Tyler Heineman — OGILVIE

Tyler HeinemanC Toronto Blue Jays

Age 35 S/R 5'10" / 190 lbs MLB HR +12%BB +4% Svc 3.384 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 0.6 · 2026

wRC+†vL 17065vR 78

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .303 / .322

PA209

HR4

K%21

BB%9

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40→40

PWR

35→35

SPD

40→40

EYE

50↘45

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.3peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2020

Service 3.384 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$1M	+$1M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	22	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	428	380	87	17	2	10	22	70	15	2	3	.229	.297	.363	.661	.134	.251	16	5	.284	76	-12	-1	+0	+8	+12	0.7
2014	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	306	272	58	14	3	1	17	49	13	3	3	.213	.291	.298	.589	.085	.254	16	6	.261	58	-15	-1	+0	+5	+9	-0.1
2015	24	AAA	3 teams	370	345	89	17	0	3	16	33	3	3	0	.258	.297	.333	.630	.075	.277	9	4	.273	67	-14	+1	+0	+7	+10	0.4
2016	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	272	248	49	6	1	2	18	57	5	1	2	.198	.266	.254	.520	.056	.249	21	7	.242	43	-17	-1	+0	+5	+8	-0.6
2017	26	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	228	205	47	13	0	2	14	46	0	2	0	.229	.279	.322	.600	.093	.281	20	6	.257	55	-12	+0	+0	+4	+6	-0.1
2018	27	AA	2 teams	296	257	59	11	0	4	26	50	4	4	1	.230	.310	.319	.629	.089	.264	17	9	.277	70	-10	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2019	28	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	273	251	69	14	3	9	14	48	5	4	0	.275	.326	.462	.788	.187	.309	18	5	.330	111	+3	+1	+0	+5	+8	1.8
2020	29	MLB	San Francisco Giants	50	42	8	1	0	0	4	6	2	1	0	.190	.292	.214	.506	.024	.222	12	8	.229	34	-4	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.1
2021	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	151	135	33	6	0	0	10	35	1	0	3	.244	.301	.289	.590	.044	.324	23	7	.257	55	-8	-1	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
2022	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	174	157	34	8	0	0	8	17	5	1	0	.217	.276	.268	.544	.051	.243	10	5	.244	45	-11	+0	+11	+3	+5	0.8
2023	32	AAA	2 teams	212	181	37	4	2	2	25	51	2	6	0	.204	.308	.282	.589	.077	.271	24	12	.268	63	-9	+1	+2	+4	+6	0.4
2024	33	AAA	2 teams	215	181	39	4	1	5	21	44	7	8	1	.215	.321	.331	.652	.116	.254	20	10	.290	80	-5	+1	+2	+4	+6	0.8
2025	34	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	174	149	44	8	1	3	12	31	6	2	0	.295	.371	.423	.794	.128	.350	18	7	.336	115	+3	+0	+9	+3	+5	2.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	35	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	37	32	7	0	0	0	1	8	1	0	0	.219	.265	.219	.483	.000	.292	22	3	.208	17	-3	+0	+1	+1	+1	-0.1
ROS	35	MLB	TOR	172	151	33	5	1	3	15	36	4	3	1	.219	.306	.325	.630	.106	.256	21	9	.283	75	-5	+0	+3	+3	+5	0.7
TOT	35	MLB	TOR	209	183	40	5	1	3	16	44	5	3	1	.219	.299	.306	.605	.087	.270	21	8	.270	65	-8	+0	+5	+4	+6	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	36	MLB	TOR	119	105	22	3	1	2	10	24	3	2	1	.210	.297	.314	.611	.105	.246	20	8	.274	68	-4	+0	-4	+2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3440	3059	708	131	15	46	232	597	75	42	15	.231	.302	.329	.631	.098	.271	17	7	.276	70	-118	+2	+25	+61	+97	7.0
/ 162G	—			650	578	135	25	3	9	44	113	14	8	3	.234	.303	.334	.637	.100	.273	17	7	.276	70	-22	+0	+5	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	22	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	428	370	106	23	4	13	32	47	15	2	3	.286	.367	.476	.843	.189	.293	11	7	.365	137	+18	-1	—	—	+12	3.0
2014	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	306	265	64	15	3	1	24	37	13	3	3	.242	.334	.332	.667	.091	.275	12	8	.305	91	-3	-1	—	—	+9	0.5
2015	24	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	209	192	52	10	0	3	11	15	1	2	0	.271	.314	.370	.684	.099	.280	7	5	.300	88	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2015	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	95	85	27	7	0	0	8	6	1	0	0	.318	.383	.400	.783	.082	.342	6	8	.352	127	+3	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2015	24	INTL	Tigres del Licey	66	58	11	2	0	0	7	10	1	1	0	.190	.288	.224	.512	.034	.229	15	11	.247	48	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2016	25	AAA	Fresno Grizzlies	272	239	62	9	2	3	26	44	5	1	2	.259	.343	.351	.695	.092	.307	16	10	.317	101	+0	-1	—	—	+8	0.8
2017	26	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	228	199	56	19	0	2	20	34	0	2	0	.281	.347	.407	.754	.126	.325	15	9	.325	107	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2018	27	AAA	Colorado Springs Sky Sox	23	19	4	0	0	0	4	4	0	1	0	.211	.348	.211	.558	.000	.267	17	17	.279	71	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2018	27	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	273	224	57	11	0	4	36	32	4	3	1	.254	.367	.357	.725	.103	.275	12	13	.324	106	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.0
2019	28	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	273	244	82	17	3	13	21	35	5	4	0	.336	.400	.590	.990	.254	.352	13	8	.426	184	+26	+1	—	—	+8	3.5
2020	29	MLB	San Francisco Giants	50	42	8	1	0	0	4	6	2	1	0	.190	.292	.214	.506	.024	.222	12	8	.238	40	-3	+0	+2	+1	+1	0.1
2021	30	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	151	129	34	6	0	0	16	29	1	0	3	.264	.349	.310	.659	.047	.333	19	11	.298	86	-2	-1	—	—	+4	0.1
2022	31	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	174	157	34	8	0	0	8	17	5	1	0	.217	.276	.268	.544	.051	.243	10	5	.247	48	-10	+0	+11	+3	+5	0.9
2023	32	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	47	38	9	1	1	0	8	8	1	1	0	.237	.383	.316	.699	.079	.300	17	17	.331	111	+1	+0	+2	+4	+1	0.8
2023	32	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	165	135	31	4	1	2	25	35	1	5	0	.230	.354	.319	.673	.089	.293	21	15	.308	94	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	33	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	16	12	1	0	0	0	3	6	1	0	0	.083	.312	.083	.396	.000	.167	38	19	.233	37	-1	+0	+2	+4	+0	0.5
2024	33	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	199	159	40	4	1	6	28	32	6	8	1	.252	.383	.403	.786	.151	.276	16	14	.349	125	+6	+1	—	—	+6	1.3
2025	34	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	174	149	43	8	1	3	12	31	6	2	0	.289	.365	.416	.781	.128	.342	18	7	.339	118	+3	+0	+9	+3	+5	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			461	398	95	18	2	3	35	68	15	5	0	.239	.324	.317	.640	.078	.280	15	8	.289	79	-11	+1	+25	+15	+13	4.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tyler Heineman (OGILVIE)	35	40	35	40	45	.212/.299/.314	.102	.249	4	4	19%	9%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Treanor 2012 · MLB	36	45	41→40	40	56	.216/.313/.306	.090	.257	9	6	19%	11%	79	+0.3	.216/.312/.331	.115	.267	11	8	22%	11%	84	+0.6	.161/.271/.266	.105	.201	10	5	24%	11%	41	-0.5
✕Luke Carlin 2015 · AAA	34	43	41→45	44→45	51	.211/.283/.309	.098	.255	9	6	21%	9%	66	-0.6	.194/.280/.292	.098	.247	7	7	23%	9%	60	-1.0	.129/.251/.188	.059	.173	0	3	22%	12%	22	-1.2
✕Dioner Navarro 2019 · MLB	35	44→54	46→50	45	48	.220/.282/.348	.128	.260	14	7	22%	8%	75	-0.0	.225/.302/.343	.118	.278	12	8	22%	9%	82	+0.5	.182/.269/.232	.050	.233	5	0	22%	10%	38	-0.5
✕Luis Antonio Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	35	47→51	44→45	42→45	50	.227/.286/.342	.115	.248	11	5	14%	6%	75	-0.0	.241/.294/.349	.108	.282	11	8	18%	6%	80	+0.4	.285/.335/.363	.077	.328	9	4	15%	6%	95	+0.3
✕Andrés Blanco 2019 · MLB	35	45→47	44→50	45→50	48	.221/.292/.341	.120	.261	12	8	20%	7%	78	+0.2	.220/.294/.367	.147	.269	18	6	25%	7%	86	+0.8	.209/.288/.364	.156	.256	21	2	27%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Gary Bennett 2007 · MLB	35	46	42→40	44→40	52	.225/.292/.326	.101	.256	10	4	16%	8%	74	-0.1	.235/.289/.351	.116	.255	12	6	13%	7%	79	+0.3	.242/.283/.323	.081	.259	7	4	9%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Chad Moeller 2010 · MLB	35	44	42→50	43→30	43	.215/.267/.323	.107	.265	9	4	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.219/.274/.333	.114	.268	9	6	21%	6%	68	-0.5	.200/.257/.297	.097	.249	4	0	20%	5%	47	-0.4
✕Francisco Cordoba 2019 · AAA	35	44→53	41→45	46→40	43	.215/.264/.306	.092	.259	9	5	21%	5%	56	-1.3	.226/.281/.395	.169	.250	24	5	21%	6%	88	+0.9	.214/.273/.396	.182	.222	28	0	20%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Ramiro Pena 2019 · MLB	34	49→56	44→45	44→50	44	.243/.289/.361	.118	.285	11	10	19%	5%	81	+0.4	.260/.294/.402	.142	.283	16	9	14%	4%	94	+1.3	.278/.306/.417	.139	.298	16	7	13%	3%	102	+1.3
✕Jamie Burke 2008 · MLB	36	50→48	44→45	39→30	46	.242/.293/.357	.115	.269	11	3	15%	5%	82	+0.5	.231/.279/.325	.094	.269	8	5	17%	5%	67	-0.5	.211/.260/.275	.064	.255	4	1	18%	5%	44	-0.5
✕Trinidad Robles 2008 · AAA	35	49	44→40	47→45	46	.241/.294/.360	.119	.288	12	10	21%	6%	83	+0.6	.219/.273/.304	.085	.272	7	7	21%	6%	59	-1.1	.220/.277/.248	.028	.287	0	0	21%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Cliff Pennington 2019 · MLB	35	43→53	39→45	47→55	47	.208/.274/.289	.081	.281	6	8	27%	8%	56	-1.3	.208/.279/.330	.122	.269	13	12	26%	8%	69	-0.4	.159/.242/.328	.169	.174	22	18	26%	8%	56	-0.2
✕Erick Aybar 2019 · MLB	35	48→58	42→50	47→60	51	.233/.296/.340	.107	.263	9	12	16%	7%	79	+0.3	.249/.323/.389	.140	.290	14	9	18%	9%	103	+1.9	.255/.333/.393	.137	.299	12	6	18%	9%	105	+1.5
✕Quinton McCracken 2006 · MLB	35	50→60	38→40	49→50	53	.238/.301/.321	.084	.273	5	11	15%	8%	76	+0.0	.243/.299/.343	.100	.280	9	11	16%	7%	80	+0.4	.257/.296/.331	.074	.297	6	11	15%	5%	70	-0.1
✕Gerald Laird 2013 · MLB	33	49→47	43→50	46→50	50	.238/.298/.349	.111	.270	10	6	16%	7%	82	+0.5	.244/.315/.343	.099	.289	7	6	17%	9%	87	+0.8	.233/.312/.302	.069	.288	2	2	18%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Hector Paez 2013 · AAA	35	46	43→45	48→40	42	.227/.255/.332	.105	.243	12	6	13%	3%	59	-1.1	.228/.267/.341	.113	.250	13	4	15%	3%	66	-0.6	.221/.262/.317	.096	.243	11	1	14%	3%	58	-0.4
✕Jesus Rivera 2013 · AAA	35	50→54	40	41→40	48	.241/.282/.330	.090	.263	8	5	12%	5%	69	-0.4	.236/.281/.319	.083	.279	7	5	17%	5%	66	-0.6	.276/.323/.333	.057	.323	2	4	14%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Ramon Santiago 2015 · MLB	35	48→52	39→45	44→50	55	.226/.306/.309	.083	.263	6	5	16%	9%	76	+0.0	.226/.298/.315	.089	.272	8	8	19%	8%	73	-0.1	.194/.252/.208	.015	.243	0	7	19%	5%	22	-0.8
✕Luis Figueroa 2009 · AAA	35	55→58	38→40	41→45	47	.257/.293/.338	.081	.277	5	7	10%	4%	76	+0.0	.253/.286/.333	.080	.272	5	4	9%	4%	71	-0.3	.264/.296/.334	.071	.283	3	2	8%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Enrique Wilson 2006 · MLB	33	46	46→45	44→40	52	.223/.277/.352	.129	.225	14	7	10%	7%	74	-0.1	.218/.276/.336	.118	.228	11	9	11%	7%	69	-0.4	.196/.250/.287	.091	.205	7	7	8%	6%	43	-0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)