Kelby Tomlinson
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 28 | AAASF | 204 | .304/.367/.315 | 0 | 7 | 75 | — | .289/.332/.299 | |
| 2018 | 28 | MLBSF | 152 | .207/.265/.264 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.3 | ||
| 2019 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 399 | .249/.308/.307 | 0 | 6 | 32 | — | .188/.231/.229 | |
| 2021 | 31 | AAACOL | 21 | .167/.286/.222 | 0 | 0 | 14 | — | .158/.238/.211 | |
| 2022 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 156 | 140 | 50 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 357 | 419 | 543 | 962 | 186 | 410 | 14 | 9 | 420 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 520 | 450 | 101 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 53 | 105 | 5 | 36 | 11 | 224 | 313 | 269 | 582 | 44 | 286 | 20 | 10 | 268 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 116 | 96 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 312 | 250 | 562 | 52 | 275 | 23 | 14 | 261 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | San Jose Giants | — | 148 | 134 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 32 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 276 | 340 | 328 | 668 | 52 | 359 | 22 | 8 | 306 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK | AZL Giants | — | 31 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 286 | 355 | 500 | 855 | 214 | 350 | 23 | 10 | 374 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 494 | 433 | 116 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 44 | 82 | 5 | 49 | 12 | 268 | 342 | 323 | 666 | 55 | 325 | 17 | 9 | 300 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 70 | 63 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 111 | 200 | 159 | 359 | 48 | 132 | 14 | 10 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 193 | 178 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 303 | 358 | 404 | 762 | 101 | 382 | 21 | 7 | 343 | 121 | +5 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 149 | 136 | 43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 316 | 359 | 382 | 741 | 66 | 360 | 15 | 5 | 327 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 289 | 253 | 82 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 37 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 324 | 391 | 431 | 822 | 107 | 372 | 13 | 9 | 360 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 120 | 106 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 292 | 370 | 330 | 700 | 38 | 352 | 15 | 10 | 322 | 102 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 213 | 185 | 53 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 26 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 286 | 370 | 341 | 710 | 54 | 331 | 12 | 10 | 325 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 222 | 194 | 50 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 46 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 258 | 336 | 314 | 651 | 57 | 327 | 21 | 10 | 295 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 122 | 108 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 296 | 377 | 352 | 729 | 56 | 333 | 10 | 11 | 336 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | San Francisco Giants | — | 152 | 140 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 207 | 265 | 264 | 529 | 57 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 243 | 52 | -9 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA | Sacramento River Cats | — | 204 | 181 | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 304 | 367 | 315 | 682 | 11 | 399 | 22 | 9 | 309 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 369 | 335 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 79 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 242 | 302 | 301 | 604 | 60 | 314 | 21 | 7 | 274 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 30 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 333 | 379 | 370 | 750 | 37 | 409 | 17 | 7 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 21 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 222 | 508 | 56 | 200 | 14 | 10 | 249 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 687 | 618 | 164 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 139 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 265 | 332 | 332 | 664 | 66 | 336 | 20 | 8 | 302 | 90 | -8 | +1 | +8 | +6 | +15 | 2.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 156 | 145 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 255 | 303 | 366 | 669 | 110 | 313 | 21 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 520 | 466 | 98 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 130 | 5 | 36 | 11 | 210 | 276 | 251 | 527 | 41 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 116 | 101 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 34 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 277 | 248 | 524 | 50 | 274 | 29 | 9 | 228 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 148 | 138 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 232 | 279 | 275 | 554 | 43 | 330 | 29 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 31 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 290 | 448 | 739 | 207 | 264 | 32 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 494 | 449 | 121 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 28 | 99 | 5 | 49 | 12 | 269 | 320 | 323 | 642 | 53 | 327 | 20 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 193 | 178 | 55 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 40 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 309 | 363 | 410 | 773 | 101 | 382 | 21 | 7 | 348 | 121 | +5 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 1.1 |
| 2015 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 149 | 138 | 41 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 27 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 297 | 331 | 362 | 693 | 65 | 342 | 18 | 3 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 289 | 260 | 81 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 3 | 16 | 6 | 312 | 363 | 408 | 771 | 96 | 354 | 16 | 6 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 120 | 107 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 290 | 361 | 327 | 688 | 37 | 352 | 15 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +0 | +1 | +3 | +1 | +3 | 0.8 |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 213 | 193 | 51 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 32 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 264 | 327 | 311 | 638 | 47 | 312 | 15 | 7 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 222 | 196 | 51 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 46 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 260 | 332 | 316 | 648 | 56 | 327 | 21 | 9 | 292 | 84 | -4 | +1 | +2 | +1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 122 | 111 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 252 | 320 | 297 | 617 | 45 | 298 | 13 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB MLE | San Francisco Giants | — | 152 | 140 | 29 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 207 | 265 | 264 | 529 | 57 | 276 | 23 | 6 | 245 | 52 | -9 | -1 | +2 | +1 | +3 | -0.3 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | Sacramento River Cats | — | 204 | 187 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 53 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 289 | 332 | 299 | 631 | 11 | 387 | 26 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 369 | 345 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 103 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 188 | 231 | 229 | 460 | 41 | 260 | 28 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 211 | 449 | 53 | 161 | 19 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 156 | 145 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 255 | 303 | 366 | 669 | 110 | 319 | 21 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK RAW | AZL Giants | — | 156 | 140 | 50 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 357 | 419 | 543 | 962 | 186 | 410 | 14 | 9 | 420 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 520 | 466 | 98 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 130 | 5 | 36 | 11 | 210 | 276 | 251 | 527 | 41 | 284 | 25 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A RAW | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 520 | 450 | 101 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 53 | 105 | 5 | 36 | 11 | 224 | 313 | 269 | 582 | 44 | 286 | 20 | 10 | 268 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 295 | 268 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 87 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 213 | 272 | 272 | 545 | 60 | 309 | 29 | 7 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 295 | 258 | 64 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 66 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 248 | 331 | 318 | 649 | 70 | 328 | 22 | 11 | 295 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 515 | 138 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32 | 113 | 5 | 57 | 13 | 268 | 317 | 320 | 637 | 52 | 338 | 20 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 564 | 496 | 123 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 51 | 92 | 5 | 57 | 13 | 248 | 324 | 302 | 627 | 54 | 300 | 16 | 9 | 285 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 631 | 576 | 177 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 112 | 6 | 26 | 13 | 307 | 355 | 398 | 753 | 90 | 371 | 18 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 631 | 567 | 179 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 99 | 6 | 26 | 13 | 316 | 373 | 411 | 784 | 95 | 372 | 16 | 7 | 347 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 300 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 50 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 273 | 339 | 317 | 656 | 43 | 327 | 15 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 291 | 84 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 44 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 289 | 370 | 337 | 706 | 48 | 339 | 13 | 10 | 324 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 307 | 79 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 62 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 257 | 327 | 309 | 637 | 52 | 316 | 18 | 9 | 288 | 81 | -8 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 344 | 302 | 82 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 58 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 272 | 351 | 328 | 679 | 56 | 329 | 17 | 10 | 309 | 81 | -8 | +2 | +2 | +1 | +7 | 0.5 |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 327 | 84 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 257 | 306 | 287 | 593 | 31 | 350 | 25 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 356 | 321 | 84 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 79 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 262 | 323 | 293 | 616 | 31 | 346 | 22 | 8 | 281 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 373 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 111 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 188 | 229 | 228 | 457 | 40 | 265 | 28 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 399 | 362 | 90 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 84 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 249 | 308 | 307 | 615 | 58 | 321 | 21 | 7 | 278 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 211 | 449 | 53 | 200 | 19 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA RAW | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 21 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 286 | 222 | 508 | 56 | 200 | 14 | 10 | 249 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | ROK MLE | AZL Giants | — | 156 | 145 | 37 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 255 | 303 | 366 | 669 | 110 | 313 | 21 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Augusta GreenJackets | — | 520 | 473 | 98 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 130 | 5 | 36 | 11 | 207 | 276 | 247 | 523 | 40 | 275 | 25 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 295 | 271 | 57 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 87 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 210 | 272 | 269 | 542 | 59 | 301 | 29 | 7 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 564 | 522 | 138 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 32 | 113 | 5 | 57 | 13 | 264 | 317 | 316 | 633 | 52 | 327 | 20 | 6 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 631 | 583 | 177 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 112 | 6 | 26 | 13 | 304 | 355 | 393 | 748 | 89 | 360 | 18 | 6 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 300 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 50 | 4 | 17 | 4 | 273 | 339 | 317 | 656 | 43 | 327 | 15 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 344 | 309 | 79 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 62 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 256 | 327 | 307 | 635 | 52 | 317 | 18 | 9 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 356 | 330 | 84 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 255 | 306 | 285 | 591 | 30 | 340 | 25 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 399 | 376 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 111 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 186 | 229 | 226 | 455 | 40 | 260 | 28 | 5 | 206 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 31 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 21 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 238 | 211 | 449 | 53 | 161 | 19 | 5 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 687 | 618 | 164 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 58 | 139 | 4 | 19 | 8 | 265 | 332 | 332 | 664 | 66 | 336 | 20 | 8 | 302 | 70 | -8 | +1 | +8 | +6 | +15 | 2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 156 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 55 | 132 | 4 | 18 | 8 | 267 | 334 | 335 | 669 | 68 | 338 | 20 | 8 | 302 | 70 | -8 | +1 | +7 | +6 | +14 | 2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3619 | 3296 | 825 | 99 | 28 | 10 | 233 | 789 | 28 | 187 | 58 | 250 | 305 | 306 | 612 | 56 | 323 | 22 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -8 | +1 | +8 | +6 | +15 | 2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 149 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 142 | 5 | 34 | 10 | 252 | 307 | 309 | 616 | 57 | 325 | 22 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -8 | +1 | +7 | +6 | +14 | 2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 21 PAwOBA .243 → .189 (−54)K% 14.3% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.958 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 4.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.110 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.962 | 10.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.962 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.172 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 122, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 92, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .243 → .189; ISO .056 → .045; BABIP .200 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAATacoma Rainiers · 369 PAwOBA .266 → .206 (−60)K% 21.4% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.41% | ÷0.990 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.78% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 4.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.54% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.61% | ÷0.985 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 20.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.998 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.073 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 97, 2B 100, 3B 115, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .266 → .206; ISO .060 → .043; BABIP .314 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAASacramento River Cats · 204 PAwOBA .303 → .279 (−24)K% 21.6% → 26.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.57% | ÷1.071 | ×1.290 | — | — | 25.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.82% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 5.96% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.69% | ÷0.963 | ×0.900 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 37.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.46% | ÷0.910 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 1.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 114, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .303 → .279; ISO .011 → .010; BABIP .399 → .387. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAASacramento River Cats · 122 PAwOBA .328 → .282 (−47)K% 9.8% → 12.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.84% | ÷0.989 | ×1.290 | — | — | 12.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.66% | ÷0.952 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.82% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 0.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.08% | ÷1.027 | ×0.900 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 24.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.975 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.810 | ×1.027 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.889 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 84, K 98, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .328 → .282; ISO .056 → .047; BABIP .333 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAASacramento River Cats · 213 PAwOBA .319 → .286 (−33)K% 12.2% → 15.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.21% | ÷1.034 | ×1.290 | — | — | 15.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.33% | ÷1.052 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 7.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 1.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.67% | ÷0.960 | ×0.900 | ×1.003 | ×1.018 | 26.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.03% | ÷0.973 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.018 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.63% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.003 | ×1.018 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.082 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 107, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.003.
Result: wOBA .319 → .286; ISO .054 → .048; BABIP .331 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 289 PAwOBA .354 → .329 (−25)K% 12.8% → 15.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.80% | ÷1.003 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.65% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.78% | ÷1.013 | ×0.970 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 27.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.998 | ×0.860 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 7.31% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.025 | ×0.950 | ×1.020 | ×0.998 | 1.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.860 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 0.42% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 105, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.
Result: wOBA .354 → .329; ISO .107 → .099; BABIP .372 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAASacramento River Cats · 149 PAwOBA .323 → .299 (−24)K% 14.8% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.77% | ÷1.047 | ×1.290 | — | — | 18.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.70% | ÷0.960 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 3.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.34% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 34.21% | ÷1.003 | ×0.900 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 32.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.024 | ×0.810 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 0.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷0.925 | ×0.810 | ×1.031 | ×1.033 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.982 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 1.44% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 101, 2B 105, 3B 85, K 109, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.
Result: wOBA .323 → .299; ISO .066 → .056; BABIP .360 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 494 PAwOBA .294 → .280 (−14)K% 16.6% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.60% | ÷1.012 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.49% | ÷1.014 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 28.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.56% | ÷0.983 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 2.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.71% | ÷1.061 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×1.012 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.28% | ÷0.918 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.25% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 112, K 102, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .294 → .280; ISO .055 → .053; BABIP .325 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .