Daniel Nunez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 34 | AAARieleros de A… | 278 | .306/.382/.420 | 5 | 7 | 75 | — | .251/.305/.329 |
| 2017 | 35 | AAAGenerales de … | 398 | .257/.348/.289 | 0 | 7 | 48 | — | .223/.286/.251 |
| 2019 | 37 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 114 | .186/.288/.227 | 0 | 2 | 12 | — | .157/.225/.196 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 25 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 97 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 185 | 312 | 247 | 559 | 62 | 250 | 25 | 14 | 268 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA | Potros de Tijuana | — | 79 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 342 | 284 | 626 | 30 | 340 | 23 | 8 | 285 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 24 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 91 | 167 | 136 | 303 | 45 | 133 | 29 | 8 | 149 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 86 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 423 | 337 | 761 | 81 | 355 | 21 | 18 | 352 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 313 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 68 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 291 | 405 | 380 | 785 | 89 | 360 | 18 | 12 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 253 | 217 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 253 | 347 | 332 | 679 | 78 | 295 | 13 | 9 | 309 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 365 | 98 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 56 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 268 | 347 | 340 | 687 | 71 | 309 | 13 | 9 | 309 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 34 | AAA | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 278 | 245 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 306 | 382 | 420 | 802 | 114 | 338 | 13 | 9 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 35 | AAA | Generales de Durango | — | 398 | 343 | 88 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 53 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 257 | 348 | 289 | 636 | 32 | 302 | 13 | 10 | 295 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 37 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 186 | 288 | 227 | 515 | 41 | 257 | 24 | 11 | 243 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 97 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 174 | 260 | 233 | 493 | 58 | 247 | 30 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 79 | 70 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 316 | 286 | 602 | 29 | 334 | 28 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 24 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 87 | 125 | 130 | 255 | 43 | 118 | 33 | 4 | 113 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 94 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 351 | 309 | 660 | 74 | 323 | 25 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 332 | 86 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 84 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 259 | 340 | 328 | 669 | 69 | 320 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 253 | 227 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 225 | 290 | 291 | 581 | 66 | 265 | 17 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 380 | 88 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 75 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 232 | 286 | 276 | 562 | 45 | 275 | 18 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 34 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 278 | 255 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 251 | 305 | 329 | 635 | 78 | 287 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 35 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 398 | 359 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 65 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 223 | 286 | 251 | 537 | 28 | 263 | 16 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 37 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 102 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 157 | 225 | 196 | 421 | 39 | 215 | 29 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 97 | 86 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 174 | 260 | 233 | 493 | 58 | 250 | 30 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 97 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 185 | 312 | 247 | 559 | 62 | 250 | 25 | 14 | 268 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 79 | 70 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 316 | 286 | 602 | 29 | 367 | 28 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA RAW | Potros de Tijuana | — | 79 | 67 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 254 | 342 | 284 | 626 | 30 | 340 | 23 | 8 | 285 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 24 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 87 | 125 | 130 | 255 | 43 | 133 | 33 | 4 | 113 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA RAW | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 24 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 91 | 167 | 136 | 303 | 45 | 133 | 29 | 8 | 149 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 94 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 234 | 351 | 309 | 660 | 74 | 338 | 25 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 86 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 256 | 423 | 337 | 761 | 81 | 355 | 21 | 18 | 352 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 332 | 86 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 84 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 259 | 340 | 328 | 669 | 69 | 337 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 313 | 91 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 45 | 68 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 291 | 405 | 380 | 785 | 89 | 360 | 18 | 12 | 351 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 253 | 227 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 225 | 290 | 291 | 581 | 66 | 272 | 17 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 253 | 217 | 55 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 253 | 347 | 332 | 679 | 78 | 295 | 13 | 9 | 309 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 380 | 88 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 75 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 232 | 286 | 276 | 562 | 45 | 285 | 18 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 365 | 98 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 56 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 268 | 347 | 340 | 687 | 71 | 309 | 13 | 9 | 309 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 34 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 278 | 255 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 251 | 305 | 329 | 635 | 78 | 292 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 34 | AAA RAW | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 278 | 245 | 75 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 36 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 306 | 382 | 420 | 802 | 114 | 338 | 13 | 9 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 35 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 398 | 359 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 65 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 223 | 286 | 251 | 537 | 28 | 271 | 16 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 35 | AAA RAW | Generales de Durango | — | 398 | 343 | 88 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 53 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 257 | 348 | 289 | 636 | 32 | 302 | 13 | 10 | 295 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 37 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 102 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 157 | 225 | 196 | 421 | 39 | 232 | 29 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 37 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 97 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 186 | 288 | 227 | 515 | 41 | 257 | 24 | 11 | 243 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 25 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 97 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 172 | 260 | 230 | 490 | 57 | 247 | 30 | 9 | 226 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 26 | AAA MLE | Potros de Tijuana | — | 79 | 73 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 247 | 316 | 274 | 590 | 27 | 334 | 28 | 4 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 27 | AAA MLE | Vaqueros Laguna | — | 24 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 87 | 125 | 130 | 255 | 43 | 118 | 33 | 4 | 113 | -37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 30 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 96 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 29 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 229 | 351 | 302 | 653 | 73 | 323 | 25 | 11 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 31 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 386 | 342 | 86 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 84 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 251 | 340 | 319 | 659 | 67 | 320 | 22 | 7 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 32 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 253 | 230 | 51 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 42 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 222 | 290 | 287 | 577 | 65 | 265 | 17 | 5 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 33 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 419 | 387 | 88 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 75 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 227 | 286 | 271 | 557 | 44 | 275 | 18 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 34 | AAA MLE | Rieleros de Aguascalientes | — | 278 | 256 | 64 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 250 | 305 | 328 | 634 | 78 | 287 | 17 | 5 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 35 | AAA MLE | Generales de Durango | — | 398 | 363 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 65 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 220 | 286 | 248 | 534 | 28 | 263 | 16 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 37 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 114 | 104 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 154 | 225 | 192 | 418 | 38 | 215 | 29 | 6 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2162 | 1928 | 442 | 63 | 7 | 9 | 133 | 433 | 53 | 46 | 33 | 229 | 297 | 283 | 580 | 54 | 290 | 20 | 6 | 258 | 61 | -101 | -4 | +0 | -23 | +47 | -8.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 580 | 133 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 40 | 130 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 229 | 297 | 284 | 582 | 55 | 290 | 20 | 6 | 258 | 61 | -30 | -1 | +0 | -7 | +14 | -2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 114 PAwOBA .233 → .186 (−47)K% 23.7% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.65% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.940 | 16.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷0.900 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.940 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.865 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 111, K 99, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 37 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (9.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .233 → .186; ISO .041 → .037; BABIP .257 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAGenerales de Durango · 398 PAwOBA .289 → .239 (−50)K% 13.3% → 16.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.32% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.30% | ÷1.073 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.24% | ÷1.049 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 23.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 1.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 96, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 35 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (7.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .289 → .239; ISO .032 → .027; BABIP .302 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 278 PAwOBA .352 → .279 (−73)K% 12.9% → 16.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.95% | ÷0.941 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.27% | ÷1.053 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.940 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.16% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.940 | 1.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.75% | ÷1.053 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 24.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.035 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 4.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.940 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.39% | ÷1.236 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.940 | 1.27% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 111, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 88, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 34 vs a level average of 27.2 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .352 → .279; ISO .114 → .076; BABIP .338 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAARieleros de Aguascalientes · 419 PAwOBA .300 → .250 (−50)K% 13.4% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.37% | ÷0.903 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.59% | ÷0.997 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.89% | ÷1.007 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 23.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.21% | ÷1.046 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.942 | 0.51% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.488 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 0.43% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 198, 1B 101, 2B 109, 3B 130, K 81, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .300 → .250; ISO .071 → .049; BABIP .309 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 253 PAwOBA .297 → .259 (−38)K% 13.0% → 16.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.04% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.91% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 5.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.16% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 2.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.74% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.61% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.54% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.39% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 103, 2B 95, 3B 100, K 88, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .297 → .259; ISO .078 → .067; BABIP .295 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 386 PAwOBA .340 → .296 (−44)K% 17.6% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.62% | ÷0.972 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.62% | ÷1.050 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 6.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.89% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 3.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.39% | ÷1.034 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 26.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.962 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.63% | ÷0.875 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.26% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 107, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .340 → .296; ISO .089 → .077; BABIP .360 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 114 PAwOBA .338 → .297 (−41)K% 21.1% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.046 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 10.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.39% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 4.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.81% | ÷1.029 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 23.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.06% | ÷0.984 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 6.94% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.61% | ÷0.952 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 1.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.933 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 106, 2B 97, 3B 90, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .338 → .297; ISO .081 → .081; BABIP .355 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAVaqueros Laguna · 24 PAwOBA .146 → .113 (−33)K% 29.2% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 6.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .146 → .113; ISO .045 → .036; BABIP .133 → .118. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).