Elian Herrera

Pos3B

B/TS/R

Born1985-02-01

Age (2027)42

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2018

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2015	30	AAA/INTL2 orgs	301	.320/.384/.439	3	6	81	—	.278/.322/.375
2015	30	MLBMIL	277	.242/.292/.395	7	3	92	0.3
2016	31	AAAOklahoma City…	117	.218/.313/.238	0	0	24	—	.179/.243/.198
2018	33	INTLTigres del Li…	16	.188/.188/.188	0	0	1	—
2019	34	No MLB games played
2020	35	No MLB games played
2021	36	No MLB games played
2022	37	No MLB games played
2023	38	No MLB games played
2024	39	No MLB games played
2025	40	No MLB games played
2026	41	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.3

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2015

Speed60

xwOBA27

Barrel%10

Avg EV10

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2006	21	ROK	GCL Dodgers	—	137	110	36	4	0	1	19	17	1	2	3	327	431	391	822	64	372	12	14	360	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	35	30	6	2	0	0	2	12	0	1	2	200	250	267	517	67	316	34	6	217	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	40	36	6	2	0	0	1	10	3	3	1	167	250	222	472	56	231	25	2	227	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	212	181	51	10	3	1	25	39	4	3	3	282	381	387	768	105	352	18	12	347	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	ROK	Ogden Raptors	—	144	124	37	12	1	5	16	32	2	5	0	298	387	532	920	234	364	22	11	398	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+	Inland Empire 66ers	—	431	389	113	18	5	4	35	95	3	42	5	290	354	393	747	103	373	22	8	334	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A	Great Lakes Loons	—	42	40	10	0	0	0	1	9	0	1	2	250	268	250	518		312	21	2	232	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	59	48	11	0	1	0	10	9	0	1	1	229	362	271	633	42	275	15	17	299	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	365	299	77	11	4	2	47	71	4	31	10	258	366	341	707	84	328	19	13	314	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	INTL	Yaquis de Obregon	—	186	154	43	4	3	2	18	41	5	7	4	279	373	383	756	104	363	22	10	329	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	449	378	105	17	6	3	58	103	1	33	11	278	375	378	754	101	367	23	13	335	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	151	132	41	7	2	1	15	23	1	5	3	311	385	417	802	106	367	15	10	355	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	214	187	47	10	1	1	23	50	2	4	2	251	340	332	671	80	338	23	11	307	100	+0	+0	-3	+2	+5	0.4
2012	27	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	297	273	93	20	10	3	17	47	2	11	7	341	384	520	904	179	400	16	6	390	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	INTL	Aguilas Cibaenas	—	111	94	24	7	0	0	13	15	0	2	2	255	346	330	676	74	300	14	12	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	476	408	115	13	1	7	48	76	8	16	3	282	369	370	739	88	330	16	10	330	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	119	111	32	4	3	0	4	17	0	0	4	288	313	378	691	90	337	14	3	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	140	135	37	7	1	0	3	36	0	4	1	274	290	341	631	67	370	26	2	278	75	-4	+0	-1	+4	+3	0.2
2014	29	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	124	115	35	9	2	0	8	19	0	5	1	304	350	417	767	113	365	15	6	339	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	INTL	Dominican Republic	—	90	81	24	4	3	1	6	15	0	1	1	296	345	457	802	160	343	17	7	341	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	277	256	62	18	0	7	18	72	0	3	1	242	292	395	687	152	307	26	6	302	92	-3	+0	-2	+2	+6	0.3
2015	30	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	233	210	75	15	2	3	20	29	0	4	1	357	413	490	904	133	404	12	9	397	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	INTL	Estrellas de Oriente	—	68	59	11	2	1	0	8	14	0	2	2	186	284	254	538	68	239	21	12	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	117	101	22	2	0	0	14	28	0	0	0	218	313	238	551	20	293	24	12	260	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL	Tigres del Licey	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	188	188	188	375		231	19	0	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	631	578	146	35	2	8	44	158	2	11	4	253	308	362	669	109	333	25	7	299	88	-9	+1	-6	+8	+14	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2006	21	ROK MLE	GCL Dodgers	—	137	117	30	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	3	256	331	308	638	51	281	18	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	35	31	6	2	0	0	1	16	0	1	2	194	219	258	477	65	281	46	3	181	9	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	40	36	4	1	0	0	1	14	3	3	1	111	200	139	339	28	205	35	2	173	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	212	191	40	7	2	1	15	56	4	3	3	209	281	283	564	73	286	26	7	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	144	131	26	8	1	3	9	46	2	5	0	198	261	344	604	145	274	32	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	431	399	95	14	4	3	25	127	3	42	5	238	288	316	604	78	333	29	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A MLE	Great Lakes Loons	—	42	40	8	0	0	0	1	12	0	1	2	200	220	200	420		281	29	2	193	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	59	51	10	0	1	0	7	12	0	1	1	196	293	235	528	39	240	20	12	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	365	316	79	11	4	2	30	86	4	31	10	250	323	329	652	79	312	24	8	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA MLE	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	449	396	98	16	5	2	40	123	1	33	11	247	318	328	646	81	330	27	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	MLB MLE	Los Angeles Dodgers	—	214	187	48	11	1	1	23	50	2	4	2	257	344	342	687	86	338	23	11	316	100	+0	+0	-3	+2	+5	0.4
2012	27	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	297	279	76	14	8	2	11	65	2	11	7	272	305	401	706	129	339	22	4	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	476	425	102	10	1	5	31	105	8	16	3	240	304	304	607	64	293	22	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	140	136	37	7	1	0	2	36	0	4	1	272	283	338	621	66	370	26	1	279	75	-4	+0	-1	+4	+3	0.2
2014	29	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	124	118	30	7	2	0	5	25	0	5	1	254	285	347	632	93	311	20	4	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	MLB MLE	Milwaukee Brewers	—	277	257	63	19	0	7	17	72	0	3	1	245	292	401	693	156	307	26	6	304	92	-3	+0	-2	+2	+6	0.3
2015	30	AAA MLE	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	—	233	216	60	10	1	3	14	38	0	4	1	278	322	375	697	97	322	16	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	117	106	19	2	0	0	9	37	0	0	0	179	243	198	442	19	259	32	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	GCL Dodgers	—	137	117	30	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	3	256	331	308	638	51	312	18	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK RAW	GCL Dodgers	—	137	110	36	4	0	1	19	17	1	2	3	327	431	391	822	64	372	12	14	360	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	287	258	50	10	2	1	17	86	7	7	6	194	262	260	522	66	283	30	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	ROK RAW	3 teams	—	287	247	63	14	3	1	28	61	7	7	6	255	348	348	696	93	332	21	10	315	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	144	131	26	8	1	3	9	46	2	5	0	198	261	344	604	145	277	32	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	ROK RAW	Ogden Raptors	—	144	124	37	12	1	5	16	32	2	5	0	298	387	532	920	234	364	22	11	398	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	473	440	104	14	4	3	25	139	3	43	7	236	282	307	589	70	336	29	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	473	429	123	18	5	4	36	104	3	43	7	287	346	380	726	93	367	22	8	325	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	610	522	127	16	6	2	54	141	9	39	15	243	325	308	633	65	325	23	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	610	501	131	15	8	4	75	121	9	39	15	261	368	347	715	86	332	20	12	317	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	530	131	21	7	3	53	164	2	38	14	247	318	330	648	83	346	27	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	600	510	146	24	8	4	73	126	2	38	14	286	378	388	766	102	367	21	12	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	622	566	152	30	11	4	41	140	4	17	11	269	322	382	704	113	348	23	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	622	554	164	37	11	4	53	112	4	17	11	296	362	424	786	128	363	18	9	345	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	595	532	128	13	1	7	39	131	8	16	7	241	302	308	611	68	305	22	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	595	519	147	17	4	7	52	93	8	16	7	283	358	372	729	89	332	16	9	324	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	354	338	89	19	3	0	10	82	0	10	3	263	284	337	622	74	344	23	3	271	70	-13	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2014	29	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	354	331	96	20	6	1	17	70	0	10	3	290	325	396	720	106	361	20	5	316	70	-13	+1	-1	+4	+8	-0.1
2015	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	578	536	140	33	2	10	35	125	0	9	4	261	306	386	693	125	322	22	6	301	90	-7	+0	-2	+2	+13	0.6
2015	30	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	578	525	148	35	3	10	46	115	0	9	4	282	340	417	757	135	342	20	8	334	90	-7	+0	-2	+2	+13	0.6
2016	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	117	106	19	2	0	0	9	37	0	0	0	179	243	198	442	19	268	32	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	117	101	22	2	0	0	14	28	0	0	0	218	313	238	551	20	293	24	12	260	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL MLE	Tigres del Licey	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	188	188	188	375		231	19	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	33	INTL RAW	Tigres del Licey	—	16	16	3	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	188	188	188	375		231	19	0	170	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2006	21	ROK MLE	GCL Dodgers	—	137	123	30	3	0	1	12	25	1	2	3	244	331	293	623	49	281	18	9	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2007	22	ROK MLE	3 teams	—	287	261	50	10	2	1	17	86	7	7	6	192	262	257	519	65	274	30	6	230	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	23	ROK MLE	Ogden Raptors	—	144	132	26	8	1	3	9	46	2	5	0	197	261	341	601	144	274	32	6	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	473	442	104	14	4	3	25	139	3	43	7	235	282	305	587	70	328	29	5	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	610	542	127	16	6	2	54	141	9	39	15	234	325	297	622	63	302	23	9	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	600	540	131	21	7	3	53	164	2	38	14	243	318	324	642	81	330	27	9	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	27	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	622	572	152	30	11	4	41	140	4	17	11	266	322	378	700	112	339	23	7	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	595	543	128	13	1	7	39	131	8	16	7	236	302	302	604	66	293	22	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	29	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	354	341	89	19	3	0	10	82	0	10	3	261	284	334	619	73	342	23	3	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	30	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	578	538	140	33	2	10	35	125	0	9	4	260	306	385	691	125	314	22	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	31	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Dodgers	—	117	107	19	2	0	0	9	37	0	0	0	178	243	196	440	19	259	32	8	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	631	578	146	35	2	8	44	158	2	11	4	253	308	362	669	109	333	25	7	299	72	-9	+1	-6	+8	+14	0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	595	150	36	2	8	45	163	2	11	4	252	306	360	666	108	333	25	7	299	72	-9	+1	-6	+8	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	4533	4092	999	169	37	34	304	1119	36	186	70	244	302	328	631	84	324	25	7	275	72	-9	+1	-6	+8	+14	0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	143	24	5	5	44	160	5	27	10	244	302	327	629	83	323	25	7	275	72	-9	+1	-6	+8	+14	0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2016 AAAOklahoma City Dodgers · 117 PAwOBA .259 → .204 (−55)K% 23.9% → 31.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.93%	÷0.972	×1.290	—	—	31.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.97%	÷1.059	×0.710	—	×0.962	7.72%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.962	0.00%
Singles /BIP	27.40%	÷1.017	×0.900	×1.045	×0.962	24.37%
Doubles /BIP	2.74%	÷0.975	×0.810	×1.045	×0.962	2.29%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.104	×0.810	×1.045	×0.962	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.947	×0.780	—	×0.962	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 121, K 94, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .259 → .204; ISO .020 → .016; BABIP .293 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox · 233 PAwOBA .386 → .299 (−87)K% 12.4% → 16.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.45%	÷0.979	×1.290	—	—	16.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.58%	÷1.015	×0.710	—	×0.972	5.83%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.972	0.00%
Singles /BIP	30.39%	÷1.044	×0.900	×1.005	×0.972	25.60%
Doubles /BIP	8.29%	÷1.214	×0.810	×1.005	×0.972	5.40%
Triples /BIP	1.10%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.005	×0.972	0.76%
Home runs /BIP	1.66%	÷0.886	×0.780	—	×0.972	1.42%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 109, 2B 143, 3B 130, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.005.

Result: wOBA .386 → .299; ISO .133 → .096; BABIP .404 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAANashville Sounds · 124 PAwOBA .331 → .263 (−67)K% 15.3% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.32%	÷0.964	×1.290	—	—	20.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷1.040	×0.710	—	×0.982	4.32%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×0.982	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.975	×0.900	×0.992	×0.982	22.47%
Doubles /BIP	9.38%	÷1.051	×0.810	×0.992	×0.982	7.04%
Triples /BIP	2.08%	÷1.018	×0.810	×0.992	×0.982	1.62%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.875	×0.780	—	×0.982	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 104, K 93, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.

Result: wOBA .331 → .263; ISO .113 → .083; BABIP .365 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 476 PAwOBA .323 → .268 (−55)K% 16.0% → 22.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.97%	÷0.938	×1.290	—	—	21.95%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.87%	÷1.071	×0.710	—	×0.992	6.49%
HBP% /PA	1.68%	—	×0.980	—	×0.992	1.63%
Singles /BIP	28.31%	÷1.029	×0.900	×1.046	×0.992	25.70%
Doubles /BIP	3.92%	÷1.082	×0.810	×1.046	×0.992	3.04%
Triples /BIP	0.30%	÷1.150	×0.810	×1.046	×0.992	0.22%
Home runs /BIP	2.11%	÷1.004	×0.780	—	×0.992	1.63%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 88, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.

Result: wOBA .323 → .268; ISO .088 → .068; BABIP .330 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 297 PAwOBA .380 → .305 (−75)K% 15.8% → 21.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.82%	÷0.935	×1.290	—	—	21.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.05%	÷0.962	×0.710	—	×1.003	3.74%
HBP% /PA	0.67%	—	×0.980	—	×1.003	0.66%
Singles /BIP	26.55%	÷1.034	×0.900	×1.028	×1.003	23.81%
Doubles /BIP	8.85%	÷1.135	×0.810	×1.028	×1.003	6.51%
Triples /BIP	4.42%	÷1.055	×0.810	×1.028	×1.003	3.50%
Home runs /BIP	1.33%	÷1.018	×0.780	—	×1.003	1.02%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 104, 1B 107, 2B 127, 3B 111, K 87, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.028.

Result: wOBA .380 → .305; ISO .179 → .133; BABIP .400 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 449 PAwOBA .331 → .284 (−48)K% 22.9% → 27.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.94%	÷1.024	×1.220	—	—	27.34%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.92%	÷0.981	×0.680	—	×0.988	8.84%
HBP% /PA	0.22%	—	×0.840	—	×0.988	0.18%
Singles /BIP	28.73%	÷1.036	×0.920	×1.040	×0.988	26.24%
Doubles /BIP	6.18%	÷1.062	×0.910	×1.040	×0.988	5.45%
Triples /BIP	2.18%	÷1.150	×0.880	×1.040	×0.988	1.72%
Home runs /BIP	1.09%	÷1.043	×0.800	—	×0.988	0.83%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 107, 2B 112, 3B 130, K 105, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .331 → .284; ISO .101 → .086; BABIP .367 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 365 PAwOBA .309 → .279 (−30)K% 19.5% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.45%	÷1.005	×1.220	—	—	23.60%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.60%	÷1.036	×0.680	—	×0.998	8.25%
HBP% /PA	1.10%	—	×0.840	—	×0.998	0.92%
Singles /BIP	26.32%	÷0.998	×0.920	×1.050	×0.998	25.43%
Doubles /BIP	4.82%	÷1.030	×0.910	×1.050	×0.998	4.47%
Triples /BIP	1.75%	÷1.131	×0.880	×1.050	×0.998	1.43%
Home runs /BIP	0.88%	÷1.001	×0.800	—	×0.998	0.70%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 100, 2B 106, 3B 126, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .309 → .279; ISO .084 → .077; BABIP .328 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2010 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 59 PAwOBA .298 → .244 (−54)K% 15.3% → 20.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.25%	÷0.961	×1.290	—	—	20.47%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.95%	÷1.019	×0.710	—	×1.033	12.20%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.033	0.00%
Singles /BIP	25.64%	÷1.056	×0.900	—	×1.033	22.57%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.082	×0.810	—	×1.033	0.00%
Triples /BIP	2.56%	÷1.053	×0.810	—	×1.033	2.04%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.223	×0.780	—	×1.033	0.00%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 111, 2B 116, 3B 111, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .298 → .244; ISO .042 → .034; BABIP .275 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .