Brandon Dixon
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 27 | AAADET | 46 | .174/.174/.239 | 1 | 0 | -10 | — | .152/.152/.217 | |
| 2019 | 27 | MLBDET | 420 | .248/.293/.435 | 15 | 5 | 106 | 0.2 | ||
| 2022 | 30 | AAA/AASD | 228 | .369/.448/.826 | 23 | 9 | 152 | — | .278/.336/.600 | |
| 2023 | 31 | AAASD | 273 | .268/.352/.502 | 15 | 7 | 70 | — | .206/.270/.351 | |
| 2023 | 31 | MLBSD | 86 | .203/.250/.329 | 2 | 1 | 62 | -0.8 | ||
| 2024 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | A | Great Lakes Loons | — | 228 | 211 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 185 | 229 | 261 | 489 | 76 | 259 | 29 | 5 | 218 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 416 | 390 | 102 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 103 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 262 | 287 | 410 | 697 | 149 | 330 | 25 | 3 | 299 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | INTL | Adelaide Bite | — | 218 | 204 | 59 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 54 | 6 | 21 | 2 | 289 | 326 | 525 | 850 | 235 | 352 | 25 | 2 | 366 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 349 | 336 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 98 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 244 | 272 | 375 | 647 | 131 | 322 | 28 | 3 | 287 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 193 | 174 | 52 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 299 | 361 | 575 | 936 | 276 | 345 | 24 | 8 | 401 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 66 | 61 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 295 | 328 | 508 | 836 | 213 | 333 | 23 | 5 | 355 | 126 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 461 | 419 | 109 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 137 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 260 | 319 | 434 | 753 | 174 | 342 | 30 | 7 | 330 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 70 | 60 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 333 | 429 | 550 | 979 | 217 | 529 | 34 | 14 | 430 | 177 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 491 | 440 | 116 | 31 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 125 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 264 | 331 | 457 | 787 | 193 | 328 | 25 | 8 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 124 | 118 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 218 | 356 | 574 | 178 | 229 | 35 | 5 | 253 | 53 | -7 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 193 | 179 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 54 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 346 | 391 | 570 | 960 | 223 | 467 | 28 | 6 | 417 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB | Detroit Tigers | — | 420 | 391 | 97 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 21 | 136 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 248 | 293 | 435 | 728 | 187 | 336 | 32 | 5 | 318 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 46 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 174 | 239 | 413 | 65 | 241 | 35 | 0 | 183 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 114 | 97 | 36 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 371 | 455 | 866 | 1.321 | 495 | 390 | 24 | 12 | 542 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 114 | 98 | 36 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 367 | 441 | 786 | 1.227 | 418 | 394 | 22 | 11 | 505 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 86 | 79 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 329 | 579 | 127 | 292 | 36 | 1 | 256 | 62 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 273 | 239 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 28 | 85 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 268 | 352 | 502 | 854 | 234 | 345 | 31 | 10 | 371 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 630 | 588 | 134 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 28 | 210 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 228 | 272 | 405 | 677 | 177 | 309 | 33 | 4 | 296 | 87 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -20 | +14 | -1.7 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 228 | 214 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 145 | 179 | 206 | 385 | 61 | 223 | 38 | 4 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 416 | 393 | 85 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 133 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 216 | 238 | 346 | 584 | 130 | 283 | 32 | 2 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 349 | 339 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 121 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 206 | 229 | 307 | 536 | 100 | 303 | 35 | 3 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 193 | 178 | 40 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 63 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 225 | 277 | 449 | 727 | 225 | 271 | 33 | 6 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 461 | 431 | 94 | 18 | 1 | 14 | 18 | 160 | 6 | 15 | 5 | 218 | 259 | 362 | 621 | 144 | 297 | 35 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 491 | 451 | 99 | 24 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 152 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 220 | 273 | 373 | 645 | 153 | 287 | 31 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 124 | 118 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 218 | 356 | 574 | 178 | 229 | 35 | 5 | 246 | 53 | -7 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +3 | -0.9 |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 193 | 183 | 50 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 67 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 273 | 307 | 448 | 755 | 175 | 398 | 35 | 4 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | Detroit Tigers | — | 420 | 391 | 99 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 136 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 253 | 298 | 448 | 746 | 194 | 336 | 32 | 5 | 324 | 106 | +3 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +9 | 0.2 |
| 2019 | 27 | AAA MLE | Toledo Mud Hens | — | 46 | 46 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | 152 | 217 | 370 | 65 | 222 | 39 | 0 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 114 | 103 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 252 | 312 | 544 | 856 | 291 | 277 | 30 | 7 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 114 | 102 | 31 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 304 | 360 | 657 | 1.017 | 353 | 317 | 26 | 7 | 418 | 169 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 86 | 79 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 250 | 329 | 579 | 127 | 292 | 36 | 1 | 259 | 62 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -6 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 273 | 248 | 51 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 103 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 206 | 270 | 351 | 621 | 145 | 296 | 38 | 7 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 228 | 214 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 145 | 179 | 206 | 385 | 61 | 233 | 38 | 4 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 228 | 211 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 65 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 185 | 229 | 261 | 489 | 76 | 259 | 29 | 5 | 218 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 598 | 128 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 203 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 214 | 241 | 338 | 579 | 124 | 297 | 32 | 2 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 634 | 594 | 161 | 40 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 157 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 271 | 300 | 449 | 750 | 178 | 337 | 25 | 3 | 322 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 608 | 579 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 207 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 212 | 245 | 354 | 599 | 142 | 293 | 34 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 608 | 571 | 152 | 29 | 5 | 22 | 31 | 159 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 266 | 306 | 450 | 756 | 184 | 330 | 26 | 5 | 331 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 498 | 108 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 185 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 217 | 257 | 359 | 617 | 143 | 304 | 35 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 531 | 479 | 129 | 30 | 1 | 18 | 40 | 161 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 269 | 333 | 449 | 782 | 180 | 363 | 30 | 8 | 343 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 491 | 451 | 99 | 24 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 152 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 220 | 273 | 373 | 645 | 153 | 295 | 31 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 491 | 440 | 116 | 31 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 125 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 264 | 331 | 457 | 787 | 193 | 328 | 25 | 8 | 343 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 301 | 70 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 110 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 233 | 269 | 399 | 668 | 166 | 333 | 35 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 317 | 297 | 83 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 97 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 279 | 323 | 485 | 808 | 205 | 379 | 31 | 6 | 353 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 437 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 154 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 243 | 284 | 423 | 707 | 181 | 330 | 33 | 5 | 307 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 466 | 437 | 105 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 21 | 152 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 281 | 414 | 696 | 174 | 326 | 33 | 5 | 304 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -2 | -8 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 205 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 64 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 283 | 341 | 610 | 951 | 327 | 318 | 28 | 7 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 228 | 195 | 72 | 16 | 2 | 23 | 26 | 52 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 369 | 448 | 826 | 1.274 | 456 | 392 | 23 | 11 | 523 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 327 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 134 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 208 | 268 | 352 | 620 | 144 | 305 | 37 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 359 | 318 | 80 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 116 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 252 | 328 | 459 | 787 | 208 | 332 | 32 | 8 | 344 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 21 | A MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 228 | 217 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 86 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 143 | 179 | 203 | 382 | 60 | 223 | 38 | 4 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 634 | 608 | 128 | 27 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 203 | 8 | 29 | 9 | 211 | 241 | 332 | 573 | 122 | 283 | 32 | 2 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 608 | 578 | 123 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 23 | 207 | 2 | 28 | 6 | 213 | 245 | 355 | 600 | 142 | 292 | 34 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 531 | 499 | 108 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 185 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 216 | 257 | 359 | 616 | 142 | 297 | 35 | 4 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 491 | 455 | 99 | 24 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 152 | 7 | 18 | 8 | 218 | 273 | 369 | 642 | 152 | 287 | 31 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 317 | 299 | 70 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 110 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 234 | 269 | 401 | 670 | 167 | 332 | 35 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 466 | 438 | 106 | 20 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 154 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 242 | 284 | 422 | 706 | 180 | 325 | 33 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 30 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 228 | 208 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 64 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 279 | 341 | 601 | 942 | 322 | 297 | 28 | 7 | 393 | 152 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 359 | 329 | 68 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 134 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 207 | 268 | 350 | 618 | 143 | 295 | 37 | 6 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 630 | 588 | 134 | 30 | 4 | 22 | 28 | 210 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 228 | 272 | 405 | 677 | 177 | 309 | 33 | 4 | 296 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -20 | +14 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 607 | 138 | 31 | 4 | 23 | 29 | 217 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 227 | 272 | 405 | 677 | 178 | 308 | 33 | 4 | 296 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -21 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3862 | 3610 | 791 | 161 | 23 | 115 | 162 | 1295 | 38 | 128 | 36 | 219 | 260 | 372 | 632 | 153 | 302 | 34 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -20 | +14 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 608 | 133 | 27 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 218 | 6 | 22 | 6 | 219 | 259 | 370 | 629 | 151 | 302 | 34 | 4 | 272 | 70 | -10 | +1 | -1 | -21 | +14 | -1.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 273 PAwOBA .365 → .272 (−93)K% 31.1% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.14% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷0.963 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 7.07% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.97% | ÷0.958 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×0.962 | 23.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×0.962 | 3.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×0.962 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.74% | ÷1.052 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 6.23% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 92, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .365 → .272; ISO .234 → .150; BABIP .345 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 114 PAwOBA .533 → .367 (−166)K% 23.7% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.959 | ×1.200 | — | — | 29.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 7.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×0.972 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.86% | ÷1.133 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.972 | 8.81% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 18.57% | ÷1.138 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 11.11% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 128, 1B 109, 2B 127, 3B 100, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .533 → .367; ISO .495 → .309; BABIP .390 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AASan Antonio Missions · 114 PAwOBA .503 → .418 (−85)K% 21.9% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.93% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.53% | ÷0.965 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.948 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×0.948 | 19.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.59% | ÷1.035 | ×0.840 | ×0.958 | ×0.948 | 7.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.035 | ×0.940 | ×0.958 | ×0.948 | 2.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.70% | ÷0.870 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.948 | 11.94% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 96, 2B 107, 3B 107, K 102, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 24.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .503 → .418; ISO .418 → .361; BABIP .394 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAAToledo Mud Hens · 46 PAwOBA .177 → .153 (−25)K% 34.8% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.78% | ÷1.056 | ×1.200 | — | — | 39.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.003 | 21.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.995 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷0.888 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.003 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 103, 2B 99, 3B 119, K 111, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .177 → .153; ISO .065 → .057; BABIP .241 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAALouisville Bats · 193 PAwOBA .406 → .322 (−84)K% 28.0% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.98% | ÷0.962 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.70% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 4.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.80% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 25.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.40% | ÷1.018 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 11.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.001 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 1.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.80% | ÷0.988 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 4.16% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 104, 3B 100, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .406 → .322; ISO .223 → .175; BABIP .467 → .398. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 AAALouisville Bats · 491 PAwOBA .338 → .278 (−60)K% 25.5% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.46% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.54% | ÷1.015 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.95% | ÷1.038 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 19.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷1.051 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 7.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.95% | ÷1.113 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.08% | ÷1.042 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 4.23% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 108, 2B 110, 3B 123, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .338 → .278; ISO .193 → .155; BABIP .328 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 461 PAwOBA .324 → .268 (−55)K% 29.7% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.72% | ÷1.042 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.07% | ÷1.075 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.47% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷1.081 | ×0.910 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 6.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.35% | ÷0.981 | ×0.880 | ×0.956 | ×1.012 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.67% | ÷0.924 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.97% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 116, 3B 96, K 108, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .324 → .268; ISO .174 → .147; BABIP .342 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATulsa Drillers · 349 PAwOBA .279 → .231 (−48)K% 28.1% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.08% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.44% | ÷0.976 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 2.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 0.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.938 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 23.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.72% | ÷1.006 | ×0.840 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 5.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.36% | ÷1.039 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 2.66% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 88, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .279 → .231; ISO .131 → .100; BABIP .322 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .