Antonio Lamas

PosSS

B/TR/R

Born1989-12-30

Age (2027)37

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

INTLLAST SEASON 2023

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2021	31	INTLTomateros de …	41	.325/.341/.375	0	1	104	—
2022	32	INTLTomateros de …	27	.269/.296/.423	1	0	101	—
2023	33	INTLTomateros de …	50	.227/.292/.318	0	0	66	—

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2008	18	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	24	23	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	217	250	261	511	43	250	12	4	233	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	339	303	88	17	0	3	19	57	7	3	3	290	347	376	723	86	344	17	6	319	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	302	273	80	17	2	3	12	38	4	5	1	293	332	403	735	110	330	13	4	315	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	335	309	93	20	3	3	13	42	2	8	4	301	333	414	748	113	340	13	4	322	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	504	455	153	34	3	15	28	71	9	9	10	336	386	523	909	187	370	14	6	391	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	124	107	30	10	0	2	14	19	2	0	1	280	374	430	804	150	326	15	11	359	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+	Stockton Ports	—	558	517	132	23	3	12	29	93	8	1	2	255	305	381	686	126	290	17	5	306	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	53	51	8	1	0	0	1	14	0	1	0	157	173	176	350	20	216	26	2	157	-8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	360	309	87	17	0	9	31	65	12	11	2	282	369	424	793	142	331	18	9	351	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	174	151	45	4	1	4	10	25	2	2	2	298	350	417	767	119	325	14	6	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	437	386	123	26	2	10	29	53	11	11	6	319	383	474	857	155	349	12	7	372	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	165	142	37	5	0	6	16	24	3	2	0	261	348	423	770	162	270	15	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	427	352	113	20	1	14	58	55	4	11	7	321	423	503	926	182	347	13	14	399	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	151	123	30	6	1	2	22	23	4	2	2	244	376	358	734	114	283	15	15	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA	Acereros del Norte	—	327	295	95	14	2	6	24	23	3	10	6	322	379	444	823	122	331	7	7	363	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	46	42	10	0	0	0	3	6	0	0	1	238	289	238	527		278	13	7	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	119	113	31	8	0	1	2	18	3	1	0	274	305	372	677	97	319	15	2	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA	Pericos de Puebla	—	410	375	125	17	0	13	27	47	4	2	0	333	384	483	867	149	353	11	7	382	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	131	122	39	8	0	3	6	17	1	2	2	320	357	459	816	139	350	13	5	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	84	78	15	2	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	192	241	218	459	26	214	10	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	41	40	13	2	0	0	1	6	0	1	2	325	341	375	716	50	382	15	2	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	27	26	7	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	2	269	296	423	719	154	375	33	4	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	50	44	10	2	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	227	292	318	610	91	263	12	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2008	18	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	24	23	5	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	217	250	261	511	43	239	17	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	339	309	89	16	0	2	13	68	7	3	3	288	331	359	691	71	344	20	4	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	302	279	81	16	2	2	6	47	4	5	1	290	315	384	698	93	324	16	2	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	335	313	91	18	3	2	9	54	2	8	4	291	315	387	701	96	327	16	3	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	504	463	143	29	3	9	20	90	9	9	10	309	350	443	792	134	352	18	4	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	Stockton Ports	—	558	526	112	19	2	9	20	119	8	1	2	213	253	308	561	95	255	21	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	360	320	82	15	0	7	20	83	12	11	2	256	324	369	693	113	313	23	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	437	394	117	22	2	7	21	60	11	11	6	297	350	416	766	119	323	14	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	427	373	112	19	1	11	37	67	4	11	7	300	370	445	815	145	325	16	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	327	304	90	13	2	4	15	28	3	10	6	296	335	391	727	95	304	9	5	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	Pericos de Puebla	—	410	385	104	14	0	8	17	58	4	2	0	270	308	369	677	99	293	14	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	24	23	5	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	217	250	261	511	43	263	17	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	24	23	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	217	250	261	511	43	250	12	4	233	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	339	309	89	16	0	2	13	68	7	3	3	288	331	359	691	71	358	20	4	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	339	303	88	17	0	3	19	57	7	3	3	290	347	376	723	86	344	17	6	319	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	302	279	81	16	2	2	6	47	4	5	1	290	315	384	698	93	342	16	2	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	302	273	80	17	2	3	12	38	4	5	1	293	332	403	735	110	330	13	4	315	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	335	313	91	18	3	2	9	54	2	8	4	291	315	387	701	96	345	16	3	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA RAW	Acereros del Norte	—	335	309	93	20	3	3	13	42	2	8	4	301	333	414	748	113	340	13	4	322	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	628	579	178	36	3	12	25	112	11	9	11	307	348	442	790	135	362	18	4	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	628	562	183	44	3	17	42	90	11	9	11	326	384	505	889	180	362	14	7	385	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	611	576	123	21	2	10	22	131	8	2	2	214	252	309	562	95	259	21	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	611	568	140	24	3	12	30	107	8	2	2	246	294	363	656	116	284	18	5	293	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	534	471	122	23	0	10	30	123	14	13	4	259	322	372	694	113	327	23	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	534	460	132	21	1	13	41	90	14	13	4	287	363	422	785	135	329	17	8	341	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	602	544	161	30	2	10	29	82	14	13	6	296	348	414	761	118	331	14	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	602	528	160	31	2	16	45	77	14	13	6	303	373	460	833	157	328	13	7	363	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	578	505	151	25	1	15	50	90	8	13	9	299	371	442	813	143	337	16	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	578	475	143	26	2	16	80	78	8	13	9	301	410	465	876	164	331	13	14	383	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	347	103	15	2	5	17	32	3	10	7	297	335	395	730	98	313	9	5	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	373	337	105	14	2	6	27	29	3	10	7	312	368	418	786	107	325	8	7	348	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	119	113	31	8	0	1	2	18	3	1	0	274	305	372	677	97	319	15	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	28	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	119	113	31	8	0	1	2	18	3	1	0	274	305	372	677	97	319	15	2	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	541	508	136	18	0	10	22	77	5	4	2	268	305	362	667	94	297	14	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	541	497	164	25	0	16	33	64	5	4	2	330	378	477	854	147	352	12	6	376	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL MLE	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	84	78	15	2	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	192	241	218	459	26	214	10	6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	30	INTL RAW	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	84	78	15	2	0	0	5	8	0	0	1	192	241	218	459	26	214	10	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	41	40	13	2	0	0	1	6	0	1	2	325	341	375	716	50	382	15	2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	31	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	41	40	13	2	0	0	1	6	0	1	2	325	341	375	716	50	382	15	2	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	27	26	7	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	2	269	296	423	719	154	375	33	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	32	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	27	26	7	1	0	1	1	9	0	0	2	269	296	423	719	154	375	33	4	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	50	44	10	2	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	227	292	318	610	91	263	12	8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	33	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	50	44	10	2	1	0	4	6	0	0	0	227	292	318	610	91	263	12	8	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2008	18	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	24	23	5	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	217	250	261	511	43	239	17	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2009	19	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	339	316	89	16	0	2	13	68	7	3	3	282	331	351	683	70	344	20	4	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2010	20	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	302	289	81	16	2	2	6	47	4	5	1	280	315	370	685	90	324	16	2	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2011	21	AAA MLE	Acereros del Norte	—	335	321	91	18	3	2	9	54	2	8	4	283	315	377	692	93	327	16	3	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2012	22	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	628	587	178	36	3	12	25	112	11	9	11	303	348	436	784	133	352	18	4	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	611	576	123	21	2	10	22	131	8	2	2	214	252	309	562	95	255	21	4	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	534	485	122	23	0	10	30	123	14	13	4	252	322	361	683	109	313	23	6	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	602	554	161	30	2	10	29	82	14	13	6	291	348	406	754	116	323	14	5	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	578	515	151	25	1	15	50	90	8	13	9	293	371	433	804	140	325	16	9	347	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	373	350	103	15	2	5	17	32	3	10	7	294	335	391	727	97	304	9	5	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	29	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	541	509	136	18	0	10	22	77	5	4	2	267	305	361	666	94	293	14	4	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	5188	4755	1316	234	16	80	237	867	79	82	54	277	322	383	705	106	322	17	5	287	81	-120	-5	+0	+56	+112	4.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	596	165	29	2	10	30	109	10	10	7	277	323	383	705	106	322	17	5	287	81	-15	-1	+0	+7	+14	0.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2019 AAAPericos de Puebla · 410 PAwOBA .373 → .292 (−81)K% 11.5% → 14.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.46%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	14.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.34%	÷1.043	×0.690	—	×0.972	4.08%
HBP% /PA	0.98%	—	×0.940	—	×0.972	0.89%
Singles /BIP	28.96%	÷1.008	×0.930	×0.950	×0.972	24.67%
Doubles /BIP	5.18%	÷0.964	×0.830	×0.950	×0.972	4.12%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×0.972	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.96%	÷1.144	×0.700	—	×0.972	2.36%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .373 → .292; ISO .149 → .099; BABIP .353 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAAAcereros del Norte · 327 PAwOBA .354 → .318 (−36)K% 7.0% → 8.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	7.03%	÷0.996	×1.200	—	—	8.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.42%	÷0.985	×0.690	—	×0.992	4.46%
HBP% /PA	0.92%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.86%
Singles /BIP	26.84%	÷1.025	×0.930	×1.038	×0.992	25.06%
Doubles /BIP	5.15%	÷0.958	×0.830	×1.038	×0.992	4.59%
Triples /BIP	0.74%	÷1.109	×0.920	×1.038	×0.992	0.63%
Home runs /BIP	2.21%	÷0.969	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.58%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 105, 2B 92, 3B 122, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.

Result: wOBA .354 → .318; ISO .122 → .101; BABIP .331 → .304. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAAcereros del Norte · 427 PAwOBA .389 → .347 (−42)K% 12.9% → 15.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.88%	÷0.989	×1.200	—	—	15.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.11%	÷1.059	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.57%
HBP% /PA	0.94%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.88%
Singles /BIP	26.26%	÷1.011	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	25.43%
Doubles /BIP	6.73%	÷1.013	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	5.81%
Triples /BIP	0.34%	÷1.124	×0.920	×1.050	×1.003	0.29%
Home runs /BIP	4.71%	÷0.941	×0.700	—	×1.003	3.52%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 102, 2B 103, 3B 125, K 98, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .389 → .347; ISO .182 → .154; BABIP .347 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAAcereros del Norte · 437 PAwOBA .363 → .326 (−37)K% 12.1% → 13.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.13%	÷1.063	×1.200	—	—	13.69%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.64%	÷0.979	×0.690	—	×1.018	4.76%
HBP% /PA	2.52%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	2.41%
Singles /BIP	25.53%	÷0.988	×0.930	×1.018	×1.018	24.89%
Doubles /BIP	7.81%	÷1.051	×0.830	×1.018	×1.018	6.39%
Triples /BIP	0.60%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.018	×1.018	0.50%
Home runs /BIP	3.00%	÷1.052	×0.700	—	×1.018	2.03%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 113, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.

Result: wOBA .363 → .326; ISO .155 → .121; BABIP .349 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AAAAcereros del Norte · 360 PAwOBA .340 → .301 (−39)K% 18.1% → 23.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.06%	÷0.939	×1.200	—	—	23.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.06%	÷1.032	×0.690	—	×1.033	5.56%
HBP% /PA	3.33%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	3.24%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷1.019	×0.930	×1.032	×1.033	24.35%
Doubles /BIP	6.97%	÷0.995	×0.830	×1.032	×1.033	6.20%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.032	×1.033	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.69%	÷0.952	×0.700	—	×1.033	2.80%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 104, 2B 99, 3B 130, K 88, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.

Result: wOBA .340 → .301; ISO .142 → .116; BABIP .331 → .313. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Stockton Ports · 558 PAwOBA .298 → .245 (−54)K% 16.7% → 21.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.67%	÷1.042	×1.340	—	—	21.44%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.20%	÷1.020	×0.710	—	×0.988	3.57%
HBP% /PA	1.43%	—	×0.790	—	×0.988	1.12%
Singles /BIP	22.17%	÷1.022	×0.910	×1.019	×0.988	19.87%
Doubles /BIP	5.42%	÷0.968	×0.820	×1.019	×0.988	4.63%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.095	×0.760	×1.019	×0.988	0.49%
Home runs /BIP	2.83%	÷1.129	×0.920	—	×0.988	2.28%

Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 104, 2B 94, 3B 119, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .298 → .245; ISO .126 → .099; BABIP .290 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2012 AAAAcereros del Norte · 504 PAwOBA .383 → .339 (−44)K% 14.1% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.09%	÷0.946	×1.200	—	—	17.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	5.36%	÷0.982	×0.690	—	×1.050	3.95%
HBP% /PA	1.79%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.76%
Singles /BIP	26.30%	÷0.994	×0.930	×1.027	×1.050	26.54%
Doubles /BIP	8.85%	÷1.062	×0.830	×1.027	×1.050	7.47%
Triples /BIP	0.78%	÷1.100	×0.920	×1.027	×1.050	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	3.91%	÷1.173	×0.700	—	×1.050	2.45%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 112, 3B 120, K 89, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.

Result: wOBA .383 → .339; ISO .187 → .137; BABIP .370 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2011 AAAAcereros del Norte · 335 PAwOBA .314 → .291 (−24)K% 12.5% → 16.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.54%	÷0.928	×1.200	—	—	16.21%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.88%	÷1.083	×0.690	—	×1.050	2.60%
HBP% /PA	0.60%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.59%
Singles /BIP	25.09%	÷0.996	×0.930	×1.019	×1.050	25.08%
Doubles /BIP	7.49%	÷1.016	×0.830	×1.019	×1.050	6.55%
Triples /BIP	1.12%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.019	×1.050	0.96%
Home runs /BIP	1.12%	÷1.126	×0.700	—	×1.050	0.73%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 86, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.

Result: wOBA .314 → .291; ISO .113 → .093; BABIP .340 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .