Nick Allen

SS Houston Astros
Age 28 R/R 5'7" / 166 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 3.953 · Ctrl thru 2029
Overview
MLB40-MANArb-1FA 2030
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202425AAAOAK379.345/.436/.497716130—.319/.390/.433
202425MLBOakland Athle…105.175/.216/.2471026-0.3
202526MLBATL416.221/.286/.25108520.4
202627MLBHOU162.283/.333/.39332970.4
2027PROJ28MLBHOU216.221/.286/.2952464-0.1
2028PROJ65% MLB29MLBHOU151.219/.284/.2891262-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5  ·  Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2029Service3.953First FA2030
2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$0.6M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
Speed37
Bat Spd25
Barrel%10
xwOBA10
Avg EV10
CompsJonathan Diaz (age 28) · Pete Kozma (age 28) · Elliot Soto (age 28)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 6664vR 57
AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .286 / .295
PA216
HR2
K%20
BB%7
BABIP271
ISO66
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -9.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-9BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +1.2 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+1FLDPOS: +2.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
xAVG
100.217
POWER30
Barrel%
100.6
Avg EV
1084.9
Bat Spd
2568.6
EYE50
scouting grade only
SPEED50
Sprint
3726.9
Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 521 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
153
368
—
wRC+
48
48
—
wOBA
240
239
—
ISO
050
033
◀◀L
BABIP
242
297
▶▶R
K%
17.6%
25.0%
◀◀L
BB%
8.5%
6.2%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2022
Service   3.953 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2029
First FA Year   2030
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Arb-1$0.2M+0.1$0.4M+$0.2M
2028Arb-2$0.4M———
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.2M $-0.3M +$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201718 ROKAZL Athletics — 154138 35321 13281 73 254322326648 72312 188 294 31 — — — — — —
201819 ABeloit Snappers — 512460 1101760 34859 248 239304302606 63289 177 275 37 — — — — — —
201920 A+Stockton Ports — 328288 842253 28524 135 292362434797 142348 169 347 73 — — — — — —
201920 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 6662 12100 4180 01 194242210452 16273 276 213 30 — — — — — —
202122 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 151136 33800 11301 41 243304301606 59308 207 274 41 — — — — — —
202122 AAMidland RockHounds — 229204 65926 18462 86 319379471850 152381 208 370 97 — — — — — —
202223 MLBOakland Athletics — 326299 621304 19641 32 207257291548 84250 206 245 53 -18 -0 +8 +6 +7 0.2
202223 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 206173 461002 27342 102 266371358730 92321 1713 330 76 — — — — — —
202324 MLBOakland Athletics — 329303 67424 17521 51 221265287552 66253 165 246 55 -18 +1 +2 +5 +7 -0.2
202324 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 162135 451413 20161 131 333423519942 185359 1012 401 124 — — — — — —
202425 MLBOakland Athletics — 10597 17401 5200 00 175216247463 72211 195 205 26 -9 +0 -1 +5 +2 -0.3
202425 AAALas Vegas Aviators — 379322 1112617 49413 168 345436497933 152374 1113 411 130 — — — — — —
202526 MLBAtlanta Braves — 416371 821100 31993 87 221286251537 30298 247 246 52 -24 -1 +15 +4 +9 0.4
202627 MLBHouston Astros — 162145 41703 10321 20 283333393726 110336 206 315 97 -1 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 13381215 26939212 822676 1810 221274286560 65272 206 251 56 -70 -0 +23 +22 +29 0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201718 ROK MLEAZL Athletics — 154143 27211 8401 73 189237238475 49258 265 214 31 — — — — — —
201819 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 512470 941260 241119 248 200252251504 51249 225 223 37 — — — — — —
201920 A+ MLEStockton Ports — 328297 721743 19694 135 242297357654 114296 216 276 73 — — — — — —
202122 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 151140 29700 7361 41 207250257507 50274 245 229 41 — — — — — —
202122 AA MLEMidland RockHounds — 229210 58826 12572 86 276321419740 143331 255 312 97 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 326299 621304 19641 32 207257291548 84250 206 246 53 -18 -0 +8 +6 +7 0.2
202223 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 206180 43801 20402 102 239322300622 61294 1910 280 76 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 329303 67424 17521 51 221265287552 66253 165 249 55 -18 +1 +2 +5 +7 -0.2
202324 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 162142 441212 13191 131 310372451822 141329 128 351 124 — — — — — —
202425 MLB MLEOakland Athletics — 10597 17401 5200 00 175216247463 72211 195 206 26 -9 +0 -1 +5 +2 -0.3
202425 AAA MLELas Vegas Aviators — 379335 1072115 36483 168 319390433823 113350 139 361 130 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 416371 821100 31993 87 221286251537 30298 247 246 52 -24 -1 +15 +4 +9 0.4
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 162145 41703 10321 20 283333393726 110336 206 312 97 -1 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.4
201718 ROK MLEAZL Athletics — 154143 27211 8401 73 189237238475 49255 265 214 31 — — — — — —
201718 ROK RAWAZL Athletics — 154138 35321 13281 73 254322326648 72312 188 294 31 — — — — — —
201819 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 512470 941260 241119 248 200252251504 51258 225 223 37 — — — — — —
201819 A RAWBeloit Snappers — 512460 1101760 34859 248 239304302606 63289 177 275 37 — — — — — —
201920 A+ MLE2 teams — 394359 862053 23834 136 240293348641 109304 216 276 73 — — — — — —
201920 A+ RAW2 teams — 394350 962353 32704 136 274342394736 120336 188 325 73 — — — — — —
202122 AA MLE2 teams — 380349 871526 20933 127 249296355651 106319 245 279 75 — — — — — —
202122 AA RAW2 teams — 380340 981726 29763 127 288349403752 115351 208 332 75 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE2 teams — 532479 1062106 391043 134 221284303587 81270 207 259 62 -24 +1 +8 +6 +12 0.2
202223 MLB RAW2 teams — 532472 1082306 46983 134 229301316617 87276 189 278 62 -24 +1 +8 +6 +12 0.2
202324 MLB MLE2 teams — 491445 1121637 30712 182 252302348650 97284 146 282 77 -13 +3 +2 +5 +11 0.8
202324 MLB RAW2 teams — 491438 1121837 37682 182 256317358675 103287 148 297 77 -13 +3 +2 +5 +11 0.8
202425 AAA MLE2 teams — 484432 1242516 41683 168 287353391744 104326 148 327 108 — — — — — —
202425 AAA RAW2 teams — 484419 1283018 54613 168 305389439828 134339 1311 366 108 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 416371 821100 31993 87 221286251537 30298 247 246 52 -24 -1 +15 +4 +9 0.4
202526 MLB RAWAtlanta Braves — 416371 821100 31993 87 221286251537 30298 247 246 52 -24 -1 +15 +4 +9 0.4
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 162145 41703 10321 20 283333393726 110336 206 312 97 -1 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.4
202627 MLB RAWHouston Astros — 162145 41703 10321 20 283333393726 110336 206 315 97 -1 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.4
201718 ROK MLEAZL Athletics — 154144 27211 8401 73 188237236473 49258 265 214 31 — — — — — —
201819 A MLEBeloit Snappers — 512474 941260 241119 248 198252249501 51249 225 223 37 — — — — — —
201920 A+ MLE2 teams — 394364 862053 23834 136 236293343636 107296 216 276 73 — — — — — —
202122 AA MLE2 teams — 380354 871526 20933 127 246296350646 105308 245 279 75 — — — — — —
202223 MLB MLE2 teams — 532485 1062106 391043 134 219284299583 80267 207 259 62 — — — — — —
202324 MLB MLE2 teams — 491456 1121637 30712 182 246302340642 94278 146 282 77 — — — — — —
202425 AAA MLE2 teams — 484437 1242516 41683 168 284353387740 103320 148 327 108 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 416379 821100 31993 87 216286245532 29298 247 246 52 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 162150 41703 10321 20 273333380713 107336 206 312 97 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202425 AAA MLE2 teams — 484437 1242516 41683 168 284353387740 103320 148 327 108 — — — — — —
202526 MLB MLEAtlanta Braves — 416379 821100 31993 87 216286245532 29298 247 246 52 — — — — — —
202627 MLB MLEHouston Astros — 162150 41703 10321 20 273333380713 107336 206 312 97 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202728 MLB MLEHOU 100% 327297 651113 25662 72 218284291575 72267 208 263 64 -14 +1 +2 +4 +7 0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202728 MLB CTXHOU 100% 216196 42702 16432 41 221286295581 74271 207 266 64 -9 +0 +1 +2 +5 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202829 MLB MLEHOU 65% 233211 45702 18482 41 216281285566 69266 218 260 62 -11 +0 -0 +2 +5 -0.3
202829 MLB CTXHOU 65% 151138 29501 11311 21 219284289572 70270 217 262 62 -7 +0 -0 +2 +3 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 14891353 29844213 932987 2011 220274285558 64271 206 252 68 -77 -0 +23 +24 +32 0.2
/ 162G— A+C — 650591 1301916 411303 95 220274286560 66270 206 252 68 -34 -0 +10 +10 +14 0.1
Career— MLE — 39743600 8461431836 26079233 12147 235293315607 80289 207 269 68 -90 +0 +24 +27 +39 0.1
/ 162G— MLE — 650589 1382336 431305 208 234292314606 80289 207 269 68 -33 +0 +9 +10 +14 0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2024 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 379 PAwOBA .405 → .361 (−43)K% 10.8% → 12.7%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA10.82%÷1.022×1.200——12.70%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.93%÷0.952×0.690—×1.0189.54%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.940—×1.0180.76%
Singles /BIP27.40%÷0.974×0.930×1.023×1.01827.25%
Doubles /BIP9.25%÷1.088×0.830×1.023×1.0187.35%
Triples /BIP0.36%÷1.150×0.970×1.023×1.0180.31%
Home runs /BIP2.49%÷1.001×0.700—×1.0181.77%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 130, K 104, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.

Result: wOBA .405 → .361; ISO .152 → .120; BABIP .374 → .350. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 162 PAwOBA .393 → .351 (−42)K% 9.9% → 11.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.88%÷1.017×1.200——11.65%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.35%÷1.055×0.690—×1.0338.34%
HBP% /PA0.62%—×0.940—×1.0330.60%
Singles /BIP22.69%÷0.993×0.930×1.027×1.03322.53%
Doubles /BIP11.76%÷1.124×0.830×1.027×1.0339.21%
Triples /BIP0.84%÷1.133×0.970×1.027×1.0330.76%
Home runs /BIP2.52%÷0.996×0.700—×1.0331.83%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .393 → .351; ISO .185 → .155; BABIP .359 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 206 PAwOBA .323 → .280 (−43)K% 16.5% → 19.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.50%÷1.009×1.200——19.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.11%÷0.992×0.690—×1.0489.55%
HBP% /PA0.97%—×0.940—×1.0480.96%
Singles /BIP24.46%÷0.995×0.930×0.979×1.04823.44%
Doubles /BIP7.19%÷1.088×0.830×0.979×1.0485.63%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970×0.979×1.0480.00%
Home runs /BIP1.44%÷1.075×0.700—×1.0480.98%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .323 → .280; ISO .092 → .071; BABIP .321 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAMidland RockHounds · 229 PAwOBA .365 → .312 (−53)K% 20.1% → 24.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.09%÷0.983×1.220——24.93%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.86%÷1.027×0.690—×1.0275.42%
HBP% /PA0.87%—×0.850—×1.0270.76%
Singles /BIP30.38%÷1.096×0.940×0.993×1.02726.56%
Doubles /BIP5.70%÷1.018×0.870×0.993×1.0274.96%
Triples /BIP1.27%÷1.127×0.920×0.993×1.0271.05%
Home runs /BIP3.80%÷0.838×0.780—×1.0273.63%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 68, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 125, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.

Result: wOBA .365 → .312; ISO .152 → .139; BABIP .381 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 151 PAwOBA .268 → .229 (−39)K% 19.9% → 24.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.87%÷0.994×1.200——23.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.28%÷1.083×0.690—×1.0504.87%
HBP% /PA0.66%—×0.940—×1.0500.65%
Singles /BIP23.58%÷1.156×0.930×1.050×1.05020.91%
Doubles /BIP7.55%÷1.018×0.830×1.050×1.0506.78%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.956×0.920×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.941×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 131, 2B 104, 3B 91, K 99, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .268 → .229; ISO .059 → .053; BABIP .308 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Stockton Ports · 328 PAwOBA .338 → .276 (−63)K% 15.9% → 21.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA15.85%÷1.007×1.340——21.09%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.54%÷1.075×0.710—×1.0275.79%
HBP% /PA1.22%—×0.790—×1.0270.99%
Singles /BIP22.88%÷0.992×0.910×0.950×1.02720.47%
Doubles /BIP9.32%÷1.036×0.820×0.950×1.0277.20%
Triples /BIP2.12%÷0.958×0.760×0.950×1.0271.64%
Home runs /BIP1.27%÷1.114×0.920—×1.0271.08%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 98, 2B 107, 3B 92, K 101, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .338 → .276; ISO .142 → .113; BABIP .348 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 ABeloit Snappers · 512 PAwOBA .270 → .223 (−47)K% 16.6% → 21.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA16.60%÷1.044×1.360——21.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.45%÷0.969×0.690—×1.0304.73%
HBP% /PA1.76%—×0.780—×1.0301.41%
Singles /BIP23.20%÷1.068×0.920×0.996×1.03020.49%
Doubles /BIP4.53%÷1.153×0.830×0.996×1.0303.35%
Triples /BIP1.60%÷0.994×0.910×0.996×1.0301.50%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.895×0.800—×1.0300.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 114, 2B 131, 3B 99, K 109, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .270 → .223; ISO .063 → .051; BABIP .289 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 ROKAZL Athletics · 154 PAwOBA .286 → .214 (−72)K% 18.2% → 26.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.18%÷1.000×1.440——26.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.44%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0085.27%
HBP% /PA0.65%—×0.720—×1.0080.47%
Singles /BIP26.36%÷1.000×0.820×1.022×1.00822.25%
Doubles /BIP2.73%÷1.000×0.720×1.022×1.0082.02%
Triples /BIP1.82%÷1.000×0.720×1.022×1.0081.35%
Home runs /BIP0.91%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0080.71%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .286 → .214; ISO .072 → .052; BABIP .312 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .