Gary Sánchez
C Milwaukee Brewers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31 | INTLLeones del Es… | 47 | .139/.326/.472 | 4 | 0 | 121 | — | |
| 2024 | 31 | MLBMIL | 280 | .220/.310/.392 | 11 | 0 | 97 | 1.3 | |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 134 | .289/.396/.561 | 9 | 0 | 132 | — | .294/.368/.549 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLBBAL | 101 | .231/.300/.418 | 5 | 0 | 97 | 0.3 | |
| 2026 | 33 | MLBMIL | 275 | .209/.350/.422 | 12 | 0 | 119 | 1.5 | |
| 2027PROJ | 34 | MLBMIL | 152 | .224/.336/.441 | 7 | 1 | 118 | 0.8 | |
| 2028PROJ | 35 | MLBMIL | 100 | .212/.323/.414 | 5 | 0 | 108 | -0.2 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees | — | 136 | 119 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 353 | 425 | 597 | 1.022 | 244 | 414 | 21 | 8 | 440 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 343 | 301 | 77 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 36 | 93 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 256 | 339 | 485 | 824 | 229 | 308 | 27 | 10 | 359 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 22 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300 | 364 | 300 | 664 | 545 | 41 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 185 | 172 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 41 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 279 | 330 | 436 | 766 | 157 | 341 | 22 | 5 | 341 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 289 | 263 | 78 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 22 | 65 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 297 | 355 | 517 | 873 | 221 | 348 | 22 | 8 | 380 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 23 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238 | 304 | 429 | 733 | 190 | 286 | 26 | 9 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 110 | 92 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 367 | 380 | 747 | 130 | 280 | 15 | 12 | 340 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ | Tampa Yankees | — | 399 | 362 | 92 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 28 | 71 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 316 | 420 | 736 | 166 | 280 | 18 | 7 | 325 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 32 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 258 | 214 | 472 | 36 | 263 | 28 | 9 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 477 | 429 | 116 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 43 | 91 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 340 | 406 | 745 | 135 | 314 | 19 | 9 | 333 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 146 | 132 | 39 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 295 | 354 | 500 | 854 | 205 | 330 | 19 | 8 | 371 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA | Trenton Thunder | — | 254 | 233 | 61 | 14 | 0 | 12 | 18 | 50 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 262 | 320 | 476 | 797 | 215 | 285 | 20 | 7 | 349 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 98 | 88 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 295 | 361 | 625 | 986 | 330 | 302 | 19 | 8 | 419 | 170 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 229 | 201 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 24 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 299 | 379 | 657 | 1.036 | 358 | 317 | 25 | 10 | 439 | 172 | +20 | +0 | +6 | +10 | +5 | 4.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 313 | 284 | 80 | 21 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 282 | 342 | 468 | 810 | 187 | 302 | 14 | 7 | 355 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 525 | 471 | 131 | 20 | 0 | 33 | 40 | 120 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 278 | 347 | 531 | 878 | 253 | 304 | 23 | 8 | 381 | 138 | +24 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 5.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 374 | 323 | 60 | 17 | 0 | 18 | 46 | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 186 | 293 | 406 | 699 | 220 | 197 | 25 | 12 | 311 | 93 | -3 | +0 | +3 | +7 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 28 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 179 | 607 | 786 | 429 | 71 | 36 | 0 | 330 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 446 | 396 | 92 | 12 | 1 | 34 | 40 | 125 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 317 | 525 | 842 | 293 | 244 | 28 | 9 | 366 | 124 | +13 | -0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 178 | 156 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 253 | 365 | 618 | 218 | 159 | 36 | 10 | 279 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2020 | 27 | INTL | Toros del Este | — | 62 | 53 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 355 | 434 | 789 | 189 | 344 | 31 | 10 | 355 | 127 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB | New York Yankees | — | 440 | 383 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 23 | 52 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 307 | 423 | 730 | 219 | 230 | 28 | 12 | 326 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB | Minnesota Twins | — | 471 | 419 | 86 | 24 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 136 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 285 | 377 | 662 | 172 | 257 | 29 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +9 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB | San Diego Padres | — | 267 | 240 | 52 | 9 | 0 | 19 | 21 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 291 | 492 | 782 | 275 | 212 | 25 | 8 | 339 | 115 | +5 | +0 | +6 | +7 | +6 | 2.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | — | 106 | 81 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 210 | 390 | 284 | 674 | 74 | 308 | 27 | 19 | 326 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 280 | 245 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 310 | 392 | 702 | 171 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 313 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2024 | 31 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 47 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 326 | 472 | 798 | 333 | 48 | 26 | 17 | 346 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 101 | 91 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 300 | 418 | 718 | 187 | 267 | 27 | 4 | 318 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 57 | 49 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 367 | 456 | 755 | 1.211 | 388 | 375 | 19 | 9 | 516 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 77 | 65 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 351 | 415 | 766 | 185 | 286 | 26 | 10 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 275 | 225 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 350 | 422 | 773 | 213 | 226 | 21 | 17 | 347 | 119 | +6 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 1.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 3586 | 3150 | 704 | 130 | 4 | 201 | 358 | 946 | 57 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 314 | 459 | 773 | 235 | 249 | 26 | 10 | 339 | 116 | +68 | +0 | +31 | +76 | +78 | 25.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 136 | 124 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 328 | 460 | 788 | 185 | 345 | 29 | 4 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 343 | 315 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 126 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 210 | 265 | 371 | 637 | 162 | 291 | 37 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 185 | 175 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 223 | 265 | 349 | 613 | 126 | 316 | 32 | 4 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 289 | 271 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 89 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 244 | 286 | 399 | 684 | 155 | 323 | 31 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 110 | 96 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 219 | 312 | 323 | 635 | 104 | 253 | 17 | 8 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | Tampa Yankees | — | 399 | 368 | 83 | 20 | 0 | 12 | 22 | 97 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 278 | 378 | 656 | 152 | 265 | 24 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 477 | 440 | 115 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 112 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 314 | 377 | 692 | 116 | 322 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 146 | 136 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 265 | 306 | 456 | 761 | 191 | 307 | 23 | 5 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 254 | 240 | 55 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 229 | 269 | 379 | 648 | 150 | 276 | 25 | 4 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 229 | 203 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 22 | 57 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 291 | 366 | 631 | 996 | 340 | 317 | 25 | 10 | 422 | 172 | +20 | +0 | +6 | +10 | +5 | 4.1 |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 313 | 289 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 256 | 306 | 415 | 722 | 159 | 280 | 17 | 5 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 525 | 472 | 129 | 20 | 0 | 31 | 39 | 120 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 342 | 513 | 854 | 239 | 304 | 23 | 7 | 372 | 138 | +24 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 5.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 374 | 323 | 59 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 46 | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 290 | 393 | 684 | 211 | 197 | 25 | 12 | 305 | 93 | -3 | +0 | +3 | +7 | +8 | 1.6 |
| 2018 | 25 | AAA MLE | Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders | — | 28 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 464 | 607 | 321 | 62 | 43 | 0 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 446 | 399 | 90 | 12 | 1 | 32 | 37 | 125 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 306 | 501 | 807 | 276 | 244 | 28 | 8 | 351 | 124 | +13 | -0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 178 | 156 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 64 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 141 | 247 | 340 | 587 | 199 | 159 | 36 | 10 | 272 | 70 | -6 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 440 | 386 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 22 | 49 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 298 | 409 | 707 | 210 | 230 | 28 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 471 | 419 | 86 | 24 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 136 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 285 | 377 | 662 | 172 | 257 | 29 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +9 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | San Diego Padres | — | 267 | 240 | 53 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 21 | 67 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 294 | 500 | 794 | 279 | 212 | 25 | 8 | 339 | 115 | +5 | +0 | +6 | +7 | +6 | 2.3 |
| 2023 | 30 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Mets | — | 106 | 87 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 305 | 218 | 523 | 57 | 262 | 34 | 13 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 280 | 245 | 53 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 76 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 216 | 307 | 376 | 682 | 159 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | +6 | 1.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 101 | 91 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 231 | 300 | 418 | 718 | 187 | 267 | 27 | 4 | 312 | 97 | -0 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +2 | 0.3 |
| 2025 | 32 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 57 | 51 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 294 | 368 | 549 | 917 | 255 | 321 | 25 | 5 | 387 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 275 | 226 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 347 | 412 | 758 | 204 | 226 | 21 | 16 | 344 | 119 | +6 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 136 | 124 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 328 | 460 | 788 | 185 | 358 | 29 | 4 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees | — | 136 | 119 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 353 | 425 | 597 | 1.022 | 244 | 414 | 21 | 8 | 440 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 335 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 134 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 212 | 269 | 376 | 645 | 164 | 302 | 37 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 365 | 321 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 102 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 259 | 341 | 474 | 814 | 215 | 320 | 28 | 10 | 356 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 497 | 468 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 156 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 237 | 279 | 382 | 661 | 145 | 323 | 31 | 4 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 497 | 456 | 131 | 30 | 1 | 19 | 34 | 112 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 287 | 343 | 482 | 826 | 195 | 343 | 23 | 7 | 363 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 493 | 111 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 33 | 124 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 286 | 369 | 655 | 144 | 267 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 541 | 482 | 120 | 28 | 0 | 15 | 44 | 96 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 249 | 323 | 400 | 724 | 151 | 279 | 18 | 8 | 322 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 477 | 440 | 115 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 112 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 314 | 377 | 692 | 116 | 325 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA RAW | Trenton Thunder | — | 477 | 429 | 116 | 19 | 0 | 13 | 43 | 91 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 340 | 406 | 745 | 135 | 314 | 19 | 9 | 333 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 498 | 467 | 115 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 23 | 122 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 246 | 287 | 418 | 705 | 171 | 293 | 24 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 498 | 453 | 126 | 29 | 1 | 25 | 37 | 97 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 278 | 338 | 512 | 850 | 234 | 301 | 19 | 7 | 369 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 492 | 133 | 29 | 1 | 28 | 38 | 111 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 270 | 331 | 504 | 836 | 234 | 293 | 20 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 542 | 485 | 140 | 33 | 1 | 30 | 45 | 102 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 289 | 358 | 546 | 904 | 258 | 307 | 19 | 8 | 391 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 525 | 472 | 129 | 20 | 0 | 31 | 39 | 120 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 273 | 342 | 513 | 854 | 239 | 302 | 23 | 7 | 372 | 138 | +24 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 5.5 |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 525 | 471 | 131 | 20 | 0 | 33 | 40 | 120 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 278 | 347 | 531 | 878 | 253 | 304 | 23 | 8 | 381 | 138 | +24 | +0 | +9 | +9 | +11 | 5.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 351 | 63 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 46 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 280 | 399 | 679 | 219 | 189 | 26 | 11 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +3 | +7 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 402 | 351 | 65 | 17 | 0 | 22 | 46 | 104 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 285 | 422 | 707 | 236 | 189 | 26 | 11 | 312 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +3 | +7 | +9 | 1.5 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 446 | 399 | 90 | 12 | 1 | 32 | 37 | 125 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 226 | 306 | 501 | 807 | 276 | 239 | 28 | 8 | 351 | 124 | +13 | -0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 446 | 396 | 92 | 12 | 1 | 34 | 40 | 125 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 317 | 525 | 842 | 293 | 244 | 28 | 9 | 366 | 124 | +13 | -0 | +1 | +8 | +10 | 3.1 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 209 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 86 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 254 | 354 | 608 | 211 | 155 | 36 | 10 | 272 | 70 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 240 | 209 | 36 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 24 | 83 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 279 | 383 | 662 | 211 | 211 | 35 | 10 | 298 | 70 | -9 | +0 | +1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 440 | 386 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 22 | 49 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 298 | 409 | 707 | 210 | 226 | 28 | 11 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB RAW | New York Yankees | — | 440 | 383 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 23 | 52 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 307 | 423 | 730 | 219 | 230 | 28 | 12 | 326 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.6 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 471 | 419 | 86 | 24 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 136 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 285 | 377 | 662 | 172 | 257 | 29 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +9 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB RAW | Minnesota Twins | — | 471 | 419 | 86 | 24 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 136 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 205 | 285 | 377 | 662 | 172 | 257 | 29 | 8 | 295 | 85 | -8 | +0 | +9 | +8 | +10 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 327 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 35 | 103 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 297 | 416 | 713 | 211 | 231 | 28 | 9 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | +8 | 2.0 |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 373 | 321 | 69 | 12 | 0 | 20 | 41 | 96 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 319 | 439 | 758 | 224 | 236 | 26 | 11 | 335 | 99 | -1 | +0 | +6 | +7 | +8 | 2.0 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 284 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 89 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 316 | 387 | 703 | 165 | 273 | 27 | 10 | 312 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 327 | 281 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 88 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 313 | 402 | 715 | 192 | 242 | 27 | 11 | 318 | 97 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +6 | +7 | 1.4 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 235 | 211 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 246 | 321 | 450 | 771 | 204 | 281 | 26 | 5 | 339 | 115 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 235 | 205 | 54 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 17 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 355 | 498 | 852 | 234 | 299 | 25 | 7 | 375 | 115 | +4 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +5 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 275 | 226 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 347 | 412 | 758 | 204 | 229 | 21 | 16 | 344 | 119 | +6 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB RAW | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 275 | 225 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 350 | 422 | 773 | 213 | 226 | 21 | 17 | 347 | 119 | +6 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +6 | 1.5 |
| 2010 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees | — | 136 | 125 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 272 | 328 | 456 | 784 | 184 | 345 | 29 | 4 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 365 | 336 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 134 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 211 | 269 | 375 | 644 | 164 | 291 | 37 | 7 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 497 | 467 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 156 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 238 | 279 | 383 | 662 | 146 | 320 | 31 | 4 | 286 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 541 | 494 | 111 | 26 | 0 | 15 | 33 | 124 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 286 | 368 | 654 | 144 | 262 | 23 | 6 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | AA MLE | Trenton Thunder | — | 477 | 440 | 115 | 18 | 0 | 11 | 32 | 112 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 261 | 314 | 377 | 692 | 116 | 322 | 23 | 7 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 498 | 468 | 115 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 23 | 122 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 246 | 287 | 417 | 704 | 171 | 287 | 24 | 5 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 542 | 492 | 133 | 29 | 1 | 28 | 38 | 111 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 270 | 331 | 504 | 836 | 234 | 296 | 20 | 7 | 358 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 525 | 471 | 129 | 20 | 0 | 31 | 39 | 120 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 274 | 342 | 514 | 855 | 240 | 304 | 23 | 7 | 372 | 138 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 402 | 350 | 63 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 46 | 106 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 280 | 400 | 680 | 220 | 188 | 26 | 11 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 446 | 397 | 90 | 12 | 1 | 32 | 37 | 125 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 306 | 504 | 809 | 277 | 244 | 28 | 8 | 351 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 27 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 240 | 207 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 24 | 86 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 254 | 357 | 612 | 213 | 159 | 36 | 10 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | MLB MLE | New York Yankees | — | 440 | 383 | 77 | 13 | 1 | 22 | 49 | 121 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 298 | 413 | 710 | 211 | 230 | 28 | 11 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 29 | MLB MLE | Minnesota Twins | — | 471 | 421 | 86 | 24 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 136 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 285 | 375 | 661 | 171 | 257 | 29 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 30 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 373 | 327 | 67 | 12 | 0 | 19 | 35 | 103 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 297 | 416 | 713 | 211 | 226 | 28 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 285 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 89 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 316 | 386 | 702 | 165 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 235 | 210 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 321 | 452 | 773 | 205 | 286 | 26 | 5 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 275 | 225 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 347 | 413 | 760 | 204 | 226 | 21 | 16 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 31 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 327 | 285 | 63 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 89 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 221 | 316 | 386 | 702 | 165 | 267 | 27 | 10 | 312 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 32 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 235 | 210 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 60 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 321 | 452 | 773 | 205 | 286 | 26 | 5 | 339 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 33 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 275 | 225 | 47 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 59 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 347 | 413 | 760 | 204 | 226 | 21 | 16 | 344 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 245 | 208 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 336 | 436 | 773 | 212 | 248 | 23 | 13 | 343 | 118 | +5 | -0 | -3 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 152 | 129 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 336 | 441 | 776 | 217 | 244 | 23 | 12 | 344 | 118 | +3 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +3 | 0.8 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 35 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 100 | 86 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 324 | 410 | 734 | 197 | 238 | 24 | 12 | 328 | 108 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 35 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 100 | 86 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 323 | 414 | 738 | 202 | 234 | 24 | 12 | 329 | 108 | +1 | +0 | -7 | +2 | +2 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 3686 | 3236 | 722 | 133 | 4 | 206 | 370 | 970 | 59 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 314 | 458 | 772 | 235 | 248 | 26 | 10 | 339 | 100 | +69 | +0 | +24 | +78 | +80 | 25.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 571 | 127 | 23 | 1 | 36 | 65 | 171 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 313 | 455 | 768 | 233 | 247 | 26 | 10 | 339 | 100 | +12 | +0 | +4 | +14 | +14 | 4.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 7042 | 6318 | 1440 | 280 | 8 | 304 | 567 | 1863 | 109 | 49 | 15 | 228 | 303 | 419 | 722 | 191 | 271 | 26 | 8 | 316 | 100 | +72 | +1 | +22 | +81 | +83 | 26.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 133 | 26 | 1 | 28 | 52 | 172 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 228 | 302 | 420 | 722 | 192 | 271 | 26 | 8 | 316 | 100 | +12 | +0 | +4 | +14 | +14 | 4.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 57 PAwOBA .501 → .387 (−114)K% 19.3% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.30% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.063 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.942 | 5.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.26% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.942 | 4.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.95% | ÷0.959 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.942 | 26.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.942 | 2.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.942 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 15.79% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.942 | 11.01% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .501 → .387; ISO .388 → .270; BABIP .375 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 106 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−70)K% 27.4% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.36% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.87% | ÷0.967 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.962 | 12.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.962 | 3.41% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | ×0.962 | ×0.962 | 21.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.962 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.962 | ×0.962 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.003 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.962 | 1.29% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .074 → .056; BABIP .308 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 28 PAwOBA .318 → .234 (−84)K% 35.7% → 42.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.71% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.032 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 5.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.004 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.130 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.046 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 18.17% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .234; ISO .429 → .312; BABIP .071 → .062. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 313 PAwOBA .349 → .311 (−38)K% 14.4% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.38% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.71% | ÷0.977 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 4.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.08% | ÷0.991 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 19.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.79% | ÷1.059 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 7.19% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×1.048 | 0.47% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.18% | ÷0.996 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 3.70% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .349 → .311; ISO .187 → .161; BABIP .302 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AATrenton Thunder · 254 PAwOBA .339 → .281 (−58)K% 19.7% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.69% | ÷0.950 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.69% | ÷1.067 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 4.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.13% | ÷0.977 | ×0.970 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.65% | ÷0.978 | ×0.860 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.004 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.56% | ÷1.153 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 4.56% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .339 → .281; ISO .215 → .156; BABIP .285 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 146 PAwOBA .366 → .331 (−34)K% 19.2% → 23.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.18% | ÷0.991 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.53% | ÷1.139 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | ×0.963 | ×1.050 | 21.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.65% | ÷0.903 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×1.050 | 8.04% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.963 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.77% | ÷0.878 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 5.80% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .366 → .331; ISO .205 → .201; BABIP .330 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AATrenton Thunder · 477 PAwOBA .326 → .305 (−22)K% 19.1% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.08% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.01% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.036 | ×1.042 | 26.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.972 | ×0.860 | ×1.036 | ×1.042 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.036 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.910 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .326 → .305; ISO .135 → .121; BABIP .314 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 A+Tampa Yankees · 399 PAwOBA .318 → .285 (−34)K% 17.8% → 24.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.79% | ÷1.041 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.77% | ÷0.954 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.25% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.93% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.027 | 18.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷0.974 | ×0.960 | ×0.989 | ×1.027 | 7.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.810 | ×0.989 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.47% | ÷0.929 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 4.35% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 94, K 108, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .318 → .285; ISO .166 → .154; BABIP .280 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .