → .063; BABIP .341 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASt. Paul Saints · 252 PAwOBA .354 → .296 (−59)K% 17.1% → 21.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.06% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.067 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 2.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.84% | ÷0.964 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.79% | ÷1.341 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 4.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 2.69% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 93, 2B 168, 3B 95, K 95, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .354 → .296; ISO .141 → .102; BABIP .302 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 20 PAwOBA .167 → .146 (−21)K% 10.0% → 14.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 14.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 3.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.976 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 88, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .167 → .146; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .176 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAWichita Wind Surge · 406 PAwOBA .317 → .277 (−40)K% 13.3% → 16.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.30% | ÷0.958 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.58% | ÷0.991 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.17% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 4.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.34% | ÷1.018 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 21.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.61% | ÷1.001 | ×0.840 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 4.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.022 | ×1.027 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.71% | ÷0.985 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.59% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .317 → .277; ISO .074 → .065; BABIP .280 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAWichita Wind Surge · 418 PAwOBA .364 → .324 (−39)K% 19.9% → 24.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.86% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 24.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.35% | ÷0.950 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 10.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.74% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 5.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.91% | ÷0.989 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×1.042 | 25.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.29% | ÷1.040 | ×0.870 | ×1.010 | ×1.042 | 6.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.908 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.042 | 0.86% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.02% | ÷1.104 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 1.49% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 82, K 99, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .364 → .324; ISO .112 → .095; BABIP .341 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .