Maikel Garcia — OGILVIE

Maikel Garcia3B Kansas City Royals

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs MLB HR -5%BB +4% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2031 peak 3.9 · 2026

wRC+†vL 113109vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.268 / .332 / .401

PA666

HR13

SB22

K%15

BB%9

xwOBA.338

Barrel%8.9%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

40→40

SPD

55→55

EYE

50↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.2peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Arb-2	$4M	+3.9	$31M	+$27M
2027	Arb-3	$7M	+3.8	$31M	+$24M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+3.6	$31M	+$20M
2029	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.3	$29M	+$16M
2030	Ext / FA-deal	$19M	+3.0	$27M	+$8M
2031	Ext / FA-deal	$21M	+2.6	$24M	+$3M
Totals		$75M		$173M	+$98M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Royals	173	162	30	1	1	0	7	19	0	9	3	.185	.219	.204	.423	.019	.208	11	4	.187	1	-19	+1	+0	+1	+5	-1.3
2018	18	ROK	AZL Royals	217	194	35	4	1	0	14	65	1	20	6	.180	.239	.211	.451	.031	.271	30	6	.194	7	-23	+2	+0	+1	+6	-1.5
2020	20	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	60	51	16	3	1	0	8	12	0	0	1	.314	.407	.412	.819	.098	.410	20	13	—	—	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
2021	21	A+	3 teams	604	543	135	23	8	4	52	124	0	39	8	.249	.314	.343	.657	.094	.311	21	9	.289	79	-14	+5	+0	+2	+17	1.0
2022	22	AA	4 teams	828	757	190	42	2	14	58	195	1	49	10	.251	.305	.367	.672	.116	.317	24	7	.294	83	-15	+6	+0	+9	+23	2.3
2023	23	MLB	3 teams	756	681	177	31	5	6	59	171	2	32	10	.260	.321	.347	.667	.087	.331	23	8	.293	83	-15	+2	+12	+3	+21	2.4
2024	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	626	575	129	26	3	7	42	103	0	37	2	.224	.277	.317	.594	.092	.260	16	7	.262	59	-29	+7	+3	+2	+18	0.1
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	711	636	179	40	5	18	66	90	1	26	10	.281	.350	.445	.795	.164	.302	13	9	.343	120	+16	+1	+14	+3	+20	5.6
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	110	98	26	6	0	2	11	20	0	2	2	.265	.339	.388	.727	.122	.312	18	10	.322	105	+1	-0	+4	+0	+3	0.7
ROS	26	MLB	KC	556	501	135	28	3	11	49	87	1	20	6	.269	.336	.403	.739	.134	.304	16	9	.328	110	+6	+2	+6	+2	+16	3.2
TOT	26	MLB	KC	666	599	161	34	3	13	60	107	1	22	8	.269	.336	.401	.737	.132	.306	16	9	.327	109	+7	+1	+9	+2	+19	3.9
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	KC	661	595	160	33	4	13	60	78	1	24	8	.269	.337	.403	.740	.134	.289	12	9	.329	110	+7	+2	+7	+2	+19	3.7
2028	28	MLB	KC	653	588	157	33	3	12	59	78	1	23	7	.267	.335	.395	.729	.128	.288	12	9	.327	109	+6	+2	+6	+2	+19	3.6
2029	29	MLB	KC	641	576	153	32	3	12	59	78	1	21	6	.266	.335	.394	.729	.128	.288	12	9	.325	107	+5	+2	+5	+2	+18	3.3
2030	30	MLB	KC	629	565	149	31	3	11	58	79	1	19	6	.264	.333	.388	.721	.124	.286	13	9	.322	105	+3	+1	+4	+2	+18	3.0
2031	31	MLB	KC	614	552	144	30	3	11	56	80	1	16	5	.261	.330	.386	.716	.125	.285	13	9	.318	102	+1	+1	+3	+2	+17	2.6
2032	32	MLB	KC	595	536	139	29	3	10	54	80	0	13	4	.259	.327	.381	.708	.121	.284	13	9	.314	98	-1	+1	+2	+2	+17	2.2
2033	33	MLB	KC	565	509	129	26	3	9	51	80	0	10	3	.253	.321	.369	.691	.116	.283	14	9	.308	94	-4	+1	+1	+2	+16	1.7
2034	34	MLB	KC	516	465	114	23	2	7	46	78	0	8	2	.245	.313	.348	.661	.103	.281	15	9	.302	89	-6	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.1
2035	35	MLB	KC	460	416	100	20	2	6	41	74	0	6	1	.240	.309	.341	.650	.101	.279	16	9	.294	83	-9	+1	-1	+2	+13	0.6
2036	36	MLB	KC	399	361	85	17	2	4	35	68	0	5	1	.235	.303	.327	.630	.091	.276	17	9	.286	77	-10	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.1
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10264	9263	2356	472	57	155	874	1639	11	377	99	.254	.319	.368	.687	.113	.292	16	9	.303	90	-117	+36	+60	+43	+291	31.9
/ 162G	—			650	587	150	30	4	10	55	104	1	24	6	.256	.320	.371	.692	.116	.294	16	8	.303	90	-7	+2	+4	+3	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	DSL Royals	173	157	35	1	1	0	12	13	0	9	3	.223	.278	.242	.520	.019	.241	8	7	.238	40	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2018	18	ROK	AZL Royals	217	185	41	5	1	0	23	45	1	20	6	.222	.311	.259	.570	.038	.293	21	11	.260	57	-10	+2	—	—	+6	-0.3
2020	20	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	60	51	16	3	1	0	8	12	0	0	1	.314	.407	.412	.819	.098	.410	20	13	.365	138	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	21	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	243	217	61	8	4	3	24	40	0	11	3	.281	.353	.396	.749	.115	.331	16	10	.335	114	+4	+1	—	—	+7	1.2
2021	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	237	195	59	13	3	1	38	33	0	24	3	.303	.416	.415	.832	.113	.352	14	16	.372	143	+11	+4	—	—	+7	2.2
2021	21	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	124	110	39	5	1	0	11	18	0	4	2	.355	.413	.418	.831	.064	.419	15	9	.368	139	+6	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2022	22	MLB	Kansas City Royals	23	22	7	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	.318	.348	.364	.711	.045	.412	22	4	.322	105	+0	+0	+0	+9	+1	1.0
2022	22	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	186	164	45	10	0	7	17	42	1	12	5	.274	.346	.463	.810	.189	.322	23	9	.351	127	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.2
2022	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	369	323	94	24	1	4	41	60	0	27	3	.291	.371	.409	.780	.118	.345	16	11	.347	124	+10	+4	—	—	+10	2.5
2022	22	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	250	201	65	13	5	4	46	31	0	10	2	.323	.449	.498	.947	.174	.361	12	18	.416	177	+22	+1	—	—	+7	3.1
2023	23	MLB	Kansas City Royals	515	464	126	20	4	4	38	115	2	23	7	.272	.329	.358	.687	.086	.344	22	7	.305	92	-5	+2	+12	+3	+15	2.6
2023	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	112	95	23	7	0	1	16	22	0	4	3	.242	.351	.347	.699	.105	.301	20	14	.320	103	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	23	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	129	99	42	9	0	2	28	9	0	5	0	.424	.551	.576	1.127	.152	.444	7	22	.491	234	+19	+1	—	—	+4	2.5
2024	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	626	575	133	27	5	7	42	103	0	37	2	.231	.284	.332	.616	.101	.268	16	7	.274	68	-23	+7	+3	+2	+18	0.7
2025	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	666	595	170	39	5	16	62	84	1	23	9	.286	.354	.449	.803	.163	.308	13	9	.353	128	+21	+1	+14	+3	+19	5.9
2025	25	INTL	Tiburones de La Guaira	45	39	12	4	0	0	6	3	0	3	1	.308	.400	.410	.810	.103	.333	7	13	.368	140	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			1830	1656	436	87	14	27	143	307	3	83	18	.263	.323	.382	.705	.118	.305	17	8	.312	97	-6	+9	+29	+16	+52	10.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Maikel Garcia (OGILVIE)	26	60	40	55	60	.267/.333/.398	.131	.289	13	24	12%	9%	110	+2.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Nico Hoerner 2023 · MLB	26	54→62	43→45	54→60	50	.261/.320/.374	.113	.289	10	19	13%	7%	97	+1.5	.280/.338/.388	.108	.307	9	28	11%	7%	108	+2.3	.286/.346/.385	.099	.311	7	31	10%	7%	108	+2.5
●Maicer Izturis 2007 · MLB	26	56→61	42→45	54→55	57	.265/.334/.382	.118	.289	7	20	11%	9%	105	+2.1	.276/.340/.391	.115	.299	9	16	10%	9%	110	+2.4	.282/.346/.393	.111	.303	9	16	10%	8%	109	+1.6
★Edgar Renteria 2002 · MLB	26	53→63	46→45	49→55	54	.260/.323/.389	.129	.280	13	18	13%	8%	102	+1.9	.291/.350/.423	.132	.313	12	21	11%	8%	122	+3.3	.294/.357/.422	.128	.332	11	12	14%	9%	122	+3.5
✕Jose Aguilar 2016 · AAA	26	56→60	42→45	50→55	48	.272/.328/.381	.110	.304	9	16	14%	6%	102	+1.9	.250/.305/.356	.106	.290	9	19	16%	6%	86	+0.8	.254/.313/.352	.098	.303	7	23	18%	6%	86	+0.4
●Ender Inciarte 2017 · MLB	26	59→62	40→45	53→60	50	.281/.328/.380	.099	.312	6	20	12%	6%	102	+1.8	.279/.334/.395	.116	.313	9	19	13%	7%	108	+2.3	.273/.333/.390	.117	.306	10	21	14%	8%	102	+1.7
●Steven Kwan 2023 · MLB	25	58→62	45	54→50	57	.284/.353/.413	.129	.303	11	14	11%	9%	121	+3.2	.278/.348/.392	.114	.301	9	16	10%	9%	113	+2.6	.274/.345/.381	.107	.294	9	17	10%	9%	106	+2.4
●Rafael Furcal 2004 · MLB	26	57→62	44→50	56→60	52	.278/.332/.408	.129	.309	10	22	14%	7%	111	+2.5	.281/.344/.422	.141	.307	12	27	12%	9%	119	+3.1	.284/.352/.424	.140	.310	12	33	12%	9%	118	+3.4
●Austin Barnes 2017 · MLB	27	51→54	45→50	54→50	51	.250/.315/.381	.131	.286	12	16	17%	8%	97	+1.5	.243/.334/.382	.139	.295	13	13	21%	11%	106	+2.2	.231/.341/.379	.148	.286	15	8	23%	12%	101	+0.9
●Kolten Wong 2017 · MLB	26	52→60	47→50	55	50	.256/.321/.394	.137	.286	14	17	16%	7%	103	+1.9	.264/.345/.405	.141	.299	12	13	15%	9%	116	+2.8	.270/.354/.410	.140	.305	12	16	15%	9%	112	+2.0
●Julio Lugo 2002 · MLB	26	54→62	45	48→60	50	.262/.325/.387	.126	.313	12	17	20%	8%	103	+1.9	.262/.324/.390	.128	.312	13	15	19%	8%	103	+1.9	.279/.345/.398	.119	.317	8	28	14%	8%	111	+2.6
●Coco Crisp 2006 · MLB	26	57→59	47→50	49→65	50	.283/.328/.426	.143	.305	14	17	13%	6%	114	+2.7	.271/.325/.403	.132	.304	11	23	14%	8%	106	+2.2	.254/.333/.409	.155	.268	16	29	12%	11%	107	+2.0
●Jerry Hairston Jr. 2002 · MLB	26	49→55	43→50	53→55	54	.235/.311/.351	.116	.254	10	24	12%	8%	89	+0.9	.254/.325/.363	.109	.279	8	25	11%	8%	97	+1.5	.263/.322/.403	.140	.282	14	15	12%	7%	102	+1.4
✕Matt Duffy 2016 · MLB	25	57→65	44→45	54→50	46	.278/.322/.398	.120	.323	10	15	18%	6%	104	+2.0	.272/.324/.380	.108	.317	9	13	16%	6%	100	+1.7	.274/.349/.359	.085	.330	7	11	17%	9%	102	+1.2
●David Eckstein 2002 · MLB	27	57→64	39→40	56→55	52	.269/.338/.353	.084	.291	6	23	10%	7%	99	+1.7	.271/.340/.354	.083	.289	6	19	8%	7%	101	+1.8	.291/.353/.368	.076	.306	4	10	6%	6%	107	+2.2
●Jean Segura 2017 · MLB	27	57→64	44→50	56→60	45	.277/.317/.400	.124	.309	11	24	15%	5%	102	+1.9	.292/.336/.420	.128	.326	12	20	14%	5%	116	+2.8	.288/.333/.406	.118	.319	10	17	12%	5%	106	+2.2
●Denard Span 2011 · MLB	27	58→64	40→50	56→55	57	.277/.351/.375	.099	.312	6	22	13%	10%	110	+2.4	.263/.323/.361	.098	.295	5	18	12%	8%	95	+1.4	.261/.330/.402	.141	.286	13	12	14%	9%	105	+1.9
●Oswaldo Morejon 2006 · AAA	27	57→67	41→45	52→50	52	.273/.330/.385	.112	.297	6	20	11%	7%	104	+2.0	.269/.326/.371	.102	.295	6	11	11%	6%	98	+1.6	.302/.348/.404	.102	.322	7	7	8%	4%	113	+1.8
✕David Fletcher 2020 · MLB	26	57→62	40→45	50	50	.271/.319/.370	.098	.298	6	11	11%	6%	95	+1.4	.271/.317/.359	.088	.297	5	10	10%	6%	91	+1.1	.259/.299/.329	.069	.283	3	10	9%	5%	73	-0.1
●Jon Jay 2011 · MLB	26	55→65	43→45	49→50	48	.267/.319/.384	.117	.302	10	15	15%	6%	99	+1.7	.277/.335/.391	.114	.320	9	14	16%	6%	108	+2.3	.278/.345/.384	.105	.324	8	13	16%	7%	104	+1.8
●Cameron Maybin 2013 · MLB	26	52→59	44→50	59→55	48	.252/.313/.375	.123	.309	11	28	22%	8%	95	+1.4	.240/.302/.355	.115	.290	11	22	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.257/.331/.375	.118	.309	11	30	19%	9%	99	+1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)