Luke Maile — OGILVIE

Luke MaileC Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 35 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 11.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION105 act + 72 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 9281vR 53

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .306 / .359

PA72

HR2

K%28

BB%10

BABIP286

ISO141

MLB%45%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT35

Whiff%

4911.1%

xwOBA

360.292

POWER40

Barrel%

447.4

Avg EV

2287.0

Bat Spd

2668.7

EYE55

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED25

Sprint

1023.9

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 189 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

142

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

299

250

◀◀L

ISO

175

057

◀◀L

BABIP

231

294

▶▶R

27.7%

32.4%

◀L

BB%

12.8%

8.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 11.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.4M		$-0.1M	-$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	22	A	2 teams	—	422	392	92	20	3	3	24	83	0	8	2	235	279	324	603	89	285	20	6	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	22	A	2 teams	—	422	373	104	25	3	4	43	59	0	8	2	279	353	394	747	115	316	14	10	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	2 teams	—	425	389	94	16	3	5	28	99	5	2	1	242	301	337	638	95	309	23	7	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	23	AA	2 teams	—	425	379	99	20	4	6	38	86	5	2	1	261	336	383	719	121	321	20	9	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	2 teams	—	372	345	61	10	1	4	19	65	4	1	1	177	228	246	475	70	204	17	5	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	24	AAA	2 teams	—	372	329	67	12	1	5	35	58	4	1	1	204	288	292	580	88	230	16	9	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	2 teams	—	340	320	65	16	0	4	13	80	3	0	1	203	241	291	532	88	258	24	4	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	25	AAA	2 teams	—	340	313	74	20	0	5	20	72	3	0	1	236	289	348	637	112	292	21	6	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	26	MLB	3 teams	—	211	202	29	5	0	2	6	52	2	1	0	144	176	198	374	54	181	25	3	169	-13	-27	+0	+4	+4	+6	-1.3
2017	26	MLB	3 teams	—	211	201	31	5	0	2	7	48	2	1	0	154	190	209	399	55	191	23	3	183	-2	-24	+0	+4	+4	+6	-1.0
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	231	202	50	13	1	3	25	67	2	2	0	248	336	366	703	119	351	29	11	312	97	-1	+0	+13	+4	+7	2.4
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	231	202	50	13	1	3	25	67	2	2	0	248	336	366	703	119	351	29	11	317	101	+0	+0	+13	+4	+7	2.5
2019	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	129	119	18	2	1	2	8	33	0	1	0	151	205	235	440	84	190	26	6	195	8	-13	+0	+5	+2	+4	-0.2
2019	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	129	119	18	2	1	2	8	33	0	1	0	151	205	235	440	84	190	26	6	199	11	-13	+0	+5	+2	+4	-0.2
2021	30	AAA	2 teams	—	189	165	36	11	0	1	19	64	4	2	0	218	314	303	617	85	350	34	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	30	AAA	2 teams	—	189	159	38	13	0	1	25	57	4	2	0	239	356	340	696	101	366	30	13	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	31	MLB	2 teams	—	226	198	49	12	0	5	22	57	3	0	0	247	332	384	716	136	317	25	10	313	98	-1	+0	+5	+4	+6	1.5
2022	31	MLB	2 teams	—	226	197	49	12	0	5	23	57	3	0	0	249	336	386	722	137	319	25	10	323	105	+1	+0	+5	+4	+6	1.7
2023	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	199	179	42	10	0	6	14	49	5	2	1	235	308	391	699	156	290	25	7	302	90	-2	+0	+2	+4	+6	0.9
2023	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	199	179	42	10	0	6	14	49	5	2	1	235	308	391	699	156	290	25	7	313	98	-1	+0	+2	+4	+6	1.1
2024	33	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	154	135	24	4	0	2	13	52	4	2	0	178	270	252	522	74	268	34	8	238	40	-10	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.5
2024	33	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	154	135	24	4	0	2	13	52	4	2	0	178	270	252	522	74	268	34	8	244	45	-10	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.4
2025	34	AAA	2 teams	—	155	131	29	5	0	2	21	42	1	3	0	221	333	305	639	84	310	27	14	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	34	AAA	2 teams	—	155	127	34	5	0	2	25	38	1	3	0	268	392	354	746	87	368	25	16	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	35	AAA	KC	—	105	93	16	2	0	2	10	31	2	0	0	172	267	258	525	86	233	30	10	239	41	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
YTD	35	AAA	KC	—	105	89	18	3	0	2	14	26	2	0	0	202	324	303	627	101	262	25	13	295	84	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
ROS	35	AAA	KC	45%	72	64	14	3	0	2	7	20	1	1	0	219	306	359	665	141	277	28	10	293	82	-1	+0	-1	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	35	MLB	KC	45%	32	28	6	1	0	1	3	9	1	0	0	214	312	357	670	143	273	28	9	277	70	-1	+0	-0	+1	+1	0.0
FULL	35	AAA	KC	—	137	121	22	3	0	3	13	40	3	0	0	182	277	281	558	99	244	29	9	248	48	-8	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.2
TOT	35	AAA	KC	—	177	157	30	5	0	4	17	51	3	1	0	191	282	299	582	108	255	29	10	261	58	-8	+0	-1	+3	+5	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	36	MLB	KC	36%	94	83	17	4	0	2	10	26	1	1	0	205	298	325	623	120	269	28	11	280	72	-3	+0	-7	+2	+3	-0.6
2028	37	MLB	KC	27%	80	71	13	3	0	1	8	23	1	0	0	183	275	268	543	85	259	29	10	266	62	-3	+0	-8	+1	+2	-0.8
2027	36	MLB	KC	36%	34	30	6	1	0	1	3	10	1	0	0	200	294	333	627	133	265	29	9	265	61	-2	+0	-3	+1	+1	-0.3
2028	37	MLB	KC	27%	22	20	3	1	0	0	2	6	0	0	0	150	227	200	427	50	255	27	9	252	51	-1	+0	-2	+0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1392	1253	261	63	2	24	104	382	19	9	1	208	279	319	598	111	278	27	7	270	65	-56	+1	+31	+41	+39	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	121	29	1	11	49	178	9	4	0	207	278	316	595	109	276	27	8	270	65	-26	+1	+14	+19	+18	2.7
Career	—			—	3299	2995	633	134	9	44	237	812	36	26	6	211	277	306	583	95	273	25	7	260	57	-159	+3	+20	+59	+93	1.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	125	26	2	9	47	160	7	5	1	212	278	308	586	97	273	25	7	260	57	-31	+1	+4	+12	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	22	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	407	361	102	25	3	4	41	54	0	8	2	283	356	402	757	119	318	13	10	337	116	+7	+1	—	—	+12	2.0
2013	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	15	12	2	0	0	0	2	5	0	0	0	167	286	167	452		250	33	13	214	22	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2014	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	393	351	93	19	4	5	35	76	5	1	1	265	340	385	725	120	324	19	9	326	108	+3	-0	—	—	+11	1.5
2014	23	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	32	28	6	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	0	214	290	357	647	143	278	31	9	284	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2015	24	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	35	35	6	3	0	0	0	8	0	0	0	171	171	257	429	86	222	23	0	188	2	-4	+0	+1	+7	+1	0.5
2015	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	337	294	61	9	1	5	35	50	4	1	1	207	300	296	596	88	231	15	10	275	68	-12	-0	—	—	+10	-0.3
2016	25	MLB	Tampa Bay Rays	—	126	119	27	7	0	3	4	36	0	0	0	227	252	361	613	134	300	29	3	265	61	-6	+0	+5	+6	+4	0.9
2016	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	214	194	47	13	0	2	16	36	3	0	1	242	310	340	650	98	288	17	7	295	84	-4	-0	—	—	+6	0.2
2017	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	136	130	19	5	0	2	3	35	2	1	0	146	178	231	409	85	181	26	2	184	-1	-16	+0	+4	+4	+4	-0.4
2017	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	58	54	9	0	0	0	4	12	0	0	0	167	224	167	391		214	21	7	189	3	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2017	26	A+	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	17	17	3	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	176	176	176	353		188	6	0	160	-20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2018	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	231	202	50	13	1	3	25	67	2	2	0	248	336	366	703	119	351	29	11	317	101	+0	+0	+13	+4	+7	2.5
2019	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	129	119	18	2	1	2	8	33	0	1	0	151	205	235	440	84	190	26	6	199	11	-13	+0	+5	+2	+4	-0.2
2021	30	MLB	Milwaukee Brewers	—	34	30	9	4	0	0	3	7	1	0	0	300	382	433	816	133	391	21	9	367	139	+2	+0	+0	+3	+1	0.6
2021	30	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	155	129	29	9	0	1	22	50	3	2	0	225	351	318	668	93	359	32	14	312	97	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	31	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	206	181	40	10	0	3	19	54	3	0	0	221	305	326	631	105	291	26	9	286	77	-5	+0	+5	+4	+6	1.0
2022	31	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	20	16	9	2	0	2	4	3	0	0	0	562	650	1.062	1.712	500	636	15	20	702	395	+7	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2023	32	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	199	179	42	10	0	6	14	49	5	2	1	235	308	391	699	156	290	25	7	313	98	-1	+0	+2	+4	+6	1.1
2024	33	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	154	135	24	4	0	2	13	52	4	2	0	178	270	252	522	74	268	34	8	244	45	-10	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.4
2025	34	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	54	45	11	2	0	1	7	16	0	1	0	244	346	356	702	111	357	30	13	311	96	-0	+0	+1	+3	+2	0.6
2025	34	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	101	82	23	3	0	1	18	22	1	2	0	280	416	354	770	73	373	22	18	361	134	+4	+0	—	—	+3	0.7
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1304	1175	246	60	2	22	96	357	17	9	1	209	279	320	599	111	279	27	7	270	65	-52	+1	+35	+39	+37	6.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Henry Blancolast yr '13 career totals — 14 seasons, 2,779 PA	14	2,779	65	5	221	284	359	+27	+49	8.6	9.6
	/162	664	16	1	221	284	359	+6.6	+11.7	2.1	pk7: 11
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	13	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
	/162	664	7	9	233	273	324	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#5Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	1,370	25	10	207	277	318	+22	+32	1.3	2.1
	/162	664	12	5	207	277	318	+10.9	+15.4	0.6	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Maile (OGILVIE)	35	35	40	25	55	191/282/299	108	255	4	1	29%	10%	58	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Treanor 2012 · MLB	36	44	41→40	39→40	56	214/314/309	95	255	10	6	19%	11%	80	+0.4	221/314/343	122	273	12	8	22%	11%	89	+0.9	175/283/283	108	219	10	5	24%	11%	50	-0.3
✕Gary Bennett 2007 · MLB	35	46	42→40	43→40	52	225/291/327	101	256	10	4	17%	8%	73	-0.1	236/291/356	120	254	13	7	13%	7%	80	+0.4	242/283/323	81	259	7	4	9%	5%	63	-0.2
✕Chad Moeller 2010 · MLB	35	44	42→50	43→30	43	215/266/321	106	263	8	4	22%	5%	61	-1.0	220/276/335	115	271	10	7	22%	6%	69	-0.4	196/254/289	94	246	4	0	21%	5%	44	-0.4
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2019 · MLB	35	40→45	41→45	43→40	45	198/262/301	103	253	8	3	25%	7%	55	-1.4	203/269/312	109	278	10	7	29%	6%	61	-1.0	152/228/223	71	219	10	0	34%	5%	19	-0.9
✕Mike Matheny 2006 · MLB	35	49→54	46→45	35→30	47	242/297/378	136	281	13	2	19%	6%	89	+1.0	237/293/376	139	274	14	5	19%	6%	87	+0.8	223/271/325	102	256	10	0	17%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Jamie Burke 2008 · MLB	36	50→48	43→45	40→30	46	245/294/358	114	271	11	3	15%	5%	82	+0.5	228/277/321	93	268	8	5	17%	5%	66	-0.6	209/258/272	63	253	4	1	19%	5%	43	-0.5
✕Humberto Quintero 2015 · MLB	35	49	45	42→40	38	243/273/370	127	295	11	5	22%	3%	76	+0.1	234/265/339	105	294	11	7	24%	3%	65	-0.7	237/260/320	83	293	11	3	23%	2%	53	-0.8
✕Mike Rivera 2012 · MLB	35	41	43→55	44→45	45	203/276/315	112	274	11	6	29%	8%	65	-0.7	216/275/322	106	293	11	7	29%	6%	66	-0.6	205/260/263	57	283	6	0	28%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Carlos M. Rodriguez 2017 · AAA	35	39→42	42→55	41→40	37	195/250/295	100	292	10	4	36%	6%	48	-1.9	220/263/347	127	327	14	4	35%	5%	66	-0.6	215/260/343	128	325	14	1	37%	5%	61	-0.6
✕Tim Laker 2005 · MLB	35	46	46→45	44→45	45	229/279/352	123	273	14	7	22%	6%	75	-0.0	207/261/322	115	267	12	4	26%	6%	59	-1.1	187/240/289	102	245	10	0	27%	6%	39	-1.2
✕Alberto Castillo 2005 · MLB	35	50	45→30	40→30	57	242/320/373	131	270	12	6	15%	10%	98	+1.6	234/307/330	96	281	7	5	18%	9%	80	+0.4	231/301/300	69	283	4	2	18%	9%	67	-0.2
✕Bryan Holaday 2021 · MLB	33	47	44→45	43→40	50	232/301/350	118	268	12	6	18%	8%	84	+0.6	230/290/403	173	279	21	8	25%	7%	93	+1.3	199/253/410	211	225	28	4	27%	5%	82	+0.1
✕Chris Widger 2006 · MLB	35	48	47→60	39→40	50	239/296/379	140	264	14	5	16%	7%	89	+1.0	225/296/354	129	267	14	7	20%	9%	82	+0.5	167/252/229	62	211	6	0	22%	10%	31	-0.5
✕Dustin Garneau 2021 · MLB	33	41→37	48→50	45	46	208/290/355	147	272	16	5	29%	8%	81	+0.4	196/274/370	174	253	22	6	31%	7%	79	+0.3	152/237/329	176	180	24	1	32%	7%	52	-0.5
✕Adam Hyzdu 2006 · MLB	34	45→44	49→50	39→45	51	227/308/373	146	292	17	6	27%	10%	93	+1.3	223/297/372	149	282	17	8	26%	9%	88	+0.9	210/290/359	149	258	17	7	25%	10%	81	+0.4
✕Bobby Wilson 2017 · MLB	34	43→52	43→50	40	42	214/259/313	99	266	12	3	24%	6%	56	-1.3	202/255/327	125	252	16	3	26%	6%	59	-1.1	177/233/295	119	215	16	0	26%	6%	39	-0.9
✕A.J. Ellis 2015 · MLB	34	47→56	44→45	39→40	61	231/333/345	114	268	12	2	18%	12%	96	+1.5	227/324/357	130	258	14	4	17%	12%	96	+1.5	222/319/360	138	247	16	2	17%	11%	90	+0.3
✕Nick Green 2013 · MLB	34	46→47	48→50	42→45	41	231/277/377	147	277	15	5	23%	4%	81	+0.4	208/255/324	116	270	12	6	27%	5%	57	-1.2	168/216/247	79	226	9	1	29%	4%	18	-2.7
✕Paul Hoover 2010 · MLB	34	45	40→45	43→45	41	218/269/312	94	299	7	5	29%	6%	59	-1.1	225/281/324	99	306	7	6	27%	6%	67	-0.5	229/287/321	92	312	4	0	26%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Drew Butera 2019 · MLB	35	43	44→40	47→40	48	216/281/334	118	263	12	4	23%	8%	71	-0.3	200/272/313	113	269	11	6	28%	8%	62	-0.9	177/255/284	108	247	11	5	31%	8%	47	-0.9