Hunter Goodman
C Colorado Rockies| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAACOL | 139 | .281/.370/.603 | 8 | 1 | 102 | — | .224/.297/.448 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLBCOL | 224 | .190/.230/.417 | 13 | 1 | 64 | -0.5 | |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBCOL | 579 | .278/.324/.520 | 31 | 1 | 119 | 4.5 | |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBCOL | 574 | .245/.313/.529 | 41 | 5 | 113 | 3.3 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBCOL | 445 | .250/.306/.514 | 28 | 3 | 110 | 2.4 | |
| 2028PROJ | 28 | MLBCOL | 445 | .248/.304/.508 | 28 | 2 | 108 | 2.2 | |
| 2029PROJ | 29 | MLBCOL | 445 | .245/.301/.501 | 28 | 1 | 106 | 2.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 74 | 60 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 425 | 517 | 941 | 217 | 356 | 19 | 12 | 412 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 47 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 277 | 364 | 640 | 136 | 267 | 26 | 6 | 287 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 211 | 197 | 62 | 16 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 315 | 354 | 589 | 943 | 274 | 397 | 29 | 5 | 405 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 321 | 282 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 22 | 26 | 78 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 291 | 371 | 592 | 963 | 301 | 324 | 24 | 8 | 413 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 77 | 70 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 253 | 386 | 639 | 186 | 277 | 31 | 6 | 272 | 53 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +2 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 67 | 62 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 371 | 418 | 903 | 1.321 | 532 | 389 | 25 | 6 | 555 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 400 | 348 | 83 | 24 | 0 | 25 | 41 | 98 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 239 | 329 | 523 | 852 | 284 | 252 | 24 | 10 | 367 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 224 | 211 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 190 | 230 | 417 | 647 | 227 | 199 | 29 | 4 | 280 | 64 | -10 | -0 | -6 | +6 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 139 | 121 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 370 | 603 | 973 | 322 | 317 | 23 | 11 | 415 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 579 | 540 | 150 | 28 | 5 | 31 | 33 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 278 | 324 | 520 | 844 | 243 | 331 | 26 | 6 | 367 | 119 | +13 | -1 | +9 | +10 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Colorado Rockies | — | 574 | 518 | 127 | 20 | 2 | 41 | 46 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 245 | 313 | 529 | 842 | 284 | 280 | 30 | 8 | 362 | 113 | +9 | -1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 3.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1454 | 1339 | 331 | 61 | 10 | 86 | 92 | 415 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 247 | 301 | 500 | 802 | 253 | 289 | 29 | 6 | 347 | 121 | +36 | -2 | +4 | +21 | +32 | 9.2 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 74 | 64 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 301 | 328 | 629 | 125 | 260 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 47 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 234 | 333 | 567 | 133 | 254 | 32 | 4 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 211 | 200 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 84 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 249 | 385 | 634 | 170 | 317 | 40 | 4 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 321 | 290 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 17 | 18 | 110 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 228 | 296 | 455 | 751 | 228 | 282 | 34 | 6 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 77 | 70 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 186 | 240 | 343 | 583 | 157 | 277 | 31 | 6 | 247 | 53 | -4 | +0 | -0 | -6 | +2 | -0.9 |
| 2023 | 23 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 67 | 63 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 328 | 651 | 979 | 365 | 332 | 33 | 4 | 395 | 153 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 400 | 361 | 70 | 20 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 114 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 263 | 407 | 670 | 213 | 214 | 28 | 7 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 224 | 211 | 38 | 9 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 64 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 180 | 221 | 393 | 614 | 213 | 199 | 29 | 4 | 263 | 64 | -10 | -0 | -6 | +6 | +5 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Albuquerque Isotopes | — | 139 | 125 | 28 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 297 | 448 | 745 | 224 | 278 | 28 | 8 | 319 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 579 | 540 | 140 | 27 | 3 | 27 | 33 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 259 | 307 | 470 | 777 | 211 | 331 | 26 | 6 | 345 | 119 | +13 | -1 | +9 | +10 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 574 | 522 | 118 | 19 | 1 | 36 | 42 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 226 | 290 | 473 | 763 | 247 | 280 | 30 | 7 | 335 | 113 | +9 | -1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 74 | 64 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 301 | 328 | 629 | 125 | 273 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 74 | 60 | 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 300 | 425 | 517 | 941 | 217 | 356 | 19 | 12 | 412 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 579 | 536 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 25 | 27 | 209 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 218 | 270 | 410 | 680 | 192 | 300 | 36 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 579 | 523 | 154 | 33 | 2 | 36 | 40 | 151 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 294 | 357 | 572 | 929 | 277 | 346 | 26 | 7 | 400 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 544 | 494 | 101 | 29 | 2 | 26 | 36 | 159 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 268 | 429 | 697 | 225 | 237 | 29 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 544 | 480 | 120 | 34 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 139 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 330 | 552 | 882 | 302 | 272 | 26 | 9 | 376 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 336 | 67 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 253 | 417 | 669 | 217 | 228 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 363 | 332 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 21 | 23 | 96 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 223 | 283 | 485 | 768 | 262 | 243 | 26 | 6 | 332 | 79 | -9 | +0 | -6 | +6 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 579 | 540 | 140 | 27 | 3 | 27 | 33 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 259 | 307 | 470 | 777 | 211 | 311 | 26 | 6 | 345 | 119 | +13 | -1 | +9 | +10 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 579 | 540 | 150 | 28 | 5 | 31 | 33 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 278 | 324 | 520 | 844 | 243 | 331 | 26 | 6 | 367 | 119 | +13 | -1 | +9 | +10 | +13 | 4.5 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 574 | 522 | 118 | 19 | 1 | 36 | 42 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 226 | 290 | 473 | 763 | 247 | 259 | 30 | 7 | 335 | 113 | +9 | -1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | Colorado Rockies | — | 574 | 518 | 127 | 20 | 2 | 41 | 46 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 245 | 313 | 529 | 842 | 284 | 280 | 30 | 8 | 362 | 113 | +9 | -1 | +2 | +10 | +12 | 3.3 |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 74 | 65 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 301 | 323 | 624 | 123 | 260 | 27 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 579 | 536 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 25 | 27 | 209 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 218 | 270 | 410 | 680 | 192 | 292 | 36 | 5 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 544 | 496 | 101 | 29 | 2 | 26 | 36 | 159 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 268 | 427 | 696 | 224 | 237 | 29 | 7 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 336 | 67 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 253 | 417 | 669 | 217 | 229 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 579 | 537 | 140 | 27 | 3 | 27 | 33 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 261 | 307 | 473 | 780 | 212 | 331 | 26 | 6 | 345 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 574 | 522 | 118 | 19 | 1 | 36 | 42 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 226 | 290 | 473 | 763 | 247 | 280 | 30 | 7 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 363 | 336 | 67 | 20 | 1 | 17 | 19 | 103 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 253 | 417 | 669 | 217 | 229 | 28 | 5 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 579 | 537 | 140 | 27 | 3 | 27 | 33 | 152 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 261 | 307 | 473 | 780 | 212 | 331 | 26 | 6 | 345 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Colorado Rockies | — | 574 | 522 | 118 | 19 | 1 | 36 | 42 | 175 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 226 | 290 | 473 | 763 | 247 | 280 | 30 | 7 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 533 | 488 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 30 | 35 | 150 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 234 | 292 | 470 | 762 | 235 | 270 | 28 | 7 | 331 | 110 | +6 | +0 | +1 | +10 | +12 | 2.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 445 | 409 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 28 | 29 | 125 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 250 | 306 | 514 | 820 | 264 | 285 | 28 | 7 | 354 | 110 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 2.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 445 | 409 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 25 | 29 | 126 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 290 | 465 | 755 | 232 | 269 | 28 | 7 | 328 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 445 | 409 | 95 | 16 | 2 | 25 | 29 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 287 | 459 | 746 | 228 | 267 | 29 | 7 | 324 | 106 | +3 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 445 | 410 | 92 | 16 | 1 | 24 | 29 | 129 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 283 | 450 | 734 | 223 | 265 | 29 | 7 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 426 | 393 | 87 | 15 | 1 | 23 | 27 | 125 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 278 | 440 | 718 | 217 | 261 | 29 | 6 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 407 | 376 | 82 | 14 | 1 | 21 | 25 | 121 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 271 | 426 | 697 | 209 | 255 | 30 | 6 | 304 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB MLE | COL | 100% | 338 | 312 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 17 | 21 | 103 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 262 | 408 | 671 | 199 | 248 | 30 | 6 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB MLE | COL | 96% | 269 | 250 | 50 | 8 | 0 | 13 | 16 | 84 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 252 | 387 | 639 | 188 | 239 | 31 | 6 | 281 | 76 | -8 | +0 | -5 | +5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 445 | 409 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 28 | 29 | 126 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 248 | 304 | 508 | 812 | 261 | 284 | 28 | 7 | 351 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -0 | +8 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 445 | 409 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 28 | 29 | 128 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 301 | 501 | 802 | 256 | 282 | 29 | 7 | 347 | 106 | +3 | -0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 445 | 410 | 99 | 17 | 2 | 27 | 29 | 129 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 297 | 492 | 789 | 250 | 279 | 29 | 7 | 341 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 1.8 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 426 | 393 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 26 | 27 | 125 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 237 | 291 | 480 | 771 | 244 | 274 | 29 | 6 | 334 | 98 | -1 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +9 | 1.4 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 407 | 376 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 24 | 25 | 121 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 284 | 464 | 748 | 234 | 268 | 30 | 6 | 325 | 92 | -4 | +0 | -3 | +7 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB CTX | COL | 100% | 338 | 312 | 69 | 11 | 1 | 19 | 21 | 103 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 274 | 445 | 719 | 223 | 261 | 30 | 6 | 313 | 85 | -6 | +0 | -4 | +6 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB CTX | COL | 96% | 257 | 239 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 14 | 15 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 263 | 422 | 685 | 210 | 251 | 31 | 6 | 299 | 76 | -7 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 4217 | 3887 | 931 | 161 | 21 | 252 | 267 | 1227 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 240 | 294 | 486 | 780 | 247 | 279 | 29 | 6 | 337 | 98 | +26 | -1 | -12 | +71 | +91 | 17.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 144 | 25 | 3 | 39 | 41 | 189 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 240 | 295 | 487 | 782 | 247 | 280 | 29 | 6 | 337 | 98 | +4 | -0 | -2 | +11 | +14 | 2.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5933 | 5460 | 1220 | 238 | 19 | 305 | 367 | 1759 | 60 | 25 | 14 | 223 | 280 | 442 | 721 | 218 | 266 | 30 | 6 | 313 | 98 | +31 | -1 | -12 | +79 | +101 | 20.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 598 | 133 | 26 | 2 | 33 | 40 | 193 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 279 | 438 | 717 | 216 | 266 | 30 | 6 | 313 | 98 | +4 | -0 | -2 | +11 | +14 | 2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 139 PAwOBA .407 → .319 (−88)K% 23.0% → 28.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.02% | ÷0.979 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.79% | ÷1.018 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.48% | ÷0.990 | ×0.930 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 12.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 14.61% | ÷0.988 | ×0.830 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 12.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×1.033 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.99% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .407 → .319; ISO .322 → .233; BABIP .317 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAHartford Yard Goats · 400 PAwOBA .360 → .290 (−70)K% 24.5% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.50% | ÷1.052 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.009 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.60% | ÷1.065 | ×0.970 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 12.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.60% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 8.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.969 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.040 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 7.59% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 113, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 110, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .360 → .290; ISO .284 → .224; BABIP .252 → .214. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAAlbuquerque Isotopes · 67 PAwOBA .538 → .395 (−143)K% 25.4% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.37% | ÷0.947 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.97% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.78% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 17.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.33% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 11.57% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 13.82% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 104, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 89, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .538 → .395; ISO .532 → .355; BABIP .389 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFresno Grizzlies · 321 PAwOBA .405 → .312 (−94)K% 24.3% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.30% | ÷0.961 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.10% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 5.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.12% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.59% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.990 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×0.990 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×0.984 | ×0.990 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.78% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 9.02% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .405 → .312; ISO .301 → .229; BABIP .324 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Spokane Indians · 211 PAwOBA .397 → .264 (−132)K% 28.9% → 40.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.91% | ÷0.975 | ×1.350 | — | — | 40.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.21% | ÷1.022 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.26% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 20.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 9.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.74% | ÷0.953 | ×0.820 | ×0.958 | ×0.998 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.316 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.55% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 163, 1B 108, 2B 96, 3B 91, K 95, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .397 → .264; ISO .274 → .164; BABIP .397 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAHartford Yard Goats · 47 PAwOBA .279 → .234 (−46)K% 25.5% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.53% | ÷1.006 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.38% | ÷1.002 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.032 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 24.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.992 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 101, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .279 → .234; ISO .136 → .104; BABIP .267 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rockies · 74 PAwOBA .407 → .283 (−124)K% 18.9% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.16% | ÷1.061 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.41% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 3.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.57% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 15.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.22% | ÷1.009 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 10.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.029 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 3.21% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .407 → .283; ISO .217 → .155; BABIP .356 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).