Byron BuxtonCF Minnesota Twins
Age 32 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs MLB Svc 9.930 · Ctrl thru 2028 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)
2026 ROS PROJECTION335 act + 223 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 182172vR 145
AVG/OBP/SLG.272 / .334 / .573
PA223
HR15
SB10
K%26
BB%7
BABIP305
ISO301
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: +32.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+33BATRUN: +4.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+5RUNFLD: +2.5 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+2FLDPOS: +2.0 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +15.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+16REPTotal WAR: +5.60+5.6WAR
0.02.04.02.23.92.9+$38M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT50
Whiff%
4411.7%
xwOBA
880.352
POWER60
Barrel%
9016.5
Avg EV
8991.8
Bat Spd
6773.2
EYE45
Chase%
8025.9%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.9
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1045 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
273
772
wRC+
145
135
L
wOBA
375
362
L
ISO
247
268
R
BABIP
331
306
L
K%
23.1%
28.1%
◀◀L
BB%
7.3%
5.4%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2015
Service   9.930 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2027
NTC
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$6M+2.2$18M+$12M
2027Ext$14M+3.9$29M+$16M
2028Ext$14M+2.9$20M+$8M
Totals $34M $67M +$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201218 ROKElizabethton Twins 189172 31734 12585 113 180254326580 145245 316 241 43
201218 ROKElizabethton Twins 189165 411045 19415 113 248344448792 200303 2210 352 128
201319 A3 teams 633568 15918179 531734 5720 280346419765 139384 278 331 112
201319 A3 teams 633540 174201815 811204 5720 322414509924 187388 1913 403 166
201420 A+2 teams 195181 32525 11683 113 177236309545 133250 356 237 40
201420 A+2 teams 195178 44624 14453 113 247313371684 124310 237 309 94
201521 AA3 teams 465432 10615127 251252 245 245290384674 139326 275 290 80
201521 AA3 teams 465421 11617149 361072 245 276336447782 171346 238 341 119
201622 MLB2 teams 540492 11725920 331876 172 238294447741 209334 356 314 98 -1 +3 +7 +2 +15 2.7
201622 MLB2 teams 540488 12530921 371766 172 256316484800 227351 337 344 121 +13 +3 +7 +2 +15 4.1
201723 MLBMinnesota Twins 511462 11714616 381504 291 253315413729 160339 297 314 98 -1 +5 +22 +2 +14 4.4
201723 MLBMinnesota Twins 511462 11714616 381504 291 253315413729 160339 297 320 103 +2 +5 +22 +2 +14 4.7
201824 AAA2 teams 242229 431214 9813 91 188228301530 114271 334 229 34
201824 AAA2 teams 242226 511514 12703 91 226274354628 128309 295 280 73
201925 MLBMinnesota Twins 295271 7130410 19682 143 262315513828 251314 236 348 125 +8 +2 +11 +1 +8 3.1
201925 MLBMinnesota Twins 295271 7130410 19682 143 262315513828 251314 236 356 130 +10 +2 +11 +1 +8 3.3
202026 MLBMinnesota Twins 135130 333013 2361 21 254271577848 323241 271 353 128 +4 +0 +4 +0 +4 1.3
202026 MLBMinnesota Twins 135130 333013 2361 21 254271577848 323241 271 359 133 +5 +0 +4 +0 +4 1.3
202127 MLB2 teams 280258 8025121 14666 91 3103606591.019 349341 245 433 189 +28 +1 +6 +1 +8 4.6
202127 MLB2 teams 280257 8125122 15656 91 3153676771.044 362343 235 444 198 +31 +1 +6 +1 +8 4.9
202228 MLBMinnesota Twins 382340 7613328 341167 60 224307526834 303244 309 355 130 +13 +1 +6 +1 +11 3.3
202228 MLBMinnesota Twins 382340 7613328 341167 60 224307526834 303244 309 360 134 +15 +1 +6 +1 +11 3.4
202329 MLBMinnesota Twins 347304 6317117 351094 90 207297438735 230253 3110 313 97 -1 +2 +0 +1 +10 1.2
202329 MLBMinnesota Twins 347304 6317117 351094 90 207297438735 230253 3110 321 104 +2 +2 +0 +1 +10 1.5
202430 MLBMinnesota Twins 388355 9927318 209911 72 279337524861 245338 265 367 139 +17 +1 +3 +1 +11 3.4
202430 MLBMinnesota Twins 388355 9927318 209911 72 279337524861 245338 265 374 144 +19 +1 +3 +1 +11 3.6
202531 MLBMinnesota Twins 542488 12921735 411487 240 264330551881 287302 278 366 138 +23 +5 +1 +2 +15 4.7
202531 MLBMinnesota Twins 542488 12921735 411487 240 264330551881 287302 278 377 147 +29 +5 +1 +2 +15 5.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD32 MLBMIN 335306 8316125 23834 71 271330575905 304290 257 383 151 +19 +1 +2 +1 +9 3.3
YTD32 MLBMIN 335306 8316125 23834 71 271330575905 304290 257 389 156 +21 +1 +2 +1 +9 3.5
ROS32 MLBMIN 100% 223202 5512215 16573 102 272334573908 301302 267 385 153 +13 +1 +1 +1 +6 2.3
ROS32 MLBMIN 100% 223202 5512215 16573 102 272335574909 302302 267 375 145 +11 +1 +1 +1 +6 2.1
FULL32 MLBMIN 558508 13828340 391407 173 272332575907 303296 257 380 149 +31 +2 +2 +2 +16 5.4
TOT32 MLBMIN 558508 13828340 391407 173 271332574906 303296 257 383 152 +33 +2 +2 +2 +16 5.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202733 MLBMIN 100% 432393 10522428 301126 152 267329557886 290298 267 377 147 +23 +2 -3 +2 +12 3.7
202834 MLBMIN 100% 386351 8918324 271035 102 254316527843 274290 277 366 138 +17 +1 -4 +1 +11 2.7
202935 MLBMIN 100% 332302 7515320 23914 61 248310517827 268280 277 353 128 +11 +1 -5 +1 +9 1.8
203036 MLBMIN 100% 274250 5911216 18774 30 236298488786 252271 287 339 117 +5 +1 -6 +1 +8 0.9
203137 MLBMIN 100% 211192 438211 14613 10 224287458745 234261 297 324 106 +1 +0 -6 +1 +6 0.2
203238 MLBMIN 100% 143131 28517 9422 10 214275427702 214251 296 308 94 -1 +0 -7 +1 +4 -0.4
203339 MLBMIN 100% 8074 15214 5241 00 203263419681 216241 306 293 82 -2 +0 -8 +0 +2 -0.7
202733 MLBMIN 100% 432393 10522428 301126 152 267329557886 290298 267 368 140 +19 +2 -3 +2 +12 3.3
202834 MLBMIN 100% 386351 8918324 271035 102 254316527843 274290 277 357 131 +14 +1 -4 +1 +11 2.4
202935 MLBMIN 100% 332302 7515320 23914 61 248310517827 268280 277 344 121 +8 +1 -5 +1 +9 1.5
203036 MLBMIN 100% 274250 5911216 18774 30 236298488786 252271 287 330 111 +3 +1 -6 +1 +8 0.7
203137 MLBMIN 100% 211192 438211 14613 10 224287458745 234261 297 315 99 -0 +0 -6 +1 +6 0.0
203238 MLBMIN 100% 143131 28517 9422 10 214275427702 214251 296 300 88 -2 +0 -7 +1 +4 -0.5
203339 MLBMIN 100% 8074 15214 5241 00 203263419681 216241 306 285 76 -2 +0 -8 +0 +2 -0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career 54984997 123727149293 376154574 16319 248310497807 250296 287 345 122 +137 +25 +27 +22 +156 37.5
/ 162G 650591 14732635 441839 192 249311501811 252297 287 345 122 +16 +3 +3 +3 +18 4.4
Career 72256577 162532587332 488205193 27549 247308474783 227305 287 334 114 +112 +35 +27 +26 +205 41.4
/ 162G 650592 14629830 441858 254 247307475782 228304 287 334 114 +10 +3 +2 +2 +18 3.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201218 ROKElizabethton Twins 189165 411045 19415 113 248344448792 200303 2210 352 128 +6 +1 +5 1.3
201319 A+Fort Myers Miracle 253218 71484 32492 238 326417472889 147404 1913 395 160 +17 +1 +7 2.6
201319 ACedar Rapids Kernels 321270 9215108 44561 3211 341435559994 219402 1714 426 184 +31 +2 +9 4.3
201319 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 5952 11103 5151 21 212293404697 192229 258 307 93 -0 +0 +2 0.1
201420 A+Fort Myers Miracle 134121 29424 10333 62 240313405718 165298 257 321 104 +1 +0 +4 0.5
201420 INTLSalt River Rafters 6157 15200 4120 51 263311298610 35333 207 281 73 -2 +1 +2 0.0
201521 MLBMinnesota Twins 138129 27712 6441 22 209250326576 116301 324 254 53 -7 -0 +4 +2 +4 0.2
201521 AAARochester Red Wings 5955 22311 4120 21 400441545986 145500 207 436 192 +6 +0 +2 0.8
201521 AAChattanooga Lookouts 268237 677126 26511 202 283356489846 207332 1910 365 137 +11 +3 +8 2.3
201622 MLBMinnesota Twins 331298 6719610 231183 102 225287430717 205329 367 308 94 -2 +1 +7 +2 +9 1.8
201622 AAARochester Red Wings 209190 5811311 14583 70 305362568931 263382 287 400 165 +15 +1 +6 2.3
201723 MLBMinnesota Twins 511462 11714616 381504 291 253315413729 160339 297 320 103 +2 +5 +22 +2 +14 4.7
201824 MLBMinnesota Twins 9490 14400 3280 50 156183200383 44226 303 173 -9 -12 +1 +1 +1 +3 -0.6
201824 AAARochester Red Wings 148136 371114 9423 41 272331456787 184367 286 348 125 +4 +0 +4 0.9
201925 MLBMinnesota Twins 295271 7130410 19682 143 262315513828 251314 236 356 130 +10 +2 +11 +1 +8 3.3
202026 MLBMinnesota Twins 135130 333013 2361 21 254271577848 323241 271 359 133 +5 +0 +4 +0 +4 1.3
202127 MLBMinnesota Twins 254235 7223019 13626 91 3063586471.005 340344 245 432 189 +25 +1 +6 +1 +7 4.2
202127 AAASt. Paul Saints 2622 9213 230 00 4094581.0001.458 591333 128 559 286 +5 +0 +1 0.6
202228 MLBMinnesota Twins 382340 7613328 341167 60 224307526834 303244 309 360 134 +15 +1 +6 +1 +11 3.4
202329 MLBMinnesota Twins 347304 6317117 351094 90 207297438735 230253 3110 321 104 +2 +2 +0 +1 +10 1.5
202430 MLBMinnesota Twins 388355 9927318 209911 72 279337524861 245338 265 374 144 +19 +1 +3 +1 +11 3.6
202531 MLBMinnesota Twins 542488 12921735 411487 240 264330551881 287302 278 377 147 +29 +5 +1 +2 +15 5.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 34173102 76817831168 23497846 11712 248310487797 240303 297 345 122 +86 +19 +65 +15 +97 28.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Eric Chavezlast yr '14
career totals — 14 seasons, 5,747 PA
145,74724748270344481+0+3641.138.0
/162664296+0.0+4.24.7pk7: 35
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 20 projected seasons
206,129334195250308503-5+13139.032.2
/1626643621-0.5+14.14.2pk7: 25
#2Juan Uribelast yr '16
career totals — 16 seasons, 6,715 PA
166,71519948255301418+33+11633.129.1
/162664205+3.3+11.43.3pk7: 25
#3Carlos Gómezlast yr '19
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,227 PA
135,227145268252313411+11+8028.226.7
/1626641834+1.4+10.23.6pk7: 25
#4Mike Moustakaslast yr '23
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA
135,57721521247307431+14+1822.822.1
/162664263+1.6+2.12.7pk7: 21
#5Chris Younglast yr '18
career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA
135,316191142235314428-0+321.320.7
/1626642418-0.0+0.42.7pk7: 20
#6Joe Credelast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,362 PA
93,3621404253304444+9+6219.419.3
/162664281+1.9+12.33.8pk7: 19

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Byron Buxton (OGILVIE) 32 50 60 60 45 271/332/574 303296 4017 25% 7% 152 +5.6
Alfonso Soriano
2007 · MLB
31 50→57 65→70 54→60 48 273/332/525 252293 3327 20% 7% 143 +4.7 277/333/521 244309 3120 21% 7% 142 +4.6 273/328/505232307301721%7%127+3.3
Luis Terrero
2013 · AAA
33 52→61 60 53→55 46 274/340/491 217327 2924 25% 7% 137 +4.3 260/336/424 164324 2117 25% 8% 118 +3.0 259/349/414155325201525%10%118+1.2
Brandon Dixon
2023 · AAA
31 49 73→65 54→55 43 274/332/568 294329 4216 30% 7% 154 +5.5 228/289/402 174337 2313 37% 7% 93 +1.3 200/266/339139313191240%6%64-0.5
Curtis Granderson
2012 · MLB
31 46→56 61→65 55→50 55 249/338/483 234281 2918 23% 11% 134 +4.1 235/325/449 214280 2712 26% 11% 120 +3.1 238/344/46122326827722%13%125+3.6
Marcus Semien
2023 · MLB
32 47→56 58→65 53→50 51 250/314/459 209266 2616 18% 8% 118 +3.0 250/319/425 175269 2112 16% 9% 111 +2.5 244/319/406162262201015%9%103+2.2
AJ Pollock
2020 · MLB
32 50→60 57→65 53→55 48 260/323/467 207291 2514 20% 7% 124 +3.4 274/329/498 224304 299 20% 7% 134 +4.1 272/323/48120930027719%6%123+2.2
Raul Mondesi
2001 · MLB
30 49→52 63→60 55 50 267/327/504 237276 3125 18% 8% 135 +4.2 252/329/460 208272 2522 18% 10% 124 +3.4 250/330/453203269252117%10%117+3.1
Nelson Cruz
2011 · MLB
31 53→59 64→70 54→55 51 281/346/527 246312 3221 21% 9% 149 +5.1 264/321/486 222300 2811 22% 7% 128 +3.7 297/375/57327533540224%10%164+6.8
Torii Hunter
2007 · MLB
32 52→62 58→65 50→55 50 273/333/473 201292 2618 17% 8% 130 +3.8 282/340/485 203309 2517 17% 8% 135 +4.2 284/355/478193317231617%9%133+3.9
Reggie Sanders
2002 · MLB
34 46→52 63→70 50→55 50 253/325/491 238285 3120 24% 9% 131 +3.9 261/329/495 234297 3019 23% 8% 134 +4.1 270/333/527256304342323%8%138+3.2
Jayson Werth
2011 · MLB
32 54→63 60 53→55 58 277/373/504 227326 2715 23% 12% 153 +5.4 272/362/452 180327 2014 22% 12% 135 +4.2 302/394/478176352191018%12%150+4.5
Brian Dozier
2018 · MLB
31 49→56 62→65 51→50 54 263/341/498 235286 3013 20% 10% 139 +4.4 241/330/437 196273 2410 21% 11% 118 +3.0 228/324/41518725723821%12%107+2.1
Ruben Rivera
2006 · MLB
32 53→62 58→65 53→55 48 274/343/477 202326 2617 24% 8% 134 +4.1 262/330/463 201308 2515 23% 8% 125 +3.5 304/382/544240321312116%9%166+4.7
Carlos Beltrán
2008 · MLB
31 50→60 63→65 54→60 60 270/357/515 245279 3018 17% 12% 150 +5.2 284/371/490 206305 2218 15% 12% 148 +5.1 290/360/50821931426617%10%140+4.6
Ryan Braun
2017 · MLB
33 56→65 60→70 53→55 51 294/357/517 223323 2818 19% 8% 150 +5.2 278/340/500 222308 2715 19% 8% 139 +4.4 272/335/496223302271519%8%131+3.0
Corey Hart
2014 · MLB
32 52→56 61→65 48→55 48 274/339/505 230317 287 23% 8% 140 +4.5 227/284/391 164279 206 26% 6% 88 +0.9 205/258/35114724919326%5%61-0.3
Carlos Lee
2007 · MLB
31 54→59 61→65 50 55 284/345/510 225278 2913 11% 8% 144 +4.8 296/351/518 222289 299 10% 8% 149 +5.1 300/354/5162162922869%7%141+4.7
Mike Cameron
2005 · MLB
32 46→53 58→60 53→55 54 241/330/453 212285 2521 25% 11% 123 +3.3 256/338/462 206312 2220 24% 10% 128 +3.7 248/337/456208304232025%11%123+3.4
Manny Machado
2023 · MLB
31 56→59 63→65 50 54 296/365/535 238322 3010 19% 10% 158 +5.8 281/340/496 215309 298 19% 8% 138 +4.4 276/335/48420730229919%8%128+3.9
Eric Thames
2019 · MLB
32 46→53 66→70 53→45 52 249/342/510 261313 339 31% 12% 142 +4.6 246/337/471 225319 287 30% 11% 131 +3.9 241/339/47123031129430%11%125+1.7