Andruw Monasterio

1B Boston Red Sox
Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 195 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 3.576 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202427AAA/INTL2 orgs237.291/.401/.398313125—.231/.333/.282
202427MLBMIL142.208/.303/.2721672-0.3
202528AAA/INTL2 orgs237.272/.374/.42161397—.205/.279/.325
202528MLBMIL135.270/.319/.437421151.1
202629MLBBOS347.233/.298/.3716480-1.0
2027PROJ30MLBBOS211.237/.306/.3704485-0.3
2028PROJ82% MLB31MLBBOS162.232/.300/.3603281-0.6
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.1  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.8Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.576First FA2030
2027Arb-1$0.6M2028Arb-2$0.6M2029Ext$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed43
Barrel%40
xwOBA32
Avg EV29
Bat Spd19
Form.213/.277/.318 ▼▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .228/.295/.356
CompsGarrett Stubbs (age 31) · Danny Mendick (age 30) · Pedro Severino (age 30)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8885vR 75
AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .306 / .370
PA211
HR4
K%21
BB%8
BABIP287
ISO137
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: -0.1 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +4.6 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.30.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT40
xAVG
160.223
POWER45
Barrel%
406.8
Avg EV
2987.5
Bat Spd
1968.0
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED55
Sprint
4327.2
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%24%▼▼29% over 38 PA (60d) · proj 21%
BB%7%▼5% over 38 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.105▼.000 over 36 AB (60d) · proj .129
BABIP.270▼.120 over 25 BIP (60d) · proj .275
SLASH.213/.277/.318▼▼proj .228/.295/.356
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 318 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
140
178
—
wRC+
97
87
◀L
wOBA
311
296
◀L
ISO
148
107
◀◀L
BABIP
260
350
▶▶R
K%
21.4%
28.1%
◀◀L
BB%
12.1%
5.6%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2023
Service   3.576 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.6M+0.3$1M+$0.6M
2028Arb-2$0.6M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.6M $-1M +$0.6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201417 ROKVSL Cubs — 156137 40510 15192 141 292370343713 51336 1210 325 34 — — — — — —
201518 ROKAZL Cubs — 158135 34621 16204 62 252348348697 96287 1310 315 46 — — — — — —
201619 ASouth Bend Cubs — 192176 38510 10333 75 216270256526 40266 175 240 23 — — — — — —
201720 A+Myrtle Beach Pelicans — 9787 21400 8141 11 241312287600 46288 148 277 47 — — — — — —
201720 ASouth Bend Cubs — 261231 651321 22384 74 281354368722 87330 158 324 66 — — — — — —
201821 A+Potomac Nationals — 483408 1091433 59705 126 267367338705 71313 1412 320 65 — — — — — —
201821 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 3131 5001 060 00 161161258419 97167 190 184 11 — — — — — —
201922 AAAkron RubberDucks — 279249 54601 22571 56 217283253536 36272 208 245 34 — — — — — —
202023 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 10692 29502 10190 41 315382435817 120375 189 353 125 — — — — — —
202124 AAAColumbus Clippers — 130111 311201 18371 10 279385414799 135411 2814 362 101 — — — — — —
202124 AAAkron RubberDucks — 304265 771447 30764 64 291371453824 162374 2510 362 80 — — — — — —
202225 AAANashville Sounds — 249219 521511 27641 63 237324329653 91327 2611 298 53 — — — — — —
202225 AABiloxi Shuckers — 188158 50708 25264 92 316422513935 196336 1413 413 113 — — — — — —
202225 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 160139 44615 17230 20 317391482873 165345 1411 378 142 — — — — — —
202326 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 315282 731413 28663 72 259332348680 89326 219 309 98 -1 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.9
202326 AAANashville Sounds — 178140 38604 32293 112 271417400817 129309 1618 370 103 — — — — — —
202427 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 142125 26501 16401 62 208303272575 64298 2811 271 72 -5 +0 -3 +1 +3 -0.3
202427 AAANashville Sounds — 4737 9200 7101 60 243378297675 54310 2115 309 77 — — — — — —
202427 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 190159 481003 25313 73 302406421828 119354 1613 371 137 — — — — — —
202528 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 135126 34904 7322 21 270319437755 167333 245 335 115 +2 +0 +2 +4 +3 1.1
202528 AAANashville Sounds — 130112 28604 16311 83 250349411760 161308 2412 340 61 — — — — — —
202528 INTLCaribes de Anzoategui — 10790 27602 12194 51 300406433839 133357 1811 377 141 — — — — — —
