Nick Allen — OGILVIE

Nick AllenSS Houston Astros

Age 27 R/R 5'7" / 166 lbs MLB HR -6% Svc 2.953S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION150 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 6058vR 51

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .250 / .263

PA20

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP266

ISO53

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$0M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

887.0%

xAVG

100.218

POWER30

Barrel%

100.6

Avg EV

1085.0

Bat Spd

2568.6

EYE50

Chase%

9023.4%

SPEED50

Sprint

3726.9

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%18%▲▲15% over 53 PA (60d) · proj 20%

BB%7%▼6% over 53 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.072▲.106 over 47 AB (60d) · proj .061xISO .055 vs .047 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck

HR/BB1.5%·2.5% over 40 BBE (60d) · proj 1.1%barrel% 1.8% vs 0.3% prior

BABIP.270▲.385 over 39 BIP (60d) · proj .265xBABIP .231 vs .247 prior — approach does NOT back the move

SLASH.228/.284/.299▲proj .214/.275/.275

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 521 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

153

368

—

wRC+

—

wOBA

240

239

—

ISO

050

033

◀◀L

BABIP

242

297

▶▶R

17.6%

25.0%

◀◀L

BB%

8.5%

6.2%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 2.953 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	-$0.1M
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.1M		$-1M	-$0.1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	18	ROK	AZL Athletics	—	154	138	35	3	2	1	13	28	1	7	3	254	322	326	648	72	312	18	8	294	85	-3	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2018	19	A	Beloit Snappers	—	512	460	110	17	6	0	34	85	9	24	8	239	304	302	606	63	289	17	7	275	72	-17	+2	—	—	+11	-0.4
2019	20	A+	Stockton Ports	—	328	288	84	22	5	3	28	52	4	13	5	292	362	434	797	142	348	16	9	347	121	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.6
2019	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	66	62	12	1	0	0	4	18	0	0	1	194	242	210	452	16	273	27	6	213	30	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2021	22	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	151	136	33	8	0	0	11	30	1	4	1	243	304	301	606	59	308	20	7	274	71	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	229	204	65	9	2	6	18	46	2	8	6	319	379	471	850	152	381	20	8	370	137	+10	-1	—	—	+5	1.4
2022	23	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	326	299	62	13	0	4	19	64	1	3	2	207	257	291	548	84	250	20	6	245	52	-19	-0	+8	+6	+7	0.2
2022	23	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	206	173	46	10	0	2	27	34	2	10	2	266	371	358	730	92	321	17	13	330	110	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	329	303	67	4	2	4	17	52	1	5	1	221	265	287	552	66	253	16	5	246	53	-19	+1	+2	+5	+7	-0.3
2023	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	162	135	45	14	1	3	20	16	1	13	1	333	423	519	942	185	359	10	12	401	157	+11	+2	—	—	+4	1.7
2024	25	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	105	97	17	4	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	175	216	247	463	72	211	19	5	205	25	-9	+0	-1	+5	+2	-0.3
2024	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	379	322	111	26	1	7	49	41	3	16	8	345	436	497	933	152	374	11	13	411	164	+29	+0	—	—	+8	3.8
2025	26	MLB	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	246	52	-24	-1	+15	+4	+9	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1176	1070	228	32	2	9	72	235	5	16	10	213	266	272	538	59	263	20	6	242	50	-70	-1	+25	+21	+25	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	—	154	143	27	2	1	1	8	40	1	7	3	189	237	238	475	49	256	26	5	213	30	-13	+0	—	—	+3	-0.9
2018	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	512	470	91	12	5	0	24	111	9	24	8	194	247	240	487	47	242	22	5	217	33	-41	+2	—	—	+11	-2.9
2019	20	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	328	298	70	17	4	2	18	69	4	13	5	235	287	339	626	104	288	21	5	269	68	-12	+1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2021	22	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	151	140	28	7	0	0	7	36	1	4	1	200	243	250	493	50	261	24	5	219	34	-12	+0	—	—	+3	-0.8
2021	22	AA MLE	Midland RockHounds	—	229	210	57	8	2	6	12	57	2	8	6	271	317	414	731	143	322	25	5	304	92	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2022	23	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	326	299	62	13	0	4	19	64	1	3	2	207	257	291	548	84	250	20	6	246	53	-18	-0	+8	+6	+7	0.2
2022	23	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	206	181	39	7	0	1	19	43	2	10	2	215	297	271	568	55	272	21	9	261	63	-9	+1	—	—	+4	-0.4
2023	24	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	329	303	67	4	2	4	17	52	1	5	1	221	265	287	552	66	253	16	5	247	53	-18	+1	+2	+5	+7	-0.3
2023	24	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	162	142	42	11	1	3	13	20	1	13	1	296	359	451	810	155	308	12	8	334	112	+2	+2	—	—	+4	0.8
2024	25	MLB MLE	Oakland Athletics	—	105	97	17	4	0	1	5	20	0	0	0	175	216	247	463	72	211	19	5	206	26	-9	+0	-1	+5	+2	-0.3
2024	25	AAA MLE	Las Vegas Aviators	—	379	335	102	20	1	6	36	52	3	16	8	304	377	424	801	119	334	14	9	348	122	+10	+0	—	—	+8	1.8
2025	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	243	51	-24	-1	+15	+4	+9	0.3
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	—	154	143	27	2	1	1	8	40	1	7	3	189	237	238	475	49	255	26	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics	—	154	138	35	3	2	1	13	28	1	7	3	254	322	326	648	72	312	18	8	294	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	512	470	91	12	5	0	24	111	9	24	8	194	247	240	487	47	249	22	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	—	512	460	110	17	6	0	34	85	9	24	8	239	304	302	606	63	289	17	7	275	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	394	360	85	20	5	3	22	83	4	13	6	236	288	344	632	108	299	21	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	394	350	96	23	5	3	32	70	4	13	6	274	342	394	736	120	336	18	8	325	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	380	350	85	15	2	6	19	93	3	12	7	243	288	349	636	106	310	24	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	380	340	98	17	2	6	29	76	3	12	7	288	349	403	752	115	351	20	8	332	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	532	480	103	21	0	6	38	107	3	13	4	215	276	296	572	81	264	20	7	252	57	-28	+1	+8	+6	+12	-0.1
2022	23	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	532	472	108	23	0	6	46	98	3	13	4	229	301	316	617	87	276	18	9	278	57	-28	+1	+8	+6	+12	-0.1
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	491	445	109	15	3	7	30	72	2	18	2	245	296	339	635	94	276	15	6	275	73	-16	+3	+2	+5	+11	0.5
2023	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	491	438	112	18	3	7	37	68	2	18	2	256	317	358	675	103	287	14	8	297	73	-16	+3	+2	+5	+11	0.5
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	432	119	24	1	7	41	72	3	16	8	275	342	384	727	109	314	15	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	484	419	128	30	1	8	54	61	3	16	8	305	389	439	828	134	339	13	11	366	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	243	51	-24	-1	+15	+4	+9	0.3
2025	26	MLB RAW	Atlanta Braves	—	416	371	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	221	286	251	537	30	298	24	7	246	51	-24	-1	+15	+4	+9	0.3
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics	—	154	144	27	2	1	1	8	40	1	7	3	188	237	236	473	49	256	26	5	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	—	512	474	91	12	5	0	24	111	9	24	8	192	247	238	485	46	242	22	5	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	394	365	85	20	5	3	22	83	4	13	6	233	288	340	627	107	288	21	6	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	380	355	85	15	2	6	19	93	3	12	7	239	288	344	631	104	298	24	5	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	532	486	103	21	0	6	38	107	3	13	4	212	276	292	569	80	259	20	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	491	456	109	15	3	7	30	72	2	18	2	239	296	331	627	92	271	15	6	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	437	119	24	1	7	41	72	3	16	8	272	342	380	722	108	307	15	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	416	379	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	216	286	245	532	29	298	24	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	491	456	109	15	3	7	30	72	2	18	2	239	296	331	627	92	271	15	6	275	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	484	437	119	24	1	7	41	72	3	16	8	272	342	380	722	108	307	15	8	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Atlanta Braves	—	416	379	82	11	0	0	31	99	3	8	7	216	286	245	532	29	298	24	7	243	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	HOU	—	150	134	37	5	0	2	9	30	1	2	0	276	326	358	685	82	333	20	6	294	85	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	HOU	—	150	134	37	5	0	2	9	30	1	2	0	276	326	358	685	82	333	20	6	298	85	-3	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.1
YTD	27	MLB RAW	HOU	—	150	134	37	5	0	2	9	30	1	2	0	276	326	358	685	82	333	20	6	298	88	-2	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.2
ROS	27	MLB MLE	HOU	100%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	265	20	5	254	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	HOU	100%	20	19	4	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	211	250	263	513	53	266	20	5	250	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	HOU	—	170	153	41	6	0	2	10	34	1	2	0	268	317	346	663	78	325	20	6	293	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
TOT	27	MLB MLE	HOU	—	170	153	41	6	0	2	10	34	1	2	0	268	317	346	663	78	325	20	6	289	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	HOU	65%	459	421	90	12	1	4	32	94	3	8	2	214	274	276	550	62	263	20	7	253	57	-23	+1	+3	+5	+10	-0.5
2027	28	MLB CTX	HOU	65%	298	273	58	8	0	3	21	61	2	5	1	212	274	275	548	62	265	20	7	249	57	-15	+1	+2	+3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1494	1362	290	41	2	12	94	300	7	21	11	213	267	272	540	59	263	20	6	243	62	-86	-0	+27	+24	+32	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	126	18	1	5	41	131	3	9	5	212	267	272	538	59	263	20	6	243	62	-38	-0	+12	+10	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	3842	3491	795	133	18	34	246	775	31	119	47	228	285	305	590	78	281	20	6	260	62	-95	+0	+27	+26	+36	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	135	23	3	6	42	131	5	20	8	228	286	308	594	80	282	20	6	260	62	-37	+0	+11	+10	+14	-0.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.1	2,089	17	32	216	269	277	+22	+40	-2.7	-2.4
/162	664	6	10	+7.1	+12.7	-0.9	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Allen (OGILVIE)	27	45	30	50	50	214/274/276	62	265	4	8	20%	7%	58	-1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Schuerholz 2006 · AAA	26	47	37→30	49→45	45	222/273/294	72	272	5	9	20%	6%	61	-1.5	194/248/265	71	252	5	11	24%	6%	45	-2.7	165/221/221	55	219	4	11	25%	5%	24	-2.1
✕Jonathan Diaz 2013 · AAA	28	46→47	36→30	47→50	52	213/295/276	63	264	4	13	20%	9%	67	-1.1	213/288/276	63	267	3	12	20%	8%	64	-1.3	208/284/263	55	261	2	9	19%	8%	56	-1.2
✕Mike Miller 2018 · AAA	28	49→48	37→30	46→50	47	229/281/299	70	271	4	12	17%	6%	65	-1.2	232/282/300	68	281	5	11	18%	6%	66	-1.1	231/278/282	51	279	4	11	18%	5%	58	-1.0
✕Humberto Arteaga 2021 · MLB	27	49→51	39→30	46→50	42	234/271/314	80	279	7	11	19%	4%	65	-1.2	195/234/282	87	268	8	9	30%	4%	44	-2.8	146/172/195	49	209	5	4	32%	3%	-3	-2.6
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	41	223/276/293	69	304	5	9	27%	6%	62	-1.4	229/267/340	111	292	13	11	26%	5%	70	-0.9	220/225/288	68	267	14	5	24%	1%	36	-0.6
✕Alfredo Lopez 2017 · AAA	27	50	37→30	52→50	46	236/287/309	72	285	4	18	18%	6%	70	-0.9	244/295/325	81	291	5	19	17%	6%	76	-0.4	252/287/296	45	294	2	17	15%	5%	61	-0.5
✕Matt Williams 2017 · AAA	27	47→48	37→40	47→50	50	220/290/293	73	282	4	14	22%	9%	68	-1.0	216/272/315	99	259	8	15	19%	7%	66	-1.1	198/245/292	94	224	8	17	16%	5%	48	-1.3
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	44→51	36→30	50	47	210/268/270	61	266	4	18	22%	7%	54	-2.0	217/274/308	91	272	9	17	22%	7%	65	-1.2	196/237/246	51	244	8	21	23%	5%	34	-0.7
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2021 · AAA	27	47→56	36→30	48→45	42	220/260/284	64	270	3	13	20%	4%	54	-2.0	231/269/301	70	308	4	6	25%	4%	61	-1.5	236/271/293	57	317	3	2	25%	3%	58	-0.9
✕Jonathan Malo 2011 · AAA	27	44→45	37→40	48→50	46	207/266/285	78	262	4	11	22%	7%	57	-1.8	212/266/303	91	277	7	8	25%	6%	61	-1.5	204/251/277	74	265	5	2	24%	5%	47	-1.1
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	42→48	38→30	50	47	201/269/274	73	265	6	13	25%	8%	56	-1.9	212/281/290	78	297	6	14	28%	8%	64	-1.3	199/280/207	8	294	0	18	29%	9%	45	-0.6
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	47→52	38→40	49→55	45	222/277/298	76	287	5	16	24%	6%	63	-1.3	211/266/294	83	280	7	18	25%	6%	59	-1.7	193/244/257	65	259	5	19	26%	6%	41	-1.5
✕Alfredo González 2019 · AAA	27	44	38→30	44→45	43	210/267/283	73	283	6	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	212/276/297	85	291	7	6	27%	8%	63	-1.3	191/265/251	60	261	3	0	26%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Luis Gonzalez 2021 · AAA	27	47→49	39→40	45	41	227/266/312	85	283	6	8	22%	4%	62	-1.4	232/274/353	121	321	13	9	30%	5%	75	-0.5	233/265/346	113	320	14	5	31%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	45	35→30	46→45	46	211/273/274	63	268	2	8	21%	7%	57	-1.8	205/270/262	57	283	4	8	27%	7%	53	-2.1	182/252/187	5	261	0	5	28%	8%	28	-1.7
✕Erick Castillo 2021 · AAA	28	44	40→30	48→30	42	212/261/299	87	266	7	7	23%	5%	58	-1.7	212/278/279	67	268	5	5	21%	6%	61	-1.5	198/267/228	29	252	1	0	20%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	47→49	37→40	51→55	42	223/264/302	79	285	4	15	23%	5%	59	-1.6	233/275/313	80	285	4	12	19%	5%	65	-1.2	245/286/316	70	290	3	13	16%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Tim Smalling 2015 · AAA	27	45→44	39→40	44→45	43	214/267/305	91	279	6	9	25%	6%	62	-1.4	211/255/285	74	262	6	8	21%	5%	53	-2.1	203/244/257	54	248	6	5	20%	4%	38	-1.7
✕Ryan Jackson 2015 · MLB	27	49→53	38→40	52→45	46	232/286/308	77	294	6	8	23%	7%	70	-0.9	226/287/287	61	310	3	6	26%	8%	65	-1.2	223/286/267	44	308	1	3	26%	8%	58	-0.9
✕Carlos Eduardo Gonzalez 2012 · AAA	27	48	36→40	48→50	41	224/262/299	75	281	2	11	21%	4%	57	-1.8	214/256/297	83	289	5	10	26%	4%	55	-1.9	209/252/286	77	282	4	6	26%	4%	48	-0.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps