Nick Allen — OGILVIE

Nick AllenSS Houston Astros

Age 27 R/R 5'7" / 166 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 2.953S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 368 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 4040vR 40

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .277 / .277

PA368

HR3

SB8

K%21

BB%7

BABIP267

ISO63

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

827.6%

xwOBA

100.243

POWER30

Barrel%

100.5

Avg EV

1084.6

Bat Spd

2568.6

EYE50

Chase%

8225.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

4027.0

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 521 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

153

368

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

240

239

—

ISO

050

033

◀◀L

BABIP

242

297

▶▶R

17.6%

25.0%

◀◀L

BB%

8.5%

6.2%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.953 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.6M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.6M		$-3M	-$0.9M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	154	143	27	2	1	1	8	40	1	7	3	189	237	238	475	49	255	26	5	213	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	154	138	35	3	2	1	13	28	1	7	3	254	322	326	648	72	312	18	8	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	512	470	86	11	5	0	24	106	9	24	8	183	237	228	464	45	232	21	5	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	512	460	110	17	6	0	34	85	9	24	8	239	304	302	606	63	289	17	7	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	394	361	85	19	5	3	21	82	4	13	6	235	285	341	626	105	297	21	5	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	394	350	96	23	5	3	32	70	4	13	6	274	342	394	736	120	336	18	8	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	380	351	78	14	1	8	18	98	3	12	7	222	266	336	602	114	281	26	5	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	380	340	98	17	2	6	29	76	3	12	7	288	349	403	752	115	351	20	8	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	2 teams	—	532	480	102	20	0	6	38	107	3	13	4	212	274	292	566	79	261	20	7	251	50	-30	+1	+8	+6	+15	-0.0
2022	23	MLB	2 teams	—	532	472	108	23	0	6	46	98	3	13	4	229	301	316	617	87	276	18	9	278	71	-18	+1	+8	+6	+15	1.3
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	—	491	445	109	14	3	7	30	72	2	18	2	245	296	337	633	92	276	15	6	272	67	-19	+3	+2	+5	+14	0.6
2023	24	MLB	2 teams	—	491	438	112	18	3	7	37	68	2	18	2	256	317	358	675	103	287	14	8	297	85	-8	+3	+2	+5	+14	1.7
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	484	429	119	23	1	7	44	71	3	16	8	277	349	385	733	107	315	15	9	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	2 teams	—	484	419	128	30	1	8	54	61	3	16	8	305	389	439	828	134	339	13	11	366	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	243	44	-26	-1	+15	+4	+12	0.4
2025	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	246	46	-25	-1	+15	+4	+12	0.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	HOU	—	97	87	21	3	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	241	298	310	608	69	303	23	6	268	63	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
YTD	27	MLB	HOU	—	97	87	21	3	0	1	6	22	1	2	0	241	298	310	608	69	303	23	6	271	65	-4	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	100%	368	336	72	10	1	3	26	77	3	8	2	214	277	277	553	63	265	21	7	253	51	-20	+1	+4	+4	+10	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	100%	368	336	72	10	1	3	26	77	3	8	2	214	277	277	553	63	267	21	7	249	49	-21	+1	+4	+4	+10	-0.2
FULL	27	MLB	HOU	—	465	423	93	13	1	4	32	99	4	10	2	220	281	284	565	64	275	21	7	253	52	-25	+1	+2	+5	+13	-0.4
TOT	27	MLB	HOU	—	465	423	93	13	1	4	32	99	4	10	2	220	281	284	565	64	275	21	7	256	54	-24	+1	+2	+5	+13	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	HOU	65%	459	420	89	12	1	4	33	97	3	9	2	212	274	274	548	62	263	21	7	250	50	-26	+1	+4	+5	+13	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	HOU	65%	448	409	86	12	1	3	33	95	3	8	2	210	274	267	541	56	262	21	7	249	49	-26	+1	+3	+5	+13	-0.5
2027	28	MLB	HOU	65%	298	272	57	8	0	2	22	63	2	6	1	210	274	261	535	51	265	21	7	247	47	-18	+1	+2	+3	+8	-0.3
2028	29	MLB	HOU	65%	291	266	56	8	0	2	21	62	2	5	1	211	273	263	537	53	264	21	7	245	46	-18	+1	+2	+3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2133	1944	413	58	3	16	141	437	12	35	14	212	270	270	540	58	264	20	7	244	45	-132	+1	+33	+31	+60	-0.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	126	18	1	5	43	133	4	11	4	213	271	272	543	59	265	20	7	244	45	-40	+1	+10	+9	+18	-0.2
Career	—			—	4638	4215	935	148	19	42	306	944	37	136	51	222	280	296	576	74	274	20	7	256	54	-241	+7	+35	+50	+131	-1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	132	21	3	6	43	132	5	19	7	223	282	299	581	76	276	20	7	256	54	-34	+1	+5	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	154	138	35	3	2	1	13	28	1	7	3	254	322	326	648	72	312	18	8	294	83	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.2
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	512	460	110	17	6	0	34	85	9	24	8	239	304	302	606	63	289	17	7	275	68	-18	+2	—	—	+15	-0.2
2019	20	A+	Stockton Ports	—	328	288	84	22	5	3	28	52	4	13	5	292	362	434	797	142	348	16	9	347	124	+9	+1	—	—	+9	1.9
2019	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	66	62	12	1	0	0	4	18	0	0	1	194	242	210	452	16	273	27	6	213	21	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2021	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	151	136	33	8	0	0	11	30	1	4	1	243	304	301	606	59	308	20	7	274	68	-6	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2021	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	229	204	65	9	2	6	18	46	2	8	6	319	379	471	850	152	381	20	8	370	141	+11	-1	—	—	+6	1.7
2022	23	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	326	299	62	13	0	4	19	64	1	3	2	207	257	291	548	84	250	20	6	245	45	-20	-0	+8	+6	+9	0.3
2022	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	206	173	46	10	0	2	27	34	2	10	2	266	371	358	730	92	321	17	13	330	111	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2023	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	329	303	67	4	2	4	17	52	1	5	1	221	265	287	552	66	253	16	5	246	46	-20	+1	+2	+5	+9	-0.2
2023	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	162	135	45	14	1	3	20	16	1	13	1	333	423	519	942	185	359	10	12	401	165	+12	+2	—	—	+5	1.9
2024	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	105	97	17	4	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	175	216	247	463	72	211	19	5	205	15	-10	+0	-1	+5	+3	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	379	322	111	26	1	7	49	41	3	16	8	345	436	497	933	152	374	11	13	411	172	+31	+0	—	—	+11	4.3
2025	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	246	46	-25	-1	+15	+4	+12	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1176	1070	228	32	2	9	72	235	5	16	10	213	266	272	538	59	263	20	6	242	43	-75	-1	+25	+21	+33	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	13	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
	/162	664	7	9	233	273	324	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	2,328	18	39	212	267	271	+25	+40	-4.1	-3.2
	/162	664	5	11	212	267	271	+7.1	+11.4	-1.2	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Allen (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	50	50	220/281/284	64	275	4	10	21%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	36→30	50	46	203/259/265	62	260	4	18	23%	7%	43	-2.2	215/268/308	93	270	10	17	23%	7%	58	-1.2	202/245/262	60	254	10	21	24%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2021 · AAA	27	46→56	36→30	48→45	42	218/258/280	63	271	3	13	21%	4%	46	-2.0	231/267/303	72	313	4	6	26%	4%	56	-1.3	236/269/297	61	322	3	2	27%	3%	52	-0.8
✕Jonathan Schuerholz 2006 · AAA	26	46→47	38→30	49→45	45	221/272/296	75	272	6	9	21%	6%	56	-1.3	194/248/268	74	252	6	11	24%	6%	39	-2.5	166/222/225	59	219	4	11	25%	5%	16	-2.0
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→47	36→30	47→50	52	213/294/275	62	265	4	13	20%	9%	62	-0.9	216/289/280	64	270	3	12	20%	8%	60	-1.0	214/286/271	57	268	2	9	19%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez 2011 · AAA	26	47	36→30	48→50	43	223/267/291	68	277	3	12	20%	5%	53	-1.5	213/250/290	77	283	3	10	25%	4%	45	-2.1	200/243/277	77	275	5	6	28%	4%	35	-0.7
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	38→40	49→55	44	218/272/292	74	286	5	16	25%	6%	55	-1.4	212/263/300	88	281	8	18	26%	6%	54	-1.4	196/246/269	72	264	6	19	27%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	40	223/273/293	70	303	5	9	27%	5%	56	-1.3	231/264/343	112	290	13	11	25%	4%	66	-0.6	236/240/307	72	281	14	5	22%	1%	40	-0.4
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	38→30	50	46	197/266/273	75	263	6	13	26%	8%	49	-1.8	209/278/289	80	298	7	14	30%	8%	58	-1.2	189/268/197	8	288	0	18	31%	9%	31	-0.6
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	46	36→30	48→50	47	218/278/286	68	274	3	14	21%	7%	56	-1.3	245/288/316	71	293	4	16	17%	5%	68	-0.5	272/308/321	49	317	2	19	14%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Mike Miller 2017 · AAA	27	49→48	37→40	49→50	45	232/271/306	74	269	4	15	16%	5%	58	-1.2	234/284/303	69	283	5	11	18%	6%	63	-0.8	236/288/292	55	288	4	9	18%	6%	60	-0.6
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	46→48	37→40	51→55	41	219/261/300	81	285	4	15	24%	5%	52	-1.6	230/271/310	80	286	4	12	20%	5%	59	-1.1	242/281/309	67	291	3	13	17%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	44	35→30	46→45	45	205/267/267	62	265	2	8	23%	7%	47	-1.9	200/263/258	58	277	4	8	27%	7%	43	-2.2	175/241/181	5	249	0	5	27%	7%	12	-1.9
✕Alejandro Rivero 2015 · AAA	26	49	34→30	48→55	44	230/278/273	43	265	3	14	14%	4%	53	-1.5	227/280/277	50	262	3	17	14%	5%	55	-1.4	224/280/260	36	256	2	19	13%	6%	47	-0.9
✕Richard Lewis 2007 · AAA	27	45	37→40	51→50	42	214/264/290	76	280	4	15	24%	6%	51	-1.7	215/258/299	84	275	7	10	24%	5%	51	-1.7	203/241/270	67	257	6	4	23%	4%	35	-1.8
✕Shawn Roof 2011 · AAA	26	49	35→30	48→50	42	226/282/285	58	301	2	13	24%	6%	58	-1.2	227/276/288	61	294	3	16	23%	5%	56	-1.3	233/277/267	33	298	0	20	20%	4%	46	-0.6
✕Justin Toole 2014 · AAA	27	47	34→30	47→50	41	220/252/271	51	267	2	9	18%	3%	40	-2.4	225/262/282	57	279	2	6	19%	4%	47	-1.9	228/265/275	46	285	0	4	19%	4%	43	-0.9
✕L.J. Mazzilli 2018 · AAA	27	46→55	38→40	49→45	49	216/276/297	81	263	5	9	19%	7%	58	-1.2	219/276/330	111	267	10	9	21%	6%	68	-0.5	204/258/324	121	239	12	4	20%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Luis Gonzalez 2021 · AAA	27	46→49	39→40	45	41	224/263/310	87	281	6	8	22%	4%	56	-1.3	239/280/366	127	325	14	9	29%	5%	78	+0.2	250/282/375	125	338	16	5	30%	4%	77	+0.1
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	44→42	39→40	44→45	43	211/263/301	90	278	6	9	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/247/276	71	259	6	8	22%	4%	40	-2.4	196/234/244	49	243	5	5	21%	4%	23	-1.9
✕Jancarlos Cintron 2022 · AAA	27	41→51	39→40	50	42	204/246/284	80	249	8	13	22%	5%	42	-2.3	235/275/327	92	284	7	13	19%	4%	66	-0.6	238/279/320	82	284	5	12	17%	4%	62	-0.5