Nick Allen — OGILVIE

Nick AllenSS Houston Astros

Age 27 R/R 5'7" / 166 lbs MLB H +4%HR -3% Svc 2.953S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

wRC+†vL 4355vR 42

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .276 / .278

PA471

HR4

SB9

K%20

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

30→30

SPD

50→50

EYE

50→50

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.5peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.953 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-4	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-3M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	154	143	27	2	1	1	8	40	1	7	3	.189	.237	.238	.475	.049	.255	26	5	.213	21	-14	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.8
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	512	470	92	12	5	0	24	103	9	24	8	.196	.249	.243	.491	.047	.247	20	5	.219	26	-43	+2	+0	+5	+15	-2.2
2019	20	A+	2 teams	394	360	85	20	5	3	22	83	4	13	6	.236	.288	.344	.632	.108	.299	21	6	.269	64	-16	+0	+0	+4	+11	-0.0
2021	22	AA	2 teams	380	350	81	14	2	7	19	100	3	12	7	.231	.277	.343	.620	.111	.300	26	5	.264	60	-17	-0	+0	+4	+11	-0.3
2022	23	MLB	2 teams	532	480	103	20	0	6	38	107	3	13	4	.215	.276	.294	.570	.079	.264	20	7	.252	51	-30	+1	+8	+6	+15	0.0
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	491	444	112	15	3	7	31	72	2	18	2	.252	.304	.347	.651	.095	.285	15	6	.278	71	-16	+3	+2	+5	+14	0.8
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	484	431	119	24	1	7	42	72	3	16	8	.276	.345	.385	.730	.109	.315	15	9	.318	101	+1	+0	-1	+5	+14	1.9
2025	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	416	371	82	12	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	.221	.286	.253	.540	.032	.298	24	7	.245	45	-26	-1	+15	+4	+12	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	Houston Astros	22	20	5	1	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	.250	.318	.300	.618	.050	.333	23	9	.283	75	-1	+0	-1	+0	+1	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	449	410	89	13	1	4	33	89	3	9	2	.217	.280	.283	.563	.066	.264	20	7	.256	54	-23	+1	+5	+5	+13	0.0
TOT	27	MLB	HOU	471	430	94	14	1	4	35	94	3	9	2	.219	.282	.284	.566	.065	.269	20	7	.257	55	-24	+1	+4	+5	+13	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB	HOU	465	425	91	13	1	4	34	93	3	9	2	.214	.277	.278	.555	.064	.264	20	7	.255	53	-25	+1	+5	+5	+13	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	HOU	453	413	88	12	1	4	34	92	3	8	2	.213	.278	.276	.554	.063	.263	20	8	.253	52	-25	+1	+4	+5	+13	-0.3
2029	30	MLB	HOU	442	404	85	12	1	3	33	91	2	7	1	.210	.273	.267	.541	.057	.262	21	7	.250	49	-25	+1	+3	+5	+13	-0.4
2030	31	MLB	HOU	427	390	81	11	1	3	32	90	2	4	1	.208	.271	.264	.535	.056	.260	21	7	.246	46	-26	+0	+2	+5	+12	-0.7
2031	32	MLB	HOU	408	373	76	10	1	2	30	88	2	2	0	.204	.267	.252	.519	.048	.258	22	7	.241	43	-26	+0	+1	+4	+12	-0.9
2032	33	MLB	HOU	378	345	70	9	1	2	28	84	2	1	0	.203	.267	.252	.519	.049	.257	22	7	.236	39	-26	+0	+0	+4	+11	-1.1
2033	34	MLB	HOU	333	304	60	8	1	1	24	77	2	0	0	.197	.261	.240	.501	.043	.255	23	7	.230	34	-25	+0	-1	+4	+9	-1.3
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6718	6113	1341	207	25	54	463	1380	47	151	53	.219	.279	.288	.567	.069	.273	21	7	.254	52	-362	+9	+43	+72	+190	-4.8
/ 162G	—			650	591	129	20	2	5	45	134	5	15	5	.218	.280	.284	.564	.066	.272	21	7	.254	52	-35	+1	+4	+7	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	154	138	35	3	2	1	13	28	1	7	3	.254	.322	.326	.648	.072	.312	18	8	.294	83	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	512	460	110	17	6	0	34	85	9	24	8	.239	.304	.302	.606	.063	.289	17	7	.275	68	-18	+2	—	—	+15	-0.2
2019	20	A+	Stockton Ports	328	288	84	22	5	3	28	52	4	13	5	.292	.362	.434	.797	.142	.348	16	9	.347	124	+9	+1	—	—	+9	1.9
2019	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	66	62	12	1	0	0	4	18	0	0	1	.194	.242	.210	.452	.016	.273	27	6	.213	21	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	151	136	33	8	0	0	11	30	1	4	1	.243	.304	.301	.606	.059	.308	20	7	.274	68	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2021	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	229	204	65	9	2	6	18	46	2	8	6	.319	.379	.471	.850	.152	.381	20	8	.370	141	+11	-1	—	—	+6	1.7
2022	23	MLB	Oakland Athletics	326	299	62	13	0	4	19	64	1	3	2	.207	.257	.291	.548	.084	.250	20	6	.245	45	-20	-0	+8	+6	+9	0.3
2022	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	206	173	46	10	0	2	27	34	2	10	2	.266	.371	.358	.730	.092	.321	17	13	.330	111	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2023	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	329	303	67	4	2	4	17	52	1	5	1	.221	.265	.287	.552	.066	.253	16	5	.246	46	-20	+1	+2	+5	+9	-0.2
2023	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	162	135	45	14	1	3	20	16	1	13	1	.333	.423	.519	.942	.185	.359	10	12	.401	165	+12	+2	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	105	97	17	4	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	.175	.216	.247	.463	.072	.211	19	5	.205	15	-10	+0	-1	+5	+3	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	379	322	111	26	1	7	49	41	3	16	8	.345	.436	.497	.933	.152	.374	11	13	.411	172	+31	+0	—	—	+11	4.3
2025	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	.221	.286	.251	.537	.030	.298	24	7	.246	46	-25	-1	+15	+4	+12	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1176	1070	228	32	2	9	72	235	5	16	10	.213	.266	.272	.538	.059	.263	20	6	.242	43	-75	-1	+25	+21	+33	0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Allen (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	50	50	.214/.276/.278	.064	.264	4	10	20%	7%	54	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Alfredo Lopez 2017 · AAA	27	48	37→30	51→50	45	.227/.278/.298	.070	.280	4	18	20%	6%	59	-1.1	.243/.290/.323	.080	.289	5	18	17%	6%	71	-0.3	.253/.288/.300	.047	.294	3	17	15%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	44→50	36→30	50	46	.211/.268/.274	.063	.269	4	18	23%	7%	50	-1.8	.214/.268/.301	.087	.269	9	17	23%	7%	56	-1.3	.192/.233/.244	.052	.241	9	21	24%	5%	24	-0.7
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2021 · AAA	27	45→55	36→30	48→45	42	.215/.256/.282	.066	.268	4	13	21%	4%	45	-2.1	.232/.270/.303	.071	.308	4	6	25%	4%	56	-1.3	.237/.271/.296	.060	.320	3	2	26%	3%	53	-0.8
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→48	36→30	47→50	52	.216/.296/.280	.064	.268	4	12	20%	9%	64	-0.8	.214/.290/.278	.064	.268	4	12	20%	8%	60	-1.0	.209/.285/.267	.058	.262	2	9	19%	8%	52	-1.1
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→48	37→40	48→50	50	.219/.288/.292	.073	.281	4	14	23%	8%	63	-0.9	.217/.272/.317	.100	.259	8	15	19%	7%	63	-0.9	.204/.251/.308	.104	.227	10	17	15%	5%	46	-1.0
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	.202/.269/.276	.074	.268	6	13	26%	8%	50	-1.7	.211/.281/.287	.076	.301	6	14	29%	8%	59	-1.1	.199/.280/.207	.008	.301	0	18	30%	9%	38	-0.5
✕Jonathan Schuerholz 2007 · AAA	27	41→46	37→30	48→45	43	.198/.248/.265	.067	.254	5	8	24%	6%	38	-2.6	.199/.256/.289	.090	.255	8	13	24%	6%	48	-1.9	.174/.241/.259	.085	.212	9	22	22%	6%	34	-0.8
✕Jonathan Malo 2011 · AAA	27	44→45	38→40	49→50	46	.211/.269/.290	.079	.268	5	12	22%	7%	54	-1.4	.212/.266/.302	.090	.279	7	8	25%	6%	56	-1.3	.206/.254/.282	.076	.271	5	2	25%	5%	43	-1.0
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	47→51	37→40	48→55	44	.223/.276/.296	.073	.287	5	16	23%	6%	58	-1.2	.210/.264/.294	.084	.279	7	17	26%	6%	53	-1.5	.189/.241/.256	.067	.256	5	19	27%	6%	31	-1.5
✕Mike Miller 2017 · AAA	27	49→47	37→40	49→50	45	.230/.270/.301	.071	.266	4	14	16%	5%	56	-1.3	.232/.282/.302	.070	.279	5	12	18%	6%	62	-0.9	.237/.289/.295	.059	.287	5	9	18%	6%	61	-0.5
✕Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez 2012 · AAA	27	47	36→30	46→50	41	.221/.259/.291	.069	.278	3	11	21%	4%	49	-1.8	.213/.252/.293	.080	.286	4	10	26%	4%	47	-1.9	.209/.252/.289	.081	.282	5	6	27%	4%	41	-0.6
✕Alejandro Rivero 2016 · AAA	27	50	34→30	47→55	45	.231/.278/.276	.045	.267	2	18	14%	4%	53	-1.5	.224/.279/.280	.056	.258	4	16	14%	6%	56	-1.3	.217/.279/.255	.038	.247	2	15	12%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	45	35→30	46→45	46	.211/.272/.273	.062	.270	2	8	22%	7%	51	-1.7	.200/.266/.255	.055	.281	3	8	28%	7%	43	-2.2	.177/.248/.181	.004	.260	0	5	29%	8%	16	-1.8
✕Gary Cates 2008 · AA	27	50	37→30	48→50	45	.235/.272/.303	.068	.272	4	15	15%	5%	57	-1.2	.231/.265/.306	.075	.270	5	11	16%	4%	55	-1.4	.240/.257/.283	.043	.273	0	3	12%	0%	40	-0.6
✕Casey Smith 2006 · AAA	27	44→54	36→40	48→50	45	.209/.259/.271	.062	.251	4	11	18%	6%	44	-2.1	.225/.263/.307	.082	.270	5	10	18%	4%	55	-1.4	.221/.256/.298	.077	.267	4	9	18%	4%	46	-1.4
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	46→45	40	.221/.273/.288	.067	.300	5	9	27%	5%	55	-1.4	.229/.262/.340	.111	.289	13	10	25%	4%	63	-0.8	.229/.234/.306	.077	.274	15	5	23%	1%	37	-0.5
✕L.J. Mazzilli 2018 · AAA	27	47→53	38→40	49→45	49	.221/.280/.304	.083	.270	5	9	20%	7%	62	-0.9	.222/.279/.332	.110	.270	10	8	21%	7%	69	-0.4	.209/.264/.333	.124	.245	13	4	20%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Pete Kozma 2016 · MLB	28	44→46	38→40	44→50	49	.209/.273/.290	.081	.252	6	10	19%	7%	56	-1.3	.192/.243/.262	.070	.244	5	11	22%	5%	36	-2.7	.191/.240/.281	.091	.237	6	6	22%	5%	37	-1.7
✕Justin Toole 2014 · AAA	27	48	34→30	47→50	41	.223/.256/.274	.051	.272	2	9	18%	3%	43	-2.2	.229/.266/.286	.057	.282	2	6	19%	4%	50	-1.7	.237/.272/.284	.047	.295	0	4	19%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Vance Albitz 2014 · AAA	26	47	37→40	49→50	46	.221/.267/.289	.068	.250	6	11	14%	5%	53	-1.5	.233/.270/.332	.099	.266	6	10	15%	4%	65	-0.7	.248/.279/.366	.118	.280	4	8	13%	3%	72	-0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)