Andrew Knizner — OGILVIE

Andrew KniznerC Worcester Red Sox

Age 31 R/R 6'0" / 225 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 5.523 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION329 act + 219 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 3940vR 43

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .299 / .387

PA219

HR8

K%22

BB%7

BABIP255

ISO163

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

3712.4%

xwOBA

230.276

POWER35

Barrel%

315.8

Avg EV

3588.0

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE30

Chase%

1040.9%

SPEED40

Sprint

1725.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 181 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

129

—

wRC+

▶R

wOBA

219

224

—

ISO

078

052

◀◀L

BABIP

241

213

◀L

19.2%

17.1%

▶R

BB%

0.0%

6.2%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2019

Service 5.523 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.4M	-$0.0M
Totals		$0.4M		$0.4M	-$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	222	192	50	9	1	5	14	30	14	0	0	260	355	396	750	135	283	14	6	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	222	185	59	12	1	6	21	21	14	0	0	319	427	492	919	173	331	9	9	408	171	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	465	437	114	23	1	11	18	74	6	1	2	261	299	394	693	133	289	16	4	298	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	AA	3 teams	—	465	428	133	26	1	15	27	60	6	1	2	311	360	481	841	171	331	13	6	369	141	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	374	344	95	16	0	5	18	62	5	0	1	276	322	366	688	90	319	17	5	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	374	335	105	18	0	7	27	48	5	0	1	313	373	430	803	116	344	13	7	355	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	338	308	69	11	0	12	19	63	9	4	0	224	289	377	665	153	243	19	6	292	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	AAA	2 teams	—	338	299	80	12	0	14	28	51	9	4	0	268	348	448	796	181	280	15	8	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	17	16	4	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	250	250	312	562	62	333	29	0	233	37	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	17	16	4	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	250	250	312	562	62	333	29	0	235	38	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	205	179	31	8	0	1	22	43	4	1	0	173	278	235	513	61	222	21	11	239	41	-14	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.7
2021	26	MLB	2 teams	—	205	178	33	8	0	1	23	41	4	1	0	185	293	247	540	62	235	20	11	259	56	-10	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.4
2022	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	293	260	56	10	0	4	26	62	6	0	1	215	301	300	601	85	268	21	9	276	70	-10	-0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2022	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	293	260	56	10	0	4	26	62	6	0	1	215	301	300	601	85	268	21	9	279	72	-9	-0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	241	224	54	11	0	10	12	62	3	2	0	241	289	424	713	183	288	26	5	310	95	-1	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.6
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	241	224	54	11	0	10	12	62	3	2	0	241	289	424	713	183	288	26	5	313	98	-1	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.7
2024	29	AAA	3 teams	—	239	224	35	4	0	2	9	64	4	1	0	156	203	201	403	45	206	27	4	194	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	29	AAA	3 teams	—	239	220	46	7	0	3	13	56	4	1	0	209	266	282	548	73	264	23	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	217	181	50	11	1	2	20	33	12	0	1	276	385	381	766	105	322	15	9	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	217	175	54	12	1	2	26	28	12	0	1	309	432	423	855	114	351	13	12	385	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	AAA	BOS	—	329	295	66	16	0	17	27	74	7	2	0	224	304	451	755	227	240	22	8	322	105	+2	+0	+0	+6	+9	1.8
YTD	31	AAA	BOS	—	329	284	77	20	0	21	38	60	7	2	0	271	371	563	934	292	276	18	12	406	169	+26	+0	+0	+6	+9	4.2
ROS	31	AAA	BOS	10%	219	196	44	8	0	8	16	48	5	1	0	224	299	387	686	163	254	22	7	303	90	-2	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.7
ROS	31	MLB	BOS	10%	22	19	5	1	0	1	2	5	1	0	0	263	364	474	837	211	260	23	9	290	80	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
FULL	31	AAA	BOS	—	351	314	71	17	0	18	29	79	8	2	0	226	308	452	760	226	244	23	8	320	103	+1	+0	-0	+6	+10	1.8
TOT	31	AAA	BOS	—	548	491	110	24	0	25	43	122	12	3	0	224	302	425	727	201	246	22	8	315	99	-1	+1	-1	+10	+16	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	BOS	27%	227	204	44	8	0	7	16	50	5	1	0	216	289	358	647	142	252	22	7	297	86	-4	+0	-5	+4	+6	0.2
2028	33	MLB	BOS	37%	193	172	37	6	0	6	14	44	5	1	0	215	293	355	648	140	247	23	7	289	80	-4	+0	-5	+3	+5	-0.1
2027	32	MLB	BOS	27%	62	57	12	2	0	2	4	14	1	0	0	211	274	351	625	140	258	23	6	284	76	-2	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	33	MLB	BOS	37%	72	65	13	2	0	2	5	16	2	0	0	200	278	323	601	123	253	22	7	276	70	-2	+0	-2	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1131	1022	216	38	1	24	81	249	21	4	1	211	283	321	604	110	255	22	7	273	67	-42	+0	-12	+30	+32	1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	125	22	1	14	47	143	12	2	1	213	285	325	610	112	257	22	7	273	67	-24	+0	-7	+18	+18	0.5
Career	—			—	3250	2937	683	126	3	73	204	640	78	12	5	233	300	352	652	119	271	20	6	289	79	-76	+0	-20	+58	+92	5.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	137	25	1	15	41	128	16	2	1	233	302	356	658	123	272	20	6	289	79	-15	+0	-4	+12	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	Johnson City Cardinals	—	222	185	59	12	1	6	21	21	14	0	0	319	427	492	919	173	331	9	9	408	171	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.4
2017	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	202	182	59	13	0	4	14	27	2	0	1	324	379	462	840	137	355	13	7	368	139	+9	-0	—	—	+6	1.5
2017	22	A	Peoria Chiefs	—	191	179	50	10	1	8	9	22	3	1	1	279	325	480	805	201	282	12	5	354	129	+6	-0	—	—	+5	1.2
2017	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	72	67	24	3	0	3	4	11	1	0	0	358	403	537	940	179	396	15	6	415	176	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2018	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	61	54	17	5	0	0	4	8	2	0	0	315	383	407	791	93	370	13	7	353	128	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2018	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	313	281	88	13	0	7	23	40	3	0	1	313	371	434	805	121	339	13	7	355	130	+10	-0	—	—	+9	1.9
2019	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	58	53	12	2	0	2	4	14	1	2	0	226	293	377	670	151	270	24	7	302	89	-1	+0	-3	+6	+2	0.5
2019	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	280	246	68	10	0	12	24	37	8	2	0	276	360	463	823	187	281	13	9	365	137	+12	+0	—	—	+8	2.0
2020	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	17	16	4	1	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	250	250	312	562	62	333	29	0	235	38	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
2021	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	185	161	28	7	0	1	20	39	4	0	0	174	281	236	517	62	223	21	11	249	49	-11	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.5
2021	26	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	20	17	5	1	0	0	3	2	0	1	0	294	400	353	753	59	333	10	15	350	126	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	27	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	293	260	56	10	0	4	26	62	6	0	1	215	301	300	601	85	268	21	9	279	72	-9	-0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2023	28	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	241	224	54	11	0	10	12	62	3	2	0	241	289	424	713	183	288	26	5	313	98	-1	+0	-4	+4	+7	0.7
2024	29	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	93	90	15	1	0	1	1	22	1	0	0	167	185	211	396	44	206	24	1	178	-5	-11	+0	+1	+4	+3	-0.3
2024	29	AAA	Reno Aces	—	113	99	23	4	0	2	10	24	3	1	0	232	321	333	655	101	284	21	9	300	88	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2024	29	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	33	31	8	2	0	0	2	10	0	0	0	258	303	323	626	65	381	30	6	285	76	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	30	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	88	77	17	1	1	1	7	10	2	0	0	221	302	299	601	78	239	11	8	273	67	-3	+0	+3	+4	+2	0.6
2025	30	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	129	98	37	11	0	1	19	18	10	0	1	378	520	520	1.040	143	444	14	15	461	211	+16	-0	—	—	+4	2.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	975	881	186	33	1	19	70	214	17	4	1	211	282	316	598	104	256	22	7	272	66	-37	+0	-8	+28	+28	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	1,118	24	5	212	282	324	+20	-8	1.3	1.7
	/162	664	14	3	212	282	324	+11.9	-4.9	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrew Knizner (OGILVIE)	31	45	35	40	30	224/302/425	201	246	25	3	22%	8%	99	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Holaday 2018 · MLB	30	45	47→45	36→40	42	228/272/367	139	262	15	3	20%	4%	76	+0.1	229/289/348	119	266	12	4	18%	6%	78	+0.2	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Austin Wynns 2022 · MLB	31	44→51	46→45	48→30	46	222/280/346	124	262	15	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	240/303/354	114	301	12	5	23%	7%	85	+0.7	240/304/338	98	308	10	2	24%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Dusty Brown 2012 · MLB	30	42	47→45	42→30	44	215/272/352	137	271	14	5	26%	7%	72	-0.2	218/293/379	161	275	18	6	26%	9%	88	+0.9	197/307/365	169	234	18	0	24%	13%	90	+0.3
✕Tony Cruz 2017 · MLB	30	46→38	42→45	42→40	45	226/279/328	102	284	9	5	23%	7%	68	-0.5	218/270/343	125	291	14	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	214/267/333	119	287	14	0	30%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Rob Johnson 2013 · MLB	31	42→52	43→45	47→50	46	208/268/316	109	251	11	8	22%	7%	61	-1.0	215/271/340	125	261	14	7	23%	7%	68	-0.5	197/255/313	115	239	13	0	23%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Jason Phillips 2008 · MLB	31	47→57	42→45	38→30	47	229/277/333	104	253	10	3	15%	5%	69	-0.4	233/282/359	126	260	14	7	16%	6%	78	+0.2	243/277/373	130	258	16	0	13%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Omir Santos 2011 · MLB	30	46→43	42→45	44→30	44	223/269/326	103	257	9	4	18%	5%	63	-0.8	221/248/311	90	277	8	4	23%	3%	50	-1.8	224/244/298	74	289	5	0	24%	2%	42	-0.8
✕Elias Díaz 2023 · MLB	32	41→51	48→50	42→45	49	209/270/346	137	236	16	2	20%	7%	69	-0.4	234/289/360	126	284	14	2	22%	7%	81	+0.4	242/293/380	138	290	16	0	22%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Curt Casali 2019 · MLB	30	47	45→50	38→30	47	234/298/355	121	285	14	3	23%	7%	83	+0.6	239/320/398	159	300	19	5	26%	10%	105	+2.1	220/318/362	142	290	17	0	28%	11%	89	+0.4
✕Nevin Ashley 2016 · MLB	31	46→51	43→45	42→45	43	224/283/332	108	288	11	4	26%	6%	71	-0.3	228/294/355	127	301	14	6	28%	7%	82	+0.5	212/296/341	129	282	16	2	29%	8%	79	+0.1
✕Chad Moeller 2006 · MLB	31	43	47→50	42→30	46	221/278/357	136	260	15	3	22%	7%	76	+0.0	210/267/325	115	262	12	3	24%	6%	63	-0.8	206/258/306	100	258	8	0	23%	5%	51	-0.5
✕Steve Holm 2011 · MLB	31	46	43→50	39→40	46	224/288/339	115	274	9	4	21%	7%	76	+0.0	200/263/299	99	262	8	6	26%	7%	55	-1.4	148/210/191	43	209	2	0	28%	6%	3	-1.6
✕Nick Green 2010 · MLB	31	44→47	47→50	39→45	41	223/274/357	134	280	15	5	26%	5%	74	-0.1	218/267/347	129	270	12	5	24%	5%	69	-0.4	218/265/354	136	267	13	3	23%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Gerald Laird 2011 · MLB	31	47	42→50	47→50	50	226/292/333	107	260	9	7	17%	7%	76	+0.0	245/311/357	112	283	9	6	16%	8%	89	+1.0	268/338/369	101	310	6	3	14%	8%	97	+0.4
✕Andrew Knapp 2023 · MLB	31	38→48	47→45	44→40	42	197/265/331	134	270	16	4	32%	7%	64	-0.8	221/288/352	131	304	14	5	30%	7%	79	+0.3	224/294/348	124	309	13	3	30%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Gregorio Petit 2016 · MLB	31	48→55	42→45	40→50	41	233/265/338	105	279	9	4	20%	4%	64	-0.8	231/266/327	96	289	7	7	22%	4%	62	-0.9	232/269/311	79	292	5	7	21%	4%	56	-0.7
✕Michel Hernandez 2010 · MLB	31	49	40	43→40	48	234/279/321	87	263	7	6	14%	6%	66	-0.6	229/285/313	84	263	6	6	15%	6%	66	-0.6	222/281/292	70	255	4	2	14%	6%	58	-0.4
✕Koyie Hill 2010 · MLB	31	47→43	45	45→40	46	229/290/354	124	294	11	4	25%	8%	79	+0.3	211/265/307	96	282	8	5	26%	7%	56	-1.3	189/236/262	74	251	6	3	26%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Jett Bandy 2021 · MLB	31	39	49→50	44→45	37	207/267/349	142	269	18	6	30%	4%	70	-0.3	215/276/333	118	299	13	8	31%	6%	69	-0.4	175/246/242	68	254	8	0	32%	6%	34	-0.6
✕Cody Clark 2012 · AAA	30	44	44→45	44→40	44	219/265/335	116	256	11	5	20%	5%	64	-0.8	188/230/271	83	239	8	4	24%	5%	32	-3.0	156/195/210	55	200	6	0	25%	4%	-1	-1.9