Nicky Lopez — OGILVIE

Nicky Lopez3B Texas Rangers

Age 31 L/R 5'10" / 186 lbs MLB Svc 7.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION188 act + 125 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 3067vR 82

AVG/OBP/SLG.254 / .314 / .332

PA125

HR1

K%15

BB%7

BABIP294

ISO79

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

906.6%

xwOBA

160.268

POWER35

Barrel%

101.1

Avg EV

1084.9

Bat Spd

1667.7

EYE50

Chase%

8425.0%

SPEED50

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 471 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

405

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

214

279

▶▶R

ISO

—

058

—

BABIP

250

280

▶R

13.6%

15.3%

◀L

BB%

3.0%

9.6%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2019

Service 7.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.9M
Totals		$0.4M		$1M	+$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	Burlington Royals	—	283	244	58	5	4	5	22	43	10	24	4	238	326	352	679	115	265	15	8	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	21	ROK	Burlington Royals	—	283	231	65	6	5	6	35	30	10	24	4	281	399	429	827	147	296	11	12	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	667	617	152	18	8	3	40	84	4	24	14	246	297	316	613	70	281	13	6	269	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	22	A+	3 teams	—	667	598	175	23	10	4	59	66	4	24	14	293	360	385	745	92	323	10	9	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	581	525	145	12	8	7	39	68	3	15	6	276	330	370	699	93	305	12	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	23	AA	2 teams	—	581	504	155	14	7	9	60	52	3	15	6	308	384	417	801	109	327	9	10	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	540	502	130	29	3	4	31	58	3	10	4	259	306	353	659	94	286	11	6	290	80	-12	+0	+2	+2	+15	0.8
2019	24	MLB	2 teams	—	540	495	132	28	3	5	38	56	3	10	4	267	323	366	688	99	293	10	7	309	95	-3	+0	+2	+2	+15	1.7
2020	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	192	169	34	8	0	1	18	41	2	0	5	201	286	266	552	65	260	21	9	258	56	-10	-2	+5	+1	+5	-0.0
2020	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	192	169	34	8	0	1	18	41	2	0	5	201	286	266	552	65	260	21	9	255	54	-10	-2	+5	+1	+5	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	565	497	152	22	6	2	49	74	4	22	1	306	373	386	759	80	354	13	9	332	112	+8	+4	+24	+6	+16	5.9
2021	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	565	497	149	21	6	2	49	74	4	22	1	300	367	378	746	78	347	13	9	330	111	+7	+4	+24	+6	+16	5.8
2022	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	480	436	101	13	4	0	29	63	4	13	3	232	286	280	566	48	270	13	6	252	51	-27	+1	+12	+2	+14	0.2
2022	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	480	436	99	12	4	0	29	63	4	13	3	227	281	273	554	46	265	13	6	250	50	-27	+1	+12	+2	+14	0.1
2023	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	262	225	52	8	3	1	26	40	6	6	2	231	327	307	634	76	276	15	10	287	78	-7	+0	+8	+1	+7	1.0
2023	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	262	225	52	8	3	1	26	40	6	6	2	231	327	307	634	76	276	15	10	290	80	-6	+0	+8	+1	+7	1.1
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	445	398	96	12	3	1	37	67	4	5	7	241	312	294	606	53	288	15	8	274	68	-16	-2	+5	+2	+13	0.1
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	445	398	96	12	3	1	37	67	4	5	7	241	312	294	606	53	288	15	8	277	71	-15	-2	+5	+2	+13	0.3
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	329	292	73	9	3	0	27	49	4	7	4	250	322	301	623	51	293	15	8	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	30	AAA	2 teams	—	329	282	70	11	3	0	37	41	4	7	4	248	344	309	652	60	283	12	11	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	31	MLB	TEX	—	188	172	52	7	1	2	8	27	2	6	3	302	341	390	730	87	345	14	4	313	98	-0	+0	+0	+1	+5	0.6
YTD	31	MLB	TEX	—	188	170	54	8	1	2	10	25	2	6	3	318	363	412	774	94	359	13	5	337	116	+3	+0	+0	+1	+5	1.0
ROS	31	MLB	TEX	100%	125	114	29	4	1	1	9	19	1	3	1	254	314	332	646	79	293	15	7	287	78	-3	+0	+1	+0	+4	0.2
ROS	31	MLB	TEX	100%	125	114	29	4	1	1	9	19	1	3	1	254	315	333	648	79	294	15	7	280	72	-4	+0	+1	+0	+4	0.1
FULL	31	MLB	TEX	—	313	286	81	11	2	3	17	46	3	9	4	283	330	367	697	84	325	15	5	300	88	-4	+0	+1	+1	+9	0.7
TOT	31	MLB	TEX	—	313	286	81	11	2	3	17	46	3	9	4	283	330	367	696	84	325	15	5	303	90	-4	+0	+1	+1	+9	0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	32	MLB	TEX	100%	357	325	79	12	3	1	25	56	4	6	2	243	305	308	613	65	284	16	7	277	70	-12	+0	-1	+1	+10	-0.2
2027	32	MLB	TEX	100%	357	325	79	12	3	1	25	56	4	6	2	243	305	308	613	65	286	16	7	270	65	-14	+0	-1	+1	+10	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2856	2567	630	99	22	9	215	415	26	56	22	245	310	312	622	66	289	15	8	279	72	-90	+2	+56	+16	+81	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	144	23	5	2	49	94	6	13	5	247	311	313	625	67	290	14	8	279	72	-21	+1	+13	+4	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	4826	4344	1101	152	46	26	352	662	49	135	53	253	317	328	644	74	292	14	7	285	76	-128	+6	+56	+21	+137	9.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	148	20	6	4	47	89	7	18	7	253	316	328	644	75	291	14	7	285	76	-17	+1	+8	+3	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	21	ROK	Burlington Royals	—	283	231	65	6	5	6	35	30	10	24	4	281	399	429	827	147	296	11	12	366	138	+12	+3	—	—	+8	2.4
2017	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	253	232	60	6	1	0	16	29	2	7	4	259	312	293	605	34	296	11	6	276	70	-9	-0	—	—	+7	-0.2
2017	22	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	324	285	84	12	7	2	36	23	1	14	8	295	376	407	783	112	315	7	11	351	127	+10	-0	—	—	+9	1.9
2017	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	90	81	31	5	2	2	7	14	1	3	2	383	438	568	1.006	185	439	16	8	437	193	+9	-0	—	—	+3	1.2
2018	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	256	223	62	6	2	7	27	29	3	6	2	278	364	417	781	139	294	11	11	348	124	+7	+0	—	—	+7	1.5
2018	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	325	281	93	8	5	2	33	23	0	9	4	331	401	416	818	85	351	7	10	357	132	+12	+0	—	—	+9	2.1
2019	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	402	379	91	22	2	2	18	51	1	1	1	240	276	325	601	84	273	13	4	268	63	-17	-0	+2	+2	+11	-0.1
2019	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	138	116	41	6	1	3	20	5	2	9	3	353	457	500	957	147	352	4	14	428	186	+13	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2020	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	192	169	34	8	0	1	18	41	2	0	5	201	286	266	552	65	260	21	9	255	54	-10	-2	+5	+1	+5	-0.1
2021	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	565	497	149	21	6	2	49	74	4	22	1	300	367	378	746	78	347	13	9	330	111	+7	+4	+24	+6	+16	5.8
2022	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	480	436	99	12	4	0	29	63	4	13	3	227	281	273	554	46	265	13	6	250	50	-27	+1	+12	+2	+14	0.1
2023	28	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	262	225	52	8	3	1	26	40	6	6	2	231	327	307	634	76	276	15	10	290	80	-6	+0	+8	+1	+7	1.1
2024	29	MLB	Chicago White Sox	—	445	398	96	12	3	1	37	67	4	5	7	241	312	294	606	53	288	15	8	277	71	-15	-2	+5	+2	+13	0.3
2025	30	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	28	24	1	0	0	0	4	4	0	0	0	42	179	42	220		50	14	14	132	-41	-4	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.2
2025	30	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	301	258	69	11	3	0	33	37	4	7	4	267	359	333	693	66	304	12	11	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+9	0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	2374	2128	522	83	18	7	181	340	21	47	19	245	311	311	622	66	288	14	8	281	73	-72	+2	+57	+14	+67	6.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Cesar Izturislast yr '13 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,646 PA	12	4,646	17	110	254	293	322	+38	+94	10.9	11.5
	/162	664	2	16	254	293	322	+5.4	+13.5	1.6	pk7: 12
#2Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#3Juan Lagareslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,508 PA	9	2,508	31	45	250	291	360	+8	+49	7.4	7.7
	/162	664	8	12	250	291	360	+2.1	+13.0	1.9	pk7: 8
#4Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	7	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
	/162	664	7	7	246	294	339	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#5Alfredo Amezagalast yr '11 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,550 PA	7	1,550	12	47	245	306	330	+7	+41	5.3	5.3
	/162	664	5	20	245	306	330	+3.1	+17.4	2.3	pk7: 5
#6Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	7	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	3	29	239	310	313	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,056	10	61	247	307	311	+11	+83	1.6	1.8
	/162	664	2	13	247	307	311	+2.4	+18.0	0.3	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicky Lopez (OGILVIE)	31	45	35	50	50	283/330/367	84	325	3	9	15%	5%	90	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Gerson Manzanillo 2017 · AAA	31	50	37→30	45→50	45	239/283/303	65	274	6	12	16%	5%	63	-0.9	248/281/329	81	290	5	14	16%	4%	69	-0.4	254/279/324	70	300	4	13	16%	2%	62	-0.4
✕Juan Centeno 2021 · MLB	31	47	41→45	48→40	46	226/281/321	95	269	8	7	19%	6%	67	-0.5	235/279/347	112	289	11	5	22%	5%	72	-0.2	231/273/332	101	294	9	3	24%	5%	62	-0.4
✕Hector Hernandez 2014 · AAA	31	51	38→40	48→50	43	242/268/318	76	272	5	7	14%	3%	59	-1.1	229/258/303	74	254	6	8	12%	4%	51	-1.7	269/304/329	60	304	4	3	13%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Skyler Stromsmoe 2015 · AAA	31	45	36→40	47→50	50	211/291/283	72	265	3	13	20%	8%	63	-0.9	218/293/300	82	272	4	12	20%	8%	68	-0.5	215/295/274	60	266	0	8	17%	8%	57	-0.3
✕Johnny Raburn 2010 · AAA	31	48→57	36→30	51→55	51	224/284/290	66	263	4	15	16%	8%	59	-1.1	227/292/324	97	272	8	11	18%	8%	72	-0.2	221/293/317	96	263	7	8	18%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Hernan Iribarren 2015 · AAA	31	47→57	36→40	50→55	45	223/273/289	66	285	4	12	22%	6%	54	-1.4	252/292/321	69	308	4	7	18%	5%	70	-0.3	268/302/341	73	327	4	3	18%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Ramon Valdez 2009 · AAA	32	54	37→40	48→55	47	253/307/326	73	305	4	14	18%	6%	79	+0.3	236/292/320	84	288	6	17	19%	6%	71	-0.3	263/337/330	67	299	3	26	12%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jonathan Diaz 2016 · MLB	31	46→47	36→30	47→50	49	214/284/282	68	263	3	9	19%	7%	59	-1.1	207/286/275	68	262	5	8	21%	9%	58	-1.2	191/281/237	46	245	3	5	21%	10%	44	-1.0
✕Cory Sullivan 2011 · MLB	31	51→60	40→45	51→50	50	242/298/337	95	282	6	11	16%	7%	78	+0.2	216/287/312	96	264	8	11	20%	9%	67	-0.5	166/261/200	34	206	0	8	18%	11%	28	-0.7
✕Guilder Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	31	51→56	33→30	49→55	49	239/288/276	38	279	2	18	15%	6%	57	-1.2	230/284/280	50	281	2	14	18%	7%	57	-1.2	228/285/259	30	282	0	14	18%	7%	49	-0.8
✕Eric Bruntlett 2010 · MLB	32	46→52	38→40	52→55	50	215/285/299	84	258	5	17	18%	8%	63	-0.8	206/263/313	107	264	10	10	25%	6%	58	-1.2	189/243/282	93	245	9	9	26%	5%	39	-1.9
✕Sergio Palafox 2011 · AAA	31	50	38→40	46→45	49	234/288/314	80	268	5	10	15%	7%	68	-0.5	219/266/307	88	254	7	11	16%	6%	57	-1.2	224/257/270	46	264	2	8	15%	3%	39	-0.6
✕Emmanuel Burriss 2017 · MLB	32	50→57	37→40	53→60	46	234/280/310	76	267	4	16	14%	5%	63	-0.9	224/260/299	75	256	6	13	15%	4%	52	-1.6	231/251/245	15	253	0	10	8%	2%	28	-0.8
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2014 · AAA	30	55	35→30	46→45	43	259/290/318	59	303	3	8	16%	4%	68	-0.5	257/290/346	89	288	8	8	13%	4%	76	+0.1	278/308/361	82	295	8	2	9%	4%	86	+0.3
✕Ray Olmedo 2013 · MLB	32	53→57	35→40	47→50	43	247/282/312	66	298	2	10	18%	4%	63	-0.8	222/268/286	64	273	3	12	19%	6%	52	-1.6	211/261/264	52	260	2	13	18%	6%	39	-1.6
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2015 · MLB	32	47→57	36→40	48→60	51	223/290/290	67	273	4	16	19%	8%	63	-0.8	220/284/301	81	252	5	14	14%	8%	63	-0.8	218/280/278	60	244	1	14	11%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Matt Erickson 2007 · AAA	32	50	37→40	45	46	235/296/301	66	286	5	8	19%	6%	69	-0.4	242/299/327	85	294	6	9	19%	6%	76	+0.1	265/322/335	70	319	2	6	16%	6%	85	+0.3
✕Logan Watkins 2019 · AAA	29	46→52	37→40	47→55	45	220/276/295	76	279	4	12	22%	6%	58	-1.2	232/297/349	117	294	11	17	24%	7%	82	+0.5	236/310/351	115	294	11	28	22%	8%	84	+0.2
✕Jake Elmore 2018 · MLB	31	46→56	35→40	46→55	52	216/289/269	53	261	4	16	18%	8%	57	-1.2	244/305/327	83	295	5	11	18%	7%	79	+0.3	260/320/345	85	311	4	8	17%	7%	88	+0.6
✕Jason Ellison 2009 · MLB	31	48→54	37→40	46→50	49	225/289/299	74	273	4	14	18%	7%	65	-0.7	225/283/305	80	278	6	14	20%	6%	64	-0.8	229/285/292	63	284	5	15	20%	6%	58	-1.0