P.J. Higgins
C Louisville Bats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 588 | .253/.316/.376 | 11 | 0 | 50 | — | .213/.258/.301 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAACIN | 408 | .240/.302/.345 | 7 | 0 | 36 | — | .186/.233/.262 |
| 2026 | 33 | AAACIN | 256 | .223/.315/.277 | 1 | 1 | 33 | — | .185/.252/.227 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLBCIN | 32 | .231/.286/.269 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 34 | MLBCIN | 24 | .232/.291/.352 | 1 | 0 | 79 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ6% MLB | 35 | MLBCIN | 9 | .222/.279/.330 | 0 | 0 | 70 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK | AZL Cubs | — | 87 | 80 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 287 | 345 | 487 | 832 | 200 | 333 | 17 | 8 | 364 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A | South Bend Cubs | — | 537 | 445 | 126 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 75 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 283 | 392 | 355 | 747 | 72 | 337 | 14 | 13 | 339 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 406 | 342 | 81 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 330 | 298 | 628 | 61 | 260 | 12 | 11 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 160 | 145 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 308 | 310 | 619 | 69 | 288 | 17 | 8 | 283 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 277 | 232 | 67 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 289 | 387 | 401 | 787 | 112 | 332 | 14 | 12 | 348 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 46 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 158 | 289 | 237 | 526 | 79 | 161 | 15 | 15 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 140 | 117 | 34 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 291 | 385 | 521 | 907 | 231 | 333 | 21 | 12 | 384 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Tennessee Smokies | — | 299 | 268 | 74 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 51 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 276 | 342 | 369 | 712 | 93 | 319 | 17 | 8 | 320 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 25 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 120 | 43 | 163 | 67 | 32 | 8 | 92 | -52 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 48 | 39 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 458 | 513 | 971 | 179 | 444 | 23 | 17 | 432 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 229 | 201 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 311 | 383 | 694 | 154 | 290 | 25 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 86 | 72 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 417 | 506 | 569 | 1.075 | 153 | 518 | 19 | 14 | 471 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Iowa Cubs | — | 398 | 347 | 106 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 84 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 305 | 387 | 476 | 862 | 170 | 370 | 21 | 11 | 379 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 568 | 514 | 133 | 32 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 140 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 259 | 323 | 385 | 708 | 126 | 332 | 25 | 8 | 316 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 20 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 100 | 150 | 250 | 50 | 143 | 30 | 0 | 109 | -40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 408 | 371 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 302 | 345 | 647 | 105 | 281 | 18 | 7 | 291 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 32 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 269 | 555 | 38 | 316 | 25 | 6 | 225 | 38 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 256 | 224 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 223 | 315 | 277 | 592 | 54 | 261 | 14 | 10 | 277 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 286 | 250 | 53 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 74 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 291 | 340 | 631 | 128 | 273 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 87 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 241 | 325 | 567 | 120 | 254 | 25 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 537 | 467 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 105 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 333 | 310 | 644 | 60 | 308 | 20 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 406 | 357 | 76 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 69 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 281 | 269 | 550 | 56 | 234 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 160 | 149 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 264 | 282 | 546 | 67 | 264 | 21 | 5 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 277 | 246 | 60 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 58 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 244 | 309 | 346 | 654 | 102 | 289 | 21 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 140 | 121 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 319 | 421 | 740 | 182 | 276 | 26 | 9 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Tennessee Smokies | — | 299 | 277 | 61 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 220 | 268 | 285 | 553 | 65 | 263 | 21 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 25 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 120 | 43 | 163 | 67 | 32 | 8 | 92 | -52 | -5 | +0 | +1 | +1 | +1 | -0.2 | |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 48 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 286 | 375 | 452 | 827 | 167 | 388 | 27 | 10 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 229 | 201 | 46 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 58 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 311 | 383 | 694 | 154 | 290 | 25 | 10 | 306 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 86 | 76 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 368 | 435 | 500 | 935 | 132 | 466 | 22 | 9 | 398 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 398 | 361 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 305 | 366 | 671 | 122 | 304 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 568 | 531 | 113 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 168 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 258 | 301 | 559 | 89 | 290 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 408 | 381 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 262 | 495 | 76 | 228 | 23 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 32 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 286 | 269 | 555 | 38 | 316 | 25 | 6 | 224 | 38 | -2 | +0 | +1 | +5 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 256 | 233 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 185 | 252 | 227 | 479 | 43 | 218 | 17 | 6 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 87 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 241 | 325 | 567 | 120 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK RAW | AZL Cubs | — | 87 | 80 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 287 | 345 | 487 | 832 | 200 | 333 | 17 | 8 | 364 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 537 | 467 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 105 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 251 | 333 | 310 | 644 | 60 | 320 | 20 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A RAW | South Bend Cubs | — | 537 | 445 | 126 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 72 | 75 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 283 | 392 | 355 | 747 | 72 | 337 | 14 | 13 | 339 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 406 | 357 | 76 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 69 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 281 | 269 | 550 | 56 | 249 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 406 | 342 | 81 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 43 | 47 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 237 | 330 | 298 | 628 | 61 | 260 | 12 | 11 | 283 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 483 | 436 | 101 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 101 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 292 | 314 | 606 | 83 | 288 | 21 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 483 | 415 | 108 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 53 | 74 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 351 | 354 | 705 | 94 | 301 | 15 | 11 | 317 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 398 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 101 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 226 | 284 | 327 | 610 | 101 | 279 | 23 | 7 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 439 | 385 | 108 | 18 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 80 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 281 | 356 | 416 | 771 | 135 | 323 | 18 | 10 | 340 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 73 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 288 | 308 | 595 | 108 | 279 | 29 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 73 | 62 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 342 | 339 | 681 | 113 | 310 | 26 | 14 | 315 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 277 | 74 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 77 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 267 | 345 | 415 | 760 | 148 | 344 | 24 | 10 | 331 | 110 | +4 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 315 | 273 | 76 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 74 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 278 | 365 | 432 | 797 | 154 | 356 | 23 | 11 | 352 | 110 | +4 | +0 | -4 | -6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 398 | 361 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 244 | 305 | 366 | 671 | 122 | 309 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA RAW | Iowa Cubs | — | 398 | 347 | 106 | 24 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 84 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 305 | 387 | 476 | 862 | 170 | 370 | 21 | 11 | 379 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 550 | 117 | 27 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 174 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 257 | 300 | 557 | 87 | 294 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 588 | 534 | 135 | 33 | 0 | 11 | 45 | 146 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 316 | 376 | 692 | 124 | 325 | 25 | 8 | 309 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 408 | 381 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 262 | 495 | 76 | 230 | 23 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 408 | 371 | 89 | 16 | 1 | 7 | 29 | 75 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 302 | 345 | 647 | 105 | 281 | 18 | 7 | 291 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 259 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 189 | 255 | 232 | 487 | 42 | 230 | 18 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 288 | 250 | 56 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 224 | 312 | 276 | 588 | 52 | 266 | 16 | 9 | 271 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | ROK MLE | AZL Cubs | — | 87 | 83 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 205 | 241 | 325 | 567 | 120 | 254 | 25 | 5 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A MLE | South Bend Cubs | — | 537 | 474 | 117 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 50 | 105 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 247 | 333 | 306 | 639 | 59 | 308 | 20 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Myrtle Beach Pelicans | — | 406 | 369 | 76 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 69 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 281 | 260 | 541 | 54 | 234 | 17 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 483 | 443 | 101 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 32 | 101 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 228 | 292 | 309 | 601 | 81 | 280 | 21 | 7 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 439 | 404 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 101 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 223 | 284 | 322 | 606 | 99 | 267 | 23 | 7 | 268 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 73 | 65 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 288 | 308 | 595 | 108 | 278 | 29 | 10 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 315 | 279 | 74 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 77 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 345 | 412 | 757 | 147 | 338 | 24 | 10 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Iowa Cubs | — | 398 | 363 | 88 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 99 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 305 | 364 | 669 | 121 | 304 | 25 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 550 | 117 | 27 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 174 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 257 | 300 | 557 | 87 | 290 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 408 | 382 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 262 | 494 | 76 | 228 | 23 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 263 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 186 | 255 | 228 | 483 | 42 | 229 | 18 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 588 | 550 | 117 | 27 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 174 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 213 | 257 | 300 | 557 | 87 | 290 | 30 | 5 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 408 | 382 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 92 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 186 | 233 | 262 | 494 | 76 | 228 | 23 | 5 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 288 | 263 | 49 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 186 | 255 | 228 | 483 | 42 | 229 | 18 | 6 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB MLE | CIN | 10% | 377 | 346 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 84 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 289 | 346 | 635 | 115 | 281 | 22 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +7 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB CTX | CIN | 10% | 24 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 291 | 352 | 643 | 120 | 282 | 21 | 8 | 288 | 79 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 35 | MLB MLE | CIN | 6% | 167 | 153 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 221 | 277 | 324 | 601 | 104 | 273 | 23 | 6 | 271 | 70 | -6 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB CTX | CIN | 6% | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 279 | 330 | 609 | 107 | 274 | 22 | 11 | 274 | 70 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 295 | 258 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 76 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 289 | 333 | 623 | 124 | 270 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 65 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 568 | 118 | 26 | 2 | 13 | 59 | 167 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 286 | 329 | 615 | 121 | 268 | 26 | 9 | 279 | 65 | -19 | +0 | -4 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4427 | 4005 | 897 | 175 | 11 | 53 | 300 | 1005 | 47 | 23 | 12 | 224 | 286 | 313 | 599 | 89 | 282 | 23 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -20 | +0 | -6 | +8 | +15 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 133 | 26 | 2 | 8 | 44 | 148 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 226 | 288 | 318 | 606 | 92 | 285 | 23 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -19 | +0 | -5 | +8 | +14 | -0.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAALouisville Bats · 256 PAwOBA .273 → .217 (−55)K% 14.5% → 17.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.45% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 6.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.975 | ×0.942 | 18.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.81% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.975 | ×0.942 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.975 | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .273 → .217; ISO .054 → .040; BABIP .261 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAALouisville Bats · 408 PAwOBA .285 → .221 (−64)K% 18.4% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.38% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.11% | ÷1.002 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 4.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.98% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.96% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×0.952 | 18.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.41% | ÷0.992 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×0.952 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×0.952 | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.36% | ÷0.901 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 1.75% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .285 → .221; ISO .105 → .080; BABIP .281 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAALouisville Bats · 568 PAwOBA .310 → .246 (−64)K% 24.6% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.65% | ÷0.999 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.75% | ÷1.032 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.70% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.06% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×1.004 | ×0.962 | 21.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.962 | 7.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.78% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 99, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .310 → .246; ISO .126 → .089; BABIP .332 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIowa Cubs · 398 PAwOBA .374 → .294 (−80)K% 21.1% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.11% | ÷1.019 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.55% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.01% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.62% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.972 | ×0.972 | 22.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.13% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | ×0.972 | ×0.972 | 6.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.38% | ÷0.916 | ×0.970 | ×0.972 | ×0.972 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 2.95% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 93, 1B 105, 2B 110, 3B 83, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.972.
Result: wOBA .374 → .294; ISO .170 → .127; BABIP .370 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAIowa Cubs · 86 PAwOBA .464 → .398 (−66)K% 18.6% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.60% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.95% | ÷1.048 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 9.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.16% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.50% | ÷0.985 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.982 | 34.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷0.967 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.982 | 12.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.118 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 1.23% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 97, 2B 93, 3B 124, K 98, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .464 → .398; ISO .153 → .126; BABIP .518 → .466. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAIowa Cubs · 48 PAwOBA .421 → .347 (−74)K% 22.9% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷1.032 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 11.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.14% | ÷1.039 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 28.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.963 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 6.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 3.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.081 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 2.30% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 108, 2B 93, 3B 98, K 106, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .421 → .347; ISO .179 → .145; BABIP .444 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AATennessee Smokies · 299 PAwOBA .316 → .247 (−69)K% 17.1% → 21.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.06% | ÷0.972 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.36% | ÷1.047 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.19% | ÷1.051 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 22.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.61% | ÷0.977 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 4.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.30% | ÷1.142 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.59% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 110, 2B 95, 3B 91, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .316 → .247; ISO .093 → .071; BABIP .319 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAIowa Cubs · 140 PAwOBA .384 → .312 (−72)K% 20.7% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.71% | ÷1.025 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.14% | ÷0.968 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.018 | 9.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.018 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.59% | ÷0.993 | ×0.900 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 18.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷1.014 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.27% | ÷1.029 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.68% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.018 | 4.30% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 106, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .384 → .312; ISO .231 → .179; BABIP .333 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .