Connor Hollis — OGILVIE

Connor Hollis2B Mexico Rojo

Age 31 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs INTL HR +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.235 / .297 / .317

PA22

HR0

K%22

BB%6

ISO83

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 31

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER31

scouting grade only

EYE37

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	23	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	207	170	62	11	0	7	28	30	7	8	3	365	473	553	1.026	188	407	14	14	450	191	+22	+0	—	—	+4	2.8
2019	24	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	40	31	7	1	0	0	7	7	2	1	1	226	400	258	658	32	292	18	18	327	107	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2019	24	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	175	153	43	13	2	4	13	33	7	4	1	281	364	471	835	190	331	19	7	367	134	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	36	32	12	5	2	0	4	10	0	0	1	375	444	656	1.101	281	545	28	11	471	205	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.5
2021	26	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	261	231	64	16	1	5	22	45	5	12	1	277	351	420	771	143	322	17	8	343	118	+6	+2	—	—	+6	1.4
2022	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	95	84	26	9	1	0	10	14	1	2	0	310	389	440	830	131	371	15	11	372	138	+4	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2022	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	480	403	134	22	3	9	62	93	10	19	12	333	433	469	902	136	413	19	13	402	158	+33	-1	—	—	+10	4.3
2023	28	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	274	233	56	9	2	3	32	60	4	13	8	240	342	335	677	94	306	22	12	308	94	-2	-1	—	—	+6	0.4
2024	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	26	22	6	2	0	0	2	3	1	0	2	273	360	364	724	91	316	12	8	320	103	+0	-1	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	29	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	362	320	77	11	2	2	23	57	14	18	5	241	318	306	624	66	286	16	6	287	81	-8	+2	—	—	+8	0.1
2025	30	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	69	53	19	1	0	1	10	8	3	9	2	358	485	434	919	75	400	12	14	405	160	+5	+1	—	—	+1	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	23	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	—	207	180	51	8	0	6	18	43	7	8	3	283	371	428	799	144	324	21	9	339	116	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2019	24	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	40	33	6	1	0	0	5	10	2	1	1	182	325	212	537	30	268	25	12	269	68	-2	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	24	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	175	157	33	9	1	2	9	48	7	4	1	210	283	318	602	108	273	27	5	267	67	-7	+0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2021	26	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	36	33	10	4	2	0	3	13	0	0	1	303	361	545	907	242	487	36	8	373	139	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	26	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	261	238	56	12	1	4	16	59	5	12	1	235	297	345	642	109	287	23	6	280	76	-8	+2	—	—	+6	0.0
2022	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	95	87	22	7	1	0	7	19	1	2	0	253	316	356	672	103	315	20	7	289	82	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2022	27	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	480	423	134	20	3	8	43	113	10	19	12	317	393	435	828	118	405	24	9	361	130	+17	-1	—	—	+10	2.7
2023	28	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	274	241	53	7	2	3	24	74	4	13	8	220	301	303	604	83	293	27	9	270	69	-10	-1	—	—	+6	-0.5
2024	29	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	26	23	6	2	0	0	1	4	1	0	2	261	320	348	668	87	266	15	4	263	64	-1	-1	—	—	+1	-0.1
2024	29	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	362	329	75	11	2	2	16	71	14	18	5	228	292	292	584	64	276	20	4	255	59	-18	+2	—	—	+8	-0.9
2018	23	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	—	207	180	51	8	0	6	18	43	7	8	3	283	371	428	799	144	338	21	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	ROK RAW	Princeton Rays	—	207	170	62	11	0	7	28	30	7	8	3	365	473	553	1.026	188	407	14	14	450	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	215	190	39	10	1	2	14	57	9	5	2	205	291	300	591	95	278	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A RAW	2 teams	—	215	184	50	14	2	4	20	40	9	5	2	272	371	435	806	163	324	19	9	359	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	297	271	66	15	3	4	19	72	5	12	2	244	305	365	670	122	315	24	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	297	263	76	21	3	5	26	55	5	12	2	289	363	449	811	160	346	19	9	359	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	575	510	155	26	4	8	50	132	11	21	12	304	378	418	796	114	395	23	9	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	575	487	160	31	4	9	72	107	11	21	12	329	426	464	890	136	405	19	13	397	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	274	241	53	7	2	3	24	74	4	13	8	220	301	303	604	83	299	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AA RAW	San Antonio Missions	—	274	233	56	9	2	3	32	60	4	13	8	240	342	335	677	94	306	22	12	308	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	352	80	12	2	2	17	75	15	18	7	227	292	290	581	63	283	19	4	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA RAW	2 teams	—	388	342	83	13	2	2	25	60	15	18	7	243	320	310	630	67	288	15	6	289	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL MLE	Mexico Rojo	—	69	53	19	1	0	1	10	8	3	9	2	358	485	434	919	75	400	12	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL RAW	Mexico Rojo	—	69	53	19	1	0	1	10	8	3	9	2	358	485	434	919	75	400	12	14	405	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	ROK MLE	Princeton Rays	—	207	180	51	8	0	6	18	43	7	8	3	283	371	428	799	144	324	21	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A MLE	2 teams	—	215	190	39	10	1	2	14	57	9	5	2	205	291	300	591	95	272	27	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	297	271	66	15	3	4	19	72	5	12	2	244	305	365	670	122	311	24	6	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	575	509	155	26	4	8	50	132	11	21	12	305	378	418	797	114	390	23	9	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	274	244	53	7	2	3	24	74	4	13	8	217	301	299	600	82	293	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	353	80	12	2	2	17	75	15	18	7	227	292	289	581	62	275	19	4	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	28	AA MLE	San Antonio Missions	—	274	244	53	7	2	3	24	74	4	13	8	217	301	299	600	82	293	27	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA MLE	2 teams	—	388	353	80	12	2	2	17	75	15	18	7	227	292	289	581	62	275	19	4	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	31	MLB MLE	SD	0%	22	21	5	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	238	273	286	558	48	299	23	5	281	76	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	32	MLB MLE	SD	22%	307	279	66	12	2	3	19	67	6	6	3	237	299	326	626	90	295	22	6	280	76	-9	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.5
2027	32	MLB CTX	SD	22%	66	61	14	3	0	1	4	14	1	1	1	230	288	328	616	98	292	21	6	263	76	-2	-0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	66	61	14	3	0	1	4	14	1	1	1	230	288	328	616	98	283	21	6	263	82	-2	-0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	601	138	30	0	10	39	138	10	10	10	230	288	329	617	100	283	21	6	263	82	-19	-2	-7	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	2354	2097	534	92	14	29	172	533	60	93	39	255	329	353	682	99	326	23	7	289	82	-10	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	147	25	4	8	47	147	17	26	11	254	328	352	680	98	325	23	7	289	82	-19	+0	-7	+2	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Alexi Casillalast yr '13 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,883 PA	2.8	1,883	12	80	248	302	332	+8	+3	2.7	2.7
/162	664	4	28	+2.8	+0.9	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Chris Getzlast yr '13 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	3	86	251	310	309	+5	+12	2.7	2.7
/162	664	1	37	+2.4	+5.1	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	316	3	8	237	296	321	+1	+1	0.0	0.0
/162	664	5	16	+2.4	+2.1	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Hollis (OGILVIE)	31	55	31	57	37	235/297/317	82	299	2	6	22%	6%	76	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alan Arredondo 2009 · AAA	31	52	38→30	56→60	44	245/287/331	86	301	5	17	20%	5%	74	-0.5	241/304/320	79	292	5	22	18%	8%	79	-0.2	241/315/279	38	283	0	36	13%	9%	70	-0.3
✕Gregorio Vazquez 2010 · AAA	31	55→58	37→40	49→55	47	255/296/332	76	285	3	16	12%	5%	78	-0.3	225/275/292	67	252	4	13	12%	5%	61	-1.5	198/254/224	26	221	0	11	10%	5%	35	-2.1
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	45→52	40	55	42	216/270/304	88	292	7	20	28%	6%	63	-1.4	189/237/271	82	273	7	16	32%	5%	42	-2.9	143/181/190	47	196	3	12	28%	4%	1	-1.3
✕Alejandro Ahumada 2010 · AAA	31	53→63	37→40	53→55	42	250/290/324	74	302	4	19	19%	4%	74	-0.5	245/297/316	71	310	5	13	21%	5%	76	-0.4	270/320/335	65	340	4	10	20%	6%	83	+0.1
✕Pedro Ciriaco 2017 · MLB	31	48→58	37→40	48→55	36	230/253/299	69	289	4	15	22%	2%	54	-2.0	231/257/310	79	277	6	15	19%	3%	58	-1.7	240/252/298	57	281	3	16	16%	1%	51	-1.2
✕Eliezer Ortiz 2019 · AAA	32	52→57	39→40	50→55	38	246/286/332	86	315	6	15	23%	4%	75	-0.5	230/290/327	97	297	8	11	24%	5%	76	-0.4	222/285/295	73	290	6	8	24%	4%	65	-0.6
✕Erik González 2023 · MLB	31	49→57	39→45	48→50	41	232/274/316	84	302	6	10	25%	5%	66	-1.1	234/271/313	79	311	5	7	25%	5%	64	-1.3	234/268/305	71	312	4	5	25%	4%	58	-1.4
✕Emmanuel Burriss 2016 · AAA	31	53→57	37→40	52→60	48	250/300/328	78	279	4	18	12%	6%	79	-0.2	228/267/296	68	263	4	14	14%	4%	59	-1.7	215/241/247	32	250	0	13	14%	3%	35	-1.1
✕Jason Ellison 2009 · MLB	31	48→54	37→40	46→50	49	225/291/300	74	273	4	14	18%	7%	70	-0.9	225/285/302	77	279	6	14	20%	7%	68	-1.0	228/283/286	58	283	4	15	20%	6%	61	-1.3
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2015 · AAA	31	48	39→40	47→55	37	228/261/312	84	313	7	11	29%	4%	60	-1.6	224/268/298	74	322	6	11	30%	5%	60	-1.6	203/257/269	67	300	7	11	33%	6%	48	-0.6
✕Elliot Soto 2022 · AAA	32	47→54	39→40	48→50	44	224/285/312	88	299	6	10	26%	7%	70	-0.8	198/263/280	82	286	5	16	30%	7%	55	-2.0	178/249/247	69	264	4	20	32%	8%	40	-1.7
✕Drew Maggi 2019 · AAA	30	51→56	39→45	48→60	44	240/297/325	85	320	6	17	26%	7%	78	-0.3	220/297/331	111	297	10	13	28%	7%	80	-0.1	192/278/289	97	271	9	18	30%	8%	61	-1.0
✕Hernan Iribarren 2015 · AAA	31	49→59	36→40	51→55	46	231/280/299	68	288	4	12	21%	6%	65	-1.2	251/292/318	67	306	3	7	18%	5%	73	-0.6	268/301/339	71	325	3	3	18%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Walter Ibarra 2019 · AAA	31	51→61	39→40	48→50	39	245/274/328	84	310	6	9	23%	4%	69	-0.9	227/286/318	91	313	6	10	27%	7%	72	-0.7	224/287/296	71	314	3	8	27%	8%	68	-0.6
✕Gil Velazquez 2012 · AAA	32	52→60	40	50	46	246/294/339	93	293	6	14	18%	6%	80	-0.2	259/317/326	67	311	4	8	17%	8%	85	+0.2	262/324/309	48	314	3	5	16%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Johnny Raburn 2010 · AAA	31	48→58	36→30	51→55	52	225/285/291	66	262	4	15	16%	8%	65	-1.2	228/293/324	96	273	8	11	18%	8%	76	-0.4	223/294/315	93	266	7	8	18%	9%	76	-0.2
✕Luis Ordaz 2008 · AAA	32	54	39→40	47→50	42	257/286/343	86	298	5	11	16%	4%	76	-0.4	247/282/349	102	295	8	12	19%	4%	77	-0.3	270/297/378	108	307	9	4	15%	2%	88	+0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2021 · AAA	31	49→59	41→40	46→50	45	234/293/330	97	287	8	8	21%	6%	78	-0.3	222/291/298	76	291	6	7	24%	8%	70	-0.9	206/282/234	28	276	1	2	23%	8%	49	-1.2
✕Jorge Velandia 2007 · AAA	32	51→52	40	50→45	43	244/281/338	93	291	8	11	19%	5%	74	-0.6	224/272/309	85	288	7	8	23%	6%	64	-1.3	214/267/287	73	279	5	5	24%	6%	54	-1.5
✕Elian Herrera 2015 · MLB	30	52→57	38→40	53→60	43	247/294/331	85	315	5	17	23%	6%	77	-0.3	242/291/346	104	312	9	10	24%	6%	80	-0.2	245/295/349	104	313	9	6	23%	7%	78	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps