Gary Sánchez

C Milwaukee Brewers
Age 34 R/R 6'2" / 251 lbs MLB HR +10%K +6% Svc 10.291 · Ctrl thru 2027
Overview
MLB40-MANExt / FA-dealFA 2028
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202431INTLLeones del Es…47.139/.326/.47240121—
202431MLBMIL280.220/.310/.392110971.3
202532AAA/INTL2 orgs134.289/.396/.56190132—.294/.368/.549
202532MLBBAL101.231/.300/.41850970.3
202633MLBMIL275.209/.350/.4221201191.5
2027PROJ34MLBMIL152.224/.336/.441711180.8
2028PROJ35MLBMIL100.212/.323/.41450108-0.2
Last 3 seasons WAR 3.1  ·  Next 2 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2027Service10.291First FA2028Options2
2027Ext / FA-deal$4M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026
xwOBA63
Barrel%60
Bat Spd59
Avg EV57
Speed10
Form.218/.340/.433 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .224/.334/.436
CompsRobinson Chirinos (age 33) · Greg Norton (age 35) · Dan Uggla (age 33)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 121118vR 107
AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .336 / .441
PA152
HR7
K%23
BB%12
BABIP244
ISO217
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: +3.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)+3BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -2.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +3.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: +0.70+0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
0.7-0.22728
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
150.222
POWER
Barrel%
609.7
Avg EV
5789.6
Bat Spd
5972.3
SPEED
Sprint
1024.5
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%25%▼▼30% over 37 PA (60d) · proj 23%
BB%14%▲▲19% over 37 PA (60d) · proj 13%
ISO.215·.233 over 30 AB (60d) · proj .212
BABIP.249·.294 over 17 BIP (60d) · proj .248
SLASH.218/.340/.433·proj .224/.334/.436
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 450 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
181
269
—
wRC+
117
102
◀L
wOBA
341
320
◀L
ISO
226
185
◀◀L
BABIP
277
257
◀L
K%
25.4%
27.1%
◀L
BB%
9.9%
9.7%
—
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2016
Service   10.291 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Ext / FA-deal$4M+0.7$3M-$2M
Totals $4M $3M -$2M
Options · projected decision
2027MUTUAL OPT$4.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE
2028MUTUAL OPT$4.5M / $0.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201017 ROKGCL Yankees — 136119 421106 11284 11 3534255971.022 244414 218 440 110 — — — — — —
201118 ACharleston RiverDogs — 343301 7716117 36932 21 256339485824 229308 2710 359 72 — — — — — —
201118 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2220 6000 290 00 300364300664 545 419 310 96 — — — — — —
201219 A+Tampa Yankees — 185172 481015 10413 40 279330436766 157341 225 341 70 — — — — — —
201219 ACharleston RiverDogs — 289263 7819013 22652 114 297355517873 221348 228 380 86 — — — — — —
201219 INTLLeones del Escogido — 2321 5101 260 00 238304429733 190286 269 325 106 — — — — — —
201320 AATrenton Thunder — 11092 23602 13164 00 250367380747 130280 1512 340 79 — — — — — —
201320 A+Tampa Yankees — 399362 9221013 28715 31 254316420736 166280 187 325 79 — — — — — —
201320 INTLToros del Este — 3228 5100 390 10 179258214472 36263 289 219 34 — — — — — —
201421 AATrenton Thunder — 477429 11619013 43912 11 270340406745 135314 199 333 93 — — — — — —
201522 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 146132 39906 11281 12 295354500854 205330 198 371 110 — — — — — —
201522 AATrenton Thunder — 254233 6114012 18502 60 262320476797 215285 207 349 76 — — — — — —
201522 INTLSurprise Saguaros — 9888 26617 8191 42 295361625986 330302 198 419 170 — — — — — —
201623 MLBNew York Yankees — 229201 6012020 24572 10 2993796571.036 358317 2510 439 172 +20 +0 +6 +10 +5 4.1
201623 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 313284 8021110 21455 71 282342468810 187302 147 355 97 — — — — — —
201724 MLBNew York Yankees — 525471 13120033 4012010 21 278347531878 253304 238 381 138 +24 +0 +9 +9 +11 5.5
201825 MLBNew York Yankees — 374323 6017018 46943 10 186293406699 220197 2512 311 93 -3 +0 +3 +7 +8 1.6
201825 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 2828 5004 0100 00 179179607786 42971 360 330 45 — — — — — —
201926 MLBNew York Yankees — 446396 9212134 401259 01 232317525842 293244 289 366 124 +13 -0 +1 +8 +10 3.1
202027 MLBNew York Yankees — 178156 234010 18644 00 147253365618 218159 3610 279 70 -6 +0 +1 +4 +4 0.3
202027 INTLToros del Este — 6253 13402 6193 00 245355434789 189344 3110 355 127 — — — — — —
202128 MLBNew York Yankees — 440383 7813123 521215 00 204307423730 219230 2812 326 99 -1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.6
202229 MLBMinnesota Twins — 471419 8624016 401367 20 205285377662 172257 298 295 85 -8 +0 +9 +8 +10 2.0
202330 MLBSan Diego Padres — 267240 529019 21674 00 217291492782 275212 258 339 115 +5 +0 +6 +7 +6 2.3
202330 AAASyracuse Mets — 10681 17301 20294 10 210390284674 74308 2719 326 57 — — — — — —
202431 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 280245 547111 27765 00 220310392702 171267 2710 313 97 -1 +0 +2 +6 +6 1.3
202431 INTLLeones del Escogido — 4736 5004 8122 00 139326472798 33348 2617 346 121 — — — — — —
202532 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 10191 21205 4275 00 231300418718 187267 274 318 97 -0 +0 -4 +4 +2 0.3
202532 AAANorfolk Tides — 5749 18106 5113 00 3674567551.211 388375 199 516 148 — — — — — —
202532 INTLGigantes del Cibao — 7765 15113 8204 00 231351415766 185286 2610 347 121 — — — — — —
202633 MLBMilwaukee Brewers — 275225 4710112 46593 00 209350422773 213226 2117 347 119 +6 +0 -2 +5 +6 1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 35863150 7041304201 35894657 62 223314459773 235249 2610 339 116 +68 +0 +31 +76 +78 25.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201017 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 136124 34805 6404 11 274328460788 185345 294 331 110 — — — — — —
201118 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 343315 6613112 221262 21 210265371637 162291 376 275 72 — — — — — —
201219 A+ MLETampa Yankees — 185175 39814 7593 40 223265349613 126316 324 271 70 — — — — — —
201219 A MLECharleston RiverDogs — 289271 661509 14892 114 244286399684 155323 315 295 86 — — — — — —
201320 AA MLETrenton Thunder — 11096 21402 9194 00 219312323635 104253 178 285 79 — — — — — —
201320 A+ MLETampa Yankees — 399368 8320012 22975 31 226278378656 152265 246 285 79 — — — — — —
201421 AA MLETrenton Thunder — 477440 11518011 321122 11 261314377692 116322 237 305 93 — — — — — —
201522 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 146136 36806 7341 12 265306456761 191307 235 331 110 — — — — — —
201522 AA MLETrenton Thunder — 254240 551208 11642 60 229269379648 150276 254 281 76 — — — — — —
201623 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 229203 5912019 22572 10 291366631996 340317 2510 422 172 +20 +0 +6 +10 +5 4.1
201623 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 313289 741719 16545 71 256306415722 159280 175 311 97 — — — — — —
201724 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 525472 12920031 3912010 21 273342513854 239304 237 372 138 +24 +0 +9 +9 +11 5.5
201825 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 374323 5917017 46943 10 183290393684 211197 2512 305 93 -3 +0 +3 +7 +8 1.6
201825 AAA MLEScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders — 2828 4003 0120 00 143143464607 32162 430 234 45 — — — — — —
201926 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 446399 9012132 371259 01 226306501807 276244 288 351 124 +13 -0 +1 +8 +10 3.1
202027 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 178156 22409 18644 00 141247340587 199159 3610 272 70 -6 +0 +1 +4 +4 0.3
202128 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 440386 7713122 491215 00 199298409707 210230 2811 314 99 -1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.6
202229 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 471419 8624016 401367 20 205285377662 172257 298 294 85 -8 +0 +9 +8 +10 2.0
202330 MLB MLESan Diego Padres — 267240 5310019 21674 00 221294500794 279212 258 339 115 +5 +0 +6 +7 +6 2.3
202330 AAA MLESyracuse Mets — 10687 14201 14364 10 161305218523 57262 3413 252 57 — — — — — —
202431 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 280245 537110 27765 00 216307376682 159267 2710 312 97 -1 +0 +2 +6 +6 1.3
202532 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 10191 21205 4275 00 231300418718 187267 274 312 97 -0 +0 -4 +4 +2 0.3
202532 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 5751 15104 3143 00 294368549917 255321 255 387 148 — — — — — —
202633 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 275226 4711111 45593 00 208347412758 204226 2116 344 119 +6 +0 -2 +5 +6 1.5
201017 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 136124 34805 6404 11 274328460788 185358 294 331 110 — — — — — —
201017 ROK RAWGCL Yankees — 136119 421106 11284 11 3534255971.022 244414 218 440 110 — — — — — —
201118 A MLE2 teams — 365335 7114113 241342 21 212269376645 164302 377 275 72 — — — — — —
201118 A RAW2 teams — 365321 8316117 381022 21 259341474814 215320 2810 356 72 — — — — — —
201219 A MLE3 teams — 497468 11124114 221565 154 237279382661 145323 314 286 79 — — — — — —
201219 A RAW3 teams — 497456 13130119 341125 154 287343482826 195343 237 363 79 — — — — — —
201320 A+ MLE3 teams — 541493 11126015 331249 41 225286369655 144267 236 285 79 — — — — — —
201320 A+ RAW3 teams — 541482 12028015 44969 41 249323400724 151279 188 322 79 — — — — — —
201421 AA MLETrenton Thunder — 477440 11518011 321122 11 261314377692 116325 237 305 93 — — — — — —
201421 AA RAWTrenton Thunder — 477429 11619013 43912 11 270340406745 135314 199 333 93 — — — — — —
201522 AA MLE3 teams — 498467 11526018 231224 114 246287418705 171293 245 299 89 — — — — — —
201522 AA RAW3 teams — 498453 12629125 37974 114 278338512850 234301 197 369 89 — — — — — —
201623 AAA MLE2 teams — 542492 13329128 381117 81 270331504836 234293 207 358 128 — — — — — —
201623 AAA RAW2 teams — 542485 14033130 451027 81 289358546904 258307 198 391 128 — — — — — —
201724 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 525472 12920031 3912010 21 273342513854 239302 237 372 138 +24 +0 +9 +9 +11 5.5
201724 MLB RAWNew York Yankees — 525471 13120033 4012010 21 278347531878 253304 238 381 138 +24 +0 +9 +9 +11 5.5
201825 MLB MLE2 teams — 402351 6317020 461063 10 179280399679 219189 2611 300 89 -5 +0 +3 +7 +9 1.5
201825 MLB RAW2 teams — 402351 6517022 461043 10 185285422707 236189 2611 312 89 -5 +0 +3 +7 +9 1.5
201926 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 446399 9012132 371259 01 226306501807 276239 288 351 124 +13 -0 +1 +8 +10 3.1
201926 MLB RAWNew York Yankees — 446396 9212134 401259 01 232317525842 293244 289 366 124 +13 -0 +1 +8 +10 3.1
202027 MLB MLE2 teams — 240209 305013 24867 00 144254354608 211155 3610 272 70 -9 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.2
202027 MLB RAW2 teams — 240209 368012 24837 00 172279383662 211211 3510 298 70 -9 +0 +1 +4 +5 0.2
202128 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 440386 7713122 491215 00 199298409707 210226 2811 314 99 -1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.6
202128 MLB RAWNew York Yankees — 440383 7813123 521215 00 204307423730 219230 2812 326 99 -1 +0 -1 +8 +10 1.6
202229 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 471419 8624016 401367 20 205285377662 172257 298 294 85 -8 +0 +9 +8 +10 2.0
202229 MLB RAWMinnesota Twins — 471419 8624016 401367 20 205285377662 172257 298 295 85 -8 +0 +9 +8 +10 2.0
202330 MLB MLE2 teams — 373327 6712019 351038 10 205297416713 211231 289 314 99 -1 +0 +6 +7 +8 2.0
202330 MLB RAW2 teams — 373321 6912020 41968 10 215319439758 224236 2611 335 99 -1 +0 +6 +7 +8 2.0
202431 MLB MLE2 teams — 327284 639112 32897 00 222316387703 165273 2710 312 97 -1 +0 +2 +6 +7 1.4
202431 MLB RAW2 teams — 327281 597115 35887 00 210313402715 192242 2711 318 97 -1 +0 +2 +6 +7 1.4
202532 MLB MLE3 teams — 235211 524013 116012 00 246321450771 204281 265 339 115 +4 +0 -4 +4 +5 1.0
202532 MLB RAW3 teams — 235205 544114 175812 00 263355498852 234299 257 375 115 +4 +0 -4 +4 +5 1.0
202633 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 275226 4711111 45593 00 208347412758 204229 2116 344 119 +6 +0 -2 +5 +6 1.5
202633 MLB RAWMilwaukee Brewers — 275225 4710112 46593 00 209350422773 213226 2117 347 119 +6 +0 -2 +5 +6 1.5
201017 ROK MLEGCL Yankees — 136125 34805 6404 11 272328456784 184345 294 331 110 — — — — — —
201118 A MLE2 teams — 365336 7114113 241342 21 211269375644 164291 377 275 72 — — — — — —
201219 A MLE3 teams — 497467 11124114 221565 154 238279383662 146320 314 286 79 — — — — — —
201320 A+ MLE3 teams — 541494 11126015 331249 41 225286368654 144262 236 285 79 — — — — — —
201421 AA MLETrenton Thunder — 477440 11518011 321122 11 261314377692 116322 237 305 93 — — — — — —
201522 AA MLE3 teams — 498468 11526018 231224 114 246287417704 171287 245 299 89 — — — — — —
201623 AAA MLE2 teams — 542492 13329128 381117 81 270331504836 234296 207 358 128 — — — — — —
201724 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 525471 12920031 3912010 21 274342514855 240304 237 372 138 — — — — — —
201825 MLB MLE2 teams — 402350 6317020 461063 10 180280400680 220188 2611 300 89 — — — — — —
201926 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 446397 9012132 371259 01 227306504809 277244 288 351 124 — — — — — —
202027 MLB MLE2 teams — 240207 305013 24867 00 145254357612 213159 3610 272 70 — — — — — —
202128 MLB MLENew York Yankees — 440383 7713122 491215 00 201298413710 211230 2811 314 99 — — — — — —
202229 MLB MLEMinnesota Twins — 471421 8624016 401367 20 204285375661 171257 298 294 85 — — — — — —
202330 MLB MLE2 teams — 373327 6712019 351038 10 205297416713 211226 289 314 99 — — — — — —
202431 MLB MLE2 teams — 327285 639112 32897 00 221316386702 165267 2710 312 97 — — — — — —
202532 MLB MLE3 teams — 235210 524013 116012 00 248321452773 205286 265 339 115 — — — — — —
202633 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 275225 4711111 45593 00 209347413760 204226 2116 344 119 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202431 MLB MLE2 teams — 327285 639112 32897 00 221316386702 165267 2710 312 97 — — — — — —
202532 MLB MLE3 teams — 235210 524013 116012 00 248321452773 205286 265 339 115 — — — — — —
202633 MLB MLEMilwaukee Brewers — 275225 4711111 45593 00 209347413760 204226 2116 344 119 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202734 MLB MLEMIL 100% 245208 479111 31564 11 224336436773 212248 2313 343 118 +5 -0 -3 +4 +5 0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202734 MLB CTXMIL 100% 152129 29517 19353 10 224336441776 217244 2312 344 118 +3 +0 -2 +3 +3 0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202835 MLB MLEMIL 100% 10086 17304 12242 00 213324410734 197238 2412 328 108 +1 +0 -7 +2 +2 -0.2
202835 MLB CTXMIL 100% 10086 18305 12242 00 212323414738 202234 2412 329 108 +1 +0 -7 +2 +2 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 36863236 7221334206 37097059 62 223314458772 235248 2610 339 100 +69 +0 +24 +78 +80 25.6
/ 162G— A+C — 650571 12723136 6517110 10 222313455768 233247 2610 339 100 +12 +0 +4 +14 +14 4.5
Career— MLE — 70426318 14402808304 5671863109 4915 228303419722 191271 268 316 100 +72 +1 +22 +81 +83 26.3
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 13326128 5217210 51 228302420722 192271 268 316 100 +12 +0 +4 +14 +14 4.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 57 PAwOBA .501 → .387 (−114)K% 19.3% → 23.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.30%÷0.967×1.200——23.94%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.77%÷1.063×0.690—×0.9425.37%
HBP% /PA5.26%—×0.940—×0.9424.66%
Singles /BIP28.95%÷0.959×0.930—×0.94226.43%
Doubles /BIP2.63%÷0.978×0.830—×0.9422.10%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×0.9420.00%
Home runs /BIP15.79%÷0.945×0.700—×0.94211.01%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 33 vs a level average of 27.2 → −5.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.8 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .501 → .387; ISO .388 → .270; BABIP .375 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAASyracuse Mets · 106 PAwOBA .323 → .252 (−70)K% 27.4% → 34.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.36%÷0.961×1.200——34.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA18.87%÷0.967×0.690—×0.96212.95%
HBP% /PA3.77%—×0.940—×0.9623.41%
Singles /BIP25.00%÷0.997×0.930×0.962×0.96221.59%
Doubles /BIP5.77%÷0.933×0.830×0.962×0.9624.75%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×0.962×0.9620.00%
Home runs /BIP1.92%÷1.003×0.700—×0.9621.29%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 99, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 92, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 31 vs a level average of 27.2 → −3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.

Result: wOBA .323 → .252; ISO .074 → .056; BABIP .308 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 28 PAwOBA .318 → .234 (−84)K% 35.7% → 42.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA35.71%÷1.002×1.200——42.79%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷1.034×0.690—×1.0180.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.940—×1.0180.00%
Singles /BIP5.56%÷1.032×0.930—×1.0185.10%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷1.004×0.830—×1.0180.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.130×0.970—×1.0180.00%
Home runs /BIP22.22%÷1.046×0.840—×1.01818.17%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 106, 2B 101, 3B 126, K 100, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .318 → .234; ISO .429 → .312; BABIP .071 → .062. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2016 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 313 PAwOBA .349 → .311 (−38)K% 14.4% → 17.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.38%÷0.994×1.200——17.35%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.71%÷0.977×0.690—×1.0484.97%
HBP% /PA1.60%—×0.940—×1.0481.57%
Singles /BIP20.08%÷0.991×0.930×0.996×1.04819.69%
Doubles /BIP8.79%÷1.059×0.830×0.996×1.0487.19%
Triples /BIP0.42%÷0.900×0.970×0.996×1.0480.47%
Home runs /BIP4.18%÷0.996×0.840—×1.0483.70%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 98, 2B 112, 3B 80, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.

Result: wOBA .349 → .311; ISO .187 → .161; BABIP .302 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AATrenton Thunder · 254 PAwOBA .339 → .281 (−58)K% 19.7% → 25.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.69%÷0.950×1.220——25.27%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.69%÷1.067×0.700—×1.0274.51%
HBP% /PA0.79%—×0.850—×1.0270.69%
Singles /BIP19.13%÷0.977×0.970×1.004×1.02719.56%
Doubles /BIP7.65%÷0.978×0.860×1.004×1.0276.93%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×1.004×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP6.56%÷1.153×0.780—×1.0274.56%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 131, 1B 95, 2B 96, 3B 130, K 90, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.

Result: wOBA .339 → .281; ISO .215 → .156; BABIP .285 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2015 AAAScranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders · 146 PAwOBA .366 → .331 (−34)K% 19.2% → 23.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.18%÷0.991×1.200——23.23%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.53%÷1.139×0.690—×1.0504.79%
HBP% /PA0.68%—×0.940—×1.0500.68%
Singles /BIP23.08%÷1.011×0.930×0.963×1.05021.47%
Doubles /BIP8.65%÷0.903×0.830×0.963×1.0508.04%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.970×0.963×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP5.77%÷0.878×0.840—×1.0505.80%

Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 130, K 98, BB 128 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.

Result: wOBA .366 → .331; ISO .205 → .201; BABIP .330 → .307. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2014 AATrenton Thunder · 477 PAwOBA .326 → .305 (−22)K% 19.1% → 23.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.08%÷0.994×1.220——23.41%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.01%÷0.977×0.700—×1.0426.73%
HBP% /PA0.42%—×0.850—×1.0420.37%
Singles /BIP24.85%÷1.000×0.970×1.036×1.04226.03%
Doubles /BIP5.62%÷0.972×0.860×1.036×1.0425.37%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.150×0.950×1.036×1.0420.00%
Home runs /BIP3.85%÷0.910×0.780—×1.0423.44%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 100, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.

Result: wOBA .326 → .305; ISO .135 → .121; BABIP .314 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2013 A+Tampa Yankees · 399 PAwOBA .318 → .285 (−34)K% 17.8% → 24.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA17.79%÷1.041×1.420——24.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.77%÷0.954×0.750—×1.0275.46%
HBP% /PA1.25%—×0.930—×1.0271.20%
Singles /BIP19.93%÷1.005×0.920×0.989×1.02718.53%
Doubles /BIP7.22%÷0.974×0.960×0.989×1.0277.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.970×0.810×0.989×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP4.47%÷0.929×0.880—×1.0274.35%

Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 101, 2B 95, 3B 94, K 108, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.

Result: wOBA .318 → .285; ISO .166 → .154; BABIP .280 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .