P.J. Higgins — OGILVIE

P.J. HigginsC Louisville Bats

Age 33 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 207 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†71

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .288 / .326

PA207

HR4

K%23

BB%7

BABIP270

ISO107

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2021-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

659.4%

xwOBA

100.261

POWER40

Barrel%

102.7

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

2268.4

EYE35

Chase%

8225.4%

SPEED45

Sprint

2726.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	87	83	17	3	2	1	4	22	0	3	0	205	241	325	567	120	267	25	5	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	87	80	23	4	3	2	7	15	0	3	0	287	345	487	832	200	333	17	8	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A	South Bend Cubs	—	537	465	118	27	1	0	52	108	8	3	1	254	339	316	655	62	327	20	10	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	23	A	South Bend Cubs	—	537	445	126	30	1	0	72	75	8	3	1	283	392	355	747	72	337	14	13	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	406	354	74	8	0	4	32	71	5	3	1	209	284	266	549	56	246	17	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	24	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	406	342	81	9	0	4	43	47	5	3	1	237	330	298	628	61	260	12	11	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+	3 teams	—	483	436	102	24	1	5	32	105	5	4	1	234	294	328	622	94	292	22	7	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	25	A+	3 teams	—	483	415	108	22	1	5	53	74	5	4	1	260	351	354	705	94	301	15	11	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA	2 teams	—	439	398	87	15	1	7	29	105	3	5	4	219	277	314	591	95	272	24	7	262	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	26	AA	2 teams	—	439	385	108	18	2	10	42	80	3	5	4	281	356	416	771	135	323	18	10	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	2 teams	—	73	65	13	2	1	1	7	20	1	0	0	200	288	308	595	108	273	27	10	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	28	AAA	2 teams	—	73	62	14	2	1	1	10	19	1	0	0	226	342	339	681	113	310	26	14	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	29	MLB	2 teams	—	315	277	75	18	1	7	30	78	3	1	0	271	348	419	767	148	351	25	10	332	112	+4	+0	-4	-6	+9	0.4
2022	29	MLB	2 teams	—	315	273	76	19	1	7	34	74	3	1	0	278	365	432	797	154	356	23	11	352	127	+10	+0	-4	-6	+9	1.0
2023	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	398	361	91	18	1	10	28	97	4	1	0	252	313	391	704	139	313	24	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	398	347	106	24	1	11	42	84	4	1	0	305	387	476	862	170	370	21	11	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA	2 teams	—	588	550	123	29	0	8	29	175	4	0	1	224	268	320	588	96	309	30	5	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	31	AAA	2 teams	—	588	534	135	33	0	11	45	146	4	0	1	253	316	376	692	124	325	25	8	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	408	380	74	13	1	7	20	95	4	0	1	195	243	289	532	95	238	23	5	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	408	371	89	16	1	7	29	75	4	0	1	240	302	345	647	105	281	18	7	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	33	AAA	CIN	—	143	120	22	4	0	0	14	25	3	0	2	183	285	217	501	33	224	17	10	231	35	-10	-1	+1	+3	+4	-0.4
YTD	33	AAA	CIN	—	143	115	23	5	0	0	19	22	3	0	2	200	328	243	572	43	240	15	13	267	62	-6	-1	+1	+3	+4	0.1
ROS	33	AAA	CIN	100%	207	187	41	8	0	4	15	47	3	1	1	219	288	326	614	107	269	23	7	278	71	-7	-0	-0	+4	+6	0.2
ROS	33	MLB	CIN	100%	207	187	41	8	0	4	15	47	3	1	1	219	288	326	614	107	271	23	7	272	66	-8	-0	-0	+4	+6	0.1
FULL	33	AAA	CIN	—	350	307	63	12	0	4	29	72	6	1	3	205	287	283	570	78	251	21	8	255	54	-18	-1	+0	+6	+10	-0.3
TOT	33	AAA	CIN	—	350	307	63	12	0	4	29	72	6	1	3	205	287	283	570	78	251	21	8	259	57	-17	-1	+0	+6	+10	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	34	MLB	CIN	82%	402	365	77	15	1	7	29	93	5	1	1	211	278	315	593	104	263	23	7	269	64	-16	-0	-6	+7	+11	-0.4
2028	35	MLB	CIN	82%	327	297	60	11	1	5	23	78	4	0	1	202	269	296	565	94	256	24	7	259	56	-16	-0	-6	+6	+9	-0.8
2027	34	MLB	CIN	82%	330	299	65	13	1	6	24	77	4	1	1	217	284	328	612	110	265	23	7	263	60	-15	-0	-5	+6	+9	-0.5
2028	35	MLB	CIN	82%	268	244	50	9	1	4	19	64	3	0	1	205	271	299	570	94	258	24	7	253	52	-15	-0	-5	+5	+8	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1059	954	203	41	3	20	82	254	12	2	3	213	283	325	608	112	267	24	8	268	63	-44	-1	-13	+10	+30	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	124	25	2	12	50	156	7	1	2	212	281	323	604	111	266	24	8	268	63	-27	-1	-8	+6	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	4670	4218	952	191	11	66	330	1094	49	22	12	226	290	323	613	97	286	23	7	272	66	-179	-0	-15	+72	+132	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	133	27	2	9	46	152	7	3	2	227	291	325	616	99	287	23	7	272	66	-25	-0	-2	+10	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	22	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	87	80	23	4	3	2	7	15	0	3	0	287	345	487	832	200	333	17	8	364	137	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2016	23	A	South Bend Cubs	—	537	445	126	30	1	0	72	75	8	3	1	283	392	355	747	72	337	14	13	339	118	+11	+0	—	—	+15	2.7
2017	24	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	406	342	81	9	0	4	43	47	5	3	1	237	330	298	628	61	260	12	11	283	75	-11	+0	—	—	+12	0.0
2018	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	160	145	35	5	1	1	12	27	2	1	0	241	308	310	619	69	288	17	8	283	75	-5	+0	—	—	+5	0.0
2018	25	A+	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	277	232	67	17	0	3	34	40	3	3	1	289	387	401	787	112	332	14	12	348	125	+8	+0	—	—	+8	1.6
2018	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	46	38	6	0	0	1	7	7	0	0	0	158	289	237	526	79	161	15	15	250	49	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2019	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	140	117	34	8	2	5	17	29	1	0	2	291	385	521	907	231	333	21	12	384	152	+8	-1	—	—	+4	1.2
2019	26	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	299	268	74	10	0	5	25	51	2	5	2	276	342	369	712	93	319	17	8	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2021	28	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	25	23	1	0	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	43	120	43	163		67	32	8	92	-71	-5	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.2
2021	28	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	48	39	13	2	1	1	8	11	1	0	0	333	458	513	971	179	444	23	17	432	189	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	29	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	229	201	46	11	1	6	22	58	2	0	0	229	311	383	694	154	290	25	10	307	93	-2	+0	-4	-6	+6	-0.5
2022	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	86	72	30	8	0	1	12	16	1	1	0	417	506	569	1.075	153	518	19	14	471	218	+11	+0	—	—	+2	1.4
2023	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	398	347	106	24	1	11	42	84	4	1	0	305	387	476	862	170	370	21	11	379	148	+22	+0	—	—	+11	3.4
2024	31	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	568	514	133	32	0	11	45	140	4	0	1	259	323	385	708	126	332	25	8	316	100	+0	-0	—	—	+16	1.6
2024	31	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	20	20	2	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	100	100	150	250	50	143	30	0	109	-58	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	32	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	408	371	89	16	1	7	29	75	4	0	1	240	302	345	647	105	281	18	7	291	81	-9	-0	—	—	+12	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	254	224	47	11	1	6	24	66	2	0	0	210	292	348	640	138	268	26	9	286	77	-7	+0	-3	-4	+7	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,177	24	2	220	283	340	+11	-3	1.2	1.4
	/162	664	14	1	220	283	340	+6.5	-1.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
P.J. Higgins (OGILVIE)	33	50	40	45	35	205/287/283	78	251	4	1	21%	8%	57	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Austin Romine 2022 · MLB	33	49→53	46→45	46→45	38	244/280/368	125	325	14	5	29%	5%	79	+0.3	214/260/332	118	289	14	6	30%	5%	62	-0.9	174/208/255	81	235	11	0	31%	4%	16	-1.3
✕Bryan Holaday 2021 · MLB	33	47	44→45	43→40	50	232/301/350	118	268	12	6	18%	8%	84	+0.6	230/290/403	173	279	21	8	25%	7%	93	+1.3	199/253/410	211	225	28	4	27%	5%	82	+0.1
✕Paul Hoover 2009 · MLB	33	45	44→45	43→45	40	224/271/339	115	298	12	5	28%	5%	68	-0.5	222/276/315	93	306	6	4	28%	6%	63	-0.8	221/279/301	80	307	3	1	27%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Drew Butera 2018 · MLB	34	49	46→40	46→40	45	243/297/375	132	301	14	4	24%	7%	88	+0.9	209/278/323	114	270	11	4	25%	8%	67	-0.5	173/252/276	102	234	10	4	29%	8%	43	-0.9
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2017 · MLB	33	44→45	45	46→40	45	223/273/345	122	255	13	5	19%	6%	70	-0.3	198/263/301	103	257	9	4	25%	7%	55	-1.4	174/245/259	85	236	6	1	27%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Juan Centeno 2023 · AAA	33	48	47→45	42→40	42	241/281/378	137	281	15	4	20%	4%	82	+0.5	223/268/318	95	310	8	8	29%	5%	60	-1.0	205/250/243	38	318	1	7	34%	6%	30	-1.4
✕Humberto Quintero 2014 · MLB	34	47	45	43→40	40	236/274/360	124	282	12	4	22%	4%	74	-0.1	240/270/354	114	297	11	5	23%	3%	70	-0.3	246/266/345	99	305	9	4	23%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Francisco Cordoba 2017 · AAA	33	45→53	43→45	45→40	43	224/275/328	104	270	11	4	21%	5%	66	-0.6	220/271/340	120	259	15	4	21%	5%	68	-0.5	216/270/362	146	238	22	0	21%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Matt Treanor 2010 · MLB	34	50	43→40	48→40	51	242/318/352	109	293	11	6	20%	9%	92	+1.2	214/306/314	100	256	10	6	19%	10%	77	+0.1	196/300/280	84	236	9	4	19%	11%	64	-0.3
✕Guillermo Quiroz 2015 · MLB	33	45	43→50	48→50	39	222/265/331	109	288	10	4	26%	5%	63	-0.9	216/257/319	103	282	10	5	26%	4%	56	-1.3	201/240/321	120	265	15	0	30%	3%	46	-1.0
✕Juan Martinez 2019 · AAA	32	49→55	46→45	45→40	42	244/279/374	130	285	14	6	20%	4%	79	+0.3	244/285/359	115	318	13	5	26%	5%	79	+0.3	252/292/348	96	334	11	0	27%	4%	74	-0.0
✕Jesus Alberto Vega 2015 · AAA	33	46	46→50	46→40	42	231/280/354	123	290	14	6	26%	6%	76	+0.0	216/263/315	99	304	9	5	31%	5%	58	-1.2	200/248/285	84	289	8	1	32%	5%	40	-0.7
✕Caleb Joseph 2019 · MLB	33	46→49	43→50	45→40	40	226/266/334	108	285	10	4	24%	4%	64	-0.8	217/268/341	124	289	13	6	28%	6%	67	-0.5	181/231/296	115	251	12	0	32%	5%	38	-0.9
✕Dusty Wathan 2007 · AAA	33	45	47→45	45→40	44	230/294/357	127	269	16	5	21%	5%	83	+0.6	236/296/329	93	287	7	8	19%	5%	76	+0.1	252/314/308	56	309	0	6	17%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→37	48→50	45	46	208/290/355	147	272	16	5	29%	8%	81	+0.4	196/274/370	174	253	22	6	31%	7%	79	+0.3	152/237/329	176	180	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Austin Wynns 2023 · MLB	32	52→51	46→45	48→30	49	257/323/380	123	307	14	5	21%	8%	101	+1.8	235/292/364	129	302	14	5	26%	6%	83	+0.6	222/269/360	138	291	15	1	29%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Israel Nunez 2019 · AAA	33	47	46→40	49→40	44	233/276/359	126	274	14	9	21%	5%	75	-0.0	238/277/338	100	281	10	8	19%	4%	69	-0.4	259/286/315	57	300	6	0	16%	1%	63	-0.2
✕Chad Moeller 2008 · MLB	33	40	45→50	41→30	42	207/262/327	120	257	14	4	25%	6%	62	-0.9	214/267/319	105	267	9	4	22%	6%	61	-1.0	206/259/298	92	257	5	0	21%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Gregorio Petit 2017 · MLB	32	49→55	41→45	43→50	42	235/275/341	105	292	8	5	22%	5%	69	-0.4	228/264/318	90	284	6	8	21%	4%	59	-1.1	227/258/302	75	280	5	7	20%	4%	48	-1.0
✕Humberto Sosa 2019 · AAA	33	42→49	44→50	49→45	42	213/259/324	110	266	12	7	25%	6%	59	-1.1	263/314/504	241	308	33	8	26%	6%	131	+3.9	294/349/646	353	317	52	0	26%	6%	179	+2.1