Alejo Lopez — OGILVIE

Alejo Lopez2B Tacoma Rainiers

Age 30 S/R 5'8" / 170 lbs AAA HR +3% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026 peak 0.5 · 2027

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .324 / .329

PA250

HR2

SB7

K%17

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

35→35

SPD

55→55

EYE

46↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-3	$2M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$1M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	19	ROK	AZL Reds	38	33	12	2	0	0	3	0	2	2	2	.364	.447	.424	.872	.061	.364	0	8	.360	134	+1	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.2
2016	20	ROK	Billings Mustangs	229	213	49	5	1	1	13	27	1	11	3	.230	.278	.277	.555	.047	.258	12	6	.239	41	-15	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.7
2017	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	269	232	56	8	5	3	18	40	6	11	4	.241	.312	.358	.670	.116	.270	15	7	.282	74	-8	+1	+0	+1	+8	0.1
2018	22	A	Dayton Dragons	260	241	67	14	2	0	11	40	4	7	6	.278	.320	.353	.673	.075	.328	15	4	.294	83	-5	-1	+0	+1	+7	0.2
2019	23	A+	2 teams	645	588	142	17	2	2	32	138	18	10	7	.241	.301	.287	.588	.046	.309	21	5	.263	59	-30	-1	+0	+2	+18	-1.0
2020	24	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	210	189	54	9	0	2	11	21	2	6	2	.286	.332	.365	.697	.079	.302	10	5	—	—	—	—	+0	+1	—	—
2021	25	AAA	4 teams	575	527	152	32	0	6	38	61	6	11	3	.288	.343	.383	.727	.095	.315	11	7	.323	105	+3	+1	-1	+2	+16	2.2
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	338	311	78	12	1	3	20	47	4	5	1	.251	.304	.325	.629	.074	.284	14	6	.278	71	-11	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.0
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	650	570	152	32	2	7	63	106	12	20	4	.267	.352	.367	.719	.100	.315	16	10	.318	102	+1	+2	+0	+2	+18	2.5
2024	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	473	425	120	19	1	3	33	79	12	21	7	.282	.351	.353	.704	.071	.339	17	7	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+13	1.5
2025	29	AAA	2 teams	580	515	116	16	2	4	41	100	17	17	4	.225	.304	.287	.591	.062	.271	17	7	.270	65	-23	+2	+0	+2	+16	-0.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	30	AAA	Tacoma Rainiers	23	21	3	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	.143	.217	.143	.360	.000	.176	17	9	.167	-14	-3	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.2
ROS	30	MLB	SEA	227	202	51	9	1	2	18	39	5	7	2	.252	.329	.337	.666	.084	.297	17	8	.301	89	-3	+1	+0	+1	+6	0.5
TOT	30	MLB	SEA	250	223	54	9	1	2	20	43	5	7	2	.242	.319	.318	.637	.076	.291	17	8	.289	79	-6	+1	+0	+1	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	31	MLB 20%	SEA	365	325	80	14	1	4	29	66	8	9	2	.246	.323	.332	.656	.086	.296	18	8	.300	88	-5	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.5
2028	32	MLB 33%	SEA	346	309	75	13	1	4	27	65	7	7	1	.243	.318	.330	.648	.087	.294	19	8	.296	85	-6	+1	-3	+1	+10	0.3
2029	33	MLB 43%	SEA	316	282	67	11	1	3	25	62	6	5	1	.238	.313	.316	.629	.078	.292	20	8	.291	81	-7	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.0
2030	34	MLB 52%	SEA	272	244	57	9	1	3	21	56	5	4	1	.234	.307	.316	.623	.082	.290	21	8	.285	77	-7	+0	-5	+1	+8	-0.3
2031	35	MLB 64%	SEA	221	198	45	7	1	2	17	48	4	3	0	.227	.301	.303	.604	.076	.288	22	8	.278	71	-7	+1	-6	+1	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6014	5404	1373	229	22	49	420	995	119	156	50	.254	.322	.332	.654	.078	.301	17	7	.281	74	-180	+11	-22	+21	+170	0.1
/ 162G	—			650	584	148	25	2	5	45	108	13	17	5	.253	.321	.329	.650	.075	.300	17	7	.281	74	-19	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	19	ROK	AZL Reds	38	31	13	2	0	0	5	0	2	2	2	.419	.526	.484	1.010	.065	.419	0	13	.460	210	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2016	20	ROK	Billings Mustangs	229	205	56	6	1	1	21	19	1	11	3	.273	.344	.327	.670	.054	.296	8	9	.307	93	-2	+1	—	—	+6	0.6
2017	21	ROK	Billings Mustangs	269	220	66	10	6	4	30	28	6	11	4	.300	.398	.455	.853	.155	.318	10	11	.364	136	+11	+1	—	—	+8	2.0
2018	22	A	Dayton Dragons	260	234	75	16	2	0	18	31	4	7	6	.321	.379	.406	.785	.085	.364	12	7	.349	126	+8	-1	—	—	+7	1.4
2019	23	A+	Daytona Tortugas	540	481	138	17	3	2	38	80	14	9	6	.287	.356	.347	.703	.060	.337	15	7	.320	103	+2	-1	—	—	+15	1.7
2019	23	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	105	93	25	1	0	1	7	12	4	1	1	.269	.346	.312	.658	.043	.300	11	7	.305	91	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
2020	24	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	210	189	54	9	0	2	11	21	2	6	2	.286	.332	.365	.697	.079	.302	10	5	.304	91	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2021	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	23	23	6	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	.261	.261	.261	.522	.000	.333	22	0	.236	39	-2	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.0
2021	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	290	251	76	18	0	6	33	21	3	6	2	.303	.390	.446	.836	.143	.308	7	11	.372	143	+14	+0	—	—	+8	2.3
2021	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	119	105	38	9	0	0	12	11	2	3	1	.362	.437	.448	.885	.086	.404	9	10	.400	165	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2021	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	143	119	28	2	1	2	22	18	1	2	0	.235	.359	.319	.678	.084	.260	13	15	.316	100	+0	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2022	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	156	145	38	5	1	1	9	21	2	3	1	.262	.314	.331	.645	.069	.301	13	6	.294	83	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.3
2022	26	AAA	Louisville Bats	182	160	41	8	0	3	17	21	2	2	0	.256	.335	.362	.698	.106	.273	12	9	.313	98	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2023	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	558	466	136	30	2	7	79	76	8	18	4	.292	.402	.410	.812	.118	.334	14	14	.368	139	+25	+2	—	—	+16	4.4
2023	27	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	92	73	23	7	1	2	13	15	4	2	0	.315	.444	.521	.965	.205	.375	16	14	.419	179	+8	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2024	28	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	473	411	126	21	2	4	47	64	12	21	7	.307	.394	.397	.790	.090	.354	14	10	.359	133	+18	+1	—	—	+13	3.3
2025	29	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	482	414	111	16	2	5	48	66	16	17	3	.268	.366	.353	.719	.085	.307	14	10	.330	111	+6	+2	—	—	+14	2.2
2025	29	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	98	81	17	4	0	3	13	16	1	0	1	.210	.326	.370	.697	.160	.226	16	13	.309	94	-1	-0	—	—	+3	0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			179	168	44	5	1	1	9	26	2	3	1	.262	.307	.321	.629	.060	.305	15	5	.287	78	-5	+0	-1	+3	+5	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alejo Lopez (OGILVIE)	30	60	35	55	50	.248/.324/.329	.081	.297	2	7	17%	8%	89	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Irving Falu 2013 · MLB	30	58→63	38→40	53→55	47	.273/.307/.356	.083	.305	5	19	13%	5%	85	+0.7	.252/.292/.329	.077	.284	4	18	12%	5%	72	-0.2	.265/.305/.356	.091	.289	8	13	11%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Shawn O'Malley 2017 · MLB	29	53→58	40	56→60	47	.253/.313/.354	.101	.313	6	21	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.232/.288/.332	.100	.297	8	13	23%	7%	72	-0.2	.219/.270/.301	.082	.281	6	6	23%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Nick Punto 2008 · MLB	30	51→60	37→40	52→55	55	.239/.309/.320	.081	.283	3	17	16%	9%	78	+0.2	.241/.320/.321	.080	.289	3	19	16%	10%	83	+0.6	.242/.331/.324	.082	.300	3	9	18%	12%	86	+0.3
✕Trevor Crowe 2014 · MLB	30	51→55	39→45	53→55	48	.240/.296/.327	.087	.293	6	24	20%	7%	75	-0.0	.230/.274/.328	.098	.275	8	18	19%	6%	66	-0.6	.216/.247/.308	.092	.250	8	15	17%	4%	46	-0.9
✕Cory Sullivan 2010 · MLB	30	52→60	40→45	50	48	.250/.302/.348	.098	.294	6	12	17%	7%	82	+0.5	.226/.290/.314	.088	.272	6	11	18%	8%	69	-0.4	.173/.266/.206	.033	.215	0	8	18%	11%	32	-0.6
✕Alex Sanchez 2007 · MLB	30	55→61	39→40	50→65	42	.266/.292/.349	.083	.305	7	21	16%	3%	78	+0.2	.259/.288/.363	.104	.289	11	16	14%	4%	80	+0.4	.286/.310/.375	.088	.310	8	20	10%	3%	90	+0.5
✕Will Rhymes 2013 · MLB	30	54→61	39→40	49→55	52	.257/.311/.346	.089	.284	5	12	12%	7%	85	+0.7	.239/.294/.325	.086	.264	6	8	11%	7%	73	-0.1	.236/.292/.317	.081	.260	4	6	11%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Mike Freeman 2018 · MLB	30	55→60	39→45	56→55	45	.259/.308/.345	.086	.329	5	13	22%	6%	84	+0.6	.238/.295/.343	.105	.316	10	10	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.220/.290/.326	.106	.292	12	7	27%	8%	69	-0.2
✕Jemile Weeks 2016 · MLB	29	49→59	38→45	56→55	51	.230/.301/.318	.089	.286	4	14	20%	8%	75	-0.0	.209/.271/.304	.095	.255	5	13	19%	8%	59	-1.1	.195/.259/.291	.096	.227	4	8	15%	8%	47	-0.8
✕Alden Carrithers 2015 · AAA	30	54→61	36→30	51→55	55	.251/.323/.319	.068	.286	4	18	14%	9%	84	+0.6	.243/.310/.322	.079	.280	6	15	14%	8%	79	+0.3	.254/.322/.301	.047	.287	3	14	12%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Aaron Miles 2007 · MLB	30	57→65	38→40	47→45	50	.267/.312/.351	.084	.290	5	8	10%	6%	87	+0.8	.272/.315/.349	.077	.299	5	5	10%	6%	88	+0.9	.272/.310/.336	.063	.301	3	5	10%	5%	78	+0.1
●Corey Wimberly 2014 · AAA	30	51→61	37→40	51→65	45	.237/.283/.311	.074	.269	4	20	14%	4%	65	-0.7	.262/.316/.348	.086	.302	4	25	14%	5%	89	+0.9	.292/.352/.379	.087	.332	3	33	12%	5%	108	+1.2
✕Jake Elmore 2015 · MLB	28	55→62	38→40	52→55	53	.258/.325/.343	.086	.302	4	21	16%	8%	91	+1.1	.230/.304/.290	.060	.275	4	15	17%	9%	69	-0.4	.242/.306/.310	.068	.294	3	10	17%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Emmanuel Burriss 2015 · MLB	30	52→58	37→40	52→60	48	.246/.295/.317	.071	.274	5	20	12%	6%	71	-0.3	.241/.284/.316	.075	.274	4	16	13%	5%	66	-0.6	.235/.272/.293	.057	.271	2	14	13%	4%	52	-0.7
✕Matt Tolbert 2011 · MLB	29	50→56	40→45	54→50	47	.239/.285/.340	.101	.281	6	15	17%	6%	72	-0.2	.215/.266/.292	.077	.262	4	13	18%	6%	53	-1.5	.224/.269/.262	.038	.274	1	11	17%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Hernan Iribarren 2014 · AAA	30	52→62	37→40	54→55	46	.246/.296/.319	.073	.309	4	18	21%	6%	72	-0.2	.241/.286/.307	.066	.300	3	9	19%	6%	65	-0.7	.270/.303/.345	.075	.327	3	3	18%	5%	78	+0.1
●Kazuo Matsui 2006 · MLB	30	53→60	43→45	53→60	49	.256/.311/.372	.116	.299	9	14	18%	7%	93	+1.3	.263/.314/.378	.115	.308	8	23	16%	7%	95	+1.4	.273/.327/.388	.115	.317	7	30	15%	7%	100	+1.2
●Jamey Carroll 2004 · MLB	30	52→62	41→40	51→50	50	.249/.309/.352	.103	.287	7	11	16%	7%	86	+0.8	.261/.338/.344	.083	.300	4	10	13%	10%	97	+1.5	.283/.362/.340	.057	.337	1	12	14%	10%	101	+1.3
✕Joe Inglett 2009 · MLB	31	57→64	41→45	51→50	50	.270/.323/.380	.110	.308	6	12	14%	7%	99	+1.7	.264/.325/.378	.114	.315	6	11	17%	7%	99	+1.7	.285/.349/.409	.123	.347	5	10	18%	8%	113	+1.0
✕Damian Jackson 2004 · MLB	30	52→54	40→45	55	49	.246/.308/.345	.099	.302	6	29	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.241/.313/.361	.120	.283	11	22	18%	9%	92	+1.2	.241/.328/.365	.124	.282	13	20	19%	10%	96	+0.6

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)