Byron Buxton — OGILVIE

Byron BuxtonCF Minnesota Twins

Age 32 R/R 6'1" / 190 lbs MLB BB +3% Svc 9.930 · Ctrl thru 2028 peak 3.3 · 2026

wRC+†vL 157124vR 123

AVG/OBP/SLG.255 / .323 / .507

PA462

HR26

SB10

K%27

BB%7

xwOBA.306

Barrel%15.6%

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

50→50

PWR

60→60

SPD

60→60

EYE

45→45

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.4peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status FA

MLB Debut 2015

Service 9.930 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

NTC

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+3.3	$26M	+$12M
2027	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.9	$24M	+$10M
2028	Ext / FA-deal	$14M	+2.2	$19M	+$4M
Totals		$43M		$69M	+$26M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	189	172	31	7	3	4	12	58	5	11	3	.180	.254	.326	.580	.145	.245	31	6	.241	43	-12	+1	+0	+1	+5	-0.5
2013	19	A	3 teams	633	565	159	18	16	10	56	161	4	57	20	.281	.350	.423	.773	.142	.373	25	9	.335	114	+10	+3	+0	+2	+18	3.4
2014	20	A+	2 teams	195	181	33	5	2	5	11	68	3	11	3	.182	.241	.315	.556	.133	.259	35	6	.239	41	-13	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
2015	21	AA	3 teams	465	432	105	16	12	7	25	125	2	24	5	.243	.288	.384	.672	.141	.322	27	5	.289	79	-11	+3	+4	+2	+13	1.1
2016	22	MLB	2 teams	540	493	116	26	9	20	32	187	6	17	2	.235	.290	.446	.736	.211	.330	35	6	.313	98	-1	+3	+7	+2	+15	2.6
2017	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	511	462	113	14	2	15	38	150	4	29	1	.245	.308	.381	.688	.136	.328	29	7	.296	85	-9	+5	+22	+2	+14	3.6
2018	24	AAA	2 teams	242	229	43	12	1	3	9	79	3	9	1	.188	.228	.288	.516	.100	.272	33	4	.229	33	-18	+1	+1	+1	+7	-0.8
2019	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	295	271	69	27	4	10	19	68	2	14	3	.255	.308	.494	.803	.240	.304	23	6	.344	122	+7	+2	+11	+1	+8	3.0
2020	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	135	130	34	3	0	14	2	36	1	2	1	.262	.278	.608	.886	.346	.244	27	1	.361	135	+5	+0	+4	+0	+4	1.4
2021	27	MLB	2 teams	280	258	82	26	1	22	14	66	6	9	1	.318	.367	.682	1.049	.364	.349	24	5	.448	201	+32	+1	+6	+1	+8	5.0
2022	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	382	340	73	13	3	26	34	116	7	6	0	.215	.299	.500	.799	.285	.236	30	9	.344	121	+9	+1	+6	+1	+11	2.9
2023	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	347	304	65	17	1	19	35	109	4	9	0	.214	.303	.464	.767	.250	.256	31	10	.326	107	+3	+2	+0	+1	+10	1.6
2024	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	388	355	97	26	4	18	20	99	11	7	2	.273	.332	.521	.853	.248	.329	26	5	.359	133	+14	+1	+3	+1	+11	3.1
2025	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	542	488	126	19	6	35	41	148	7	24	0	.258	.325	.537	.862	.279	.293	27	8	.358	132	+20	+5	+1	+2	+15	4.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	32	MLB	Minnesota Twins	106	96	22	4	1	5	7	30	2	0	0	.229	.295	.448	.743	.219	.274	28	7	.321	104	+0	+0	+2	+0	+3	0.6
ROS	32	MLB	MIN	356	321	80	15	3	19	26	96	6	10	2	.249	.317	.492	.809	.243	.296	27	7	.355	130	+12	+1	+2	+1	+10	2.7
TOT	32	MLB	MIN	462	417	102	19	4	24	33	126	8	10	2	.245	.312	.482	.794	.237	.289	27	7	.347	124	+13	+1	+4	+2	+13	3.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	33	MLB	MIN	432	391	97	18	4	23	31	94	7	11	1	.248	.315	.491	.806	.243	.267	22	7	.349	125	+12	+2	-2	+2	+12	2.7
2028	34	MLB	MIN	386	350	85	16	3	20	27	87	6	9	1	.243	.308	.477	.785	.234	.265	23	7	.342	120	+9	+1	-3	+1	+11	2.0
2029	35	MLB	MIN	332	301	71	13	3	16	23	78	5	7	0	.236	.301	.458	.759	.223	.262	23	7	.333	113	+5	+1	-4	+1	+9	1.3
2030	36	MLB	MIN	274	249	56	10	2	13	19	68	4	5	0	.225	.290	.438	.728	.213	.258	25	7	.322	105	+1	+1	-5	+1	+8	0.7
2031	37	MLB	MIN	211	192	43	8	2	9	14	54	3	4	0	.224	.287	.427	.714	.203	.254	26	7	.310	96	-1	+1	-6	+1	+6	0.1
2032	38	MLB	MIN	143	131	28	5	1	6	9	38	2	2	0	.214	.275	.405	.679	.191	.248	27	6	.298	86	-2	+0	-7	+1	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7278	6615	1606	314	82	314	497	1985	98	277	46	.243	.305	.457	.763	.215	.296	27	7	.328	109	+72	+37	+43	+26	+206	39.2
/ 162G	—			650	591	143	28	7	28	44	177	9	25	4	.242	.304	.455	.760	.213	.295	27	7	.328	109	+6	+3	+4	+2	+18	3.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2012	18	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	189	165	41	10	4	5	19	41	5	11	3	.248	.344	.448	.792	.200	.303	22	10	.352	128	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2013	19	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	253	218	71	4	8	4	32	49	2	23	8	.326	.417	.472	.889	.147	.404	19	13	.395	160	+17	+1	—	—	+7	2.6
2013	19	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	321	270	92	15	10	8	44	56	1	32	11	.341	.435	.559	.994	.219	.402	17	14	.426	184	+31	+2	—	—	+9	4.3
2013	19	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	59	52	11	1	0	3	5	15	1	2	1	.212	.293	.404	.697	.192	.229	25	8	.307	93	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2014	20	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	134	121	29	4	2	4	10	33	3	6	2	.240	.313	.405	.718	.165	.298	25	7	.321	104	+1	+0	—	—	+4	0.5
2014	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	61	57	15	2	0	0	4	12	0	5	1	.263	.311	.298	.610	.035	.333	20	7	.281	73	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.0
2015	21	MLB	Minnesota Twins	138	129	27	7	1	2	6	44	1	2	2	.209	.250	.326	.576	.116	.301	32	4	.254	53	-7	-0	+4	+2	+4	0.2
2015	21	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	59	55	22	3	1	1	4	12	0	2	1	.400	.441	.545	.986	.145	.500	20	7	.436	192	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2015	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	268	237	67	7	12	6	26	51	1	20	2	.283	.356	.489	.846	.207	.332	19	10	.365	137	+11	+3	—	—	+8	2.3
2016	22	MLB	Minnesota Twins	331	298	67	19	6	10	23	118	3	10	2	.225	.287	.430	.717	.205	.329	36	7	.308	94	-2	+1	+7	+2	+9	1.8
2016	22	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	209	190	58	11	3	11	14	58	3	7	0	.305	.362	.568	.931	.263	.382	28	7	.400	165	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.3
2017	23	MLB	Minnesota Twins	511	462	117	14	6	16	38	150	4	29	1	.253	.315	.413	.729	.160	.339	29	7	.320	103	+2	+5	+22	+2	+14	4.7
2018	24	MLB	Minnesota Twins	94	90	14	4	0	0	3	28	0	5	0	.156	.183	.200	.383	.044	.226	30	3	.173	-9	-12	+1	+1	+1	+3	-0.6
2018	24	AAA	Rochester Red Wings	148	136	37	11	1	4	9	42	3	4	1	.272	.331	.456	.787	.184	.367	28	6	.348	125	+4	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2019	25	MLB	Minnesota Twins	295	271	71	30	4	10	19	68	2	14	3	.262	.315	.513	.828	.251	.314	23	6	.356	130	+10	+2	+11	+1	+8	3.3
2020	26	MLB	Minnesota Twins	135	130	33	3	0	13	2	36	1	2	1	.254	.271	.577	.848	.323	.241	27	1	.359	133	+5	+0	+4	+0	+4	1.3
2021	27	MLB	Minnesota Twins	254	235	72	23	0	19	13	62	6	9	1	.306	.358	.647	1.005	.340	.344	24	5	.432	189	+25	+1	+6	+1	+7	4.2
2021	27	AAA	St. Paul Saints	26	22	9	2	1	3	2	3	0	0	0	.409	.458	1.000	1.458	.591	.333	12	8	.559	286	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	28	MLB	Minnesota Twins	382	340	76	13	3	28	34	116	7	6	0	.224	.307	.526	.834	.303	.244	30	9	.360	134	+15	+1	+6	+1	+11	3.4
2023	29	MLB	Minnesota Twins	347	304	63	17	1	17	35	109	4	9	0	.207	.297	.438	.735	.230	.253	31	10	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	+1	+10	1.5
2024	30	MLB	Minnesota Twins	388	355	99	27	3	18	20	99	11	7	2	.279	.337	.524	.861	.245	.338	26	5	.374	144	+19	+1	+3	+1	+11	3.6
2025	31	MLB	Minnesota Twins	542	488	129	21	7	35	41	148	7	24	0	.264	.330	.551	.881	.287	.302	27	8	.377	147	+29	+5	+1	+2	+15	5.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			3417	3102	768	178	31	168	234	978	46	117	12	.248	.310	.487	.797	.240	.303	29	7	.345	122	+86	+19	+65	+15	+97	28.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Byron Buxton (OGILVIE)	32	50	60	60	45	.250/.317/.495	.245	.269	25	13	21%	7%	130	+2.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●AJ Pollock 2021 · MLB	33	48→58	61→65	50→55	46	.260/.317/.480	.220	.287	30	11	22%	7%	125	+3.5	.263/.317/.450	.187	.297	23	8	20%	7%	117	+2.9	.254/.308/.423	.169	.288	20	7	19%	6%	102	+1.1
✕Brian Dozier 2019 · MLB	32	46→56	58→65	50	55	.246/.330/.457	.210	.270	26	13	20%	10%	124	+3.4	.234/.326/.405	.171	.273	21	8	21%	11%	108	+2.3	.231/.335/.400	.169	.268	22	4	22%	13%	108	+1.8
★Curtis Granderson 2013 · MLB	32	44→54	62→65	53→50	54	.241/.331/.478	.237	.279	30	14	26%	11%	129	+3.7	.242/.334/.440	.198	.293	24	11	25%	12%	121	+3.2	.241/.347/.461	.220	.274	27	7	22%	13%	126	+3.6
●Marcus Semien 2023 · MLB	32	47→57	58→65	52→50	51	.253/.317/.461	.208	.270	27	16	19%	8%	120	+3.1	.251/.320/.424	.173	.272	20	12	16%	9%	111	+2.5	.244/.319/.398	.154	.264	18	10	15%	9%	100	+1.9
●Jose Valentin 2002 · MLB	32	49→52	60→65	51→50	53	.260/.332/.483	.223	.283	27	14	20%	9%	131	+3.9	.243/.313/.471	.228	.264	29	9	21%	9%	121	+3.2	.230/.301/.463	.233	.247	31	7	22%	9%	109	+2.1
★Alfonso Soriano 2007 · MLB	31	50→57	64→70	54→60	47	.273/.330/.519	.246	.293	32	26	20%	7%	141	+4.5	.278/.333/.524	.246	.310	32	21	21%	7%	143	+4.7	.273/.328/.505	.232	.307	30	17	21%	7%	127	+3.3
●Torii Hunter 2007 · MLB	32	52→62	57→65	50→55	50	.272/.333/.472	.200	.292	26	19	17%	8%	129	+3.7	.281/.339/.485	.204	.307	25	17	17%	8%	134	+4.1	.285/.353/.459	.174	.328	22	7	19%	9%	131	+4.0
●Raul Mondesi 2001 · MLB	30	49→52	63→60	55	50	.266/.326/.501	.235	.276	31	25	18%	8%	134	+4.1	.253/.330/.461	.208	.273	26	22	18%	10%	124	+3.4	.250/.330/.453	.203	.269	25	21	17%	10%	117	+3.1
●Jorge Cantu 2015 · AAA	33	43→53	67→60	48→40	45	.251/.304/.502	.251	.260	38	6	22%	6%	126	+3.5	.260/.315/.436	.176	.292	22	6	19%	6%	112	+2.6	.255/.313/.410	.155	.296	18	4	20%	6%	105	+1.4
●Todd Frazier 2017 · MLB	31	45→54	61→65	47→50	49	.248/.314/.466	.218	.272	30	14	22%	8%	120	+3.1	.229/.322/.434	.205	.257	27	8	23%	11%	115	+2.8	.227/.328/.416	.189	.259	24	5	22%	11%	109	+2.1
●Mike Cameron 2005 · MLB	32	46→53	57→60	53→55	54	.241/.331/.450	.209	.287	24	21	25%	11%	122	+3.3	.255/.338/.462	.207	.310	22	20	24%	10%	128	+3.7	.248/.337/.456	.208	.304	23	20	25%	11%	123	+3.4
●Carlos Lee 2008 · MLB	32	54→59	61→65	49→50	55	.287/.345/.510	.223	.278	29	12	10%	8%	144	+4.8	.291/.343/.501	.210	.285	27	7	9%	7%	141	+4.5	.280/.330/.473	.193	.273	25	4	9%	6%	122	+3.2
✕Mitch Haniger 2022 · MLB	31	45→55	64→65	50	48	.251/.322/.486	.235	.285	33	4	25%	8%	129	+3.7	.239/.308/.426	.187	.287	26	3	26%	8%	108	+2.3	.216/.291/.366	.150	.271	20	1	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Jung Ho Kang 2019 · MLB	32	47→57	61→60	44→45	52	.255/.342/.477	.223	.277	29	7	20%	9%	134	+4.1	.232/.292/.432	.200	.289	26	6	29%	7%	102	+1.8	.201/.256/.430	.229	.240	32	0	32%	6%	83	+0.2
✕Jose Ortiz 2009 · AAA	32	57	57→55	50→45	45	.299/.335/.493	.195	.313	27	9	15%	5%	136	+4.2	.279/.326/.488	.209	.287	28	12	14%	5%	131	+3.9	.212/.260/.350	.138	.264	16	0	26%	5%	63	-0.2
●Luis Terrero 2013 · AAA	33	53→61	61→65	53→55	45	.275/.339/.497	.221	.330	30	24	26%	7%	138	+4.4	.271/.344/.457	.186	.328	25	18	24%	8%	130	+3.8	.269/.356/.445	.177	.327	24	15	24%	9%	130	+1.6
✕Mike Moustakas 2021 · MLB	32	46→54	61→65	49→45	53	.248/.322/.470	.223	.256	29	5	18%	9%	124	+3.4	.229/.302/.396	.167	.269	20	4	23%	8%	97	+1.5	.223/.290/.357	.134	.274	16	1	24%	7%	77	+0.1
●Reggie Sanders 2002 · MLB	34	46→52	62→70	51→55	50	.252/.323/.485	.233	.285	30	21	24%	9%	128	+3.7	.260/.328/.493	.233	.296	29	19	23%	8%	133	+4.0	.270/.333/.527	.256	.304	34	23	23%	8%	138	+3.2
●Carl Everett 2002 · MLB	31	53→56	60	51→50	48	.275/.344/.500	.225	.315	27	12	22%	8%	141	+4.5	.271/.341/.465	.194	.299	24	8	18%	8%	131	+3.9	.263/.334/.451	.187	.280	24	5	16%	8%	118	+2.4
●Joe Dillon 2007 · MLB	31	51→53	55	52→45	50	.267/.341/.453	.187	.296	24	12	19%	8%	128	+3.6	.251/.324/.415	.164	.277	18	8	16%	9%	110	+2.4	.243/.323/.393	.150	.268	15	7	15%	9%	104	+1.0

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)