202629 MLBBoston Red Sox — 347313 732316 26683 44 233298371669 137276 207 297 80 -8 -1 -2 -6 +8 -1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 939846 20651214 772069 199 243313358671 115304 228 302 91 -10 +0 -3 +1 +20 0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201417 ROK MLEVSL Cubs — 156141 27310 11232 141 191260227487 35222 157 218 34 — — — — — —
201518 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 158141 27411 10294 62 191265255520 64232 186 236 46 — — — — — —
201619 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 192179 34410 7463 75 190233223456 34250 244 202 23 — — — — — —
201720 A+ MLEMyrtle Beach Pelicans — 9789 19300 6211 11 213271247518 34280 226 238 47 — — — — — —
201720 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 261238 571021 15514 74 239296311607 71289 206 266 66 — — — — — —
201821 A+ MLEPotomac Nationals — 483430 1011133 37995 126 235303295598 60287 208 265 65 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 279255 52601 16691 56 204254239493 35258 256 218 34 — — — — — —
202124 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers — 130116 311101 13441 10 267346388734 121420 3410 318 101 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 304273 631036 22954 64 231298355653 125314 317 287 80 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 249227 471311 19791 63 207271286558 79303 328 247 53 — — — — — —
202225 AA MLEBiloxi Shuckers — 188166 44706 17334 92 265348416763 151291 189 335 113 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 315282 741513 28663 72 262335355690 92326 219 313 98 -1 +1 +0 +2 +7 0.9
202326 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 178149 36503 23363 112 242354336690 94290 2013 320 103 — — — — — —
202427 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 142125 26501 16401 62 208303272575 64298 2811 274 72 -5 +0 -3 +1 +3 -0.3
202427 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 4739 9200 5121 60 231333282615 51295 2611 282 77 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 135126 351004 7322 21 278326452778 175333 245 339 115 +2 +0 +2 +4 +3 1.1
202528 AAA MLENashville Sounds — 130117 24503 11371 83 205279325604 120263 288 259 61 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 347313 692016 26683 44 220287348635 128276 207 287 80 -8 -1 -2 -6 +8 -1.0
201417 ROK MLEVSL Cubs — 156141 27310 11232 141 191260227487 35227 157 218 34 — — — — — —
201417 ROK RAWVSL Cubs — 156137 40510 15192 141 292370343713 51336 1210 325 34 — — — — — —
201518 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 158141 27411 10294 62 191265255520 64232 186 236 46 — — — — — —
201518 ROK RAWAZL Cubs — 158135 34621 16204 62 252348348697 96287 1310 315 46 — — — — — —
201619 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 192179 34410 7463 75 190233223456 34256 244 202 23 — — — — — —
201619 A RAWSouth Bend Cubs — 192176 38510 10333 75 216270256526 40266 175 240 23 — — — — — —
201720 A MLE2 teams — 358327 771421 21715 85 235292300591 64296 206 258 61 — — — — — —
201720 A RAW2 teams — 358318 861721 30525 85 270343346689 75318 158 311 61 — — — — — —
201821 A+ MLE2 teams — 514458 1081233 401065 126 236304295599 59297 218 265 65 — — — — — —
201821 A+ RAW2 teams — 514439 1141434 59765 126 260354333686 73303 1511 312 65 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 279255 52601 16691 56 204254239493 35270 256 218 34 — — — — — —
201922 AA RAWAkron RubberDucks — 279249 54601 22571 56 217283253536 36272 208 245 34 — — — — — —
202023 INTL MLECaribes de Anzoategui — 10692 29502 10190 41 315382435817 120375 189 — — — — — — — —
202023 INTL RAWCaribes de Anzoategui — 10692 29502 10190 41 315382435817 120375 189 353 125 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLE2 teams — 434390 942137 341395 74 241310364674 123349 328 296 87 — — — — — —
202124 AA RAW2 teams — 434376 1082648 481135 74 287375441817 154385 2611 362 87 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLE3 teams — 597537 12527110 481535 175 233302343644 110303 268 285 79 — — — — — —
202225 AAA RAW3 teams — 597516 14628214 691135 175 283373426799 143335 1912 356 79 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 493431 1112016 511026 184 258344350695 93320 2110 315 100 -0 +2 +0 +2 +11 1.5
202326 MLB RAW2 teams — 493422 1112017 60956 184 263363365728 102320 1912 331 100 -0 +2 +0 +2 +11 1.5
202427 INTL MLE3 teams — 379327 711402 421055 195 217316278594 61308 2811 276 73 — — — — — —
202427 INTL RAW3 teams — 379321 831704 48815 195 259364349713 90329 2113 326 73 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLE3 teams — 372338 812009 25977 155 240305379684 139308 267 300 89 -5 +1 +2 +4 +8 1.0
202528 MLB RAW3 teams — 372328 8921010 35827 155 271354427781 155332 229 349 89 -5 +1 +2 +4 +8 1.0
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 347313 692016 26683 44 220287348635 128259 207 287 80 -8 -1 -2 -6 +8 -1.0
202629 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox — 347313 732316 26683 44 233298371669 137276 207 297 80 -8 -1 -2 -6 +8 -1.0
201417 ROK MLEVSL Cubs — 156142 27310 11232 141 190260225485 35222 157 218 34 — — — — — —
201518 ROK MLEAZL Cubs — 158143 27411 10294 62 189265252516 63232 186 236 46 — — — — — —
201619 A MLESouth Bend Cubs — 192180 34410 7463 75 189233222455 33250 244 202 23 — — — — — —
201720 A MLE2 teams — 358329 771421 21715 85 234292298590 64287 206 258 61 — — — — — —
201821 A+ MLE2 teams — 514464 1081233 401065 126 233304291595 58287 218 265 65 — — — — — —
201922 AA MLEAkron RubberDucks — 279260 52601 16691 56 200254235488 35258 256 218 34 — — — — — —
202124 AA MLE2 teams — 434392 942137 341395 74 240310362672 122346 328 296 87 — — — — — —
202225 AAA MLE3 teams — 597539 12527110 481535 175 232302341643 109298 268 285 79 — — — — — —
202326 MLB MLE2 teams — 493433 1112016 511026 184 256344349693 92313 2110 315 100 — — — — — —
202427 INTL MLE3 teams — 379329 711402 421055 195 216316277592 61297 2811 276 73 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLE3 teams — 372337 812009 25977 155 240305380685 139299 267 300 89 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 347315 692016 26683 44 219287346633 127276 207 287 80 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202427 INTL MLE3 teams — 379329 711402 421055 195 216316277592 61297 2811 276 73 — — — — — —
202528 MLB MLE3 teams — 372337 812009 25977 155 240305380685 139299 267 300 89 — — — — — —
202629 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox — 347315 692016 26683 44 219287346633 127276 207 287 80 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202730 MLB MLEBOS 100% 322290 661716 26693 62 228298357654 129275 218 294 85 -6 +0 -0 -6 +7 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202730 MLB CTXBOS 100% 211190 451214 17452 41 237306370676 134287 218 302 85 -4 +0 -0 -4 +5 -0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202831 MLB MLEBOS 82% 198178 411014 16432 21 224293347639 123272 228 288 81 -5 +0 -3 -4 +4 -0.7
202831 MLB CTXBOS 82% 162146 33903 13352 21 232300360661 128284 228 296 81 -4 +0 -2 -3 +4 -0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 1101992 23960217 9024111 2110 241311357668 116300 228 302 68 -14 +0 -5 -2 +24 0.3
/ 162G— A+C — 650586 14035110 531426 126 239309353662 114297 228 302 68 -8 +0 -3 -1 +14 0.2
Career— MLE — 47944297 9901911656 374111555 14255 230300321622 91295 238 269 68 -19 +1 -6 -6 +29 -0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 1352628 511517 197 232301324625 93296 238 269 68 -9 +0 -3 -3 +14 -0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAANashville Sounds · 130 PAwOBA .334 → .259 (−75)K% 23.8% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA23.85%÷1.010×1.200——28.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.31%÷1.000×0.690—×0.9928.43%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.940—×0.9920.72%
Singles /BIP22.22%÷0.983×0.930×0.950×0.99219.82%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷0.973×0.830×0.950×0.9925.96%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×0.9920.00%
Home runs /BIP4.94%÷1.111×0.700—×0.9923.09%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .334 → .259; ISO .161 → .110; BABIP .308 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAANashville Sounds · 47 PAwOBA .316 → .282 (−34)K% 21.3% → 26.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.28%÷0.983×1.200——25.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA14.89%÷1.014×0.690—×1.00310.16%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.940—×1.0032.01%
Singles /BIP25.93%÷0.951×0.930—×1.00325.42%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.010×0.830—×1.0036.11%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970—×1.0030.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.909×0.700—×1.0030.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .316 → .282; ISO .054 → .048; BABIP .310 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAANashville Sounds · 178 PAwOBA .368 → .320 (−48)K% 16.3% → 20.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.29%÷0.978×1.200——20.00%
BB% (unintentional) /PA17.98%÷0.995×0.690—×1.01812.69%
HBP% /PA1.69%—×0.940—×1.0181.61%
Singles /BIP25.23%÷0.953×0.930×0.970×1.01824.31%
Doubles /BIP5.41%÷0.971×0.830×0.970×1.0184.56%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.970×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP3.60%÷0.905×0.700—×1.0182.84%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 96, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.

Result: wOBA .368 → .320; ISO .129 → .109; BABIP .309 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAANashville Sounds · 249 PAwOBA .292 → .247 (−45)K% 25.7% → 31.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.70%÷0.971×1.200——31.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA10.44%÷0.994×0.690—×1.0337.48%
HBP% /PA0.40%—×0.940—×1.0330.39%
Singles /BIP22.58%÷0.996×0.930×0.984×1.03321.44%
Doubles /BIP9.68%÷0.952×0.830×0.984×1.0338.58%
Triples /BIP0.65%÷1.150×0.970×0.984×1.0330.55%
Home runs /BIP0.65%÷0.946×0.700—×1.0330.49%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 99, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 94, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.

Result: wOBA .292 → .247; ISO .091 → .077; BABIP .327 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 188 PAwOBA .405 → .335 (−70)K% 13.8% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.83%÷0.976×1.220——17.28%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.30%÷1.027×0.680—×0.9988.79%
HBP% /PA2.13%—×0.840—×0.9981.78%
Singles /BIP26.52%÷1.060×0.920×0.999×0.99822.94%
Doubles /BIP5.30%÷0.973×0.910×0.999×0.9984.95%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.880×0.999×0.9980.00%
Home runs /BIP6.06%÷1.012×0.800—×0.9984.78%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .405 → .335; ISO .196 → .166; BABIP .336 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAkron RubberDucks · 304 PAwOBA .358 → .287 (−71)K% 25.0% → 31.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.00%÷0.977×1.220——31.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.87%÷0.967×0.690—×1.0127.13%
HBP% /PA1.32%—×0.850—×1.0121.13%
Singles /BIP27.51%÷1.042×0.940×0.955×1.01223.98%
Doubles /BIP7.41%÷1.129×0.870×0.955×1.0125.52%
Triples /BIP2.12%÷1.116×0.920×0.955×1.0121.69%
Home runs /BIP3.70%÷0.893×0.780—×1.0123.27%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 123, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.

Result: wOBA .358 → .287; ISO .162 → .130; BABIP .374 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 130 PAwOBA .353 → .318 (−35)K% 28.5% → 34.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA28.46%÷1.002×1.200——34.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.85%÷1.008×0.690—×1.0489.93%
HBP% /PA0.77%—×0.940—×1.0480.76%
Singles /BIP24.32%÷0.949×0.930×1.045×1.04826.10%
Doubles /BIP16.22%÷0.949×0.830×1.045×1.04815.54%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.920×1.045×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP1.35%÷1.034×0.700—×1.0480.96%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .353 → .318; ISO .135 → .119; BABIP .411 → .420. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAkron RubberDucks · 279 PAwOBA .243 → .218 (−25)K% 20.4% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.43%÷1.003×1.220——24.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.89%÷1.019×0.700—×1.0425.65%
HBP% /PA0.36%—×0.850—×1.0420.32%
Singles /BIP24.48%÷1.008×0.970×0.950×1.04223.32%
Doubles /BIP3.12%÷0.925×0.860×0.950×1.0422.88%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.950×0.950×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP0.52%÷0.863×0.780—×1.0420.49%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 102, 2B 85, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .243 → .218; ISO .036 → .034; BABIP .272 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .