Hunter Goodman — OGILVIE

Hunter GoodmanC Colorado Rockies

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 220 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 2.058 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION376 act + 250 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 153149vR 138

AVG/OBP/SLG.249 / .310 / .512

PA250

HR15

K%30

BB%7

BABIP299

ISO262

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4811.2%

xwOBA

590.319

POWER60

Barrel%

8914.0

Avg EV

6990.4

Bat Spd

9075.6

EYE35

Chase%

7027.8%

SPEED50

Sprint

4627.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 905 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

255

650

—

wRC+

130

119

◀L

wOBA

355

340

◀L

ISO

276

228

◀◀L

BABIP

294

309

▶R

29.0%

27.7%

▶R

BB%

5.5%

5.2%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.058 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+2.2	$18M	+$17M
2027	Arb-1	$8M	+4.1	$30M	+$24M
2028	Arb-2	$13M	+4.0	$27M	+$17M
2029	Arb-3	$18M	+3.8	$24M	+$11M
Totals		$39M		$100M	+$69M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	74	64	13	5	0	1	5	20	4	1	0	203	301	328	629	125	273	27	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	74	60	18	7	0	2	9	14	4	1	0	300	425	517	941	217	356	19	12	412	174	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	3 teams	—	579	536	114	23	1	27	27	219	11	6	2	213	265	410	675	198	295	38	5	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	3 teams	—	579	523	154	33	2	36	40	151	11	6	2	294	357	572	929	277	346	26	7	400	164	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	544	495	98	28	3	28	35	163	7	1	1	198	261	436	697	238	225	30	6	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	3 teams	—	544	480	120	34	3	35	50	139	7	1	1	250	330	552	882	302	272	26	9	376	146	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	363	337	59	17	1	15	18	107	5	2	1	175	228	365	593	190	202	29	5	256	54	-19	+0	-6	+6	+10	-0.8
2024	24	MLB	2 teams	—	363	332	74	22	1	21	23	96	5	2	1	223	283	485	768	262	243	26	6	332	112	+5	+0	-6	+6	+10	1.6
2025	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	579	540	128	23	4	24	33	152	4	1	2	237	286	428	714	191	284	26	6	310	95	-3	-1	+9	+10	+16	3.2
2025	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	579	540	150	28	5	31	33	152	4	1	2	278	324	520	844	243	331	26	6	367	139	+25	-1	+9	+10	+16	6.1
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	MLB	COL	—	376	338	86	15	0	27	32	121	4	5	4	254	326	538	865	284	307	32	9	364	137	+16	-1	+2	+7	+11	3.5
YTD	26	MLB	COL	—	376	338	86	15	0	27	32	121	4	5	4	254	326	538	865	284	307	32	9	374	144	+19	-1	+2	+7	+11	3.8
ROS	26	MLB	COL	100%	250	228	57	11	2	15	18	74	2	3	2	249	310	512	821	262	295	30	7	355	130	+8	-0	-0	+4	+7	2.0
ROS	26	MLB	COL	100%	251	229	63	12	2	18	18	75	2	3	2	275	333	581	914	306	323	30	7	381	149	+14	-0	-0	+4	+7	2.6
FULL	26	MLB	COL	—	627	567	149	27	2	45	50	196	6	8	6	263	329	556	885	293	316	31	8	371	142	+30	-1	+2	+11	+18	6.1
TOT	26	MLB	COL	—	626	566	143	26	2	42	50	195	6	8	6	252	320	528	847	275	304	31	8	361	134	+24	-1	+2	+11	+18	5.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	COL	100%	520	471	116	22	4	31	39	155	5	5	3	246	311	507	818	261	293	30	8	354	129	+17	-0	-0	+9	+15	4.1
2028	28	MLB	COL	100%	520	471	116	22	4	31	39	156	5	5	3	246	311	507	818	261	293	30	8	353	128	+17	-0	-1	+9	+15	4.0
2029	29	MLB	COL	100%	520	471	116	22	4	31	39	157	5	5	3	246	311	507	818	261	292	30	8	351	127	+16	-0	-2	+9	+15	3.9
2030	30	MLB	COL	100%	520	470	113	21	3	31	40	158	5	4	3	240	307	496	803	255	290	30	8	348	125	+14	-0	-2	+9	+15	3.6
2031	31	MLB	COL	100%	504	456	108	20	3	29	38	155	5	4	2	237	303	485	787	248	287	31	8	344	121	+12	+0	-3	+9	+14	3.3
2032	32	MLB	COL	100%	489	445	104	19	3	28	37	152	4	3	2	234	298	479	777	245	282	31	8	337	116	+9	-0	-4	+9	+14	2.8
2033	33	MLB	COL	100%	436	396	90	16	3	24	33	138	4	2	1	227	293	465	758	237	276	32	8	329	110	+5	+0	-4	+8	+12	2.1
2034	34	MLB	COL	96%	356	323	70	12	2	19	27	115	3	1	1	217	283	443	726	226	268	32	8	319	102	+1	-0	-5	+6	+10	1.2
2035	35	MLB	COL	91%	291	266	56	9	2	15	21	96	2	1	0	211	273	429	702	218	259	33	7	307	93	-2	+0	-6	+5	+8	0.6
2036	36	MLB	COL	82%	220	200	40	6	1	11	16	74	2	0	0	200	266	405	671	205	250	34	7	294	83	-4	+0	-6	+4	+6	-0.0
2037	37	MLB	COL	73%	162	149	29	4	1	8	11	56	1	0	0	195	255	396	651	201	240	35	7	280	73	-5	+0	-7	+3	+5	-0.5
2027	27	MLB	COL	100%	520	471	127	24	4	36	39	155	5	5	3	270	332	567	899	297	320	30	8	379	148	+28	-0	-0	+9	+15	5.3
2028	28	MLB	COL	100%	520	471	127	24	4	36	39	156	5	5	3	270	332	567	899	297	319	30	8	378	147	+28	-0	-1	+9	+15	5.2
2029	29	MLB	COL	100%	520	471	126	24	4	36	39	157	5	5	3	268	330	565	895	297	318	30	8	376	146	+27	-0	-2	+9	+15	5.0
2030	30	MLB	COL	100%	520	470	125	24	4	35	40	158	5	4	3	266	330	557	888	291	317	30	8	373	143	+26	-0	-2	+9	+15	4.8
2031	31	MLB	COL	100%	504	456	119	23	3	34	38	155	5	4	2	261	325	548	873	287	313	31	8	368	140	+23	+0	-3	+9	+14	4.4
2032	32	MLB	COL	100%	489	445	113	21	3	32	37	152	4	3	2	254	317	530	847	276	308	31	8	361	135	+19	-0	-4	+9	+14	3.8
2033	33	MLB	COL	100%	436	396	99	18	3	28	33	138	4	2	1	250	314	523	837	273	301	32	8	352	128	+14	+0	-4	+8	+12	3.0
2034	34	MLB	COL	96%	340	309	74	13	2	21	25	110	3	1	1	239	303	498	801	259	292	32	7	341	119	+7	-0	-5	+6	+10	1.8
2035	35	MLB	COL	91%	265	242	56	9	2	16	19	87	2	1	0	231	293	483	776	252	281	33	7	328	109	+3	+0	-5	+5	+8	1.0
2036	36	MLB	COL	82%	180	164	36	6	1	10	13	61	1	0	0	220	281	451	732	232	271	34	7	314	98	-0	+0	-5	+3	+5	0.3
2037	37	MLB	COL	73%	118	108	22	3	1	6	8	41	1	0	0	204	265	417	682	213	260	35	7	299	87	-2	+0	-5	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	5543	5053	1291	242	41	353	394	1685	49	36	23	255	316	529	845	274	308	30	7	358	132	+202	-2	-36	+94	+157	42.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	151	28	5	41	46	198	6	4	3	255	315	526	841	272	307	30	7	358	132	+24	-0	-4	+11	+18	5.0
Career	—			—	6927	6318	1427	280	41	368	476	2147	74	44	26	226	288	458	746	232	275	31	7	322	105	+38	-2	-40	+108	+196	30.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	134	26	4	35	45	201	7	4	2	226	289	460	749	234	274	31	7	322	105	+4	+0	-4	+10	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	74	60	18	7	0	2	9	14	4	1	0	300	425	517	941	217	356	19	12	412	174	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.9
2022	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	47	44	10	0	0	2	3	12	0	1	0	227	277	364	640	136	267	26	6	287	78	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	211	197	62	16	1	12	11	61	1	1	0	315	354	589	943	274	397	29	5	405	168	+16	+0	—	—	+6	2.3
2022	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	321	282	82	17	1	22	26	78	10	4	2	291	371	592	963	301	324	24	8	413	175	+27	+0	—	—	+9	3.7
2023	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	77	70	14	4	3	1	5	24	0	1	0	200	253	386	639	186	277	31	6	272	67	-3	+0	-0	-6	+2	-0.7
2023	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	67	62	23	6	0	9	4	17	1	0	1	371	418	903	1.321	532	389	25	6	555	283	+14	-0	—	—	+2	1.6
2023	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	400	348	83	24	0	25	41	98	6	0	0	239	329	523	852	284	252	24	10	367	139	+17	+0	—	—	+11	2.9
2024	24	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	224	211	40	9	0	13	8	64	3	1	1	190	230	417	647	227	199	29	4	280	72	-7	-0	-6	+6	+6	-0.1
2024	24	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	139	121	34	13	1	8	15	32	2	1	0	281	370	603	973	322	317	23	11	415	176	+12	+0	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	25	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	579	540	150	28	5	31	33	152	4	1	2	278	324	520	844	243	331	26	6	367	139	+25	-1	+9	+10	+16	6.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	880	821	204	41	8	45	46	240	7	3	3	248	294	482	776	234	293	27	5	336	116	+15	-1	+2	+11	+25	5.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 15 projected seasons	15	6,188	352	41	238	297	484	+90	+6	39.0	33.4
	/162	664	38	4	238	297	484	+9.7	+0.7	4.2	pk7: 28
#1Jason Variteklast yr '11 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,047 PA	12	5,047	166	22	255	343	431	+61	+15	33.1	30.8
	/162	664	22	3	255	343	431	+8.0	+1.9	4.4	pk7: 28
#2Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	10	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
	/162	664	29	10	242	319	448	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#3Stephen Drewlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,917 PA	12	4,917	123	41	252	318	423	+48	+35	26.2	25.1
	/162	664	17	6	252	318	423	+6.5	+4.7	3.5	pk7: 24
#4Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	12	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
	/162	664	21	3	253	305	430	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#5Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#6Evan Gattislast yr '18 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,662 PA	6	2,662	139	3	248	300	476	+30	+20	17.0	17.0
	/162	664	35	1	248	300	476	+7.6	+4.9	4.2	pk7: 17

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hunter Goodman (OGILVIE)	26	45	60	50	35	252/320/528	275	304	42	8	31%	8%	134	+5.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Will Smith 2021 · MLB	26	42→52	63→65	50→45	51	234/320/469	235	265	31	5	26%	10%	123	+3.3	263/358/486	223	286	28	4	19%	11%	143	+4.7	263/362/474	212	284	26	3	18%	11%	136	+3.9
●Willy Adames 2022 · MLB	26	52	58→65	43→50	49	263/333/475	212	336	26	6	29%	10%	129	+3.7	245/319/460	215	298	27	9	27%	10%	120	+3.1	236/326/443	207	281	27	11	26%	11%	115	+3.1
●William Contreras 2023 · MLB	25	49→59	57→55	49→45	48	256/325/450	193	317	26	4	27%	9%	120	+3.1	279/359/458	179	336	20	7	21%	11%	135	+4.2	280/367/450	170	331	18	6	20%	12%	131	+4.2
✕Franmil Reyes 2022 · MLB	27	47→51	65	47→45	47	256/325/497	242	316	34	4	30%	9%	133	+4.0	226/287/390	164	306	22	4	32%	8%	89	+0.9	208/267/343	135	287	18	2	33%	7%	66	-0.4
●Gary Sánchez 2019 · MLB	26	41→50	61→65	47→45	50	233/310/452	220	257	30	4	24%	9%	115	+2.8	212/301/443	231	241	33	3	28%	10%	109	+2.4	224/310/436	212	260	32	1	27%	9%	109	+1.1
●Miguel Sanó 2019 · MLB	26	47→53	59→70	46→45	48	237/320/444	207	337	28	2	36%	11%	116	+2.8	233/318/490	257	323	35	2	37%	11%	128	+3.6	226/315/501	275	299	39	1	37%	11%	127	+2.4
★Mark Reynolds 2009 · MLB	25	49→55	59→65	49→50	47	252/326/467	215	335	27	7	32%	10%	124	+3.4	233/329/475	242	308	32	12	33%	12%	128	+3.7	221/327/472	251	283	35	12	34%	12%	122	+3.4
✕Tyler Moore 2013 · MLB	26	42→48	64→65	52→40	39	239/283/478	239	289	33	5	30%	5%	111	+2.5	233/292/410	177	295	22	3	28%	7%	96	+1.5	222/285/379	157	281	19	0	27%	7%	81	+0.2
✕J.P. Arencibia 2013 · MLB	27	41→47	59→60	46→30	42	226/279/432	206	267	28	3	28%	6%	96	+1.5	206/245/388	182	252	26	2	30%	4%	71	-0.3	192/225/369	177	232	27	0	32%	3%	56	-1.0
●Brandon Lowe 2020 · MLB	26	49	59→70	49→45	46	254/322/471	217	324	26	9	29%	8%	124	+3.4	253/336/504	251	303	33	8	27%	10%	139	+4.4	244/336/502	258	278	35	6	26%	11%	134	+2.6
✕Paul DeJong 2020 · MLB	26	45→50	59→60	43→45	47	243/315/452	209	281	27	6	24%	8%	117	+2.9	219/298/399	180	263	24	7	26%	9%	96	+1.5	227/278/404	177	297	25	5	32%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Humberto Cota 2005 · MLB	26	46	58→50	50→30	43	247/303/448	201	297	27	7	27%	6%	111	+2.5	235/286/360	125	292	12	4	23%	6%	79	+0.3	269/337/401	132	320	15	0	20%	9%	111	+1.4
✕Tommy Medica 2014 · MLB	26	50→53	62→65	45	43	262/324/496	235	323	30	4	28%	7%	132	+4.0	227/282/383	156	292	18	8	28%	6%	85	+0.7	207/262/335	127	269	14	9	28%	5%	61	-0.6
★Austin Riley 2023 · MLB	26	53→59	62→65	46→40	48	280/351/515	235	330	30	2	25%	8%	147	+5.0	270/335/486	216	326	28	3	25%	8%	134	+4.1	266/329/471	205	324	26	2	26%	8%	123	+3.0
●Josh Jung 2023 · MLB	25	47→51	58→60	48→45	38	248/296/455	206	315	27	7	30%	5%	109	+2.4	251/296/427	176	321	23	6	28%	5%	102	+1.8	262/312/407	145	321	17	5	23%	6%	101	+1.1
★Teoscar Hernández 2020 · MLB	27	43→53	61→65	48→55	44	232/297/458	225	297	29	10	32%	8%	111	+2.5	267/322/499	232	332	32	11	29%	7%	132	+4.0	268/324/484	215	346	28	8	30%	7%	126	+3.6
●Pedro Álvarez 2014 · MLB	27	43→46	61→60	48→45	46	237/305/455	218	294	30	3	30%	9%	113	+2.6	241/314/454	213	289	30	6	27%	9%	117	+2.9	238/316/450	212	278	30	5	26%	10%	108	+1.7
●Wily Mo Peña 2006 · MLB	24	47→54	63→65	45→40	40	254/307/484	230	325	33	7	32%	6%	122	+3.3	258/315/437	179	338	23	4	29%	7%	112	+2.6	283/332/504	221	346	31	3	27%	5%	135	+1.7
●Hunter Renfroe 2019 · MLB	27	45→47	63→70	47→45	41	248/294/481	233	288	31	5	27%	6%	116	+2.8	233/299/488	255	264	36	6	27%	8%	120	+3.1	243/305/458	215	272	29	1	23%	8%	112	+2.3
●Renato Núñez 2021 · MLB	27	46→51	56→60	44→30	46	243/308/431	189	288	25	3	26%	8%	108	+2.3	244/314/463	219	292	30	5	27%	7%	120	+3.1	232/307/469	237	267	35	1	28%	7%	116	+2.1