Alfredo Lopez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 27 | AAAOlmecas de Ta… | 210 | .263/.317/.316 | 1 | 7 | 60 | — | .256/.293/.303 |
| 2019 | 29 | AAAAcereros del … | 94 | .338/.452/.481 | 0 | 9 | 116 | — | .284/.376/.407 |
| 2022 | 32 | INTLTomateros de … | 101 | .226/.356/.250 | 0 | 4 | 86 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 19 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 438 | 526 | 438 | 964 | 500 | 11 | 11 | 446 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 300 | 222 | 522 | 261 | 13 | 7 | 252 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 92 | 82 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 317 | 391 | 366 | 757 | 49 | 388 | 16 | 9 | 348 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 77 | 65 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 231 | 333 | 231 | 564 | 273 | 13 | 12 | 267 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 183 | 157 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 280 | 376 | 363 | 739 | 83 | 319 | 12 | 12 | 336 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 33 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 250 | 344 | 286 | 629 | 36 | 292 | 12 | 3 | 291 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 241 | 209 | 62 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 31 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 297 | 382 | 359 | 741 | 62 | 339 | 13 | 10 | 338 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 113 | 102 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 216 | 273 | 275 | 547 | 59 | 247 | 12 | 7 | 246 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 241 | 213 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 41 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 216 | 298 | 263 | 561 | 47 | 267 | 17 | 9 | 261 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 135 | 121 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 281 | 341 | 331 | 671 | 50 | 327 | 13 | 7 | 302 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 210 | 190 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 263 | 317 | 316 | 633 | 53 | 301 | 12 | 7 | 284 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA | Acereros del Norte | — | 94 | 77 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 338 | 452 | 481 | 932 | 143 | 413 | 15 | 14 | 414 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 101 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 356 | 250 | 606 | 24 | 271 | 14 | 15 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 20 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 19 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 375 | 474 | 375 | 849 | 470 | 16 | 11 | 390 | 150 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 30 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 211 | 20 | 3 | 183 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 92 | 84 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 298 | 359 | 345 | 704 | 48 | 392 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 77 | 68 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 221 | 293 | 221 | 514 | 269 | 16 | 8 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 183 | 162 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 33 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 253 | 331 | 333 | 665 | 80 | 303 | 18 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 33 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 312 | 250 | 562 | 36 | 261 | 18 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 241 | 216 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 264 | 332 | 319 | 651 | 56 | 314 | 18 | 7 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 113 | 104 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 192 | 236 | 240 | 477 | 48 | 231 | 17 | 5 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 241 | 220 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 200 | 261 | 245 | 506 | 45 | 255 | 20 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 135 | 124 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 282 | 326 | 331 | 656 | 48 | 325 | 15 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 210 | 195 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 293 | 303 | 595 | 46 | 291 | 15 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 94 | 81 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 284 | 376 | 407 | 784 | 123 | 352 | 18 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 49 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 327 | 250 | 577 | 314 | 18 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 49 | 43 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 302 | 388 | 302 | 690 | 351 | 12 | 8 | 327 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 92 | 84 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 298 | 359 | 345 | 704 | 48 | 397 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 92 | 82 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 317 | 391 | 366 | 757 | 49 | 388 | 16 | 9 | 348 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 293 | 258 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 51 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 244 | 323 | 298 | 621 | 54 | 300 | 17 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 293 | 250 | 66 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 36 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 264 | 361 | 320 | 681 | 56 | 304 | 12 | 11 | 313 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 320 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 63 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 244 | 305 | 300 | 605 | 56 | 296 | 18 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 354 | 311 | 84 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 33 | 45 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 270 | 348 | 331 | 679 | 61 | 309 | 13 | 9 | 308 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 241 | 220 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 200 | 261 | 245 | 506 | 45 | 257 | 20 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA RAW | Jacksonville Suns | — | 241 | 213 | 46 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 41 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 216 | 298 | 263 | 561 | 47 | 267 | 17 | 9 | 261 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 135 | 124 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 282 | 326 | 331 | 656 | 48 | 337 | 15 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 135 | 121 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 281 | 341 | 331 | 671 | 50 | 327 | 13 | 7 | 302 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 210 | 195 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 256 | 293 | 303 | 595 | 46 | 301 | 15 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA RAW | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 210 | 190 | 50 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 26 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 263 | 317 | 316 | 633 | 53 | 301 | 12 | 7 | 284 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 94 | 81 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 284 | 376 | 407 | 784 | 123 | 359 | 18 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA RAW | Acereros del Norte | — | 94 | 77 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 338 | 452 | 481 | 932 | 143 | 413 | 15 | 14 | 414 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL MLE | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 101 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 356 | 250 | 606 | 24 | 271 | 14 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 32 | INTL RAW | Tomateros de Culiacan | — | 101 | 84 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 356 | 250 | 606 | 24 | 271 | 14 | 15 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 20 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 49 | 44 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 327 | 250 | 577 | 311 | 18 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 92 | 84 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 298 | 359 | 345 | 704 | 48 | 392 | 23 | 7 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 293 | 261 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 51 | 6 | 16 | 7 | 241 | 323 | 295 | 618 | 54 | 289 | 17 | 8 | 274 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 354 | 323 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 63 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 241 | 305 | 297 | 602 | 56 | 288 | 18 | 7 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 24 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 241 | 221 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 199 | 261 | 244 | 505 | 45 | 255 | 20 | 6 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tigres de Quintana Roo | — | 135 | 126 | 35 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 278 | 326 | 325 | 651 | 48 | 325 | 15 | 5 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 27 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 210 | 198 | 50 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 253 | 293 | 298 | 591 | 45 | 291 | 15 | 5 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 29 | AAA MLE | Acereros del Norte | — | 94 | 82 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 280 | 376 | 402 | 779 | 122 | 352 | 18 | 10 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1569 | 1410 | 348 | 54 | 5 | 3 | 113 | 275 | 23 | 65 | 27 | 247 | 313 | 299 | 612 | 52 | 303 | 18 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -81 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +34 | -4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 584 | 143 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 47 | 114 | 10 | 27 | 11 | 245 | 312 | 295 | 607 | 50 | 301 | 18 | 7 | 252 | 57 | -34 | +1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAAcereros del Norte · 94 PAwOBA .404 → .339 (−65)K% 14.9% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.89% | ÷0.988 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.83% | ÷0.960 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 9.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 2.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.98% | ÷1.036 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.972 | 23.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.972 | 8.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.17% | ÷0.922 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.972 | 3.08% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 107, 2B 110, 3B 84, K 98, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .404 → .339; ISO .143 → .124; BABIP .413 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 210 PAwOBA .276 → .257 (−19)K% 12.4% → 14.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.38% | ÷1.020 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 4.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.61% | ÷0.984 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 25.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.27% | ÷0.976 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.61% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.48% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 104, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .276 → .257; ISO .053 → .047; BABIP .301 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAATigres de Quintana Roo · 135 PAwOBA .294 → .283 (−11)K% 12.6% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.59% | ÷1.042 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.031 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.74% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.92% | ÷0.945 | ×0.930 | ×1.026 | ×1.003 | 27.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.941 | ×0.830 | ×1.026 | ×1.003 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.105 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 121, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 82, K 108, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .294 → .283; ISO .050 → .047; BABIP .327 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAJacksonville Suns · 241 PAwOBA .255 → .227 (−28)K% 17.0% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.01% | ÷1.010 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.13% | ÷0.995 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 6.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.93% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | ×1.034 | ×0.998 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.81% | ÷0.940 | ×0.910 | ×1.034 | ×0.998 | 5.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.880 | ×1.034 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 102, 2B 88, 3B 113, K 102, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .255 → .227; ISO .047 → .047; BABIP .267 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 241 PAwOBA .332 → .294 (−39)K% 12.9% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.86% | ÷1.019 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷0.970 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.66% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.21% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 27.09% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.073 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 4.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.942 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 0.52% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 106, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .332 → .294; ISO .062 → .057; BABIP .339 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 113 PAwOBA .242 → .213 (−28)K% 12.4% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.39% | ÷0.963 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.08% | ÷0.920 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.980 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.18% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.047 | ×0.980 | 17.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.82% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | ×1.047 | ×0.980 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.940 | ×1.047 | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.235 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 92, K 93, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .242 → .213; ISO .059 → .052; BABIP .247 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 183 PAwOBA .330 → .293 (−37)K% 12.0% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.02% | ÷0.956 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.02% | ÷0.971 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 9.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.09% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.19% | ÷1.027 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 23.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.977 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 6.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.939 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.69% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 105, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 91, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .330 → .293; ISO .083 → .078; BABIP .319 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AAJacksonville Suns · 77 PAwOBA .261 → .241 (−21)K% 13.0% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.99% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.69% | ÷0.997 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.27% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 26.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.078 | ×0.880 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.896 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 102, 2B 99, 3B 116, K 95, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .261 → .241; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .273 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .