Connor Hollis — OGILVIE

Connor Hollis2B Mexico Rojo

Age 31 R/R 5'8" / 170 lbs INTL HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .295 / .319

PA250

HR2

SB6

K%22

BB%6

ISO87

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE38

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	23	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	207	180	51	8	0	6	18	43	7	8	3	283	371	428	799	144	338	21	9	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	207	170	62	11	0	7	28	30	7	8	3	365	473	553	1.026	188	407	14	14	450	203	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A	2 teams	—	215	190	38	9	1	2	14	60	9	5	2	200	286	289	576	89	277	28	7	257	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	A	2 teams	—	215	184	50	14	2	4	20	40	9	5	2	272	371	435	806	163	324	19	9	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+	2 teams	—	297	270	65	14	2	4	20	71	5	12	2	241	305	352	657	111	310	24	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	26	A+	2 teams	—	297	263	76	21	3	5	26	55	5	12	2	289	363	449	811	160	346	19	9	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA	2 teams	—	575	508	156	25	4	11	52	138	11	21	12	307	384	437	821	130	402	24	9	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	27	AA	2 teams	—	575	487	160	31	4	9	72	107	11	21	12	329	426	464	890	136	405	19	13	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	274	239	52	6	2	4	26	79	4	13	8	218	305	310	614	92	302	29	9	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	28	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	274	233	56	9	2	3	32	60	4	13	8	240	342	335	677	94	306	22	12	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA	2 teams	—	388	351	77	12	1	2	18	80	15	18	7	219	286	276	563	57	278	21	5	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AA	2 teams	—	388	342	83	13	2	2	25	60	15	18	7	243	320	310	630	67	288	15	6	289	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	69	53	19	1	0	1	10	8	3	9	2	358	485	434	919	75	400	12	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	69	53	19	1	0	1	10	8	3	9	2	358	485	434	919	75	400	12	14	405	168	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	31	MLB	SD	—	250	228	53	10	1	2	15	56	5	6	3	232	294	311	606	79	298	22	6	281	73	-8	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	SD	22%	307	279	65	12	2	3	19	70	6	6	3	233	296	323	619	90	295	23	6	280	72	-10	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.3
2028	33	MLB	SD	34%	299	272	61	11	1	3	19	70	6	5	2	224	290	305	595	81	291	23	6	276	70	-10	+0	-4	+1	+8	-0.5
2027	32	MLB	SD	22%	66	61	14	3	0	1	4	15	1	1	1	230	288	328	616	98	291	23	6	262	58	-3	-0	-1	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	33	MLB	SD	34%	102	93	21	4	1	1	6	24	2	2	1	226	287	323	610	97	287	24	6	259	56	-5	+0	-1	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	168	154	35	7	1	2	10	39	3	3	2	227	287	325	612	97	289	23	6	260	57	-8	-0	-2	+1	+5	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	596	136	27	4	8	39	151	12	12	8	228	289	327	617	99	290	23	6	260	57	-31	-1	-8	+2	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	2881	2570	637	108	14	38	211	675	71	103	44	248	322	345	667	97	320	23	7	288	78	-71	+3	-8	+10	+82	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	144	24	3	9	48	152	16	23	10	248	323	347	670	98	319	23	7	288	78	-16	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	23	ROK	Princeton Rays	—	207	170	62	11	0	7	28	30	7	8	3	365	473	553	1.026	188	407	14	14	450	203	+24	+0	—	—	+6	3.1
2019	24	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	40	31	7	1	0	0	7	7	2	1	1	226	400	258	658	32	292	18	18	327	108	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
2019	24	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	175	153	43	13	2	4	13	33	7	4	1	281	364	471	835	190	331	19	7	367	139	+8	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	26	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	36	32	12	5	2	0	4	10	0	0	1	375	444	656	1.101	281	545	28	11	471	219	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2021	26	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	261	231	64	16	1	5	22	45	5	12	1	277	351	420	771	143	322	17	8	343	121	+6	+2	—	—	+7	1.6
2022	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	95	84	26	9	1	0	10	14	1	2	0	310	389	440	830	131	371	15	11	372	143	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8
2022	27	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	480	403	134	22	3	9	62	93	10	19	12	333	433	469	902	136	413	19	13	402	166	+36	-1	—	—	+14	4.9
2023	28	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	274	233	56	9	2	3	32	60	4	13	8	240	342	335	677	94	306	22	12	308	94	-2	-1	—	—	+8	0.5
2024	29	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	26	22	6	2	0	0	2	3	1	0	2	273	360	364	724	91	316	12	8	320	103	+0	-1	—	—	+1	0.0
2024	29	AA	San Antonio Missions	—	362	320	77	11	2	2	23	57	14	18	5	241	318	306	624	66	286	16	6	287	78	-9	+2	—	—	+10	0.3
2025	30	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	69	53	19	1	0	1	10	8	3	9	2	358	485	434	919	75	400	12	14	405	168	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#2Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	6	1,763	16	10	248	297	342	+5	+12	2.4	2.4
#3Einar Díazlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,763 PA	/162	664	6	4	248	297	342	+1.9	+4.7	0.9	pk7: 2
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	418	4	9	233	294	322	+1	+2	-0.1	-0.0
	/162	664	7	15	233	294	322	+2.4	+3.2	-0.1	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Hollis (OGILVIE)	31	53	32	57	38	233/295/319	86	298	2	6	22%	6%	73	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alan Arredondo 2009 · AAA	31	51	39→30	56→60	43	245/285/332	87	300	5	17	20%	5%	70	-0.3	240/301/322	82	291	6	22	18%	7%	76	+0.0	241/315/279	38	283	0	36	13%	9%	66	-0.2
✕Jack Reinheimer 2023 · AAA	31	46→51	40	55	41	222/271/314	93	299	8	20	28%	6%	61	-1.0	188/232/271	83	274	7	16	32%	5%	33	-2.9	144/183/194	50	198	3	12	28%	5%	-9	-1.3
✕Elliot Soto 2021 · AAA	31	47→53	41→40	49→50	44	227/286/329	101	302	8	9	26%	7%	71	-0.3	211/271/298	87	295	6	13	29%	7%	57	-1.2	194/256/267	72	281	4	15	30%	7%	39	-1.0
✕Gregorio Vazquez 2010 · AAA	31	54→58	37→40	49→55	47	255/295/334	78	284	3	16	12%	5%	75	-0.0	224/270/291	67	250	4	13	12%	5%	54	-1.4	197/249/222	25	220	0	11	10%	5%	24	-2.2
✕Emmanuel Burriss 2016 · AAA	31	53→57	38→40	52→60	49	249/299/328	80	277	5	18	12%	6%	76	+0.0	226/263/294	68	259	4	14	14%	4%	51	-1.7	213/238/243	31	246	0	13	13%	2%	24	-1.1
✕Elian Herrera 2015 · MLB	30	51→55	38→40	53→60	42	241/286/323	82	311	5	17	24%	5%	69	-0.4	239/285/344	105	308	9	10	24%	6%	75	-0.0	240/289/346	106	306	10	6	24%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Alejandro Ahumada 2010 · AAA	31	53→63	38→40	53→55	42	250/289/326	76	302	5	19	19%	4%	71	-0.3	242/293/314	72	304	5	13	21%	5%	70	-0.3	266/316/331	65	332	4	10	20%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Jason Ellison 2009 · MLB	31	48→54	37→40	46→50	49	225/289/299	74	273	4	14	18%	7%	65	-0.7	225/283/305	80	278	6	14	20%	6%	64	-0.8	229/285/292	63	284	5	15	20%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Erik González 2023 · MLB	31	48→55	39→45	48→50	41	229/271/317	88	301	6	10	25%	5%	61	-1.0	236/271/319	83	315	6	7	26%	4%	61	-1.0	239/271/313	74	319	5	5	26%	4%	55	-1.1
✕Chris Barnwell 2009 · MLB	30	48→51	40	52→50	47	231/290/324	93	271	7	17	18%	6%	72	-0.2	208/263/299	91	261	7	12	23%	5%	54	-1.4	170/221/227	57	223	3	5	24%	4%	14	-2.1
✕Johnny Raburn 2010 · AAA	31	48→57	36→30	51→55	51	224/284/290	66	263	4	15	16%	8%	59	-1.1	227/292/324	97	272	8	11	18%	8%	72	-0.2	221/293/317	96	263	7	8	18%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Eric Bruntlett 2009 · MLB	31	49→52	38→40	53→55	54	230/306/310	80	272	5	20	17%	9%	75	-0.0	206/266/301	95	259	8	13	23%	6%	56	-1.3	184/238/271	87	238	7	9	25%	5%	34	-1.4
✕Drew Maggi 2019 · AAA	30	52→54	39→45	49→60	44	244/300/330	87	325	6	17	26%	6%	77	+0.1	222/296/340	118	298	12	13	28%	7%	79	+0.3	191/273/294	103	267	10	18	30%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Daniel Nunez 2013 · AAA	31	49→50	40→30	54→50	47	230/316/331	100	315	6	17	27%	8%	85	+0.7	239/308/321	82	302	6	12	22%	7%	79	+0.3	237/304/301	64	299	4	10	20%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Jason Bowers 2009 · AAA	31	48→52	42→45	52→50	45	233/279/342	109	274	8	15	19%	6%	72	-0.2	223/274/325	102	277	7	12	21%	6%	65	-0.7	215/269/303	89	270	4	8	21%	6%	53	-0.9
✕Jorge Velandia 2007 · AAA	32	51→53	41→40	50→45	43	246/282/346	100	291	9	11	19%	4%	73	-0.1	225/272/315	90	287	8	8	23%	5%	61	-1.0	215/268/292	77	280	6	5	24%	6%	50	-1.3
✕Jonathan Diaz 2016 · MLB	31	46→47	36→30	47→50	49	214/284/282	68	263	3	9	19%	7%	59	-1.1	207/286/275	68	262	5	8	21%	9%	58	-1.2	191/281/237	46	245	3	5	21%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Dixon Machado 2023 · MLB	31	53→55	39→45	48→55	49	251/314/340	89	297	7	10	17%	7%	85	+0.7	226/305/322	96	274	9	7	20%	9%	79	+0.3	208/300/290	82	254	9	4	21%	11%	66	-0.3
✕Daniel Hinojosa 2014 · AAA	30	46	38→40	51→55	40	220/262/297	77	300	5	19	28%	5%	52	-1.6	225/259/310	85	316	8	11	30%	4%	54	-1.4	201/253/274	73	301	9	11	34%	6%	41	-0.6
✕Luis Ordaz 2008 · AAA	32	54	39→40	47→50	42	258/285/346	89	298	6	11	16%	3%	74	-0.1	248/279/354	106	295	9	12	19%	3%	74	-0.1	273/300/391	118	308	11	4	15%	2%	92	+0.3